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Mastec (MTZ)
NYSE:MTZ

MasTec (MTZ) AI Stock Analysis

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MTZ

MasTec

(NYSE:MTZ)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$237.00
▲(8.20% Upside)
MTZ scores as moderately attractive: solid financial performance (growth and improved balance sheet) and a strong, upbeat earnings call with record backlog are key positives. The score is held back by weak free-cash-flow trends and a demanding valuation (high P/E), while technicals suggest a longer-term uptrend but near-term consolidation.
Positive Factors
Record Backlog / Demand
A $16.8B backlog up 21% YoY provides multi‑period revenue visibility and supports sustained utilization and bidding leverage. Large, diversified backlog smooths revenue volatility, enables resource planning, and underpins mid‑term growth expectations across segments.
Diversified Segment Growth
Broad‑based growth across Communications, Clean Energy, and Power Delivery reduces end‑market concentration risk and positions MasTec to capture secular infrastructure spending. Diversification supports revenue resilience if any single sector softens over the next several quarters.
Improved Leverage & Profitability
Significantly reduced leverage (D/E ~0.18) and higher ROE signal a stronger balance sheet and greater financial flexibility. Lower debt limits refinancing risk, supports bidding on large EPC projects, and allows reinvestment or M&A without destabilizing capital structure.
Negative Factors
Weak Free Cash Flow Trend
A steep ~34% decline in FCF and low operating cash conversion (OCF/net income ~0.20) constrain the firm's ability to self‑fund growth, service unexpected cost overruns, or return capital. Persistent weaker cash generation raises execution risk on multi‑year EPC projects.
Margin Pressure / Falling EBIT/EBITDA Margins
Declining operating margins despite revenue growth imply rising execution costs or mix shifts. If EBIT/EBITDA erosion continues, profitability per project will be pressured, reducing free cash flow and making margin recovery dependent on sustained efficiency improvements.
Execution Risk from Project Delays
Permitting delays on large projects like Greenlink illustrate regulatory and scheduling execution risks inherent in infrastructure builds. Delays can push revenue recognition, inflate working capital needs, and concentrate backlog timing risk despite healthy aggregate backlog levels.

MasTec (MTZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MasTec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMasTec, Inc., an infrastructure construction company, provides engineering, building, installation, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, energy, utility, and other infrastructure primarily in the United States and Canada. It operates through Communications, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, Oil and Gas, Power Delivery, and Other segments. The company builds underground and overhead distribution systems, including trenches, conduits, cell towers, cable, and power lines, which provide wireless and wireline/fiber communications; clean energy infrastructure comprising renewable energy; natural gas, product transport; electrical and gas transmission, and distribution systems; heavy industrial plants; compressor and pump stations, and treatment plants; water and sewer infrastructure, including water pipelines; and other civil construction infrastructure. It also installs electrical and other gas distribution and transmission systems, power generation facilities, buried and aerial fiber optic and other cables, as well as home automation and energy management solutions. In addition, the company offers maintenance and upgrade support services comprising maintenance of customers' distribution facilities, networks, and infrastructure, including communications, power generation, pipeline, electrical distribution and transmission, and heavy civil infrastructure; service restoration for natural disasters and accidents; and routine replacements and upgrades to overhauls. Its customers include public and private energy providers, pipeline operators, wireless and wireline/fiber service providers, broadband operators, install-to-the-home service providers, and government entities. MasTec, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Coral Gables, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyMasTec generates revenue through a variety of channels, primarily by providing infrastructure services to clients in the telecommunications, energy, and transportation sectors. Key revenue streams include contracts for the construction and maintenance of telecommunications networks, installation of pipelines for oil and gas, and electric power transmission services. The company often engages in long-term contracts with major utility companies, telecommunications firms, and government agencies, ensuring a consistent revenue flow. Additionally, MasTec may benefit from strategic partnerships with leading technology and energy companies, which can enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. Overall, the company's diverse service portfolio and focus on infrastructure development positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for reliable and modern infrastructure solutions.

MasTec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 26, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
MasTec's third quarter results demonstrate strong revenue growth across multiple segments, backed by record backlog levels and new project awards. However, there were challenges with project delays and margin pressures due to growth-related investments. Despite these challenges, the company has shown resilience in its revenue and EPS performance.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue for the quarter was just shy of $4 billion, marking a 22% year-over-year increase, with adjusted EBITDA growing 20% year-over-year to $374 million.
Strong Performance Across Segments
Communications segment grew revenue by 33% year-over-year, Clean Energy and Infrastructure segment saw revenue grow by 20%, and Power Delivery segment saw a 17% growth in revenue year-over-year.
Backlog Growth
Total backlog at quarter end was $16.8 billion, a $325 million sequential increase, with a 21% year-over-year increase in third quarter backlog, including a significant 8% increase from the Pipeline segment.
Impressive EPS Performance
Adjusted earnings per share was $2.48, ahead of consensus by nearly $0.20.
New Project Wins
Post quarter end, MasTec's Power Delivery segment was awarded its second-largest project ever, expected to start in mid-2026.
Negative Updates
Greenlink Project Delays
The Power Delivery segment was affected by lower-than-planned volume due to permitting related delays in the Greenlink project, impacting the full year outlook.
Margin Pressure in Communications
Adjusted guidance reflects investments made to support strong organic growth rates, slightly reducing the full year margin guidance for the Communications segment.
Cash Flow Below Expectations
Cash flow from operations was $89 million, with free cash flow of $36 million, slightly below expectations due to strong sequential revenue growth and higher working capital investment.
Company Guidance
During MasTec's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong financial performance, exceeding guidance in revenue, EBITDA, and EPS metrics. Revenue for the quarter was just shy of $4 billion, marking a 22% year-over-year increase. Adjusted EBITDA was $374 million, a 20% increase, and adjusted earnings per share reached $2.48, surpassing consensus by nearly $0.20. The backlog at quarter-end was $16.8 billion, reflecting a $325 million sequential increase. Each segment contributed to backlog growth, and the book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.1x. The Communications segment saw a revenue increase of 33% year-over-year, while Clean Energy and Infrastructure and Power Delivery segments grew revenues by 20% and 17%, respectively. MasTec's total backlog grew 21% year-over-year, showcasing the company's robust execution and positive market conditions across its end markets. The company expressed confidence in its outlook for the remainder of the year and beyond, emphasizing its strategic investments in diversification and scale.

MasTec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MasTec demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability metrics, with a healthier balance sheet due to reduced leverage. However, declining free cash flow and operational margins pose potential risks. Continued focus on operational efficiency and cash flow management will be crucial for sustained financial health.
Income Statement
MasTec's revenue growth is strong, with a 5.48% increase in the TTM period, indicating robust demand. The gross profit margin is stable at 12.50%, though slightly lower than previous years. The net profit margin has improved to 2.41% in the TTM, reflecting better cost management. However, EBIT and EBITDA margins have decreased, suggesting potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.18 in the TTM, indicating reduced leverage and a stronger balance sheet. Return on equity has increased to 11.17%, showing enhanced profitability. The equity ratio remains stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow has declined by 33.92% in the TTM, raising concerns about cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.20, indicating moderate cash conversion efficiency. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65, suggesting adequate cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue13.76B12.30B12.00B9.78B7.95B6.32B
Gross Profit1.72B1.63B786.81M1.19B1.15B1.05B
EBITDA1.04B950.85M754.86M662.46M906.31M782.54M
Net Income331.07M162.79M-49.95M33.35M328.83M322.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.69B8.98B9.37B9.29B7.12B5.23B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments231.42M399.90M529.56M370.59M360.74M423.12M
Total Debt2.77B2.63B3.50B3.51B2.29B1.49B
Total Liabilities6.51B5.99B6.65B6.55B4.58B3.22B
Stockholders Equity3.11B2.91B2.71B2.74B2.54B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow416.59M972.77M494.34M88.94M623.01M723.51M
Operating Cash Flow644.67M1.12B687.28M352.30M793.07M937.25M
Investing Cash Flow-232.02M-157.49M-178.06M-821.18M-1.36B-216.60M
Financing Cash Flow-360.76M-1.09B-351.00M480.90M501.94M-369.89M

MasTec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price219.03
Price Trends
50DMA
212.51
Positive
100DMA
204.39
Positive
200DMA
179.17
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.38
Positive
RSI
48.39
Neutral
STOCH
69.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 219.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 223.60, above the 50-day MA of 212.51, and above the 200-day MA of 179.17, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.39 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTZ.

MasTec Risk Analysis

MasTec disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MasTec reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MasTec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$17.84B111.458.71%10.69%
78
Outperform
$10.27B33.4521.90%13.19%33.58%
78
Outperform
$65.15B61.2913.16%0.09%18.72%23.97%
75
Outperform
$6.93B24.6718.56%0.25%21.45%67.31%
71
Outperform
$9.59B29.1835.73%6.20%72.81%
66
Neutral
$18.60B52.0811.18%12.99%274.10%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTZ
MasTec
219.03
74.43
51.47%
DY
Dycom
339.68
163.21
92.49%
PRIM
Primoris Services
124.85
47.54
61.49%
PWR
Quanta Services
413.17
100.05
31.95%
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure
297.62
134.10
82.01%
APG
APi Group
40.49
16.71
70.28%

MasTec Corporate Events

Financial Disclosures
MasTec Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, MasTec announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting record revenue of $4.0 billion, a 22% increase year-over-year, and a record 18-month backlog of $16.8 billion. The company exceeded its guidance expectations with a GAAP net income of $166.5 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $373.5 million. MasTec’s strong performance is attributed to robust customer demand across all segments, particularly in pipeline infrastructure, and efficient operating execution. The company has updated its financial guidance for the full year 2025, projecting continued double-digit growth in revenue and adjusted EBITDA, despite challenges in the Power Delivery segment.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTZ) stock is a Buy with a $265.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasTec stock, see the MTZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026