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Natuzzi S.p.a. (NTZ)
NYSE:NTZ

Natuzzi SPA (NTZ) AI Stock Analysis

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NTZ

Natuzzi SPA

(NYSE:NTZ)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(33.33% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating financial performance (shrinking revenue, ongoing losses, negative free cash flow, and elevated leverage). Technicals are comparatively supportive with price above major moving averages and moderate positive momentum, while valuation remains challenged due to loss-making results. Earnings-call commentary is mixed, with margin improvement and growth initiatives tempered by weak demand, high fixed costs, and restructuring/leadership uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Brand & Multi-channel Reach
Natuzzi's established premium brand and diversified distribution (branded stores, franchisees, dealers, online and export channels) provide durable pricing power and customer loyalty. This multi-channel footprint supports resilient revenue streams and expansion into emerging markets over the medium term.
Improving Gross Margin
An improved gross margin driven by a higher share of Natuzzi Italia (higher-margin) sales indicates the business can lift profitability through mix shifts. If sustained, this structural margin improvement helps offset higher labor costs and supports path to operating leverage despite weak top-line trends.
Contract Trade Division Opportunity
Development of the Contract Trade Division offers a strategic, potentially recurring revenue stream that diversifies reliance on retail foot traffic. Institutional and B2B contracts can scale with lower marketing intensity and improve utilization of production capacity, supporting medium-term revenue stability.
Negative Factors
Sharp Revenue Contraction
A sustained, material decline in revenue reduces economies of scale and amplifies fixed-cost pressure, undermining margins and profitability potential. Restoring top-line growth is critical; without it, restructuring and cost cuts may be insufficient to return the business to sustainable profitability.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Persistent negative free cash flow constrains the firm's ability to fund capex, restructure operations, reduce debt, or invest in growth without external financing or asset sales. This structural cash generation weakness increases refinancing and liquidity risk during a multi-quarter turnaround.
Elevated Leverage and Falling Equity
High leverage combined with declining equity raises solvency risk and increases interest burden, limiting strategic flexibility. In a loss-making, cash-constrained environment, elevated debt heightens the likelihood of asset disposals, covenant pressure, or equity dilution that could impede long-term recovery.

Natuzzi SPA (NTZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Natuzzi SPA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNatuzzi SPA (NTZ) is a leading Italian furniture manufacturer renowned for its luxury leather sofas and home furnishings. Established in 1959, the company operates primarily in the high-end furniture sector, specializing in the design and production of a wide range of products, including seating, beds, and accessories. Natuzzi is recognized for its commitment to quality craftsmanship, innovative design, and sustainable practices, serving a global market through a network of retail stores and partnerships with various distributors.
How the Company Makes MoneyNatuzzi generates revenue primarily through the sale of its premium furniture products, which include sofas, chairs, and home decor items. The company employs a multi-channel distribution strategy, selling directly to consumers through its branded retail stores, as well as through a network of franchisees and authorized dealers. Key revenue streams include online sales, international exports, and partnerships with major retailers. Additionally, Natuzzi benefits from its strong brand reputation and customer loyalty, which help drive sales. The company also focuses on expanding its presence in emerging markets and enhancing its product offerings to adapt to changing consumer preferences, further contributing to its earnings.

Natuzzi SPA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlights some positive strides, such as improved gross margins and strategic governmental discussions, and potential growth in the Contract Trade Division. However, these are balanced by significant challenges, including weak consumer confidence, a decline in unbranded product sales, high SG&A costs, and labor cost issues in Italy.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Improved Gross Margin
The company improved its gross margin this quarter, surpassing levels recorded in the first two quarters of the year, due to a more favorable sales mix. Sales of Natuzzi Italia, which deliver higher margins, grew by 18% compared to the third quarter of last year.
Strategic Discussions with Italian Government
Natuzzi is in discussions with the Italian government, which has recognized the company as an enterprise of strategic relevance, to seek measures aimed at improving quality and reducing transformation costs at its Italian factory.
International Trade Show Participation
The company continues to invest in international trade events and visual merchandising to enhance customer shopping experiences. Recent events include participation in India and a commercial roadshow in China.
Growth in Contract Trade Division
The Contract Trade Division is viewed as having significant potential, with a forecasted revenue of between EUR 5 million and EUR 10 million for 2026, and is expected to grow exponentially.
Negative Updates
Weak Consumer Confidence
Consumer confidence remains weak due to geopolitical factors, negatively impacting foot traffic in stores, particularly in the United States and Europe, despite investments in marketing.
Unbranded Product Sales Decline
Sales of unbranded products, which are not core to the business, decreased by 20%.
High SG&A Costs
Despite reductions in wages and transportation expenses, overall SG&A costs remain high relative to the current revenue base.
Labor Costs in Italy
Improvements in margin are limited by labor costs in Italy following the reshoring process from China to Italy.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Natuzzi S.p.A. reported significant improvements in gross margin, attributed to a favorable sales mix, with Natuzzi Italia's sales growing by 18% compared to the previous year. However, overall foot traffic in stores, particularly in the U.S. and Europe, remains weak despite efforts to improve conversion rates and increase marketing investments. The company is focused on cost reduction, including a strategic reshoring process from China to Italy, which has increased labor costs. SG&A costs remain high relative to current revenue, prompting a commitment to reduce fixed costs. Natuzzi is actively engaging with the Italian government to improve production efficiency and is investing in international trade events and visual merchandising to enhance customer experience. Additionally, the company is working on a restructuring plan to rationalize its Italian factories, aiming to reduce the workforce from 1,350 to around 750-800 employees. The commercial division is seen as a significant growth opportunity, with potential revenues between EUR 5 million and EUR 10 million forecasted for 2026. The search for a new CEO is ongoing, with a decision expected soon.

Natuzzi SPA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financial fundamentals remain weak: revenue fell sharply from $468.5M (2022) to $318.8M (2024), profitability is negative (EBIT and net income losses), and free cash flow is negative, limiting flexibility. Balance sheet leverage is elevated with declining equity, adding risk.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Natuzzi SPA's revenue has been declining from $468.5M in 2022 to $318.8M in 2024, indicating a significant revenue contraction. The company has reported negative EBIT and net income for recent years, reflecting operational losses and challenges in achieving profitability. Gross profit margins have also decreased, indicating pressures on cost management. The consistent negative net profit margin and EBIT margin highlight ongoing profitability struggles.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio, indicating higher financial leverage, which poses a risk given the company's profitability issues. Equity has decreased from 2023 to 2024, reducing financial stability. However, the equity ratio remains moderate, suggesting some degree of asset backing. The decline in total assets and equity over the years flags potential liquidity issues.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
The company's cash flow statement reveals negative free cash flow in recent years, indicating insufficient cash generation to cover capital expenditures. Operating cash flow has also diminished, reflecting reduced cash generation from core operations. The weak operating cash flow to net income ratio further highlights challenges in converting income to cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue312.40M318.80M328.62M468.49M427.38M328.34M
Gross Profit111.10M115.70M112.86M164.33M153.80M102.00M
EBITDA-9.36M14.33M14.41M31.68M34.86M9.56M
Net Income-17.45M-15.15M-16.07M-540.00K3.58M-24.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets313.60M319.02M338.35M368.60M390.00M356.00M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.50M20.32M33.61M54.48M53.47M48.19M
Total Debt0.0099.80M102.51M98.39M110.72M100.83M
Total Liabilities260.30M260.82M265.06M276.00M306.20M280.70M
Stockholders Equity49.00M54.01M68.94M87.90M82.30M74.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.60M-3.56M-3.99M13.65M-1.29M11.65M
Operating Cash Flow2.22M1.88M6.12M21.88M2.38M13.59M
Investing Cash Flow2.87M-4.60M-10.71M-3.39M6.88M12.10K
Financing Cash Flow-13.48M-13.33M-15.42M-17.97M-3.48M-5.19M

Natuzzi SPA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price2.25
Price Trends
50DMA
2.68
Positive
100DMA
2.91
Positive
200DMA
3.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Positive
RSI
59.94
Neutral
STOCH
40.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NTZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 2.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.00, below the 50-day MA of 2.68, and below the 200-day MA of 3.16, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.94 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NTZ.

Natuzzi SPA Risk Analysis

Natuzzi SPA disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Natuzzi SPA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Natuzzi SPA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.50B16.968.82%2.39%1.78%-25.36%
75
Outperform
$213.78M9.5514.28%1.77%6.00%64.58%
70
Outperform
$583.48M13.119.21%7.86%-4.61%-25.66%
66
Neutral
$137.23M17.074.70%4.59%-2.74%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
50
Neutral
$35.11M-1.68-39.99%-4.94%11.35%
49
Neutral
$143.02M-4.70-11.27%7.20%-12.09%-204.66%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NTZ
Natuzzi SPA
3.19
-1.57
-33.05%
BSET
Bassett Furniture
15.80
2.40
17.91%
ETD
Ethan Allen
22.93
-5.33
-18.86%
FLXS
Flexsteel
40.03
-7.27
-15.37%
HOFT
Hooker Furniture
13.27
1.98
17.54%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
36.41
-7.80
-17.64%

Natuzzi SPA Corporate Events

Natuzzi Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amidst Restructuring Efforts
Dec 16, 2025

Natuzzi S.p.A. reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a slight decrease in total net sales to €74.4 million compared to the previous year. Despite a challenging business environment marked by geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainties, the company improved its gross margin to 36.0% due to a better sales mix and cost savings. However, Natuzzi continues to face operational challenges, including high industrial labor costs and weak consumer confidence, which are affecting sales and order intake. The company is actively seeking a new CEO to lead its restructuring efforts and is focused on optimizing its cost structure and enhancing its product offerings to improve profitability and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (NTZ) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natuzzi SPA stock, see the NTZ Stock Forecast page.

Natuzzi S.p.A. to Release Q3 and Nine-Month Financial Results
Dec 15, 2025

On December 15, 2025, Natuzzi S.p.A. announced it will release its unaudited financial results for the third quarter and first nine months of 2025 on December 16, 2025, after the NYSE closes. The company will hold a conference call on December 17, 2025, to discuss these results, potentially impacting investor insights and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (NTZ) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natuzzi SPA stock, see the NTZ Stock Forecast page.

Natuzzi S.p.A. Reports Q2 2025 Financial Results Amid Restructuring Efforts
Nov 19, 2025

Natuzzi S.p.A. reported a decline in financial performance for the second quarter of 2025, with net sales dropping to €78.3 million, a 7.2% decrease from the previous year. The company faced challenges due to geopolitical instability, weak consumer confidence, and trade tensions, impacting its operations and cash flow. In response, Natuzzi is implementing a comprehensive restructuring plan aimed at reducing fixed costs, optimizing production, and strengthening its capital structure. The plan includes divesting non-strategic assets, outsourcing low-value activities, and enhancing its retail and trade business. Despite the current challenges, Natuzzi is optimistic about future growth opportunities, particularly in emerging markets, and is actively seeking a new CEO to lead its turnaround strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (NTZ) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natuzzi SPA stock, see the NTZ Stock Forecast page.

Natuzzi S.p.A. Releases 2025 Mid-Year Financial Results
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Natuzzi S.p.A. announced the release of its unaudited financial results for the second quarter and first half of 2025, scheduled for the same day after the NYSE closes. The company will hold a conference call on November 20, 2025, to discuss these results, offering stakeholders insights into its financial performance and strategic positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (NTZ) stock is a Hold with a $2.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Natuzzi SPA stock, see the NTZ Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 08, 2026