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MillerKnoll, Inc. (MLKN)
NASDAQ:MLKN

MillerKnoll (MLKN) AI Stock Analysis

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MLKN

MillerKnoll

(NASDAQ:MLKN)

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Neutral 59 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$23.00
▲(4.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/12/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (sharp TTM revenue decline, net losses, leverage, and softer free-cash-flow trends). Offsetting this, technicals are strong with clear upside trend (though overbought signals add risk), and the earnings call provided a more optimistic near-term outlook via improving orders and guided margins/EPS. Valuation is mixed: an attractive dividend yield, but a negative P/E due to losses.
Positive Factors
Retail order momentum
Sustained retail order growth across channels increases revenue visibility and supports scale economies. Consistent order momentum (holiday strength and double-digit promotional gains) implies stronger customer demand and pricing power that can drive margin recovery and durable topline stabilization.
Store expansion and brand traction
Accelerating store rollout and record retail performance indicate tangible omnichannel growth and deeper brand engagement. New stores expand direct, higher-margin channels, enhance customer experience, and create durable revenue streams once fixed costs are absorbed, supporting long-term unit economics.
Refinanced term loan to improve flexibility
Locking in longer-term debt on better terms lowers interest expense and increases prepayment flexibility, improving cash flow predictability. Enhanced liability management materially supports capital allocation, reduces refinancing risk, and creates headroom to invest in growth or deleveraging over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Large revenue decline and net losses
A severe multi-quarter revenue contraction undermines fixed-cost coverage and erodes competitive positioning. Persistent top-line shrinkage coupled with net losses pressures margins, limits reinvestment ability, and risks permanent share loss unless demand or product mix sustainably recovers.
Elevated leverage
High leverage raises financing costs and reduces strategic flexibility, making the company more vulnerable to cyclical downturns. Even with recent refinancing, elevated debt levels constrain capital allocation choices and increase risk to earnings and liquidity until leverage meaningfully declines.
Weak free cash flow conversion
Declining FCF and subpar cash conversion limit the firm's ability to fund store openings, pay down debt, or sustain dividends without external financing. Structural working-capital or margin issues that depress FCF will impair capacity to self-fund growth and increase reliance on debt markets.

MillerKnoll (MLKN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

MillerKnoll Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Americas Contract, International Contract, Global Retail, and Knoll. It offers office furniture products under the Aeron, Mirra, Sayl, Embody, Layout Studio, Imagine Desking System, Ratio, Cosm, Tone, and Generation by Knoll names; and other seating and storage products and ergonomic accessories under the About A Chair, Palissade, Eero Saarinen designs, Barcelona, and the Flo monitor arm names. The company also offers office seating, office furniture systems, other freestanding furniture elements, textiles, leather, felt, home furnishings and related services, casegoods, storage products, as well as residential, education, and healthcare furniture solutions. As of May 28, 2022, the company operated 70 retail studios including 35 operates under the DWR brand, 7 under the HAY brand, 22 Herman Miller stores, 2 Muuto stores, 3 Knoll stores, and a multi-brand Chicago store. Its products are used in institutional, health/science, and residential and other environments; transportation terminals; and industrial and educational settings. The company markets its products through its sales staff, and independent dealers and retailers, as well as e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Herman Miller, Inc. and changed its name to MillerKnoll, Inc. in November 2021. MillerKnoll, Inc. was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in Zeeland, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyMillerKnoll generates revenue primarily through the sale of its furniture and design solutions. The company has multiple key revenue streams, including direct sales to businesses and consumers, partnerships with architects and designers, and distribution through a network of dealers and retailers. Additionally, MillerKnoll benefits from ongoing contracts and repeat business in the commercial sector, where companies frequently require updates and expansions to their office spaces. The company's focus on sustainability and innovative design also attracts premium pricing, enhancing profit margins. Strategic partnerships with interior design firms and other stakeholders in the architecture and design community further bolster its market presence and revenue potential.

MillerKnoll Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Operating Income by Segment
Reveals profitability across different business units, highlighting which segments are driving earnings and which may need strategic adjustments.
Chart InsightsMillerKnoll's operating income reveals mixed performance across segments. The Americas segment shows a strong rebound, particularly in 2025, aligning with a 12% sales increase in North America. However, the Retail segment faces profitability pressures despite a 6.4% sales growth, reflecting challenges from new store costs and tariffs. International income remains volatile, with order declines noted in APMEA and Latin America. Despite these hurdles, the company is optimistic about mitigating tariff impacts and expanding its retail footprint, aiming for long-term growth.
Data provided by:The Fly

MillerKnoll Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Dec 17, 2025
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 01, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook with significant retail growth and effective tariff mitigation efforts. Despite some challenges in international segments and seasonal pressures, the company demonstrates strong order momentum and strategic expansion plans, indicating confidence in future growth.
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Retail Performance
Global Retail segment orders increased 6% year over year, with North America retail orders up 8%. The holiday cyber promotional period saw a 12% rise in orders compared to the previous year.
Record Sales and Store Expansion
Multiple records set in North America Retail including the highest orders in DWR brand history. Four new store locations opened in Q2; plans to open 14 to 16 new stores in the fiscal year.
Effective Tariff Mitigation
Proactive mitigation actions expected to fully offset tariff costs in the second half of the fiscal year, supporting gross margin and EPS resilience.
Order Growth and Positive Outlook
Total orders for the quarter grew to $973 million, up 5.5%. Positive order momentum across all segments indicating an improving demand environment.
Healthcare Sector Growth
Total healthcare orders are up 5% year to date, with strong demand in resilient sectors such as healthcare.
Negative Updates
Decrease in Consolidated Net Sales
Consolidated net sales for the quarter were $955 million, down 1.6% year over year on a reported basis and 2.5% lower organically.
International Contract Segment Challenges
Net sales were down 6.3% on a reported basis and down 9.2% on an organic basis year over year, primarily due to lower sales and regional and product mix.
Operating Margin Pressure
Adjusted operating margin in the North America Contract segment was down 50 basis points year over year, and in the Global Retail segment, it was down 170 basis points, primarily due to costs related to new stores, net tariff costs, and foreign currency.
Seasonal and Macroeconomic Challenges
Guidance for Q3 reflects typical seasonal softness and macroeconomic uncertainties that could impact demand.
Company Guidance
During the MillerKnoll, Inc.'s second quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance based on strong performance across various segments. Orders for the Global Retail segment increased by 6% year over year, with North America retail orders up by 8% despite holding promotions and marketing spend flat compared to the previous year. The company also reported significant success during the holiday cyber promotional period, with orders rising 12% compared to the same period last year. The North America Contract segment saw orders increase by 4.8%, indicating a positive trend in the return-to-office initiatives driving demand in commercial real estate and design services. Internationally, orders rose by 6.6%, driven by strong performance in Europe, the UK, China, and India. Despite a slight decrease in consolidated net sales to $955 million, down 1.6% year over year, adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations at $0.43. Looking ahead, MillerKnoll expects third-quarter net sales to range between $923 million and $963 million, with gross margins projected between 37.9% and 38.9% and adjusted diluted earnings per share anticipated to be between $0.42 and $0.48. The company remains focused on expanding its retail footprint, enhancing supply chain efficiency, and leveraging its strong balance sheet to drive continued growth and capture market opportunities.

MillerKnoll Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Weak fundamentals dominate: TTM revenue fell 40.4% and profitability is negative, while leverage is elevated (debt-to-equity 1.34) and free cash flow growth is down (TTM -14.3%). Some stability (reasonable equity ratio and positive operating cash flow vs. net income) helps, but overall financial health remains pressured.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
MillerKnoll's income statement shows a challenging period with declining revenue and profitability. The TTM data indicates a significant revenue drop of 40.4%, and the net profit margin is negative, reflecting a net loss. The gross profit margin remains relatively stable, but the EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, indicating operational challenges. The company needs to address its declining revenue and improve cost management to enhance profitability.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.34, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is negative, reflecting recent losses. However, the equity ratio is reasonable, suggesting a balanced asset structure. The company should focus on reducing debt levels and improving profitability to strengthen its financial position.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows a decrease in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate of 14.3% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating some cash generation capability, but the free cash flow to net income ratio suggests challenges in converting earnings to cash. Improving cash flow management and reducing reliance on debt financing are crucial for financial stability.
BreakdownTTMMay 2025May 2024May 2023May 2022May 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.75B3.67B3.63B4.09B3.95B2.47B
Gross Profit1.45B1.42B1.42B1.43B1.35B949.20M
EBITDA192.10M195.30M331.00M371.00M219.80M327.90M
Net Income-25.40M-36.90M82.30M42.10M-27.10M174.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.95B3.95B4.04B4.27B4.51B2.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments180.40M193.70M230.40M223.50M230.30M404.10M
Total Debt2.22B1.81B1.76B1.87B1.97B518.80M
Total Liabilities2.59B2.62B2.58B2.73B2.98B1.14B
Stockholders Equity1.30B1.28B1.39B1.43B1.43B849.60M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow82.90M101.70M273.90M79.60M-106.60M272.50M
Operating Cash Flow206.90M209.30M352.30M162.90M-11.90M332.30M
Investing Cash Flow-116.40M-100.90M-86.30M-76.50M-1.17B-59.90M
Financing Cash Flow-145.00M-150.30M-258.80M-86.80M1.04B-347.70M

MillerKnoll Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.07
Price Trends
50DMA
19.48
Positive
100DMA
17.64
Positive
200DMA
18.21
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Positive
RSI
65.25
Neutral
STOCH
37.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MLKN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 21.21, above the 50-day MA of 19.48, and above the 200-day MA of 18.21, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 65.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MLKN.

MillerKnoll Risk Analysis

MillerKnoll disclosed 22 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. MillerKnoll reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

MillerKnoll Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$1.96B17.4920.20%0.21%5.11%34.02%
70
Outperform
$595.95M13.629.21%7.86%-4.26%
65
Neutral
$1.45B17.648.11%2.39%1.78%-25.36%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
59
Neutral
$1.50B-1.95%4.16%4.34%-141.36%
57
Neutral
$129.47M21.324.70%4.59%-2.74%
57
Neutral
$1.59B6.9627.48%1.84%-6.03%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MLKN
MillerKnoll
22.34
1.27
6.03%
BSET
Bassett Furniture
14.95
0.74
5.24%
ETD
Ethan Allen
23.60
-3.02
-11.35%
TILE
Interface
32.56
11.30
53.17%
LZB
La-Z-Boy Incorporated
37.02
-6.94
-15.79%
LEG
Leggett & Platt
11.92
2.54
27.08%

MillerKnoll Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
MillerKnoll Refinances Term Loan B to Enhance Flexibility
Positive
Feb 11, 2026

On February 10, 2026, MillerKnoll, Inc. amended its existing credit agreement to refinance and fully replace its 2025 Term Loan B Facility with a new 2026 Term Loan B Facility totaling about $548.6 million in outstanding borrowings at closing. The new facility maintains the same August 7, 2032 maturity but reduces interest rate margins by 25 basis points and allows generally penalty-free prepayments, apart from a 1% premium on certain repricing-related prepayments within the first six months, enhancing the company’s financing flexibility and potentially lowering borrowing costs.

The 2026 Term Loan B Facility offers MillerKnoll a choice between SOFR-based and base-rate loans, aligning its debt structure with current market benchmarks while preserving key terms from the prior arrangement. By locking in extended-term capital on more favorable pricing and flexible prepayment terms, the company appears to be optimizing its liability profile, which may improve interest expense management and support its long-term capital allocation plans.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLKN) stock is a Hold with a $23.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MillerKnoll stock, see the MLKN Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
MillerKnoll appoints Claire Spofford to board, compensation committee
Positive
Jan 16, 2026

On January 13, 2026, MillerKnoll appointed former J.Jill chief executive Claire Spofford to its Board of Directors and to the Compensation Committee, expanding the board from 10 to 11 members, ten of whom are independent. The company highlighted Spofford’s more than 30 years of experience leading and transforming consumer and retail brands, including her record in driving omnichannel growth, digital evolution and brand revitalization at J.Jill, Cornerstone Brands and Garnet Hill, positioning her as a strategic addition to support MillerKnoll’s next phase of growth, innovation and value creation for customers and shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (MLKN) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on MillerKnoll stock, see the MLKN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 12, 2026