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Purple Innovation (PRPL)
NASDAQ:PRPL
US Market

Purple Innovation (PRPL) AI Stock Analysis

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Purple Innovation

(NASDAQ:PRPL)

Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$0.50
▼(-29.58%Downside)
Purple Innovation is currently facing substantial financial challenges, which are the most significant factor affecting its stock score. While strategic partnerships and improvements in showroom sales and gross margins offer some optimism, these are overshadowed by declining overall revenue, negative profit margins, and high leverage. The technical analysis reflects a neutral to slightly negative market sentiment, and the valuation indicates caution due to profitability issues.

Purple Innovation (PRPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Purple Innovation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPurple Innovation (PRPL) is a leader in the design and manufacturing of innovative comfort solutions, primarily in the mattress and bedding industry. The company is known for its proprietary Purple Grid technology, which offers a unique combination of support and pressure relief. Purple Innovation operates within the consumer goods sector, focusing on the production and sale of mattresses, pillows, cushions, and related accessories. The company emphasizes quality and innovation in its products, aiming to provide exceptional comfort and support to its customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyPurple Innovation generates revenue primarily through the sale of its comfort products, including mattresses, pillows, and cushions. The company sells its products directly to consumers via its e-commerce platform and through various retail channels, including partnerships with third-party retailers, showrooms, and wholesale partners. A significant portion of its revenue is driven by its flagship product, the Purple Mattress, which utilizes the company's proprietary Hyper-Elastic Polymer material. Purple also earns revenue from sales of bedding accessories and other comfort-related products. The company's strategic partnerships and retail presence help expand its market reach and contribute to its overall earnings.

Purple Innovation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -4.05%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
While Purple Innovation faced a notable decline in overall revenue and challenges in the wholesale and e-commerce channels, they achieved significant growth in their showroom channel, improved gross margins, and strengthened their strategic position through an expanded partnership with Mattress Firm. However, the impact of tariffs and a cautious consumer environment pose ongoing challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Showroom Channel Growth
For the fifth consecutive period, revenue in the showroom channel grew, with a 7% increase in the first quarter and an 11% increase in comparable sales despite operating fewer locations.
Improved Gross Margins
Adjusted gross margins exceeded 40% for the fourth consecutive quarter, improving by 550 basis points compared to last year.
Adjusted EBITDA Improvement
Adjusted EBITDA increased by $8 million and 650 basis points compared to last year, aided by cost savings and restructuring efforts.
Expanded Partnership with Mattress Firm
The partnership with Mattress Firm was expanded to increase Purple mattress slots from 5,000 to 12,000 across the entire store network, expected to drive more than $70 million in incremental net revenue next year.
Successful Product Launch
The launch of the Rejuvenate 2.0 mattress line received positive feedback, with a 60% year-over-year increase in slot commitments across the wholesale channel.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
First quarter revenue of $104.2 million was down 13% compared to last year, with softness in wholesale and e-commerce channels.
E-commerce Channel Weakness
E-commerce sales declined by 8% despite increased website traffic, indicating a disconnect between consumer interest and conversion.
Wholesale Segment Pressure
Wholesale net revenue was down 24% compared to last year, due to fewer doors and broad-based softness across partners.
Tariff Impact
The company is facing potential annual costs of approximately $10 million due to recent U.S. tariff charges, primarily affecting the textile side of the business.
Company Guidance
During the Purple Innovation First Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company reported revenue of $104.2 million, a 13% decline from the previous year, but in line with their guidance. Showroom sales grew by 7%, marking the fifth consecutive period of growth, while comparable sales were up 11%. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $8 million, improving by 650 basis points year-over-year. The company also achieved an adjusted gross margin exceeding 40% for the fourth consecutive quarter, with a 550 basis point improvement from the prior year. Looking ahead, Purple Innovation reaffirmed its full-year guidance with expected revenue between $465 million to $485 million and adjusted EBITDA ranging from flat to a $10 million increase. A significant development was the expansion of their partnership with Mattress Firm, anticipating more than $70 million in incremental net revenue beginning next year.

Purple Innovation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Purple Innovation is experiencing significant financial challenges, including declining revenue, negative profit margins, high leverage, and negative cash flow. These factors indicate inefficiencies in operations and cost management, posing substantial financial risks.
Income Statement
40
Negative
Purple Innovation has seen a decline in revenue over recent years, with the latest TTM revenue showing a significant drop from 2021 and 2022 levels. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 37.14%, which is a moderate level in the industry. However, the company is struggling with profitability, as indicated by negative net income and EBIT margins. These negative margins reflect ongoing challenges in cost management and revenue generation. The year-over-year revenue growth rate is negative, highlighting significant business challenges.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The company's balance sheet reveals high leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 5.08 in TTM, indicating a concerning level of debt relative to equity. The equity ratio is low at about 6.56%, pointing to a small equity buffer against liabilities. Furthermore, the return on equity is negative due to consistent net losses, suggesting challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The declining stockholders' equity over time underscores these financial pressures.
Cash Flow
35
Negative
Purple Innovation's cash flow statement highlights significant struggles with cash generation. The free cash flow is negative, and the free cash flow growth is also negative, indicating worsening cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, reflecting difficulties in converting accounting profits into cash. Despite financing activities providing some cash inflow, the core business operations are not generating sufficient cash, posing a risk to financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue472.01M487.88M510.54M573.20M725.00M648.47M
Gross Profit180.46M181.13M171.82M208.09M293.75M305.10M
EBITDA-15.13M-45.17M-94.13M141.47M12.77M-260.98M
Net Income-66.82M-97.90M-120.76M-92.47M3.11M-236.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets293.77M307.85M390.63M433.33M642.47M554.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.63M29.01M26.86M41.75M91.62M122.95M
Total Debt176.92M158.13M152.97M150.86M182.32M93.58M
Total Liabilities292.44M287.64M275.02M254.44M495.93M394.48M
Stockholders Equity1.34M20.20M115.42M177.96M145.77M159.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-30.65M-25.09M-69.90M-66.93M-87.96M42.12M
Operating Cash Flow-24.11M-17.85M-54.66M-28.77M-30.90M81.26M
Investing Cash Flow-6.57M-7.53M-16.06M-34.50M-57.06M-39.14M
Financing Cash Flow17.83M27.53M55.83M13.41M56.62M47.36M

Purple Innovation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price0.71
Price Trends
50DMA
0.75
Negative
100DMA
0.79
Negative
200DMA
0.87
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.01
Positive
RSI
42.32
Neutral
STOCH
33.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRPL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.71 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.76, below the 50-day MA of 0.75, and below the 200-day MA of 0.87, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.32 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRPL.

Purple Innovation Risk Analysis

Purple Innovation disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Purple Innovation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Purple Innovation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
62
Neutral
$16.72B10.85-7.48%3.15%1.66%-24.52%
59
Neutral
$56.21M-6.89%5.53%15.64%
50
Neutral
$124.12M-3.83%5.61%-11.78%-13.89%
50
Neutral
$143.51M-186.28%8.52%98.75%
48
Neutral
$76.54M-199.78%-10.41%53.85%
48
Neutral
$42.55M8.84%-16.42%88.30%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRPL
Purple Innovation
0.71
-0.39
-35.45%
BSET
Bassett Furniture
14.26
1.19
9.10%
LIVE
Live Ventures
18.27
-4.38
-19.34%
FFAI
Faraday Future Intelligent Electric
1.47
-16.93
-92.01%
ISPO
Inspirato
3.42
-0.13
-3.66%

Purple Innovation Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Purple Innovation Stockholders Approve Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Purple Innovation‘s stockholders approved several key proposals during their Annual Meeting. These included the election of nine directors, advisory approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of BDO USA, LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are pivotal for the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRPL) stock is a Buy with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Purple Innovation stock, see the PRPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Purple Innovation Expands Credit Facility by $20 Million
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 2, 2025, Purple Innovation entered into a Second Amendment to its credit agreement, increasing its senior secured term loan facility by $20 million, bringing the total to $100 million. This financial move aims to support Purple’s expansion and investments in innovation and advertising. Additionally, Purple announced a significant expansion of its commercial relationship with Somnigroup International, which will see Purple’s presence in Mattress Firm stores grow from 5,000 to 12,000 mattress slots. This expansion is expected to generate approximately $70 million in incremental net revenue starting in 2026. The strategic supply agreement with Tempur Sherwood, a subsidiary of Somnigroup, will allow Sherwood exclusive rights to assemble certain Purple product lines, while Purple retains its GelFlex Grid technology.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Purple Innovation Accelerates NOL Rights Plan Expiration
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On June 27, 2024, Purple Innovation‘s Board of Directors adopted a stockholder rights agreement, the NOL Rights Plan, to protect $238 million in net operating losses from potential tax limitations due to ownership changes. However, on May 6, 2025, the Board decided to accelerate the plan’s expiration to May 7, 2025, to prevent artificial suppression of share price and remove barriers to new investment, following a strategic review initiated in March 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025