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Granite Construction (GVA)
NYSE:GVA
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Granite Construction (GVA) AI Stock Analysis

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GVA

Granite Construction

(NYSE:GVA)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$152.00
▲(22.31% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/20/26
GVA scores well on improving operating performance and cash generation, reinforced by raised 2026 guidance and a favorable technical uptrend. The score is held back by elevated leverage/capital-structure risk and less supportive valuation signals (negative P/E and low dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for working capital, targeted M&A and debt reduction. Covering ~77% of net income, strong cash conversion supports reinvestment in projects and gradual deleveraging even if revenue growth moderates.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Debt materially above equity and low OCF-to-debt coverage constrain financial flexibility. Elevated leverage raises refinancing and interest-rate exposure, meaning setbacks in execution or demand could impair the pace of deleveraging and limit capital allocation options for years.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Cash Generation
Sustained high operating and free cash flow provides durable internal funding for working capital, targeted M&A and debt reduction. Covering ~77% of net income, strong cash conversion supports reinvestment in projects and gradual deleveraging even if revenue growth moderates.
Read all positive factors

Granite Construction Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Gross Profit by Segment
Shows gross profit generated by each business segment, highlighting where Granite converts sales into margin and where costs are pressuring profitability. Large differences between segments point to where pricing power, cost control, or operational efficiency will most affect overall earnings.
Chart InsightsConstruction’s gross profit improvement looks structural—shifting to higher‑quality, best‑value work and a record backlog are driving sustained margin lift rather than one‑off seasonality. More important, Materials has evolved from a marginal, sometimes loss‑making seasonal arm into a sizeable, high‑margin contributor after reserve growth, strategic capex and accretive acquisitions; that diversification boosts upside but makes future performance more dependent on successful M&A, execution against weather/timing risks, and federal funding cadence.
Data provided by:The Fly

Granite Construction (GVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Granite Construction Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Granite Construction Incorporated operates as an infrastructure contractor and a construction materials producer in the United States. It operates through two segments, Construction and Materials segments. The Construction segment engages in the c...
How the Company Makes Money
Granite makes money primarily by contracting to build, improve, and repair infrastructure projects and by supplying construction materials. The largest revenue driver is typically its Construction business, where it earns revenue from project cont...

Granite Construction Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive outlook driven by strong top-line growth (revenue +30%), margin and EBITDA improvement, accretive M&A (Kenny Sain and Warren Paving), raised guidance, and a growing, high-quality CAP base including federal and tactical infrastructure work. Management acknowledged near-term cash usage, a project cancellation that reduced CAP by ~$300 million, energy cost volatility, and execution risks on fast-burn tactical projects, but indicated those issues are mitigated and outweighed by the company’s operational momentum and disciplined capital allocation.
Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line and Profitability Growth
Revenue increased 30% year-over-year to $912 million. Gross profit rose 31% to $110 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $30 million to $58 million, and adjusted net income increased by $12 million to $12 million.
Negative Updates
Project Cancellation Impacting CAP
Approximately $300 million reduction to CAP from the cancellation of a public sector highway project in California where expanded scope exceeded available funding. Management said cancellations are rare and project may return in a different form/size, but this reduced CAP growth headroom in the quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Top-Line and Profitability Growth
Revenue increased 30% year-over-year to $912 million. Gross profit rose 31% to $110 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $30 million to $58 million, and adjusted net income increased by $12 million to $12 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised 2026 revenue guidance to $5.2–$5.4 billion (from $4.9–$5.1 billion), reflecting an incremental $200 million from a tactical infrastructure contract and $100 million from the Kenny Sain acquisition; they lowered SG&A as a percent of revenue to 8.25%–8.75% (from 8.5%–9%), inclusive of approximately $48 million of stock‑based compensation, and increased adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 12.25%–13.25% (from 12%–13%); operating cash flow is still expected to be about 10% of revenue for the year, CapEx guidance of $141.16 billion (as stated on the call) and an estimated adjusted effective tax rate in the mid‑20s remain unchanged.

Granite Construction Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement and cash flow are solid (turnaround vs. 2021–2023, improved profitability, strong TTM operating cash flow and free cash flow). The main constraint is balance-sheet risk: leverage is elevated (debt above equity) and operating cash flow vs. total debt is only ~0.31x, which limits flexibility if project execution or demand weakens.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
59
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.64B4.42B4.01B3.51B3.30B3.50B
Gross Profit737.27M711.22M572.70M396.40M369.49M362.64M
EBITDA481.97M424.67M351.71M170.59M187.01M151.92M
Net Income184.96M193.00M126.35M43.60M83.30M10.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.78B4.03B3.03B2.81B2.17B2.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments314.90M600.24M726.57M624.76M517.17M585.56M
Total Debt1.36B1.62B832.85M735.09M339.21M372.85M
Total Liabilities2.70B2.81B1.95B1.79B1.18B1.50B
Stockholders Equity1.03B1.18B1.02B977.30M953.02M967.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow302.19M330.65M319.94M43.32M-65.97M-72.88M
Operating Cash Flow434.40M468.92M456.34M183.71M55.65M21.93M
Investing Cash Flow-814.91M-993.72M-228.56M-359.29M-11.00M-21.48M
Financing Cash Flow267.16M475.69M-67.12M299.25M-164.31M-24.45M

Granite Construction Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price124.27
Price Trends
50DMA
127.68
Positive
100DMA
126.63
Positive
200DMA
117.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.12
Positive
RSI
44.84
Neutral
STOCH
7.46
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GVA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 124.27 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 135.83, below the 50-day MA of 127.68, and above the 200-day MA of 117.06, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.84 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.46 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GVA.

Granite Construction Risk Analysis

Granite Construction disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Granite Construction reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Granite Construction Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$9.16B24.5033.62%0.49%8.06%57.80%
81
Outperform
$7.59B25.8537.17%29.70%46.91%
80
Outperform
$6.96B23.4322.14%13.14%317.43%
73
Outperform
$3.83B39.606.50%0.09%25.67%
72
Outperform
$5.68B-31.2916.70%0.45%14.93%49.81%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$6.38B111.1815.21%0.25%13.40%19.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GVA
Granite Construction
129.95
42.33
48.32%
AGX
Argan
656.35
454.26
224.78%
MYRG
MYR Group
446.90
289.49
183.91%
PRIM
Primoris Services
117.55
46.67
65.85%
TPC
Tutor Perini
72.76
37.03
103.64%
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
148.65
89.20
150.04%

Granite Construction Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Granite Construction Prices $600 Million Senior Notes Offering
Positive
May 19, 2026
On May 18, 2026, Granite Construction announced it had priced a private offering of $600 million in 6.375% senior notes due 2034, which will be guaranteed by certain existing and future domestic subsidiaries and is expected to close on June 2, 202...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Granite Construction Announces New Senior Notes Offering
Positive
May 18, 2026
On May 18, 2026, Granite Construction announced plans to privately offer $600 million of senior notes due 2034, guaranteed on an unsecured basis by certain U.S. subsidiaries, with terms and pricing subject to market conditions. The move is aimed a...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 20, 2026