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XTN - ETF AI Analysis

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XTN

SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN)

Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
The SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN) has a solid overall rating, driven by strong contributions from holdings like FedEx (FDX) and CSX. FedEx benefits from robust cash flow and strategic cost management, while CSX shows strong operational improvements and positive momentum. However, weaker performers like Southwest Airlines (LUV), which faces profitability and cash flow challenges, and Knight Transportation (KNX), with valuation concerns, slightly weigh on the fund's rating. A key risk for the ETF is its exposure to overbought conditions across several holdings, which could lead to short-term pullbacks.
Positive Factors
Strong Sector Focus
The ETF is heavily weighted in the Industrials sector, which includes companies benefiting from steady demand for transportation and logistics services.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The fund charges a reasonable expense ratio, making it more cost-effective compared to many actively managed funds.
Resilient Holdings
Several top holdings, such as Joby Aviation and GXO Logistics, have shown strong year-to-date performance, supporting the ETF's returns.
Negative Factors
Over-Concentration in U.S. Market
With nearly all assets invested in U.S. companies, the fund lacks geographic diversification and is sensitive to domestic market conditions.
Mixed Holding Performance
Some key holdings, like FedEx and ArcBest, have underperformed this year, which could drag on overall returns.
Sector Overweight Risk
The ETF's heavy focus on Industrials leaves it vulnerable to downturns in the transportation and logistics industries.

XTN vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XTN Summary

The SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN) is a fund that focuses on the transportation sector, including companies like airlines, railroads, trucking, and logistics firms. It tracks the S&P Transportation Select Industry Index, giving investors exposure to businesses that are essential for moving goods and people. Well-known companies in this ETF include FedEx and Union Pacific. Someone might consider investing in XTN to benefit from the growth of global trade and e-commerce, as transportation plays a key role in these areas. However, it’s important to note that the ETF’s performance can be affected by economic slowdowns, which may reduce demand for transportation services.
How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than the average for passively managed ETFs because it focuses on a specific niche—the transportation sector—rather than tracking a broad market index.
What would affect this ETF?The SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN) could benefit from trends like increasing e-commerce, advancements in logistics technology, and economic growth, which drive demand for transportation services. However, it may face challenges from rising fuel costs, regulatory changes, or economic slowdowns that impact transportation activity. Its strong focus on U.S.-based industrials and top holdings in logistics, airlines, and railroads makes it sensitive to these factors.

XTN Top 10 Holdings

The SPDR S&P Transportation ETF (XTN) is firmly rooted in the U.S. transportation sector, with a mix of logistics, railroads, and trucking companies driving its performance. Expeditors International and CH Robinson are rising stars, benefiting from strong financial execution and upward momentum, while FedEx shows steady improvement despite global trade challenges. On the flip side, UPS and JB Hunt are lagging, weighed down by soft demand and profitability pressures. With a heavy industrials focus, this fund’s fortunes are closely tied to the pulse of economic activity and the movement of goods across the country.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Kirby3.31%$4.60M$6.15B-10.27%
73
Outperform
JB Hunt3.22%$4.48M$16.56B-8.01%
65
Neutral
CH Robinson3.18%$4.42M$18.77B50.47%
71
Outperform
FedEx3.11%$4.32M$65.05B-8.92%
75
Outperform
Expeditors International3.09%$4.30M$19.69B20.77%
67
Neutral
United Parcel2.91%$4.04M$81.27B-29.42%
72
Outperform
Southwest Airlines2.87%$3.99M$18.00B7.57%
61
Neutral
CSX2.80%$3.90M$65.85B-3.26%
77
Outperform
Knight Transportation2.80%$3.89M$7.44B-22.84%
64
Neutral
XPO2.77%$3.85M$16.68B-6.79%
73
Outperform

XTN Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
84.24
Positive
100DMA
84.51
Positive
200DMA
80.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
59.55
Neutral
STOCH
92.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XTN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 83.94, equal to the 50-day MA of 84.24, and equal to the 200-day MA of 80.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XTN.

XTN Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$138.99M0.35%
$746.58M0.38%
$665.07M0.40%
$328.22M0.60%
$285.88M0.57%
$214.52M0.60%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XTN
SPDR S&P Transportation ETF
86.82
-6.64
-7.10%
IYT
iShares US Transportation ETF
RSPN
Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Industrials ETF
PRN
Invesco DWA Industrials Momentum ETF
PKB
Invesco Dynamic Building & Construction ETF
MISL
First Trust Indxx Aerospace & Defense ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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