CH Robinson (CHRW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $18.06B
• Dividend Yield: 1.62%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.69M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 31.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.58
• Revenue Growth: -7.08%
• EPS Growth: 71.39%
• Country: US
• Employees: 13,347
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 1.40
• Shares Outstanding: 118,137,180
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 2,183,638
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,689,532
• PEG Ratio: 0.63
• Price to Book (P/B): 7.19
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.70
• P/FCF Ratio: 25.45
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.97
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.06
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 12.73
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 19.41
• 1Y Price Target: $146.35
• Price Target Upside: -4.43% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 20
• EPS Forecast (FY): 4.99
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $16.29B

• Rating: 71 Outperform
• Price Target: $171.00 ▲(11.67% Upside)

CH Robinson's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance and strong execution in a challenging market, as highlighted in the earnings call. The technical analysis indicates strong momentum, although overbought conditions could lead to a pullback. Valuation concerns due to a high P/E ratio slightly offset these strengths.

Positive Factors

Operational Efficiency

A 35% increase in productivity since 2022 indicates strong operational efficiency, reducing costs and enhancing service quality, which supports long-term profitability.

AI and Technology Advancements

Investments in AI and technology improve service, margins, and scalability, positioning the company for sustainable growth and competitive advantage.

Share Repurchase Program

The $2 billion share repurchase program reflects confidence in the company's financial health and commitment to enhancing shareholder value over the long term.

Negative Factors

Revenue Growth Challenges

Negative revenue growth indicates potential market challenges and could impact future profitability if the trend continues, requiring strategic adjustments.

Trade Policy Uncertainty

Uncertainty from trade policies and tariffs could disrupt supply chains and affect global forwarding, posing risks to revenue and operational stability.

Debt Reliance

Higher reliance on debt financing could increase financial risk, especially if market conditions worsen, potentially impacting long-term financial flexibility.

CH Robinson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services and logistics solutions to companies in various industries worldwide. The company operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. It offers transportation and logistics services, such as truckload; less than truckload transportation brokerage services, which include the shipment of single or multiple pallets of freight; intermodal transportation that comprise the shipment service of freight in containers or trailers by a combination of truck and rail; and non-vessel ocean common carrier and freight forwarding services, as well as organizes air shipments and provides door-to-door services. The company also offers customs broker services; and other logistics services, such as fee-based managed, warehousing, small parcel, and other services. It has contractual relationships with approximately 85,000 transportation companies, including motor carriers, railroads, and air and ocean carriers. In addition, the company is involved in buying, selling, and/or marketing of fresh produce, including fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishable items under the Robinson Fresh name. Further, it provides transportation management services or managed TMS; and other surface transportation services. The company offers its fresh produce to grocery retailers, restaurants, produce wholesalers, and foodservice distributors through a network of independent produce growers and suppliers. C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

How the Company Makes Money

C.H. Robinson generates revenue primarily through its logistics services by charging fees for arranging transportation of goods and providing supply chain solutions. The company earns money through multiple revenue streams, including freight brokerage, where it acts as an intermediary between shippers and carriers, and managed services that provide customized supply chain solutions for clients. Additionally, C.H. Robinson benefits from value-added services such as warehousing and inventory management. Strategic partnerships with carriers and technology providers also play a crucial role in optimizing operations and expanding service offerings, enhancing the company’s earnings potential.

CH Robinson Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CH Robinson demonstrates a solid financial standing with strengths in operational efficiency and cash flow generation. While revenue growth has been a challenge recently, the company has managed to maintain profitability and improve its leverage position. Continued focus on revenue growth and maintaining operational efficiency will be crucial for sustaining long-term financial health.

Income Statement

CH Robinson's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has maintained a stable gross profit margin around 8% in TTM, indicating consistent cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased to 3.14% in TTM, reflecting some pressure on profitability. Revenue growth has been negative in the TTM period, which could be a concern if the trend continues. Despite this, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have improved, suggesting better operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 0.95 in TTM, indicating a reduction in leverage compared to previous years. Return on equity is strong at 31.06%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a higher reliance on debt financing, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates a robust performance with a significant free cash flow growth of 26.32% in TTM, highlighting strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, indicating that the company is effectively converting its net income into cash. This strong cash flow position provides a cushion for future investments and debt servicing.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	16.50B	17.72B	17.60B	24.70B	23.10B	16.21B
Gross Profit	1.37B	1.31B	1.14B	1.87B	1.61B	1.17B
EBITDA	898.22M	766.30M	613.59M	1.36B	1.17B	775.00M
Net Income	600.07M	465.69M	325.13M	940.52M	844.25M	506.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.23B	5.30B	5.23B	5.95B	7.03B	5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	136.84M	145.76M	145.52M	217.48M	257.41M	243.80M
Total Debt	1.50B	1.74B	1.95B	2.36B	2.23B	1.43B
Total Liabilities	3.37B	3.58B	3.81B	4.60B	5.01B	3.26B
Stockholders Equity	1.86B	1.72B	1.42B	1.35B	2.02B	1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	857.74M	486.43M	647.84M	1.52B	24.03M	445.18M
Operating Cash Flow	877.03M	509.08M	731.95M	1.65B	94.95M	499.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-42.31M	-74.29M	-82.79M	-64.92M	-85.67M	-271.71M
Financing Cash Flow	-840.07M	-416.10M	-717.83M	-1.62B	7.57M	-440.67M

CH Robinson Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 153.13
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 153.13 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 134.76, above the 50-day MA of 132.91, and above the 200-day MA of 107.55, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.88 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.91 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRW.

CH Robinson Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
XPO	73 Outperform	$16.51B	49.72	19.26%	―	-0.30%	-11.02%
CHRW	71 Outperform	$18.06B	30.99	34.32%	1.62%	-7.08%	71.39%
LSTR	70 Outperform	$4.39B	32.68	14.41%	2.83%	-0.74%	-32.79%
HUBG	69 Neutral	$2.19B	20.56	6.31%	1.40%	-5.79%	-1.57%
EXPD	67 Neutral	$18.72B	22.46	36.47%	1.11%	12.54%	19.51%
JBHT	65 Neutral	$16.44B	29.88	15.13%	1.04%	-1.60%	4.87%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%

CH Robinson Corporate Events

C.H. Robinson’s Resilient Q3 Earnings Amid Freight Challenges

C.H. Robinson’s recent earnings call revealed a mixed sentiment, characterized by strong execution and resilience in the face of a challenging freight market. The company reported notable gains in operating margins and productivity, although it continues to face significant hurdles in the Global Forwarding segment due to declining ocean rates. Despite these challenges, C.H. Robinson maintains a robust financial position, positioning itself well for future growth.

C.H. Robinson Reports Strong Q3 2025 Amid Market Challenges

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is a global leader in supply chain management, specializing in transportation and logistics services across various modes including truckload, less-than-truckload, ocean, and air freight. The company is renowned for its innovative use of Lean AI to optimize supply chains, serving a vast network of customers and carriers worldwide.

C.H. Robinson Announces $2 Billion Share Buyback

C.H. Robinson reported strong financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a 22.6% increase in income from operations and a 67.5% rise in diluted EPS, despite a challenging freight environment. The company announced a raised 2026 operating income target and a $2 billion share buyback authorization, reflecting confidence in its strategic initiatives and market positioning. The company has demonstrated consistent outperformance through disciplined execution and aims to leverage AI technology to enhance operational efficiency and scalability.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRW) stock is a Hold with a $136.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CH Robinson stock, see the CHRW Stock Forecast page.

C.H. Robinson Board Member Resigns, No Disagreements

On August 25, 2025, Henry W. ‘Jay’ Winship resigned from the Board of Directors of C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., effective immediately. His resignation was not due to any disagreements related to the company’s operations, policies, or practices, suggesting a smooth transition without impact on the company’s strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRW) stock is a Buy with a $125.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CH Robinson stock, see the CHRW Stock Forecast page.

C.H. Robinson Extends Receivables Purchase Agreement

On August 12, 2025, C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. amended its Receivables Purchase Agreement to extend the termination date of its $500 million receivables securitization facility to August 12, 2027, maintaining its current funding level. Additionally, Edward G. Feitzinger was elected to the company’s board of directors on August 7, 2025, with compensation aligned with that of non-employee directors, although his committee assignments have not yet been determined.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRW) stock is a Hold with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CH Robinson stock, see the CHRW Stock Forecast page.

C.H. Robinson Appoints Edward Feitzinger to Board

On August 7, 2025, C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. appointed Edward G. Feitzinger to its board of directors, enhancing the board with his extensive experience in global supply chain leadership and public company management. Feitzinger’s background includes leadership roles at Amazon and UTi Worldwide, where he drove significant growth and operational improvements. His appointment is expected to support C.H. Robinson’s strategic objectives in transforming supply chains and maintaining its industry leadership.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRW) stock is a Hold with a $115.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CH Robinson stock, see the CHRW Stock Forecast page.

C.H. Robinson’s Earnings Call Highlights Resilience and Growth

C.H. Robinson Worldwide’s recent earnings call exuded a positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s robust operational performance, productivity enhancements, and commendable shareholder returns. Despite facing challenges from trade policies and a difficult freight market, the company showcased resilience and strategic prowess in navigating these obstacles effectively.

C.H. Robinson Reports Strong Q2 2025 Performance

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., a leading logistics company, specializes in providing freight transportation and logistics services across various modes, including truckload, less-than-truckload, ocean, and air, with a focus on leveraging technology to optimize supply chain solutions.