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Purple Innovation, Inc. (PRPL)
:PRPL
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Purple Innovation (PRPL) AI Stock Analysis

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PRPL

Purple Innovation

(NASDAQ:PRPL)

Rating:51Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▲(25.00% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects significant financial challenges, with declining revenues and profitability weighing heavily. While technical signals are neutral and corporate events show potential growth, the valuation remains unattractive due to negative earnings. The earnings call highlights mixed prospects, with strategic efforts to drive growth but ongoing pressures on margins and revenues.

Purple Innovation (PRPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Purple Innovation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPurple Innovation, Inc. designs and manufactures mattresses, pillows, and cushions. The company also offers bases, foundations, sheets, mattress protectors, bed frames, seat cushions, weighted blankets, and duvets, as well as pet beds. It markets and sells its products through its e-commerce online channels retail brick-and-mortar wholesale partners, and third-party online retailers, as well as through Purple retail showrooms. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Lehi, Utah.
How the Company Makes MoneyPurple Innovation makes money primarily through the sale of its comfort products, which are sold directly to consumers via its e-commerce platform and through a network of retail partners. The company's revenue model is based on direct-to-consumer sales, which allows it to maintain competitive pricing and high profit margins. Key revenue streams include the sale of mattresses, which represent the largest portion of its income, followed by pillows and seat cushions. Purple also benefits from strategic partnerships with major retailers, which help to expand its market reach and drive additional sales volume. Additionally, the company invests in marketing and innovation to maintain its brand presence and attract a diverse customer base.

Purple Innovation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -5.88%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong demand for new products like Rejuvenate 2.0 and significant expansion efforts with partners such as Mattress Firm and Costco, indicating positive future growth. However, these were offset by a notable revenue decline and gross margin setbacks due to tariffs and ramp-up costs.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Rejuvenate 2.0 Demand Surpasses Expectations
Demand for Rejuvenate 2.0 exceeded projections and outpaced supply, particularly in showrooms, selling over 1,300 units at an average price of $6,000.
Mattress Firm Expansion
Significant rollout of new retail distribution for Mattress Firm, expected to drive revenue growth in the second half of 2025.
Improved Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA increased by $1.8 million and 120 basis points year-over-year, with expectations of positive adjusted EBITDA in the back half of the year.
Strategic Partnerships with Costco and Walmart
Deepening partnership with Costco, preparing to launch in 450 clubs, and introduction of Grid Cloud Pillow in 1,200 Walmart stores.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Revenue for the quarter was $105 million, down 12.6% year-over-year, impacted by weaker e-commerce results and last year's wholesale door exit.
Gross Margin Setback
Gross margin decreased to 36%, a decline of 480 basis points, due to incremental tariffs and ramp-up costs.
E-commerce Softness
E-commerce net revenue declined by 11.5% during the second quarter.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter earnings call for Purple Innovation, the company reported a revenue of $105 million, which marked a 12.6% decrease from the previous year but an improvement from the prior quarter. The decline was primarily attributed to challenges in e-commerce and the impact of last year's wholesale door exit, although demand for the Rejuvenate 2.0 product exceeded expectations. Despite a gross margin decrease to 36% due to tariffs and ramp-up costs for the Mattress Firm expansion, the company achieved a $1.8 million increase in adjusted EBITDA and a 120 basis point improvement versus last year. The company reaffirmed its full-year guidance, projecting revenues between $465 million and $485 million, and an adjusted EBITDA ranging from breakeven to $10 million. Purple Innovation anticipates accelerated growth in the second half, driven by the rollout of new retail distributions and the successful launch of Rejuvenate 2.0, expecting to exit 2025 with a gross margin rate above 40%.

Purple Innovation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Purple Innovation is facing significant financial challenges with declining revenues, high debt levels, and negative free cash flow. Despite some improvements in cash flow, the overall financial health remains precarious, indicating potential liquidity and debt management risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Purple Innovation has faced declining revenues over the past few years, with a significant drop from $724.9 million in 2021 to $487.9 million in 2024. The company has struggled with profitability, evidenced by negative net income and EBIT margins. The gross profit margin has also decreased, indicating challenges in maintaining cost efficiency. Overall, the income statement reflects a company under pressure with declining sales and profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio due to significant liabilities and low stockholders' equity, which has decreased substantially from $145.8 million in 2021 to $20.2 million in 2024. The equity ratio is low, indicating heavy reliance on debt financing. These factors suggest financial instability and potential risks in meeting long-term obligations.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Purple Innovation's cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow, although there has been some improvement in operating cash flow compared to previous years. The company has managed to reduce its negative free cash flow from $69.9 million in 2023 to $25.1 million in 2024. However, the reliance on financing activities to support cash flow needs indicates potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue456.84M487.88M510.54M573.20M725.00M648.47M
Gross Profit169.20M181.13M171.82M208.09M293.75M305.10M
EBITDA-40.01M-45.17M-94.13M141.47M12.77M-260.98M
Net Income-84.19M-97.90M-120.76M-92.47M3.11M-236.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets303.79M307.85M390.63M433.33M642.47M554.73M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments34.25M29.01M26.86M41.75M91.62M122.95M
Total Debt100.92M158.13M152.97M150.86M182.32M93.58M
Total Liabilities319.37M287.64M275.02M254.44M495.93M394.48M
Stockholders Equity-15.64M20.20M115.42M177.96M145.77M159.91M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-26.62M-25.09M-69.90M-66.93M-87.96M42.12M
Operating Cash Flow-19.18M-17.85M-54.66M-28.77M-30.90M81.26M
Investing Cash Flow-7.42M-7.53M-16.06M-34.50M-57.06M-39.14M
Financing Cash Flow37.44M27.53M55.83M13.41M56.62M47.36M

Purple Innovation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.80
Price Trends
50DMA
0.77
Positive
100DMA
0.76
Positive
200DMA
0.84
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
49.89
Neutral
STOCH
16.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRPL, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.80, above the 50-day MA of 0.77, and below the 200-day MA of 0.84, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 16.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PRPL.

Purple Innovation Risk Analysis

Purple Innovation disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Purple Innovation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Purple Innovation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$752.22M14.7010.69%6.69%-4.89%
61
Neutral
$16.55B10.17-9.03%3.33%1.46%-22.85%
54
Neutral
$140.60M56.891.46%4.94%-7.22%
51
Neutral
$89.09M-331.75%-13.19%20.95%
50
Neutral
$99.91M-5.55%9.57%-3.89%-391.05%
45
Neutral
$11.72M-35.33%-26.36%82.23%
44
Neutral
$207.22M9.10%-14.40%-2.14%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PRPL
Purple Innovation
0.80
-0.23
-22.33%
BSET
Bassett Furniture
16.19
4.48
38.26%
ETD
Ethan Allen
29.31
1.11
3.94%
HOFT
Hooker Furniture
9.61
-4.14
-30.11%
SNBR
Sleep Number
9.20
-2.54
-21.64%
ATER
Aterian
1.17
-1.88
-61.64%

Purple Innovation Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Purple Innovation Amends Executive Bonus Arrangements
Neutral
Jul 29, 2025

In July 2025, Purple Innovation, Inc. amended its special bonus arrangements for key executives Robert DeMartini, Todd Vogensen, and Eric Haynor. The amendments stipulate that the bonuses, initially due in August 2025, will be paid in two installments: 35% in August 2025 and 65% in January 2026, contingent upon the executives’ continued service. Additionally, a 15% bonus on the January 2026 payment is offered, with conditions tied to employment continuity or a change in company control. These changes aim to incentivize the executives’ ongoing commitment to the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRPL) stock is a Buy with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Purple Innovation stock, see the PRPL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Purple Innovation Approves Executive Incentive Bonuses
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 17, 2025, Purple Innovation‘s Board of Directors approved long-term incentive cash bonuses for key executives, including Robert DeMartini, Todd Vogensen, and Eric Haynor, with respective amounts of $1,500,000, $450,000, and $393,750. These bonuses are contingent on performance measures such as cumulative net revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and EBITDA margin over a specified period from January 1, 2025, to December 31, 2027. In the event of a company change in control, the bonuses will be determined based on either threshold metrics or actual performance, whichever is greater.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRPL) stock is a Buy with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Purple Innovation stock, see the PRPL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Purple Innovation Stockholders Approve Key Proposals
Neutral
Jun 11, 2025

On June 10, 2025, Purple Innovation‘s stockholders approved several key proposals during their Annual Meeting. These included the election of nine directors, advisory approval of executive compensation, and the ratification of BDO USA, LLP as the independent accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These decisions are pivotal for the company’s governance and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (PRPL) stock is a Buy with a $1.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Purple Innovation stock, see the PRPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Purple Innovation Expands Credit Facility by $20 Million
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 2, 2025, Purple Innovation entered into a Second Amendment to its credit agreement, increasing its senior secured term loan facility by $20 million, bringing the total to $100 million. This financial move aims to support Purple’s expansion and investments in innovation and advertising. Additionally, Purple announced a significant expansion of its commercial relationship with Somnigroup International, which will see Purple’s presence in Mattress Firm stores grow from 5,000 to 12,000 mattress slots. This expansion is expected to generate approximately $70 million in incremental net revenue starting in 2026. The strategic supply agreement with Tempur Sherwood, a subsidiary of Somnigroup, will allow Sherwood exclusive rights to assemble certain Purple product lines, while Purple retains its GelFlex Grid technology.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Purple Innovation Accelerates NOL Rights Plan Expiration
Neutral
May 6, 2025

On June 27, 2024, Purple Innovation‘s Board of Directors adopted a stockholder rights agreement, the NOL Rights Plan, to protect $238 million in net operating losses from potential tax limitations due to ownership changes. However, on May 6, 2025, the Board decided to accelerate the plan’s expiration to May 7, 2025, to prevent artificial suppression of share price and remove barriers to new investment, following a strategic review initiated in March 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2025