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Schneider National Inc (SNDR)
NYSE:SNDR
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Schneider National (SNDR) AI Stock Analysis

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SNDR

Schneider National

(NYSE:SNDR)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$29.00
▲(11.41%Upside)
Schneider National's stock reflects a stable but challenging financial position with positive earnings growth offset by valuation concerns and technical overbought signals. Strong operational improvements and cost reductions support a positive outlook, but economic uncertainties and competitive pressures remain significant risks.
Positive Factors
Cost Management
Schneider has established targets of over $40 million in cost reductions through AI-based assistant technologies and digital employee models, and is on-track to meet and potentially exceed its target.
Earnings
SNDR’s 1Q EPS of $.16 beat the recently lowered $.13 EPS estimate on better operating profit in all three segments, offsetting lower revenue than expected.
Partnerships
The new partnership with UNP and CPKC is expected to eventually lead to better intermodal pricing for SNDR.
Negative Factors
Demand and Pricing
Demand remains sub-seasonal, and overall transport pricing, while positive, has been tepid.
Guidance and Churn
Lowered guidance was within consensus estimate ranges, but expectations were lowered due to increased churn and the removal of tractors to increase asset efficiency.
Volume and Capacity
The Truckload Network segment is expected to have more moderate pricing improvements as well as lower volumes and capacity growth than originally anticipated.

Schneider National (SNDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Schneider National Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSchneider National, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides surface transportation and logistics solutions in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company operates through three segments: Truckload, Intermodal, and Logistics. The Truckload segment offers standard long-haul and regional shipping services primarily through dry van, bulk, temperature-controlled, and flat-bed equipment, as well as cross dock and customized solutions for time-sensitive loads. The Intermodal segment provides door-to-door container on flat car services, including rail and dray transportation through company-owned containers, chassis, and trucks. The Logistics segment offers freight brokerage, supply chain, and import/export services; value-added services to manage and move its customers' freight; and transloading and warehousing services. It also leases equipment, such as trucks to owner-operators; and provides insurance for the company drivers and owner-operators. Schneider National, Inc. was founded in 1935 and is headquartered in Green Bay, Wisconsin.
How the Company Makes MoneySchneider National generates revenue primarily through its three main segments: Truckload, Intermodal, and Logistics. The Truckload segment provides standard and specialized truckload shipping services, earning income from transporting goods over land through its fleet of company-owned and owner-operated trucks. The Intermodal segment combines truck and rail transportation, generating revenue by providing cost-effective and environmentally friendly transport solutions. The Logistics segment offers comprehensive supply chain management services, including freight brokerage, supply chain consulting, and dedicated services, earning revenue through service fees and commissions. Key revenue streams include freight charges, brokerage fees, and logistics consulting fees. Schneider National's earnings are supported by its strong customer relationships, investments in technology, and strategic partnerships with railroads and other transportation providers.

Schneider National Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Truckload Revenue Per Truck Per Week
Truckload Revenue Per Truck Per Week
Measures the revenue generated by each truck weekly, reflecting operational efficiency and demand in the truckload segment.
Chart InsightsSchneider National's Truckload Revenue per Truck per Week has shown a gradual decline since its peak in late 2021, reflecting pricing and volume challenges. However, the recent earnings call highlights a 14% revenue increase in the Truckload segment, driven by strategic acquisitions like Cowan Systems. Despite economic uncertainties and owner-operator exits, Schneider's focus on cost reductions and digital efficiencies suggests potential for improved profitability and resilience in the Truckload segment moving forward.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Schneider National Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 21.58%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Schneider's earnings call highlighted significant improvements in earnings across Truckload, Intermodal, and Logistics segments, coupled with strong revenue growth and cost reduction initiatives. However, the company also faces volume and pricing challenges, economic uncertainty, and difficulties in expanding its Truckload network due to owner-operator exits. Despite these challenges, the improvements in earnings and revenue indicate a positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Truckload Earnings Improvement
Truckload earnings improved nearly 70% year-over-year and 27% sequentially from the fourth quarter of 2024.
Intermodal Segment Performance
Intermodal nearly doubled earnings compared to a year ago on 4% order growth, driven by increasing shipping activity in the west of Mexico.
Logistics Earnings Growth
Logistics improved earnings 50% year-over-year, as digital technology allowed adaptability to market dynamics.
Revenue Growth
Enterprise revenues excluding fuel surcharge were $1.26 billion, up 8% compared to a year ago.
Cost Reduction Initiatives
Targets of more than $40 million of additional cost reductions across the enterprise through AI-based digital assistant technologies.
Negative Updates
Volume and Pricing Challenges
Truck network pricing seeing low to mid-single-digit percentage increases but facing volume challenges due to competitive pressures. Intermodal rates remained largely flat year-over-year.
Dedicated Truck Growth Moderation
Net truck growth in dedicated projected to be lower than expected due to churn and asset efficiency actions.
Economic Uncertainty Impact
Forward sentiment for customer freight demand and consumer health less clear, particularly as tariff-driven uncertainty builds.
Owner-Operator Exit from Industry
Shift to a more variable cost model in Truckload network taking longer due to operating and financial conditions prompting more owner-operators to exit the industry.
Company Guidance
During the Schneider first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key metrics and guidance for the fiscal year. Schneider is projecting 2025 earnings per share to be in the range of $0.75 to $1, with net capital expenditures revised down to $325 million to $375 million from an earlier estimate of $400 million to $450 million. The first quarter saw enterprise revenues, excluding fuel surcharge, reach $1.26 billion, up 8% year-over-year, with adjusted income from operations at $44 million, representing a 47% increase. The Truckload segment experienced a 14% revenue increase, primarily due to the acquisition of Cowan Systems, and an operating income rise of nearly 70% year-over-year. Intermodal revenues grew 5% with a 97% increase in operating income, while Logistics revenues increased 2%, with operating income up by 50%. The company is also targeting cost reductions exceeding $40 million enterprise-wide, focusing on digital and AI-driven efficiencies to enhance productivity and financial performance.

Schneider National Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Schneider National shows stable financial health with low leverage and strong equity but faces challenges in profitability and revenue decline. Efficient cash generation is offset by free cash flow volatility due to capital expenditures.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Schneider National's income statement shows mixed performance. The gross profit margin for the TTM is approximately 15.5%, and the net profit margin is around 2.32%. There has been slight revenue growth in the TTM compared to the previous year, but revenue has been decreasing over the past several years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are modest at 3.32% and 11.29%, respectively. The company faces challenges in improving its profitability margins.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet is relatively stable, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.11, indicating low leverage. Return on equity (ROE) is modest at 2.5%, reflecting limited profitability. The equity ratio is strong at nearly 100%, showing a solid capital structure with ample equity backing total assets. The company maintains a conservative financial position with limited financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 5.46, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to profits. However, free cash flow has shown volatility, with a significant growth rate of 89.3% in the TTM compared to the previous year. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 2.23, indicating healthy cash conversion, but the cash reserves have been utilized for capital expenditures, impacting free cash flow consistency.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue5.29B5.50B6.60B5.61B4.55B
Gross Profit441.10M559.40M920.50M761.50M480.60M
EBITDA582.50M709.80M963.60M850.70M587.00M
Net Income117.00M238.50M457.80M405.40M211.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.93B4.56B4.32B3.94B3.52B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments165.50M159.60M385.70M244.80M395.50M
Total Debt526.80M302.10M215.10M270.30M306.80M
Total Liabilities1.95B1.60B1.48B1.51B1.46B
Stockholders Equity2.99B2.96B2.84B2.42B2.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow146.80M-127.60M162.80M25.50M199.20M
Operating Cash Flow686.10M680.00M856.40M566.10M618.20M
Investing Cash Flow-791.50M-907.60M-598.80M-626.40M-318.70M
Financing Cash Flow120.60M-55.70M-116.70M-90.40M-455.60M

Schneider National Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.03
Price Trends
50DMA
24.55
Positive
100DMA
23.75
Positive
200DMA
26.43
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.38
Positive
RSI
59.37
Neutral
STOCH
63.16
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SNDR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.03 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.56, above the 50-day MA of 24.55, and below the 200-day MA of 26.43, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.38 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 59.37 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.16 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SNDR.

Schneider National Risk Analysis

Schneider National disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Schneider National reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Schneider National Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$1.93B11.1214.25%0.56%-5.69%51.78%
68
Neutral
$7.38B44.912.33%1.52%-2.54%144.49%
66
Neutral
$4.55B36.554.20%1.46%-0.30%-20.76%
61
Neutral
$1.78B100.531.21%1.91%-7.66%-78.26%
58
Neutral
$1.06B50.622.72%1.84%-11.77%-52.06%
58
Neutral
HK$14.94B4.73-2.78%5.01%3.80%-54.55%
53
Neutral
$2.79B-27.75%32.38%-2221.75%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SNDR
Schneider National
26.03
0.15
0.58%
KNX
Knight Transportation
44.84
-6.69
-12.98%
MRTN
Marten Transport
13.00
-5.14
-28.34%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
29.33
-9.28
-24.04%
ARCB
ArcBest
86.21
-34.45
-28.55%
RXO
RXO, Inc.
17.42
-13.76
-44.13%

Schneider National Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Schneider National Expands with Cowan Systems Acquisition
Positive
Nov 25, 2024

Schneider National, Inc. is set to enhance its market presence with the acquisition of Cowan Systems, LLC for approximately $390 million, alongside additional real estate assets for $31 million. This strategic move will expand Schneider’s dedicated truckload fleet, integrating Cowan Systems’ 1,800 trucks and 7,500 trailers, and is expected to boost earnings per share within the first year. The acquisition, funded by a new $400 million credit facility and existing cash, aligns with Schneider’s customer-centric vision and promises to enhance value for stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025