Expeditors International (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.27B
• Dividend Yield: 1.25%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.22M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 19.6
• Beta (1Y): 0.67
• Revenue Growth: 23.70%
• EPS Growth: 31.33%
• Country: US
• Employees: 19,203
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 78
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 1.34
• Shares Outstanding: 135,718,520
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,523,826
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,215,022
• PEG Ratio: N/A
• Price to Book (P/B): N/A
• Price to Sales (P/S): N/A
• P/FCF Ratio: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.92
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.33
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.81
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 12.69
• 1Y Price Target: $113.82
• Price Target Upside: -5.04% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Sell
• Number of Analyst Covering: 12

• Rating: 72 Outperform
• Price Target: $131.00 ▲(9.29% Upside)

Expeditors International's strong financial performance, characterized by consistent revenue growth and a robust balance sheet, is the primary driver of its stock score. Technical indicators suggest a positive trend, though caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions. The valuation is moderate, with a balanced P/E ratio and dividend yield. The recent CFO appointment is a positive corporate event, though tempered by a 'Sell' analyst rating.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

The company reported second quarter revenue that was 12% ahead of expectations and EPS of $1.34 compared to an estimate of $1.15.

Operational Efficiency

Cost control continues despite 2Q volume growth, and the incentive compensation structure keeps expenses under control.

Operational Performance

Ocean Forwarding volumes were up 7% year-over-year, surpassing the +1% estimate, indicating strong performance in this segment.

Negative Factors

Earnings Growth

There is an expectation of relatively flat earnings growth with a target of 5% EPS growth in 2026, leading to muted share performance.

Market Conditions

The freight backdrop is expected to remain uncertain, which may limit near-term upside.

Market Rating

The rating on Expeditors International has been lowered to Underperform as the shares have surpassed the price objective and containership rates are falling rapidly.

Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Expeditors International (EXPD) is a global logistics company headquartered in Seattle, Washington, specializing in air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and supply chain solutions. Founded in 1979, the company operates in various sectors including technology, retail, and automotive, providing services such as inventory management, warehousing, and distribution. Expeditors leverages a global network of offices and partnerships, ensuring efficient transportation and logistics services across international borders.

How the Company Makes Money

Expeditors International generates revenue primarily through its freight forwarding services, which include air and ocean shipment arrangements for clients. The company charges fees for handling logistics operations, which encompass transportation, customs clearance, and documentation. Additionally, Expeditors earns money through value-added services such as warehousing, distribution, and supply chain optimization. Key revenue streams include agent commissions, service fees, and transportation charges. The company's strategic partnerships with airlines, shipping lines, and other logistics service providers enhance its service offerings and improve its competitive positioning, contributing to its overall earnings.

Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Expeditors International exhibits a strong financial position with consistent revenue growth, low leverage, and efficient cash flow generation. While the company faces some margin pressures, its robust balance sheet and strong return on equity provide a solid foundation for future growth.

Income Statement

Expeditors International shows a stable income statement with a consistent revenue growth rate of 1.93% in TTM, following a 13.98% growth in the previous year. The gross profit margin has decreased to 6.80% in TTM from 12.73% in the previous year, indicating some pressure on profitability. However, the net profit margin remains relatively stable at 7.57% in TTM. The EBIT margin has decreased to 7.70% in TTM, reflecting some operational challenges. Overall, the company demonstrates steady revenue growth but faces margin pressures.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Expeditors International is strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.27 in TTM, indicating low leverage and financial stability. The return on equity is impressive at 37.65% in TTM, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 45.88%, reflecting a solid equity base. Overall, the company maintains a robust balance sheet with low leverage and high return on equity.

Cash Flow

Expeditors International's cash flow statement shows a positive free cash flow growth rate of 5.81% in TTM, recovering from a negative growth in the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.41, indicating a healthy conversion of income to cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 0.94, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income. Overall, the company demonstrates strong cash flow generation with improving free cash flow growth.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.27B	10.60B	9.30B	17.07B	16.52B	9.58B
Gross Profit	1.53B	1.35B	1.25B	2.17B	2.17B	1.16B
EBITDA	1.19B	1.10B	1.01B	1.88B	1.98B	1.01B
Net Income	852.82M	810.07M	752.88M	1.36B	1.42B	696.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.79B	4.75B	4.52B	5.59B	7.61B	4.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.16B	1.15B	1.51B	2.03B	1.73B	1.53B
Total Debt	586.55M	568.94M	527.73M	518.47M	467.66M	438.19M
Total Liabilities	2.59B	2.53B	2.13B	2.48B	4.11B	2.26B
Stockholders Equity	2.20B	2.22B	2.39B	3.11B	3.49B	2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	810.15M	682.89M	1.01B	2.04B	832.25M	607.47M
Operating Cash Flow	861.52M	723.36M	1.05B	2.13B	868.49M	655.01M
Investing Cash Flow	-51.41M	-40.52M	-39.43M	-87.71M	-36.65M	-46.03M
Financing Cash Flow	-948.83M	-1.03B	-1.54B	-1.68B	-613.55M	-331.54M

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 119.86
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 119.86 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.74, above the 50-day MA of 115.54, and above the 200-day MA of 114.42, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.43 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 57.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.

Expeditors International Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ZTO	79 Outperform	$15.77B	12.63	15.68%	3.51%	13.41%	10.00%
EXPD	72 Outperform	$16.27B	19.56	39.01%	1.25%	23.70%	31.33%
CHRW	67 Neutral	$14.35B	27.66	32.43%	2.05%	-2.55%	59.07%
XPO	67 Neutral	$15.15B	44.51	21.10%	―	-0.11%	-4.28%
JBHT	66 Neutral	$13.98B	26.25	14.33%	1.22%	-2.24%	-5.43%
LSTR	63 Neutral	$4.54B	27.49	17.47%	2.70%	-2.10%	-22.19%
Sector *	51 Neutral	HK$195.14M	-7.85	-42.75%	6.33%	5.18%	-76.96%

Expeditors International Corporate Events

Expeditors International Announces New CFO Appointment

On August 6, 2025, Expeditors International announced the retirement of Bradley S. Powell, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective September 30, 2025, and the appointment of David A. Hackett as his successor, effective October 1, 2025. Hackett, who joined Expeditors in May 2024, brings extensive experience from his previous roles at NIKE and KPMG. The transition reflects Expeditors’ commitment to succession planning and aims to ensure continued financial leadership and strategic growth. Powell’s tenure saw significant financial achievements, including increased dividends and substantial returns to shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPD) stock is a Sell with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expeditors International stock, see the EXPD Stock Forecast page.

Expeditors International Signs New Executive Agreements

On May 21, 2025, Expeditors International entered into employment agreements with key executives, including Kelly K. Blacker, Blake R. Bell, and Bradley S. Powell, outlining salary, incentive-based compensation, and severance benefits. These agreements, effective in April and May 2025, include non-compete and non-solicitation clauses, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on retaining leadership talent and ensuring continuity in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPD) stock is a Sell with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expeditors International stock, see the EXPD Stock Forecast page.