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Comfort Systems USA (FIX)
NYSE:FIX
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Comfort Systems (FIX) AI Stock Analysis

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FIX

Comfort Systems

(NYSE:FIX)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$770.00
▲(11.62% Upside)
Comfort Systems USA receives a strong overall score driven by excellent financial performance and positive earnings call insights. Technical analysis suggests a cautious approach due to potential overbought conditions. Valuation metrics indicate overvaluation risks, which should be weighed against strong growth prospects and positive market sentiment.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
2Q25 revenue was ahead of expectations and increased 20% year-over-year.
Technology Market Performance
The technology end market increased 66% year-over-year and accounted for 43% of sales, primarily due to data centers.
Negative Factors
Market Reaction
Despite the quite strong quarterly performance, a negative share price reaction was due to a number of factors including general market weakness and high expectations.

Comfort Systems (FIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comfort Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComfort Systems (FIX) is a leading provider of HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning) services, specializing in the design, installation, and maintenance of climate control systems across various sectors, including residential, commercial, and industrial markets. The company focuses on delivering high-quality, energy-efficient solutions that enhance indoor air quality and comfort. With a commitment to innovation and customer satisfaction, Comfort Systems offers a range of products and services designed to meet the evolving needs of its clients.
How the Company Makes MoneyComfort Systems generates revenue primarily through the installation and servicing of HVAC systems. Key revenue streams include residential HVAC services, commercial system installations, and ongoing maintenance contracts for both new and existing clients. Additionally, the company benefits from energy efficiency upgrades and retrofitting projects, which are increasingly in demand as businesses and homeowners seek to reduce energy costs. Significant partnerships with manufacturers of HVAC equipment and technology providers also contribute to its earnings, enabling Comfort Systems to offer cutting-edge products and solutions to its customers.

Comfort Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Comfort Systems USA's outstanding financial performance, with record revenue, profit growth, and backlog. The acquisition and dividend increase further underline the company's strong position. However, there are concerns about economic uncertainty and tariff impacts. Despite these, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Quarterly revenue exceeded $2 billion for the first time, with an earnings per share increase of 75% year-over-year to $6.53. Revenue for Q2 2025 was $2.2 billion, a 20% increase compared to last year.
Strong Segment Performance
Electric segment revenue grew by 49%, while Mechanical segment revenue increased by 13%. Gross profit margins also improved significantly, with Electrical segment margins increasing to 25.3% from 23.6% a year ago.
Record Backlog Growth
Backlog at the end of Q2 reached a new high of $8.1 billion, a year-over-year increase of 41% and a sequential increase of 18%.
Acquisition and Dividend Increase
Acquired Right Way Plumbing, expected to contribute $60-70 million in annual revenue. Increased quarterly dividend by $0.05 to $0.50 per share.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow for Q2 2025 was $222 million, with EBITDA reaching $334 million, a 50% increase from the same quarter last year.
Negative Updates
Economic Uncertainty and Tariff Ambiguity
Despite strong performance, there was mention of a backdrop of tariff ambiguity and economic uncertainty, which could affect future operations.
Challenges in Manufacturing Revenue
Manufacturing revenues declined modestly as the company shifted focus to technology-related projects.
Company Guidance
During the Q2 2025 earnings call, Comfort Systems USA provided robust guidance, highlighting a record-breaking quarterly revenue exceeding $2 billion and an unprecedented earnings per share of $6.53, marking a 75% increase from the previous year. The company also reported a significant backlog of $8.1 billion, supported by strong bookings and demand, particularly in the technology sector. The Mechanical and Electrical segments experienced notable growth, with revenue increases of 13% and 49% respectively, while service revenue rose by double digits. Gross profit was $510 million, reflecting a gross profit percentage of 23.5%, up from 20.1% a year earlier. Operating income surged by over 60% to $300 million, translating to an operating income percentage of 13.8%. The company maintained a 20.7% year-to-date tax rate, which was lower in Q1 due to a $118 million IRS refund. Comfort Systems USA also announced the acquisition of Right Way Plumbing and increased its quarterly dividend to $0.50 per share, signaling continued confidence in future growth and profitability.

Comfort Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comfort Systems exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue and profit growth, supported by solid operational margins. The balance sheet is healthy with low debt levels and increasing equity. Cash flows are consistently positive, enhancing the company's operational and growth prospects, although some metrics show room for improvement.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Comfort Systems has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a notable increase from $2.86 billion in 2020 to $7.68 billion TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) in 2025. Gross profit and net profit margins are robust, showing efficiency in managing costs. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved consistently, reflecting better operational performance. Revenue growth rate has been impressive year-on-year, indicating a strong market position.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio, showing prudent financial leverage. Stockholders' equity has been increasing, supporting a strong equity ratio. However, the return on equity, while positive, indicates room for improvement in efficiently utilizing shareholders' funds.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flows have been consistently positive and growing, allowing for substantial free cash flow after capital expenditures. The free cash flow to net income ratio suggests effective cash generation relative to earnings. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio has seen some fluctuations, highlighting potential variations in cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.68B7.03B5.21B4.14B3.07B2.86B
Gross Profit1.73B1.48B990.51M741.61M563.21M546.98M
EBITDA990.83M818.69M497.65M352.45M282.51M276.90M
Net Income692.24M522.43M323.40M245.95M143.35M150.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.06B4.71B3.31B2.60B2.21B1.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments331.71M549.94M205.15M57.21M58.78M54.90M
Total Debt283.65M308.60M256.77M389.14M514.78M332.89M
Total Liabilities3.09B3.01B2.03B1.60B1.40B1.06B
Stockholders Equity1.97B1.70B1.28B999.92M805.67M696.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow560.97M737.99M544.73M253.17M157.82M262.38M
Operating Cash Flow677.19M849.06M639.57M301.53M180.15M286.51M
Investing Cash Flow-244.06M-343.51M-193.01M-97.18M-246.72M-207.80M
Financing Cash Flow-300.83M-160.76M-298.62M-205.91M70.45M-74.60M

Comfort Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price689.86
Price Trends
50DMA
574.15
Positive
100DMA
486.71
Positive
200DMA
456.95
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
40.65
Positive
RSI
66.44
Neutral
STOCH
55.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 689.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 658.76, above the 50-day MA of 574.15, and above the 200-day MA of 456.95, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 40.65 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 66.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FIX.

Comfort Systems Risk Analysis

Comfort Systems disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comfort Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comfort Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$28.32B26.2538.14%0.16%13.77%37.96%
79
Outperform
$16.01B24.5828.17%0.83%1.50%164.17%
78
Outperform
$14.72B104.848.26%7.59%
74
Outperform
$24.34B35.4540.09%0.25%26.33%63.32%
74
Outperform
$12.29B21.5226.41%-0.77%4.34%
72
Outperform
$14.05B52.829.38%7.08%3273.27%
65
Neutral
€1.65B5.977.15%3.60%0.26%-31.25%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIX
Comfort Systems
689.86
360.45
109.42%
ACM
Aecom Technology
120.12
24.58
25.73%
EME
EMCOR Group
609.75
243.95
66.69%
MTZ
MasTec
178.00
67.20
60.65%
BLD
TopBuild
436.89
64.77
17.41%
APG
APi Group
35.06
12.25
53.70%

Comfort Systems Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Comfort Systems Releases Investor Presentation July 2025
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Comfort Systems USA, Inc. released an investor presentation on its website, which includes non-GAAP financial measures to provide supplemental insights into its core business performance. The company emphasizes that these measures should not replace GAAP results. The presentation highlights the company’s strong market presence in sectors such as technology, life sciences, and healthcare, and discusses its financial strength, including positive cash flow and increased dividends. The company also outlines its commitment to sustainability and employee well-being, showcasing initiatives like the Talent Advisory Group and comprehensive support programs for employees.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIX) stock is a Buy with a $370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comfort Systems stock, see the FIX Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
Comfort Systems Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Comfort Systems USA reported its second quarter results for the period ending June 30, 2025, showcasing a significant increase in net income and revenue compared to the previous year. The company achieved a net income of $230.8 million, or $6.53 per diluted share, a substantial rise from $134.0 million, or $3.74 per diluted share, in the second quarter of 2024. Revenue also increased to $2.17 billion from $1.81 billion in the previous year. The company’s backlog as of June 30, 2025, reached $8.12 billion, reflecting strong market demand and a robust pipeline, which positions Comfort Systems USA optimistically for continued success into 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIX) stock is a Buy with a $370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comfort Systems stock, see the FIX Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsStock Buyback
Comfort Systems Expands Stock Repurchase Program
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Comfort Systems USA held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders, achieving a 92.05% quorum. The meeting included the election of board members, ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm, and an advisory vote on executive compensation. Additionally, on May 22, 2025, the company announced an amendment to its stock repurchase program, allowing for the acquisition of up to 1,000,000 additional shares. This move aims to enhance shareholder value and is expected to be financed with available cash, with repurchases made at the company’s discretion based on market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIX) stock is a Buy with a $370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comfort Systems stock, see the FIX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 30, 2025