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Comfort Systems USA (FIX)
NYSE:FIX
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Comfort Systems (FIX) AI Stock Analysis

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FIX

Comfort Systems

(NYSE:FIX)

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Outperform 80 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$1,128.00
▲(17.77% Upside)
Comfort Systems USA demonstrates strong financial performance and positive earnings call results, driving a high overall score. The technical analysis suggests strong momentum, though valuation concerns slightly temper the outlook. The company's strategic acquisitions and backlog growth further support its positive future prospects.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth reflects strong demand and effective execution, indicating a robust market position and potential for continued expansion.
Backlog Growth
A growing backlog suggests sustained demand and future revenue visibility, supporting long-term business stability and growth prospects.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns, underpinning long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Increased SG&A Expenses
Rising SG&A expenses could pressure margins if not managed effectively, potentially impacting profitability and operational efficiency over time.
Challenges in Manufacturing Revenue
A decline in manufacturing revenue may indicate competitive pressures or shifting market dynamics, potentially affecting segment performance.
Industry Challenges
Ongoing industry challenges could pose risks to growth and profitability, requiring strategic adaptation to maintain competitive advantage.

Comfort Systems (FIX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Comfort Systems Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionComfort Systems USA, Inc. provides mechanical and electrical installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services for the mechanical and electrical services industry in the United States. It engages in the design, engineering, integration, installation, and start-up of mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) systems; and renovation, expansion, maintenance, monitoring, repair, and replacement of existing buildings. The company offers its services for heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, as well as plumbing, piping and controls, off-site construction, electrical, monitoring, and fire protection. It serves building owners and developers, general contractors, architects, consulting engineers, and property managers in the commercial, industrial, and institutional MEP markets. Comfort Systems USA, Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyComfort Systems generates revenue primarily through the installation and servicing of HVAC systems. Key revenue streams include residential HVAC services, commercial system installations, and ongoing maintenance contracts for both new and existing clients. Additionally, the company benefits from energy efficiency upgrades and retrofitting projects, which are increasingly in demand as businesses and homeowners seek to reduce energy costs. Significant partnerships with manufacturers of HVAC equipment and technology providers also contribute to its earnings, enabling Comfort Systems to offer cutting-edge products and solutions to its customers.

Comfort Systems Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 28, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Comfort Systems USA reported a strong third quarter with record earnings and significant revenue growth across segments, driven by robust backlog and strategic acquisitions. While there are some challenges in managing increased SG&A expenses and a decline in manufacturing revenues, the overall outlook remains positive due to strong demand and effective capital allocation.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Earnings per Share
Comfort Systems USA earned $8.25 per share in Q3 2025, which is double the earnings from the same quarter last year.
Significant Revenue Growth
Q3 2025 revenue increased by 35% to $2.5 billion, with the electrical segment revenue growing by 71% and mechanical revenue by 26%.
Remarkable Backlog Growth
The backlog reached a new high of $9.4 billion, a 65% year-over-year increase, with $3.7 billion more backlog than last year at this time.
Strong Free Cash Flow
Quarterly free cash flow was over $500 million, with $519 million generated in Q3 2025 and year-to-date free cash flow of $632 million.
Successful Acquisitions
Acquisition of FZ Electrical and Meisner Electric, adding over $200 million in incremental annual revenue and $15-$20 million of annual EBITDA.
Increased Dividend
The quarterly dividend was increased by 20% to $0.60 per share.
Negative Updates
Increased SG&A Expenses
SG&A expenses rose to $230 million, representing 9.4% of revenue, compared to 9.9% of revenue in Q3 2024, mainly from investments in people.
Challenges in Manufacturing Revenue
Manufacturing revenues declined on a percentage basis, although demand remains good but overshadowed by more compelling data center opportunities.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Comfort Systems USA reported impressive financial results, driven by strong demand and exceptional execution. The company achieved an earnings per share (EPS) of $8.25, which is a significant increase from the previous year's EPS of $4.09. Revenue for the quarter reached $2.5 billion, marking a 35% increase year-over-year, with the electrical segment growing by 71% and the mechanical segment by 26%. The company also reported a record backlog of $9.4 billion, a $3.7 billion increase from the same period last year. Comfort Systems USA saw a 74% rise in quarterly EBITDA to $414 million, contributing to a trailing 12-month EBITDA of $1.25 billion. Free cash flow for the quarter was $519 million, bolstered by strong bookings and favorable project developments. The company also announced a 20% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.60 per share and the acquisition of two companies, FZ Electrical and Meisner Electric, which are expected to add over $200 million in annual revenue. Despite industry challenges, Comfort Systems USA remains optimistic about continued growth and strong performance in 2025 and 2026, driven by ongoing strength in industrial and technology sectors.

Comfort Systems Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Comfort Systems exhibits robust financial performance with strong revenue growth, improving profit margins, and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet is healthy with low leverage and high return on equity, indicating financial stability and effective asset management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Comfort Systems has demonstrated strong revenue growth with an 8.31% increase in the TTM, supported by improving gross and net profit margins. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also shown positive trends, indicating efficient operational management. The company's consistent revenue growth trajectory over the years highlights its robust market position.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial structure with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.18 in the TTM, indicating prudent leverage management. Return on equity is impressive at 43.59%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio remains stable, suggesting a strong asset base relative to liabilities.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant 42.39% growth in free cash flow, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, reflecting efficient conversion of earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue8.32B7.03B5.21B4.14B3.07B2.86B
Gross Profit1.95B1.48B990.51M741.61M563.21M546.98M
EBITDA1.18B817.10M478.63M329.30M264.20M259.18M
Net Income837.62M522.43M323.40M245.95M143.35M150.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.78B4.71B3.31B2.60B2.21B1.76B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments881.22M549.94M205.15M57.21M58.78M54.90M
Total Debt423.74M308.60M256.77M389.14M514.78M332.89M
Total Liabilities3.54B3.01B2.03B1.60B1.40B1.06B
Stockholders Equity2.23B1.70B1.28B999.92M805.67M696.43M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow798.79M737.99M544.73M253.17M157.82M262.38M
Operating Cash Flow928.28M849.06M639.57M301.53M180.15M286.51M
Investing Cash Flow-275.49M-343.51M-193.01M-97.18M-246.72M-207.80M
Financing Cash Flow-207.85M-160.76M-298.62M-205.91M70.45M-74.60M

Comfort Systems Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price957.78
Price Trends
50DMA
827.06
Positive
100DMA
718.08
Positive
200DMA
560.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
46.81
Negative
RSI
60.14
Neutral
STOCH
57.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FIX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 957.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 901.87, above the 50-day MA of 827.06, and above the 200-day MA of 560.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 46.81 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 60.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FIX.

Comfort Systems Risk Analysis

Comfort Systems disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Comfort Systems reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Comfort Systems Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$33.72B40.4843.84%0.21%27.71%80.54%
74
Outperform
$29.30B26.3237.10%0.15%14.11%26.26%
73
Outperform
$7.47B1.95102.24%3.62%943.43%
70
Outperform
$6.92B25.3018.56%0.25%21.45%67.31%
70
Neutral
$11.76B20.6026.18%-1.28%-0.66%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
48
Neutral
$428.61M-14.39-16.33%17.16%24.10%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FIX
Comfort Systems
957.78
497.43
108.05%
EME
EMCOR Group
653.75
140.61
27.40%
FLR
Fluor
44.58
-6.35
-12.47%
MTRX
Matrix Service Company
12.66
-0.35
-2.69%
PRIM
Primoris Services
126.58
45.27
55.68%
BLD
TopBuild
405.71
36.82
9.98%

Comfort Systems Corporate Events

Comfort Systems USA Reports Record Q3 Earnings
Oct 25, 2025

Comfort Systems USA’s latest earnings call painted a picture of robust growth and strategic success. The company reported record earnings and significant revenue growth across its segments, driven by a strong backlog and strategic acquisitions. Despite some challenges with increased SG&A expenses and a decline in manufacturing revenues, the overall sentiment was positive, highlighting strong demand and effective capital allocation as key drivers for future growth.

Financial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Comfort Systems Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 23, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Comfort Systems USA announced its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a significant increase in net income to $291.6 million and revenue to $2.45 billion compared to the same period in 2024. The company also achieved a record backlog of $9.38 billion and completed the acquisition of two electrical companies, enhancing its market presence and anticipating over $200 million in additional annual revenue.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIX) stock is a Buy with a $954.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comfort Systems stock, see the FIX Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Comfort Systems Expands Credit Facility to $1.1 Billion
Neutral
Sep 2, 2025

On August 27, 2025, Comfort Systems USA, Inc. entered into an amended and restated senior secured revolving credit facility with Wells Fargo Bank and a syndicate of lenders, increasing its revolving line of credit from $850 million to $1.1 billion. This new facility, which matures on October 1, 2030, includes options for further credit increases and imposes financial covenants on the company, potentially impacting its financial flexibility and strategic operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIX) stock is a Buy with a $802.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comfort Systems stock, see the FIX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Comfort Systems Releases Investor Presentation July 2025
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 29, 2025, Comfort Systems USA, Inc. released an investor presentation on its website, which includes non-GAAP financial measures to provide supplemental insights into its core business performance. The company emphasizes that these measures should not replace GAAP results. The presentation highlights the company’s strong market presence in sectors such as technology, life sciences, and healthcare, and discusses its financial strength, including positive cash flow and increased dividends. The company also outlines its commitment to sustainability and employee well-being, showcasing initiatives like the Talent Advisory Group and comprehensive support programs for employees.

The most recent analyst rating on (FIX) stock is a Buy with a $370.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Comfort Systems stock, see the FIX Stock Forecast page.

Comfort Systems USA Reports Record Earnings and Growth
Jul 29, 2025

Comfort Systems USA’s recent earnings call exuded a predominantly positive sentiment, underscoring the company’s exceptional financial performance. The call highlighted record-breaking revenue and profit growth, alongside a substantial backlog, which collectively emphasize the company’s robust market position. Despite some concerns regarding economic uncertainty and tariff impacts, the overall sentiment was overwhelmingly optimistic, with positive developments far outweighing potential challenges.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 26, 2025