CH Robinson (CHRW) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $11.64B
• Dividend Yield: 2.53%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.01M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 23.4
• Beta (1Y): 0.57
• Revenue Growth: -0.22%
• EPS Growth: 65.52%
• Country: US
• Employees: 13,347
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 86
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 1.17
• Shares Outstanding: 118,730,620
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,066,396
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,010,962
• PEG Ratio: 2.52
• Price to Book (P/B): 6.46
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 18.14
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.08
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.18
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 2.48
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 4.24
• 1Y Price Target: $109.60
• Price Target Upside: 11.80% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 16

• Rating: 70 Neutral
• Price Target: $106.00 ▲(8.13%Upside)

CH Robinson's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call performance and stable financial health, with robust cash flow dynamics. Technical indicators and valuation present moderate opportunities, while strategic initiatives in automation and diversification support long-term growth prospects.

Positive Factors

AI Integration

Generative AI played a key role in Robinson's ability to generate more than 30% productivity increases, with expectations of 'evergreen' productivity.

Productivity Gains

CHRW has realized significant productivity gains over the past two years, with a notable reduction in headcount and improvements in GP/Load.

Stock Upgrade

CHRW is upgraded from Peer Perform to Outperform, indicating a positive outlook for the stock.

Negative Factors

Forwarding Challenges

Global Forwarding revenue missed estimates materially with a significant drop in EBIT margin.

Market Growth Risks

Management noted some risk to its market growth forecast as volumes have been falling, though Robinson continues to take share.

Ocean Booking Pressure

Near-term volume visibility is impaired due to trade uncertainty, with a significant drop in ocean bookings likely bringing pressure.

CH Robinson Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides freight transportation services and logistics solutions to companies in various industries worldwide. The company operates in two segments, North American Surface Transportation and Global Forwarding. It offers transportation and logistics services, such as truckload; less than truckload transportation brokerage services, which include the shipment of single or multiple pallets of freight; intermodal transportation that comprise the shipment service of freight in containers or trailers by a combination of truck and rail; and non-vessel ocean common carrier and freight forwarding services, as well as organizes air shipments and provides door-to-door services. The company also offers customs broker services; and other logistics services, such as fee-based managed, warehousing, small parcel, and other services. It has contractual relationships with approximately 85,000 transportation companies, including motor carriers, railroads, and air and ocean carriers. In addition, the company is involved in buying, selling, and/or marketing of fresh produce, including fresh fruits, vegetables, and other value-added perishable items under the Robinson Fresh name. Further, it provides transportation management services or managed TMS; and other surface transportation services. The company offers its fresh produce to grocery retailers, restaurants, produce wholesalers, and foodservice distributors through a network of independent produce growers and suppliers. C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. was founded in 1905 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.

How the Company Makes Money

C.H. Robinson makes money primarily through its logistics and transportation services. The company's key revenue streams include freight brokerage, where it acts as an intermediary between shippers and carriers, earning commissions on the freight it arranges. It also generates income from transportation management services, where it provides end-to-end solutions for shippers, including the planning, execution, and optimization of transportation networks. Warehousing and distribution services contribute to its revenue as well by offering storage and value-added services. C.H. Robinson's extensive carrier network and proprietary technology platforms facilitate efficient operations, which, combined with strong partnerships across industries, enhance its revenue potential. Additionally, the company's global presence and expertise in various transportation modes, such as truckload, less-than-truckload, air, and ocean freight, enable it to capture a broad client base and drive sustained growth.

CH Robinson Financial Statement Overview

Summary

CH Robinson presents a stable financial profile with strong cash flow management and reasonable profitability. While the income statement reveals challenges in revenue growth, margins remain stable. The balance sheet shows balanced leverage and strong returns on equity, though asset management could be enhanced. Cash flow performance is a standout, supporting the company's financial health and strategic initiatives.

Income Statement

CH Robinson's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) gross profit margin is strong at approximately 29.3%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the revenue growth has been negative, with a decline of about 1.4% from the previous year. The net profit margin stands at around 2.9%, which is modest. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 4.2% and 4.7%, respectively, reflecting moderate profitability. Overall, the company maintains stable margins but faces challenges in revenue growth.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a cautious financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio is approximately 1.0, indicating a balanced leverage. Return on equity stands at 29.3%, reflecting strong returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is 33.2%, suggesting a solid equity base compared to total assets. While the company has a manageable debt level, the asset base has decreased over time, indicating potential areas for improvement in asset management.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis shows a robust performance. The free cash flow growth rate is strong at 24.6%, demonstrating effective cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.3, indicating that cash from operations comfortably covers net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.2, further underscoring strong cash flow relative to earnings. Overall, CH Robinson exhibits healthy cash flow dynamics, supporting financial stability and flexibility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	17.36B	17.72B	17.60B	24.70B	23.10B	16.21B
Gross Profit	5.09B	1.31B	1.14B	1.87B	1.61B	1.17B
EBITDA	807.40M	762.26M	613.59M	1.36B	1.17B	775.00M
Net Income	508.09M	465.69M	325.13M	940.52M	844.25M	506.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	5.23B	5.30B	5.23B	5.95B	7.03B	5.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	129.94M	145.76M	145.52M	217.48M	257.41M	243.80M
Total Debt	1.73B	1.74B	1.95B	2.36B	2.23B	1.43B
Total Liabilities	3.49B	3.58B	3.81B	4.60B	5.01B	3.26B
Stockholders Equity	1.73B	1.72B	1.42B	1.35B	2.02B	1.88B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	606.29M	486.43M	647.84M	1.52B	24.03M	445.18M
Operating Cash Flow	648.94M	509.08M	731.95M	1.65B	94.95M	499.19M
Investing Cash Flow	-40.16M	-74.29M	-82.79M	-64.92M	-85.67M	-271.71M
Financing Cash Flow	-597.00M	-416.10M	-717.83M	-1.62B	7.57M	-440.67M

CH Robinson Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 98.03
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 98.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 95.07, above the 50-day MA of 94.00, and below the 200-day MA of 99.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.77 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.45 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHRW.

CH Robinson Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EXPD	73 Outperform	$16.21B	19.65	37.70%	1.30%	24.07%	27.40%
XPO	70 Outperform	$15.57B	40.66	26.24%	―	1.94%	60.91%
CHRW	70 Neutral	$11.64B	23.42	32.11%	2.53%	-0.22%	65.52%
HUBG	69 Neutral	$2.19B	20.95	6.35%	1.40%	-4.63%	-18.94%
JBHT	69 Neutral	$15.16B	27.76	13.97%	1.15%	-3.82%	-12.80%
LSTR	66 Neutral	$5.10B	28.93	18.34%	1.10%	-4.72%	-22.46%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$10.77B	15.80	5.51%	1.90%	3.03%	-26.66%

CH Robinson Corporate Events

C.H. Robinson Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Meeting

C.H. Robinson held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders virtually on May 8, 2025, where approximately 90% of outstanding shares were represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected ten directors for one-year terms, approved executive compensation on a non-binding basis, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025, and approved the amended 2022 Equity Incentive Plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHRW) stock is a Hold with a $92.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CH Robinson stock, see the CHRW Stock Forecast page.