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Arcbest (ARCB)
NASDAQ:ARCB
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ArcBest (ARCB) AI Stock Analysis

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ARCB

ArcBest

(NASDAQ:ARCB)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$148.00
▼(-4.08% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:07/31/26
The score is held back primarily by sharply weakened profitability and an expensive valuation (high P/E with a low yield). These are partially offset by solid balance-sheet positioning, strong recent cash generation, and a constructive earnings-call outlook pointing to margin stabilization and measurable cost savings. Technically, shares show near-term weakness versus the 20/50-day averages but remain in a longer-term uptrend above the 100/200-day averages.
Positive Factors
Diversified business model
ArcBest's combination of asset-based LTL via ABF Freight and asset-light managed logistics creates durable revenue diversification. This mix smooths cyclicality, enables cross-selling, and lets the company capture both network-utilization upside and higher-margin logistics fees over multi-quarter cycles.
Negative Factors
Compressed profitability
Net income and margins have deteriorated sharply over multi-year comparisons, reducing returns on equity and leaving limited earnings cushion. In a cyclical trucking industry this weaker profitability lowers resilience to demand shocks and increases sensitivity to cost inflation over coming quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified business model
ArcBest's combination of asset-based LTL via ABF Freight and asset-light managed logistics creates durable revenue diversification. This mix smooths cyclicality, enables cross-selling, and lets the company capture both network-utilization upside and higher-margin logistics fees over multi-quarter cycles.
Read all positive factors

ArcBest (ARCB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

ArcBest Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
ArcBest Corporation, an integrated logistics company, provides ground, air, and ocean transportation solutions worldwide. It operates in two segments, Asset-Based and Asset-Light. The Asset-Based segment provides less-than-truckload (LTL) services...
How the Company Makes Money
ArcBest makes money by charging customers for transportation and logistics services, with revenue primarily generated through two broad models: (1) asset-based freight transportation and (2) asset-light logistics and managed transportation. 1) As...

ArcBest Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2026
(Q2-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented multiple operational and financial improvements: strong top-line growth (revenue +16%), improved profitability (non-GAAP operating income and adjusted EPS growth), ABF margin recovery (adjusted OR improvement and higher tonnage/weight per shipment), and notable Asset-Light productivity gains and managed solutions momentum. Management launched ArcBestView, announced restructuring actions expected to deliver ~$40 million annualized savings (with a clear realization schedule), and reiterated disciplined capital allocation. Offsetting these positives were sizable noncash impairments (~$85.3 million total disclosed), expected Q3 cash costs related to restructuring, increases in operating expenses (wages, fuel, purchase transportation, depreciation), some pressure on revenue per hundredweight (ex-fuel), and ongoing uncertainty in broader industrial demand and potential insurance/legal implications following industry rulings. Overall, the highlights — growth, margin improvement, digital launch, productivity gains, and planned cost savings — outweigh the negatives, though investors should note the near-term GAAP hits and execution risks during restructuring.
Positive Updates
Consolidated Revenue and EPS Growth
Second quarter consolidated revenue of $1.2 billion, up 16% year-over-year; non-GAAP operating income of $74 million vs. $45 million prior year; adjusted EPS $2.38 vs. $1.36 in Q2 2025.
Negative Updates
Large Noncash Impairment Charges and U-Pack Discontinuation
Second quarter GAAP results include $76.5 million of noncash impairment charges related to the Panther trade name and U-Pack equipment/assets and an additional $8.8 million noncash impairment related to Asset-Light office space; the U-Pack freight movement system was discontinued.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Negative
Consolidated Revenue and EPS Growth
Second quarter consolidated revenue of $1.2 billion, up 16% year-over-year; non-GAAP operating income of $74 million vs. $45 million prior year; adjusted EPS $2.38 vs. $1.36 in Q2 2025.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that ABF’s third‑quarter adjusted operating ratio is expected to be generally in line with Q2’s 90.8% (Q2 improved 200 bps YoY and 650 bps sequentially), with that outlook assuming lower fuel surcharge revenue partially offset by restructuring savings; Asset‑Light non‑GAAP operating income is expected to be about $6–8 million in Q3. The company reiterated a $40 million annualized run‑rate cost‑savings target (roughly $30M Asset‑Based, ~$8M Asset‑Light, ~$2M U‑Pack), with ~$2M of savings realized in Q2, ~ $6M expected in Q3 and a full run‑rate of $10M per quarter by Q1 2027, while Q2 GAAP included $76.5M of noncash impairment (Panther/U‑Pack) and $8.8M Asset‑Light office impairment (total ≈$85.3M) and the firm expects ~$6–7M of cash costs (mainly severance) primarily in Q3. For context, Q2 results included consolidated revenue $1.2B (+16% YoY), non‑GAAP operating income $74M, adjusted EPS $2.38; ABF Q2 revenue $784M (+10% per day) with daily tonnage +5%, weight per shipment +8% (July +11%), shipments/day -3%, billed revenue/ship +13% (July +10%), rev/cwt +4% (ex‑fuel down low single digits); Asset‑Light Q2 revenue $439M (+28% daily), shipments/day +15%, rev/ship +12%, SG&A/ship -12% and shipments per person/day +35%.

ArcBest Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: revenue is modestly up in the TTM period (+4.0%) and free cash flow is strong (~$192.4M, +23.5%), supported by healthy operating cash flow (~$281.1M). However, profitability has deteriorated sharply versus prior years (TTM net income ~$16.3M vs. ~$60.1M in 2025 and ~$174.0M in 2024), leaving thin margins in a cyclical industry despite a solid balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.36).
Income Statement
46
Neutral
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.20B4.01B4.18B4.43B5.03B3.77B
Gross Profit2.26B90.31M350.00M378.43M573.52M406.33M
EBITDA121.86M265.79M376.78M341.74M536.07M406.22M
Net Income16.30M60.10M173.96M195.43M298.21M213.52M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.45B2.45B2.43B2.49B2.49B2.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments168.43M124.23M157.20M330.07M325.93M124.96M
Total Debt338.69M464.58M413.48M437.73M438.68M337.11M
Total Liabilities1.18B1.16B1.12B1.24B1.34B1.18B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.30B1.31B1.24B1.15B929.07M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow192.38M100.79M45.85M90.17M305.31M245.04M
Operating Cash Flow281.14M228.95M285.85M322.17M470.82M323.51M
Investing Cash Flow-63.38M-76.70M-187.28M-21.70M-261.08M-303.20M
Financing Cash Flow-186.79M-177.66M-233.35M-196.61M-127.98M-247.65M

ArcBest Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price154.30
Price Trends
50DMA
148.22
Negative
100DMA
128.09
Positive
200DMA
105.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.50
Negative
RSI
54.14
Neutral
STOCH
67.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ARCB, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 154.3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 150.67, above the 50-day MA of 148.22, and above the 200-day MA of 105.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 3.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ARCB.

ArcBest Risk Analysis

ArcBest disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. ArcBest reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

ArcBest Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
59
Neutral
$927.55M236.800.92%0.60%8.34%-89.15%
58
Neutral
$3.16B206.214.30%0.31%3.70%-89.58%
57
Neutral
$986.44M-43.34-5.66%0.56%-21.02%38.05%
56
Neutral
$2.21B-48.53-3.39%1.32%9.64%
52
Neutral
$1.21B95.301.65%1.47%-6.87%-39.59%
44
Neutral
$352.83M-3.22-18.94%2.66%-11.11%-231.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ARCB
ArcBest
144.35
74.62
107.02%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
35.52
12.49
54.21%
HTLD
Heartland Express
12.23
4.76
63.72%
MRTN
Marten Transport
14.79
3.17
27.28%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
37.42
11.03
41.80%
ULH
Universal Logistics
13.38
-8.75
-39.54%

ArcBest Corporate Events

Dividends
ArcBest Board Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend Announcement
Positive
Jul 24, 2026
On July 24, 2026, ArcBest’s board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share for holders of its common stock, with shareholders of record on August 7, 2026 set to receive payment on August 21, 2026. The dividend decis...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ArcBest announces restructuring and brand simplification initiative
Neutral
Jul 17, 2026
On July 16, 2026, ArcBest announced a restructuring plan and brand simplification that will bring MoLo Solutions, Panther Premium Logistics and ArcBest Technologies under the ArcBest brand from August 1, 2026, while retaining ABF Freight for LTL o...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
ArcBest Reports Strong April–May 2026 Operating Momentum
Positive
Jun 4, 2026
ArcBest reported preliminary operating metrics for April and May 2026, showing solid year-over-year growth in both its Asset-Based and Asset-Light segments. In the Asset-Based business, daily billed revenue rose about 10% quarter-to-date versus th...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
ArcBest Ends Receivables Loan, Shifts Credit Support
Neutral
May 18, 2026
ArcBest Corporation and its wholly owned subsidiary ArcBest Funding LLC terminated their Third Amended and Restated Receivables Loan Agreement with Toronto-Dominion Bank and other lenders on May 18, 2026, ending a receivables-backed facility origi...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ArcBest Reincorporates in Texas, Updating Governance Framework
Neutral
May 15, 2026
On May 15, 2026, ArcBest converted its legal domicile from Delaware to Texas by filing conversion and formation documents with both states, becoming a Texas corporation while retaining the ArcBest Corporation name. At the effective time of the con...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 31, 2026