Granite Construction (GVA)
NYSE:GVA
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Granite Construction
(NYSE:GVA)
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Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$153.00
▲(23.12% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score is driven by improved operating performance and strong cash generation, reinforced by a constructive earnings outlook with raised guidance and backlog/CAP strength. These positives are tempered by elevated leverage and a less attractive valuation (higher P/E and minimal yield), even as technicals remain strong.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Granite's strong trailing‑12‑month operating cash flow and free cash flow demonstrate durable internal funding for capex, working capital and M&A. FCF covering about 77% of net income supports reinvestment and debt servicing capacity, improving resilience across cycles.
Negative Factors
Elevated Leverage
Debt materially above equity increases financial sensitivity to project delays or demand slowdowns. Elevated leverage constrains capital flexibility, lengthens deleveraging timelines even with strong FCF, and raises refinancing and covenant risks if macro conditions worsen.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Granite's strong trailing‑12‑month operating cash flow and free cash flow demonstrate durable internal funding for capex, working capital and M&A. FCF covering about 77% of net income supports reinvestment and debt servicing capacity, improving resilience across cycles.
Read all positive factors
Granite Construction (GVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$6.07B
Dividend Yield0.45%
Average Volume (3M)577.29K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.01
Revenue Growth14.93%
EPS Growth49.81%
CountryUS
Employees2,300
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryEngineering & Construction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)4.23
Shares Outstanding43,503,674
10 Day Avg. Volume524,792
30 Day Avg. Volume577,289
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.49
Price to Book (P/B)4.27
Price to Sales (P/S)1.14
P/FCF Ratio15.23
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.17
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.53
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.65
Enterprise Value/Ebitda14.76
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$143.50Price Target Upside15.47% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)5.43
Revenue Forecast (FY)$4.96B
Granite Construction Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Granite Construction Incorporated operates as an infrastructure contractor and a construction materials producer in the United States. It operates through two segments, Construction and Materials segments. The Construction segment engages in the c...
How the Company Makes Money
Granite makes money primarily by contracting to build, improve, and repair infrastructure projects and by supplying construction materials. The largest revenue driver is typically its Construction business, where it earns revenue from project cont...
Granite Construction Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Gross Profit by Segment
Shows gross profit generated by each business segment, highlighting where Granite converts sales into margin and where costs are pressuring profitability. Large differences between segments point to where pricing power, cost control, or operational efficiency will most affect overall earnings.
Shows gross profit generated by each business segment, highlighting where Granite converts sales into margin and where costs are pressuring profitability. Large differences between segments point to where pricing power, cost control, or operational efficiency will most affect overall earnings.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyGranite Construction Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a broadly positive outlook driven by strong top-line growth (revenue +30%), margin and EBITDA improvement, accretive M&A (Kenny Sain and Warren Paving), raised guidance, and a growing, high-quality CAP base including federal and tactical infrastructure work. Management acknowledged near-term cash usage, a project cancellation that reduced CAP by ~$300 million, energy cost volatility, and execution risks on fast-burn tactical projects, but indicated those issues are mitigated and outweighed by the company’s operational momentum and disciplined capital allocation.Positive Updates
Strong Top-Line and Profitability Growth
Revenue increased 30% year-over-year to $912 million. Gross profit rose 31% to $110 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $30 million to $58 million, and adjusted net income increased by $12 million to $12 million.
Negative Updates
Project Cancellation Impacting CAP
Approximately $300 million reduction to CAP from the cancellation of a public sector highway project in California where expanded scope exceeded available funding. Management said cancellations are rare and project may return in a different form/size, but this reduced CAP growth headroom in the quarter.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Top-Line and Profitability Growth
Revenue increased 30% year-over-year to $912 million. Gross profit rose 31% to $110 million. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $30 million to $58 million, and adjusted net income increased by $12 million to $12 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management raised 2026 revenue guidance to $5.2–$5.4 billion (from $4.9–$5.1 billion), reflecting an incremental $200 million from a tactical infrastructure contract and $100 million from the Kenny Sain acquisition; they lowered SG&A as a percent of revenue to 8.25%–8.75% (from 8.5%–9%), inclusive of approximately $48 million of stock‑based compensation, and increased adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 12.25%–13.25% (from 12%–13%); operating cash flow is still expected to be about 10% of revenue for the year, CapEx guidance of $141.16 billion (as stated on the call) and an estimated adjusted effective tax rate in the mid‑20s remain unchanged.Granite Construction Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
59
Neutral
Cash Flow
70
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.64B | 4.42B | 4.01B | 3.51B | 3.30B | 3.50B |
| Gross Profit | 737.27M | 711.22M | 572.70M | 396.40M | 369.49M | 362.64M |
| EBITDA | 481.97M | 424.67M | 351.71M | 170.59M | 187.01M | 151.92M |
| Net Income | 184.96M | 193.00M | 126.35M | 43.60M | 83.30M | 10.10M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.78B | 4.03B | 3.03B | 2.81B | 2.17B | 2.49B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 314.90M | 600.24M | 726.57M | 624.76M | 517.17M | 585.56M |
| Total Debt | 1.36B | 1.62B | 832.85M | 735.09M | 339.21M | 372.85M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.70B | 2.81B | 1.95B | 1.79B | 1.18B | 1.50B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.03B | 1.18B | 1.02B | 977.30M | 953.02M | 967.68M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 302.19M | 330.65M | 319.94M | 43.32M | -65.97M | -72.88M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 434.40M | 468.92M | 456.34M | 183.71M | 55.65M | 21.93M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -814.91M | -993.72M | -228.56M | -359.29M | -11.00M | -21.48M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 267.16M | 475.69M | -67.12M | 299.25M | -164.31M | -24.45M |
Granite Construction Technical Analysis
Positive
124.27
Price Trends
126.35
Negative
121.15
Positive
112.11
Positive
Market Momentum
0.40
Negative
50.78
Neutral
57.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 124.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 122.27, below the 50-day MA of 126.35, and above the 200-day MA of 112.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 57.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GVA.
Granite Construction Risk Analysis
Granite Construction disclosed 52 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Granite Construction reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Granite Construction Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
82 Outperform | $9.80B | 35.01 | 33.62% | 0.49% | 8.06% | 57.80% | |
78 Outperform | $6.75B | 23.43 | 22.13% | ― | 13.14% | 317.43% | |
76 Outperform | $7.61B | 21.65 | 37.06% | ― | 31.47% | 40.49% | |
74 Outperform | $9.78B | 24.39 | 17.49% | 0.25% | 18.98% | 51.14% | |
73 Outperform | $6.07B | -31.29 | 17.58% | 0.45% | 14.93% | 49.81% | |
70 Outperform | $4.93B | 30.66 | 6.77% | 0.09% | 28.11% | ― | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
* Industrials Sector Average
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Granite Construction Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Granite Construction Announces Convertible Notes Exchange Agreement
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
On February 18, 2026, Granite Construction entered into privately negotiated exchange agreements with select holders of its 3.75% Convertible Senior Notes due 2028 to swap $100 million in principal for a mix of cash and, potentially, stock, with f...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.