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Navios Maritime Partners (NMM)
NYSE:NMM

Navios Maritime Partners (NMM) AI Stock Analysis

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Navios Maritime Partners

(NYSE:NMM)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$44.00
â–²(14.67%Upside)
Navios Maritime Partners has a solid financial base with strong valuation metrics. Technical analysis presents a mixed picture, while the earnings call provides confidence in future financial stability despite some operational challenges. The company’s attractive valuation is a significant positive factor.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Navios Maritime Partners reported strong quarterly results, with earnings per share and EBITDA exceeding market expectations.
Fleet Expansion
The company has expanded its fleet by taking delivery of four new ships, contributing to a robust charter backlog.
Free Cash Flow
Navios generates significant free cash flow, supported by its $3.65 billion revenue backlog, that justifies a much higher share price.
Negative Factors
Market Volatility
Despite strong performance, the volatile nature of the shipping markets poses a risk to more predictable earnings.
Valuation
Navios is still deeply undervalued from an asset value perspective but more importantly on free cash flow.

Navios Maritime Partners (NMM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Navios Maritime Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNavios Maritime Partners L.P. owns and operates dry cargo vessels in Asia, Europe, North America, and Australia. The company offers seaborne transportation services for a range of liquid and dry cargo commodities, including crude oil, refined petroleum, chemicals, iron ore, coal, grain, fertilizer, and containers, as well as provides its vessels under short, medium, and longer-term charters. It operates a fleet of 26 Panamax vessels, 24 Capesize vessels, four Ultra-Handymax vessels, 47 containerships, and 45 tankers. Olympos Maritime Ltd. serves as the general partner of Navios Maritime Partners L.P. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Monaco.
How the Company Makes MoneyNavios Maritime Partners makes money primarily through the leasing of its fleet of vessels to shipping companies and charterers on both short-term and long-term charter agreements. These agreements provide a steady stream of revenue from charter hire payments. The company operates in the spot market as well, where it earns voyage revenues by transporting cargo directly for customers. Additionally, NMM may benefit from economies of scale through strategic fleet management and operational efficiencies. Significant partnerships with shipping companies and commodity producers can also enhance its market position and revenue potential. Furthermore, the company may engage in the sale and purchase of vessels, which can contribute to its earnings.

Navios Maritime Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 8.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted a strong contract backlog, positive cash flow outlook, and effective risk management strategies, but was tempered by decreased revenue and net income, alongside increased operating expenses and global trade uncertainties due to tariffs.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Contract Backlog
Navios Partners has a contract backlog of $3.4 billion, providing financial visibility and stability.
Positive Cash Flow Outlook
Contracted revenue exceeds total cash expenses by $12.5 million for the remaining nine months of 2025.
Fleet Modernization
Navios Partners is renewing its fleet with energy-efficient vessels, including new deliveries of dual-fuel containerships and tankers.
Capital Return to Shareholders
Navios Partners returned $17.6 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks in 2025.
Interest Rate Risk Management
30% of the company’s long-term debt is hedged at a fixed interest rate of 5.5%.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total revenue for Q1 2025 decreased by 4.6% compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to lower fleet time charter equivalent rates and available days.
Increased Operating Expenses
Vessel operating expenses increased by 4.8%, contributing to a decline in adjusted EBITDA.
Impact of Global Tariffs
The uncertainty due to U.S. tariffs and their impact on global trade, especially on containers, adds a layer of complexity to future operations.
Decreased Net Income
Adjusted net income for Q1 2025 decreased by $24 million compared to Q1 2024.
Company Guidance
During Navios Maritime Partners' First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, significant guidance and financial metrics were provided. For Q1 2025, Navios reported revenue of $304.1 million, EBITDA of $147.6 million, and net income of $41.7 million, with earnings per common unit at $1.38. The company highlighted a substantial contract backlog of $3.4 billion and noted that contracted revenue exceeds total cash expenses by $12.5 million for the remaining nine months of 2025. Navios also emphasized its strategic financial management, including maintaining $343 million in cash, a net loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 35.2%, and managing interest rate risks through fixed cost financing, with 30% of long-term debt at a fixed interest rate of 5.5%. The fleet consists of 174 vessels with an average age of 9.9 years, and the company has been actively renewing its fleet, selling three older vessels and acquiring new ones. The call underscored the challenges presented by global economic uncertainties, such as U.S. tariffs and geopolitical tensions, while affirming Navios' focus on leveraging contracted income, maintaining liquidity, and optimizing capital allocation, including share repurchases and a dividend program.

Navios Maritime Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Navios Maritime Partners shows strong revenue growth and profitability with a robust financial position. The balance sheet indicates a well-managed leverage, but there is a need for attention to net profitability and investment in asset growth. Overall, the company is on a positive financial trajectory.
Income Statement
84
Very Positive
Navios Maritime Partners has demonstrated significant revenue growth over the past few years, with an impressive increase from $226M in 2020 to over $1.33B in 2024. The gross profit margin improved substantially, reaching approximately 83.2% in 2024, indicating efficient cost management. The EBIT margin for 2024 stands at 50.7%, showcasing strong operating performance. However, net profit margin slightly decreased to 27.5% from 33.2% in the previous year, suggesting areas for improvement in net profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a healthy equity position with stockholders' equity increasing to $3.11B in 2024. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.69, indicating a balanced capital structure. Return on equity (ROE) was 11.8% in 2024, suggesting good returns for shareholders. However, the equity ratio is at 54.8%, indicating moderate leverage which could be a potential risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Operating cash flow remains robust at $483M in 2024, with a positive free cash flow of the same amount, reflecting strong cash generation capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.32, indicating efficient cash conversion. However, there was a decrease in operating cash flow from the previous year, and capital expenditure remains at zero, which may suggest underinvestment in asset growth or maintenance.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.33B1.31B1.21B713.17M226.77M
Gross Profit
882.00M859.39M517.30M343.51M55.62M
EBIT
447.67M665.00M512.99M482.83M-22.91M
EBITDA
655.31M794.03M896.99M601.75M21.83M
Net Income Common Stockholders
367.31M433.64M579.25M293.50M-37.54M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
312.08M287.38M157.81M159.47M30.73M
Total Assets
5.67B5.15B4.90B3.62B1.21B
Total Debt
2.13B2.13B1.17B1.06B486.86M
Net Debt
1.83B928.48M1.02B898.12M456.13M
Total Liabilities
2.57B2.38B2.55B1.85B552.44M
Stockholders Equity
3.11B2.77B2.34B-53.78M654.83M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-523.65M95.30M-104.24M-1.71M10.98M
Operating Cash Flow
483.48M560.32M506.34M277.17M94.09M
Investing Cash Flow
-782.13M-253.01M-316.24M-106.25M-83.85M
Financing Cash Flow
349.26M-233.22M-184.45M-32.20M-9.91M

Navios Maritime Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price38.37
Price Trends
50DMA
36.33
Positive
100DMA
38.96
Negative
200DMA
45.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.57
Positive
RSI
49.53
Neutral
STOCH
24.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NMM, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 38.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 39.43, above the 50-day MA of 36.33, and below the 200-day MA of 45.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 24.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for NMM.

Navios Maritime Partners Risk Analysis

Navios Maritime Partners disclosed 81 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Navios Maritime Partners reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Navios Maritime Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DADAC
78
Outperform
$1.58B3.5014.14%3.90%4.93%-17.08%
NMNMM
77
Outperform
$1.13B3.4911.19%0.51%0.28%-17.08%
GSGSL
76
Outperform
$915.77M2.4327.25%7.31%3.94%19.85%
76
Outperform
$1.95B8.4411.09%13.01%25.60%-9.32%
75
Outperform
$1.10B3.7612.57%5.02%17.77%-5.90%
SFSFL
66
Neutral
$1.26B20.995.09%12.41%6.68%-57.55%
66
Neutral
$4.49B12.345.40%248.65%4.13%-12.33%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NMM
Navios Maritime Partners
38.37
-12.48
-24.54%
CMRE
Costamare
8.75
-2.27
-20.60%
DAC
Danaos
85.29
-3.09
-3.50%
GSL
Global Ship Lease
25.24
-1.33
-5.01%
SFL
SFL Corporation
8.78
-3.63
-29.25%
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers
16.55
-6.26
-27.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.