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Heartland Express (HTLD)
NASDAQ:HTLD
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Heartland Express (HTLD) AI Stock Analysis

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HTLD

Heartland Express

(NASDAQ:HTLD)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$16.50
â–²(41.87% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses and negative free cash flow), partially offset by a strong technical uptrend and modestly supportive corporate actions (continued dividend and governance stability). Valuation remains unfavorable due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.20) provides durable financial flexibility in the cyclical trucking industry. It reduces refinancing risk, supports continued dividend payments, and preserves capacity to fund fleet investment or absorb shocks while earnings recover over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Revenue decline
A sustained revenue decline (~5.4% YoY TTM) indicates weaker freight volumes or pricing mix. Over a multi-month horizon this erodes operating leverage in an industry with high fixed costs, making margin recovery harder without structural improvements to pricing, network or mix.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.20) provides durable financial flexibility in the cyclical trucking industry. It reduces refinancing risk, supports continued dividend payments, and preserves capacity to fund fleet investment or absorb shocks while earnings recover over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Heartland Express (HTLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Heartland Express Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Heartland Express, Inc., operating with its subsidiaries, functions as a transportation company primarily focusing on short to medium-distance truckload freight across the United States and Canada. The firm's main services encompass extensive asse...
How the Company Makes Money
Heartland Express makes money primarily by providing for-hire truckload transportation services and charging customers freight rates to haul full truckload shipments. Revenue is generally generated on a per-load basis and/or based on mileage, with...

Heartland Express Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured by deteriorating profitability (revenue down ~5.4% YoY and ~-5.7% net margin), despite a relatively conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.20). Operating cash flow is positive (~$86.6M), but free cash flow is negative (~-$64.0M) and cash flow coverage is below 1x (~0.77x), limiting flexibility until earnings recover.
Income Statement
33
Negative
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue762.54M805.71M1.05B1.21B968.00M607.28M
Gross Profit69.40M67.54M110.16M145.28M200.69M128.24M
EBITDA107.77M102.56M162.43M243.08M322.69M210.28M
Net Income-43.40M-52.45M-29.72M14.78M133.58M79.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.19B1.33B1.51B1.67B928.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.49M18.48M12.81M28.12M50.21M157.74M
Total Debt153.16M161.42M208.61M317.44M433.96M0.00
Total Liabilities431.89M436.30M511.59M644.39M814.01M201.44M
Stockholders Equity749.03M755.32M822.60M865.26M855.48M727.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-64.00M-66.85M34.81M-43.33M34.15M-9.22M
Operating Cash Flow86.62M89.31M144.35M165.27M194.71M123.42M
Investing Cash Flow426.00K-26.00M-46.54M-67.87M-663.26M-2.65M
Financing Cash Flow-66.66M-58.15M-112.71M-120.69M359.26M-78.14M

Heartland Express Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.63
Price Trends
50DMA
13.28
Positive
100DMA
11.95
Positive
200DMA
10.25
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.85
Negative
RSI
70.67
Negative
STOCH
66.37
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.04, below the 50-day MA of 13.28, and above the 200-day MA of 10.25, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.85 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.67 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 66.37 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HTLD.

Heartland Express Risk Analysis

Heartland Express disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Heartland Express reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Heartland Express Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$1.48B102.151.89%2.07%-7.81%-33.01%
58
Neutral
$3.85B69.114.30%0.62%-1.65%-67.84%
57
Neutral
$1.25B-28.75-5.66%0.87%-23.49%-54.25%
54
Neutral
$2.64B-307.74-0.62%1.84%3.28%-154.33%
53
Neutral
$1.14B223.701.23%1.23%7.15%-87.09%
46
Neutral
$451.98M-4.13-18.94%2.76%-11.11%-231.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HTLD
Heartland Express
16.11
7.23
81.42%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
45.45
22.60
98.86%
MRTN
Marten Transport
18.16
5.16
39.71%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
43.96
16.17
58.19%
ARCB
ArcBest
173.04
104.17
151.25%
ULH
Universal Logistics
17.14
-6.83
-28.49%

Heartland Express Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Heartland Express Adjusts Executive Salaries and Stock Awards
Neutral
May 19, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Heartland Express, Inc.’s Compensation Committee approved modest base salary increases for three named executive officers, including the chief financial officer, chief operating officer, and chief administrative officer, eff...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Heartland Express Shareholders Reaffirm Board and Governance Plans
Positive
May 15, 2026
At the May 14, 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders of Heartland Express, Inc., seven directors were elected to serve on the Board until the 2027 annual meeting, reaffirming the company’s existing leadership structure. Stockholders also ratif...
Executive/Board Changes
Heartland Express Announces Millis Transfer President’s Retirement
Neutral
Apr 22, 2026
On April 16, 2026, Heartland Express director and Millis Transfer President David P. Millis notified the company that he will retire from his role as president effective April 24, 2026, though he will remain on the board. In connection with his re...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Heartland Express Announces Planned Board Leadership Transition
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
On March 25, 2026, Heartland Express, Inc. disclosed that longtime director Dr. Benjamin J. Allen has decided not to stand for re-election at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, ending a 31-year tenure on the board. He will co...
Dividends
Heartland Express Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Mar 18, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Heartland Express, Inc. announced that its board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.02 per share, payable on April 3, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 24, 2026. The payout is expected to total approximat...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026