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Tetra Tech (TTEK)
NASDAQ:TTEK

Tetra Tech (TTEK) AI Stock Analysis

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TTEK

Tetra Tech

(NASDAQ:TTEK)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(21.65% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/22/26
The score is driven primarily by strong financial performance and a constructive earnings outlook (raised FY2026 guidance, margin expansion, improved cash flow/leverage). Offsetting factors are a mixed technical picture with limited near-term momentum and a valuation that looks relatively expensive with a low dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
High FCF conversion indicates the business reliably turns accounting earnings into cash, supporting debt reduction, M&A and sustained capital returns. Over 2–6 months this cash profile provides flexibility to fund strategic investments and absorb project timing volatility without stressing liquidity.
Improving margins
Consistent operating- and gross-margin expansion signals scalable delivery and pricing power in advisory/engineering work. Sustained margin improvement enhances free cash flow and resilience to project cost swings, underpinning durable profitability as revenue scales across segments.
Favorable structural demand & diversification
Long-term secular tailwinds in water, environmental remediation, resilience and defense create persistent addressable markets. Broad geographic mix and government/commercial client base reduce single-market cyclicality and support multi-year revenue runway from recurring program and AMP cycles.
Negative Factors
Federal order timing risk
Heavy exposure to U.S. federal work makes revenue and cash timing sensitive to appropriations and shutdowns. Even with healthy fundamentals, repeated funding disruptions can push results toward guidance lows and complicate resource planning and utilization across quarters.
Flat backlog
A flat backlog limits revenue visibility and weakens near-term growth certainty despite better backlog mix. Without backlog expansion, sustaining revenue growth relies on higher win rates or pricing, increasing execution risk and making guidance more dependent on timing of large awards.
Client/geography concentration risks
Relying on a few large federal clients and weaker geographies (e.g., Australia softness) concentrates downside if budgets or regional demand falter. This structural concentration elevates the impact of any single program delay or market downturn on revenue and utilization.

Tetra Tech (TTEK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tetra Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTetra Tech, Inc. provides consulting and engineering services worldwide. The company operates through two segments Government Services Group (GSG) and Commercial/International Services Group (CIG). The GSG segment offers early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services; and climate change and energy management consulting, as well as greenhouse gas inventory assessment, certification, reduction, and management services. This segment serves federal, state, and local governments, and development agencies in water resources analysis and water management, environmental monitoring, data analytics, government consulting, waste management, and a range of civil infrastructure master planning and engineering design markets. The CIG segment provides early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, feasibility studies and assessments, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services. This segment serves natural resources, energy, and utilities markets, as well as sustainable infrastructure master planning and engineering design markets. Tetra Tech, Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTetra Tech generates revenue through a variety of channels, primarily by providing professional services in engineering and consulting. The company operates on a fee-for-service model, where it charges clients for its expertise and project-based work. Key revenue streams include government contracts, where Tetra Tech partners with federal, state, and local agencies for environmental assessments, water management solutions, and infrastructure projects. Additionally, Tetra Tech benefits from long-term contracts with clients in the private sector, which contribute to stable revenue. Strategic partnerships with technology firms enhance its service offerings and can lead to joint projects, further bolstering revenue. The company also invests in innovative technologies, allowing it to expand its service capabilities and tap into emerging markets, which is crucial for sustaining growth and profitability.

Tetra Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 28, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a broadly positive performance: solid revenue growth (+8%), margin expansion (+140 bps), stronger cash flow and a healthier balance sheet (net debt/EBITDA ~0.86x), along with raised full-year guidance and continued shareholder returns (dividend +12%, buybacks). Key challenges — a temporary slowdown in U.S. federal orders due to a government shutdown, a flat backlog, a modest decline in U.S. commercial renewables work, and ongoing Australia market softness — are meaningful but appear manageable relative to the company’s financial strength, improved backlog quality, and growth opportunities from international water programs and defense-related M&A.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid top-line and EPS growth
Net revenue of $987M in Q1, up 8% year-over-year; operating income of $131M, up 12% YoY; reported GAAP EPS $0.40 and adjusted EPS ~ $0.34–$0.35, up ~17% YoY.
Margin expansion and improved profitability
EBITDA margin expanded by ~140 basis points to 14.2% in Q1; Government Services margin 18% (+40 bps YoY); Commercial & International margin 13% (+40 bps YoY).
Strong segment and geographic performance
Government Services revenue $382M (+5% YoY); Commercial & International revenue $605M (+10% YoY). International revenue represented 48% of net revenues and grew 13% YoY. U.S. state & local grew ~10%; U.S. federal work up ~7%.
Cash flow, balance sheet, and capital returns
Operating cash flow in Q1 $72M (improvement of $59M vs prior year); trailing 12‑month operating cash flow > $500M; DSO 51 days (lowest in >10 years); net debt ~$565M with net debt/EBITDA ~0.86x (down ~20% YoY). Board raised quarterly dividend +12% YoY and continued buybacks ($50M repurchased in 2026; ~$548M buyback capacity remaining).
Raised FY2026 guidance
Updated FY2026 net revenue guidance $4.15B–$4.30B (midpoint ≈ +9% YoY) and adjusted EPS $1.46–$1.56; Q2 revenue guidance $975M–$1.025B and adj EPS $0.30–$0.33. Guidance includes Providence acquisition and assumes certain amortization, depreciation, interest and a 27.5% tax rate.
Backlog quality and front-end wins
Backlog held roughly steady while quality improved — higher proportion of front‑end consulting/design work with higher embedded margins; strong new awards from state/local, commercial and international clients despite federal slowdown.
Strategic awards and M&A progress
Notable contract wins include a $48M Texas Coastal Protection single-award; new UK and Netherlands water contracts; announced acquisitions Halvik (adds ~600 people) and Providence (~100 people) to expand defense and advisory capabilities; completed divestiture of non-core Norway operations.
Favorable market tailwinds
Secular demand for water, environmental stewardship and coastal resiliency: company supporting >$22B of water/wastewater capex programs; international water programs (UK/Ireland AMP cycles, Ireland €11.8B) and rising defense infrastructure spending in US/UK/Australia underpin multi-region growth forecasts.
Negative Updates
US federal shutdown and order slowdowns
Longest US government shutdown during the period caused a slowdown in U.S. federal client orders and a slower restart after reopening; management noted federal activity was muted for much of the quarter and a potential future shutdown could push results toward the low end of guidance.
Backlog flat year-over-year
Overall backlog was essentially flat YoY; while quality improved (more front-end work), the flat backlog reflects near-term uncertainty from federal ordering patterns.
U.S. commercial weakness tied to renewable energy
U.S. commercial revenue was down slightly versus prior year due primarily to a reduction in renewable energy work compared to a very strong prior period.
Australia market weakness (improving but still soft)
Australia experienced a significant downturn previously (~-15% a year ago) and, while it improved to roughly flat this quarter, it remains a weaker geography compared with The UK/Ireland and Canada.
Concentration and budget uncertainty risks
Large exposure to certain clients/markets (e.g., U.S. Army Corps of Engineers as a major federal client) and continuing federal budget/appropriations uncertainty (including possible shutdowns) represent execution and revenue-timing risks.
Company Guidance
Management updated Q2 guidance to net revenue of $975M–$1,025M with adjusted EPS of $0.30–$0.33, and raised FY2026 guidance to net revenue of $4.15B–$4.30B with adjusted EPS of $1.46–$1.56; the full‑year midpoint implies roughly 9% revenue growth and an ~80 basis‑point expansion in EBITDA margins. Assumptions include $34M of intangible amortization, $25M of depreciation, $34M of interest expense, a 27.5% tax rate and ~263 million average diluted shares outstanding; guidance includes the Providence acquisition (expected to close toward end of Q2), excludes contributions from future acquisitions, and reflects the current disposition (net of any gain) disclosed in the reconciliations.

Tetra Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals supported by rapid recent revenue growth and solid operating profitability (TTM operating margin ~13%, gross margin ~20%). Balance sheet leverage is moderate (debt-to-equity ~0.55) with healthy returns, while key watch-outs are net-margin variability and some cash-flow timing/working-capital volatility despite good free-cash-flow conversion (FCF/NI ~0.96).
Income Statement
83
Very Positive
TTEK shows solid top-line momentum, with revenue up ~28% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) and multi-year expansion versus earlier periods. Profitability is steady-to-improving at the operating level, with TTM operating margin around 13% and gross margin around 20%. The key watch-out is that net margin in TTM (~5%) is not consistently higher than prior years (it was stronger in FY2024), indicating some variability below the operating line even as revenue scales.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Leverage looks manageable with debt-to-equity around 0.55 in the latest periods, improved from the higher leverage seen in FY2023. Returns on equity are healthy (mid-teens in the latest periods, and higher in prior years), supporting the view that the company is using its capital base effectively. The main risk is that total debt remains sizable (about $1.1B), so continued earnings consistency is important to keep balance-sheet flexibility strong.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash generation is a clear strength: free cash flow is close to reported earnings (free cash flow to net income ~0.96 in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months)), and free cash flow dollars are meaningfully higher in the latest periods. That said, the provided operating-cash-flow coverage figure is relatively low (~0.33), which points to some potential working-capital or timing volatility despite good overall conversion to free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.80B5.44B5.20B4.52B2.84B3.21B
Gross Profit960.24M961.34M866.44M725.03M575.56M498.40M
EBITDA681.23M466.69M581.70M514.62M367.81M303.42M
Net Income352.20M247.72M333.38M273.42M263.13M232.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.26B4.28B4.19B3.82B2.62B2.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments269.45M167.46M232.69M168.83M185.09M166.57M
Total Debt1.06B987.16M1.02B1.09B462.90M454.24M
Total Liabilities2.42B2.50B2.36B2.42B1.44B1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.85B1.78B1.83B1.40B1.18B1.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow497.54M439.05M340.57M341.56M325.61M295.80M
Operating Cash Flow516.89M457.69M358.71M368.46M336.19M304.37M
Investing Cash Flow-65.86M-106.75M-111.04M-771.20M-55.74M-92.99M
Financing Cash Flow-440.51M-410.24M-191.38M382.38M-249.61M-210.10M

Tetra Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.88
Price Trends
50DMA
36.25
Negative
100DMA
34.92
Negative
200DMA
35.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.51
Positive
RSI
35.51
Neutral
STOCH
6.42
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTEK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 37.94, below the 50-day MA of 36.25, and below the 200-day MA of 35.38, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.51 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 6.42 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TTEK.

Tetra Tech Risk Analysis

Tetra Tech disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tetra Tech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tetra Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
83
Outperform
$12.41B42.2021.90%13.19%33.58%
74
Outperform
$8.21B33.0217.79%0.25%21.45%67.31%
73
Outperform
$5.13B13.1127.77%1.65%9.66%29.01%
72
Outperform
$8.58B25.1619.90%0.74%4.69%-24.37%
71
Outperform
$14.12B45.0835.73%6.20%72.81%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$7.78B-42.32-1.42%-1.81%1228.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTEK
Tetra Tech
32.88
2.96
9.87%
DY
Dycom
428.58
256.64
149.26%
FLR
Fluor
53.10
16.29
44.25%
KBR
KBR
40.40
-7.19
-15.11%
PRIM
Primoris Services
151.92
81.62
116.11%
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure
459.72
343.78
296.52%

Tetra Tech Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tetra Tech Stockholders Approve Governance Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
Feb 20, 2026

On February 19, 2026, Tetra Tech Inc. held its annual stockholders’ meeting, where investors voted to elect six directors to the board and endorsed an advisory resolution approving compensation for the company’s named executive officers, signaling broad support for the current leadership and pay practices. Stockholders also approved an amendment to the Employee Stock Purchase Plan and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as independent auditor for fiscal 2026, reinforcing the firm’s employee ownership structure and external financial oversight framework.

The substantial majorities in favor of all four proposals suggest continued stability in Tetra Tech’s governance arrangements and alignment between management and shareholders on strategic direction and executive incentives. These outcomes help maintain continuity in board composition and audit relationships, which may support consistent execution of the company’s long-term operational and financial plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTEK) stock is a Hold with a $46.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tetra Tech stock, see the TTEK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Tetra Tech Delivers Strong Q1 Results, Raises 2026 Guidance
Positive
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Tetra Tech reported strong results for its first quarter ended December 28, 2025, posting revenue of $1.21 billion and net revenue of $1.04 billion, with net revenue up 8% excluding USAID/DOS and prior-year hurricane work. Operating income reached $141 million, adjusted EBITDA rose to $147 million with margins improving, EPS came in at $0.40 with adjusted EPS of $0.35, and backlog stood at $3.95 billion, supported by solid cash generation of $72 million in the quarter and $517 million over the prior 12 months. The company highlighted improved margins and a 17% year-over-year EPS increase excluding USAID/DOS, closed or announced the Halvik and Providence acquisitions to expand high-end data analytics, resilient infrastructure optimization and front-end advisory for defense clients, and secured a series of sizable government and defense-related contracts, including work for the U.S. Missile Defense Agency, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and Australia’s defense authorities. Reflecting this momentum and sustained demand from water, environmental and sustainable infrastructure markets, Tetra Tech raised its full-year fiscal 2026 guidance for net revenue to $4.15–$4.30 billion and adjusted EPS to $1.46–$1.56, while also announcing on January 26, 2026 a 12% year-over-year increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.065 per share and continuing to return capital through $50 million of share repurchases in the first quarter, leaving $548 million authorized for future buybacks.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTEK) stock is a Hold with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tetra Tech stock, see the TTEK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tetra Tech Announces CEO Succession and Leadership Transition
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Tetra Tech announced a planned leadership transition in which long-time executive Roger Argus will be appointed chief executive officer, effective February 19, 2026, concurrent with the company’s annual shareholder meeting. Argus, who has been with Tetra Tech for over 30 years and most recently served as president, is credited with helping shape the firm’s strategy, drive operational excellence, lead major water, infrastructure, environmental, and emergency management programs, and integrate key acquisitions that expanded its global footprint and technical capabilities. Current chairman and CEO Dan Batrack, who has led the company’s transformation over more than two decades from a primarily U.S.-based consulting engineer to a $5 billion global enterprise, will transition to executive chairman for at least two years, maintaining involvement in long-term strategy and ensuring continuity. The board framed the move as the culmination of a long-term succession plan designed to preserve Tetra Tech’s culture and performance while positioning the company for continued global growth and long-term value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTEK) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tetra Tech stock, see the TTEK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tetra Tech Appoints Susan Hardwick to Board of Directors
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Tetra Tech announced that M. Susan Hardwick, the recently retired CEO and former CFO of American Water, will join its Board of Directors effective December 29, 2025, serving on the Audit Committee and the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee. Her extensive experience in water and energy utilities, financial strategy, capital planning, and large-scale utility operations is expected to strengthen Tetra Tech’s governance and support its strategic push to expand high-end water consulting services globally, aligning board expertise more closely with the company’s core water-market clientele and long-term growth focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTEK) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tetra Tech stock, see the TTEK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 22, 2026