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Expeditors International
(NYSE:EXPD)
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Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$199.00
â–²(13.52% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/21/26
EXPD scores well primarily on strong financial performance (profitability, conservative leverage, and solid cash conversion) and constructive technical momentum. The score is moderated by only average valuation support (P/E ~20.8 and ~1% yield) and ongoing cyclical weakness in ocean conditions despite positive corporate actions (buyback/dividend and customs growth investments).
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
High cash conversion (FCF ~0.95x net income) indicates earnings reliably convert to cash. Durable cash generation supports ongoing organic investment, dividend increases and buybacks, and provides a buffer through trade-cycle volatility, sustaining strategic flexibility over months.
Negative Factors
Ocean Freight Cyclicality
Prolonged weakness in ocean volumes and rates is a durable headwind for a freight-forwarder whose revenues and spreads depend on carrier capacity and pricing. Extended softness compresses margins and restrains revenue growth until structural demand or rate improvement returns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
High cash conversion (FCF ~0.95x net income) indicates earnings reliably convert to cash. Durable cash generation supports ongoing organic investment, dividend increases and buybacks, and provides a buffer through trade-cycle volatility, sustaining strategic flexibility over months.
Read all positive factors
Expeditors International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Expeditors International is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Expeditors International is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyExpeditors International (EXPD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$21.84B
Dividend Yield0.94%
Average Volume (3M)1.24M
Price to Earnings (P/E)27.0
Beta (1Y)0.63
Revenue Growth1.13%
EPS Growth2.62%
CountryUS
Employees19,800
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryIntegrated Freight & Logistics
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)6.21
Shares Outstanding130,791,140
10 Day Avg. Volume1,418,280
30 Day Avg. Volume1,243,097
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio6.52
Price to Book (P/B)8.59
Price to Sales (P/S)1.83
P/FCF Ratio21.23
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$167.89Price Target Upside-4.23% Downside
Rating ConsensusHold
Number of Analyst Covering10
EPS Forecast (FY)6.89
Revenue Forecast (FY)$11.80B
Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. functions as a prominent global logistics and supply chain management enterprise. With a vast operational footprint spanning the Americas, North and South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Indi...
How the Company Makes Money
Expeditors makes money primarily by arranging and managing the movement of customers’ freight through third-party transportation providers and charging customers for these services. Key revenue streams include: (1) Air freight forwarding: Expedito...
Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Cash Flow
80
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 11.19B | 11.07B | 10.60B | 9.30B | 17.07B | 16.52B |
| Gross Profit | 2.26B | 1.69B | 1.35B | 1.25B | 2.17B | 2.17B |
| EBITDA | 1.17B | 1.15B | 1.16B | 1.09B | 1.92B | 1.98B |
| Net Income | 836.64M | 813.76M | 810.07M | 752.88M | 1.36B | 1.42B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 4.78B | 4.89B | 4.75B | 4.52B | 5.59B | 7.61B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.32B | 1.31B | 1.15B | 1.51B | 2.03B | 1.73B |
| Total Debt | 564.98M | 570.59M | 568.94M | 527.73M | 518.47M | 467.66M |
| Total Liabilities | 2.50B | 2.53B | 2.53B | 2.13B | 2.48B | 4.11B |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.28B | 2.36B | 2.22B | 2.39B | 3.11B | 3.49B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 920.55M | 953.40M | 682.89M | 1.01B | 2.04B | 832.25M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 973.11M | 1.01B | 723.36M | 1.05B | 2.13B | 868.49M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -44.19M | -44.70M | -40.52M | -39.43M | -87.71M | -36.65M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -926.33M | -802.48M | -1.03B | -1.54B | -1.68B | -613.55M |
Expeditors International Technical Analysis
Neutral
175.30
Price Trends
166.30
Positive
156.32
Positive
150.75
Positive
Market Momentum
4.24
Positive
58.41
Neutral
33.27
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 175.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 173.36, above the 50-day MA of 166.30, and above the 200-day MA of 150.75, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.27 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EXPD.
Expeditors International Risk Analysis
Expeditors International disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expeditors International reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Expeditors International Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
77 Outperform | $21.84B | 27.04 | 36.71% | 0.90% | 1.13% | 2.62% | |
72 Outperform | $25.28B | 38.60 | 18.75% | 0.62% | 5.28% | 28.24% | |
69 Neutral | $73.00B | 16.74 | 15.11% | 1.50% | 7.73% | 10.07% | |
68 Neutral | $89.48B | 19.34 | 29.07% | 5.71% | -0.19% | -19.99% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | $5.75B | 45.28 | 15.87% | 1.80% | 4.10% | -19.02% | |
60 Neutral | $17.32B | 27.82 | 36.01% | 1.35% | -0.09% | 19.50% |
* Industrials Sector Average
EXPD
Expeditors International
167.89
54.43
47.97%
CHRW
CH Robinson
147.73
35.64
31.80%
FDX
FedEx
307.40
135.92
79.26%
JBHT
JB Hunt
271.75
133.53
96.60%
LSTR
Landstar System
174.77
49.26
39.24%
UPS
United Parcel
104.22
25.16
31.82%
Expeditors International Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expeditors Expands Customs Operations Amid Growing Regulatory Complexity
Positive
May 20, 2026
Expeditors reported that recent conflict in the Middle East has so far had a limited direct effect on its operations and customers, with the main impact seen in higher jet fuel prices, tighter air capacity, and longer routing, while ocean cargo ha...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Expeditors International Shareholders Approve Directors and Governance Items
Positive
May 6, 2026
At its annual meeting of shareholders held on May 5, 2026, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. shareholders elected all nine director nominees to serve until the next annual meeting or until their successors are chosen. The voting results...
Stock BuybackDividends
Expeditors International Boosts Dividend, Highlights Capital Returns
Positive
May 5, 2026
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., a global logistics provider based in Bellevue, Washington, specializes in air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, warehousing, distribution, and other tailored supply-chain services across...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.