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Argan Inc (AGX)
NYSE:AGX
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Argan (AGX) AI Stock Analysis

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AGX

Argan

(NYSE:AGX)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$697.00
▲(16.58% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:06/11/26
AGX scores well primarily due to strong financial performance (high profitability, very strong recent cash flow, and zero debt) and a positive earnings-call outlook supported by a large backlog and capital returns. The score is held back by a rich valuation (P/E ~53) and weaker near-term technical setup with the stock below key short-term moving averages.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Zero reported debt combined with nearly $1.0B of cash and $421M net liquidity provides durable financial flexibility. This balance-sheet strength supports bidding on large EPC projects, funds working-capital swings without external borrowing, and enables sustained capital returns and targeted M&A over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Customer/sector concentration
Heavy reliance on gas-fired combined-cycle projects concentrates revenue and backlog risk in a single fuel segment. Over the medium term, regulatory shifts, gas demand volatility or slower renewable conversion could reduce award frequency or pricing power and expose results to sector-specific cycles.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Zero reported debt combined with nearly $1.0B of cash and $421M net liquidity provides durable financial flexibility. This balance-sheet strength supports bidding on large EPC projects, funds working-capital swings without external borrowing, and enables sustained capital returns and targeted M&A over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Argan Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Shows how Argan’s sales are split across regions, highlighting dependence on particular markets for power-plant construction and services. Reveals where growth or slowdown risks lie, and how regional regulation, permitting, or local demand could affect future cash flow.
Chart InsightsArgan's revenue in the United States has surged significantly, reflecting strong project execution and strategic focus, notably with the Platton Power Station. The Republic of Ireland, while previously a growth driver, has seen a decline, possibly due to project completion cycles. The earnings call highlights a robust backlog and increased demand for power facilities, suggesting sustained growth potential. Despite challenges in the Industrial Construction Services segment, Argan's financial health remains strong, with improved margins and a commitment to shareholder returns, positioning the company well for future opportunities.
Data provided by:The Fly

Argan (AGX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Argan Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Argan, Inc., operating through its various subsidiaries, offers a comprehensive suite of services to the power generation and renewable energy sectors. These services span engineering, procurement, construction (EPC), commissioning, operations man...
How the Company Makes Money
Argan makes money primarily by performing work on large, project-based contracts for the design and construction of power and energy-related facilities. Its core revenue stream is contract revenue recognized as it executes EPC and construction pro...

Argan Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 04, 2026
(Q1-2027)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Sep 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented strong operational and financial results with substantial revenue growth (50%), large increases in net income (~104%) and adjusted EBITDA (~79%), improved margins, significant cash/investment balances ($974M), and expanded capital return programs. These positives are tempered by a modest sequential backlog decline, concentration in gas-fired projects (79%), lower margins in Industrial and Teledata segments, early-stage project risks, and capacity/training constraints that limit near-term scaling. Overall, the favorable performance and balance sheet strength outweigh the manageable risks and timing issues.
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue of $291.0 million in Q1 FY2027, an increase of 50% from $194.0 million in Q1 FY2026, driven primarily by ramp-up in the Power segment and timing of recently awarded projects.
Negative Updates
Slight Backlog Decline and Timing Risk
Consolidated backlog decreased to $2.8 billion from $2.9 billion quarter-over-quarter. Management noted backlog can fluctuate as projects complete and new awards may lag, creating timing risk between job completion and new contract awards.
Read all updates
Q1-2027 Updates
Negative
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue of $291.0 million in Q1 FY2027, an increase of 50% from $194.0 million in Q1 FY2026, driven primarily by ramp-up in the Power segment and timing of recently awarded projects.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Guidance: management expects to add “a handful” of new projects over the next 10–18 months and believes Argan can execute 10–12 jobs simultaneously; current consolidated backlog is $2.8 billion (Power $2.5B, Industrial $225M, Teledata $8M) comprised ~79% natural gas (including four U.S. gas plants totaling >4.1 GW), 13% renewable and 8% industrial. While not providing formal revenue guidance, management said $2 billion of revenue is achievable over time and reiterated a disciplined, selective approach to new awards to capture robust near‑ and midterm demand. Recent operating and balance‑sheet metrics cited to support the outlook include Q1 record revenue $291M (up 50% y/y from $194M), gross profit $61.1M (21% margin), segment gross margins: Power 23.6% / Industrial 11.8% / Teledata 11%, adjusted EBITDA $56.4M (19.4% margin), net income $46.1M ($3.24 diluted), cash & investments $974M, net liquidity $421M, no debt, stockholders’ equity $474M; capital return actions include a $0.50 quarterly dividend ($2.00 annual) and an expanded $200M buyback authorization (extended to Jan 31, 2030; ~$116.7M repurchased to date).

Argan Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by improved profitability (TTM net margin ~15.5%), solid revenue growth (~10.3%), exceptionally conservative balance sheet (zero debt) and very strong recent cash generation (TTM FCF ~$487M closely tracking earnings). Primary risk is project/working-capital volatility, highlighted by negative cash flow and revenue decline in 2023.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
Cash Flow
84
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B944.61M874.18M573.33M455.04M509.37M
Gross Profit217.93M193.68M140.99M80.83M86.36M99.73M
EBITDA187.15M162.80M116.86M51.34M49.72M56.65M
Net Income161.29M137.77M85.46M32.36M33.10M38.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.29B1.19B836.23M598.23M489.49M553.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments973.55M894.98M525.14M412.40M325.46M440.50M
Total Debt0.006.39M2.71M2.73M1.57M1.37M
Total Liabilities812.93M724.09M484.37M307.29M208.59M227.99M
Stockholders Equity473.51M462.26M351.86M290.94M280.90M326.39M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow486.89M410.84M161.00M114.10M-33.43M26.99M
Operating Cash Flow492.81M414.72M167.58M116.86M-30.06M28.41M
Investing Cash Flow-274.42M-182.02M-193.62M-67.61M-63.12M-7.04M
Financing Cash Flow-58.24M-42.59M-26.06M-26.05M-82.80M-34.61M

Argan Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price597.88
Price Trends
50DMA
647.90
Negative
100DMA
536.37
Positive
200DMA
417.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.55
Positive
RSI
44.80
Neutral
STOCH
16.02
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AGX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 597.88 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 660.74, below the 50-day MA of 647.90, and above the 200-day MA of 417.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -6.55 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.02 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for AGX.

Argan Risk Analysis

Argan disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Argan reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Argan Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$7.33B32.8537.17%29.70%46.91%
79
Outperform
$6.62B46.5522.14%13.14%317.43%
77
Outperform
$8.74B53.9833.62%0.49%14.47%57.43%
72
Outperform
$6.08B32.7116.70%0.45%14.93%49.81%
72
Outperform
$3.87B49.686.50%0.09%25.67%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$5.09B20.4715.21%0.25%13.40%19.67%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AGX
Argan
623.66
402.82
182.40%
GVA
Granite Construction
138.99
49.93
56.07%
MYRG
MYR Group
425.08
259.70
157.03%
PRIM
Primoris Services
94.50
20.99
28.55%
TPC
Tutor Perini
73.61
31.00
72.74%
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
143.69
83.25
137.74%

Argan Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesDividendsShareholder Meetings
Argan Shareholders Back Board, Maintain Dividend Policy
Positive
Jun 10, 2026
At its 2026 annual meeting held on June 10, 2026, Argan stockholders elected nine directors to serve until the 2027 meeting, approved on an advisory basis the company’s executive compensation and ratified the appointment of Grant Thornton LL...
Stock BuybackDividends
Argan Expands Share Buyback and Maintains Quarterly Dividend
Positive
Apr 8, 2026
On April 8, 2026, Argan, Inc. announced that its board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.50 per common share, payable on April 30, 2026 to shareholders of record as of April 22, 2026. The move signals an ongoing return of capital to...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 11, 2026