tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Mastec (MTZ)
NYSE:MTZ

MasTec (MTZ) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,551 Followers

Top Page

MTZ

MasTec

(NYSE:MTZ)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$325.00
▲(9.05% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/27/26
MTZ scores well primarily on improved financial strength (notably the much cleaner balance sheet) and upbeat, specific 2026 guidance backed by backlog. Technicals also support the uptrend, though overbought signals add near-term risk. The biggest offset is valuation, with a high P/E and no dividend yield provided.
Positive Factors
Backlog and Book-to-Bill
Material backlog growth and a 1.6x book-to-bill provide multi-quarter revenue visibility, supporting the 2026 growth plan. A larger backlog smooths project starts, aids workforce/equipment planning, and reduces near-term award timing risk while improving utilization and pricing leverage.
Balance Sheet Deleveraging
A sharply cleaner capital structure (debt-to-equity ~0.09) lowers financial risk, reduces interest burden, and expands capacity for disciplined tuck-in acquisitions and working-capital needs. This stronger balance sheet underpins sustainable bidding ability and long-term capital allocation flexibility.
Record Revenue and Profitability Rebound
Sustained top-line growth to record revenue and a meaningful rebound in earnings indicate durable demand across communications, pipeline, CE&I and power. Scale and improved execution support higher EBITDA dollars and stronger cash generation capacity over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Thin & Variable Margins
Overall profitability is improved but margins remain slim and segment margins fluctuate. Thin margins leave limited buffer versus cost inflation, bidding pressure, or execution setbacks, making sustained margin expansion sensitive to mix and operational consistency.
Working-Capital and Cash-Flow Volatility
Operating and free cash flow have shown meaningful year-to-year swings driven by working-capital timing. This variability complicates capital allocation, raises reliance on liquidity, and can constrain reinvestment or debt reduction if cash conversion weakens during busy growth phases.
Backlog Timing & Execution Risk
A book-and-burn backlog profile makes revenue and margin realization sensitive to award cadence and project timing. Even with large backlog, uneven award flow can create utilization gaps, compress margins in some quarters, and amplify sensitivity to permitting or scheduling delays.

MasTec (MTZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MasTec Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMasTec, Inc., an infrastructure construction company, provides engineering, building, installation, maintenance, and upgrade services for communications, energy, utility, and other infrastructure primarily in the United States and Canada. It operates through Communications, Clean Energy and Infrastructure, Oil and Gas, Power Delivery, and Other segments. The company builds underground and overhead distribution systems, including trenches, conduits, cell towers, cable, and power lines, which provide wireless and wireline/fiber communications; clean energy infrastructure comprising renewable energy; natural gas, product transport; electrical and gas transmission, and distribution systems; heavy industrial plants; compressor and pump stations, and treatment plants; water and sewer infrastructure, including water pipelines; and other civil construction infrastructure. It also installs electrical and other gas distribution and transmission systems, power generation facilities, buried and aerial fiber optic and other cables, as well as home automation and energy management solutions. In addition, the company offers maintenance and upgrade support services comprising maintenance of customers' distribution facilities, networks, and infrastructure, including communications, power generation, pipeline, electrical distribution and transmission, and heavy civil infrastructure; service restoration for natural disasters and accidents; and routine replacements and upgrades to overhauls. Its customers include public and private energy providers, pipeline operators, wireless and wireline/fiber service providers, broadband operators, install-to-the-home service providers, and government entities. MasTec, Inc. was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Coral Gables, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyMasTec generates revenue through a variety of channels, primarily by providing infrastructure services to clients in the telecommunications, energy, and transportation sectors. Key revenue streams include contracts for the construction and maintenance of telecommunications networks, installation of pipelines for oil and gas, and electric power transmission services. The company often engages in long-term contracts with major utility companies, telecommunications firms, and government agencies, ensuring a consistent revenue flow. Additionally, MasTec may benefit from strategic partnerships with leading technology and energy companies, which can enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach. Overall, the company's diverse service portfolio and focus on infrastructure development positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for reliable and modern infrastructure solutions.

MasTec Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strongly positive operational and financial momentum: record revenue, sizable backlog growth, solid EBITDA and EPS acceleration, ambitious 2026 guidance, strategic tuck-ins to expand capabilities, and a healthy balance sheet. Noted lowlights were mainly short-term margin pressure in certain segments (driven by start-up costs, mix, and timing/permitting delays) and working capital timing affecting 2025 cash flow. Given that the positives are broad, material, and underpinned by multi-year backlog and constructive guidance while lowlights are largely execution/timing related and management provided plans to address them, the overall tone is constructive and confident.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Strong Top-Line Growth
Q4 revenue was just shy of $4.0B, up 16% year-over-year; full-year 2025 revenue was $14.3B, also up 16% and a new company record.
Accelerating Profitability and EPS
Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $338M, up 25% year-over-year (full-year adjusted EBITDA $1.15B, +14%); adjusted EPS for Q4 was $2.07, a 44% increase versus $1.44 in the prior-year quarter.
Very Strong Backlog and Book-to-Bill
Full-year backlog grew by over $4.5B (+33% year-over-year); sequential backlog increased by over $2B with a 1.6x book-to-bill for the quarter.
Ambitious 2026 Guidance
Management guided 2026 revenue of ~$17B (~19% growth), adjusted EBITDA of $1.45B (8.5% margin, +26% profit growth) and adjusted EPS of $8.40 (~+30% vs 2025); cash from operations expected to exceed $1B.
Segment: Communications Outperformance
Communications Q4 revenue +23% year-over-year and full-year +32% organically; Q4 exceeded guidance by $139M and backlog totaled $5.5B (up 8% sequential, +20% year-over-year).
Segment: Pipeline Infrastructure Momentum
Pipeline Q4 revenue rose 50% year-over-year with Q4 EBITDA margin of 18.5% (310 bps sequential improvement); management expects continued volume and profit growth into 2026 and 2027.
Segment: Clean Energy & Infrastructure Strength
CE&I full-year revenue +15% with EBITDA margin improvement of 110 bps to 7.4%; total CE&I backlog increased 30% sequentially to $6.5B (53% YoY) and achieved a 2.1x book-to-bill in the quarter.
Power Delivery Backlog Record and Restart of Greenlink
Power Delivery Q4 revenue +13% and EBITDA +9% year-over-year; backlog ended at a record $5.6B (+17% YoY, +9% QoQ); permitting issues on Greenlink cleared and a restart was approved earlier than expected.
Strategic Acquisitions to Expand Capabilities
Acquired NV2A (construction management) and McKee Utility Contractors (water infrastructure) in Q4 to deepen construction management, data center and water infrastructure capabilities and support long-term growth.
Balance Sheet, Liquidity and Cash Generation
Ended year with ~ $2.1B total liquidity and net leverage of 1.7x (within policy); Q4 cash flow from operations $373M, free cash flow $306M; targeted ~70% EBITDA-to-cash conversion and >$1B cash from operations for 2026.
Negative Updates
Short-Term Margin Pressure in Communications
Q4 Communications EBITDA margin pulled back to ~8.5% from 9.0% year-over-year due in part to start-up costs on new programs and investments, producing a short-term drag on margins despite strong revenue growth.
Power Delivery Margin Headwinds in 2025
Power Delivery Q4 EBITDA margin was 8.2% vs 8.5% in 2024, affected by mix headwinds from lower storm-related revenue and permitting-related delays (Greenlink) that reduced project volumes through year-end.
CE&I Segment Margin Variability
CE&I Q4 EBITDA margin (7.2%) was below the prior-year period (8.3%) due to lack of favorable project closeouts from 2024 and increased proportion of lower-margin construction management work (data center CM activity) weighing on segment margins.
Working Capital and Cash Flow Timing Pressure
Full-year cash flow from operations ($546M) and free cash flow ($342M) were somewhat below prior guidance, driven by the revenue beat that increased working capital needs and higher capital expenditures to support growth.
Pipeline Backlog Nuance and Timing Risk
Management noted a slight sequential drop in pipeline backlog earlier in remarks (though later commentary emphasized improving visibility); pipeline remains book-and-burn in nature and timing of awards could affect near-term revenue phasing.
Short-Term Q1 Margin and Investment Drag
Q1 2026 guidance anticipates adjusted EBITDA margins just over 7% (despite a 22% revenue growth expectation), indicating continued near-term margin absorption as new programs and investments are ramped.
Company Guidance
MasTec guided 2026 revenue of $17.0 billion (≈19% growth vs. 2025; mid‑teens organic growth) with adjusted EBITDA of $1.45 billion (8.5% consolidated margin, ~26% EBITDA dollar growth and +50 bps margin expansion) and adjusted EPS of $8.40 (≈+30% vs. $6.55 in 2025). Management expects operating cash flow to exceed $1.0 billion (~70% EBITDA conversion), about $200 million of net capex, and assumes acquisitions will add ~ $500 million of revenue at high‑single‑digit EBITDA margins; Q1 2026 is guided to revenue +22% with adjusted EBITDA margin just over 7% (~+130 bps YoY), sequential revenue growth in Q2/Q3 (those quarters to be the year’s highest‑margin) and a seasonal Q4 decline. Segment margin assumptions include Communications in the low double digits, Pipeline in the mid‑teens, Power Delivery approaching double digits, and CE&I at high single digits (roughly flat given added construction‑management mix); balance sheet targets include maintaining strong liquidity and moving net leverage toward the low‑1x area from ~1.7x year‑end.

MasTec Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fundamentals are solid: revenue has grown steadily and profitability rebounded meaningfully from a 2023 loss to positive 2024–2025 earnings. The balance sheet is a standout with sharply improved leverage (very low debt-to-equity in 2025), but margins remain thin and cash flow has shown volatility year to year.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Revenue has grown steadily since 2020, with 2025 reaching ~$14.3B (+3.9% YoY) following a modest 2024 increase. Profitability has meaningfully improved from a 2023 loss to solid 2024–2025 earnings, with net margin rising to ~2.8% in 2025 (from ~1.3% in 2024 and negative in 2023). However, margins remain thin versus earlier peak levels (notably 2020–2021), and profitability has shown volatility across the cycle.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Leverage improved dramatically in 2025, with debt-to-equity dropping to ~0.09 (from ~0.90 in 2024 and >1.2 in 2022–2023), indicating a much cleaner capital structure. Equity has also grown over time, supporting balance-sheet resilience. A key watch-out is the sharp year-over-year change in reported debt (2024 to 2025), which suggests a major deleveraging event and can create comparability noise; still, the end-state balance sheet appears strong and return on equity rebounded to ~12% in 2025.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is healthy overall, with positive operating cash flow each year and 2025 free cash flow of ~$546M (up sharply versus 2024). Cash conversion improved in 2025, with free cash flow roughly matching net income (about 1.0x). The main weakness is volatility: 2024 operating and free cash flow were higher than 2025 despite lower earnings, and the provided coverage ratio trends lower in 2025 versus 2024, implying working-capital swings and less consistent cash-to-debt support year to year.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue14.30B12.30B12.00B9.78B7.95B
Gross Profit1.79B1.63B786.81M1.19B1.15B
EBITDA688.38M950.85M754.86M662.46M906.31M
Net Income399.04M162.79M-49.95M33.35M328.83M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.92B8.98B9.37B9.29B7.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.00399.90M529.56M370.59M360.74M
Total Debt292.84M2.63B3.50B3.51B2.29B
Total Liabilities6.59B5.99B6.65B6.55B4.58B
Stockholders Equity3.33B2.91B2.71B2.74B2.54B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow285.73M972.77M494.34M88.94M623.01M
Operating Cash Flow545.71M1.12B687.28M352.30M793.07M
Investing Cash Flow-267.25M-157.49M-178.06M-821.18M-1.36B
Financing Cash Flow-283.44M-1.09B-351.00M480.90M501.94M

MasTec Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price298.02
Price Trends
50DMA
244.50
Positive
100DMA
225.92
Positive
200DMA
201.30
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
13.79
Negative
RSI
74.37
Negative
STOCH
90.43
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MTZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 298.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 266.46, above the 50-day MA of 244.50, and above the 200-day MA of 201.30, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 13.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.37 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.43 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MTZ.

MasTec Risk Analysis

MasTec disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MasTec reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MasTec Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$12.16B41.3621.90%13.19%33.58%
76
Outperform
$84.25B82.8412.65%0.09%18.72%23.97%
76
Outperform
$13.12B45.6830.28%6.20%72.81%
74
Outperform
$23.51B58.7411.18%12.99%274.10%
74
Outperform
$8.15B30.0517.79%0.25%21.45%67.31%
71
Outperform
$19.36B9.50%10.69%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MTZ
MasTec
298.02
170.35
133.43%
DY
Dycom
420.02
259.00
160.85%
PRIM
Primoris Services
150.72
82.08
119.57%
PWR
Quanta Services
563.08
312.46
124.67%
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure
428.13
306.56
252.17%
APG
APi Group
44.46
19.53
78.32%

MasTec Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MasTec Reports Record 2025 Results, Guides Strong 2026 Growth
Positive
Feb 26, 2026

MasTec reported record fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results on February 26, 2026, with quarterly revenue up 16% year over year to $3.9 billion and full-year revenue rising 16% to $14.3 billion, both exceeding prior guidance. Earnings also surged, as GAAP net income climbed 81% in the quarter and 112% for the year, while adjusted EBITDA reached $338.2 million in the fourth quarter and $1.2 billion for 2025, supported by strong performance in pipeline, communications, power delivery, and a record 18‑month backlog of $19.0 billion.

Management highlighted broad-based demand across MasTec’s energy, communications, power and infrastructure markets and noted that all segments contributed to growth, including a 50% revenue jump in Pipeline Infrastructure and 23% growth in Communications in the fourth quarter of 2025. The company signaled confidence in the ongoing infrastructure cycle with initial 2026 guidance calling for 19% revenue growth and 26% adjusted EBITDA growth, underpinned by a strong balance sheet and a capital allocation strategy aimed at sustaining expansion and enhancing shareholder value.

The most recent analyst rating on (MTZ) stock is a Buy with a $260.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MasTec stock, see the MTZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 27, 2026