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Aterian
(NASDAQ:ATER)
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Rating:41Neutral
Price Target:
$0.37
▼(-7.50% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/29/26
The score is primarily weighed down by weak financial performance (shrinking revenue, persistent losses, and renewed cash burn) and a strongly bearish technical setup (price far below all major moving averages). Valuation metrics provide limited support due to negative earnings and no stated dividend yield. Corporate events offer some offset via regained Nasdaq compliance and a potential CVR distribution, but uncertainty around the final payout keeps the impact moderate.
Positive Factors
Low Leverage / No Debt
Zero reported debt materially reduces interest burden and refinancing risk, improving financial flexibility over the next several months. This durable strength gives management runway to execute restructuring or strategic options without immediate creditor pressure, lowering bankruptcy risk.
Negative Factors
Sustained Revenue Decline
A multi-year collapse in revenue erodes scale advantages, increases per-unit fixed cost absorption, and signals loss of marketplace traction. Durable top-line contraction makes it harder to leverage gross margins into profits and limits the effectiveness of cost cuts over the 2–6 month horizon.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Low Leverage / No Debt
Zero reported debt materially reduces interest burden and refinancing risk, improving financial flexibility over the next several months. This durable strength gives management runway to execute restructuring or strategic options without immediate creditor pressure, lowering bankruptcy risk.
Read all positive factors
Aterian (ATER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$4.24M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)82.30K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)1.23
Revenue Growth-43.06%
EPS Growth-63.35%
CountryUS
Employees96
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryFurnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-2.56
Shares Outstanding10,879,410
10 Day Avg. Volume52,412
30 Day Avg. Volume82,304
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio>-0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.36
Price to Sales (P/S)0.08
P/FCF Ratio-0.50
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda>-0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)-1.98
Revenue Forecast (FY)$75.11M
Aterian Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Aterian, Inc., founded in 2014 and headquartered in New York, is an international, technology-driven consumer products company. Its core innovation is an Artificial Intelligence Marketplace e-Commerce Engine, a proprietary software platform that l...
How the Company Makes Money
Aterian makes money primarily by selling consumer products directly to end customers through e-commerce. Its core revenue stream is product sales across online marketplaces (with Amazon historically a major channel) and other digital retail channe...
Aterian Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 13, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. While Aterian showed significant improvements in contribution margin and cost reductions, the company faced substantial challenges, including a notable decline in net revenue attributed to tariff impacts and decreased consumer spending. The strategic initiatives, such as AI implementation and expansion into new sales channels, indicate positive steps forward, but the overall financials reflect ongoing difficulties.Positive Updates
Improved Contribution Margin
Q3 2025 contribution margin improved by over 700 basis points from Q2 2025, back to over 15%.
Negative Updates
Net Revenue Decline
Net revenue for Q3 2025 was $19 million, a 27.5% decrease from $26.2 million in Q3 2024.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Improved Contribution Margin
Q3 2025 contribution margin improved by over 700 basis points from Q2 2025, back to over 15%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Aterian, Inc.'s Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the remainder of the fiscal year and beyond, emphasizing a focus on navigating the challenging tariff environment and positioning for growth in 2026. Net revenue for Q3 2025 was reported at $19 million, marking a 2% decrease from the previous quarter and a 27.5% decline compared to Q3 2024. The contribution margin improved by over 700 basis points from Q2 2025 to over 15%, and the adjusted EBITDA loss narrowed by over 80%, reaching just over $400,000. The company aims to achieve net revenue of $36 million to $38 million and an adjusted EBITDA ranging from breakeven to a $1 million loss for the six months ending December 31, 2025. Aterian has made strategic moves in cost reduction, supply chain diversification, and product launches, particularly in consumables sourced from the US, to mitigate the impact of tariffs and improve profitability. Looking ahead, the company plans to expand its marketplace channels and leverage AI for operational efficiency, with a renewed focus on sustainable growth and profitability in 2026.Aterian Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
22
Negative
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
24
Negative
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 53.63M | 68.97M | 99.05M | 142.57M | 221.17M | 247.77M |
| Gross Profit | 29.73M | 39.15M | 61.49M | 70.28M | 105.52M | 121.86M |
| EBITDA | -10.55M | -16.37M | -9.00M | -69.42M | -186.45M | -214.92M |
| Net Income | -21.22M | -18.98M | -11.86M | -74.56M | -196.29M | -236.02M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 22.20M | 29.56M | 49.54M | 61.87M | 156.44M | 313.57M |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 2.32M | 4.86M | 18.00M | 20.02M | 43.57M | 30.32M |
| Total Debt | 2.90M | 4.63M | 7.41M | 12.15M | 22.75M | 40.42M |
| Total Liabilities | 12.67M | 14.35M | 19.52M | 25.84M | 54.49M | 89.34M |
| Stockholders Equity | 9.53M | 15.21M | 30.02M | 36.03M | 101.95M | 224.23M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | -7.45M | -10.95M | 2.12M | -13.51M | -17.56M | -42.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | -7.39M | -10.89M | 2.17M | -13.39M | -17.48M | -41.97M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -55.00K | -51.00K | -242.00K | -244.00K | -677.00K | -44.91M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -5.07M | -2.52M | -4.91M | -11.11M | 27.00M | 95.57M |
Aterian Technical Analysis
Negative
0.40
Price Trends
1.09
Negative
0.94
Negative
0.85
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.13
Positive
20.06
Positive
1.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ATER, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 0.4 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.91, below the 50-day MA of 1.09, and below the 200-day MA of 0.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.06 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 1.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ATER.
Aterian Risk Analysis
Aterian disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Aterian reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Aterian Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $31.74M | 16.74 | 4.78% | 12.12% | -5.71% | ― | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
44 Neutral | $8.11M | -1.27 | -34.81% | ― | -4.81% | -355.75% | |
42 Neutral | $8.54M | -2.28 | -141.77% | ― | 6.58% | 53.38% | |
41 Neutral | $4.24M | -0.16 | -118.44% | ― | -43.06% | -63.35% | |
39 Underperform | $13.55M | -0.39 | -83.25% | ― | 0.94% | -107.21% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
ATER
Aterian
0.41
-0.79
-65.83%
CRWS
Crown Crafts
2.95
0.39
15.41%
NTZ
Natuzzi SPA
1.22
-1.65
-57.49%
EFOI
Energy Focus
3.05
1.04
51.74%
FGI
FGI Industries Ltd
4.28
0.32
8.08%
NCL
Northann Corp.
0.16
-1.11
-87.48%
Aterian Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesDividendsM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingShareholder MeetingsStock Split
Aterian completes asset sale and leadership restructuring
Neutral
Jul 20, 2026
On July 17, 2026, Aterian completed the sale of key consumer brand assets to Trademark Global for $18 million in cash and closed a $7 million preferred stock financing with investor David E. Lazar, while simultaneously repaying in full its outstan...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Aterian Adjourns Special Meeting on Asset Sale Vote
Neutral
Jul 10, 2026
On July 10, 2026, Aterian convened a special meeting of stockholders but immediately adjourned it without conducting business after determining it lacked sufficient votes to approve the proposed sale of substantially all of the company’s ass...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Aterian Declares Contingent Value Rights Dividend to Shareholders
Positive
Jun 26, 2026
On June 25, 2026, Aterian’s board approved a dividend in the form of contingent value rights (CVRs) tied to its previously announced asset sale to Trademark Global and an investment transaction with David E. Lazar involving preferred stock. ...
Delistings and Listing ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Aterian Regains Nasdaq Compliance, Securing Continued Listing
Positive
May 21, 2026
On December 9, 2025, Aterian, Inc. was notified by Nasdaq that its common stock had closed below the $1.00 minimum bid price for 30 consecutive business days, putting the company out of compliance with Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2). Nasdaq grante...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Aterian Sells Core Brands and Undergoes Leadership Shift
Neutral
Apr 29, 2026
On April 27, 2026, Aterian agreed to sell the assets and certain liabilities tied to its marquee e-commerce brands, including Mueller Living, PurSteam, hOmeLabs, Squatty Potty, Healing Solutions, and Photo Paper Direct, to Trademark Global for $18...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.