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Matson (MATX)
NYSE:MATX
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Matson (MATX) AI Stock Analysis

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MATX

Matson

(NYSE:MATX)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$116.00
▲(9.11% Upside)
Matson's overall stock score reflects strong valuation and financial stability, tempered by technical weakness and mixed earnings performance. The company's low P/E ratio and solid balance sheet are key strengths, while declining revenue and cash flow growth, along with bearish technical indicators, present challenges.
Positive Factors
Capital Management
Matson's balance sheet transformed since 2020, boosting capital rewards, with a net cash position of $519 million and reduced share count by 25%.
Financial Performance
Matson's 2Q results are likely to be higher than initially expected.
Market Position
Matson is expected to outperform industry trends due to its growing Vietnam activities.
Negative Factors
Forecast Revision
Lowering estimates to reflect softer rates.
Freight Rates
Freight rates and volumes have softened further.
Market Conditions
Uncertainty on demand especially given a weak peak season thus far.

Matson (MATX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Matson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMatson, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides ocean transportation and logistics services. The company's Ocean Transportation segment offers ocean freight transportation services to the domestic non-contiguous economies of Hawaii, Alaska, and Guam, as well as to other island economies in Micronesia. It primarily transports dry containers of mixed commodities, refrigerated commodities, packaged foods and beverages, building materials, automobiles, and household goods; livestock; seafood; general sustenance cargo; and garments, footwear, e-commerce, and other retail merchandise. This segment also operates an expedited service from China to Long Beach, California, and various islands in the South Pacific, as well as Okinawa, Japan; and provides container stevedoring, refrigerated cargo services, inland transportation, container equipment maintenance, and other terminal services to ocean carriers on the Hawaiian islands of Oahu, Hawaii, Maui, and Kauai, as well as in the Alaska locations of Anchorage, Kodiak, and Dutch Harbor. In addition, the company offers vessel management and container transshipment services. Its Logistics segment provides multimodal transportation brokerage services, including domestic and international rail intermodal, long-haul and regional highway trucking, specialized hauling, flat-bed and project, less-than-truckload, and expedited freight services; less-than-container load consolidation and freight forwarding services; warehousing and distribution services; supply chain management services, and non-vessel operating common carrier freight forwarding services. The company serves the U.S. military, freight forwarders, retailers, consumer goods, automobile manufacturers, and other customers. The company was formerly known as Alexander & Baldwin Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to Matson, Inc. in June 2012. Matson, Inc. was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Honolulu, Hawaii.
How the Company Makes MoneyMatson generates revenue primarily through its Ocean Transportation segment, which accounts for a significant portion of its earnings. This segment derives income from the shipping of containerized freight, with revenue influenced by factors such as shipping volumes, freight rates, and fuel costs. The Logistics segment contributes additional revenue by providing integrated supply chain solutions, including transportation management, warehousing, and distribution services. Key revenue streams include contracts with large retail and food companies, as well as spot market transactions. Additionally, strategic partnerships with other logistics providers enhance service offerings and expand reach, bolstering Matson's competitive edge in the market.

Matson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.12%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed performance with both positive and negative aspects. While there were achievements such as volume growth in Hawaii and Alaska and a successful share repurchase program, challenges included significant volume declines in the China service, lower logistics income, and a decrease in consolidated operating income.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Hawaii Service Container Volume Increase
Container volume in Hawaii service increased 2.6% year-over-year in Q2 2025 due to higher general demand.
SSAT Terminal Joint Venture Performance
SSAT terminal joint venture contributed $7.3 million in Q2 2025, a year-over-year increase of $6.1 million, primarily due to higher lift volume.
Alaska Container Volume Growth
Alaska's container volume increased by 0.9% year-over-year in Q2 2025, with continued economic growth expected in the region.
Share Repurchase Program
Matson repurchased approximately 0.9 million shares in Q2 2025 for a total cost of $93.7 million, continuing its commitment to return excess capital to shareholders.
New Vessel Construction Funding
92% of the remaining obligations for new vessel construction are already covered by the capital construction fund.
Negative Updates
China Service Volume Decline
Container volume in the China service decreased 14.6% year-over-year in Q2 2025 due to market uncertainty and tariffs.
Logistics Operating Income Decrease
Logistics operating income in Q2 2025 was $14.4 million, $1.2 million lower than the previous year, due to a lower contribution from transportation brokerage.
Consolidated Operating Income Decrease
Consolidated operating income decreased $11.6 million year-over-year to $113 million in Q2 2025, primarily due to lower contributions from Ocean Transportation and Logistics.
Guam Container Volume Decline
Matson's container volume in Guam decreased 2.2% year-over-year in Q2 2025.
Net Income and Earnings Per Share Decline
Net income decreased 16.3% year-over-year to $94.7 million, and diluted earnings per share decreased 11.8% year-over-year to $2.92 per share in Q2 2025.
Company Guidance
During the Matson Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call, the company reported a mixed performance across its trade lanes. In Ocean Transportation, container volume increased by 2.6% year-over-year in Hawaii and 0.9% in Alaska, while Guam and China saw decreases of 2.2% and 14.6%, respectively. The China service faced challenges due to market volatility and tariffs, although freight rates were modestly higher year-over-year. The SSAT terminal joint venture contributed $7.3 million in the quarter, up from the previous year, and logistics operating income was slightly lower at $14.4 million. Matson raised its full-year 2025 outlook, projecting lower year-over-year freight rates and volume. The company has been actively managing costs and expects full-year Ocean Transportation operating income to be moderately lower than the $500.9 million achieved in 2024, while Logistics income is expected to remain comparable. The focus remains on maintaining fast and reliable services, particularly as customers shift production outside of China, with Vietnam transshipment volumes rising to 21% of China service in Q2 2025.

Matson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Matson demonstrates financial resilience with strong profitability and cash generation capabilities despite revenue pressures. The balance sheet displays significant strength with improving leverage metrics. Challenges remain in sustaining revenue growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Matson's revenue shows a downward trend from 2022 to 2024, with a slight recovery in TTM. Despite this, gross and net profit margins remain robust, reflecting efficient cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, though there's a notable decline in revenue growth rate from previous high levels.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company's balance sheet is strong with a debt-to-equity ratio that has improved over time, indicating reduced leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) remains solid, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder's equity. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a strong equity base relative to total assets.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently positive, providing a solid cash base. Free cash flow growth fluctuates but remains positive overall, indicating the company's capability to generate excess cash after capital expenditures. The ratios of operating cash flow and free cash flow to net income are favorable, highlighting efficient cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.46B3.42B3.09B4.34B3.93B2.38B
Gross Profit876.50M855.90M623.90M1.53B1.37B479.00M
EBITDA892.20M893.70M690.50M1.68B1.45B494.30M
Net Income494.10M476.40M297.10M1.06B927.40M193.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.48B4.60B4.29B4.33B3.69B2.90B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments59.10M266.80M134.00M249.80M282.40M14.40M
Total Debt665.30M749.00M725.00M910.70M1.06B1.00B
Total Liabilities1.86B1.94B1.89B2.03B2.03B1.94B
Stockholders Equity2.62B2.65B2.40B2.30B1.67B961.20M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow432.90M457.70M262.10M1.06B658.80M237.50M
Operating Cash Flow617.90M767.80M510.50M1.27B984.10M429.80M
Investing Cash Flow-388.40M-336.10M-338.20M-729.30M-323.40M-177.00M
Financing Cash Flow-341.00M-301.20M-289.70M-576.60M-392.70M-261.50M

Matson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price106.31
Price Trends
50DMA
109.13
Negative
100DMA
108.80
Negative
200DMA
125.08
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.39
Positive
RSI
48.48
Neutral
STOCH
29.35
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MATX, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 106.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 106.92, below the 50-day MA of 109.13, and below the 200-day MA of 125.08, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.35 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MATX.

Matson Risk Analysis

Matson disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Matson reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Matson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$1.69B3.7913.38%3.63%5.63%-17.54%
74
Outperform
$2.10B17.385.11%7.75%2.95%-61.74%
72
Outperform
$1.87B0.8059.06%59.08%43.57%
70
Outperform
$3.36B7.1419.70%1.36%8.75%56.21%
67
Neutral
$1.59B14.046.06%10.03%-7.73%-39.13%
63
Neutral
$5.50B18.479.11%2.45%11.97%
59
Neutral
C$7.28B-0.894.17%2.31%9.14%-34.12%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MATX
Matson
106.31
-27.90
-20.79%
DAC
Danaos
92.68
13.34
16.81%
KEX
Kirby
100.47
-18.56
-15.59%
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers
19.12
-0.51
-2.60%
GOGL
Golden Ocean Group
7.98
-3.27
-29.07%
ZIM
ZIM
14.37
1.76
13.96%

Matson Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Matson Amends Credit Agreement with Bank of America
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 23, 2025, Matson, Inc. entered into a Third Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with Bank of America, reducing its credit facility from $650 million to $550 million due to the nearly fully-funded status of its Aloha Class vessel build program and lower anticipated capital needs. The agreement includes amendments to covenants and terms, such as changes to the pricing grid and the elimination of the minimum consolidated interest coverage ratio financial covenant. Additionally, Matson amended its existing private placement facilities to align with these changes, reflecting strategic financial adjustments to support its long-term operational goals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025