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MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN)
:MLKN
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MillerKnoll (MLKN) AI Stock Analysis

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MLKN

MillerKnoll

(NASDAQ:MLKN)

Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$20.00
▲(2.20% Upside)
The overall stock score is influenced by a strong earnings performance and strategic growth plans, despite financial challenges and valuation concerns. The company's liquidity position is a positive factor, but profitability issues and potential future impacts from tariffs temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings
MillerKnoll reported strong 4Q25 results with revenue, EBITDA, and EPS coming in well ahead of street estimates.
Order Growth
Order growth rates jumped as potential pull-forward demand raced to beat impending tariff related pricing actions.
Revenue Growth
North America Contract shines with revenue up approximately 12.5% year-over-year, reinforcing the belief that demand is out there.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressures
Near-term margin pressures are expected with current tariff levels impacting costs and potential short-term setbacks in gross and operating margins.
Tariff Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty still represents the greatest obstacle for both the industry and customers.

MillerKnoll (MLKN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MillerKnoll Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN) is a leading global design company operating in the furniture manufacturing industry. The company was formed through the merger of Herman Miller and Knoll, both of which are iconic brands in the design and furnishing sectors. MillerKnoll offers a wide range of products, including office furniture, seating, textiles, and related products, catering to both commercial and residential markets. The company is known for its innovative design, sustainable practices, and high-quality products that enhance spaces and improve how people work and live.
How the Company Makes MoneyMillerKnoll generates revenue primarily through the sale of its furniture and related products. The company's revenue streams are diversified across multiple sectors, including office, healthcare, education, and residential markets. A significant portion of its income comes from large-scale projects and corporate contracts, where it supplies office furniture systems and solutions. Additionally, MillerKnoll benefits from its strong brand portfolio and distribution network, which includes direct-to-consumer sales, retail partnerships, and a network of authorized dealers and distributors. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps maintain its competitive edge and market share. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions play a crucial role in its growth strategy, allowing it to leverage synergies and expand its market reach.

MillerKnoll Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.07%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance in Q4, with significant growth in the North America Contract and International segments and successful retail and product expansion. However, there are challenges related to tariff costs and order pull-forward effects, which may impact future performance. Despite these challenges, the company is well-positioned with strong liquidity and strategic growth plans.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Adjusted earnings of $0.60 per share, significantly outperforming the midpoint of guidance. Consolidated net sales were $962 million, up 8.2% on a reported basis and 7.8% organically.
Growth in North America Contract Segment
Net sales for the quarter were $496 million, up just under 13% from the same quarter a year ago. New orders in the period were $568 million, reflecting growth of almost 16% over last year.
International Market Strength
Net sales improved to $186 million, up 6.9% on a reported basis and 5.5% on an organic basis year-over-year. Strong sales and order growth in European markets.
Retail Expansion and New Products
Opened 4 new retail stores in fiscal 2025, with plans for 10 to 15 more in fiscal 2026. Introduced over 30 new products across brands.
Increased Liquidity and Debt Management
Ended the quarter with $576 million of liquidity. Reduced long-term debt by $5 million and extended credit facility maturities to 2030.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Challenges
Tariff-related costs impacted Q4 gross margin, with an estimated $7 million drag. Expected to reduce Q1 earnings by $9 million to $11 million before tax.
Impact of Order Pull-Forward
Estimated $55 million to $60 million in demand was pulled forward in North America Contract ahead of tariff surcharge and price increase, affecting future order growth.
Retail Segment Margin Pressure
Operating margin in the retail segment was 5.3%, down from 6% last year, due to new store opening costs and unfavorable product mix.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, MillerKnoll reported strong financial performance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.60, significantly surpassing the midpoint of their guidance. The company experienced an 8.2% increase in consolidated net sales, reaching $962 million, and a 7.8% organic growth compared to the previous year. North America Contract segment saw a notable 13% increase in net sales to $496 million, with new orders rising by 16%. The International Contract segment also showed growth, with net sales up 6.9% and new orders increasing by 3.6%. The Global Retail segment reported a 2.2% rise in net sales and a 7.5% increase in new orders. However, the quarter's gross margin was slightly down to 39.2%. The company ended the quarter with $71 million in cash flow from operations and $576 million in liquidity, while reducing long-term debt by $5 million. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, MillerKnoll projects Q1 net sales between $899 million and $939 million, with an expected EPS impact from tariffs of $0.09 to $0.11. The company plans to open 10 to 15 new stores in the U.S. and expects to offset tariff impacts with pricing actions by the second half of the fiscal year.

MillerKnoll Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MillerKnoll's financial performance is hindered by a negative net profit margin and declining EBIT and EBITDA margins. Despite a stable revenue base and a healthy gross profit margin, profitability issues are evident with negative return on equity and declining free cash flow trends.
Income Statement
50
Neutral
MillerKnoll's TTM revenue shows modest growth of 1.14% compared to the previous year. However, the net profit margin is negative at -1.01%, indicating a loss in profitability. The gross profit margin remains healthy at 38.74%, but a declining EBIT margin of 1.38% and EBITDA margin of 1.38% reflect operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio stands at 1.36, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on equity has turned negative at -2.76%, highlighting profitability issues. The equity ratio is relatively stable at 33.80%, indicating a solid capital structure despite the decline in equity over time.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains positive, with a decent operating cash flow to net income ratio of 5.67. However, free cash flow has decreased significantly, leading to a negative free cash flow growth rate. The company is generating free cash flow, but declining trends could indicate potential cash flow challenges.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.67B3.63B4.09B3.95B2.47B
Gross Profit1.42B1.42B1.43B1.35B949.20M
EBITDA50.50M331.00M371.00M219.80M327.90M
Net Income-36.90M82.30M42.10M-27.10M174.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.95B4.04B4.27B4.51B2.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments193.70M230.40M223.50M230.30M404.10M
Total Debt1.81B1.76B1.87B1.89B543.00M
Total Liabilities2.62B2.58B2.73B2.98B1.14B
Stockholders Equity1.28B1.39B1.43B1.43B849.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow0.00273.90M79.60M-106.60M272.50M
Operating Cash Flow0.00352.30M162.90M-11.90M332.30M
Investing Cash Flow-100.90M-86.30M-76.50M-1.17B-59.90M
Financing Cash Flow-150.30M-258.80M-86.80M1.04B-347.70M

MillerKnoll Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.57
Price Trends
50DMA
18.64
Positive
100DMA
17.96
Positive
200DMA
20.29
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Positive
RSI
51.55
Neutral
STOCH
23.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLKN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.86, above the 50-day MA of 18.64, and below the 200-day MA of 20.29, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLKN.

MillerKnoll Risk Analysis

MillerKnoll disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MillerKnoll reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MillerKnoll Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.49B15.7318.63%0.16%6.26%44.74%
78
Outperform
$1.44B17.177.15%4.05%-47.49%
74
Outperform
$750.44M14.6610.69%6.86%-4.89%
73
Outperform
$787.82M9.5610.89%-7.47%-9.07%
70
Outperform
$1.49B15.419.84%2.43%3.04%-16.49%
61
Neutral
$16.54B10.12-9.02%3.34%1.44%-22.51%
56
Neutral
$1.34B45.68-2.77%4.12%1.14%-149.26%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLKN
MillerKnoll
19.57
-7.67
-28.16%
AMWD
American Woodmark
54.32
-34.88
-39.10%
ETD
Ethan Allen
29.51
1.31
4.65%
TILE
Interface
25.46
9.02
54.87%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
36.23
-4.68
-11.44%
MBC
MasterBrand Inc
11.33
-4.12
-26.67%

MillerKnoll Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
MillerKnoll Chair Michael Volkema Announces Retirement
Neutral
Jul 21, 2025

On July 15, 2025, Michael Volkema, the Chair of the Board of Directors of MillerKnoll, Inc., announced his retirement from the board at the end of his term during the company’s 2025 annual meeting of shareholders. Volkema’s decision to retire stems from personal and family commitments and not from any disagreements with the company. His departure marks the end of a significant tenure, having served as President and CEO for 9 years and as Board Chair for 25 years, during which he contributed greatly to the company’s leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLKN) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MillerKnoll stock, see the MLKN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025