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Granite Construction (GVA)
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Granite Construction (GVA) AI Stock Analysis

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GVA

Granite Construction

(NYSE:GVA)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$113.00
▲(9.01% Upside)
Granite Construction's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are significant strengths, contributing to a solid overall score. However, technical indicators suggest potential bearish momentum, and the stock's valuation appears high, which could limit upside potential.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The consistent revenue growth indicates a strong market position and effective business strategy, supporting long-term financial stability.
Successful Acquisitions
Successful integration of acquisitions enhances market reach and operational efficiency, contributing to sustained revenue and margin growth.
Strong Cash Flow
Robust cash flow generation supports financial flexibility and investment capacity, underpinning long-term growth and stability.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Higher leverage can increase financial risk, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in growth and manage economic downturns.
Project Delays
Delays in project execution can affect revenue recognition and cash flow, posing challenges to meeting financial targets and investor expectations.
Weather Risks
Weather-related disruptions can impact project timelines and costs, affecting revenue and profitability, especially in the construction industry.

Granite Construction (GVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Granite Construction Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGranite Construction Incorporated (GVA) is a leading heavy civil contractor and construction materials producer, operating primarily in the United States. The company specializes in a diverse range of sectors, including transportation, water resources, and infrastructure development. Granite Construction provides core services such as road and highway construction, bridge building, utility construction, and various environmental projects, as well as producing aggregates, asphalt, and ready-mix concrete for construction and public works projects.
How the Company Makes MoneyGranite Construction generates revenue primarily through contracts awarded for construction projects and services across various sectors. The company operates on a project-based revenue model, where it secures contracts from government agencies, municipalities, and private sector clients. Key revenue streams include heavy civil construction, which encompasses highway and road projects, and a range of specialized services in water resource management and environmental remediation. Additionally, revenue is supplemented through the sale of construction materials, including aggregates and asphalt products, which are used in its own projects and sold to third-party contractors. Strategic partnerships with governmental agencies and private firms, along with a focus on long-term contracts, contribute significantly to its earnings stability and growth potential.

Granite Construction Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 06, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong financial quarter with significant revenue and profit growth, successful acquisitions, and a positive market environment. However, project delays and weather risks present potential challenges.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record-Breaking Revenue and Growth
Revenue increased by $158 million or 12% year-over-year, with gross profit increasing by 28% and adjusted net income improving by 36%.
Materials Segment Success
The Materials segment showed significant improvement, with aggregate and asphalt volumes increasing 26% and 14% respectively.
Successful Acquisitions
Recent acquisitions, including Warren Paving and Papich Construction, have integrated well and are exceeding expectations, contributing to both revenue and margin growth.
Strong Cash Flow
Operating cash flow for the first 9 months was $290 million, surpassing the target of 9% of revenue.
Positive Market Environment
The public market environment remains strong, supported by the IIJA and private markets, leading to increased bidding opportunities and record high CAP.
Negative Updates
Project Delays
Some project starts have shifted later into the second half of the year, affecting the annual revenue target.
Weather Risks
Potential weather impacts in Q4 were noted as a risk factor for achieving revenue targets.
Company Guidance
During the call, Granite Construction Inc. provided updated guidance for the remainder of 2025, projecting annual revenue between $4.35 billion and $4.45 billion, driven by a strong market and strategic acquisitions. The company raised its adjusted EBITDA margin forecast to 11.5% to 12.5%, reflecting improved performance in both its Construction and Materials segments. Granite's Materials segment showed significant growth, with aggregate and asphalt volumes increasing by 26% and 14%, respectively, bolstered by recent acquisitions such as Warren Paving and Papich Construction. The company also highlighted strong cash flow generation, expecting to exceed its operating cash flow target of 9% of revenue for the year. CapEx for 2025 was revised to approximately $130 million, below previous forecasts, with a long-term annual target of around 3% of revenue. The guidance underscores Granite's confidence in achieving organic growth targets of 6% to 8% through 2027 while maintaining a disciplined approach to M&A.

Granite Construction Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Granite Construction has shown a positive trajectory in financial performance, with improvements in revenue, profitability, and cash flow metrics. The company has effectively managed its debt levels while enhancing return on equity. Despite past challenges, particularly in 2021, the current financial health appears strong, positioning the company well for future growth in the engineering and construction industry.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Granite Construction has shown consistent revenue growth with a notable increase in gross profit margin from 11.3% in 2023 to 15.6% in TTM 2025. The net profit margin has also improved, reaching 3.9% in TTM 2025. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have strengthened, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, the company faced challenges in earlier years with lower margins and a negative net profit margin in 2021.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has remained relatively stable, decreasing slightly to 0.77 in TTM 2025, suggesting manageable leverage. Return on equity has improved significantly to 15.5% in TTM 2025, reflecting better profitability. The equity ratio remains healthy, indicating a solid financial position, though the company has experienced fluctuations in equity growth over the years.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Granite Construction has demonstrated strong free cash flow growth, particularly in recent periods, with a 4.7% increase in TTM 2025. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, the company faced negative free cash flow in 2021, highlighting past volatility in cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.24B4.01B3.51B3.30B3.50B3.56B
Gross Profit694.25M572.70M396.40M369.49M362.64M344.79M
EBITDA465.74M351.71M170.59M187.01M151.92M-29.30M
Net Income182.46M126.35M43.60M83.30M10.10M-145.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.15B3.03B2.81B2.17B2.49B2.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments547.24M726.57M624.76M517.17M585.56M614.09M
Total Debt1.46B832.85M735.09M339.21M372.85M378.62M
Total Liabilities2.94B1.95B1.79B1.18B1.50B1.39B
Stockholders Equity1.16B1.02B977.30M953.02M967.68M975.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow346.44M319.94M43.32M-65.97M-72.88M175.21M
Operating Cash Flow462.41M456.34M183.71M55.65M21.93M268.46M
Investing Cash Flow-965.24M-228.56M-359.29M-11.00M-21.48M-41.26M
Financing Cash Flow482.35M-67.12M299.25M-164.31M-24.45M-57.66M

Granite Construction Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price103.66
Price Trends
50DMA
105.16
Positive
100DMA
103.90
Positive
200DMA
93.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Negative
RSI
65.66
Neutral
STOCH
90.65
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.84, below the 50-day MA of 105.16, and above the 200-day MA of 93.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.66 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.65 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GVA.

Granite Construction Risk Analysis

Granite Construction disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Granite Construction reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our bylaws include a forum selection clause, which could limit our stockholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us. Q4, 2024
2.
Accounting for our revenues and cost involves significant estimates. Q4, 2024
3.
The U.S. government may adopt new contract rules and regulations or revise its procurement practices in a manner adverse to us at any time. Q4, 2024

Granite Construction Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$5.46B47.5633.43%0.41%29.16%163.46%
74
Outperform
$3.48B36.2416.22%-0.64%168.51%
73
Outperform
$4.69B25.9635.26%28.20%24.27%
71
Outperform
$6.84B25.0118.56%0.25%21.45%67.31%
70
Outperform
$4.30B28.9516.87%0.48%6.87%64.56%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
63
Neutral
$3.62B-2.31%19.22%78.83%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GVA
Granite Construction
107.53
9.34
9.51%
AGX
Argan
395.20
240.39
155.28%
MYRG
MYR Group
224.32
66.25
41.91%
PRIM
Primoris Services
126.56
43.64
52.63%
TPC
Tutor Perini
68.55
41.40
152.49%
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
91.96
29.06
46.20%

Granite Construction Corporate Events

Granite Construction Shines in Earnings Call
Nov 8, 2025

Granite Construction’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust financial health, marked by impressive revenue and profit growth. The company celebrated successful acquisitions and a favorable market environment, although it acknowledged challenges such as project delays and weather risks that could impact future performance.

Granite Construction Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Granite Construction, a leading diversified civil contractor and construction materials producer in the United States, is known for its vertically-integrated operations and commitment to quality and sustainability.

Executive/Board Changes
Granite Construction Appoints J. Timothy Romer as Director
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Granite Construction Incorporated appointed J. Timothy Romer as a director, who will serve on the Board’s Audit/Compliance Committee and Risk Committee. This appointment aligns with the company’s governance practices and ensures compliance with New York Stock Exchange independence requirements, potentially strengthening the company’s oversight and risk management capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GVA) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Construction stock, see the GVA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025