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Landstar System (LSTR)
NASDAQ:LSTR

Landstar System (LSTR) AI Stock Analysis

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LSTR

Landstar System

(NASDAQ:LSTR)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$158.00
▲(9.06% Upside)
Landstar System's overall stock score is driven by its strong balance sheet and cash flow metrics, despite challenges in revenue and profit margins. The stock's technical indicators suggest a bullish trend, but overbought conditions may limit short-term gains. Valuation concerns persist with a high P/E ratio, though the dividend yield offers some compensation. The earnings call and corporate events provide mixed signals, with positive developments in certain segments but overall revenue challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with minimal leverage enhances financial stability and provides flexibility for strategic investments and growth.
Heavy Haul Revenue Growth
Growth in the heavy haul segment indicates strong demand and operational efficiency, supporting long-term revenue potential.
Board Expansion
Expanding the board with experienced members can enhance governance and strategic decision-making, positively impacting long-term business direction.
Negative Factors
Declining Revenue
A decline in revenue suggests challenges in market conditions or competitive pressures, potentially impacting future growth and profitability.
Noncash Impairment Charges
Significant impairment charges can indicate strategic missteps or asset devaluation, affecting financial performance and future earnings.
Insurance Cost Increase
Rising insurance costs can erode profit margins and signal higher operational risks, impacting long-term financial health.

Landstar System (LSTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Landstar System Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionLandstar System, Inc. provides integrated transportation management solutions in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and internationally. The company operates through two segments: Transportation Logistics, and Insurance. The Transportation Logistics segment offers a range of transportation services, including truckload and less-than-truckload transportation, rail intermodal, air cargo, ocean cargo, expedited ground and air delivery of time-critical freight, heavy-haul/specialized, U.S.-Canada and U.S.-Mexico cross-border, intra-Mexico, intra-Canada, project cargo, and customs brokerage, as well as offers transportation services to other transportation companies, such as third party logistics, small package and less-than-truckload service providers. It provides truck services through dry and specialty vans of various sizes, unsided/platform trailers, temperature-controlled vans, and containers; rail intermodal services through contracts with domestic and Canadian railroads; and air and ocean services through contracts with domestic and international airlines and ocean lines. This segment serves the automotive parts and assemblies, consumer durables, building products, metals, chemicals, foodstuffs, heavy machinery, retail, electronics, and military equipment industries. The Insurance segment reinsures certain risks of the company's independent contractors. The company markets its services through independent commission sales agents and third party capacity providers. Landstar System, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida.
How the Company Makes MoneyLandstar makes money primarily through its brokerage services, where it matches shippers with independent truck drivers and carriers. The company generates revenue by charging shippers a fee for arranging transportation and pays carriers a commission for their services. Key revenue streams include truckload services, logistics services, and intermodal transport solutions. Additionally, Landstar benefits from its extensive network of independent agents, who operate as entrepreneurs under the Landstar brand, allowing the company to minimize capital expenditures while maximizing service offerings. Partnerships with various carriers and shippers enhance its operational capacity and market reach, contributing significantly to its earnings.

Landstar System Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue By Segment
Revenue By Segment
Chart Insights
Data provided by:The Fly

Landstar System Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook for Landstar. While there were notable achievements in heavy haul revenue growth and truck revenue per load improvements, challenges remain with overall revenue decline, non-truck transportation setbacks, and increased insurance costs. The company's strong cash position and shareholder returns were positive, but headwinds such as political and macroeconomic uncertainties, and flat BCO truck count continue to pose challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Heavy Haul Service Revenue Increase
Landstar's heavy haul service offering generated approximately $138 million in revenue during the 2025 second quarter, marking a 9% increase over the 2024 second quarter.
Truck Revenue Per Load Improvement
Truck revenue per load increased 2.6% in the 2025 second quarter compared to the 2024 second quarter, with a 3.2% increase in revenue per load on unsided platform equipment.
Strong Cash Position and Shareholder Returns
Landstar ended the quarter with $426 million in cash and short-term investments and returned $97 million in dividends and approximately $102 million in share repurchases during the 2025 first half.
Improved BCO Turnover Rate
The trailing 12-month truck turnover rate dropped from 34.5% as of fiscal year-end 2024 to 31.9% at the end of the 2025 second quarter.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Overall revenue was down 1% year-over-year for the 2025 second quarter, with a 1.5% decrease in the number of loads hauled via truck.
Challenges in Non-Truck Transportation
Non-truck transportation service revenue was 22% or $21 million below the 2024 second quarter, with significant decreases in ocean revenue and intermodal revenue per load.
Increased Insurance and Claims Costs
Insurance and claims costs were $30.4 million in the 2025 second quarter compared to $27.2 million in 2024, driven by increased severity of trucking accidents and cargo claims.
Flat BCO Truck Count
BCO truck count decreased approximately 6% year-over-year and was essentially flat sequentially, decreasing only 9 trucks in the second quarter from the first quarter.
Company Guidance
During the Landstar System, Inc. 2025 second quarter earnings call, several key metrics were highlighted. Truck revenue increased for the first time since the third quarter of 2022, with a year-over-year rise of 2.6% in truck revenue per load. The heavy haul segment saw a 9% revenue increase compared to the second quarter of 2024, driven by a 5% rise in revenue per load and a 4% increase in volume. Despite a 1% year-over-year decrease in overall revenue, the number of trucks provided by BCOs remained stable compared to the first quarter of 2025, marking the best sequential net BCO truck performance in 12 quarters. Additionally, Landstar's accident frequency rate was reported as 0.67 DOT reportable accidents per million miles, below the national average. The company also executed $103 million in capital buybacks and repurchased approximately 686,000 shares of common stock in the first half of 2025.

Landstar System Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Landstar System demonstrates strong profitability and a robust balance sheet with low leverage. However, the significant decline in revenue from $7.44 billion in 2022 to $4.80 billion in TTM is a concern. Cash flow generation remains solid, but the decline in free cash flow should be monitored.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Landstar System's income statement reveals strong profitability despite a recent decline in revenues. The gross profit margin for TTM is 12.9%, with a net profit margin of 3.7%, indicating effective cost management. However, revenue has declined from $7.44 billion in 2022 to $4.80 billion in TTM, marking a significant contraction. The EBIT margin stands at 4.8%, and the EBITDA margin at 5.8%, reflecting a resilient operational performance despite declining revenues. Overall, the company maintains healthy profitability, but the recent revenue decline is a concern.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
Landstar System's balance sheet is robust, with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, indicating prudent financial management and low leverage. The return on equity (ROE) is 19.2%, showcasing efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 54.2%, reflecting strong capitalization with a good balance of assets funded by equity. The balance sheet strength is evident in the company's ability to maintain solid shareholder value and manage liabilities effectively.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement demonstrates solid operational cash generation, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.26, indicating that the company generates ample cash relative to its earnings. However, free cash flow has decreased by 12.2% from the previous annual period, which could constrain future investments or debt repayments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.39, signifying efficient cash conversion. The overall cash flow position remains healthy, despite a decline in free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.79B4.83B5.31B7.44B6.54B4.14B
Gross Profit857.55M974.88M1.13B1.51B1.32B855.76M
EBITDA227.19M304.05M397.73M625.59M553.45M326.90M
Net Income137.26M195.95M264.39M430.91M381.52M192.11M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.66B1.81B1.80B1.93B2.05B1.65B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments434.42M566.64M540.70M393.54M251.30M290.73M
Total Debt125.12M163.34M132.68M299.75M303.52M175.52M
Total Liabilities773.49M840.87M817.92M1.04B1.18B961.96M
Stockholders Equity888.70M972.44M983.92M887.22M862.01M691.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow198.88M255.56M367.96M596.65M253.48M180.09M
Operating Cash Flow213.29M286.56M393.65M622.66M276.74M210.72M
Investing Cash Flow1.04M-10.50M-6.48M-24.77M-73.34M-28.42M
Financing Cash Flow-306.77M-237.34M-247.97M-475.68M-232.95M-252.03M

Landstar System Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price144.87
Price Trends
50DMA
133.34
Positive
100DMA
130.51
Positive
200DMA
134.93
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.13
Positive
RSI
63.12
Neutral
STOCH
23.84
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LSTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 144.87 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 141.55, above the 50-day MA of 133.34, and above the 200-day MA of 134.93, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 63.12 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.84 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LSTR.

Landstar System Risk Analysis

Landstar System disclosed 15 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Landstar System reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Landstar System Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$19.44B33.3634.32%1.51%-7.08%71.39%
70
Outperform
$16.44B50.3519.26%-0.30%-11.02%
68
Neutral
$2.69B25.286.31%1.14%-5.79%-1.57%
68
Neutral
$6.18B70.622.94%16.94%-14.01%
67
Neutral
$4.98B37.0014.41%2.56%-0.74%-32.79%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
54
Neutral
$791.83M-6.59-63.14%14.54%87.85%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LSTR
Landstar System
144.87
-26.02
-15.23%
CHRW
CH Robinson
164.59
62.51
61.24%
XPO
XPO
140.09
6.92
5.20%
FWRD
Forward Air
25.34
-5.34
-17.41%
HUBG
Hub Group
43.93
0.18
0.41%
GXO
GXO Logistics
53.95
11.15
26.05%

Landstar System Corporate Events

Dividends
Landstar System Declares Special Cash Dividend
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Landstar System, Inc.’s Board of Directors declared a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share for its common stockholders. This dividend is set to be paid on January 21, 2026, to those recorded as stockholders by January 6, 2026, reflecting the company’s financial strategy and potential positive impact on shareholder value.

Executive/Board Changes
Landstar System Expands Board with New Appointments
Neutral
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, Landstar System, Inc. announced the election of Barr Blanton and Melanie Housey Hart to its Board of Directors, effective October 31, 2025. The appointments expand the Board to ten members and are set to expire at the company’s 2026 annual meeting of stockholders. Both appointees meet the independence and financial literacy requirements under relevant securities regulations and have been appointed to several key committees, including the Audit and Compensation Committees. They will receive compensation in the form of restricted stock awards and annual fees, with pro-rated payments for the fourth quarter of 2025.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Landstar System Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Neutral
Oct 28, 2025

Landstar System reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025, showing a slight decrease in total revenue to $1,205 million compared to the previous year. The company faced a significant drop in earnings per share due to non-cash impairment charges related to strategic decisions, including the sale of its Mexican subsidiary and changes in its transportation management systems. Despite these challenges, Landstar experienced growth in its unsided/platform equipment services and an increase in BCO truck count, indicating potential for future growth. The company also continued its stock repurchase program and declared a quarterly dividend, reflecting its commitment to returning capital to shareholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025