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Expeditors International (EXPD)
NYSE:EXPD

Expeditors International (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

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EXPD

Expeditors International

(NYSE:EXPD)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$152.00
â–²(4.25% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/24/26
The score is primarily supported by strong cash generation and a conservative balance sheet, which help buffer freight-cycle volatility. It is held back by the revenue downturn and softer profitability versus peak years, plus weak-to-neutral technical momentum. Valuation is somewhat demanding (P/E ~24.9) with only a modest dividend, partially offset by positive corporate actions (notably the $3B buyback) and strategic progress in customs/technology.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Expeditors generates persistently strong free cash flow that closely tracks reported earnings, reflecting high cash conversion in an asset-light model. Durable FCF supports capital returns, technology investment, and downside resilience through freight cycles, enabling steady long-term operational flexibility.
Negative Factors
Revenue Downtrend & Margin Compression
Top-line weakness and compressed margins reflect the business's exposure to freight volume cycles and pricing pressure. Persistent revenue declines reduce operating leverage and constrain the company’s ability to expand margins, making earnings outcomes more sensitive to macro trade conditions over months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free Cash Flow Strength
Expeditors generates persistently strong free cash flow that closely tracks reported earnings, reflecting high cash conversion in an asset-light model. Durable FCF supports capital returns, technology investment, and downside resilience through freight cycles, enabling steady long-term operational flexibility.
Read all positive factors

Expeditors International (EXPD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding;...
How the Company Makes Money
Expeditors makes money primarily by arranging and managing international transportation and trade-compliance services for customers, earning fees and margins on the services it provides rather than operating as a large asset owner of ships or airc...

Expeditors International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Expeditors International is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsExpeditors International is experiencing a rebound in revenue across most geographies after a period of decline. The United States and Europe are showing a steady recovery, while Latin America and South Asia are gaining momentum with significant growth in recent quarters. North Asia, after a sharp drop, is also recovering, albeit at a slower pace. The absence of earnings call details leaves the strategic drivers unclear, but the overall trend suggests a positive shift in global operations, potentially driven by improved logistics demand and economic recovery.
Data provided by:The Fly

Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall quality supported by conservative leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.24), high ROE (~35.6%), and robust cash generation (TTM OCF ~$1.01B; FCF ~$0.95B; FCF/net income ~0.95). Offsetting this, TTM revenue is materially down year-over-year and margins have compressed versus 2021–2023, indicating meaningful cycle sensitivity.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.07B10.60B9.30B17.07B16.52B
Gross Profit1.69B1.35B1.25B2.17B2.17B
EBITDA1.15B1.10B1.01B1.88B1.98B
Net Income813.76M810.07M752.88M1.36B1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.89B4.75B4.52B5.59B7.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.31B1.15B1.51B2.03B1.73B
Total Debt1.03B568.94M527.73M518.47M467.66M
Total Liabilities2.53B2.53B2.13B2.48B4.11B
Stockholders Equity2.36B2.22B2.39B3.11B3.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow953.40M682.89M1.01B2.04B832.25M
Operating Cash Flow1.01B723.36M1.05B2.13B868.49M
Investing Cash Flow-44.70M-40.52M-39.43M-87.71M-36.65M
Financing Cash Flow-802.48M-1.03B-1.54B-1.68B-613.55M

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price145.81
Price Trends
50DMA
149.84
Negative
100DMA
149.82
Negative
200DMA
134.16
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.34
Negative
RSI
51.62
Neutral
STOCH
56.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 145.81 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 143.38, below the 50-day MA of 149.84, and above the 200-day MA of 134.16, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.34 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.

Expeditors International Risk Analysis

Expeditors International disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expeditors International reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Expeditors International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$20.33B31.7316.33%0.89%-1.60%4.87%
68
Neutral
$86.29B22.2615.76%1.94%3.09%14.94%
66
Neutral
$19.47B24.8735.57%1.02%12.54%19.59%
66
Neutral
$83.36B11.7535.12%6.55%-1.25%-2.25%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
61
Neutral
$19.91B32.9332.52%1.51%-7.08%71.39%
58
Neutral
$5.56B44.0813.01%2.56%-0.74%-32.79%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXPD
Expeditors International
145.81
41.42
39.68%
CHRW
CH Robinson
167.84
80.33
91.80%
FDX
FedEx
361.63
160.86
80.12%
JBHT
JB Hunt
214.91
84.28
64.52%
LSTR
Landstar System
163.27
32.18
24.55%
UPS
United Parcel
98.18
8.73
9.76%

Expeditors International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expeditors Highlights Customs Growth, Technology Investments Amid Tariff Shifts
Positive
Mar 23, 2026
Expeditors International reported that its Customs Brokerage Other segment delivered strong double-digit year-over-year growth across road freight, warehousing, distribution, and order management in the fourth quarter of 2025, despite a moderatio...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Expeditors International Unveils New $3 Billion Share Buyback
Positive
Feb 24, 2026
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., a global logistics provider based in Bellevue, Washington, offers air and ocean freight consolidation and forwarding, customs brokerage, vendor consolidation, cargo insurance and a range of time‑...
Executive/Board Changes
Expeditors International Appoints Roberto Martinez President, Global Products
Neutral
Feb 19, 2026
On May 23, 2025, Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. entered into an employment agreement with Roberto A. Martinez to serve as President, Global Products, effective June 1, 2025. The agreement sets his annual base salary at $100,000, subj...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 24, 2026