Purple Innovation (PRPL)
NASDAQ:PRPL
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Purple Innovation
(NASDAQ:PRPL)
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Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
$0.60
▼(-9.85% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/01/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial fundamentals (negative equity, ongoing losses, and cash burn) and a still-bearish technical trend. This is partially offset by a more positive earnings outlook, with management guiding to materially higher 2026 adjusted EBITDA and positive free cash flow, alongside gross margin remaining above 40%.
Positive Factors
Gross Margin Durability
Sustained gross margins above 40% indicate structural product and sourcing advantages that support profitability as revenue scales. Durable margins provide room to absorb input cost swings, fund marketing or showroom expansions, and materially improve the path to sustained positive operating cash flow and EBITDA over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity / Balance Sheet Weakness
Negative stockholders' equity is a structural red flag that constrains financing options and increases insolvency risk. It limits the company's ability to absorb further losses, negotiate favorable credit terms, or pursue opportunistic investments without dilutive or covenant-heavy external financing over the coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Gross Margin Durability
Sustained gross margins above 40% indicate structural product and sourcing advantages that support profitability as revenue scales. Durable margins provide room to absorb input cost swings, fund marketing or showroom expansions, and materially improve the path to sustained positive operating cash flow and EBITDA over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Purple Innovation (PRPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$66.47M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)398.96K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.34
Revenue Growth-9.47%
EPS Growth48.11%
CountryUS
Employees1,200
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.02
Shares Outstanding108,633,900
10 Day Avg. Volume517,967
30 Day Avg. Volume398,960
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.03
Price to Book (P/B)-2.51
Price to Sales (P/S)0.16
P/FCF Ratio-1.78
Enterprise Value/Market Cap3.71
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.53
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit1.31
Enterprise Value/Ebitda161.41
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$0.85Price Target Upside28.79% Upside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering1
EPS Forecast (FY)-0.23
Revenue Forecast (FY)$527.23M
Purple Innovation Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Purple Innovation, Inc. designs and manufactures mattresses, pillows, and cushions. The company also offers bases, foundations, sheets, mattress protectors, bed frames, seat cushions, weighted blankets, and duvets, as well as pet beds. It markets ...
How the Company Makes Money
Purple primarily makes money by selling branded sleep products, with revenue generally falling into two main streams: (1) Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales and (2) Wholesale/retail partner sales. In DTC, Purple generates revenue from online orders pl...
Purple Innovation Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Channel
Shows how the company’s sales split across channels such as direct-to-consumer, wholesale/retail partners and third-party marketplaces. For Purple Innovation, channel mix drives margins, customer acquisition cost and control over brand experience—direct sales tend to deliver higher margins and better customer data, while heavy wholesale exposure can boost volume but compress pricing and leave the company vulnerable to retailer inventory and promotional cycles.
Shows how the company’s sales split across channels such as direct-to-consumer, wholesale/retail partners and third-party marketplaces. For Purple Innovation, channel mix drives margins, customer acquisition cost and control over brand experience—direct sales tend to deliver higher margins and better customer data, while heavy wholesale exposure can boost volume but compress pricing and leave the company vulnerable to retailer inventory and promotional cycles.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyPurple Innovation Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Mar 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed meaningful operational and financial progress — notable EBITDA and margin improvements, $25M in sustained cost savings, strong wholesale growth (Mattress Firm and Costco), and successful premium product rollouts — while also acknowledging ongoing challenges including a full-year revenue decline, persistent e-commerce weakness, a going concern note in the 10-K, and modest near-term cash balances. Management provided optimistic 2026 guidance ($500M–$520M revenue; $20M–$30M adjusted EBITDA) and expects positive free cash flow, signaling that the company believes the turnaround is durable. On balance, the positive operating and profitability momentum and clear plan to scale outweigh the remaining liquidity and top-line risks.Positive Updates
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Net revenue for Q4 2025 was $140.7 million, up 9.1% year-over-year, driven primarily by wholesale expansion (Mattress Firm and Costco).
Negative Updates
Full Year Revenue Decline
Net revenue for full year 2025 was $468.7 million, down 3.9% versus prior year, reflecting continued softness in e-commerce and overall market headwinds.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Net revenue for Q4 2025 was $140.7 million, up 9.1% year-over-year, driven primarily by wholesale expansion (Mattress Firm and Costco).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Purple guided full-year 2026 revenue of $500 million to $520 million with adjusted EBITDA of $20 million to $30 million and gross margin sustainably above 40%; for Q1 2026 it expects revenue of $100 million to $105 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $7 million to $4 million, with management forecasting neutral cash burn in Q1 and positive free cash flow for 2026, roughly $10–$12 million of CapEx, $25 million of cost savings delivered in 2025 and $25–$30 million of sustainable savings going forward; for context, FY‑2025 net revenue was $468.7 million with adjusted EBITDA of $1.9 million (Q4 adjusted EBITDA $8.8 million), Q4 gross margin ~41.9% (FY gross margin ~40.2% / adjusted ~40.4%), cash of $24.3 million, net inventory $59.7 million, and debt maturities extended to April 30, 2027.Purple Innovation Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
24
Negative
Cash Flow
28
Negative
| Breakdown | Mar 2026 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 468.73M | 487.88M | 510.54M | 573.20M | 726.23M |
| Gross Profit | 188.56M | 181.13M | 171.82M | 208.09M | 294.97M |
| EBITDA | 1.53M | -45.17M | -94.13M | 141.47M | 18.94M |
| Net Income | -51.41M | -97.90M | -120.76M | -92.47M | 4.03M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 296.26M | 307.85M | 390.63M | 433.33M | 642.47M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 24.34M | 29.01M | 26.86M | 40.05M | 91.62M |
| Total Debt | 204.29M | 158.13M | 152.97M | 152.96M | 184.62M |
| Total Liabilities | 325.93M | 287.64M | 275.02M | 258.16M | 495.93M |
| Stockholders Equity | -29.69M | 20.20M | 115.42M | 174.26M | 145.77M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | -41.91M | -25.09M | -69.90M | -66.93M | -87.96M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -33.83M | -17.85M | -54.66M | -28.77M | -30.90M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -8.28M | -7.53M | -16.06M | -34.50M | -57.06M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 37.44M | 27.53M | 55.83M | 13.41M | 56.62M |
Purple Innovation Technical Analysis
Negative
0.66
Price Trends
0.68
Negative
0.71
Negative
0.81
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.02
Positive
38.96
Neutral
17.96
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PRPL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.66 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.67, below the 50-day MA of 0.68, and below the 200-day MA of 0.81, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.96 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PRPL.
Purple Innovation Risk Analysis
Purple Innovation disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Purple Innovation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Purple Innovation Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
70 Outperform | $569.74M | 12.45 | 9.20% | 7.86% | -4.26% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
54 Neutral | $165.11M | -1.14 | -15.57% | 7.20% | -12.09% | -204.66% | |
48 Neutral | $121.15M | 29.10 | 3.24% | 4.59% | -2.74% | ― | |
47 Neutral | $66.47M | -5.81 | 289.96% | ― | -9.47% | 48.11% | |
45 Neutral | $32.24M | -1.49 | 25.91% | ― | -16.95% | -88.00% | |
45 Neutral | $7.30M | -0.29 | -47.45% | ― | -26.81% | 40.22% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
PRPL
Purple Innovation
0.61
-0.03
-4.53%
BSET
Bassett Furniture
14.01
-2.12
-13.14%
ETD
Ethan Allen
22.39
-2.25
-9.14%
HOFT
Hooker Furniture
15.32
7.70
101.05%
SNBR
Sleep Number
1.41
-3.62
-71.97%
ATER
Aterian
0.67
-1.09
-61.70%
Purple Innovation Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Purple Innovation Extends Credit Facility Amid Profitability Gains
Positive
Mar 31, 2026
Purple Innovation, Inc., a comfort-focused mattress and bedding maker, operates a portfolio built around its proprietary GelFlex Grid® technology, which originated in medical applications and now underpins a range of mattresses, pillows, bedd...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.