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Tetra Tech (TTEK)
NASDAQ:TTEK

Tetra Tech (TTEK) AI Stock Analysis

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TTEK

Tetra Tech

(NASDAQ:TTEK)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(7.04% Upside)
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying profitability/ROE but constrained by weak recent cash-flow growth and slowing revenue growth. The latest earnings call adds support via strong backlog and constructive FY2026 guidance, while valuation (high P/E and low yield) remains the biggest offset; technicals are mildly supportive but not strong.
Positive Factors
Backlog & Contract Wins
A $4.14B backlog plus $1.2B of new awards provides multi-quarter revenue visibility, de-risks near-term revenue, and supports steady utilization and cash generation. For an engineering/services firm, large backlog smooths revenue volatility and aids long-term planning.
Strong Profitability & ROE
High net margin and a 28.5% ROE indicate efficient operations and strong capital deployment, enabling reinvestment in talent and strategic acquisitions. Durable profitability supports pricing power on complex projects and provides a cushion through industry cycles.
Diversified Govt & International Revenue
With about 45% of revenue from international markets and robust government services growth, the company benefits from geographic and client diversification. This mix reduces single-market exposure, increases programmatic contract stability, and supports steady long-term demand.
Negative Factors
Sharp Free Cash Flow Decline
A 71.8% drop in free cash flow growth and weak operating cash conversion (OCF/Net income ~0.33) raise concerns about liquidity and funding flexibility. This constrains capital allocation, may limit sustainable buybacks/dividends, and increases vulnerability to downturns.
Slowing Revenue Growth
A decline in revenue growth reduces the leverage from fixed-cost investments and raises reliance on margin expansion or acquisitions to drive earnings. Prolonged softness could make long-term EPS targets harder to achieve and increase execution risk for growth initiatives.
Digital / SaaS Headwinds
Federal moratorium and transition challenges in digital initiatives limit expansion into higher-margin recurring SaaS revenue, reducing diversification and future margin uplift. Continued execution issues could delay scalable digital revenue streams and weaken long-term growth optionality.

Tetra Tech (TTEK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tetra Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTetra Tech, Inc. provides consulting and engineering services worldwide. The company operates through two segments Government Services Group (GSG) and Commercial/International Services Group (CIG). The GSG segment offers early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services; and climate change and energy management consulting, as well as greenhouse gas inventory assessment, certification, reduction, and management services. This segment serves federal, state, and local governments, and development agencies in water resources analysis and water management, environmental monitoring, data analytics, government consulting, waste management, and a range of civil infrastructure master planning and engineering design markets. The CIG segment provides early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, feasibility studies and assessments, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services. This segment serves natural resources, energy, and utilities markets, as well as sustainable infrastructure master planning and engineering design markets. Tetra Tech, Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTetra Tech generates revenue through a variety of channels, primarily by providing professional services in engineering and consulting. The company operates on a fee-for-service model, where it charges clients for its expertise and project-based work. Key revenue streams include government contracts, where Tetra Tech partners with federal, state, and local agencies for environmental assessments, water management solutions, and infrastructure projects. Additionally, Tetra Tech benefits from long-term contracts with clients in the private sector, which contribute to stable revenue. Strategic partnerships with technology firms enhance its service offerings and can lead to joint projects, further bolstering revenue. The company also invests in innovative technologies, allowing it to expand its service capabilities and tap into emerging markets, which is crucial for sustaining growth and profitability.

Tetra Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Tetra Tech showcased strong financial and operational performance in fiscal year 2025 with record metrics in revenue, operating income, and segment growth. The company navigated challenges such as a U.S. federal government shutdown and a decline in U.S. commercial work effectively. There were some setbacks in digital initiatives, but the overall outlook remains robust, supported by a strong backlog and capital allocation strategy.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Financial Performance
Tetra Tech reported record results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 with record highs across the board for net revenue, operating income, and earnings per share. Net revenue reached $1.07 billion, up 10% from the prior year, with operating income up 23% to $168 million and earnings per share up 29% to $0.44.
Strong Segment Performance
The Government Services Group (GSG) had an excellent year, with fourth quarter revenue growing 17% to $396 million. The Commercial/International Group also delivered strong results with fourth quarter revenue up 7% to $676 million.
International Growth
International work was about 45% of the overall business, growing at a 9% rate, driven by the UK's water business and Canadian clean energy practice. The U.S. federal work was up 22% from the prior year.
Backlog and New Contracts
Tetra Tech ended the quarter with $4.14 billion in backlog and was awarded over $1.2 billion in new contracts with U.S. defense agencies. The high-voltage transmission practice's backlog grew at a 120% rate year-on-year in the U.S.
Cash Flow and Capital Allocation
Cash from operations approached $0.5 billion, a 28% improvement over fiscal 2024. Tetra Tech increased its dividend by 12% and bought back $250 million in stock, with $598 million available in the stock buyback plan.
Negative Updates
U.S. Commercial Work Decline
U.S. commercial work was down slightly, driven by reductions in renewable energy work, although partially offset by growth in other sectors.
Impact of U.S. Federal Government Shutdown
The U.S. federal government's backlog has become shorter, affecting visibility. The recent government shutdown had an estimated $15 million to $20 million impact.
Transition Challenges in Digital Initiatives
Tetra Tech's digital products, particularly the SaaS products, have faced headwinds due to a moratorium on new software packages by the U.S. federal government, impacting growth.
Company Guidance
During the Tetra Tech earnings call for fiscal year 2025, management reported a robust financial performance with record highs in net revenue, operating income, and earnings per share. The company achieved a record net revenue of $1.07 billion for the fourth quarter, marking a 10% increase from the previous year. Operating income surged by 23% to $168 million, and earnings per share grew by 29% to $0.44. Tetra Tech's Government Services Group (GSG) experienced a 17% revenue growth, reaching $396 million, while its Commercial/International Group saw a 7% increase to $676 million. The company ended the quarter with a $4.14 billion backlog and secured over $1.2 billion in new contracts. Looking forward, Tetra Tech expects net revenue between $4.05 billion and $4.25 billion for fiscal year 2026, with earnings per share projected to range from $1.40 to $1.55.

Tetra Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tetra Tech demonstrates solid profitability with a strong net profit margin and efficient equity utilization. However, challenges in revenue growth and a significant decline in free cash flow growth pose potential liquidity risks.
Income Statement
Tetra Tech's income statement shows a strong net profit margin of 9.32% for the latest year, indicating effective cost management and profitability. However, the revenue growth rate has declined by 0.81%, which is a concern for future growth prospects. The gross profit margin and EBIT margin are stable, reflecting consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.55, suggesting a balanced approach to leveraging. The return on equity is robust at 28.50%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, which limits a full assessment of asset financing.
Cash Flow
Cash flow analysis shows a significant decline in free cash flow growth by 71.8%, which could impact liquidity. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.33, indicating that cash generation is aligned with reported earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.96, suggesting good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.78B5.44B5.20B4.52B2.84B3.21B
Gross Profit961.34M961.34M866.44M725.03M575.56M498.40M
EBITDA672.12M466.69M581.70M514.62M367.81M303.42M
Net Income247.72M247.72M333.38M273.42M263.13M232.81M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.28B4.28B4.19B3.82B2.62B2.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments167.46M167.46M232.69M168.83M185.09M166.57M
Total Debt987.16M987.16M1.02B1.09B462.90M454.24M
Total Liabilities2.50B2.50B2.36B2.42B1.44B1.34B
Stockholders Equity1.78B1.78B1.83B1.40B1.18B1.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow439.05M439.05M340.57M341.56M325.61M295.80M
Operating Cash Flow457.69M457.69M358.71M368.46M336.19M304.37M
Investing Cash Flow-106.75M-106.75M-111.04M-771.20M-55.74M-92.99M
Financing Cash Flow-410.24M-410.24M-191.38M382.38M-249.61M-210.10M

Tetra Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price35.50
Price Trends
50DMA
33.93
Positive
100DMA
34.37
Positive
200DMA
34.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
59.27
Neutral
STOCH
57.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTEK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 35.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.33, above the 50-day MA of 33.93, and above the 200-day MA of 34.27, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TTEK.

Tetra Tech Risk Analysis

Tetra Tech disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tetra Tech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tetra Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$9.84B33.4521.90%13.19%33.58%
75
Outperform
$6.75B25.6818.56%0.25%21.45%67.31%
73
Outperform
$5.55B14.4227.77%1.65%9.66%29.01%
71
Outperform
$9.14B29.1835.73%6.20%72.81%
69
Neutral
$9.26B39.1713.72%0.74%4.69%-24.37%
64
Neutral
$7.00B2.2191.03%-1.81%1228.51%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTEK
Tetra Tech
35.50
-5.22
-12.82%
DY
Dycom
339.68
163.21
92.49%
FLR
Fluor
43.44
-4.79
-9.93%
KBR
KBR
43.69
-13.87
-24.10%
PRIM
Primoris Services
124.85
47.54
61.49%
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure
297.62
134.10
82.01%

Tetra Tech Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Tetra Tech Announces CEO Succession and Leadership Transition
Positive
Jan 6, 2026

On January 6, 2026, Tetra Tech announced a planned leadership transition in which long-time executive Roger Argus will be appointed chief executive officer, effective February 19, 2026, concurrent with the company’s annual shareholder meeting. Argus, who has been with Tetra Tech for over 30 years and most recently served as president, is credited with helping shape the firm’s strategy, drive operational excellence, lead major water, infrastructure, environmental, and emergency management programs, and integrate key acquisitions that expanded its global footprint and technical capabilities. Current chairman and CEO Dan Batrack, who has led the company’s transformation over more than two decades from a primarily U.S.-based consulting engineer to a $5 billion global enterprise, will transition to executive chairman for at least two years, maintaining involvement in long-term strategy and ensuring continuity. The board framed the move as the culmination of a long-term succession plan designed to preserve Tetra Tech’s culture and performance while positioning the company for continued global growth and long-term value creation for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTEK) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tetra Tech stock, see the TTEK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tetra Tech Appoints Susan Hardwick to Board of Directors
Positive
Dec 22, 2025

On December 22, 2025, Tetra Tech announced that M. Susan Hardwick, the recently retired CEO and former CFO of American Water, will join its Board of Directors effective December 29, 2025, serving on the Audit Committee and the Nominating and Corporate Governance Committee. Her extensive experience in water and energy utilities, financial strategy, capital planning, and large-scale utility operations is expected to strengthen Tetra Tech’s governance and support its strategic push to expand high-end water consulting services globally, aligning board expertise more closely with the company’s core water-market clientele and long-term growth focus.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTEK) stock is a Buy with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tetra Tech stock, see the TTEK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Tetra Tech Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Strong Results
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, Tetra Tech announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.065 per share, payable on December 12, 2025. The company reported record financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, with a net revenue of $1.16 billion for the quarter and $5.44 billion for the year. Tetra Tech also secured significant contracts, including a $500 million contract for environmental services with the USACE Baltimore District. The company’s strong performance was driven by demand for its consulting services in water management and digital water automation, positioning it well for future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTEK) stock is a Hold with a $35.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tetra Tech stock, see the TTEK Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Tetra Tech Announces Key Leadership Appointments
Positive
Oct 7, 2025

On October 7, 2025, Tetra Tech announced key leadership appointments as part of its succession planning. Roger R. Argus was promoted to President, and Jonathan S. Weiss was appointed President of the Commercial/International Services Group. These appointments aim to sustain the company’s performance and strategic growth, reflecting Tetra Tech’s commitment to operational excellence and talent development.

The most recent analyst rating on (TTEK) stock is a Buy with a $47.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tetra Tech stock, see the TTEK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 07, 2026