CH Robinson (CHRW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $15.10B
• Dividend Yield: 1.97%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.67M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 29.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.55
• Revenue Growth: -2.55%
• EPS Growth: 59.07%
• Country: US
• Employees: 13,347
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 75
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 1.29
• Shares Outstanding: 118,091,160
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,669,924
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,670,219
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.87
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.77
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.48
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 15.37
• 1Y Price Target: $118.47
• Price Target Upside: -7.33% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 19

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: $134.00 ▲(4.82% Upside)

CH Robinson's stock score is primarily driven by strong earnings performance and technical momentum, despite challenges in financial performance and high valuation. The company's strategic initiatives and technological advancements have contributed to operational efficiency and market share growth. However, the high P/E ratio and uncertainties in global trade present risks that investors should consider.

Positive Factors

Cost Management

Management's efforts to reduce costs and increase operating efficiencies through automation appear to be progressing rapidly, placing it in a unique position to accelerate market share gains and grow earnings.

Market Positioning

CHRW is upgraded from Peer Perform to Outperform, indicating a positive outlook for the stock.

Technological Advancements

CHRW is seen as benefiting from AI, which is expected to lead to continued labor productivity gains and improved margins.

Negative Factors

Revenue Performance

Global Forwarding revenue missed estimates materially with a significant drop in EBIT margin.

Trade Uncertainty

Forwarding contributions are uncertain given changing trade policy.

Volume Visibility

Near-term volume visibility is impaired due to trade uncertainty, with a significant drop in ocean bookings likely bringing pressure.

CH Robinson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) is a leading third-party logistics (3PL) provider, specializing in supply chain management and freight transportation services. Founded in 1905, the company operates in various sectors, including transportation, logistics, and supply chain solutions. CH Robinson offers a comprehensive range of services, including truckload, less-than-truckload, intermodal, and ocean and air freight, alongside logistics services such as freight brokerage, managed services, and technology solutions for inventory management and visibility.

How the Company Makes Money

C.H. Robinson generates revenue primarily through its logistics services by charging fees for arranging transportation of goods and providing supply chain solutions. The company earns money through multiple revenue streams, including freight brokerage, where it acts as an intermediary between shippers and carriers, and managed services that provide customized supply chain solutions for clients. Additionally, C.H. Robinson benefits from value-added services such as warehousing and inventory management. Strategic partnerships with carriers and technology providers also play a crucial role in optimizing operations and expanding service offerings, enhancing the company’s earnings potential.

CH Robinson Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CH Robinson faces challenges with declining revenue and profitability metrics but maintains stability in its operations and cash management. The balance sheet shows a moderate level of debt, but strong ROE indicates effective use of equity. While cash flow generation remains a strength, the company should focus on improving revenue growth and profitability to enhance its financial position and mitigate risks associated with high leverage.

Income Statement

The company's income statement shows a challenging environment with decreasing revenue and profitability metrics. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is negative (-17.74%), a significant drop from previous years, indicating cost management issues. The net profit margin for TTM is 3.14%, reflecting a decline from the annual report of 2024, which was 2.63%. Revenue has also decreased compared to 2024, highlighting a negative growth trajectory. However, the EBIT margin remains relatively stable, offering some stability in operating performance.

Balance Sheet

CH Robinson's balance sheet shows moderate financial health with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.95, indicating a balanced financial structure. The return on equity (ROE) is 29.94% for TTM, which is strong and suggests good profitability relative to shareholder investment. However, the equity ratio stands at 33.52%, indicating moderate leverage. The company must manage its liabilities carefully to maintain financial stability.

Cash Flow

The company's cash flow is relatively stable, with a positive operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.33 for TTM, suggesting effective cash management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.27, indicating robust cash generation relative to earnings. Despite a decrease in free cash flow growth rate compared to previous years, cash flow management remains a strength for the company.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	17.01B	17.72B	17.60B	24.70B	23.10B	16.21B
Gross Profit	1.39B	1.31B	1.14B	1.87B	1.61B	1.17B
EBITDA	855.43M	766.30M	613.59M	1.36B	1.17B	775.00M
Net Income	534.31M	465.69M	325.13M	940.52M	844.25M	506.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.32B	5.30B	5.23B	5.95B	7.03B	5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	155.99M	145.76M	145.52M	217.48M	257.41M	243.80M
Total Debt	1.69B	1.74B	1.95B	2.36B	2.23B	1.43B
Total Liabilities	3.54B	3.58B	3.81B	4.60B	5.01B	3.26B
Stockholders Equity	1.78B	1.72B	1.42B	1.35B	2.02B	1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	679.04M	486.43M	647.84M	1.52B	24.03M	445.18M
Operating Cash Flow	709.64M	509.08M	731.95M	1.65B	94.95M	499.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-40.98M	-74.29M	-82.79M	-64.92M	-85.67M	-271.71M
Financing Cash Flow	-628.72M	-416.10M	-717.83M	-1.62B	7.57M	-440.67M

CH Robinson Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 127.84
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 127.84 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 123.70, above the 50-day MA of 110.22, and above the 200-day MA of 101.46, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.39 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 71.89 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRW.

CH Robinson Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EXPD	72 Outperform	$16.51B	19.65	39.01%	1.23%	23.70%	31.33%
HUBG	70 Outperform	$2.29B	22.43	6.03%	1.34%	-5.37%	-11.26%
XPO	69 Neutral	$14.95B	43.53	21.10%	―	-0.11%	-4.28%
CHRW	69 Neutral	$15.10B	29.32	32.43%	1.97%	-2.55%	59.07%
LSTR	67 Neutral	$4.66B	27.55	17.47%	2.62%	-2.10%	-22.19%
JBHT	64 Neutral	$13.96B	26.21	14.33%	1.22%	-2.24%	-5.43%
Sector *	64 Neutral	$10.73B	15.65	7.61%	2.01%	2.80%	-14.92%

CH Robinson Corporate Events

C.H. Robinson Board Member Resigns, No Disagreements

On August 25, 2025, Henry W. ‘Jay’ Winship resigned from the Board of Directors of C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., effective immediately. His resignation was not due to any disagreements related to the company’s operations, policies, or practices, suggesting a smooth transition without impact on the company’s strategic direction.

C.H. Robinson Extends Receivables Purchase Agreement

On August 12, 2025, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. amended its Receivables Purchase Agreement to extend the termination date of its $500 million receivables securitization facility to August 12, 2027, maintaining its current funding level. Additionally, Edward G. Feitzinger was elected to the company’s board of directors on August 7, 2025, with compensation aligned with that of non-employee directors, although his committee assignments have not yet been determined.

C.H. Robinson Appoints Edward Feitzinger to Board

On August 7, 2025, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. appointed Edward G. Feitzinger to its board of directors, enhancing the board with his extensive experience in global supply chain leadership and public company management. Feitzinger’s background includes leadership roles at Amazon and UTi Worldwide, where he drove significant growth and operational improvements. His appointment is expected to support C.H. Robinson’s strategic objectives in transforming supply chains and maintaining its industry leadership.