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CH Robinson (CHRW)
NASDAQ:CHRW
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CH Robinson (CHRW) AI Stock Analysis

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CHRW

CH Robinson

(NASDAQ:CHRW)

Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$128.00
▲(5.58% Upside)
CH Robinson's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call sentiment and positive technical indicators, despite challenges in financial performance and valuation concerns. The company's strategic initiatives and leadership changes are expected to support long-term growth, but current valuation limits immediate upside potential.
Positive Factors
Earnings Performance
CHRW came in above EPS forecasts driven by continued margin expansion despite a challenged freight backdrop.
Management Strategy
Management's efforts to reduce costs and increase operating efficiencies through automation appear to be progressing rapidly, placing it in a unique position to accelerate market share gains and grow earnings.
Technological Advancements
CHRW is seen as benefiting from AI, which is expected to lead to continued labor productivity gains and improved margins.
Negative Factors
Market Growth Risks
Management noted some risk to its market growth forecast as volumes have been falling to date, though Robinson continues to take share.
Revenue Decline
Total revenues decreased 7.7%, largely reflecting the absence of contribution from the company's former European surface transportation operations, along with weaker ocean forward revenues and TL fuel surcharge.
Trade Policy Risks
Forwarding contributions are uncertain given changing trade policy.

CH Robinson (CHRW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CH Robinson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is a leading third-party logistics (3PL) provider, specializing in supply chain management and freight transportation services. Founded in 1905, the company operates in various sectors, including transportation, logistics, and supply chain solutions. CH Robinson offers a comprehensive range of services, including truckload, less-than-truckload, intermodal, and ocean and air freight, alongside logistics services such as freight brokerage, managed services, and technology solutions for inventory management and visibility.
How the Company Makes MoneyC.H. Robinson generates revenue primarily through its logistics services by charging fees for arranging transportation of goods and providing supply chain solutions. The company earns money through multiple revenue streams, including freight brokerage, where it acts as an intermediary between shippers and carriers, and managed services that provide customized supply chain solutions for clients. Additionally, C.H. Robinson benefits from value-added services such as warehousing and inventory management. Strategic partnerships with carriers and technology providers also play a crucial role in optimizing operations and expanding service offerings, enhancing the company’s earnings potential.

CH Robinson Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 24.16%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment with significant highlights in operational performance, productivity gains, and shareholder returns, despite challenges posed by trade policies and a tough freight market environment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Consistent Outperformance and Transformation
The company has achieved 6 consecutive quarters of consistent outperformance through a disciplined execution of a new lean operating model. They have demonstrated the ability to responsibly grow market share and expand margins even in the elongated trough of the freight cycle.
Significant Increase in Income from Operations
C.H. Robinson delivered a 21% year-over-year increase in their enterprise's Q2 income from operations, driven by market share growth, ongoing AGP optimization, disciplined cost management, and productivity initiatives.
Productivity and Efficiency Gains
The company reported a 35% increase in productivity since the end of 2022, achieved through the implementation of AI and other technologies, leading to significant operational improvements and cost reductions.
Strong Liquidity and Shareholder Returns
The company ended Q2 with approximately $1.22 billion of liquidity and returned approximately $161 million of cash to shareholders in Q2 through share repurchases and dividends.
Negative Updates
Impact of Trade Policies and Tariffs
Fluid trade policies and increased tariffs, such as the U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods increasing to 145% in April, have caused uncertainty and reduced import volumes for some customers.
Challenging Freight Market Conditions
The company is operating in a historically long freight recession, with the Cass Freight Index declining on a year-over-year basis for the 11th consecutive quarter in Q2, down 3.4%.
Company Guidance
In the C.H. Robinson Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call, the company provided robust guidance highlighting several key metrics and strategic initiatives. The firm reported a 21% year-over-year increase in Q2 income from operations, driven by market share growth in North American Surface Transportation (NAST) and Global Forwarding, alongside improved gross margins and productivity. Despite operating in an elongated freight cycle trough, C.H. Robinson is approaching its mid-cycle operating margin targets, underpinned by a lean operating model and innovative technology, including AI-driven automation that has increased productivity by over 35% since the end of 2022. The company has adjusted its 2025 personnel and SG&A expense guidance to $1.3-$1.4 billion and $550-$600 million, respectively, citing strong cost management and productivity gains. In addition, C.H. Robinson returned approximately $161 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in Q2, supported by a net debt-to-EBITDA leverage of 1.40x, indicating strong financial health and confidence in their strategic trajectory.

CH Robinson Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CH Robinson exhibits stable financial performance with robust cash flow management and reasonable profitability. Strong cash flow dynamics support financial stability, though revenue growth challenges and asset management areas need improvement.
Income Statement
70
Positive
CH Robinson's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is strong at approximately 29.3%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the revenue growth has been negative, with a decline of about 1.4% from the previous year. The net profit margin stands at around 2.9%, which is modest. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 4.2% and 4.7%, respectively, reflecting moderate profitability. Overall, the company maintains stable margins but faces challenges in revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a cautious financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 1.0, indicating a balanced leverage. Return on equity stands at 29.3%, reflecting strong returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is 33.2%, suggesting a solid equity base compared to total assets. While the company has a manageable debt level, the asset base has decreased over time, indicating potential areas for improvement in asset management.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a robust performance. The free cash flow growth rate is strong at 24.6%, demonstrating effective cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.3, indicating that cash from operations comfortably covers net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.2, further underscoring strong cash flow relative to earnings. Overall, CH Robinson exhibits healthy cash flow dynamics, supporting financial stability and flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.01B17.72B17.60B24.70B23.10B16.21B
Gross Profit-3.02B1.31B1.14B1.87B1.61B1.17B
EBITDA720.81M762.26M613.59M1.36B1.17B775.00M
Net Income534.31M465.69M325.13M940.52M844.25M506.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.32B5.30B5.23B5.95B7.03B5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments155.99M145.76M145.52M217.48M257.41M243.80M
Total Debt1.69B1.74B1.95B2.36B2.23B1.43B
Total Liabilities3.54B3.58B3.81B4.60B5.01B3.26B
Stockholders Equity1.78B1.72B1.42B1.35B2.02B1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow679.04M486.43M647.84M1.52B24.03M445.18M
Operating Cash Flow709.64M509.08M731.95M1.65B94.95M499.19M
Investing Cash Flow-40.98M-74.29M-82.79M-64.92M-85.67M-271.71M
Financing Cash Flow-628.72M-416.10M-717.83M-1.62B7.57M-440.67M

CH Robinson Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price121.24
Price Trends
50DMA
101.95
Positive
100DMA
97.76
Positive
200DMA
100.08
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.91
Negative
RSI
74.96
Negative
STOCH
94.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 121.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 110.64, above the 50-day MA of 101.95, and above the 200-day MA of 100.08, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.91 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.96 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRW.

CH Robinson Risk Analysis

CH Robinson disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CH Robinson reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CH Robinson Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$16.27B19.5639.01%1.25%23.70%31.33%
69
Neutral
$2.20B21.756.03%1.39%-5.37%-11.26%
67
Neutral
$14.35B27.6632.43%2.05%-2.55%59.07%
67
Neutral
$15.15B44.5121.10%-0.11%-4.28%
66
Neutral
$13.98B26.2514.33%1.22%-2.24%-5.43%
66
Neutral
£2.68B13.053.30%3.25%2.40%-22.21%
63
Neutral
$4.54B27.4917.47%2.70%-2.10%-22.19%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHRW
CH Robinson
121.24
22.66
22.99%
EXPD
Expeditors International
119.86
0.11
0.09%
XPO
XPO
127.40
7.35
6.12%
HUBG
Hub Group
35.49
-7.29
-17.04%
JBHT
JB Hunt
143.45
-29.93
-17.26%
LSTR
Landstar System
129.11
-54.62
-29.73%

CH Robinson Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and Financing
C.H. Robinson Extends Receivables Purchase Agreement
Neutral
Aug 12, 2025

On August 12, 2025, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. amended its Receivables Purchase Agreement to extend the termination date of its $500 million receivables securitization facility to August 12, 2027, maintaining its current funding level. Additionally, Edward G. Feitzinger was elected to the company’s board of directors on August 7, 2025, with compensation aligned with that of non-employee directors, although his committee assignments have not yet been determined.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRW) stock is a Hold with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CH Robinson stock, see the CHRW Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
C.H. Robinson Appoints Edward Feitzinger to Board
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 7, 2025, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. appointed Edward G. Feitzinger to its board of directors, enhancing the board with his extensive experience in global supply chain leadership and public company management. Feitzinger’s background includes leadership roles at Amazon and UTi Worldwide, where he drove significant growth and operational improvements. His appointment is expected to support C.H. Robinson’s strategic objectives in transforming supply chains and maintaining its industry leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRW) stock is a Hold with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CH Robinson stock, see the CHRW Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025