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Aterian (ATER)
NASDAQ:ATER
US Market

Aterian (ATER) AI Stock Analysis

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ATER

Aterian

(NASDAQ:ATER)

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Neutral 48 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:48Neutral
Price Target:
$0.91
▲(18.31% Upside)
Aterian's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance challenges, including declining revenues and persistent losses. While technical indicators and valuation suggest bearish sentiment, strategic initiatives and cost improvements provide some optimism for future growth.
Positive Factors
Technology Platform
The technology platform enhances supply chain efficiency and product development, supporting rapid market entry and scalability.
Cost Management
Effective cost management through headcount and vendor savings improves profitability and financial stability.
Marketplace Expansion
Expanding sales channels diversifies revenue streams and enhances market presence, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Significant revenue decline indicates challenges in maintaining sales volume, impacting financial health and growth potential.
Gross Margin Pressure
Decreased gross margin suggests cost pressures and pricing challenges, affecting profitability and competitive positioning.
Strategic Uncertainty
Exploring strategic alternatives introduces uncertainty, potentially impacting long-term strategic direction and operational focus.

Aterian (ATER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Aterian Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAterian, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a technology-enabled consumer products company in North America and internationally. The company provides Artificial Intelligence Marketplace e-Commerce Engine, a software technology platform, which uses machine learning, natural language processing, and data analytics to design, develop, market, and sell products. Its platform offers home and kitchen appliances; kitchenware; heating, cooling, and health and beauty products; and air quality appliances, such as dehumidifiers, humidifiers, and air conditioners under the hOmeLabs, Vremi, Squatty Potty, Xtava, RIF6, Aussie Health, Holonix, Truweo, Mueller, Pursteam, Pohl and Schmitt, Healing Solutions, Photo Paper Direct, and Spiralizer brands. The company also sells essential oils. It primarily serves individual online consumers through Amazon and other e-commerce platforms, as well as through its owned and operated websites and other marketplaces. The company was formerly known as Mohawk Group Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Aterian, Inc. in April 2021. Aterian, Inc. was founded in 2014 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyAterian generates revenue primarily through the sale of its consumer products across e-commerce platforms such as Amazon, Walmart, and its own websites. The company employs a direct-to-consumer model, which allows for higher margins compared to traditional retail. Key revenue streams include sales of kitchen appliances, home goods, and personal care items, all supported by effective digital marketing strategies. Additionally, Aterian's proprietary technology platform aids in streamlining operations, reducing costs, and improving product visibility, which can enhance profitability. Significant partnerships with major online retailers and ongoing investments in data analytics further contribute to its revenue growth by enabling targeted advertising and optimized inventory management.

Aterian Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While Aterian showed significant improvements in contribution margin and cost reductions, the company faced substantial challenges, including a notable decline in net revenue attributed to tariff impacts and decreased consumer spending. The strategic initiatives, such as AI implementation and expansion into new sales channels, indicate positive steps forward, but the overall financials reflect ongoing difficulties.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Contribution Margin
Q3 2025 contribution margin improved by over 700 basis points from Q2 2025, back to over 15%.
Adjusted EBITDA Loss Reduction
Adjusted EBITDA loss improved by over 80% versus Q2 2025, indicating effective cost management.
Successful Cost Reduction Initiatives
Fixed cost reduction initiative secured approximately $5.5 million in annualized savings, primarily from headcount reductions and vendor savings.
AI Implementation in Customer Experience
AI deployment led to a 30% improvement in service level performance and a 20% improvement in talk time, earning the Genesys Orchestrator's Innovation Award.
Expansion into New Sales Channels
Expanded marketplace channels with additions like Home Depot, Best Buy, and Bed Bath and Beyond.
Negative Updates
Net Revenue Decline
Net revenue for Q3 2025 was $19 million, a 27.5% decrease from $26.2 million in Q3 2024.
Impact of Tariffs and Consumer Spending Slowdown
Revenue decline attributed to strategic price increases to offset tariff costs and a general slowdown in consumer spending.
Decreased Gross Margin
Overall gross margin for Q3 2025 decreased to 56.1% from 60.3% in Q3 2024, driven by product mix, tariffs, and remediation costs.
Increased Net Loss
Net loss for Q3 2025 was $2.3 million, up from a loss of $1.8 million in Q3 2024, due to reduced sales volume and contribution margin.
Company Guidance
During Aterian, Inc.'s Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year and beyond, emphasizing a focus on navigating the challenging tariff environment and positioning for growth in 2026. Net revenue for Q3 2025 was reported at $19 million, marking a 2% decrease from the previous quarter and a 27.5% decline compared to Q3 2024. The contribution margin improved by over 700 basis points from Q2 2025 to over 15%, and the adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed by over 80%, reaching just over $400,000. The company aims to achieve net revenue of $36 million to $38 million and an adjusted EBITDA ranging from breakeven to a $1 million loss for the six months ending December 31, 2025. Aterian has made strategic moves in cost reduction, supply chain diversification, and product launches, particularly in consumables sourced from the US, to mitigate the impact of tariffs and improve profitability. Looking ahead, the company plans to expand its marketplace channels and leverage AI for operational efficiency, with a renewed focus on sustainable growth and profitability in 2026.

Aterian Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Aterian faces significant profitability challenges with declining revenues and negative net profit margins. Despite a stable balance sheet and recent improvements in cash flow, the company's financial health is hindered by persistent net losses and operational inefficiencies.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The company has faced declining revenues over recent years, with a significant drop from 2019 to 2024. Gross profit margin stands at 62.0% for 2024, indicating a strong ability to convert revenue into gross profit, yet the net profit margin is deeply negative at -12.0%, reflecting continued net losses. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also negative, suggesting operating challenges. Overall, profitability remains a significant concern.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Aterian's balance sheet shows a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.25 in 2024, indicating a moderate level of debt relative to equity. Stockholders' equity has decreased from 2021, but the company maintains a positive equity ratio of 60.6%, suggesting reasonable financial stability. The return on equity is negative due to losses, pointing to inefficiencies in generating returns on shareholder investment.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
The cash flow statement shows improvement with positive free cash flow of $2.12 million in 2024, a turnaround from negative flows in previous years. Operating cash flow is positive, yet the ratio of operating cash flow to net income indicates a challenge in converting earnings into cash. Free cash flow to net income is also negative, reflecting underlying profitability issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue78.45M99.05M142.57M221.17M247.77M185.70M
Gross Profit46.27M61.49M70.28M105.52M121.86M84.75M
EBITDA-9.78M-9.00M-69.42M-186.45M-214.92M-57.49M
Net Income-12.34M-11.86M-74.56M-196.29M-236.02M-63.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets40.15M49.54M61.87M156.44M313.57M157.45M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.60M18.00M20.02M43.57M30.32M26.72M
Total Debt6.61M7.41M12.15M22.75M40.42M86.50M
Total Liabilities17.51M19.52M25.84M54.49M89.34M134.07M
Stockholders Equity22.64M30.02M36.03M101.95M224.23M23.38M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.91M2.12M-13.51M-17.56M-42.00M6.00M
Operating Cash Flow-9.86M2.17M-13.39M-17.48M-41.97M6.09M
Investing Cash Flow-46.00K-242.00K-244.00K-677.00K-44.91M-39.05M
Financing Cash Flow-60.00K-4.91M-11.11M27.00M95.57M32.32M

Aterian Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price0.77
Price Trends
50DMA
0.92
Negative
100DMA
1.00
Negative
200DMA
1.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
<0.01
Negative
RSI
55.50
Neutral
STOCH
62.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATER, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 0.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, below the 50-day MA of 0.92, and below the 200-day MA of 1.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of <0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for ATER.

Aterian Risk Analysis

Aterian disclosed 26 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aterian reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Aterian Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
61
Neutral
$9.86M-3.50-18.10%6.66%-1404.42%
48
Neutral
$8.53M-46.32%-26.81%40.22%
45
Neutral
$29.79M-2.90-22.07%12.17%-1.49%-399.62%
42
Neutral
$29.74M-1.28-39.95%-5.98%-29.87%
42
Neutral
$11.46M-0.37-179.41%-16.56%-39.85%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ATER
Aterian
0.77
-1.51
-66.23%
CRWS
Crown Crafts
2.62
-1.47
-35.93%
NTZ
Natuzzi SPA
2.26
-2.19
-49.21%
EFOI
Energy Focus
2.46
1.14
86.36%
FGI
FGI Industries Ltd
6.40
2.30
56.10%
NCL
Northann Corp.
0.34
-2.06
-85.83%

Aterian Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Aterian Explores Strategic Alternatives for Shareholder Value
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

On December 8, 2025, Aterian, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors has initiated a formal process to explore strategic alternatives to maximize shareholder value. This process may involve a potential sale of assets, a sale of the company, a business combination, or a merger. Despite having a strong portfolio of consumer brands and a global omni-channel sales presence, the company believes its market valuation does not reflect the true value of its brand portfolio. A.G.P / Alliance Global Partners and Paul Hastings LLP have been engaged to assist in this strategic review.

Executive/Board Changes
Aterian CTO Roi Zahut Resigns Amid Transition
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Aterian, Inc. announced the resignation of its Chief Technology Officer, Roi Zahut, effective November 3, 2025. Zahut’s departure is amicable and not due to any disagreements with the company’s operations or policies, and he will assist with the transition until his departure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025