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Expeditors International (EXPD)
NYSE:EXPD

Expeditors International (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

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Expeditors International

(NYSE:EXPD)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$126.00
▲(6.44%Upside)
Expeditors International's strong financial performance and strategic corporate events are significant strengths, contributing positively to the overall stock score. However, the moderate technical signals and valuation metrics slightly temper the overall outlook.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
The company demonstrated strong cost control on purchased transportation and other expenses, contributing to higher-than-expected results.
Earnings
Expeditors International posted 1Q25 EPS of $1.47, up 26% year-year, above analyst and market estimates.
Financial Performance
EXPD reported revenue that was 11% ahead of expectations and EPS of $1.68, up 54% year-over-year, which exceeded estimates.
Negative Factors
Global Supply Challenges
Visibility beyond day-to-day operations remains challenging due to factors like potential port strikes and uncertainty in global air and ocean supply.
Import Volumes
A steep drop-off of imports should weigh on EXPD's top line.
Market Expectations
Pressure on shares in trading despite headline beat suggests elevated buy side expectations.

Expeditors International (EXPD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionExpeditors International (EXPD) is a global logistics company providing a comprehensive range of supply chain solutions. Headquartered in Seattle, Washington, the company operates in sectors including air and ocean freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and distribution management. Expeditors offers a suite of services designed to optimize the movement of goods, ensuring efficient and reliable logistics solutions for businesses worldwide.
How the Company Makes MoneyExpeditors International makes money primarily through its logistics and freight forwarding services. The company generates revenue by managing the transportation of goods via air and ocean freight, charging clients for the efficient handling and delivery of their cargo. Key revenue streams include freight forwarding fees, customs brokerage services, and warehousing and distribution management. Expeditors collaborates with a network of carriers and leveraging its expertise in supply chain management to offer value-added services, thereby enhancing its revenue potential. The company's earnings are influenced by global trade volumes, transportation rates, and its ability to maintain strong relationships with carriers and customers.

Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Expeditors International exhibits solid financial fundamentals characterized by steady revenue growth, robust profitability, and a strong balance sheet. The company's prudent debt management and efficient cash flow generation support long-term stability. While recent revenue growth has decelerated, its efficient cost structures and conservative leverage position it well against industry risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Expeditors International has demonstrated strong financial performance with a notable improvement in revenue and profitability over the latest TTM period. The gross profit margin stands at 12.82%, and the net profit margin is 7.64%, indicating efficient cost management. Revenue growth has been positive, showing a 4.34% increase from the previous year. However, compared to earlier periods, the revenue growth has slowed down, which could be a concern amidst industry competition.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.26, reflecting conservative leverage. The equity ratio is 48.05%, indicating a strong equity position. Return on equity is robust at 36.96%, showcasing effective utilization of shareholder funds. However, the slight decrease in stockholders' equity over recent periods might warrant monitoring.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow generation remains strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 12.10% in the latest TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.96, indicating good cash conversion from earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.91 suggests that there is room for improvement in capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.06B10.60B9.30B17.07B16.52B9.58B
Gross Profit1.42B1.35B1.25B2.17B2.17B1.16B
EBITDA1.15B1.10B1.01B1.88B1.98B1.01B
Net Income844.72M810.07M752.88M1.36B1.42B696.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.76B4.88B4.62B5.59B7.61B4.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.32B1.15B1.51B2.03B1.73B1.53B
Total Debt588.36M568.94M527.73M518.47M467.66M438.19M
Total Liabilities2.47B2.53B2.13B2.48B4.11B2.26B
Stockholders Equity2.29B2.22B2.39B3.11B3.49B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow765.64M682.89M1.01B2.04B832.25M607.47M
Operating Cash Flow809.08M723.36M1.05B2.13B868.49M655.01M
Investing Cash Flow-43.44M-40.52M-39.43M-87.71M-36.65M-46.03M
Financing Cash Flow-816.35M-1.03B-1.54B-1.68B-613.55M-331.54M

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price118.38
Price Trends
50DMA
112.36
Positive
100DMA
113.34
Positive
200DMA
115.23
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.08
Negative
RSI
65.34
Neutral
STOCH
75.80
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 118.38 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 114.13, above the 50-day MA of 112.36, and above the 200-day MA of 115.23, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.08 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.34 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.

Expeditors International Risk Analysis

Expeditors International disclosed 19 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expeditors International reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Expeditors International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$16.31B19.7737.70%1.29%24.07%27.40%
ZTZTO
72
Outperform
$14.13B11.4915.68%3.88%13.41%10.00%
XPXPO
70
Outperform
$15.61B40.7726.24%1.94%60.91%
70
Neutral
$11.64B23.4232.11%2.50%-0.22%65.52%
69
Neutral
$15.18B27.7913.97%1.15%-3.82%-12.80%
68
Neutral
£2.95B10.288.40%3.21%2.87%-9.95%
66
Neutral
$5.12B29.0618.34%1.09%-4.72%-22.46%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXPD
Expeditors International
118.38
-3.49
-2.86%
CHRW
CH Robinson
98.03
13.66
16.19%
XPO
XPO
132.13
25.57
24.00%
JBHT
JB Hunt
152.88
-3.73
-2.38%
LSTR
Landstar System
145.88
-30.72
-17.40%
ZTO
ZTO Express
18.05
-1.27
-6.57%

Expeditors International Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Expeditors International Signs New Executive Agreements
Neutral
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Expeditors International entered into employment agreements with key executives, including Kelly K. Blacker, Blake R. Bell, and Bradley S. Powell, outlining salary, incentive-based compensation, and severance benefits. These agreements, effective in April and May 2025, include non-compete and non-solicitation clauses, reflecting the company’s strategic focus on retaining leadership talent and ensuring continuity in its operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPD) stock is a Sell with a $107.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expeditors International stock, see the EXPD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Expeditors International Appoints Dan Wall as New CEO
Neutral
May 14, 2025

Expeditors International is undergoing a leadership transition with Dan Wall taking over as CEO, continuing its strategic focus on growth and customer acquisition globally. The company is navigating a challenging trade environment with declining China-U.S. trade volumes and increasing operational costs, but remains optimistic about long-term trade flow and is investing in technology and cybersecurity to enhance its services.

The most recent analyst rating on (EXPD) stock is a Sell with a $106.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Expeditors International stock, see the EXPD Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Expeditors International Shareholders Approve Key Decisions
Positive
May 7, 2025

At the annual meeting on May 6, 2025, Expeditors International shareholders elected nine directors, approved executive compensation, and ratified KPMG LLP as the accounting firm for 2025. These decisions reflect shareholder support for the company’s leadership and financial oversight, potentially impacting its strategic direction and stakeholder confidence.

Dividends
Expeditors International Declares Semi-Annual Dividend
Positive
May 6, 2025

On May 6, 2025, Expeditors International announced a semi-annual cash dividend of $0.77 per share, declared by its Board of Directors on May 5, 2025. This dividend will be payable on June 16, 2025, to shareholders of record as of June 2, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to delivering value to its shareholders and may impact its financial positioning and stakeholder relations.

Executive/Board Changes
Expeditors International Finalizes CEO Employment Agreement
Neutral
May 2, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Expeditors International finalized an employment agreement with its CEO, Daniel R. Wall, effective April 1, 2025. The agreement outlines Mr. Wall’s compensation, including a base salary and potential incentives, and includes provisions for severance and non-compete clauses, indicating a strategic focus on leadership stability.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Expeditors International Appoints New President of Global Products
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

On April 21, 2025, Expeditors International announced the appointment of Robert A. Martinez as the new President of Global Products, effective June 1, 2025. Martinez, who has been with the company since 2003, has held various leadership roles, most recently serving as Senior Vice President of The Americas. This leadership change is expected to strengthen Expeditors’ global product strategy and enhance its competitive positioning in the logistics industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 27, 2025