CH Robinson (CHRW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $18.91B
• Dividend Yield: 1.51%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.36M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 32.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.66
• Revenue Growth: -7.08%
• EPS Growth: 71.39%
• Country: US
• Employees: 13,347
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 1.40
• Shares Outstanding: 118,137,180
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,456,196
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,364,408
• PEG Ratio: 0.63
• Price to Book (P/B): 7.19
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.70
• P/FCF Ratio: 25.45
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.92
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.06
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 12.73
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 17.84
• 1Y Price Target: $156.72
• Price Target Upside: -5.04% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 18
• EPS Forecast (FY): 4.98
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $16.28B

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: $170.00 ▲(3.01% Upside)

CH Robinson's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, highlighting resilience and operational efficiency in a challenging market. While technical indicators show a positive trend, the high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation. The company's strategic initiatives, including a significant share buyback, reflect confidence in future growth.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

Sustained margin expansion in NAST indicates strong operational efficiency and cost management, enhancing long-term profitability.

Lean AI Strategy

The Lean AI strategy enhances productivity and operational leverage, positioning C.H. Robinson for future growth and competitive advantage.

Financial Position

Strong liquidity provides financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and return value to shareholders, supporting long-term stability.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

Declining revenue and gross profit reflect challenges in maintaining top-line growth, potentially impacting future financial performance.

Global Forwarding Challenges

Significant decline in Global Forwarding AGP due to lower ocean rates may affect profitability and market competitiveness in this segment.

Challenging Freight Environment

A persistently soft freight environment poses risks to volume growth and pricing power, impacting long-term revenue potential.

CH Robinson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services and logistics solutions to companies in various industries worldwide. The company operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. It offers transportation and logistics services, such as truckload; less than truckload transportation brokerage services, which include the shipment of single or multiple pallets of freight; intermodal transportation that comprise the shipment service of freight in containers or trailers by a combination of truck and rail; and non-vessel ocean common carrier and freight forwarding services, as well as organizes air shipments and provides door-to-door services. The company also offers customs broker services; and other logistics services, such as fee-based managed, warehousing, small parcel, and other services. It has contractual relationships with approximately 85,000 transportation companies, including motor carriers, railroads, and air and ocean carriers. In addition, the company is involved in buying, selling, and/or marketing of fresh produce, including fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishable items under the Robinson Fresh name. Further, it provides transportation management services or managed TMS; and other surface transportation services. The company offers its fresh produce to grocery retailers, restaurants, produce wholesalers, and foodservice distributors through a network of independent produce growers and suppliers. C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

How the Company Makes Money

C.H. Robinson generates revenue primarily through its logistics services, which include brokerage fees from arranging transportation for customers and carriers. The company charges clients a fee for its services, which is typically a percentage of the transportation costs. Key revenue streams include truckload and less-than-truckload services, intermodal transportation, and value-added services such as logistics consulting and supply chain optimization. The company also benefits from strong partnerships with a vast network of carriers and customers, enhancing its ability to leverage economies of scale. Additionally, C.H. Robinson's proprietary technology platforms facilitate efficient operations and provide clients with data-driven insights, further contributing to customer retention and revenue growth.

CH Robinson Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CH Robinson demonstrates a solid financial standing with strengths in operational efficiency and cash flow generation. While revenue growth has been a challenge recently, the company has managed to maintain profitability and improve its leverage position. Continued focus on revenue growth and maintaining operational efficiency will be crucial for sustaining long-term financial health.

Income Statement

CH Robinson's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin around 8% in TTM, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 3.14% in TTM, reflecting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative in the TTM period, which could be a concern if the trend continues. Despite this, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, suggesting better operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.95 in TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity is strong at 31.06%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates a robust performance with a significant free cash flow growth of 26.32% in TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that the company is effectively converting its net income into cash. This strong cash flow position provides a cushion for future investments and debt servicing.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	16.50B	17.72B	17.60B	24.70B	23.10B	16.21B
Gross Profit	1.37B	1.31B	1.14B	1.87B	1.61B	1.17B
EBITDA	976.95M	766.30M	613.59M	1.36B	1.17B	775.00M
Net Income	600.07M	465.69M	325.13M	940.52M	844.25M	506.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.23B	5.30B	5.23B	5.95B	7.03B	5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	136.84M	145.76M	145.52M	217.48M	257.41M	243.80M
Total Debt	1.50B	1.74B	1.95B	2.36B	2.23B	1.43B
Total Liabilities	3.37B	3.58B	3.81B	4.60B	5.01B	3.26B
Stockholders Equity	1.86B	1.72B	1.42B	1.35B	2.02B	1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	857.74M	486.43M	647.84M	1.52B	24.03M	445.18M
Operating Cash Flow	877.03M	509.08M	731.95M	1.65B	94.95M	499.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-42.31M	-74.29M	-82.79M	-64.92M	-85.67M	-271.71M
Financing Cash Flow	-840.07M	-416.10M	-717.83M	-1.62B	7.57M	-440.67M

CH Robinson Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 165.03
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 165.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 157.10, above the 50-day MA of 146.29, and above the 200-day MA of 115.35, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.61 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 69.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 84.44 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRW.

CH Robinson Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EXPD	80 Outperform	$20.07B	24.38	36.47%	1.02%	12.54%	19.59%
CHRW	72 Outperform	$18.91B	32.45	34.32%	1.51%	-7.08%	71.39%
XPO	70 Outperform	$17.39B	52.15	19.26%	―	-0.30%	-11.02%
HUBG	68 Neutral	$2.65B	24.93	6.31%	1.15%	-5.79%	-1.57%
JBHT	67 Neutral	$18.48B	33.59	15.13%	0.90%	-1.60%	4.87%
LSTR	67 Neutral	$4.95B	36.84	14.41%	2.56%	-0.74%	-32.79%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%

CH Robinson Corporate Events

C.H. Robinson Announces $2 Billion Share Buyback

C.H. Robinson reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a 22.6% increase in income from operations and a 67.5% rise in diluted EPS, despite a challenging freight environment. The company announced a raised 2026 operating income target and a $2 billion share buyback authorization, reflecting confidence in its strategic initiatives and market positioning. The company has demonstrated consistent outperformance through disciplined execution and aims to leverage AI technology to enhance operational efficiency and scalability.