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Granite Construction (GVA)
NYSE:GVA

Granite Construction (GVA) AI Stock Analysis

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GVA

Granite Construction

(NYSE:GVA)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(9.01% Upside)
Granite Construction's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are significant strengths, contributing to a solid overall score. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the stock's valuation appears high, which could limit upside potential.

Granite Construction (GVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Granite Construction Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGranite Construction Incorporated (GVA) is a leading heavy civil contractor and construction materials producer in the United States. The company operates in various sectors, including transportation, water resources, and industrial construction. Granite's core services encompass construction management, general contracting, and project development, with a focus on infrastructure projects such as highways, bridges, and airports. Additionally, the company produces and supplies construction materials, including aggregates, asphalt, and concrete, contributing to its extensive portfolio of construction solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyGranite Construction generates revenue primarily through its contracting services, which include civil construction contracts for public and private sector clients. The company earns significant income from various projects such as roadway construction, bridge building, and water resource management. Revenue is also derived from the sale of construction materials, which is bolstered by the company's ownership of quarries and asphalt plants. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with government agencies, which provide a steady flow of income, and project-specific contracts that can vary in size and duration. Additionally, Granite often engages in partnerships with other firms to bid on larger projects, allowing them to leverage combined resources and expertise. Factors contributing to the company's earnings include its reputation for quality and reliability, strategic bidding practices, and the overall demand for infrastructure development in the regions it serves.

Granite Construction Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial quarter with significant revenue and profit growth, successful acquisitions, and a positive market environment. However, project delays and weather risks present potential challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Revenue increased by $158 million or 12% year-over-year, with gross profit increasing by 28% and adjusted net income improving by 36%.
Materials Segment Success
The Materials segment showed significant improvement, with aggregate and asphalt volumes increasing 26% and 14% respectively.
Successful Acquisitions
Recent acquisitions, including Warren Paving and Papich Construction, have integrated well and are exceeding expectations, contributing to both revenue and margin growth.
Strong Cash Flow
Operating cash flow for the first 9 months was $290 million, surpassing the target of 9% of revenue.
Positive Market Environment
The public market environment remains strong, supported by the IIJA and private markets, leading to increased bidding opportunities and record high CAP.
Negative Updates
Project Delays
Some project starts have shifted later into the second half of the year, affecting the annual revenue target.
Weather Risks
Potential weather impacts in Q4 were noted as a risk factor for achieving revenue targets.
Company Guidance
During the call, Granite Construction Inc. provided updated guidance for the remainder of 2025, projecting annual revenue between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, driven by a strong market and strategic acquisitions. The company raised its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to 11.5% to 12.5%, reflecting improved performance in both its Construction and Materials segments. Granite's Materials segment showed significant growth, with aggregate and asphalt volumes increasing by 26% and 14%, respectively, bolstered by recent acquisitions such as Warren Paving and Papich Construction. The company also highlighted strong cash flow generation, expecting to exceed its operating cash flow target of 9% of revenue for the year. CapEx for 2025 was revised to approximately $130 million, below previous forecasts, with a long-term annual target of around 3% of revenue. The guidance underscores Granite's confidence in achieving organic growth targets of 6% to 8% through 2027 while maintaining a disciplined approach to M&A.

Granite Construction Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income Statement
75
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Breakdown
Income Statement
Total Revenue
Gross Profit
EBITDA
Net Income
Balance Sheet
Total Assets
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
Total Debt
Total Liabilities
Stockholders Equity
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow
Operating Cash Flow
Investing Cash Flow
Financing Cash Flow

Granite Construction Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price103.66
Price Trends
50DMA
105.99
Positive
100DMA
106.48
Positive
200DMA
95.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.93
Negative
RSI
70.76
Negative
STOCH
71.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 109.92, below the 50-day MA of 105.99, and above the 200-day MA of 95.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.76 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GVA.

Granite Construction Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (―)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$3.43B35.7316.22%-0.64%168.51%
75
Outperform
$6.76B24.7418.56%0.26%21.45%67.31%
73
Outperform
$4.52B38.3732.05%0.49%13.49%77.73%
72
Outperform
$4.54B25.1335.26%28.20%24.27%
70
Outperform
$5.04B33.9316.87%0.45%6.87%64.56%
65
Neutral
$3.69B-128.94-2.31%0.09%19.22%78.83%
* Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GVA
Granite Construction
115.45
25.36
28.15%
AGX
Argan
325.59
186.51
134.10%
MYRG
MYR Group
221.15
71.24
47.52%
PRIM
Primoris Services
125.19
45.24
56.59%
TPC
Tutor Perini
69.99
44.98
179.85%
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
89.03
20.23
29.40%

Granite Construction Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Granite Construction Appoints J. Timothy Romer as Director
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Granite Construction Incorporated appointed J. Timothy Romer as a director, who will serve on the Board’s Audit/Compliance Committee and Risk Committee. This appointment aligns with the company’s governance practices and ensures compliance with New York Stock Exchange independence requirements, potentially strengthening the company’s oversight and risk management capabilities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025