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Expeditors International (EXPD)
NYSE:EXPD
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Expeditors International (EXPD) AI Stock Analysis

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EXPD

Expeditors International

(NYSE:EXPD)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$202.00
â–²(15.23% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/12/26
EXPD scores well primarily on financial strength (excellent free cash flow conversion and low leverage) and supportive technical momentum (trading above major moving averages with positive MACD). The main offsets are valuation (P/E ~26 with a sub-1% dividend yield) and the inherent cyclicality of freight pricing/volumes, despite recent positive operational and restructuring developments.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Generation
High free cash flow conversion indicates strong earnings quality and gives Expeditors resources to invest in technology, absorb industry cycles, and return capital without depending heavily on external financing.
Negative Factors
Cyclical Revenue and Cash Flow
Expeditors remains exposed to global trade volumes, inventory cycles, and freight demand. Past revenue and cash-flow swings show that even strong execution cannot fully prevent earnings volatility during prolonged industry downturns.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong Cash Generation
High free cash flow conversion indicates strong earnings quality and gives Expeditors resources to invest in technology, absorb industry cycles, and return capital without depending heavily on external financing.
Read all positive factors

Expeditors International Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Geography
Revenue by Geography
Breaks down revenue across different regions, revealing where Expeditors International is strongest and where it may face risk or growth potential due to local economic conditions or market share shifts.
Chart InsightsExpeditors International is experiencing a rebound in revenue across most geographies after a period of decline. The United States and Europe are showing a steady recovery, while Latin America and South Asia are gaining momentum with significant growth in recent quarters. North Asia, after a sharp drop, is also recovering, albeit at a slower pace. The absence of earnings call details leaves the strategic drivers unclear, but the overall trend suggests a positive shift in global operations, potentially driven by improved logistics demand and economic recovery.
Data provided by:The Fly

Expeditors International (EXPD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Expeditors International Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. functions as a prominent global logistics and supply chain management enterprise. With a vast operational footprint spanning the Americas, North and South Asia, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Indi...
How the Company Makes Money
Expeditors makes money primarily by arranging and managing the movement of customers’ freight through third-party transportation providers and charging customers for these services. Key revenue streams include: (1) Air freight forwarding: Expedito...

Expeditors International Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong overall fundamentals driven by excellent cash generation (TTM free cash flow up ~56% and ~95% of net income) and a conservatively financed balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.27). Profitability is solid for the model, though results remain cyclical with prior revenue/margin volatility and a step-down in gross margin versus earlier periods.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
Cash Flow
86
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue12.04B11.07B10.60B9.30B17.07B16.52B
Gross Profit2.88B1.69B1.35B1.25B2.17B2.17B
EBITDA1.26B1.15B1.16B1.09B1.92B1.98B
Net Income919.29M813.76M810.07M752.88M1.36B1.42B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.13B4.89B4.75B4.52B5.59B7.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.03B1.31B1.15B1.51B2.03B1.73B
Total Debt567.28M570.59M568.94M527.73M518.47M467.66M
Total Liabilities3.01B2.53B2.53B2.13B2.48B4.11B
Stockholders Equity2.12B2.36B2.22B2.39B3.11B3.49B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow923.86M953.40M682.89M1.01B2.04B832.25M
Operating Cash Flow972.54M1.01B723.36M1.05B2.13B868.49M
Investing Cash Flow-18.97M-44.70M-40.52M-39.43M-87.71M-36.65M
Financing Cash Flow-1.06B-802.48M-1.03B-1.54B-1.68B-613.55M

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price175.30
Price Trends
50DMA
172.65
Positive
100DMA
161.93
Positive
200DMA
155.26
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.24
Negative
RSI
64.06
Neutral
STOCH
71.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EXPD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 175.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 178.74, above the 50-day MA of 172.65, and above the 200-day MA of 155.26, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.24 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EXPD.

Expeditors International Risk Analysis

Expeditors International disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Expeditors International reported the most risks in the "Macro & Political" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Expeditors International Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$24.24B27.0540.68%0.90%6.77%12.05%
72
Outperform
$25.58B38.9918.75%0.62%5.28%28.24%
69
Neutral
$77.69B17.7615.11%1.50%7.73%10.07%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$6.28B47.2615.87%1.80%4.10%-19.02%
62
Neutral
$87.51B19.0329.07%5.71%-0.18%-19.99%
58
Neutral
$16.89B27.0936.01%1.35%-0.09%19.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EXPD
Expeditors International
186.40
67.62
56.93%
CHRW
CH Robinson
143.83
20.60
16.72%
FDX
FedEx
326.04
139.00
74.31%
JBHT
JB Hunt
274.47
125.55
84.31%
LSTR
Landstar System
182.42
49.87
37.62%
UPS
United Parcel
102.58
19.24
23.08%

Expeditors International Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expeditors International Boosted by Strong Q2 Airfreight Demand
Positive
Aug 11, 2026
In the second quarter of 2026, Expeditors International reported exceptionally strong airfreight volumes and pricing, driven by robust technology-sector demand, especially AI infrastructure and hyperscaler shipments, and its success in securing ca...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Expeditors Expands Customs Operations Amid Growing Regulatory Complexity
Positive
May 20, 2026
Expeditors reported that recent conflict in the Middle East has so far had a limited direct effect on its operations and customers, with the main impact seen in higher jet fuel prices, tighter air capacity, and longer routing, while ocean cargo ha...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2026