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Heartland Express (HTLD)
NASDAQ:HTLD
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Heartland Express (HTLD) AI Stock Analysis

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HTLD

Heartland Express

(NASDAQ:HTLD)

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Neutral 57 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
$13.50
â–²(16.08% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (losses and negative free cash flow), partially offset by a strong technical uptrend and modestly supportive corporate actions (continued dividend and governance stability). Valuation remains unfavorable due to negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.20) gives durable financial resilience in a cyclical trucking sector. It preserves access to capital for equipment investment, supports dividend policy and helps absorb freight demand volatility without immediate refinancing pressure.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Falling revenue (TTM down ~5.4% YoY) erodes scale and pricing leverage in a low-margin trucking market. Continued top-line contraction can pressure utilization, reduce bargaining power with customers and suppliers, and make margin recovery more difficult over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative Balance Sheet
Low leverage (debt-to-equity ~0.20) gives durable financial resilience in a cyclical trucking sector. It preserves access to capital for equipment investment, supports dividend policy and helps absorb freight demand volatility without immediate refinancing pressure.
Read all positive factors

Heartland Express (HTLD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Heartland Express Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Heartland Express, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a short-to-medium haul truckload carrier in the United States and Canada. It primarily provides nationwide asset-based dry van truckload service for shippers from Washington to F...
How the Company Makes Money
Heartland Express makes money primarily by hauling full truckload shipments for customers and charging freight rates that are typically priced per mile, per load, or under contracted arrangements (often with fuel-related pricing mechanisms). Its c...

Heartland Express Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured by deteriorating profitability (revenue down ~5.4% YoY and ~-5.7% net margin), despite a relatively conservative balance sheet (debt-to-equity ~0.20). Operating cash flow is positive (~$86.6M), but free cash flow is negative (~-$64.0M) and cash flow coverage is below 1x (~0.77x), limiting flexibility until earnings recover.
Income Statement
33
Negative
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
52
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue762.54M805.71M1.05B1.21B968.00M607.28M
Gross Profit69.40M67.54M110.16M145.28M200.69M128.24M
EBITDA107.77M102.56M162.43M243.08M322.69M210.28M
Net Income-43.40M-52.45M-29.72M14.78M133.58M79.28M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.18B1.19B1.33B1.51B1.67B928.54M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments44.49M18.48M12.81M28.12M50.21M157.74M
Total Debt153.16M161.42M208.61M317.44M433.96M0.00
Total Liabilities431.89M436.30M511.59M644.39M814.01M201.44M
Stockholders Equity749.03M755.32M822.60M865.26M855.48M727.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-64.00M-66.85M34.81M-43.33M34.15M-9.22M
Operating Cash Flow86.62M89.31M144.35M165.27M194.71M123.42M
Investing Cash Flow426.00K-26.00M-46.54M-67.87M-663.26M-2.65M
Financing Cash Flow-66.66M-58.15M-112.71M-120.69M359.26M-78.14M

Heartland Express Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price11.63
Price Trends
50DMA
11.62
Positive
100DMA
11.13
Positive
200DMA
9.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Negative
RSI
69.89
Neutral
STOCH
91.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HTLD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 11.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 13.20, above the 50-day MA of 11.62, and above the 200-day MA of 9.71, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.89 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for HTLD.

Heartland Express Risk Analysis

Heartland Express disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Heartland Express reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Heartland Express Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$1.35B193.611.89%2.07%-7.81%-33.01%
60
Neutral
$2.77B-529.704.30%0.62%-1.65%-67.84%
59
Neutral
$2.39B-103.41-0.62%1.84%3.28%-154.33%
58
Neutral
$940.64M38.521.23%1.23%7.15%-87.09%
57
Neutral
$1.11B-41.77-5.66%0.87%-23.49%-54.25%
43
Neutral
$383.94M-40.29-18.94%2.76%-11.11%-231.01%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HTLD
Heartland Express
14.35
5.68
65.48%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
37.41
15.66
72.04%
MRTN
Marten Transport
16.69
3.96
31.08%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
39.79
14.51
57.41%
ARCB
ArcBest
124.57
64.14
106.14%
ULH
Universal Logistics
14.20
-8.34
-37.01%

Heartland Express Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Heartland Express Shareholders Reaffirm Board and Governance Plans
Positive
May 15, 2026
At the May 14, 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders of Heartland Express, Inc., seven directors were elected to serve on the Board until the 2027 annual meeting, reaffirming the company’s existing leadership structure. Stockholders also ratif...
Executive/Board Changes
Heartland Express Announces Millis Transfer President’s Retirement
Neutral
Apr 22, 2026
On April 16, 2026, Heartland Express director and Millis Transfer President David P. Millis notified the company that he will retire from his role as president effective April 24, 2026, though he will remain on the board. In connection with his re...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Heartland Express Announces Planned Board Leadership Transition
Neutral
Apr 1, 2026
On March 25, 2026, Heartland Express, Inc. disclosed that longtime director Dr. Benjamin J. Allen has decided not to stand for re-election at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, ending a 31-year tenure on the board. He will co...
Dividends
Heartland Express Declares Regular Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Mar 18, 2026
On March 13, 2026, Heartland Express, Inc. announced that its board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.02 per share, payable on April 3, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 24, 2026. The payout is expected to total approximat...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026