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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB)
NASDAQ:ARCB
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ArcBest (ARCB) AI Stock Analysis

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ARCB

ArcBest

(NASDAQ:ARCB)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$81.00
▲(10.19% Upside)
ArcBest's overall stock score reflects a stable financial position and strategic initiatives to improve profitability and efficiency. However, technical indicators suggest potential short-term weakness, and the challenging freight environment poses risks. Positive corporate events and a low P/E ratio offer some upside potential.
Positive Factors
Leadership
Seth Runser, with 18 years of experience at ARCB, takes over as CEO after successfully guiding the company through pandemic-related challenges and overseeing strategic initiatives.
Operational Strategy
The company remains focused on optimizing its cost structure with labor planning tools, linehaul insourcing, and continued facility investments.
Price Target
The price objective for ARCB has been increased to $86, reflecting a positive outlook on future earnings.
Negative Factors
Demand Environment
The underlying demand environment remains hobbled by uncertainty and we see expectations remaining subdued.
Earnings Performance
2Q came in below our forecast and consensus expectations.
Pricing Pressure
Evidence of softening pricing across the LTL space puts a lid on operating leverage in our view and is negative for shares.

ArcBest (ARCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ArcBest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionArcBest Corporation provides freight transportation and integrated logistics services. It operates through three segments: Asset-Based, ArcBest, and FleetNet. The Asset-Based segment transports general commodities, such as food, textiles, apparel, furniture, appliances, chemicals, nonbulk petroleum products, rubber, plastics, metal and metal products, wood, glass, automotive parts, machinery, and miscellaneous manufactured products through less-than-truckload services. It also offers motor carrier freight transportation services to customers in Mexico through arrangements with trucking companies. The ArcBest segment provides expedite freight transportation services to commercial and government customers; premium logistics services, such as deployment of specialized equipment to meet linehaul requirements; and international freight transportation with air, ocean, and ground services. It also offers third-party transportation brokerage services by sourcing various capacity solutions, including dry van over the road and intermodal, temperature-controlled and refrigerated, flatbed, intermodal or container shipping, and specialized equipment; full-container and less-than-container load ocean transportation services; warehousing and distribution services; managed transportation services; and moving services to 'do-it-yourself' consumer, as well as provides final mile, time critical, product launch, warehousing, retail logistics, supply chain optimization, and trade show shipping services. The FleetNet segment provides roadside repair solutions and vehicle maintenance management services for commercial and private fleets through a network of third-party service providers. The company was formerly known as Arkansas Best Corporation and changed its name to ArcBest Corporation in May 2014. ArcBest Corporation was founded in 1923 and is headquartered in Fort Smith, Arkansas.
How the Company Makes MoneyArcBest generates revenue primarily through its diverse service offerings in logistics and transportation. The Asset-Based segment earns money from providing less-than-truckload (LTL) shipping services, where freight is consolidated from multiple customers to optimize transportation costs. The Asset-Light segment, which focuses on third-party logistics, generates revenue by offering brokerage and freight management services, connecting shippers with carriers. Additionally, the Logistics segment contributes to revenue through customized supply chain solutions and value-added services, such as warehousing and inventory management. Strategic partnerships with carriers and technology providers enhance ArcBest's operational efficiency and service capabilities, further driving its earnings.

ArcBest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -10.20%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
ArcBest's earnings call highlights both positive achievements in customer growth, managed solutions revenue, and efficiency initiatives, and challenges such as revenue and earnings decline, increased operating ratios, and pressure on weight per shipment. The company is making strategic investments and achieving cost savings, but still faces a tough freight environment.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Pipeline and Customer Growth
ArcBest reported a 6% increase in daily shipments in the Asset-Based segment, onboarding over 100 new core LTL accounts, indicating strong pipeline growth.
Managed Solutions Revenue Surge
The Managed business segment saw double-digit growth in both shipments and revenue, with second-quarter Managed revenue reaching an all-time high.
Innovation and Efficiency Initiatives
ArcBest is leveraging AI and predictive analytics in their ABF business to optimize labor planning and delivery routing, contributing to the most productive quarter since 2021.
Significant Cost Savings
ArcBest achieved $14 million in cost savings through better process adherence, smarter use of technology, and enhanced safety practices.
Positive Financial Indicators
ArcBest's Asset-Light segment achieved non-GAAP operating income for the first time since the second quarter of 2023, showing improvement in profitability.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Consolidated revenue was $1 billion, down 5% year-over-year, reflecting ongoing softness in the freight environment.
Decreased Earnings Per Share
Adjusted earnings per share fell to $1.36, down from $1.98 in the second quarter of 2024, indicating a decline in profitability.
Operating Ratio Increase
The Asset-Based segment's operating ratio increased by 300 basis points over the second quarter of 2024, indicating higher operating costs.
Weight Per Shipment Pressure
Despite shipment growth, weight per shipment decreased by 1%, with ongoing softness in industrial production and housing impacting profitability.
Lower Revenue Per Hundredweight
Revenue per hundredweight declined 3% year-over-year, impacted by fewer shipments in the manufacturing vertical and continued softness in household goods moves.
Company Guidance
During the ArcBest Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported over $1 billion in revenue and $45 million in non-GAAP operating income. Despite a challenging freight environment, the Asset-Based segment saw a 6% year-over-year increase in daily shipments, averaging 21,000 ABF shipments per day. The Asset-Light segment achieved a $1 million non-GAAP operating income, a $4 million improvement from the previous year. ArcBest maintained disciplined pricing strategies with a 4% increase in contracted rates and announced a 5.9% general rate increase effective August 4. The company invested in technology and innovation, with AI tools optimizing labor planning and dock operations, contributing to the most productive quarter since 2021. Capital expenditures for 2025 are projected at $225 million to $275 million, with expectations to remain at the lower end. ArcBest also returned over $47 million to shareholders through repurchases and dividends in the first half of 2025.

ArcBest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ArcBest's financial statements indicate stable financial health with strong equity and effective cost management. However, profitability margins and cash flow generation need improvement for further enhancement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
ArcBest's income statement shows a solid gross profit margin of 30.2% in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin of 4.4% suggests room for improvement in profitability. The revenue growth has been volatile, with a 6.3% decline from 2022 to 2023, but recent trends suggest stabilization. The EBIT margin of 5.7% and EBITDA margin of 8.5% point to moderate operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position with an equity ratio of 53.8%, indicating financial stability. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.24, showcasing prudent leverage. Return on equity stands at 13.9%, which is healthy but could be enhanced. Overall, the balance sheet demonstrates sound financial management with a low risk of over-leverage.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow statements reveal a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.43 in TTM, highlighting efficient cash conversion. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, reflected in a modest free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.34. The company's ability to generate cash remains stable, but opportunities for improving free cash flow exist.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.05B4.18B4.43B5.32B3.98B2.94B
Gross Profit223.66M350.00M378.43M578.59M639.28M228.13M
EBITDA339.02M376.78M341.36M534.19M410.28M222.58M
Net Income158.29M173.96M142.16M298.21M213.52M71.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.47B2.43B2.49B2.49B2.11B1.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments139.68M157.20M330.07M326.03M124.96M369.36M
Total Debt327.62M413.48M437.73M438.68M337.11M403.55M
Total Liabilities1.17B1.12B1.24B1.34B1.18B950.41M
Stockholders Equity1.30B1.31B1.24B1.15B929.07M828.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-18.51M45.85M90.17M305.31M245.04M148.50M
Operating Cash Flow123.32M285.85M322.17M470.82M323.51M205.99M
Investing Cash Flow-109.33M-187.28M-21.70M-261.08M-303.20M7.46M
Financing Cash Flow-155.46M-233.35M-196.61M-127.98M-247.65M-111.41M

ArcBest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price73.51
Price Trends
50DMA
75.22
Negative
100DMA
69.69
Positive
200DMA
82.99
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.32
Positive
RSI
47.06
Neutral
STOCH
72.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARCB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 73.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.37, below the 50-day MA of 75.22, and below the 200-day MA of 82.99, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.32 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.06 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 72.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARCB.

ArcBest Risk Analysis

ArcBest disclosed 30 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ArcBest reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ArcBest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$4.31B34.544.20%1.54%2.20%7.86%
69
Neutral
$1.67B10.9312.50%0.65%-6.42%25.72%
64
Neutral
$657.19M10.779.67%1.62%-5.55%-52.21%
61
Neutral
$1.69B33.053.65%1.98%-6.43%-13.76%
58
Neutral
$989.66M47.312.72%1.98%-11.77%-52.06%
58
Neutral
HK$13.62B5.49-2.78%5.72%2.29%-57.50%
44
Neutral
$643.26M-4.42%0.95%-16.42%-49.44%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARCB
ArcBest
73.51
-34.84
-32.16%
HTLD
Heartland Express
8.31
-3.97
-32.33%
MRTN
Marten Transport
12.14
-4.88
-28.67%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
28.31
-8.40
-22.88%
ULH
Universal Logistics
24.68
-14.16
-36.46%
SNDR
Schneider National
24.72
-1.68
-6.36%

ArcBest Corporate Events

Dividends
ArcBest Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Announcement
Positive
Jul 25, 2025

On July 25, 2025, ArcBest announced that its Board of Directors approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share, payable to shareholders of record on August 8, 2025, with payment scheduled for August 22, 2025. This decision reflects ArcBest’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may positively influence investor confidence in the company’s financial health.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ArcBest Announces Board Member Retirement and New Appointment
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, ArcBest announced the retirement of long-serving board member Steven L. Spinner, effective October 31, 2025, after 14 years of service. Concurrently, the board appointed Thom Albrecht, a seasoned expert in transportation and logistics, as a new independent director. Albrecht’s extensive experience in finance and business strategy is expected to enhance ArcBest’s board as the company continues to execute its long-term strategy. These changes are part of ArcBest’s regular assessment of board composition and are aimed at enhancing long-term sustainable value for shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ArcBest Announces CEO Transition Effective January 2026
Positive
Jul 17, 2025

On July 17, 2025, ArcBest announced that CEO Judy R. McReynolds will retire on December 31, 2025, with President Seth Runser set to succeed her as CEO on January 1, 2026. McReynolds, who has led the company since 2010, will continue as chairman of the board. Runser, with 18 years at ArcBest, is expected to build on the company’s legacy of innovation and customer service. This transition is seen as a strategic move to ensure continued growth and value creation for stakeholders, with Runser’s leadership anticipated to drive future success.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
ArcBest Amends Receivables Loan Agreement for 2025
Neutral
Jun 17, 2025

On June 12, 2025, ArcBest Funding LLC, a subsidiary of ArcBest Corporation, amended its Receivables Loan Agreement to extend the facility termination date to July 1, 2026. This amendment, effective July 1, 2025, impacts the company’s financial operations by securing loans with accounts receivable, and it includes provisions for standby letters of credit to support self-insured liabilities, reflecting ArcBest’s strategic financial management.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $114.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ArcBest Reports Q2 2025 Shipment Growth Amid Challenges
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

In its latest update for the second quarter of 2025, ArcBest reported a 6% year-over-year increase in daily shipments within its Asset-Based segment, despite a 1% decline in weight per shipment. This growth was driven by capturing new core business, although revenue per hundredweight declined by 4% due to a shift towards easier-to-handle freight and a reduction in manufacturing shipments. The Asset-Light segment experienced an 11% year-over-year decrease in daily revenue, attributed to a strategic reduction in less profitable truckload volumes, partially offset by strength in Managed business. ArcBest anticipates its second quarter non-GAAP operating income to range from breakeven to $1 million.

The most recent analyst rating on (ARCB) stock is a Hold with a $112.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ArcBest stock, see the ARCB Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025