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Granite Construction (GVA)
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Granite Construction (GVA) AI Stock Analysis

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GVA

Granite Construction

(NYSE:GVA)

Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$118.00
▲(10.41% Upside)
Granite Construction's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are key strengths, supported by strategic acquisitions and robust growth. However, high valuation metrics and overbought technical indicators present potential risks.

Granite Construction (GVA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Granite Construction Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGranite Construction Incorporated (GVA) is a leading heavy civil contractor and construction materials producer, operating primarily in the United States. The company specializes in a diverse range of sectors, including transportation, water resources, and infrastructure development. Granite Construction provides core services such as road and highway construction, bridge building, utility construction, and various environmental projects, as well as producing aggregates, asphalt, and ready-mix concrete for construction and public works projects.
How the Company Makes MoneyGranite Construction generates revenue primarily through contracts awarded for construction projects and services across various sectors. The company operates on a project-based revenue model, where it secures contracts from government agencies, municipalities, and private sector clients. Key revenue streams include heavy civil construction, which encompasses highway and road projects, and a range of specialized services in water resource management and environmental remediation. Additionally, revenue is supplemented through the sale of construction materials, including aggregates and asphalt products, which are used in its own projects and sold to third-party contractors. Strategic partnerships with governmental agencies and private firms, along with a focus on long-term contracts, contribute significantly to its earnings stability and growth potential.

Granite Construction Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 07, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 14.50%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call was predominantly positive, highlighting strategic acquisitions, record CAP, and robust growth in both revenue and profit margins. Despite an increase in debt and stable private market conditions, the overall outlook remains strong with revised guidance and optimistic future targets.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Acquisitions
Granite announced the acquisitions of Warren Paving and Papich Construction for a combined transaction price of $710 million. These acquisitions are expected to contribute $425 million in annual revenue and increase adjusted EBITDA margin by approximately 60 basis points.
Record CAP and Strong Revenue Growth
Granite's CAP reached a new record high of $6.1 billion. The company reported a 4% increase in revenue, amounting to $43 million, with gross profit increasing by 21%.
Materials Segment Performance
The Materials segment showed significant growth, with a year-over-year aggregate volume increase of 11% and improved cash gross profit margin due to strong demand and higher prices.
Financial Guidance and Targets
Granite raised its 2025 revenue guidance to $4.35-$4.55 billion and adjusted EBITDA margin guidance to 11.25%-12.25%. The company also adjusted its 2027 targets, increasing adjusted EBITDA margins, operating cash flow margin, and free cash flow margin ranges by 50 basis points.
Negative Updates
Debt Increase
Granite's total debt outstanding increased to approximately $1.35 billion following the acquisitions, with a new Term Loan A of $600 million and an expanded revolver.
Private Market Stability
The private market remained relatively unchanged, contributing less to the overall growth compared to the public market sector.
Company Guidance
During the Granite Construction Inc. 2025 Second Quarter Conference Call, the company provided guidance highlighting a revised annual revenue range of $4.35 billion to $4.55 billion and an adjusted EBITDA margin range of 11.25% to 12.25% for 2025, following the acquisitions of Warren Paving and Papich Construction. These acquisitions, costing a combined $710 million, are expected to contribute approximately $425 million in annual revenue with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 18%. The materials segment is projected to increase annual aggregate volumes by 5 million tons, or 27%, and aggregate reserves by over 440 million tons, equating to a 30% increase. The acquisitions should provide an annual uplift to adjusted EBITDA margin by about 60 basis points. The company's guidance for SG&A as a percent of revenue remains at 9%, with CapEx between $140 million and $160 million, and an adjusted effective tax rate in the mid-20s. Looking ahead to 2027, the company targets organic revenue growth at a CAGR of 6% to 8%, with plans to complete 2 to 3 acquisitions annually, and has raised its targets for adjusted EBITDA margins, operating cash flow margin, and free cash flow margin ranges by 50 basis points.

Granite Construction Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Granite Construction shows strong revenue growth and improving profitability, with positive cash flow management. However, rising debt levels require monitoring.
Income Statement
80
Positive
Granite Construction has demonstrated strong revenue growth, with a notable increase in Total Revenue from $3.01 billion in 2021 to $4.03 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) 2025. The Gross Profit Margin has improved, indicating better cost control and efficiency. The Net Profit Margin is positive and has shown a consistent upward trend, which highlights effective profitability management. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen positive growth, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a reasonable Debt-to-Equity ratio, indicating a balanced capital structure. The Return on Equity (ROE) is improving, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. The Equity Ratio demonstrates a solid proportion of assets financed by equity, suggesting financial stability. However, the increase in total debt over the years should be monitored for potential leverage risks.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Granite Construction exhibits healthy cash flow management, with positive Free Cash Flow and Operating Cash Flow. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio indicates strong cash generation relative to net income. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio signifies effective cash flow conversion from operations. Free Cash Flow growth remains positive, supporting future investment opportunities, despite minor fluctuations in capital expenditures.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.03B4.01B3.51B3.30B3.01B3.56B
Gross Profit602.26M572.70M396.40M369.49M305.56M344.79M
EBITDA351.51M351.71M170.59M187.01M151.92M-29.30M
Net Income123.67M126.35M43.60M83.30M10.10M-145.12M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.91B3.03B2.81B2.17B2.49B2.38B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments574.28M726.57M624.76M517.17M585.56M614.09M
Total Debt838.50M832.85M735.09M339.21M372.85M385.57M
Total Liabilities1.87B1.95B1.79B1.18B1.50B1.39B
Stockholders Equity993.53M1.02B977.30M953.02M967.68M975.66M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow295.18M319.94M43.32M-65.97M-72.88M175.21M
Operating Cash Flow435.92M456.34M183.71M55.65M21.93M268.46M
Investing Cash Flow-370.60M-228.56M-359.29M-11.00M-21.48M-41.26M
Financing Cash Flow-14.99M-67.12M299.25M-164.31M-24.45M-57.66M

Granite Construction Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price106.87
Price Trends
50DMA
93.00
Positive
100DMA
86.60
Positive
200DMA
87.49
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.53
Negative
RSI
77.14
Negative
STOCH
93.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GVA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 106.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.71, above the 50-day MA of 93.00, and above the 200-day MA of 87.49, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.53 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 77.14 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GVA.

Granite Construction Risk Analysis

Granite Construction disclosed 53 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Granite Construction reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 3 New Risks
1.
Our bylaws include a forum selection clause, which could limit our stockholders' ability to obtain a favorable judicial forum for disputes with us. Q4, 2024
2.
Accounting for our revenues and cost involves significant estimates. Q4, 2024
3.
The U.S. government may adopt new contract rules and regulations or revise its procurement practices in a manner adverse to us at any time. Q4, 2024

Granite Construction Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$8.07B35.4019.76%12.77%1.55%
76
Outperform
$9.21B32.9136.72%3.31%76.94%
75
Outperform
$6.01B25.2517.01%0.27%15.08%55.10%
75
Outperform
$6.26B82.0310.60%39.18%1.79%
72
Outperform
$4.68B35.7315.89%0.49%7.18%77.84%
71
Outperform
$2.87B38.6412.56%-3.80%62.94%
64
Neutral
$10.66B16.266.50%2.14%2.69%-21.81%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GVA
Granite Construction
106.87
38.70
56.77%
DY
Dycom
274.84
93.21
51.32%
MYRG
MYR Group
184.24
84.54
84.79%
PRIM
Primoris Services
111.21
59.13
113.54%
STRL
Sterling Construction
289.86
184.26
174.49%
ROAD
Construction Partners
113.56
53.10
87.83%

Granite Construction Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Granite Construction Acquires Slats Lucas and Warren Paving
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Granite Construction Incorporated entered into an Equity Purchase Agreement to acquire all outstanding equity interests of Slats Lucas, LLC, and Warren Paving, Inc., for $540 million. This acquisition was financed through a new $600 million senior secured term loan. Additionally, Granite Construction amended and restated its credit agreement to include a $600 million revolving credit facility and a $600 million term loan, with provisions for additional borrowing capacity. These strategic financial moves are aimed at strengthening the company’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (GVA) stock is a Sell with a $70.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Construction stock, see the GVA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Granite Construction COO James Radich Retires
Neutral
Jul 7, 2025

On July 4, 2025, James Radich retired as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer of Granite Construction Incorporated. In connection with his retirement, he entered into a severance agreement which includes various compensations and benefits, and a consulting agreement to assist the company with management transition and other business matters until October 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GVA) stock is a Sell with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Construction stock, see the GVA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Granite Construction Holds Annual Meeting, Elects Directors
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 5, 2025, Granite Construction held its Annual Meeting where 86.84% of the company’s shares were represented. During the meeting, Alan P. Krusi and Louis E. Caldera were elected to the Board of Directors for terms expiring in 2028. The stockholders also approved the compensation of the company’s named executive officers and ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the year ending December 31, 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (GVA) stock is a Sell with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Construction stock, see the GVA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Granite Construction Announces COO Retirement
Neutral
May 16, 2025

On May 16, 2025, Granite Construction announced that James A. Radich will retire from his role as Executive Vice President and Chief Operating Officer on July 4, 2025. This leadership change may impact the company’s operations and strategic direction as they transition to new leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (GVA) stock is a Sell with a $61.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Granite Construction stock, see the GVA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 11, 2025