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Primoris Services Corp. (PRIM)
NYSE:PRIM

Primoris Services (PRIM) AI Stock Analysis

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PRIM

Primoris Services

(NYSE:PRIM)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$170.00
▲(11.90% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/25/26
PRIM scores well on fundamentals and outlook: strong revenue growth, improving profitability, and a materially strengthened balance sheet, reinforced by supportive 2026 guidance and large backlog. The score is held back by thin industry margins and variable cash conversion, plus only neutral near-term technicals and a relatively high P/E with a low yield.
Positive Factors
Balance Sheet Strength
Material de‑risking of the balance sheet (debt down from >$1B to ~$387M and equity growth to ~$1.68B) meaningfully improves financial flexibility. Lower leverage reduces interest burden, supports bidding on large contracts, and cushions the business through cyclical downturns.
Backlog and MSAs
A backlog north of $11.9B and a large, growing MSA backlog (~$7B) provide multi‑year revenue visibility and stable recurring Utilities work. This structural demand base reduces short‑term bidding volatility and supports predictable utilization and planning.
Scale and Diversified Growth
Sustained top‑line expansion to ~$7.6B and broad segment growth (Energy, Utilities, renewables, gas ops) indicate scalable operations and diverse end markets. Diversification across pipelines, civil, utilities and renewables reduces single‑market risk and supports steady backlog conversion.
Negative Factors
Structurally Thin Margins
Persistently thin gross and net margins limit downside protection in a cyclical construction sector. With gross margins near 10–11% and net margin ~3.6%, cost inflation, project overruns, or lower‑margin mix can quickly erode profitability and compress free cash flow.
Cash‑Flow Variability
Free cash flow fell ~30% year‑over‑year and historical conversion has been uneven (including negative FCF years). Working‑capital intensity and project timing drive variability, which constrains capital allocation predictability and increases sensitivity to timing swings.
Execution Risk on Projects
Project‑level execution issues (geotechnical overruns, staffing turnover) produced Q4 margin pressure. Such recurring execution risk can erode margins and backlog profitability; remediation requires sustained investment in estimating, project leadership, and controls to avoid repeat hits.

Primoris Services (PRIM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Primoris Services Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPrimoris Services Corporation, a specialty contractor company, provides a range of construction, fabrication, maintenance, replacement, and engineering services in the United States and Canada. It operates through three segments: Utilities, Energy/Renewables, and Pipeline Services. The Utilities segment offers installation and maintenance services for new and existing natural gas distribution systems, electric utility distribution and transmission systems, and communications systems. The Energy/Renewables segment provides a range of services, including engineering, procurement, and construction, as well as retrofits, highway and bridge construction, demolition, site work, soil stabilization, mass excavation, flood control, upgrades, repairs, outages, and maintenance services to renewable energy and energy storage, renewable fuels, petroleum, refining, and petrochemical industries, as well as state departments of transportation. The Pipeline Services segment offers a range of services comprising pipeline construction, maintenance, facility, and integrity services; installation of compressor and pump stations; and metering facilities for entities in the petroleum and petrochemical industries, as well as gas, water, and sewer utilities. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyPrimoris generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from its contracting services across different sectors. The company earns money by executing contracts for construction and maintenance projects, which can vary in size and scope. Key revenue streams include pipeline construction projects, civil construction contracts for infrastructure development, and utility services related to energy distribution. Additionally, Primoris often engages in long-term contracts with clients, providing a steady income source. Strategic partnerships with leading energy and utility companies further enhance its revenue potential, as these collaborations can lead to larger project opportunities and sustained demand for its services.

Primoris Services Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Backlog
Total Backlog
Measures the total value of signed, uncompleted contracts across the company, offering a snapshot of revenue runway and stability while also signaling risks from cancellations, delays, or cost overruns.
Chart InsightsBacklog has stabilized around $5.0–5.2B since early 2024 after the 2022–23 peaks, suggesting less inherent runway than during the prior growth phase. Management reports a larger corporate backlog (~$11.1B) but noted a sequential decline and margin pressure, while forecasting book‑to‑bill >1 in Q4 driven by Energy renewables. Watch whether new awards sustain bookings and improve mix—if they don’t, revenue will depend on burning existing backlog faster, which could keep margins under pressure.
Data provided by:The Fly

Primoris Services Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted strong multi-year demand drivers, record revenue, backlog and cash generation, clear segment-level growth (notably renewables, gas operations and utilities), and conservative, achievable 2026 guidance. These positives are partially offset by near-term execution issues and margin pressure in Q4—mostly tied to a small number of renewables projects and lower storm work—and a trough in pipeline services. Management has a plan to address execution (added project leadership, tighter estimating and project controls) and expects margin recovery in 2026. Overall, the positives around top-line growth, backlog quality, cash flow and a strong balance sheet materially outweigh the contained operational issues.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue, Earnings and Backlog
Full-year 2025 revenue nearly $7.6 billion, up $1.2 billion year-over-year (~18.8%); gross profit for the year increased $110 million (~16%). Total backlog finished the year above $11.9 billion, including nearly $3.0 billion of new bookings in Q4.
Strong Fourth Quarter Revenue
Q4 2025 revenue was almost $1.9 billion, an increase of $116.4 million or ~7% compared to prior-year Q4.
Utilities Segment Growth and Margin Improvement (Annual)
Utilities revenue up ~$253 million (~>10%) for the year; full-year Utilities gross profit increased ~$51 million (~20%) driven by improved power delivery margins and strength in gas operations and communications.
Energy Segment Expansion
Energy revenue grew ~25% (~almost $1.0 billion) in 2025, led by renewables and natural gas generation; renewables revenue grew over 50% year-over-year, partly due to ~$500 million of revenue pulled forward from 2026.
Gas Operations Milestone
Gas operations reached $1.0 billion in revenue for the first time in 2025, driven by market share gains and expanded capital programs in the Midwest and Southeast.
Backlog Quality and MSAs
MSA backlog up over 20% year-over-year, representing a substantial portion (~$7 billion) of total backlog and supporting multi-year visibility in Utilities work.
Cash Generation and Balance Sheet Strength
Operating cash flow was approximately $143 million in Q4 and over $470 million for the full year. Cash at year-end was $536 million (up from $456 million), total long-term debt $470 million, resulting in a net cash positive position entering 2026.
Improved Financial Efficiency
Full-year SG&A declined to 5.3% of revenue from 6.0% the prior year. Net interest expense decreased by almost $37 million year-over-year to just under $29 million (FY 2025) due to lower debt and rates.
Guidance for 2026
2026 guidance: GAAP EPS $5.35–$5.55, adjusted EPS $5.80–$6.00, and adjusted EBITDA $560–$580 million. Utilities and Energy segment gross margin guidance each targeted at 10%–12% for the full year.
Strategic and Operational Investments
Headcount increased by more than 2,800 people in 2025; planned CapEx of $120–$140 million for 2026 (equipment $90–$110 million). Investments planned in eBOS (Premier PV) capacity expansion and a remote operations control center for O&M.
Battery Storage Growth
Battery storage business grew to over $250 million in 2025 and is identified as a continued growth driver for the renewables portfolio.
Negative Updates
Q4 Margin Pressure
Q4 2025 gross profit declined by $9.6 million (~5%) to $175 million. Q4 consolidated gross margin fell to 9.4% from 10.6% in prior-year Q4.
Segment-Level Q4 Margin Declines
Q4 Utilities gross profit decreased ~ $7 million (~8%) with gross margins down to 10.5% from 12.1%. Q4 Energy gross profit decreased ~$2.8 million with margins down to 8.5% from 9.5%.
Renewables Cost Overruns on Specific Projects
Certain renewables projects experienced unanticipated rock/soil conditions requiring additional labor and equipment, causing cost overruns and lower margins in Q4. One sister project is in a slight loss position while the other remains positive; management expects these costs are largely accounted for and margins to improve in 2026.
Reduced Storm Work
Decrease in storm response work in 2025 reduced high-accretive margins in power delivery; storm work contributed approximately $12 million of adjusted EBITDA in 2025 and is not included in 2026 guidance.
Pipeline Services Cyclical Weakness
Pipeline services faced another challenging year (described as a trough), partially offset by a larger funnel (~$3 billion) but pipeline revenue declined in 2025 and requires bookings to bounce back in 2026.
Divestiture Headwind
Divestiture of a non-core industrial business in Q4 2024 created an approximate $75 million revenue headwind in 2025.
Short-Term Execution and Staffing Issues on Specific Programs
Turnover in project staff and underappreciated geotechnical conditions on certain projects led to remedial measures and temporary execution challenges; management is investing in project leadership, upfront engineering and estimating to mitigate recurrence.
Q1 Seasonality Risk and Cash Timing
Management noted Q1 is typically the lowest quarter for revenue and net income (seasonality in Utilities). Q4 included ~ $100 million of cash collections pulled from Q1 2026, which may shift timing of working capital in 2026.
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 to GAAP EPS of $5.35–$5.55 and adjusted EPS of $5.80–$6.00, with adjusted EBITDA of $560–$580 million; they expect interest expense of $23–$26 million, an effective tax rate around 29%, SG&A in the mid‑to‑high 5% of revenue range (2025 SG&A was 5.3%), and CapEx of $120–$140 million (equipment $90–$110 million). Segment guidance calls for Utilities gross margins of 10–12% for the year (Q1 7–9%) and Energy gross margins of 10–12% for the year; operating cash flow is expected to trend toward the company target of 4–5% of revenue (2025 operating cash flow >$470M; Q4 ≈$143M). Guidance excludes potential storm benefits (≈$12M adjusted EBITDA in 2025). The company enters 2026 with $536M cash, $470M long‑term debt (net cash positive), and backlog >$11.9B (Q4 bookings ≈$3B; MSA backlog up >20%).

Primoris Services Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong top-line scale-up to ~$7.6B TTM and improved profitability (TTM net margin ~3.6%) supported by a materially de-risked balance sheet (debt down to ~$387M TTM; ~0.23x D/E). Offsets include structurally thin gross margins (~10–11%) and cash-flow variability, with TTM FCF down ~30% vs 2024 and uneven history.
Income Statement
78
Positive
PRIM shows a solid multi-year growth profile, with revenue rising from ~$3.5B (2020) to $6.4B (2024) and $7.6B in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). Profitability has improved versus the 2022–2023 period, with net margin expanding to ~3.6% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from ~2.8% in 2024 and ~2.2% in 2023, and operating profitability remaining steady around the mid-4% range. Offsetting this, margins are structurally thin and gross margin has not meaningfully expanded (roughly ~10–11%), which limits downside protection in a cyclical construction environment.
Balance Sheet
83
Very Positive
Balance sheet strength improved materially: total debt fell to ~$387M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) from ~$1.19B in 2024 and ~$1.32B in 2023, driving leverage down to ~0.23x debt-to-equity (from ~0.84x in 2024 and >1.0x in 2022–2023). Equity has also grown to ~$1.68B (TTM), supporting a stronger capital base. Returns on equity are healthy and improving (about ~18% in TTM versus ~13% in 2024), though the business remains asset- and working-capital-intensive given the scale of total assets (~$4.4B).
Cash Flow
69
Positive
Cash generation is generally solid, with operating cash flow at ~$470M and free cash flow at ~$341M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), and free cash flow covering a large portion of earnings (~72% of net income). However, free cash flow declined sharply versus 2024 (about -30% growth), pointing to variability likely tied to project mix and working capital swings. The history also shows more uneven conversion (including negative free cash flow in 2021–2022), so cash reliability is improving but not yet consistently stable.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.57B6.37B5.72B4.42B3.50B
Gross Profit813.10M703.25M587.49M456.88M416.66M
EBITDA505.80M415.75M362.88M297.65M275.91M
Net Income274.90M180.89M126.14M133.02M115.74M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.41B4.20B3.83B3.54B2.54B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments535.50M455.82M217.78M248.69M200.51M
Total Debt386.50M1.19B1.32B1.35B821.11M
Total Liabilities2.73B2.79B2.59B2.44B1.55B
Stockholders Equity1.68B1.41B1.24B1.11B990.05M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow340.50M381.76M95.55M-11.34M-54.09M
Operating Cash Flow470.40M508.31M198.55M83.35M79.75M
Investing Cash Flow-93.90M-27.23M-30.01M-481.94M-691.27M
Financing Cash Flow-296.30M-244.36M-205.28M452.04M485.73M

Primoris Services Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price151.92
Price Trends
50DMA
143.47
Positive
100DMA
137.44
Positive
200DMA
116.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.42
Positive
RSI
47.50
Neutral
STOCH
49.50
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRIM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 151.92 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 157.93, above the 50-day MA of 143.47, and above the 200-day MA of 116.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.50 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PRIM.

Primoris Services Risk Analysis

Primoris Services disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Primoris Services reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Primoris Services Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$10.23B30.5442.01%16.89%54.13%
74
Outperform
$8.21B33.0217.79%0.25%21.45%67.31%
73
Outperform
$5.13B13.1127.77%1.65%9.66%29.01%
71
Outperform
$14.12B45.0835.73%6.20%72.81%
70
Outperform
$5.92B37.1017.59%0.45%6.87%64.56%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$7.78B-1.42%-1.81%1228.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRIM
Primoris Services
151.92
78.99
108.31%
FLR
Fluor
53.10
15.39
40.81%
GVA
Granite Construction
136.19
54.38
66.46%
IESC
IES Holdings
513.40
327.48
176.14%
KBR
KBR
40.40
-6.84
-14.47%
STRL
Sterling Infrastructure
459.72
337.56
276.33%

Primoris Services Corporate Events

Dividends
Primoris Services Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

On February 17, 2026, Primoris Services’ board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share of common stock. The dividend will be paid on or about April 15, 2026, to stockholders of record as of March 31, 2026, signaling the company’s ongoing practice of returning capital to shareholders and offering income-focused investors additional visibility into near-term cash distributions.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRIM) stock is a Buy with a $168.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Primoris Services stock, see the PRIM Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026