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Dycom (DY)
NYSE:DY

Dycom (DY) AI Stock Analysis

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DY

Dycom

(NYSE:DY)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$378.00
▼(-3.48% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/25/26
The score is primarily supported by strong operating performance (revenue growth and margin expansion) and a positive earnings-call outlook with record backlog and upbeat FY2027 guidance. It is held back by the sharp increase in leverage and still-uneven cash conversion, while technical indicators and a high P/E reduce near-term attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Revenue and margin expansion
Dycom has delivered durable top-line expansion (from ~$3.2B in 2021 to ~$5.5B in 2026) alongside meaningful margin improvement, demonstrating scalable operations and operating leverage. Sustained margin expansion improves cash generation potential and reinvestment capacity, supporting long-term competitiveness in network build and maintenance services.
Negative Factors
Material increase in leverage
A sharp step-up in debt materially raises financial risk and reduces flexibility. Higher leverage increases interest expense sensitivity and constrains the firm's ability to fund growth or absorb project shocks. Management's deleveraging target (to ~2.0x) will be a near-term priority, but execution risk remains if cash conversion slips or markets tighten.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue and margin expansion
Dycom has delivered durable top-line expansion (from ~$3.2B in 2021 to ~$5.5B in 2026) alongside meaningful margin improvement, demonstrating scalable operations and operating leverage. Sustained margin expansion improves cash generation potential and reinvestment capacity, supporting long-term competitiveness in network build and maintenance services.
Read all positive factors

Dycom (DY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dycom Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Dycom Industries, Inc. provides specialty contracting services in the United States. The company offers program management and engineering services; plans and designs aerial, underground, and buried fiber optic, copper, and coaxial cable systems; ...
How the Company Makes Money
Dycom makes money primarily by performing contracted services for telecommunications carriers, cable multiple-system operators, and other network/infrastructure owners, earning revenue as projects are executed. Its key revenue streams are (1) cons...

Dycom Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 04, 2026
(Q4-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Overall the call was positive: management reported record quarterly and annual revenue, meaningful margin expansion, strong free cash flow improvement, a record backlog and constructive FY2027 guidance. Strategic progress was highlighted by the Power Solutions acquisition and clear positioning within fiber-to-the-home, hyperscaler long-haul/middle-mile, and BEAD opportunities. Near-term challenges include margin pressure from workforce ramp and winter weather, timing and funding uncertainty around BEAD, a projected $100M decline in wireless equipment replacement revenue next year, elevated acquisition-related leverage and transaction costs. Despite these headwinds management provided a clear deleveraging plan, continued margin expansion targets, and investments (training facility, workforce) to capture secular tailwinds, which leaves the overall tone constructive and growth-oriented.
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Revenue and Strong Organic Growth
Q4 record consolidated revenue of ~$1.46B, up 34.4% year-over-year; organic revenue for the quarter increased 16.6%, underscoring strong backlog conversion and demand momentum.
Negative Updates
Short-Term Margin Pressure from Weather and Workforce Additions
Q4 margin impact from substantial workforce additions and severe winter storms; management acknowledged some margin dilution as new hires ramp and weather disrupted productivity.
Read all updates
Q4-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Quarterly Revenue and Strong Organic Growth
Q4 record consolidated revenue of ~$1.46B, up 34.4% year-over-year; organic revenue for the quarter increased 16.6%, underscoring strong backlog conversion and demand momentum.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Dycom provided fiscal 2027 guidance calling for total contract revenues of $6.85 billion to $7.15 billion (≈23.6%–29% year‑over‑year growth, or ~6.6%–10.3% organic), with Communications revenues of $5.7 billion to $5.9 billion (vs. $5.35 billion FY26 ex‑extra week) and Building Systems revenues of $1.15 billion to $1.25 billion; the company expects continued adjusted EBITDA margin expansion (modest segment margin gains in Communications and mid‑teens adjusted EBITDA segment margin in Building Systems) and indicated a ~$100 million decline in wireless equipment replacement revenue in FY27. For Q1 FY27 Dycom guided contract revenues of $1.64 billion to $1.71 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $200 million to $220 million, and adjusted diluted EPS of $2.57 to $2.90 (ex‑intangible amortization). Capital expenditures, net of disposals, are expected to be $210 million to $220 million for FY27, and management reiterated confidence BEAD and long‑haul/middle‑mile opportunities will begin to contribute (first BEAD revenues anticipated in Q2), supported by a record year‑end backlog of ~$9.54 billion (≈$6.36 billion expected to convert within 12 months). Financial flexibility targets include pro forma net leverage of ~2.3x adjusted EBITDA at quarter end with a plan to delever to ~2.0x over the next 12 months, cash of $709.2 million and total liquidity of $1.46 billion.

Dycom Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement trends are strong (rising revenues and sharp margin expansion in 2026), and cash flow improved materially in 2026. The key offset is materially higher leverage (debt jump and higher debt-to-equity), plus historically uneven free-cash-flow conversion and working-capital volatility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownJan 2026Jan 2025Jan 2024Jan 2023Jan 2022
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.55B4.70B4.18B3.81B3.13B
Gross Profit1.14B733.57M650.67M504.02M343.99M
EBITDA964.20M567.36M507.69M396.99M270.43M
Net Income281.19M233.41M218.92M142.21M48.57M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.98B2.95B2.52B2.31B2.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments709.16M104.00M121.30M243.83M310.76M
Total Debt2.99B1.06B885.04M892.02M901.91M
Total Liabilities4.12B1.71B1.46B1.44B1.36B
Stockholders Equity1.86B1.24B1.05B868.75M758.54M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow401.71M98.64M40.48M-36.17M151.61M
Operating Cash Flow642.50M349.10M258.98M164.79M308.65M
Investing Cash Flow-1.84B-395.20M-306.16M-183.93M-151.68M
Financing Cash Flow1.81B37.69M-75.91M-67.43M142.01M

Dycom Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price391.62
Price Trends
50DMA
379.58
Positive
100DMA
362.99
Positive
200DMA
316.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.45
Negative
RSI
61.90
Neutral
STOCH
95.01
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 391.62 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 351.89, above the 50-day MA of 379.58, and above the 200-day MA of 316.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -2.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 95.01 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DY.

Dycom Risk Analysis

Dycom disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dycom reported the most risks in the "Tech & Innovation" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dycom Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$10.68B21.1540.95%16.89%54.13%
74
Outperform
$28.19B42.4213.08%12.99%274.10%
74
Outperform
$8.85B24.3917.49%0.25%21.45%67.31%
69
Neutral
$4.74B12.5928.27%1.65%9.66%29.01%
66
Neutral
$11.74B37.6518.81%13.19%33.58%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
55
Neutral
$7.05B-1.07-1.14%-1.81%1228.51%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DY
Dycom
391.62
240.55
159.23%
FLR
Fluor
49.07
16.00
48.38%
IESC
IES Holdings
535.72
355.06
196.53%
KBR
KBR
37.50
-10.73
-22.25%
MTZ
MasTec
357.37
242.31
210.59%
PRIM
Primoris Services
163.71
107.45
190.99%

Dycom Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Dycom Adds Veteran Tech Leader to Board of Directors
Positive
Mar 24, 2026
On March 24, 2026, Dycom Industries, Inc. appointed veteran technology executive Raejeanne Skillern to its Board of Directors and expanded the board size from ten to eleven members. The board determined she is independent under New York Stock Exch...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Dycom Establishes New $800 Million Term Loan Facility
Positive
Jan 27, 2026
On January 27, 2026, Dycom Industries, Inc. amended its existing credit arrangements by entering into a First Amendment to its Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, establishing a new $800 million senior secured Term Loan B facility. The pr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 25, 2026