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EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME)
NYSE:EME

EMCOR Group (EME) AI Stock Analysis

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EME

EMCOR Group

(NYSE:EME)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$702.00
▲(12.13% Upside)
EMCOR Group's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment as the most significant factors. Technical analysis and valuation present some concerns, with the stock appearing overvalued and showing bearish technical signals. The appointment of a new board member is a positive corporate event, but its impact is limited.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business execution, supporting long-term financial stability and expansion.
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition aligns with EMCOR's growth strategy, enhancing its service capabilities and market reach, potentially driving future revenue and profitability.
Strong Operating Margins
Sustained high operating margins reflect efficient cost management and operational effectiveness, contributing to long-term profitability and competitive advantage.
Negative Factors
Industrial Services Challenges
Challenges in the Industrial Services segment could hinder revenue growth and operational efficiency, impacting overall business performance if not addressed.
High-Tech Manufacturing RPO Decrease
A decrease in high-tech manufacturing RPOs may signal reduced future revenue in this segment, affecting growth prospects if not countered by new contracts.
Impact on Margins
Margin pressures from new market investments and amortization could reduce profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain margin stability.

EMCOR Group (EME) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EMCOR Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEMCOR Group, Inc. provides electrical and mechanical construction, and facilities services primarily in the United States and the United Kingdom. It offers design, integration, installation, starts-up, operation, and maintenance services related to electrical power transmission, distribution, and generation systems; energy solutions; premises electrical and lighting systems; process instrumentation in the refining, chemical processing, and food processing industries; low-voltage systems, such as fire alarm, security, and process control systems; voice and data communications systems; roadway and transit lighting, signaling, and fiber optic lines; heating, ventilation, air conditioning, refrigeration, and geothermal solutions; clean-room process ventilation systems; fire protection and suppression systems; plumbing, process, and high-purity piping systems; controls and filtration systems; water and wastewater treatment systems; central plant heating and cooling systems; crane and rigging services; millwright services; and steel fabrication, erection, and welding services. The company also provides building services that cover commercial and government site-based operations and maintenance; facility management, maintenance, and services; outage services to utilities and industrial plants; military base operations support services; mobile mechanical maintenance and services; services for indoor air quality; floor care and janitorial services; landscaping, lot sweeping, and snow removal services; vendor management and call center services; installation and support for building systems; program development, management, and maintenance for energy systems; technical consulting and diagnostic services; infrastructure and building projects; small modification and retrofit projects; and other building services. It offers industrial services to oil, gas, and petrochemical industries. EMCOR Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.
How the Company Makes MoneyEMCOR Group generates revenue primarily through its construction and facilities services. The company makes money by executing contracts for mechanical and electrical construction projects, which often involve significant upfront costs but yield substantial returns upon completion. Key revenue streams include service agreements, installation contracts, and ongoing maintenance services for HVAC systems, plumbing, and electrical installations. Additionally, EMCOR benefits from long-term contracts that provide stable, recurring revenue through facilities management services. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and subcontractors enhance its service offerings and competitive positioning, while its reputation for reliability and quality helps in securing repeat business and new contracts.

EMCOR Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
EMCOR Group's third quarter results demonstrate strong financial performance and growth across various segments, particularly in the Electrical and Mechanical Construction segments. The company continues to execute its growth strategy effectively, with notable achievements in revenue and RPO growth. However, challenges were noted in the Industrial Services segment and high-tech manufacturing. Overall, the positive aspects outweigh the negative, leading to a positive sentiment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Strong Financial Performance
EMCOR achieved record revenue of $4.3 billion for the third quarter, representing a 16.4% increase from the prior year. The company also reported a strong operating margin of 9.4% and robust operating cash flow of $475.5 million.
Significant Growth in Remaining Performance Obligations (RPOs)
RPOs reached a record $12.6 billion, marking a 29% increase year-over-year and 25% growth compared to December 2024. Network and communications RPOs hit a record $4.3 billion, almost double the previous year.
Successful Restructuring and Growth in Mechanical Services
The Mechanical Services business saw revenue growth of nearly 6% for the quarter and 7% year-to-date, with an operating margin in the high single digits due to successful restructuring.
Strategic Acquisition of John W. Danforth Company
EMCOR signed an agreement to acquire John W. Danforth Company, which is expected to add $350 million to $400 million in revenues. The acquisition is aligned with EMCOR's growth strategy.
Negative Updates
Industrial Services Segment Challenges
The Industrial Services segment faced demand headwinds due to some large turnarounds being moved into the fourth quarter or further into 2026.
High-Tech Manufacturing RPO Decrease
RPOs within high-tech manufacturing have decreased from the previous year, attributed to the episodic nature of project awards and resource allocation decisions.
Impact of Amortization and New Market Investments on Margins
The operating margin for U.S. Electrical Construction was impacted by lower profitability on certain projects in new geographies and incremental intangible asset amortization.
Company Guidance
During the EMCOR Group Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided updated guidance for the full year. EMCOR revised its revenue guidance to a range of $16.7 billion to $16.8 billion, reflecting ongoing business momentum and adjustments for the anticipated sale of its U.K. segment. Additionally, the guidance for non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was narrowed to a range of $25 to $25.75, with an increase of $0.50 at the low end and $0.25 at the midpoint from previous estimates. The company emphasized its strong operating margins, particularly a 9.4% operating margin achieved in the third quarter, and highlighted a record book-to-bill ratio of 1.16 and remaining performance obligations reaching $12.6 billion, up 29% year-over-year. EMCOR also noted the strategic acquisition of John W. Danforth Company, which is expected to add $350 million to $400 million in revenues.

EMCOR Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
EMCOR Group demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and robust profitability. The company maintains effective leverage management, although a slight decline in free cash flow growth is noted. Overall, the financial statements reflect a well-managed company with a stable outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
EMCOR Group has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a TTM revenue growth rate of 3.87%. The company maintains strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 19.39% and a net profit margin of 6.96% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 7.13% and 10.39%, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. The upward trajectory in revenue and margins highlights a solid financial performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25, indicating prudent leverage management. Return on equity is impressive at 36.84%, showcasing effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio stands at 38.61%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the increase in total debt from the previous year warrants monitoring.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a slight decline in free cash flow growth at -4.96% in the TTM, which could be a concern if it persists. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.10 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.92 indicate strong cash generation relative to earnings, supporting the company's liquidity and operational flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.24B14.57B12.58B11.08B9.90B8.80B
Gross Profit3.15B2.77B2.09B1.60B1.50B1.40B
EBITDA1.74B1.51B1.01B680.56M647.81M368.01M
Net Income1.13B1.01B632.99M406.12M383.53M132.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.64B7.72B6.61B5.52B5.44B5.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments655.10M1.34B789.75M456.44M821.35M902.87M
Total Debt424.62M348.92M345.27M535.17M540.34M535.52M
Total Liabilities5.30B4.78B4.14B3.55B3.19B3.01B
Stockholders Equity3.34B2.94B2.47B1.97B2.25B2.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.15B1.33B821.25M448.64M282.63M758.40M
Operating Cash Flow1.25B1.41B899.65M497.93M318.82M806.37M
Investing Cash Flow-1.03B-299.28M-161.29M-140.80M-153.08M-94.86M
Financing Cash Flow-595.36M-555.37M-412.05M-710.12M-245.46M-171.91M

EMCOR Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price626.07
Price Trends
50DMA
645.19
Negative
100DMA
639.35
Negative
200DMA
552.74
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-3.66
Negative
RSI
50.66
Neutral
STOCH
65.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EME, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 626.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 619.86, below the 50-day MA of 645.19, and above the 200-day MA of 552.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.66 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 65.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EME.

EMCOR Group Risk Analysis

EMCOR Group disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EMCOR Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EMCOR Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$33.79B40.5743.84%0.20%27.71%80.54%
79
Outperform
$16.54B108.458.71%10.69%
78
Outperform
$64.65B64.3213.16%0.09%18.72%23.97%
73
Outperform
$28.03B25.1837.10%0.16%14.11%26.26%
71
Outperform
$12.85B23.1327.29%1.06%0.21%53.80%
70
Outperform
$16.07B57.187.67%0.94%-23.00%-61.88%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EME
EMCOR Group
626.07
160.41
34.45%
ACM
Aecom Technology
97.49
-10.07
-9.36%
FIX
Comfort Systems
958.07
520.77
119.09%
J
Jacobs Solutions
136.11
2.55
1.91%
PWR
Quanta Services
433.58
103.36
31.30%
APG
APi Group
39.40
15.06
61.87%

EMCOR Group Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
EMCOR Group Appoints Pat Roche to Board
Positive
Oct 29, 2025

On October 27, 2025, EMCOR Group, Inc. announced the election of Pat Roche to its Board of Directors. Roche, who is the President and CEO of Moog Inc., brings significant strategic and operational leadership experience from the industrial sector. His appointment is expected to enhance EMCOR’s growth and value delivery to shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025