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Fluor Corporation (FLR)
:FLR

Fluor (FLR) AI Stock Analysis

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FL

Fluor

(NYSE:FLR)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$55.00
▲(13.92%Upside)
Fluor's overall stock score reflects a stable financial foundation and attractive valuation, offset by technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions and earnings call challenges. The company's robust backlog and strategic initiatives provide potential for future growth, but project-specific hurdles and economic uncertainties could pose risks.
Positive Factors
Earnings Potential
Management expressed confidence in near-term earnings power and long-term demand for its services, while noting that its full EPC capabilities are increasingly in demand as speed-to-market rises up customer’s preferences.
Financial Guidance
FLR raised its FY cash from ops guide to $500-600mn given the outperformance in Q2, indicating strong cash flow management.
Project Execution
The LNG Canada project seems impressive in its scale and technical efficiency — strong pride coming from FLR management in its ability to deliver 224 modules and efficiently manage almost 5,000 people on site at the project.
Negative Factors
Earnings Uncertainty
Negatives include near-term earnings performance uncertainty and valuation now well off its highs.
Market Volatility
A macro/politically uncertain environment could potentially increase bookings volatility in the second half of the year.
Project Delays
Energy profit of $75mn declined 16% year-over-year due to certain delays in revenue recognition for some major projects, which are expected to be recognized later.

Fluor (FLR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Fluor Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFluor Corporation (FLR) is a global engineering, procurement, construction (EPC), and maintenance company that provides services to a diverse set of industries including energy, chemicals, government, industrial, infrastructure, mining, and power. Headquartered in Irving, Texas, Fluor delivers integrated solutions across the entire project life cycle, from conceptual studies through commissioning and operation, serving clients in both the public and private sectors worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyFluor Corporation makes money primarily through the provision of engineering, procurement, construction, and project management services to its clients. The company's revenue model is based on contracts that range from lump-sum turnkey projects to cost-plus reimbursable agreements. Revenue streams are diversified across multiple sectors including oil and gas, chemicals, government services, infrastructure, and mining. A significant portion of its income is derived from long-term contracts with governmental and commercial entities. Additionally, Fluor engages in strategic partnerships and joint ventures to expand its service offerings and enhance its competitive position in the global market.

Fluor Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 34.94%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 01, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Fluor experienced a strong first quarter with significant new awards and progress in key segments like Urban Solutions and ATLS. However, challenges such as the Dow project delay and issues with Mission Solutions and Energy Solutions dampened the overall performance. While there are positive growth indicators, economic uncertainties and project-specific challenges present hurdles.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong First Quarter Revenue
Fluor reported first-quarter revenue of $4 billion, with consolidated new awards strong at $5.8 billion. The book to burn ratio was 1.5, and the total backlog stands at $28.7 billion, with 79% reimbursable.
Significant New Awards in Urban Solutions
Urban Solutions reported a profit of $70 million, driven by a ramp-up in execution activities with new awards totaling $5.3 billion for the quarter, compared to $4.9 billion the previous year.
Continued Growth in ATLS
ATLS had a strong quarter, securing a new award from a leading pharmaceutical company for EPCM services. The segment is also advancing existing projects, including a biotech project in Denmark.
LNG Canada Progress
Field progress on LNG Canada is advancing to the final stages, with significant milestones achieved, such as receiving an LNG commissioning cargo.
Improved Adjusted EBITDA and EPS
Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was $155 million, up from $88 million a year ago. Adjusted EPS was $0.73, an increase from $0.47 in the previous year.
Negative Updates
Dow Project Delay
Dow has decided to slow down construction activities on the Path to Zero project due to market and financial considerations, impacting Fluor's operations.
Mission Solutions Challenges
Mission Solutions reported a segment profit of $5 million, down from $22 million a year ago, due to a $28 million reserve related to a long-standing claim.
Decrease in Energy Solutions Profit
Segment profit for Energy Solutions was $47 million, down from $68 million a year ago, due to projects nearing completion and a reserve related to a joint venture project in Mexico.
Impact of Legacy Infrastructure Projects
Fluor provided $70 million in funding for legacy infrastructure projects in Q1, with expectations to fund about $200 million for the entire year.
Company Guidance
During Fluor's Q1 2025 earnings call, management provided detailed guidance, maintaining their adjusted EBITDA forecast at $575 million to $675 million and adjusted EPS guidance of $2.25 to $2.75. Key metrics included first-quarter revenue of $4 billion and consolidated new awards totaling $5.8 billion, leading to a book-to-bill ratio of 1.5. The company's backlog stood at $28.7 billion, with 79% being reimbursable. Urban Solutions reported a quarterly profit of $70 million, with a backlog of $20.2 billion representing 70% of Fluor's total backlog. Energy Solutions posted a profit of $47 million, while Mission Solutions reported a $5 million profit. Despite some project delays and challenges, such as a reserve related to a joint venture in Mexico, the overall outlook remains positive, with a focus on generating cash and earnings, pursuing fair contract terms, and exploring bolt-on acquisitions. Fluor also plans to repurchase up to $600 million in shares for 2025, supported by expected operating cash flow of $450 million to $500 million.

Fluor Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fluor's financial performance is stable, underpinned by strong profitability margins and cash flow generation. The company exhibits effective cost management and operational efficiency, although revenue growth is modest.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Fluor demonstrates solid performance in its income statement with a TTM gross profit margin of 3.71% and a net profit margin of 11.13%, indicating effective cost management and profitability. Revenue growth from 2024 to 2025 is modest at 1.52%, reflecting stable, albeit slow, expansion. The EBIT margin stands at 2.74% in TTM, and the EBITDA margin is 3.66%, showing operational efficiency improvements over previous periods.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a healthy financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30 in the TTM period, suggesting low financial leverage and reduced risk. Return on equity is robust at 51.37%, driven by significant net income growth. The equity ratio is strong at 42.62%, indicating a solid equity foundation relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights strong free cash flow growth of 20.18% in the TTM period, underscoring effective capital management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.51, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.43, reflecting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The positive cash flow metrics demonstrate Fluor's ability to generate cash to support operations and investment needs.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
16.56B16.32B15.47B13.74B12.43B15.67B
Gross Profit
614.00M574.00M477.00M355.00M411.60M385.25M
EBIT
454.00M463.00M147.00M209.00M211.65M170.25M
EBITDA
607.00M732.00M334.00M231.00M-183.00M172.76M
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.84B2.15B139.00M73.00M-144.19M-225.64M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
2.51B2.96B2.59B2.62B2.34B2.22B
Total Assets
8.42B9.14B6.97B6.83B7.28B7.31B
Total Debt
1.09B1.10B1.16B1.13B1.17B1.74B
Net Debt
-1.35B-1.73B-1.36B-1.31B-1.04B-463.33M
Total Liabilities
4.77B5.15B4.92B4.83B5.71B6.05B
Stockholders Equity
3.59B3.95B1.94B1.79B1.39B1.03B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
512.00M664.00M106.00M-44.00M-49.74M72.44M
Operating Cash Flow
939.00M828.00M212.00M31.00M25.33M185.88M
Investing Cash Flow
-275.00M-333.00M-277.00M-78.00M-121.87M-41.56M
Financing Cash Flow
-90.00M-116.00M127.00M294.00M122.25M48.45M

Fluor Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price48.28
Price Trends
50DMA
37.88
Positive
100DMA
39.59
Positive
200DMA
45.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.79
Negative
RSI
71.90
Negative
STOCH
87.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FLR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 48.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 42.61, above the 50-day MA of 37.88, and above the 200-day MA of 45.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.90 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 87.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FLR.

Fluor Risk Analysis

Fluor disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fluor reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fluor Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ACACM
80
Outperform
$14.82B24.4328.07%0.93%4.55%
KBKBR
74
Outperform
$6.94B17.8628.18%1.23%12.84%
MTMTZ
73
Outperform
$12.79B59.857.70%3.03%
JJ
71
Outperform
$15.10B34.728.46%1.02%-22.81%-30.13%
71
Outperform
$9.50B51.9311.91%0.72%10.35%-29.34%
FLFLR
70
Outperform
$7.95B4.6266.58%7.16%523.56%
66
Neutral
$4.47B12.215.40%3.65%4.14%-12.00%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FLR
Fluor
48.28
3.26
7.24%
ACM
Aecom Technology
111.99
24.37
27.81%
J
Jacobs Solutions
125.89
10.62
9.21%
KBR
KBR
53.46
-9.60
-15.22%
MTZ
MasTec
162.10
53.68
49.51%
TTEK
Tetra Tech
36.06
-5.21
-12.62%

Fluor Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fluor Names Jim Breuer as New CEO
Positive
Feb 18, 2025

On February 17, 2025, Fluor Corporation announced the appointment of Jim Breuer as the new Chief Executive Officer effective May 1, 2025, while David E. Constable transitions to the role of Executive Chairman. This strategic leadership change aims to advance the company’s focus on business growth and excellence in project execution. Breuer, with over three decades of experience at Fluor, is expected to drive the company’s strategy forward, emphasizing sustainable earnings and leadership development. Constable highlighted the achievements under the ‘building a better future’ strategy and expressed confidence in Breuer’s ability to lead the company into its next phase, ‘grow and execute.’

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.