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MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN)
:MLKN
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MillerKnoll (MLKN) AI Stock Analysis

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MillerKnoll

(NASDAQ:MLKN)

Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$21.00
▲(6.82%Upside)
MillerKnoll's overall stock score reflects strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators, offset by financial challenges and a high P/E ratio. The company benefits from strategic growth plans but must address leverage and margin pressures to enhance financial health.
Positive Factors
Earnings
MillerKnoll reported strong 4Q25 results with revenue, EBITDA, and EPS coming in well ahead of street estimates.
Order Growth
Order growth rates jumped as potential pull-forward demand raced to beat impending tariff related pricing actions.
Revenue Growth
North America Contract shines with revenue up approximately 12.5% year-over-year, reinforcing the belief that demand is out there.
Negative Factors
Margin Pressures
Near-term margin pressures are expected with current tariff levels impacting costs and potential short-term setbacks in gross and operating margins.
Tariff Uncertainty
Tariff uncertainty still represents the greatest obstacle for both the industry and customers.

MillerKnoll (MLKN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MillerKnoll Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN) is a leading global design company operating in the furniture manufacturing industry. The company was formed through the merger of Herman Miller and Knoll, both of which are iconic brands in the design and furnishing sectors. MillerKnoll offers a wide range of products, including office furniture, seating, textiles, and related products, catering to both commercial and residential markets. The company is known for its innovative design, sustainable practices, and high-quality products that enhance spaces and improve how people work and live.
How the Company Makes MoneyMillerKnoll generates revenue primarily through the sale of its furniture and related products. The company's revenue streams are diversified across multiple sectors, including office, healthcare, education, and residential markets. A significant portion of its income comes from large-scale projects and corporate contracts, where it supplies office furniture systems and solutions. Additionally, MillerKnoll benefits from its strong brand portfolio and distribution network, which includes direct-to-consumer sales, retail partnerships, and a network of authorized dealers and distributors. The company also invests in research and development to innovate and expand its product offerings, which helps maintain its competitive edge and market share. Strategic partnerships and acquisitions play a crucial role in its growth strategy, allowing it to leverage synergies and expand its market reach.

MillerKnoll Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 25, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 11.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Sep 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a strong financial performance in Q4, with significant growth in the North America Contract and International segments and successful retail and product expansion. However, there are challenges related to tariff costs and order pull-forward effects, which may impact future performance. Despite these challenges, the company is well-positioned with strong liquidity and strategic growth plans.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Q4 Financial Performance
Adjusted earnings of $0.60 per share, significantly outperforming the midpoint of guidance. Consolidated net sales were $962 million, up 8.2% on a reported basis and 7.8% organically.
Growth in North America Contract Segment
Net sales for the quarter were $496 million, up just under 13% from the same quarter a year ago. New orders in the period were $568 million, reflecting growth of almost 16% over last year.
International Market Strength
Net sales improved to $186 million, up 6.9% on a reported basis and 5.5% on an organic basis year-over-year. Strong sales and order growth in European markets.
Retail Expansion and New Products
Opened 4 new retail stores in fiscal 2025, with plans for 10 to 15 more in fiscal 2026. Introduced over 30 new products across brands.
Increased Liquidity and Debt Management
Ended the quarter with $576 million of liquidity. Reduced long-term debt by $5 million and extended credit facility maturities to 2030.
Negative Updates
Tariff-Related Challenges
Tariff-related costs impacted Q4 gross margin, with an estimated $7 million drag. Expected to reduce Q1 earnings by $9 million to $11 million before tax.
Impact of Order Pull-Forward
Estimated $55 million to $60 million in demand was pulled forward in North America Contract ahead of tariff surcharge and price increase, affecting future order growth.
Retail Segment Margin Pressure
Operating margin in the retail segment was 5.3%, down from 6% last year, due to new store opening costs and unfavorable product mix.
Company Guidance
In the recent earnings call, MillerKnoll reported strong financial performance for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with adjusted earnings per share at $0.60, significantly surpassing the midpoint of their guidance. The company experienced an 8.2% increase in consolidated net sales, reaching $962 million, and a 7.8% organic growth compared to the previous year. North America Contract segment saw a notable 13% increase in net sales to $496 million, with new orders rising by 16%. The International Contract segment also showed growth, with net sales up 6.9% and new orders increasing by 3.6%. The Global Retail segment reported a 2.2% rise in net sales and a 7.5% increase in new orders. However, the quarter's gross margin was slightly down to 39.2%. The company ended the quarter with $71 million in cash flow from operations and $576 million in liquidity, while reducing long-term debt by $5 million. Looking ahead to fiscal 2026, MillerKnoll projects Q1 net sales between $899 million and $939 million, with an expected EPS impact from tariffs of $0.09 to $0.11. The company plans to open 10 to 15 new stores in the U.S. and expects to offset tariff impacts with pricing actions by the second half of the fiscal year.

MillerKnoll Financial Statement Overview

Summary
MillerKnoll's financial performance is mixed, with declining revenue and profitability. The high leverage on the balance sheet and decreasing free cash flow pose challenges, though operating cash generation remains relatively strong.
Income Statement
65
Positive
MillerKnoll's income statement reveals a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM revenue of $3.597 billion is a decrease from the previous annual revenue of $3.628 billion, representing a negative growth rate. Gross Profit Margin stands at 38.87%, which indicates reasonable efficiency in managing production costs. However, the Net Profit Margin is weak at 0.84%, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 1.61% and 1.47%, respectively. These margins suggest challenges in controlling operational and other expenses.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a high Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 1.36, indicating significant leverage. The Return on Equity is relatively low at 2.28%, reflecting modest profitability relative to shareholder funds. With an Equity Ratio of 33.95%, the company has a moderate level of equity financing but faces potential risks from its substantial debt load.
Cash Flow
63
Positive
The cash flow statement highlights a decline in Free Cash Flow from $273.9 million to $56.5 million, indicating a significant decrease in cash available after capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 2.60, suggesting that cash flow generation is stronger than net profits. However, the Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.88, reflecting the challenges in converting profits into free cash.
BreakdownJun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021Jun 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.63B4.09B3.95B2.47B2.49B
Gross Profit1.42B1.43B1.35B949.20M910.70M
EBITDA331.00M371.00M219.80M327.90M79.40M
Net Income82.30M42.10M-19.70M174.60M-19.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.04B4.27B4.51B2.06B2.04B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments230.40M223.50M230.30M404.10M461.00M
Total Debt1.76B1.87B1.89B474.00M770.10M
Total Liabilities2.58B2.73B2.98B1.14B1.35B
Stockholders Equity1.39B1.43B1.43B849.60M643.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow273.90M79.60M-106.60M272.50M152.80M
Operating Cash Flow352.30M162.90M-11.90M332.30M221.80M
Investing Cash Flow-86.30M-76.50M-1.17B-59.90M-168.10M
Financing Cash Flow-258.80M-86.80M1.04B-347.70M244.00M

MillerKnoll Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price19.66
Price Trends
50DMA
17.95
Positive
100DMA
18.14
Positive
200DMA
20.56
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.77
Positive
RSI
54.00
Neutral
STOCH
27.54
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLKN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 19.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.47, above the 50-day MA of 17.95, and below the 200-day MA of 20.56, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.54 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MLKN.

MillerKnoll Risk Analysis

MillerKnoll disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MillerKnoll reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MillerKnoll Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.25B14.7318.15%0.19%5.41%44.50%
ETETD
71
Outperform
$725.26M12.6412.09%5.47%-6.32%-18.35%
LZLZB
70
Outperform
$1.52B15.819.84%2.37%3.04%-16.49%
69
Neutral
$772.01M8.1810.89%-7.47%-9.07%
MBMBC
64
Neutral
$1.41B14.478.02%1.30%-44.70%
63
Neutral
$1.34B46.432.28%3.80%-2.68%-56.16%
56
Neutral
HK$25.30B3.94-2.03%6.16%-0.31%-67.70%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLKN
MillerKnoll
19.66
-8.29
-29.66%
AMWD
American Woodmark
53.13
-37.81
-41.58%
ETD
Ethan Allen
28.81
0.42
1.48%
TILE
Interface
21.14
4.66
28.28%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
37.87
-3.44
-8.33%
MBC
MasterBrand Inc
11.25
-5.50
-32.84%

MillerKnoll Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
MillerKnoll Announces Organizational Restructuring for 2025
Neutral
Mar 26, 2025

MillerKnoll, Inc. announced changes to its organizational structure and reporting segments effective March 1, 2025, aligning with long-term strategies to enhance visibility into performance in key markets. The new segments are North America Contract, International Contract, and Global Retail. For the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company reported a 0.4% increase in consolidated net sales, driven by strong performance in North America and Global Retail. Despite challenges such as unfavorable channel and product mix, the company maintained its earnings expectations, taking proactive steps to improve profitability amidst economic uncertainties. Special charges of $140.2 million were recorded, including restructuring actions and impairment of goodwill.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025