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Knight Transportation (KNX)
NYSE:KNX
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Knight Transportation (KNX) AI Stock Analysis

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KNX

Knight Transportation

(NYSE:KNX)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
â–˛(3.63% Upside)
Knight Transportation's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong cash flow performance and manageable leverage. However, high valuation metrics and mixed earnings call sentiment, particularly challenges in the Truckload segment, weigh on the score. Technical indicators suggest a positive short-term trend, but valuation concerns and market uncertainties limit upside potential.
Positive Factors
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Robust free cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, allowing for reinvestment in operations, debt reduction, or shareholder returns, supporting long-term business stability.
LTL Segment Revenue Growth
Strong growth in the LTL segment indicates successful market penetration and service demand, contributing to diversified revenue streams and long-term growth potential.
Cost Structure Improvements
Reducing fixed costs improves operational efficiency and margin sustainability, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning in the long term.
Negative Factors
Truckload Segment Challenges
Declining revenue in the Truckload segment suggests market or operational challenges, potentially impacting overall revenue growth and profitability.
Unusual Charges Impacting Earnings
Significant unusual charges can distort earnings and indicate underlying operational issues, affecting investor confidence and financial performance.
Softness in LTL Demand
Softening demand in the LTL segment could pressure margins and impact revenue growth, posing challenges to maintaining profitability in the near term.

Knight Transportation (KNX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Knight Transportation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionKnight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides truckload transportation services in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company operates through four segments: Trucking, Logistics, Less-than-truckload (LTL), and Intermodal. Its trucking services include irregular route, dedicated, refrigerated, flatbed, expedited, dry van, drayage, and cross-border transportation of various products, goods, and materials. The company also provides logistics and intermodal services, such as brokerage, intermodal, and certain logistics; freight management; and non-trucking services. In addition, it offers various support services, including repair and maintenance shop services, warranty, insurance, and equipment leasing; and trailer parts manufacturing and warehousing services, as well as engages in the driving academy activities. In addition, it offers regional direct services to customers national transportation needs by utilizing carriers for coverage areas outside networks. The company operates a total of 18,019 tractors, which comprises 16,166 company tractors and 1,853 independent contractor tractors, as well as 67,606 trailers; 2,735 tractors and 7,413 trailers; and 597 tractors and 10,847 intermodal containers. It serves retail, food and beverage, consumer products, paper products, transportation and logistics, housing and building, automotive, and manufacturing industries. Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Phoenix, Arizona.
How the Company Makes MoneyKnight Transportation generates revenue primarily through its truckload transportation services. The company operates a fleet of trucks and trailers that transport goods for customers across various industries, charging fees based on mileage, weight, and type of cargo. Key revenue streams include dry van services, which make up a significant portion of their business, as well as refrigerated transport services for temperature-sensitive goods. Additionally, Knight offers logistics services, managing the supply chain needs of customers which adds to its revenue. Strategic partnerships with shippers and a focus on customer service enhance their earnings potential. The company also benefits from operational efficiencies and a strong focus on maintaining a modern, well-maintained fleet, which reduces costs and improves profitability.

Knight Transportation Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 22, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with notable achievements in the LTL and Intermodal segments, but also significant challenges due to unusual charges and softness in demand, particularly in the Truckload segment.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue Growth in LTL Segment
The LTL segment grew revenue excluding fuel surcharge by 21.5% year-over-year, with shipments per day up 14.2%.
Intermodal Segment Improvement
The Intermodal segment improved its adjusted operating ratio by 160 basis points year-over-year to 99.8%, driven by a 3.5% increase in revenue per load.
Cost Structure Improvements
The company made significant progress in reducing fixed costs, positively impacting operating income and positioning for future margin growth.
LTL Branding Consolidation
The company announced the adoption of the AAA Cooper brand across its entire LTL business, which is expected to enhance brand recognition and operational efficiency.
Negative Updates
Unusual Charges Impacting Earnings
The GAAP results included $58 million of significant unusual items, such as trade name impairments and higher insurance and claims costs, negatively affecting adjusted EPS by $0.10.
Truckload Segment Challenges
The Truckload segment saw a decline in revenue of 2.1% year-over-year due to a 2.3% decrease in loaded miles, with adjusted operating income declining by 15%.
Logistics Volume Decline
Logistics volumes were down year-over-year with a 6.2% decline in load count, although revenue per load increased by 3.6%.
Softness in LTL Demand
LTL demand appeared softer than normal early in the fourth quarter, which could pressure margins despite strong service levels and customer base growth.
Company Guidance
During the Knight-Swift Transportation Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance for the fourth quarter, projecting an adjusted EPS range of $0.34 to $0.40. Key assumptions include modest sequential improvement in revenue per mile and a slight seasonal decline in utilization for the Truckload segment. The company anticipates continued year-over-year revenue growth for the LTL segment, with adjusted operating margins expected to remain similar year-over-year. Logistics segment earnings are projected to climb sequentially, while Intermodal's contribution is expected to remain stable. The company also forecasts full-year net cash CapEx between $475 million to $525 million and an effective tax rate of 23% to 24% for Q4.

Knight Transportation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Knight Transportation shows stable financial performance with consistent revenue and profitability. The balance sheet is strong with low leverage, and cash flow improvements highlight effective cash management. However, declining total assets and modest returns on equity are concerns.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Knight Transportation's income statement shows a stable financial performance with a Gross Profit Margin of 19.03% and a Net Profit Margin of 2.22% in the TTM. The company has experienced slight revenue growth of 0.23% from the previous annual period. Despite a decrease in EBIT and EBITDA margins, the overall profitability remains moderate. The trucking industry faces challenges, but the firm maintains a steady revenue trajectory.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a solid Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.18 and a healthy Equity Ratio of 56.88%. The Return on Equity stands at 2.31%, indicating modest returns for shareholders. The company's financial stability is reinforced by its relatively low leverage compared to industry standards, but the declining total assets trend may be a concern.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
Knight Transportation's cash flow statement presents a positive Free Cash Flow growth rate of 1060.01% in the TTM and an Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 4.94. The significant improvement in free cash flow suggests better cash management, though the firm's reliance on capital expenditures requires careful monitoring to sustain long-term liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue7.48B7.41B7.14B7.43B6.00B4.67B
Gross Profit1.23B1.80B1.96B2.41B1.97B1.46B
EBITDA1.06B1.03B1.01B1.66B1.47B1.07B
Net Income142.24M117.63M217.15M771.33M743.39M410.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.62B13.07B13.26B11.14B10.82B8.62B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments294.35M365.94M466.35M389.74M354.11M205.03M
Total Debt2.76B2.82B2.67B1.67B1.96B1.03B
Total Liabilities5.50B5.96B6.16B4.18B4.27B2.75B
Stockholders Equity7.11B7.11B7.09B6.95B6.53B5.87B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow352.45M-20.09M90.06M635.29M656.06M398.58M
Operating Cash Flow817.75M799.06M1.16B1.44B1.19B919.64M
Investing Cash Flow-564.61M-759.12M-1.23B-646.18M-1.82B-480.71M
Financing Cash Flow-274.04M-139.40M150.69M-754.35M779.33M-443.88M

Knight Transportation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price46.32
Price Trends
50DMA
43.09
Positive
100DMA
43.56
Positive
200DMA
44.63
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.50
Positive
RSI
57.65
Neutral
STOCH
59.44
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For KNX, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 46.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.12, above the 50-day MA of 43.09, and above the 200-day MA of 44.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.50 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.44 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for KNX.

Knight Transportation Risk Analysis

Knight Transportation disclosed 38 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Knight Transportation reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Knight Transportation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$7.52B26.6711.92%―1.96%-24.55%
64
Neutral
$7.52B52.902.01%1.51%>-0.01%279.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$1.51B15.907.40%0.65%-5.34%-48.16%
57
Neutral
$1.57B64.631.78%2.14%-3.42%-43.86%
57
Neutral
$3.99B35.083.81%1.68%5.46%2.31%
54
Neutral
$806.24M41.592.53%2.43%-9.74%-42.57%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
KNX
Knight Transportation
46.32
-11.70
-20.17%
MRTN
Marten Transport
9.89
-8.05
-44.87%
SAIA
Saia
282.31
-275.79
-49.42%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
26.20
-14.82
-36.13%
ARCB
ArcBest
66.99
-54.19
-44.72%
SNDR
Schneider National
22.75
-8.61
-27.46%

Knight Transportation Corporate Events

Knight Transportation’s Mixed Q3 Earnings Call Highlights
Oct 24, 2025

The recent earnings call of Knight Transportation painted a mixed picture, reflecting both achievements and challenges. While the company celebrated notable successes in its Less-Than-Truckload (LTL) and Intermodal segments, it also faced significant hurdles due to unusual charges and a noticeable softness in demand, particularly within the Truckload segment.

Knight-Swift Reports Q3 2025 Earnings and Revenue Growth
Oct 23, 2025

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. is a leading freight transportation company in North America, providing a diverse range of services including full truckload, less-than-truckload (LTL), intermodal, and logistics solutions. The company operates one of the largest truckload fleets in the region, leveraging a comprehensive network to serve its clients across the United States and Mexico.

Dividends
Knight Transportation Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Aug 7, 2025

On August 6, 2025, Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc.’s board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.18 per share, payable to stockholders of record as of September 5, 2025, with payment expected on September 22, 2025. This announcement reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (KNX) stock is a Buy with a $62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Knight Transportation stock, see the KNX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 01, 2025