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Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK)
NASDAQ:SBLK

Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) AI Stock Analysis

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SBLK

Star Bulk Carriers

(NASDAQ:SBLK)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$21.50
â–²(8.92% Upside)
Star Bulk Carriers' overall stock score reflects a mix of positive technical momentum and a stable financial structure, despite challenges in revenue and profitability. The earnings call provided a positive outlook, but high debt levels and valuation concerns weigh on the score. The stock's technical strength and earnings outlook are the most significant factors, while valuation and financial performance present notable risks.
Positive Factors
Fleet Optimization
Fleet optimization through strategic sales and acquisitions enhances operational efficiency and market competitiveness, supporting long-term growth.
Strong Financial Position
A strong financial position with substantial liquidity and positive net income supports stability and potential for future investments.
Positive Market Outlook
Projected expansion in dry bulk trade indicates favorable industry conditions, potentially boosting demand for shipping services.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
Declining revenue growth reflects challenges in maintaining sales momentum, potentially impacting profitability and market position.
Rising Debt Levels
High debt levels and ongoing amortization obligations can strain financial resources, limiting flexibility for strategic initiatives.
Coal Trade Contraction
Contraction in coal trade, a key cargo, may reduce shipping demand, affecting revenue and operational capacity utilization.

Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Star Bulk Carriers Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionStar Bulk Carriers Corp., a shipping company, engages in the ocean transportation of dry bulk cargoes worldwide. The company's vessels transport a range of major bulks, including iron ores, coal, and grains, as well as minor bulks, such as bauxite, fertilizers, and steel products. As of December 31, 2021, it had a fleet of 128 vessels with an aggregate capacity of approximately 14.1 million deadweight tons, including 17 Newcastlemax, 24 Capesize, 7 Post Panamax, 41 Kamsarmax, 2 Panamax, 20 Ultramax, and 17 Supramax vessels. The company also provides vessel management services. Star Bulk Carriers Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Marousi, Greece.
How the Company Makes MoneyStar Bulk Carriers generates revenue primarily through chartering its fleet of vessels to transport bulk commodities for various customers, including commodity traders, producers, and end-users. The company operates under two primary revenue models: time charters and voyage charters. In a time charter, Star Bulk leases its vessels for a specified period, receiving a steady income regardless of the cargo transported. In a voyage charter, the company is paid based on the specific voyage and the cargo carried, which can fluctuate based on market rates. Additionally, Star Bulk benefits from long-term contracts with key customers, providing stability to its revenue streams. The company's strategic partnerships with industry players and its focus on maintaining a modern fleet contribute to its competitive edge and profitability in the dry bulk shipping market.

Star Bulk Carriers Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 18, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong financial performance, shareholder returns, and strategic investments in fleet optimization. However, concerns remain over the debt levels and challenges in specific trade sectors like coal and China's property market.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Position
The company reported a net income of $18.5 million with an adjusted net income of $32.4 million. Adjusted EBITDA was $87 million for the quarter. The company's total cash stands at $454 million, with a pro forma liquidity of more than $570 million.
Shareholder Returns
Star Bulk Carriers repurchased 250,000 shares for $4.4 million in Q3 and 360,000 shares for $6.7 million in Q4, with a dividend declared of $0.11 per share. Since 2021, the company has returned $13.2 per share in dividends, totaling $2.8 billion in dividends, share buybacks, and debt repayment.
Vessel Operations and Investments
Operating expenses were $5,096 per vessel per day, and the company secured $130 million in debt for five new Qingdao newbuilding Kamsarmax vessels. Additionally, 51 EST installations were completed with four vessels completed during the quarter.
Fleet Optimization
Star Bulk has sold and delivered 6 Kamsarmax and Supramax vessels, collecting $75.5 million, and expects to deliver an additional 2 Supramaxes with $25 million in proceeds.
Positive Market Outlook
Dry bulk trade is projected to expand by 1.4% in ton-miles for 2025, with a recovery in coal and grain trade volumes. The global GDP growth is forecasted at 3.1% for 2026, supporting an optimistic medium- to long-term outlook for the dry bulk market.
Negative Updates
Debt Levels
Total debt stands at $1.028 billion, and amortization will remain around $50 million to $52 million per quarter for 2026.
Coal Trade Contraction
Coal trade is expected to contract by 6.2% in 2025 and by 1.1% in 2026, with demand in China and India weaker in the first half of 2025.
Challenges in Property Sector
China's property sector remains under pressure despite record high steel exports mitigating domestic consumption weakness.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Star Bulk Carriers reported a net income of $18.5 million and an adjusted net income of $32.4 million, equating to $0.16 per share. The company achieved an adjusted EBITDA of $87 million for the quarter. They repurchased 250,000 shares for $4.4 million and declared a dividend of $0.11 per share, payable on or before December 18, 2025. Star Bulk maintained a cash balance of $454 million against a total debt of $1.028 billion. The company has pro forma liquidity exceeding $570 million, factoring in $115 million from undrawn revolver facilities. With 15 debt-free vessels valued at $336 million, the company achieved a time charter equivalent rate of $16,634 per vessel per day, while daily operating expenses and cash general and administrative expenses per vessel stood at $6,421. This results in a TCE less OpEx and cash G&A of approximately $10,213 per vessel per day.

Star Bulk Carriers Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Star Bulk Carriers is facing challenges with declining revenue and profitability, as evidenced by negative growth rates and shrinking margins. However, the company has managed to improve its leverage position, reducing its debt-to-equity ratio. Cash flow generation has weakened, but the company still maintains a reasonable conversion of net income to free cash flow. Overall, while there are areas of concern, particularly in revenue and profit trends, the company's financial structure remains relatively stable.
Income Statement
Star Bulk Carriers has experienced a decline in revenue and profitability over the TTM period. The gross profit margin decreased from 46.04% in 2024 to 34.30% in TTM, and the net profit margin dropped from 24.07% to 5.85%. The revenue growth rate is negative at -7.11%, indicating a contraction in sales. However, the company maintains a positive EBIT margin of 10.98% and an EBITDA margin of 27.37%, showing operational efficiency despite the downturn.
Balance Sheet
The company's debt-to-equity ratio improved from 0.59 in 2024 to 0.50 in TTM, indicating reduced leverage. Return on equity has decreased to 2.52% from 12.28% in 2024, reflecting lower profitability. The equity ratio stands at 63.73%, suggesting a solid capital structure with a significant portion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
Free cash flow has decreased by 14.62% in the TTM period, indicating challenges in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.74, showing that cash flow from operations is lower relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.88, suggesting that a substantial portion of net income is converted into free cash flow, although this has declined from previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.05B1.27B949.27M1.44B1.43B693.24M
Gross Profit360.43M582.64M394.75M820.71M930.25M242.76M
EBITDA287.58M504.86M334.84M765.78M887.19M208.94M
Net Income61.47M304.65M173.56M566.00M680.53M9.66M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.79B4.09B3.03B3.43B3.75B3.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments452.54M425.07M259.73M284.32M450.29M190.51M
Total Debt1.20B1.46B1.26B1.29B1.59B1.56B
Total Liabilities1.37B1.60B1.37B1.41B1.67B1.64B
Stockholders Equity2.42B2.48B1.66B2.02B2.08B1.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow241.26M412.28M317.69M744.50M636.92M98.49M
Operating Cash Flow275.08M467.38M335.78M769.90M767.07M170.55M
Investing Cash Flow173.08M356.18M235.52M-20.87M-121.26M-66.33M
Financing Cash Flow-462.40M-644.42M-595.89M-935.95M-368.07M-34.95M

Star Bulk Carriers Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price19.74
Price Trends
50DMA
19.03
Positive
100DMA
18.80
Positive
200DMA
17.58
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.26
Negative
RSI
67.31
Neutral
STOCH
86.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SBLK, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 19.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 19.07, above the 50-day MA of 19.03, and above the 200-day MA of 17.58, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.26 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.31 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SBLK.

Star Bulk Carriers Risk Analysis

Star Bulk Carriers disclosed 54 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Star Bulk Carriers reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Star Bulk Carriers Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$1.76B3.8313.16%3.64%3.82%-13.73%
76
Outperform
$1.90B6.3014.98%2.94%-29.82%-16.77%
76
Outperform
$1.54B6.098.36%0.39%-1.33%-33.66%
67
Neutral
$2.34B38.852.50%1.59%-13.87%-82.48%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
58
Neutral
$1.16B-472.99-0.15%12.24%-11.10%-101.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers
20.51
5.52
36.82%
CMRE
Costamare
16.26
7.32
81.90%
DAC
Danaos
98.23
22.98
30.54%
NMM
Navios Maritime Partners
55.44
10.58
23.59%
SFL
SFL Corporation
8.23
-1.43
-14.80%

Star Bulk Carriers Corporate Events

Star Bulk Carriers Reports Q3 2025 Results and Fleet Expansion
Nov 26, 2025

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. announced its unaudited financial and operating results for the three- and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2025, on November 18, 2025. During this period, the company completed the sale of several vessels and entered into agreements for acquiring three new Kamsarmax vessels, which are expected to be delivered by September 2026. These strategic moves are part of Star Bulk’s efforts to optimize its fleet and strengthen its market position in the dry bulk shipping industry.

The most recent analyst rating on (SBLK) stock is a Buy with a $21.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Star Bulk Carriers stock, see the SBLK Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 03, 2025