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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB)
NASDAQ:ARCB
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ArcBest (ARCB) AI Stock Analysis

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ARCB

ArcBest

(NASDAQ:ARCB)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$69.00
▲(6.10% Upside)
ArcBest's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position with strong cash flow generation, but challenges in revenue and profitability weigh on the score. Technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, while valuation remains moderate. Earnings call insights suggest operational strengths but also highlight ongoing market pressures.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Strong cash generation enhances financial flexibility, enabling ArcBest to invest in growth opportunities and weather economic downturns.
Efficiency and Innovation
Ongoing efficiency and innovation initiatives reduce costs and improve productivity, strengthening ArcBest's competitive position.
Asset-Light Segment Improvement
Improvements in the Asset-Light segment indicate better operational efficiency and cost management, contributing to overall profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue suggests potential demand issues or increased competition, which could pressure future growth and profitability.
Profit Margin Pressure
Reduced profit margins indicate challenges in cost management and pricing power, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Service Challenges
Service challenges can harm customer satisfaction and retention, potentially affecting ArcBest's market reputation and future business.

ArcBest (ARCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ArcBest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcBest Corporation (ARCB) is a leading logistics company that provides integrated supply chain services, including transportation, logistics, and warehousing solutions. The company operates through several segments, including Asset-Based, Asset-Light, and Logistics, offering a comprehensive suite of services that cater to various industries. ArcBest is known for its innovative technology solutions and customer-focused approach, enabling efficient freight movement and supply chain management.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcBest generates revenue primarily through its diverse service offerings in logistics and transportation. The Asset-Based segment earns money from providing less-than-truckload (LTL) shipping services, where freight is consolidated from multiple customers to optimize transportation costs. The Asset-Light segment, which focuses on third-party logistics, generates revenue by offering brokerage and freight management services, connecting shippers with carriers. Additionally, the Logistics segment contributes to revenue through customized supply chain solutions and value-added services, such as warehousing and inventory management. Strategic partnerships with carriers and technology providers enhance ArcBest's operational efficiency and service capabilities, further driving its earnings.

ArcBest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong performance in Managed Solutions and efficiency initiatives, while facing challenges in revenue decline and service expectations. The outlook for the fourth quarter indicates continued pressure on margins and profitability.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Managed Solutions Achievements
Shipments per day grew by double digits year-over-year in the third quarter, setting a quarterly record for both revenue and volumes. Truckload revenue per shipment increased by nearly 9% with improvements in gross margins.
Efficiency and Innovation
Efficiency and innovation efforts delivered $20 million in year-to-date savings. Digital and AI initiatives like the truckload carrier portal have improved productivity and reduced costs.
Strong Asset-Based LTL Performance
The Asset-Based LTL segment averaged 21,000 shipments per day, a 4% increase year-over-year. Pricing renewals saw a 4.5% average increase.
Asset-Light Segment Improvement
Asset-Light segment delivered $1.6 million of non-GAAP operating income, an improvement of nearly $6 million over last year. SG&A cost per shipment decreased over 13%, reaching the best level in Asset-Light history.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue Decline
Consolidated revenue was $1 billion, down slightly year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share were $1.46, down from $1.64 in the third quarter of 2024.
Asset-Based Segment Challenges
The Asset-Based segment saw a $10 million decrease in non-GAAP operating income. ABS non-GAAP operating ratio was 92.5%, an increase of 150 basis points over the third quarter of 2024.
Fourth Quarter Outlook
For the fourth quarter, operating ratio is expected to increase by approximately 400 basis points sequentially, reflecting the broader freight market softness. Asset-Light segment anticipates an operating loss of $1 million to $3 million.
Service Challenges
Service expectations were not met due to higher-than-expected volumes, conservative hiring, and increased reliance on Cartage, impacting on-time pickups and deliveries.
Company Guidance
During the ArcBest Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, several key metrics and guidance were discussed. ArcBest reported a 4% year-over-year increase in Asset-Based LTL shipments per day, averaging 21,000 shipments. Despite this growth, service challenges affected on-time pickups and deliveries, reflected in the Mastio survey results. The company achieved a 4.5% average increase on deferred contract pricing renewals. In the Managed Solutions segment, shipments per day grew by double digits year-over-year, setting records for both revenue and volume. Truckload pricing discipline resulted in a nearly 9% increase in revenue per shipment. Year-to-date savings of $20 million were realized through continuous improvement efforts. ArcBest's long-term targets for 2028 include a non-GAAP operating ratio of 87% to 90% for Asset-Based operations and non-GAAP EPS of $12 to $15. For the fourth quarter, ArcBest anticipates an operating ratio increase of approximately 400 basis points sequentially due to market softness. Capital expenditure guidance for 2025 was updated to $200 million. The company returned over $66 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in the first nine months of the year.

ArcBest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ArcBest demonstrates a stable financial foundation with strengths in operational efficiency and a balanced capital structure. However, the declining revenue growth and fluctuating cash flow metrics present challenges that need addressing to ensure sustained financial health. The company should focus on reversing the revenue decline and stabilizing cash flow generation to enhance its overall financial performance.
Income Statement
ArcBest's income statement shows a mixed performance. The company has experienced a decline in revenue growth, with a negative growth rate in recent periods, indicating potential challenges in maintaining sales momentum. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained relatively stable, suggesting operational efficiency. The gross profit margin has decreased over time, which could impact profitability if not addressed. Overall, while profitability metrics are stable, the declining revenue trend is a concern.
Balance Sheet
ArcBest's balance sheet reflects a solid financial position with a manageable debt-to-equity ratio, indicating prudent leverage. The return on equity has decreased from previous highs but remains healthy, showcasing the company's ability to generate returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is stable, suggesting a balanced capital structure. While the financial stability is commendable, the slight decline in ROE warrants attention.
Cash Flow
The cash flow statement reveals a positive trajectory in free cash flow growth, indicating improved cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting efficient cash conversion from earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio has fluctuated, highlighting potential volatility in cash flow management. Overall, the cash flow position is strong, but consistency in free cash flow generation could be improved.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.04B4.18B4.43B5.03B3.77B2.94B
Gross Profit1.27B350.00M378.43M573.52M406.33M228.13M
EBITDA297.61M376.78M341.74M536.07M406.22M222.58M
Net Income97.25M173.96M195.43M298.21M213.52M71.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.50B2.43B2.49B2.49B2.11B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments132.63M157.20M330.07M325.93M124.96M369.36M
Total Debt325.06M413.48M437.73M438.68M337.11M403.55M
Total Liabilities1.18B1.12B1.24B1.34B1.18B950.41M
Stockholders Equity1.32B1.31B1.24B1.15B929.07M828.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow85.75M45.85M90.17M305.31M245.04M148.50M
Operating Cash Flow241.09M285.85M322.17M470.82M323.51M205.99M
Investing Cash Flow-95.29M-187.28M-21.70M-261.08M-303.20M7.46M
Financing Cash Flow-175.66M-233.35M-196.61M-127.98M-247.65M-111.41M

ArcBest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price65.03
Price Trends
50DMA
72.07
Negative
100DMA
74.19
Negative
200DMA
73.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.70
Positive
RSI
35.02
Neutral
STOCH
27.83
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARCB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 65.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 72.66, below the 50-day MA of 72.07, and below the 200-day MA of 73.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 27.83 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARCB.

ArcBest Risk Analysis

ArcBest disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ArcBest reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ArcBest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
62
Neutral
$1.62B16.957.40%0.65%-5.34%-48.16%
59
Neutral
$505.65M17.026.84%1.37%1.62%-22.52%
59
Neutral
$1.57B64.631.78%2.10%-3.42%
57
Neutral
$425.49M6.989.67%2.74%-5.55%-52.21%
54
Neutral
$817.65M42.182.53%2.45%-9.74%-42.57%
48
Neutral
$589.08M-4.35%1.05%-19.56%-54.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARCB
ArcBest
65.03
-50.71
-43.81%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
19.41
-9.16
-32.05%
HTLD
Heartland Express
7.61
-4.28
-36.00%
MRTN
Marten Transport
9.80
-7.92
-44.70%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
25.59
-14.31
-35.86%
ULH
Universal Logistics
15.32
-35.75
-70.00%

ArcBest Corporate Events

ArcBest Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiment Amid Market Challenges
Nov 7, 2025

The recent earnings call of ArcBest highlighted a mixed sentiment, showcasing strong performance in Managed Solutions and efficiency initiatives, while grappling with challenges such as revenue decline and unmet service expectations. The outlook for the fourth quarter suggests continued pressure on margins and profitability, reflecting broader market conditions.

ArcBest Reports Mixed Q3 2025 Financial Results
Nov 6, 2025

ArcBest Corporation, a prominent player in the supply chain logistics sector, offers integrated solutions for transportation and logistics needs, utilizing its extensive network and technological innovations to support global supply chains.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
ArcBest Expands Board with New Appointment
Neutral
Oct 31, 2025

On October 29, 2025, ArcBest Corporation announced the expansion of its Board of Directors by appointing Chris T. Sultemeier, who brings over 30 years of experience in logistics and transportation, to enhance the board’s capabilities. This move aligns with ArcBest’s strategy to strengthen its leadership as it continues to pursue long-term sustainable value for shareholders. Concurrently, Dr. Craig E. Philip announced his retirement from the board after 14 years of service, effective January 2026, and Eduardo F. Conrado was elected as the Lead Independent Director, succeeding Steven L. Spinner. These changes reflect ArcBest’s ongoing evaluation of board composition and its focus on maintaining a diverse and skilled leadership team.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Dividends
ArcBest Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend Approval
Positive
Oct 31, 2025

On October 31, 2025, ArcBest announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share, payable to shareholders on November 28, 2025. This decision reflects the company’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively impact its market positioning by reinforcing investor confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
ArcBest Increases Share Repurchase Authorization to $125M
Positive
Sep 15, 2025

On September 15, 2025, ArcBest announced that its Board of Directors approved an increase in the company’s share repurchase authorization to $125 million. This decision reflects the board’s confidence in ArcBest’s strategy and long-term outlook. The company plans to repurchase shares through various methods, depending on market conditions, while maintaining a balanced capital allocation approach. This move is expected to impact ArcBest’s operations by potentially enhancing shareholder value and reinforcing its industry positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $79.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ArcBest Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results Amid Challenges
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

ArcBest reported its third quarter 2025 financial results, highlighting a 5% year-over-year increase in daily shipments in August, despite a 3% decline in weight per shipment. The company expects to generate approximately $25 million in net proceeds from real estate sales, contributing to an estimated pre-tax gain of $16 million. However, macroeconomic pressures, including softness in manufacturing and housing, have led to lower-than-anticipated weight per shipment, affecting the company’s operating ratio. Despite these challenges, ArcBest has successfully added new core LTL business, with service levels normalizing after temporary impacts from volume growth. The company is implementing pricing adjustments to enhance profitability, while the asset-light segment saw a 6% decline in daily revenue in August due to soft freight market conditions.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $82.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025