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Jacobs Solutions (J)
NYSE:J

Jacobs Solutions (J) AI Stock Analysis

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Jacobs Solutions

(NYSE:J)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$158.00
â–²(14.55% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/05/26
The score is driven primarily by strong cash flow and a constructive earnings outlook with raised FY2026 guidance and record backlog, which offset weaker profitability versus FY2024 and a less conservative balance-sheet trend. Technicals are moderately supportive, while valuation (high P/E and low yield) is the biggest constraint on the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow strength
Sustained, high-quality cash generation (TTM FCF growth ~44% and FCF roughly 0.88x net income) provides durable financial flexibility. It supports investment, dividend increases and share returns, cushions execution volatility, and funds integration of strategic acquisitions without immediate dilutive financing.
Record backlog and award visibility
A record $26.3B backlog and book‑to‑bill above 1.0 indicate multiquarter revenue visibility and strong win momentum across end markets. This backlog underpins predictable top-line conversion, supports multi-year resource planning, and reduces near‑term revenue volatility from discrete project timing.
Strategic PA Consulting acquisition
Full ownership of PA deepens high‑margin advisory, digital and AI capabilities, which structurally raises mix toward higher‑value services. Accretive economics and targeted synergies should lift adjusted margins and enhance long‑term differentiation in digital, life sciences and critical infrastructure markets.
Negative Factors
Material margin compression
Net margin decline from ~7.0% to ~2.4% reflects weaker bottom‑line conversion and removes a sizable profitability cushion. Lower margins constrain reinvestment and capital returns, making the company more sensitive to cost inflation, pass‑through mix and execution setbacks until structural recovery of margins occurs.
Rising leverage and thinner equity cushion
An upward trend in leverage and falling equity reduce financial flexibility and increase sensitivity to cash‑timing shocks. The PA acquisition temporarily elevates net leverage above targets, narrowing room for opportunistic investment or additional buybacks during cyclical slowdowns before leverage normalizes.
Pass‑through mix and project complexity risk
A greater share of pass‑through revenue and larger, more complex programs elevates execution, margin and working capital variability. Even with subcontractor risk transfer, these structural program dynamics can dilute realized margins, extend cash conversion cycles and raise the probability of contract disputes or schedule delays.

Jacobs Solutions (J) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Jacobs Solutions Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionJacobs Solutions Inc. engages in the infrastructure and advanced facilities, and consulting businesses in the United States, Europe, Canada, India, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, the Middle East, and Africa. The company offers consulting, planning, architecture, design, engineering, and infrastructure delivery services including project, program, and construction management and long-term operation of facilities. It also provides consulting services for consumer and manufacturing, defense and security, energy and utilities, financial services, government, health and life sciences, and transport sectors. The company was founded in 1947 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyJacobs Solutions generates revenue through a diversified business model that includes project-based contracts, long-term service agreements, and consulting fees. Key revenue streams come from government contracts, commercial projects, and partnerships with private sector clients across various industries. The company often collaborates with public entities and private firms to secure large-scale projects, which contribute significantly to its earnings. Additionally, Jacobs Solutions benefits from its extensive global network and reputation, allowing it to capture new business opportunities and maintain steady cash flow.

Jacobs Solutions Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Jacobs Solutions Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a strong operating quarter with multiple positive datapoints: record backlog (+21% to $26.3B), double‑digit adjusted EPS growth (+15%), raised FY2026 guidance (revenue, EPS, and FCF margin), robust free cash flow ($365M) and strategic ownership consolidation of PA Consulting (high margins and accretive synergies). The key near‑term negatives were mostly timing and structural (higher pass‑through revenue on some large wins, a Q2 cash timing/tax reversal, temporary leverage uptick from the PA deal, and lingering environmental services headwinds). Overall, the favorable metrics, upgraded guidance, strong cash generation and strategic rationale for the PA acquisition outweigh the largely manageable or temporary lowlights.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Backlog and Strong Book-to-Bill
Consolidated backlog grew 21% year‑over‑year to a record $26.3 billion; trailing twelve‑month book‑to‑bill rose to 1.4x and quarterly book‑to‑bill strengthened to 2.0x, indicating robust award activity and revenue visibility.
Earnings and Revenue Growth
Adjusted EPS increased 15% year‑over‑year to $1.53. Gross revenue rose 12% YoY and adjusted net revenue grew over 8% YoY. Q1 adjusted EBITDA was $303 million (up >7%) with an adjusted EBITDA margin of ~13.4%.
Upgraded FY2026 Guidance
Management raised fiscal 2026 outlook: adjusted net revenue growth to 6.5%–10.0% YoY, adjusted EPS range to $6.95–$7.30 (implying ~16% YoY growth in adjusted EPS at midpoint), and free cash flow margin to 7.0%–8.5%; adjusted EBITDA margin guidance unchanged at 14.4%–14.7%.
PA Consulting Performance and Strategic Acquisition
PA Consulting operating profit rose 27% on 16% revenue growth with a strong operating margin of 24% (22% modeling benchmark). Company announced agreement to acquire remaining stake in PA, expecting the deal to be accretive to adjusted EPS within 12 months and to deliver $16–$20 million of projected cost synergies starting to phase in FY2026.
Strong Free Cash Flow and Capital Returns
Q1 free cash flow was $365 million, enabling an increase in share repurchases and a raised quarterly dividend from $0.32 to $0.36 (a 12.5% increase). Management reiterated intent to return at least 60% of free cash flow to shareholders.
Robust End‑Market Performance and High‑Value Awards
Life sciences & advanced manufacturing net revenue grew 10% YoY; critical infrastructure net revenue increased 8% YoY; water & environmental improved sequentially to 4% growth. Notable awards: Bolivar Roads Gate System (major storm surge barrier), Hut 8 Riverbend AI HPC data center, and $1.6 billion Cleveland Hopkins modernization program—demonstrating wins across water, data centers, and critical infrastructure.
Digital, AI and Delivery Differentiation
Strengthening digital capabilities (digital twins, Acuity predictive analytics) and AI advisory—augmented by PA—are driving differentiation, higher award win‑rates (especially in data centers and semiconductors), productivity gains and higher‑velocity private‑sector bookings.
Negative Updates
Higher Pass‑Through Revenue Impacting Net‑Revenue Mix
Several large life sciences/data center awards carry higher than normal pass‑through revenue, which can inflate gross revenue but moderates adjusted net revenue growth; management noted gross profit in backlog rose 15% YoY to reflect underlying sales strength despite pass‑through dynamics.
Free Cash Flow Timing and Q2 Tax Payment
Q1 free cash flow benefitted from a favorable cash timing item and strong working capital performance; management cautioned this timing item will reverse in Q2 and also flagged a cash tax payment in Q2, creating short‑term cash timing headwinds.
Temporary Leverage Increase from PA Acquisition
Acquiring the remaining PA stake will raise net leverage to slightly above the high end of the company's 1.0–1.5x target range upon closing; management expects to return to target leverage within a year, but the move creates a near‑term leverage uptick.
Environmental Services Softness (Near‑Term)
Environmental end‑market experienced headwinds in the prior year with net revenue only modestly improving; management expects a recovery in the environmental business in the second half of FY2026, citing improving pipeline and government/state program activity.
Nonrecurring Margin Tailwind Absent This Year
Management noted they absorbed less PTO last year which created a margin tailwind that did not recur in the current period, representing a nonrecurring comparability headwind to Q1 margins.
Project Size, Complexity and Pass‑Through/Subcontractor Exposure
Projects are becoming larger and more complex with longer gestation; while Jacobs states risk profile and EPCM delivery model remain consistent and they flow risk to subcontractors, larger program scale and pass‑through elements can increase near‑term execution and visibility risks.
Company Guidance
Management raised FY‑2026 guidance, increasing adjusted net revenue growth to 6.5–10% YoY, adjusted EPS to $6.95–$7.30 (midpoint implying >16% YoY EPS growth), and free cash flow margin to 7–8.5%, while maintaining an adjusted EBITDA margin range of 14.4–14.7%. For Q2 they expect adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.8–14.0% and roughly 6.5% YoY net revenue growth. The guidance excludes the announced purchase of the remaining PA Consulting stake (expected to be EPS‑accretive within 12 months and to deliver $16–20M of cost synergies beginning in FY‑2026); net leverage is currently just below 0.8x LTM adjusted EBITDA and will rise slightly above the 1.0–1.5x target on close before returning to range within a year. Management cited strong Q1 metrics—$365M free cash flow, $303M adjusted EBITDA (13.4% margin), adjusted EPS of $1.53 (+15%), backlog up 21% to $26.3B and TTM book‑to‑bill of 1.4x—as the basis for the higher outlook and reiterated capital returns (quarterly dividend raised to $0.36, +12.5%, and a plan to return at least 60% of free cash flow).

Jacobs Solutions Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong cash generation is the key strength (TTM free cash flow up ~44% and solid cash conversion), helping offset weaker profitability versus FY2024 (net margin ~2.4% vs ~7.0%). Balance sheet is serviceable but trending less conservative with higher leverage and lower equity.
Income Statement
66
Positive
TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue is up ~3.0%, showing modest top-line momentum, and gross margin is steady around ~25%. Profitability, however, has compressed versus FY2024: net margin is ~2.4% in both TTM and FY2025 versus ~7.0% in FY2024, and operating profitability is also lower than FY2024 levels. Overall, the income statement reflects stable demand but weaker bottom-line conversion compared with prior-year peak profitability.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Leverage is moderate with debt-to-equity around ~0.74 in TTM/FY2025, but it has moved up from the ~0.55–0.60 range in FY2023–FY2024, indicating a less conservative capital structure. Equity has trended down from prior years, which reduces balance-sheet cushion, and returns on equity are modest in TTM (~7.3%) versus stronger FY2024 levels. Overall, the balance sheet looks serviceable, but the direction of leverage and equity is a watch item.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation is a clear positive: TTM operating cash flow (~$0.96B) and free cash flow (~$0.88B) are strong, with TTM free cash flow growth up ~44%. Free cash flow is well-supported relative to earnings (free cash flow is ~0.88x net income), suggesting good cash conversion. The main weakness is variability year-to-year (FY2025 free cash flow decline versus FY2024), but the latest TTM shows a notable rebound.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.39B12.03B11.50B10.85B9.78B14.09B
Gross Profit3.03B2.98B2.83B2.71B2.58B3.04B
EBITDA1.08B926.84M1.26B996.31M878.74M1.02B
Net Income435.76M290.25M806.09M665.78M644.04M477.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.61B11.25B11.76B14.62B14.66B14.63B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.55B1.24B1.89B770.85M1.14B1.01B
Total Debt2.96B2.71B2.75B3.47B4.17B3.82B
Total Liabilities7.07B6.59B6.37B7.38B7.92B8.00B
Stockholders Equity3.44B3.64B4.55B6.55B6.06B5.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow875.29M607.47M933.56M837.28M347.09M633.46M
Operating Cash Flow960.01M686.70M1.05B974.76M474.71M726.28M
Investing Cash Flow-87.67M-75.29M-127.19M-145.66M-538.42M-1.38B
Financing Cash Flow-692.41M-525.22M-751.64M-1.09B320.23M798.98M

Jacobs Solutions Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price137.93
Price Trends
50DMA
137.43
Positive
100DMA
143.62
Negative
200DMA
139.88
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.10
Positive
RSI
48.61
Neutral
STOCH
49.18
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For J, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 137.93 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 139.13, above the 50-day MA of 137.43, and below the 200-day MA of 139.88, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.18 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for J.

Jacobs Solutions Risk Analysis

Jacobs Solutions disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Jacobs Solutions reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Jacobs Solutions Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$19.22B122.248.71%―10.69%―
76
Outperform
$77.44B76.3712.65%0.09%18.72%23.97%
72
Outperform
$9.64B27.7219.90%0.74%4.69%-24.37%
70
Outperform
$16.62B38.8312.01%0.94%-23.00%-61.88%
69
Neutral
$12.33B21.8927.11%1.06%0.21%53.80%
66
Neutral
$20.84B65.5311.18%―12.99%274.10%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
J
Jacobs Solutions
137.93
12.08
9.60%
ACM
Aecom Technology
97.89
3.17
3.34%
MTZ
MasTec
283.86
158.36
126.18%
PWR
Quanta Services
552.66
293.60
113.33%
TTEK
Tetra Tech
36.32
6.51
21.85%
APG
APi Group
44.64
18.50
70.77%

Jacobs Solutions Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividends
Jacobs Solutions Updates Board Committees and Raises Dividend
Positive
Feb 3, 2026

On January 29, 2026, Jacobs Solutions’ board implemented changes to its board committee structures, including adding Diane Bryant and Julie Sloat to the Audit Committee while removing Priya Abani and Michael Collins, reshuffling membership and leadership of the Human Resource and Compensation Committee following the retirement of Peter Robertson, and appointing Collins to the Sustainability and Risk Committee after Robertson’s departure. Also on January 29, 2026, the board approved a 12.5% increase in the company’s quarterly cash dividend to $0.36 per share, payable on March 20, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 20, 2026, signaling a strengthened capital-return stance to investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (J) stock is a Hold with a $137.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jacobs Solutions stock, see the J Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Jacobs Solutions to Fully Acquire UK’s PA Consulting
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 2, 2026, Jacobs Solutions agreed to acquire, through its UK subsidiary, all remaining shares in UK-based PA Consulting that it does not already own, in a deal valuing PA at about £3.05 billion and giving Jacobs full ownership of the innovation and transformation consultancy. The upfront consideration for the remaining stake, unanimously approved by Jacobs’ board and PA’s stakeholder representatives, will be roughly £1.216 billion paid 80% in cash and 20% in Jacobs stock, with a further £75 million in deferred share- or cash-based consideration due on the second anniversary of closing, and the transaction is expected to complete by the end of Jacobs’ fiscal second quarter of 2026, subject to a UK scheme of arrangement, court and regulatory approvals in the UK and Denmark. By consolidating PA, Jacobs aims to strengthen its position in higher-margin advisory, digital and AI-driven transformation markets, deepen its presence in resilient sectors such as advanced manufacturing, life sciences and critical infrastructure, streamline governance and unlock cost synergies of £12–15 million within 24 months after closing, with management indicating that full ownership would lift adjusted EBITDA margins and be accretive to adjusted EPS in the first year post-close.

The most recent analyst rating on (J) stock is a Buy with a $163.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jacobs Solutions stock, see the J Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Jacobs Solutions Expands Board with Tech Executive
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

On November 18, 2025, Jacobs Solutions Inc. expanded its Board of Directors by appointing Diane Bryant, a seasoned technology executive with extensive experience in the semiconductor, cloud computing, and AI sectors. Her appointment underscores Jacobs’ strategic emphasis on innovation and digital transformation, aligning with the company’s commitment to addressing complex challenges through technology-enabled solutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (J) stock is a Buy with a $157.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Jacobs Solutions stock, see the J Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 05, 2026