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CH Robinson
(NASDAQ:CHRW)
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Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$155.00
▼(-16.89% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/18/26
The score is anchored by improving underlying financial performance and a constructive earnings-call message with maintained/tightened guidance and strong productivity/margin progress. These positives are partially offset by a clearly bearish technical setup (price below all key moving averages with negative MACD) and a valuation that appears more demanding than compelling. Key risks highlighted include freight-cycle softness, cost/working-capital pressure, and ongoing legal/insurance uncertainty.
Positive Factors
Margin Expansion
Both major segments reached mid-cycle margin targets in a weak freight market. This indicates improved pricing, cost discipline and operating leverage that could support more resilient profitability across future freight cycles.
Negative Factors
Freight-Cycle Exposure
As a freight intermediary, CH Robinson depends on shipment volumes and transportation demand. Prolonged trough conditions can limit revenue growth, reduce brokerage opportunities and delay the full benefit of its operating improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Margin Expansion
Both major segments reached mid-cycle margin targets in a weak freight market. This indicates improved pricing, cost discipline and operating leverage that could support more resilient profitability across future freight cycles.
Read all positive factors
CH Robinson Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Net Revenues by Service Line
Breaks down revenue by service line, offering insight into which services are most lucrative and how the company's business mix is evolving over time.
Breaks down revenue by service line, offering insight into which services are most lucrative and how the company's business mix is evolving over time.
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The Fly
The FlyCH Robinson (CHRW) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$16.92B
Dividend Yield1.73%
Average Volume (3M)1.58M
Price to Earnings (P/E)27.3
Beta (1Y)0.89
Revenue Growth-0.09%
EPS Growth19.50%
CountryUS
Employees11,599
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)5.31
Shares Outstanding116,851,260
10 Day Avg. Volume1,994,528
30 Day Avg. Volume1,577,201
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio1.29
Price to Book (P/B)10.47
Price to Sales (P/S)1.19
P/FCF Ratio21.60
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$202.17Price Target Upside8.40% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering23
EPS Forecast (FY)6.23
Revenue Forecast (FY)$18.31B
CH Robinson Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. serves as a global provider of diverse freight transportation and logistics solutions, assisting companies across numerous industries. The organization's business operations are segmented into two key areas: North Ame...
How the Company Makes Money
C.H. Robinson primarily makes money as a freight intermediary by arranging transportation for shippers and sourcing capacity from carriers, earning a spread between what it charges customers and what it pays transportation providers. Its key reven...
CH Robinson Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted meaningful operational and financial progress—strong revenue and AGP growth, notable margin expansion, sustained market-share gains, and substantial productivity improvements driven by the company’s Lean AI strategy. These positives were balanced against macro and industry headwinds: weak freight demand, sharp spot-rate driven cost increases that compressed gross margin percent, working capital and cash-flow pressure, and a material legal/insurance risk from an adverse advisory verdict. Management emphasized disciplined revenue management, operating leverage and confidence in guidance despite those risks. Overall, the company presented a resilient performance story with clear execution levers to navigate current challenges.Positive Updates
Revenue and AGP Growth
Total revenues increased 19.3% year-over-year and Adjusted Gross Profit (AGP) increased 6.5% year-over-year, demonstrating top-line strength despite a weak freight-demand environment.
Negative Updates
Weak Freight Demand Backdrop
Cass Freight Shipment Index was down 3.3% year-over-year in Q2 and down 4.7% in the first half of 2026, signaling continued trough-level freight demand that pressures volume growth.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue and AGP Growth
Total revenues increased 19.3% year-over-year and Adjusted Gross Profit (AGP) increased 6.5% year-over-year, demonstrating top-line strength despite a weak freight-demand environment.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management reiterated and tightened 2026 guidance: they maintained the operating income target of $964M–$1.04B (noting the low end is achievable even if market volumes are −3% due to ~ $40M of self‑help), narrowed SG&A to $540M–$580M (down $10M), expect full‑year personnel expense of $1.25B–$1.35B (pushed toward the high end by higher incentive compensation with Q3 higher/Q4 lower), lowered capital expenditures to $65M–$75M (Q2 capex $18.2M), expect depreciation & amortization toward the low end of $95M–$105M, and reaffirmed a full‑year tax rate of 18%–20% (Q2 was 21.5%; Q3 similar/slightly higher; Q4 lower); they ended Q2 with ≈ $900M liquidity and net debt/EBITDA of 1.64x. Management cited supporting trends and results — Q2 revenue +19.3% YoY, AGP +6.5% YoY (AGP per business day Apr +9%/May +7%/Jun +3%), cash from operations $35.9M in Q2, Q2 personnel expense $338.5M (ex‑restructuring $330.5M) with average headcount down 10.8% YoY — and noted capital deployment in Q2 included $301.3M returned to shareholders (repurchases $226M, dividends $75.3M) and $79M allocated to acquisitions; they also now forecast ~34% YoY full‑year dry‑van spot rate inflation.CH Robinson Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 17.00B | 16.23B | 17.72B | 17.60B | 24.70B | 23.10B |
| Gross Profit | 1.72B | 1.36B | 1.31B | 1.14B | 1.87B | 1.61B |
| EBITDA | 998.26M | 888.38M | 766.30M | 613.59M | 1.36B | 1.17B |
| Net Income | 633.33M | 587.08M | 465.69M | 325.13M | 940.52M | 844.25M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.84B | 5.06B | 5.30B | 5.23B | 5.95B | 7.03B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 154.59M | 160.87M | 145.76M | 145.52M | 217.48M | 257.41M |
| Total Debt | 1.97B | 1.63B | 1.74B | 1.95B | 2.36B | 2.23B |
| Total Liabilities | 4.22B | 3.21B | 3.58B | 3.81B | 4.60B | 5.01B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.63B | 1.85B | 1.72B | 1.42B | 1.35B | 2.02B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 668.76M | 894.89M | 486.43M | 647.84M | 1.52B | 24.03M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 685.36M | 914.52M | 509.08M | 731.95M | 1.65B | 94.95M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -146.54M | -54.67M | -74.29M | -82.79M | -64.92M | -85.67M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -540.68M | -862.75M | -416.10M | -717.83M | -1.62B | 7.57M |
CH Robinson Technical Analysis
Negative
186.50
Price Trends
178.52
Negative
175.91
Negative
172.32
Negative
Market Momentum
-10.90
Positive
32.05
Neutral
20.70
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHRW, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 186.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 159.52, above the 50-day MA of 178.52, and above the 200-day MA of 172.32, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -10.90 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.70 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CHRW.
CH Robinson Risk Analysis
CH Robinson disclosed 24 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CH Robinson reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
CH Robinson Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
76 Outperform | $24.47B | 27.33 | 40.68% | 0.90% | 6.77% | 12.05% | |
72 Outperform | $26.61B | 40.25 | 18.75% | 0.62% | 5.28% | 28.24% | |
68 Neutral | $2.41B | 29.74 | 4.81% | 1.04% | -5.79% | -1.57% | |
67 Neutral | $24.70B | 61.51 | 21.57% | ― | 7.03% | 16.37% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | $6.56B | 50.10 | 15.87% | 1.80% | 4.10% | -19.02% | |
58 Neutral | $16.92B | 27.27 | 36.01% | 1.35% | -0.09% | 19.50% |
* Industrials Sector Average
CHRW
CH Robinson
144.67
22.78
18.69%
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CH Robinson Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresLegal Proceedings
C.H. Robinson Faces Major Jury Verdict in Texas
Negative
Jul 24, 2026
On July 23, 2026, a jury in Dallas County, Texas issued an advisory verdict against C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. and two other defendants in a lawsuit stemming from a trucking accident involving an independent motor carrier, awarding $604 million...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.