tiprankstipranks
Heartland Express (HTLD)
NASDAQ:HTLD

Heartland Express (HTLD) AI Stock Analysis

89 Followers

Top Page

HTLD

Heartland Express

(NASDAQ:HTLD)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
â–¼(-6.25% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/18/26
The score is held back primarily by deteriorating financial performance (losses, falling revenue, and compressed margins) and weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Balance sheet deleveraging and continued dividends provide some support, but negative/volatile free cash flow and a negative P/E keep the overall profile below average.
Positive Factors
Improved leverage
Material deleveraging from 2022 to 2025 improves financial flexibility and reduces interest and refinancing risk. Lower leverage gives the firm capacity to absorb cyclical revenue shocks, maintain operations and dividends, and selectively invest in fleet or network improvements over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Falling revenue
Declining revenue over 2024–2025 reduces scale benefits and indicates weakened demand or lost volumes. Lower top-line trends undermine utilization of tractors and trailers, increase per-mile fixed cost absorption, and constrain recovery of margins absent durable traffic or pricing improvements.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved leverage
Material deleveraging from 2022 to 2025 improves financial flexibility and reduces interest and refinancing risk. Lower leverage gives the firm capacity to absorb cyclical revenue shocks, maintain operations and dividends, and selectively invest in fleet or network improvements over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors

Heartland Express (HTLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Heartland Express Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Heartland Express, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a short-to-medium haul truckload carrier in the United States and Canada. It primarily provides nationwide asset-based dry van truckload service for shippers from Washington to F...
How the Company Makes Money
Heartland Express makes money primarily by hauling full truckload shipments for customers and charging freight rates that are typically priced per mile, per load, or under contracted arrangements (often with fuel-related pricing mechanisms). Its c...

Heartland Express Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance has weakened materially, with revenue declines and sustained losses in 2024–2025 and significant margin compression (including slightly negative gross margin in 2025). Positives include a de-levered balance sheet (lower debt-to-equity) and still-positive operating cash flow, but free cash flow has been volatile and turned sharply negative in 2025.
Income Statement
34
Negative
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
Cash Flow
48
Neutral
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue805.71M1.05B1.21B968.00M607.28M
Gross Profit-7.65M38.88M78.20M149.87M93.82M
EBITDA102.56M162.43M243.08M322.69M210.13M
Net Income-52.45M-29.72M14.78M133.58M79.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.19B1.33B1.51B1.67B928.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments18.48M12.81M28.12M50.21M157.74M
Total Debt161.42M208.61M317.44M433.96M0.00
Total Liabilities436.30M511.59M644.39M814.01M201.44M
Stockholders Equity755.32M822.60M865.26M855.48M727.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-66.85M34.81M-43.33M34.15M-9.22M
Operating Cash Flow89.31M144.35M165.27M194.71M123.42M
Investing Cash Flow-26.00M-46.54M-67.87M-663.26M-2.65M
Financing Cash Flow-58.15M-112.71M-120.69M359.26M-78.14M

Heartland Express Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.20
Price Trends
50DMA
10.63
Positive
100DMA
9.86
Positive
200DMA
9.09
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.11
Negative
RSI
67.55
Neutral
STOCH
85.47
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 10.09, above the 50-day MA of 10.63, and above the 200-day MA of 9.09, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.47 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HTLD.

Heartland Express Risk Analysis

Heartland Express disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Heartland Express reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Heartland Express Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$722.89M76.151.72%1.23%1.62%-22.52%
59
Neutral
$604.73M-4.00-6.38%2.76%-7.55%-130.67%
56
Neutral
$2.42B-51.414.61%0.62%-5.34%-48.16%
54
Neutral
$1.15B53.182.27%2.07%-9.74%-42.57%
49
Neutral
$1.90B-126.32-1.03%1.84%-3.42%-43.86%
46
Neutral
$867.50M-13.41-6.71%0.87%-19.56%-54.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HTLD
Heartland Express
11.20
2.53
29.15%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
28.82
8.53
42.03%
MRTN
Marten Transport
14.14
0.95
7.17%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
31.78
3.55
12.56%
ARCB
ArcBest
108.34
37.05
51.97%
ULH
Universal Logistics
22.95
-3.16
-12.09%

Heartland Express Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Heartland Express Announces Planned Board Leadership Transition
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
On March 25, 2026, Heartland Express, Inc. disclosed that longtime director Dr. Benjamin J. Allen has decided not to stand for re-election at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, ending a 31-year tenure on the board. He will co...
Dividends
Heartland Express Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Mar 18, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Heartland Express, Inc. announced that its board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.02 per share, payable on April 3, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 24, 2026. The payout is expected to total approximat...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 18, 2026