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Tetra Tech (TTEK)
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Tetra Tech (TTEK) AI Stock Analysis

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TTEK

Tetra Tech

(NASDAQ:TTEK)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(9.37% Upside)
Tetra Tech's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving the score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates potential overvaluation. The company's strategic wins and dividend announcement provide additional support to the stock's outlook.
Positive Factors
Contract Awards
Strong contract awards continue with nearly $2 billion in new contract capacity awarded.
Earnings
F3Q25 results exceeded expectations due to greater contributions from a recent acquisition and disaster response work related to the California wildfires.
Revenue Growth
Core state and local growth was particularly strong with an impressive 18% increase.
Negative Factors
Backlog Decline
The backlog decreased by 18.2% year-over-year due to the termination of U.S. Agency of International Development contracts.
Backlog Reduction
Backlog was reduced due to the termination of USAID contracts and a non-cash goodwill impairment charge was recorded.
Commercial Business Challenges
The commercial business is expected to face continued headwinds from the renewable energy practice for the next several quarters.

Tetra Tech (TTEK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tetra Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTetra Tech, Inc. provides consulting and engineering services worldwide. The company operates through two segments Government Services Group (GSG) and Commercial/International Services Group (CIG). The GSG segment offers early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services; and climate change and energy management consulting, as well as greenhouse gas inventory assessment, certification, reduction, and management services. This segment serves federal, state, and local governments, and development agencies in water resources analysis and water management, environmental monitoring, data analytics, government consulting, waste management, and a range of civil infrastructure master planning and engineering design markets. The CIG segment provides early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, feasibility studies and assessments, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services. This segment serves natural resources, energy, and utilities markets, as well as sustainable infrastructure master planning and engineering design markets. Tetra Tech, Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTetra Tech generates revenue primarily through its consulting and engineering services, which are billed on a project basis or through long-term contracts with government and commercial clients. Key revenue streams include environmental services, water management solutions, and energy-related consulting. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with various government agencies, private firms, and international organizations, enabling it to secure large-scale contracts and projects. Additionally, Tetra Tech capitalizes on emerging trends in sustainability and climate change adaptation, positioning itself to leverage increased demand for its expertise in these areas.

Tetra Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.80%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Tetra Tech's record-breaking financial performance, strong growth in government services, and promising prospects in digital automation. However, challenges were noted in the U.S. commercial sector, particularly in renewable energy, and in the Australian market. The impact of federal government changes on backlog conversion was also a concern.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Operating Income and EPS
Tetra Tech achieved all-time highs for operating income and earnings per share (EPS), not just for the third quarter but for any quarter in the company's history. Operating income was $159 million, an increase of 37% from the prior year, and EPS was $0.41, up 46% from the prior year.
Strong Government Services Segment Performance
The Government Services Group (GSG) segment increased its net revenue by 29% year-over-year to $429 million, with a margin of 19.9%, up 230 basis points from the prior year.
Significant Federal Contract Wins
Nearly $2 billion in new contract capacity was added with the U.S. federal government, including contracts with the Army Corps of Engineers and the Environmental Protection Agency.
Improved Cash Flow and Debt Leverage
Cash flows from operations were $462 million, a 23% improvement over the previous 12 months, and net debt on EBITDA was at a leverage of 0.96x, lower than the previous year.
Positive Outlook for Digital Automation
Tetra Tech's digital automation sector is seeing some of the fastest growth, catalyzed by the adoption of AI, with a target to reach $500 million in annual revenues by 2030.
Negative Updates
Decline in U.S. Commercial and Renewable Energy Work
U.S. commercial net revenues were down 4% year-on-year, primarily driven by a 30% reduction in renewable energy work, especially in offshore wind projects.
Challenges in Australian Market
International revenues, which include Australian operations, were down 1% year-over-year, with continued decreases in infrastructure work in Australia.
Impact of Federal Government Changes on Backlog
The conversion of federal contracts to task orders has slowed down due to early retirements and changes within the government, impacting backlog growth and creating a 'book and burn' environment.
Company Guidance
During Tetra Tech's third-quarter earnings call for fiscal year 2025, the company reported record highs in operating income and earnings per share, driven by increased staff utilization in response to Southern California fires. Operating income rose by 37% to $159 million, while earnings per share increased by 46% to $0.41. Net revenue for the quarter grew by 11% to $1.06 billion, with the Government Services Group's revenue up 29% year-over-year and margins improving by 230 basis points. The Commercial/International Group achieved a 15.2% margin, up 130 basis points. The company also noted significant contract wins, including $2 billion in new U.S. federal contracts and a $94 million EPA award. Despite the strong quarter, Tetra Tech remains cautious due to changes in U.S. federal government administration, impacting sectors like renewable energy. The company updated its fiscal year 2025 guidance to a net revenue range of $4.454 billion to $4.554 billion and an adjusted EPS of $1.49 to $1.54.

Tetra Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tetra Tech exhibits strong financial health with impressive revenue growth and efficient cash management. The company has maintained profitability, though increasing leverage could pose potential risks. The balance sheet remains solid, supporting its growth trajectory.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Tetra Tech has demonstrated strong revenue growth with an increase from $3.21 billion in 2021 to $5.49 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The gross profit margin has improved over the years, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin has shown some decline, indicating challenges in controlling net expenses relative to revenue growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins indicate solid operational performance despite the decline in EBIT over the period.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has increased, indicating higher leverage, which may pose a risk in financial flexibility. However, Tetra Tech maintains a healthy equity ratio, showing a strong asset base relative to liabilities. The return on equity has been positive, reflecting effective use of shareholders' funds to generate profits. Overall, the balance sheet is stable but with increased leverage risk.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Tetra Tech shows robust free cash flow generation with consistent growth, highlighted by substantial free cash flow in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong, suggesting effective conversion of profits into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates efficient cash management. Despite strong cash flow generation, the increasing capital expenditures warrant monitoring for potential impacts on future cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.49B5.20B4.52B3.50B3.21B2.99B
Gross Profit932.47M866.44M725.03M575.56M498.40M446.54M
EBITDA377.60M584.09M481.23M368.01M299.23M263.04M
Net Income216.17M333.38M273.42M263.13M232.81M173.86M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.35B4.19B3.82B2.62B2.58B2.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments242.83M232.69M168.83M185.09M166.57M157.51M
Total Debt1.07B1.02B1.09B462.90M454.24M553.26M
Total Liabilities2.61B2.36B2.42B1.44B1.34B1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.74B1.83B1.40B1.18B1.23B1.04B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow442.23M340.57M341.56M325.61M295.80M250.23M
Operating Cash Flow462.44M358.71M368.46M336.19M304.37M262.48M
Investing Cash Flow-115.01M-111.04M-771.20M-55.74M-92.99M-63.02M
Financing Cash Flow-318.91M-191.38M382.38M-249.61M-210.10M-163.05M

Tetra Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price35.66
Price Trends
50DMA
36.53
Negative
100DMA
34.43
Positive
200DMA
35.90
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.25
Positive
RSI
40.17
Neutral
STOCH
21.39
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTEK, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 35.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.76, below the 50-day MA of 36.53, and below the 200-day MA of 35.90, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.39 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TTEK.

Tetra Tech Risk Analysis

Tetra Tech disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tetra Tech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tetra Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$15.93B24.4628.17%0.83%1.50%164.17%
73
Outperform
$17.55B36.689.29%0.80%-30.12%-21.04%
72
Outperform
$6.41B16.9927.41%1.26%12.59%98.20%
70
Outperform
$9.44B44.5512.68%0.68%7.91%-25.17%
66
Neutral
CHF4.08B23.6714.54%2.46%-2.46%-58.90%
65
Neutral
$6.81B1.70102.24%3.62%943.43%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTEK
Tetra Tech
35.66
-10.98
-23.54%
ACM
Aecom Technology
120.09
23.81
24.73%
FLR
Fluor
40.88
-8.34
-16.94%
J
Jacobs Solutions
146.54
24.72
20.29%
KBR
KBR
49.62
-16.36
-24.80%

Tetra Tech Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Tetra Tech Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Q3 Results
Positive
Jul 30, 2025

On July 30, 2025, Tetra Tech announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.065 per share, payable on August 29, 2025. The company reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $1.37 billion and net revenue at $1.15 billion. Operating income increased by 28% year-over-year to $165 million, while earnings per share rose by 34% to $0.43. Tetra Tech’s operating cash flow saw a significant increase of 148% year-over-year, reaching $350 million. The company also secured several key contracts, including a $990 million contract with NAVFAC Pacific and a $249 million contract for energy resilience with USACE Huntsville District. Tetra Tech’s performance is driven by its high-end services in water, environment, and sustainable infrastructure, with a focus on preparing for and responding to natural disasters. Despite exceeding financial expectations for fiscal 2025, the company is navigating changes in U.S. federal government priorities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025