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Tetra Tech (TTEK)
NASDAQ:TTEK

Tetra Tech (TTEK) AI Stock Analysis

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Tetra Tech

(NASDAQ:TTEK)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(8.15%Upside)
Tetra Tech's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and promising earnings guidance. Key strengths include robust revenue growth and strategic acquisitions. However, high P/E ratio and technical indicators suggesting overbought conditions are concerns. Challenges such as increased debt levels and market-specific issues in Australia also weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions and Strategic Moves
Tetra Tech announced acquisitions to increase work in the life science and public sectors in Europe and automation solutions in municipal water and industrial sectors.
Disaster Response and Recovery Projects
TTEK reported F2Q25 results above expectations due to disaster response work related to California fires and remaining hurricane damage remediation work in the Southeast U.S.
Guidance and Revenue Growth
Management reaffirmed its long-term organic revenue growth rate target of 6%-10% remains intact.
Negative Factors
Federal Contract Reductions
Canceled U.S. federal government contracts, particularly for USAID projects, led to a 20.8% decline in backlog.
Reduced Government Work and Competition
A smaller opportunity set for U.S. federal government contracts is expected, with Tetra Tech and other contractors competing for fewer projects.
Stock Price Volatility
Shares will remain volatile with a daily deluge of fresh information.

Tetra Tech (TTEK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tetra Tech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTetra Tech, Inc. provides consulting and engineering services worldwide. The company operates through two segments Government Services Group (GSG) and Commercial/International Services Group (CIG). The GSG segment offers early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services; and climate change and energy management consulting, as well as greenhouse gas inventory assessment, certification, reduction, and management services. This segment serves federal, state, and local governments, and development agencies in water resources analysis and water management, environmental monitoring, data analytics, government consulting, waste management, and a range of civil infrastructure master planning and engineering design markets. The CIG segment provides early data collection and monitoring, data analysis and information management, feasibility studies and assessments, science and engineering applied research, engineering design, project management, and operations and maintenance services. This segment serves natural resources, energy, and utilities markets, as well as sustainable infrastructure master planning and engineering design markets. Tetra Tech, Inc. was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Pasadena, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyTetra Tech makes money through a diversified revenue model primarily based on providing engineering and consulting services. The company's key revenue streams include government contracts, where it offers technical and management solutions to federal, state, and local agencies; commercial clients, including utilities and industrial firms that require specialized engineering expertise; and international development projects funded by organizations like the United Nations and the World Bank. Significant partnerships with governmental bodies and large corporations, along with a focus on sustainability and innovative solutions, contribute to Tetra Tech's earnings. The company's financial performance is also bolstered by its ability to secure long-term contracts and its strategic acquisitions to expand service offerings and market reach.

Tetra Tech Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 17.00%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Despite the significant loss of its largest client, Tetra Tech reported record revenue and earnings, driven by strong performance across other segments and geographic diversification. The acquisition of SAGE and Carron + Walsh positions the company for future growth. However, challenges remain in the Australian market and with cash flow management due to USAID-related issues.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Earnings
Tetra Tech reported one of the highest quarterly revenues in its history, with net revenue increasing to $1.1 billion, up by $51 million compared to the same quarter last year. Operating income was $130 million, up 11% from the previous year, and earnings per share increased by 18% to $0.33.
Strong Performance in Government Services Group
The Government Services Group (GSG) segment saw a 12% year-over-year revenue increase to $521 million, with a margin of 13.8%.
U.S. Federal and State & Local Growth
Revenue from U.S. federal clients increased by 16%, with notable contributions from disaster response activities and Department of Defense projects. State and local revenues grew by 44% year-over-year.
International Expansion and Acquisitions
Tetra Tech expanded its international footprint with the acquisition of Carron + Walsh in Ireland and SAGE Group in Australia, enhancing its capabilities in program management and digital systems.
Increased Dividend and Stock Buyback Program
The Board approved a 12% increase in the quarterly dividend and announced an additional $500 million for stock buybacks.
Negative Updates
Loss of Largest Client
Tetra Tech's largest client by revenue, USAID and the Department of State, essentially disappeared within one quarter, resulting in a de-obligation of approximately $1.1 billion in projects.
Challenges in Australian Market
Revenue in Australia experienced a 10% reduction due to slowed infrastructure work, attributed to a national election that delayed many funding programs.
Cash Flow and Working Capital Impact
The pause in payments from USAID negatively affected working capital, although subsequent payments helped improve the situation.
Company Guidance
In the Tetra Tech earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, CEO Dan Batrack highlighted the company's robust performance despite the unexpected loss of their largest client by revenue. The quarter saw record results in several metrics, including net revenue of $1.1 billion, a $51 million increase from the previous year, operating income of $130 million, up 11%, and earnings per share (EPS) of $0.33, reflecting an 18% growth. The Government Services Group (GSG) segment reported a 12% revenue increase to $521 million, with a 13.8% margin. Meanwhile, the Commercial/International Group (CIG) segment maintained a 13.2% margin with $597 million in revenue. Tetra Tech's backlog stood at $4.31 billion, with a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1x. The company continues to expand its contract capacity, now holding over $30 billion in U.S. federal government capacity, and has recently enhanced its capabilities with acquisitions like Carron + Walsh and the SAGE Group. Looking ahead, Tetra Tech provided guidance for the third quarter, projecting net revenue of $1.1 to $1.2 billion and an adjusted EPS of $0.35 to $0.40, while raising the lower end of its annual revenue guidance to $4.4 to $4.765 billion with an EPS of $1.42 to $1.52.

Tetra Tech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tetra Tech demonstrates robust revenue growth and effective equity utilization, though operational margins suggest areas for improvement. The increase in debt levels could pose risks if not managed carefully. Cash flow performance is solid, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. Overall, the company maintains a healthy financial position despite operational challenges.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Tetra Tech has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in Total Revenue from $2.99 billion in 2020 to $5.46 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Gross Profit Margin in TTM is approximately 16.55%, and Net Profit Margin is 4.38%. However, a decreasing EBIT Margin from 9.64% in 2024 to 6.12% in TTM suggests some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio has increased from 0.45 in 2020 to 0.78 in TTM, indicating a higher reliance on debt financing. However, the Return on Equity (ROE) remains strong at 15.22% in TTM, showcasing effective utilization of equity. The Equity Ratio has decreased, indicating a modest decline in financial leverage stability.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Free Cash Flow showed a positive trend with $233.72 million in TTM, although it decreased from $340.57 million in 2024. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.06, suggesting good cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 0.98 in TTM indicates efficient cash conversion.
Breakdown
TTMSep 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Sep 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
5.46B5.20B4.52B3.50B3.21B2.99B
Gross Profit
904.11M866.44M725.03M575.56M498.40M446.54M
EBIT
334.10M500.74M358.11M340.45M278.70M241.09M
EBITDA
396.33M584.09M481.23M368.01M299.23M263.04M
Net Income Common Stockholders
239.52M333.38M273.42M263.13M232.81M173.86M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
179.43M232.69M168.83M185.09M166.57M157.51M
Total Assets
4.18B4.19B3.82B2.62B2.58B2.38B
Total Debt
1.22B1.02B1.09B462.90M454.24M553.26M
Net Debt
1.04B783.46M920.39M277.81M287.67M395.75M
Total Liabilities
2.61B2.36B2.42B1.44B1.34B1.34B
Stockholders Equity
1.57B1.83B1.40B1.18B1.23B1.04B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
233.72M340.57M341.56M325.61M295.80M250.23M
Operating Cash Flow
253.77M358.71M368.46M336.19M304.37M262.48M
Investing Cash Flow
-44.65M-111.04M-771.20M-55.74M-92.99M-63.02M
Financing Cash Flow
-234.45M-191.38M382.38M-249.61M-210.10M-163.05M

Tetra Tech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.06
Price Trends
50DMA
32.89
Positive
100DMA
32.21
Positive
200DMA
38.42
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.74
Positive
RSI
64.40
Neutral
STOCH
86.36
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TTEK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 35.42, above the 50-day MA of 32.89, and below the 200-day MA of 38.42, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.74 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 64.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.36 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TTEK.

Tetra Tech Risk Analysis

Tetra Tech disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Tetra Tech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Tetra Tech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.50B46.803.79%8.65%-22.72%
ACACM
80
Outperform
$14.82B24.4328.07%0.93%4.55%
KBKBR
74
Outperform
$6.94B17.8628.18%1.23%12.84%
71
Outperform
$9.50B51.9311.91%0.72%10.35%-29.34%
JJ
71
Outperform
$15.10B34.728.46%1.02%-22.81%-30.13%
FLFLR
70
Outperform
$7.95B4.6266.58%7.16%523.56%
66
Neutral
$4.47B12.225.40%3.65%4.14%-12.00%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TTEK
Tetra Tech
36.06
-5.21
-12.62%
ACM
Aecom Technology
111.99
24.37
27.81%
FLR
Fluor
48.28
3.26
7.24%
J
Jacobs Engineering
125.89
10.62
9.21%
KBR
KBR
53.46
-9.60
-15.22%
NVEE
NV5 Holdings
22.92
0.12
0.53%

Tetra Tech Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingStock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Tetra Tech Enhances Credit Agreement and Raises Dividend
Positive
May 7, 2025

On May 5, 2025, Tetra Tech entered a Fourth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, enhancing its financial flexibility with a $1.5 billion borrowing capacity. This agreement includes a $250 million senior secured term loan facility and a $600 million revolving credit facility, with provisions for additional commitments. Tetra Tech also reported strong second-quarter results with record revenues and net income, despite challenges from the reorganization of USAID. The company increased its quarterly dividend by 12% and expanded its stock buyback program by $500 million, reflecting confidence in its financial position and growth prospects. Additionally, Tetra Tech announced strategic acquisitions to expand its global digital technology and program management businesses, raising its FY25 guidance for net revenue and EPS.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.