Expeditors International (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $19.80B
• Dividend Yield: 1.01%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.60M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 24.0
• Beta (1Y): 0.57
• Revenue Growth: 12.54%
• EPS Growth: 19.59%
• Country: US
• Employees: 19,203
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics
• EPS (TTM): 1.64
• Shares Outstanding: 134,020,940
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,085,325
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,601,798
• PEG Ratio: 1.39
• Price to Book (P/B): 7.03
• Price to Sales (P/S): 1.47
• P/FCF Ratio: 22.87
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.81
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 1.43
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.86
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 13.52
• 1Y Price Target: $131.88
• Price Target Upside: -13.82% Downside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 9
• EPS Forecast (FY): 5.85
• Revenue Forecast (FY): $10.99B

• Rating: 80 Outperform
• Price Target: $170.00 ▲(11.10% Upside)

Expeditors International's strong financial performance and positive corporate events, particularly the AI-driven revenue growth and dividend declaration, are significant strengths. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, though the high P/E ratio suggests caution regarding valuation.

Positive Factors

AI Investments

Investments in AI enhance operational efficiency and customer value, positioning the company to better manage global trade complexities and drive long-term growth.

Balance Sheet Health

A strong balance sheet with low debt enhances financial stability, providing flexibility to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.

Cash Flow Generation

Strong cash flow generation supports ongoing investments and dividend payments, reinforcing the company's ability to sustain operations and shareholder returns.

Negative Factors

Revenue Decline

A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future profitability and market share.

Geopolitical Risks

Geopolitical risks and regulatory changes can disrupt supply chains and increase operational costs, posing long-term challenges to international logistics operations.

Revenue Concentration

Dependence on specific sectors or regions for revenue can increase vulnerability to market fluctuations, impacting overall business stability.

Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding; ocean freight and ocean services, including ocean freight consolidation, direct ocean forwarding, and order management; customs brokerage, intra-continental ground transportation and delivery, and warehousing and distribution services; and customs clearance, purchase order management, vendor consolidation, time-definite transportation services, temperature-controlled transit, cargo insurance, specialized cargo monitoring and tracking, and other supply chain solutions. It also provides optimization, trade compliance, consulting, cargo security, and solutions. In addition, it acts as a freight consolidator or as an agent for the airline, which carries the shipment. Further, the company provides ancillary services that include preparation of shipping and customs documentation, packing, crating, insurance services, negotiation of letters of credit, and the preparation of documentation to comply with local export laws. Its customers include retailing and wholesaling, electronics, technology, and industrial and manufacturing companies. Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.

How the Company Makes Money

Expeditors International generates revenue primarily through its logistics and transportation services. The company earns money by charging fees for freight forwarding services, which include the transportation and handling of cargo via air and ocean. Additionally, Expeditors provides customs brokerage services, which involve managing the complexities of importing and exporting goods across international borders. Key revenue streams also come from warehousing and distribution services, where the company charges clients for storage and order fulfillment. Significant partnerships with airlines, shipping lines, and other carriers enhance its service offerings and operational efficiencies, allowing the company to optimize costs and maintain competitive pricing. Furthermore, Expeditors benefits from a strong reputation and established relationships within the logistics industry, contributing to customer loyalty and repeat business.

Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Expeditors International demonstrates strong financial health with efficient operations and a solid balance sheet. Despite facing revenue growth challenges, the company maintains profitability and effective cash flow management, positioning it well for future stability and growth.

Income Statement

Expeditors International shows a solid performance with a consistent EBIT and EBITDA margin, indicating operational efficiency. However, the company faces challenges with declining revenue growth, particularly in the TTM period, which could impact future profitability.

Balance Sheet

The company maintains a healthy balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio, reflecting prudent financial management. Return on equity remains strong, though slightly declining, suggesting effective use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio indicates a stable financial structure.

Cash Flow

Expeditors International demonstrates robust cash flow management with positive free cash flow growth in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, fluctuations in free cash flow growth in previous years suggest potential volatility.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	11.17B	10.60B	9.30B	17.07B	16.52B	9.58B
Gross Profit	1.62B	1.35B	1.25B	2.17B	2.17B	1.16B
EBITDA	1.18B	1.10B	1.01B	1.88B	1.98B	1.01B
Net Income	845.50M	810.07M	752.88M	1.36B	1.42B	696.14M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	4.78B	4.75B	4.52B	5.59B	7.61B	4.93B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	1.19B	1.15B	1.51B	2.03B	1.73B	1.53B
Total Debt	560.36M	568.94M	527.73M	518.47M	467.66M	438.19M
Total Liabilities	2.50B	2.53B	2.13B	2.48B	4.11B	2.26B
Stockholders Equity	2.28B	2.22B	2.39B	3.11B	3.49B	2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	922.74M	682.89M	1.01B	2.04B	832.25M	607.47M
Operating Cash Flow	972.92M	723.36M	1.05B	2.13B	868.49M	655.01M
Investing Cash Flow	-49.07M	-40.52M	-39.43M	-87.71M	-36.65M	-46.03M
Financing Cash Flow	-1.02B	-1.03B	-1.54B	-1.68B	-613.55M	-331.54M

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 153.02
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 153.02 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 145.03, above the 50-day MA of 131.89, and above the 200-day MA of 119.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 5.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 72.68 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.77 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.

Expeditors International Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EXPD	80 Outperform	$19.80B	24.04	36.47%	1.01%	12.54%	19.59%
FDX	75 Outperform	$67.08B	16.62	14.98%	1.99%	1.14%	4.99%
UPS	72 Outperform	$82.27B	14.98	33.67%	6.53%	-1.25%	-2.25%
CHRW	72 Outperform	$18.02B	30.92	34.32%	1.57%	-7.08%	71.39%
JBHT	67 Neutral	$18.07B	32.84	15.13%	0.88%	-1.60%	4.87%
LSTR	67 Neutral	$5.11B	37.99	14.41%	2.56%	-0.74%	-32.79%
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%

Expeditors International Corporate Events

Expeditors International Boosts Q3 Revenue with AI Investments

In the third quarter of 2025, Expeditors International experienced growth in revenue and profitability driven by its technology portfolio, including AI infrastructure, which significantly impacted its airfreight and customs brokerage sectors. The company is investing in AI and technology solutions to enhance operational efficiency and customer value, while also addressing the complexities of global trade dynamics, such as the removal of the de minimis exemption and geopolitical tensions. Expeditors is expanding its workforce to manage increased shipment volumes and customs entries, and it continues to leverage its expertise and technology to adapt to changing market conditions.

Expeditors International Declares Semi-Annual Cash Dividend

On November 4, 2025, Expeditors International announced a semi-annual cash dividend of $0.77 per share, declared by its Board of Directors on November 3, 2025. The dividend is payable on December 15, 2025, to shareholders of record as of December 1, 2025, reflecting the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.