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MYR Group (MYRG)
NASDAQ:MYRG

MYR Group (MYRG) AI Stock Analysis

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MYRG

MYR Group

(NASDAQ:MYRG)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$309.00
▲(12.52% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/04/26
The score is driven primarily by improved 2025 profitability/cash flow and a conservative balance sheet, reinforced by constructive uptrend signals and an earnings call indicating continued growth with healthy backlog. The main constraint is valuation (P/E ~36) and the company’s historical volatility in margins and free cash flow.
Positive Factors
Meaningful backlog growth and diversification
A growing $2.8B backlog with balanced T&D and C&I exposure provides multi-quarter revenue visibility and supports steadier bidding conversion. Diversified backlog reduces single-market dependence and underpins sustained revenue as multi-year MSAs and awards convert to work over time.
Conservative balance sheet and strong liquidity
Low funded debt and modest leverage give financial flexibility to weather project volatility, invest in growth, pursue tuck-in acquisitions, or opportunistically buy back shares. Strong liquidity capacity supports working capital needs inherent in contracting businesses over cycles.
Material improvement in operating and free cash flow
A large rebound in OCF and FCF signals the company can convert earnings into cash at scale, enabling reinvestment, debt service, and shareholder actions. Improved cash generation enhances resilience for capital-intensive T&D projects and supports sustained operational execution.
Negative Factors
Cyclical and volatile margins and cash flow
Historic swings in margins and free cash flow reflect project timing, fixed-price exposure, and execution variability. This undermines long-term predictability of cash available for capex, acquisitions, or buybacks and raises execution risk premium for multi-year planning.
Execution risks from project inefficiencies and external delays
Project inefficiencies, weather and permitting delays can compress margins, delay revenue recognition, and increase working capital needs. For a contractor reliant on timely project closeouts and billing, recurring execution disruptions can materially erode durable profitability.
Contract mix and backlog accounting can mask near-term cash risk
MSA accounting that limits backlog visibility and a higher share of fixed-price awards can create mismatch between reported backlog and future cash timing. Contract mix concentration increases sensitivity of cash conversion to award types and execution, complicating multi-quarter cash planning.

MYR Group (MYRG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MYR Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMYR Group Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides electrical construction services in the United States and Canada. It operates in two segments, Transmission and Distribution, and Commercial and Industrial. The Transmission and Distribution segment offers a range of services on electric transmission and distribution networks, and substation facilities, including design, engineering, procurement, construction, upgrade, maintenance, and repair services with primary focus on construction, maintenance, and repair to customers in the electric utility industry; and services, including construction and maintenance of high voltage transmission lines, substations, and lower voltage underground and overhead distribution systems, renewable power facilities, and limited gas construction services, as well as emergency restoration services in response to hurricane, ice, or other storm related damages. This segment serves as a prime contractor to customers, such as investor-owned utilities, cooperatives, private developers, government-funded utilities, independent power producers, independent transmission companies, industrial facility owners, and other contractors. The Commercial and Industrial segment provides a range of services, including design, installation, maintenance, and repair of commercial and industrial wiring; and installation of traffic networks, bridge, roadway, and tunnel lighting for airports, hospitals, data centers, hotels, stadiums, convention centers, renewable energy projects, manufacturing plants, processing facilities, waste-water treatment facilities, mining facilities, and transportation control and management systems. This segment serves general contractors, commercial and industrial facility owners, governmental agencies, and developers. The company was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Henderson, Colorado.
How the Company Makes MoneyMYR Group generates revenue primarily through its contracting services, which are billed on a project basis. The company engages in both large-scale and smaller projects, allowing it to capture a wide array of contracts in the electrical infrastructure sector. Key revenue streams include construction contracts for utility infrastructure, maintenance services for existing electrical systems, and installation projects related to renewable energy sources such as wind and solar. Additionally, MYR Group benefits from long-term relationships with major utility companies and government contracts, which provide a steady flow of income. The company's diversified portfolio and expertise in various sectors enable it to mitigate risks and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the energy market.

MYR Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 03, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call portrayed a company with strengthening financial results and operational momentum: record revenues, record quarterly net income and EBITDA, meaningful backlog growth, improved margins and substantially stronger operating and free cash flow. Management highlighted important strategic wins (MSAs, data center and transmission awards), conservative balance sheet metrics (low leverage, strong liquidity) and continued market demand. Noted headwinds were project-level inefficiencies, a modest increase in SG&A, potential cash-flow profile sensitivity to contract mix, and execution/timing risks from weather and permitting. On balance, the positive financial performance, backlog expansion and liquidity position outweigh the identified operational challenges.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Annual Revenue and Profitability
Full-year 2025 record revenues of $3.7 billion, full-year net income of $118 million and EBITDA of $233 million, demonstrating improved overall profitability and scale.
Strong Q4 Revenue Growth
Fourth quarter 2025 revenues of $974 million, an increase of $144 million or 17% year-over-year.
T&D Segment Strength
T&D Q4 revenues of $531 million, up 18% year-over-year; transmission $330 million (+$64M) and distribution $201 million (+$17M). T&D operating income margin improved to 7.4% from 6.7% (up 0.7 percentage points). Work under master service agreements represented ~60% of T&D revenues.
C&I Segment Records and Margin Expansion
C&I delivered record Q4 revenues of $443 million (up 17% year-over-year). C&I operating income margin rose to 6.6% from 3.9% (up 2.7 percentage points) driven by higher-margin fixed-price work, productivity gains, favorable change orders and job closeouts.
Margin and Earnings Improvement in Q4
Q4 gross margin improved to 11.4% from 10.4% (up 1.0 percentage point). Q4 net income was a record $37 million versus $16 million a year ago (+131%), diluted EPS $2.33 vs $0.99 (+135%), and Q4 EBITDA was a record $64 million versus $45 million (+42%).
Backlog Growth and Healthy Bidding Environment
Total backlog at December 31, 2025 was $2.8 billion, a 9.6% increase year-over-year, with backlog split of $1.0 billion T&D and $1.8 billion C&I, reflecting steady bidding and multi-year demand.
Significant Cash Flow and Strong Liquidity
Q4 operating cash flow was $115 million versus $21 million a year ago; Q4 free cash flow was $85 million versus $9 million. Liquidity included ~$150 million cash, $408 million borrowing availability, ~$265 million working capital, $59 million funded debt and a funded debt-to-EBITDA leverage ratio of 0.25x.
Strategic Awards and Positioning for Future Growth
Won a new 7-year transmission MSA in Kentucky and multiple transmission and station awards across several states; C&I awards include several data center projects in Colorado, Arizona, California and New Jersey. Management emphasized positioning for high-voltage projects (765 kV / 500 kV / 345 kV) and long-duration opportunities.
Operational Improvements (DSO and Productivity)
Days sales outstanding improved by ~16 days year-over-year to the mid-50s (from ~70 historical average), driven by resolution of prior problem projects and favorable billing on fixed-price work; managers cited better-than-anticipated productivity and favorable change orders as margin contributors.
Negative Updates
Project Inefficiencies and Cost Pressure on Certain Jobs
Management noted increases in costs associated with inefficiencies on certain projects that partially offset margin improvements; no specific dollar figure provided but flagged as a margin headwind in Q4.
SG&A Expense Increase
Fourth quarter SG&A expenses were $65 million, up $8 million year-over-year, primarily due to higher employee incentive compensation and employee-related costs to support future growth.
Backlog Accounting Limits and Understatement of Long-Term MSAs
Backlog metrics include only projected revenue for a 3-month period for many unit-price/time-and-materials/MSA contracts, which can understate the effective duration and value of long-term master service agreements and complicate short-term modeling.
Potential Cash-Flow Profile Headwind from Fixed-Price Mix
While large fixed-price C&I work contributed to strong cash collections in 2025 (net overbuild), management cautioned this mix could represent a headwind to cash flow depending on future award mix compared with MSA-weighted work that has a less favorable near-term cash profile.
Weather, Permitting and Timing Risks
Management highlighted weather (seasonality, storms) and permitting as the primary operational risks that can delay T&D work and affect near-term productivity and revenue timing; Q1 seasonality noted as typically less productive though Q1 2026 expected to be a stronger comp.
Selective Bidding and Concentration Considerations
Company is intentionally selective (focus on repeat clientele—~90% return customers) which reduces risk but could limit near-term capture of widely contested opportunities; this strategy can be a constraint during market upcycles.
Company Guidance
MYR gave directional (not formal) guidance that 2026 should see roughly "10%-ish" revenue growth across both T&D and C&I, with operating margins expected to sit in the mid‑part of their targeted step‑up range (the referenced target range was ~5.0%–7.5%), and Q1 revenue should run a bit above the full‑year growth rate given an easier comp; management reiterated large transmission awards are expected to start burning in 2027 and cited weather and permitting/timing as the main execution risks. Key metrics called out on the call: FY‑2025 revenues $3.7B, FY EBITDA $233M and net income $118M; Q4 revenues $974M, Q4 EBITDA $64M and net income $37M ($2.33 diluted EPS); total backlog $2.8B (+9.6% YoY) with T&D $1.0B (≈20% YoY) and C&I $1.8B; Q4 operating cash flow $115M and free cash flow $85M; liquidity of $150M cash, $59M funded debt, $408M revolver availability and working capital ~ $265M, with funded debt/EBITDA leverage ~0.25x; DSO improved to the mid‑50s (≈16 days better YoY from ~70). Management emphasized prioritizing organic growth and tuck‑in acquisitions, opportunistic share repurchases, and continued selectivity to protect margins.

MYR Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong 2025 rebound in profitability (net income $118.4M) and cash generation (OCF $326.6M, FCF $232.2M) paired with low leverage (D/E ~0.16) and improved ROE (~17.9%). The main offset is cyclicality/volatility in margins and free cash flow across 2023–2024, raising durability risk for the 2025 step-up.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Revenue has grown over the long run (2020–2025), and profitability rebounded sharply in 2025 with net income jumping to $118.4M (vs. $30.3M in 2024) alongside improved gross and net margins. However, results have been somewhat cyclical: 2024 saw a slight revenue decline and a steep compression in net margin before the 2025 snapback, and operating profitability has not shown a steady upward trend (EBITDA margin was stronger in 2021–2022 than in 2024–2025).
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
The balance sheet looks conservatively positioned, with low leverage (debt-to-equity roughly 0.11–0.20 over 2023–2025, and 0.16 in 2025). Equity has grown versus 2020, and returns on equity are strong in the latest year (about 17.9% in 2025) after a weaker 2024. The main watchout is year-to-year variability in returns (notably the dip in 2024), but overall financial leverage appears well-controlled.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash generation improved materially in 2025, with operating cash flow of $326.6M and free cash flow of $232.2M, including very strong free cash flow growth versus 2024. That said, cash flow has been volatile across years (free cash flow turned negative in 2023 and was minimal in 2024), and the relationship between cash flow and earnings has not been consistently strong (free cash flow was only ~13% of net income in 2024, improving to ~71% in 2025).
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.66B3.36B3.64B3.01B2.50B
Gross Profit423.80M290.32M364.40M343.96M324.98M
EBITDA217.94M118.21M189.08M175.94M164.31M
Net Income118.37M30.26M90.99M83.38M85.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.64B1.57B1.58B1.40B1.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments150.16M3.46M24.90M51.04M82.09M
Total Debt103.51M119.99M73.61M74.55M25.50M
Total Liabilities983.66M973.70M927.54M838.66M601.99M
Stockholders Equity660.42M600.36M651.20M560.20M519.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow232.19M11.18M-13.72M90.43M84.87M
Operating Cash Flow326.57M87.11M71.02M167.48M137.23M
Investing Cash Flow-86.18M-67.21M-79.13M-185.73M-49.30M
Financing Cash Flow-94.07M-39.96M-18.37M-9.27M-28.09M

MYR Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price274.62
Price Trends
50DMA
251.35
Positive
100DMA
235.18
Positive
200DMA
208.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.66
Positive
RSI
52.60
Neutral
STOCH
38.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MYRG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 274.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 270.66, above the 50-day MA of 251.35, and above the 200-day MA of 208.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.66 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MYRG.

MYR Group Risk Analysis

MYR Group disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MYR Group reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MYR Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$6.09B34.4432.05%0.49%13.49%77.73%
76
Outperform
$4.19B28.9218.78%-0.64%168.51%
72
Outperform
$5.92B21.6538.34%28.20%24.27%
70
Outperform
$5.76B26.0917.59%0.45%6.87%64.56%
70
Outperform
$3.89B43.906.84%0.09%19.22%78.83%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
52
Neutral
$1.49B34.844.22%12.22%17.41%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MYRG
MYR Group
268.50
148.98
124.65%
AMRC
Ameresco
27.14
17.85
192.14%
AGX
Argan
430.25
314.88
272.93%
GVA
Granite Construction
126.77
50.94
67.17%
TPC
Tutor Perini
71.12
44.89
171.17%
ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc.
111.96
72.42
183.16%

MYR Group Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresRegulatory Filings and Compliance
MYR Group Updates Investor Materials Highlighting Growth Strategy
Positive
Mar 3, 2026

On March 3, 2026, MYR Group Inc. posted updated investor presentation materials outlining its recent performance and strategic positioning, which management plans to use in meetings with investors and other stakeholders during the first quarter of 2026. The materials highlight MYR’s role as a key contractor for electrical infrastructure supporting clean energy and rising electricity demand, with a diversified presence in transmission, distribution and commercial and industrial markets across North America.

The presentation underscores consistent revenue growth, with MYR ranked among the top U.S. specialty electrical contractors for three decades and reporting 2025 revenues of $2.00 billion in T&D and $1.66 billion in C&I, backed by substantial segment backlogs. Management emphasizes a strong balance sheet, low leverage and ample credit capacity to support organic expansion, acquisitions and selective share repurchases, while industry data in the materials point to robust long-term investment in grid modernization, data centers and nonresidential construction, reinforcing MYR’s growth outlook.

The most recent analyst rating on (MYRG) stock is a Hold with a $296.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MYR Group stock, see the MYRG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 04, 2026