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Granite Construction (GVA)
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Granite Construction (GVA) AI Stock Analysis

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GVA

Granite Construction

(NYSE:GVA)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(9.01% Upside)
Granite Construction's overall stock score of 70 reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, which are the most significant factors. However, technical analysis indicates short-term weakness, and the valuation suggests the stock may be overvalued. These factors balance the overall score, highlighting both strengths and potential risks.

Granite Construction (GVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Granite Construction Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGranite Construction Incorporated (GVA) is a leading heavy civil contractor and construction materials producer, operating primarily in the United States. The company specializes in a diverse range of sectors, including transportation, water resources, and infrastructure development. Granite Construction provides core services such as road and highway construction, bridge building, utility construction, and various environmental projects, as well as producing aggregates, asphalt, and ready-mix concrete for construction and public works projects.
How the Company Makes MoneyGranite Construction generates revenue primarily through contracts awarded for construction projects and services across various sectors. The company operates on a project-based revenue model, where it secures contracts from government agencies, municipalities, and private sector clients. Key revenue streams include heavy civil construction, which encompasses highway and road projects, and a range of specialized services in water resource management and environmental remediation. Additionally, revenue is supplemented through the sale of construction materials, including aggregates and asphalt products, which are used in its own projects and sold to third-party contractors. Strategic partnerships with governmental agencies and private firms, along with a focus on long-term contracts, contribute significantly to its earnings stability and growth potential.

Granite Construction Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial quarter with significant revenue and profit growth, successful acquisitions, and a positive market environment. However, project delays and weather risks present potential challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Revenue increased by $158 million or 12% year-over-year, with gross profit increasing by 28% and adjusted net income improving by 36%.
Materials Segment Success
The Materials segment showed significant improvement, with aggregate and asphalt volumes increasing 26% and 14% respectively.
Successful Acquisitions
Recent acquisitions, including Warren Paving and Papich Construction, have integrated well and are exceeding expectations, contributing to both revenue and margin growth.
Strong Cash Flow
Operating cash flow for the first 9 months was $290 million, surpassing the target of 9% of revenue.
Positive Market Environment
The public market environment remains strong, supported by the IIJA and private markets, leading to increased bidding opportunities and record high CAP.
Negative Updates
Project Delays
Some project starts have shifted later into the second half of the year, affecting the annual revenue target.
Weather Risks
Potential weather impacts in Q4 were noted as a risk factor for achieving revenue targets.
Company Guidance
During the call, Granite Construction Inc. provided updated guidance for the remainder of 2025, projecting annual revenue between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, driven by a strong market and strategic acquisitions. The company raised its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to 11.5% to 12.5%, reflecting improved performance in both its Construction and Materials segments. Granite's Materials segment showed significant growth, with aggregate and asphalt volumes increasing by 26% and 14%, respectively, bolstered by recent acquisitions such as Warren Paving and Papich Construction. The company also highlighted strong cash flow generation, expecting to exceed its operating cash flow target of 9% of revenue for the year. CapEx for 2025 was revised to approximately $130 million, below previous forecasts, with a long-term annual target of around 3% of revenue. The guidance underscores Granite's confidence in achieving organic growth targets of 6% to 8% through 2027 while maintaining a disciplined approach to M&A.

Granite Construction Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Granite Construction has shown a positive trajectory in financial performance, with improvements in revenue, profitability, and cash flow metrics. The company has effectively managed its debt levels while enhancing return on equity. Despite past challenges, particularly in 2021, the current financial health appears strong, positioning the company well for future growth in the engineering and construction industry.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Granite Construction has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase in gross profit margin from 11.3% in 2023 to 15.6% in TTM 2025. The net profit margin has also improved, reaching 3.9% in TTM 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have strengthened, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, the company faced challenges in earlier years with lower margins and a negative net profit margin in 2021.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has remained relatively stable, decreasing slightly to 0.77 in TTM 2025, suggesting manageable leverage. Return on equity has improved significantly to 15.5% in TTM 2025, reflecting better profitability. The equity ratio remains healthy, indicating a solid financial position, though the company has experienced fluctuations in equity growth over the years.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Granite Construction has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, particularly in recent periods, with a 4.7% increase in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the company faced negative free cash flow in 2021, highlighting past volatility in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.08B4.01B3.51B3.30B3.50B3.56B
Gross Profit636.65M572.70M396.40M369.49M362.64M344.79M
EBITDA407.91M351.71M170.59M187.01M151.92M-29.30M
Net Income158.48M126.35M43.60M83.30M10.10M-145.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.11B3.03B2.81B2.17B2.49B2.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments385.30M726.57M624.76M517.17M585.56M614.09M
Total Debt821.85M832.85M735.09M339.21M372.85M378.62M
Total Liabilities1.99B1.95B1.79B1.18B1.50B1.39B
Stockholders Equity1.06B1.02B977.30M953.02M967.68M975.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow309.13M319.94M43.32M-65.97M-72.88M175.21M
Operating Cash Flow439.70M456.34M183.71M55.65M21.93M268.46M
Investing Cash Flow-382.19M-228.56M-359.29M-11.00M-21.48M-41.26M
Financing Cash Flow-102.24M-67.12M299.25M-164.31M-24.45M-57.66M

Granite Construction Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price103.66
Price Trends
50DMA
106.41
Negative
100DMA
102.30
Negative
200DMA
92.20
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.70
Positive
RSI
24.62
Positive
STOCH
27.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GVA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 103.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 103.78, below the 50-day MA of 106.41, and above the 200-day MA of 92.20, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.62 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GVA.

Granite Construction Risk Analysis

Granite Construction disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Granite Construction reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our bylaws include a forum selection clause, which could limit our stockholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us. Q4, 2024
2.
Accounting for our revenues and cost involves significant estimates. Q4, 2024
3.
The U.S. government may adopt new contract rules and regulations or revise its procurement practices in a manner adverse to us at any time. Q4, 2024

Granite Construction Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.49B39.1033.43%0.52%29.16%163.46%
74
Outperform
$3.62B37.7216.22%-0.64%168.51%
74
Outperform
$4.76B27.7635.26%28.20%24.27%
70
Outperform
$4.50B34.3616.87%0.52%6.87%64.56%
70
Outperform
$7.04B25.7618.56%0.25%21.45%67.31%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$3.55B-2.31%19.22%78.83%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GVA
Granite Construction
98.50
1.13
1.16%
AGX
Argan
311.58
157.62
102.38%
MYRG
MYR Group
233.48
84.82
57.06%
PRIM
Primoris Services
125.45
44.14
54.29%
TPC
Tutor Perini
62.94
32.43
106.29%
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
97.81
34.88
55.43%

Granite Construction Corporate Events

Granite Construction Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Granite Construction, a leading diversified civil contractor and construction materials producer in the United States, is known for its vertically-integrated operations and commitment to quality and sustainability.

Executive/Board Changes
Granite Construction Appoints J. Timothy Romer as Director
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Granite Construction Incorporated appointed J. Timothy Romer as a director, who will serve on the Board’s Audit/Compliance Committee and Risk Committee. This appointment aligns with the company’s governance practices and ensures compliance with New York Stock Exchange independence requirements, potentially strengthening the company’s oversight and risk management capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GVA) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Construction stock, see the GVA Stock Forecast page.

Granite Construction’s Earnings Call Highlights Strategic Growth
Aug 12, 2025

Granite Construction’s latest earnings call conveyed a predominantly positive sentiment, underscoring strategic acquisitions, record capital achievements, and robust growth in both revenue and profit margins. Despite an increase in debt and stable private market conditions, the company maintains a strong outlook with revised guidance and optimistic future targets.

Granite Construction Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Granite Construction Incorporated is a leading diversified civil contractor and construction materials producer in the United States, known for its strong commitment to safety, quality, and sustainability. In its latest earnings report for the second quarter of 2025, Granite Construction announced a 4% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $1.13 billion, and a significant 87% rise in diluted earnings per share to $1.42. The company also reported a record increase in Committed and Awarded Projects to $6.1 billion, reflecting robust bidding opportunities in both public and private markets. Key financial highlights include a gross profit increase to $199 million and an adjusted EBITDA rise to $152 million, driven by improved project execution and favorable claim settlements. The company also completed strategic acquisitions of Warren Paving and Papich Construction, enhancing its aggregate supply and expanding its market presence in the Southeast and California. Looking ahead, Granite Construction has raised its 2025 revenue guidance to between $4.35 billion and $4.55 billion, with expectations of continued margin expansion and strategic growth through acquisitions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025