CH Robinson (CHRW)
NASDAQ:CHRW
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CH Robinson
(NASDAQ:CHRW)
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Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$200.00
▲(9.75% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by resilient profitability and solid cash generation despite a meaningful revenue downcycle, supported by constructive technical trend signals. It is tempered by a high P/E and modest yield, while the earnings call was broadly supportive (reaffirmed targets and productivity-led margin gains) but flagged ongoing demand/price pressure and rising spot-cost headwinds.
Positive Factors
Margin resilience
Sustained margin strength despite a sharp revenue downturn signals durable pricing discipline, procurement advantage and operating leverage. This allows CH Robinson to convert weaker top-line into stable profits, fund returns and reinvest in tech, supporting long-term cash generation and competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Sharp revenue decline
Material and persistent top-line contraction reduces absolute gross profit and limits operating leverage upside. Prolonged demand weakness forces continued repricing, mix shifts and cost cuts which, even with margin management, can constrain long-term growth and investment capacity.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin resilience
Sustained margin strength despite a sharp revenue downturn signals durable pricing discipline, procurement advantage and operating leverage. This allows CH Robinson to convert weaker top-line into stable profits, fund returns and reinvest in tech, supporting long-term cash generation and competitiveness.
Read all positive factors
CH Robinson (CHRW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$19.01B
Dividend Yield1.51%
Average Volume (3M)1.59M
Price to Earnings (P/E)33.8
Beta (1Y)0.87
Revenue Growth-6.68%
EPS Growth18.19%
CountryUS
Employees13,347
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)5.00
Shares Outstanding117,873,040
10 Day Avg. Volume1,979,086
30 Day Avg. Volume1,593,159
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.29
Price to Book (P/B)10.47
Price to Sales (P/S)1.19
P/FCF Ratio21.60
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.12
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.32
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit15.87
Enterprise Value/Ebitda21.89
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$198.00Price Target Upside8.65% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering14
EPS Forecast (FY)6.04
Revenue Forecast (FY)$16.84B
CH Robinson Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services and logistics solutions to companies in various industries worldwide. The company operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportati...
How the Company Makes Money
C.H. Robinson primarily makes money by arranging transportation on behalf of shippers and earning a spread between (1) what it charges the customer and (2) what it pays contracted third-party carriers and logistics providers to move the freight. T...
CH Robinson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Revenues by Service Line
Breaks down revenue by service line, offering insight into which services are most lucrative and how the company's business mix is evolving over time.
Breaks down revenue by service line, offering insight into which services are most lucrative and how the company's business mix is evolving over time.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyCH Robinson Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized resilient earnings and margin expansion driven by disciplined revenue management, rapid Lean AI adoption, strong productivity gains, and consistent market-share growth despite a challenging freight backdrop. Key positives include a 15% rise in adjusted EPS, NAST margin resilience (14.6%), operating margin expansion (210 bps), and robust shareholder returns, while negatives include a ~12% YoY decline in revenue and AGP, higher spot and fuel costs (spot costs +~19% YoY), and Global Forwarding volume/AGP pressure. Overall, management reaffirmed full-year targets and expressed confidence in execution and the ability to perform in varied market conditions.Positive Updates
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings per share increased 15% year over year in Q1 2026, driven by gross profit optimization, disciplined revenue management, and productivity gains.
Negative Updates
Revenue and AGP Declines
Total company revenue and adjusted gross profit (AGP) each declined approximately 12% year over year in Q1 2026, driven in part by Global Forwarding and macro headwinds.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Adjusted EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings per share increased 15% year over year in Q1 2026, driven by gross profit optimization, disciplined revenue management, and productivity gains.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reaffirmed its 2026 targets, including a $6.00 adjusted EPS outlook (assuming no market growth) and the operating income target raised in October, while guiding 2026 personnel expenses of $1.25B–$1.35B, SG&A of $540M–$590M (including D&A $95M–$105M), capital expenditures of $75M–$85M, and a full‑year effective tax rate of 18%–20%; they expect double‑digit productivity gains in NAST and Global Forwarding in 2026 (over‑indexed to H2). In Q1 the company generated $68.6M cash from operations, ended with ~$1.24B liquidity and net debt/EBITDA of 1.32x, returned ~ $360M to shareholders (repurchases $280.7M, dividends $79M), and spent $15M of capex; Q1 personnel expense was $352.7M (incl. $18.8M restructuring; ex‑restructuring $334M) with average headcount down 12.3% YoY, Q1 SG&A $132.1M (incl. $1.5M restructuring), and operating margin (ex‑restructuring) expanded +210 bps YoY (+310 bps YoY in NAST). Operationally, total revenue and AGP were down ~12% YoY, Global Forwarding AGP down ~12%, NAST gross margin was 14.6% in Q1, AGP per business day was -4% Jan / -2% Feb / flat Mar, truckload spot costs rose ~19% YoY (DAT) and management now expects full‑year dry‑van spot rates ~+17% YoY (vs. +8% three months ago), while volumes showed LTL +2% YoY, truckload -3.5% YoY and total NAST volume flat (vs. CAS index -6.2% YoY).CH Robinson Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 16.20B | 16.23B | 17.72B | 17.60B | 24.70B | 23.10B |
| Gross Profit | 1.34B | 1.36B | 1.31B | 1.14B | 1.87B | 1.61B |
| EBITDA | 973.63M | 888.38M | 766.30M | 613.59M | 1.36B | 1.17B |
| Net Income | 599.01M | 587.08M | 465.69M | 325.13M | 940.52M | 844.25M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.24B | 5.06B | 5.30B | 5.23B | 5.95B | 7.03B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 159.66M | 160.87M | 145.76M | 145.52M | 217.48M | 257.41M |
| Total Debt | 1.64B | 1.63B | 1.74B | 1.95B | 2.36B | 2.23B |
| Total Liabilities | 3.53B | 3.21B | 3.58B | 3.81B | 4.60B | 5.01B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.70B | 1.85B | 1.72B | 1.42B | 1.35B | 2.02B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 857.67M | 894.89M | 486.43M | 647.84M | 1.52B | 24.03M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 876.59M | 914.52M | 509.08M | 731.95M | 1.65B | 94.95M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -69.66M | -54.67M | -74.29M | -82.79M | -64.92M | -85.67M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -782.94M | -862.75M | -416.10M | -717.83M | -1.62B | 7.57M |
CH Robinson Technical Analysis
Positive
182.24
Price Trends
176.66
Positive
172.19
Positive
148.28
Positive
Market Momentum
0.05
Negative
61.38
Neutral
76.49
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 182.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 168.74, above the 50-day MA of 176.66, and above the 200-day MA of 148.28, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.49 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRW.
CH Robinson Risk Analysis
CH Robinson disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CH Robinson reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
CH Robinson Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $22.48B | 35.63 | 17.30% | 0.89% | 0.58% | 17.20% | |
70 Outperform | $6.00B | 33.75 | 14.64% | 2.56% | -0.79% | -28.21% | |
68 Neutral | $2.51B | 18.11 | 6.30% | 1.14% | -5.79% | -1.57% | |
68 Neutral | $18.58B | 24.85 | 35.57% | 1.02% | 4.42% | 3.74% | |
65 Neutral | $19.01B | 33.78 | 32.52% | 1.51% | -6.68% | 18.19% | |
64 Neutral | $23.48B | 56.34 | 17.81% | ― | 3.63% | -11.81% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% |
* Industrials Sector Average
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.