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Universal Logistics (ULH)
NASDAQ:ULH
US Market

Universal Logistics (ULH) AI Stock Analysis

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Universal Logistics

(NASDAQ:ULH)

60Neutral
Universal Logistics Holdings exhibits a mixed outlook. Strong revenue growth and undervaluation suggest potential upside, but financial volatility, particularly in cash flow and balance sheet metrics, poses risks. The technical analysis indicates bearish momentum, warranting caution. The earnings call provided a balanced view with both challenges and strategic strengths. Overall, while there are promising elements, the present financial volatility and technical indicators suggest a cautious approach.

Universal Logistics (ULH) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Universal Logistics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc. (ULH) is a comprehensive transportation and logistics company that provides a wide range of services across various sectors, including trucking, freight forwarding, customs brokerage, and warehousing. With a commitment to delivering efficient and reliable supply chain solutions, ULH serves a broad spectrum of industries, ensuring the seamless movement of goods through its integrated logistics network.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc. generates revenue primarily through its diverse logistics and transportation services. The company earns money from its core operations, including providing trucking services, which involve transporting goods over short and long distances. Another significant revenue stream is its freight forwarding service, where ULH acts as an intermediary, managing the transportation of goods across multiple carriers. Additionally, ULH offers warehousing solutions, earning income by providing storage and inventory management services to its clients. The company's customs brokerage services also contribute to its earnings, assisting clients in navigating complex import and export regulations. Strategic partnerships and contracts with businesses in various industries further bolster ULH's revenue, enabling it to maintain a strong presence in the logistics sector.

Universal Logistics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Universal Logistics shows strong revenue growth and improved profitability, but financial stability is uncertain due to missing data in 2024. Negative free cash flow trends highlight capital management issues.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Universal Logistics has shown strong revenue growth over the years, increasing from $1.39 billion in 2020 to $1.85 billion in 2024. The company has maintained healthy gross profit margins around 13-14% for recent years, and a net profit margin improvement to 7.0% in 2024 from 5.6% in 2023. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also improved, indicating solid operational performance. Despite these strengths, the significant drop in revenue from 2022 to 2023 may indicate potential volatility.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet shows increasing debt levels from 2020 to 2023, peaking at $475 million in 2023, but drastically changes in 2024 with no reported debt. The lack of reported stockholders' equity in 2024 poses a risk for leveraging future growth. The equity ratio has shown improvement from 22% in 2020 to 42% in 2023, indicating strengthening financial stability until 2023. However, the absence of these figures in 2024 makes it challenging to assess current leverage.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow remains robust, though it decreased in 2024 compared to previous years. Free cash flow has been negative in recent periods, signaling potential cash management issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio indicates the company is generating sufficient cash relative to its profit, but the negative free cash flow to net income ratio in 2024 highlights concerns over capital expenditures.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.85B1.66B2.02B1.75B1.39B
Gross Profit
315.88M255.82M350.00M215.33M159.54M
EBIT
203.11M145.44M164.92M42.64M4.35M
EBITDA
332.40M225.54M317.09M203.82M154.50M
Net Income Common Stockholders
129.91M92.90M168.63M73.73M48.13M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
30.94M23.28M57.18M21.96M15.30M
Total Assets
1.79B1.25B1.20B1.14B1.06B
Total Debt
838.44M475.54M472.03M427.35M460.12M
Net Debt
819.09M463.03M424.85M413.42M451.36M
Total Liabilities
1.14B721.33M756.75M835.28M823.48M
Stockholders Equity
647.02M532.20M446.93M302.21M239.57M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-139.23M-30.31M96.31M44.44M8.63M
Operating Cash Flow
112.37M210.25M213.41M83.28M99.34M
Investing Cash Flow
-462.90M-236.77M-103.74M-33.23M-86.56M
Financing Cash Flow
365.04M-8.56M-78.24M-44.56M-8.95M

Universal Logistics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price21.74
Price Trends
50DMA
26.17
Negative
100DMA
34.47
Negative
200DMA
38.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.15
Positive
RSI
35.05
Neutral
STOCH
19.66
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ULH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 21.74 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.09, below the 50-day MA of 26.17, and below the 200-day MA of 38.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.05 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.66 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ULH.

Universal Logistics Risk Analysis

Universal Logistics disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal Logistics reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Logistics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$1.35B7.7414.25%0.82%-5.69%51.78%
63
Neutral
$4.21B11.555.28%250.72%4.13%-9.42%
ULULH
60
Neutral
$572.14M6.8613.57%1.93%1.16%-30.78%
60
Neutral
$528.46M14.368.95%1.18%0.59%-11.10%
57
Neutral
$1.05B48.992.83%1.86%-13.47%-62.49%
50
Neutral
$1.54B87.281.21%2.27%-7.66%
46
Neutral
$578.76M-3.52%1.05%-13.25%-301.55%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ULH
Universal Logistics
22.39
-19.68
-46.78%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
19.81
-2.75
-12.19%
HTLD
Heartland Express
7.37
-3.32
-31.06%
MRTN
Marten Transport
12.71
-4.47
-26.02%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
24.90
-10.81
-30.27%
ARCB
ArcBest
57.81
-56.52
-49.44%

Universal Logistics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -18.91%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant challenges, including declines in overall revenue, income, and performance in several segments. However, there were positive aspects such as the performance of the contract logistics segment, successful integration of the Parsec acquisition, and improvement in auto production volumes. The company's strategic focus on specialized freight and the declaration of a dividend also provided some positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Contract Logistics Segment Performance
The contract logistics segment contributed $255.9 million in revenue and delivered a solid 9.3% operating margin. The company is on track to book over $1.1 billion in contract logistics revenue in 2025.
Parsec Acquisition Integration
The Parsec acquisition contributed $56.4 million in revenue this quarter. The company now operates 87 value-added programs, including 20 rail terminal operations, a significant increase from 71 programs last year.
Positive Trends in Auto Production
Auto production volumes showed improvement, particularly in February and March. The company expects long-term opportunities in this segment with key launches beginning in the second quarter.
Revenue Per Load Increase in Trucking
Revenue per load, excluding fuel surcharges in the trucking segment, increased by more than 24%, indicating the success of the strategy to focus on specialized high-yield freight.
Dividend Declaration
The Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly dividend of 10.5 cents per share, payable to shareholders of record on June 2, 2025.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue and Income Decline
Total operating revenue for the first quarter was $382.4 million, a decrease from $491.9 million in the same period last year. Net income dropped to $6 million from $52.5 million.
Trucking Segment Volume Decline
Trucking segment revenues decreased by 20.2% due to a 31.3% drop in volumes, resulting in lower overall operating income for the segment.
Intermodal Segment Performance
The intermodal segment faced challenges with revenues decreasing to $70.7 million and an operating loss of $10.7 million. There was also a 3.4% drop in volumes and an 8.7% decline in rate per load.
EBITDA and Operating Margin Decrease
EBITDA decreased by $45.2 million to $51.7 million. The operating margin for the first quarter of 2025 was 4.1%, down from 15.3% in the first quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025 earnings call, Universal Logistics Holdings reported a total operating revenue of $382.4 million, with a net income of $6 million or $0.23 per share, and an operating margin of 4.1%. Despite a sluggish freight environment and a year-over-year decline, the company remains optimistic about its long-term growth. The contract logistics segment contributed $255.9 million in revenue with a 9.3% operating margin, and the Parsec acquisition added $56.4 million in revenue. The trucking segment saw a 20.2% revenue decrease to $55.6 million, yet revenue per load increased by over 24%. The intermodal segment recorded a $10.7 million operating loss, but stable freight volumes are anticipated. For Q2 2025, Universal expects revenues between $390 million and $410 million, with operating margins between 5% and 7%, and EBITDA margins of 14% to 16%. Capital expenditures for the full year are projected at $100 million to $125 million for equipment, and $55 million to $65 million for real estate. The company declared a regular quarterly dividend of 10.5 cents per share, payable on July 1, 2025.

Universal Logistics Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Universal Logistics Reports Q1 2025 Financial Decline
Negative
Apr 24, 2025

Universal Logistics Holdings held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on April 23, 2025, where shareholders elected 11 directors, approved the company’s conversion to a Nevada corporation, and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. The company reported a significant decline in its first quarter 2025 financial results, with operating revenues down 22.3% to $382.4 million and net income dropping to $6.0 million from $52.5 million the previous year. Despite the sluggish start to 2025, Universal remains focused on improving underperforming operations and strategic customer acquisition to drive growth. The Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.105 per share, payable on July 1, 2025.

Spark’s Take on ULH Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, ULH is a Neutral.

Universal Logistics Holdings exhibits strong revenue growth and operational performance, supported by strategic acquisitions. However, financial volatility, particularly in cash flow and balance sheet metrics, poses risks. The stock’s undervaluation and promising sales pipeline offer potential upside, though technical indicators suggest caution due to recent downward trends.

To see Spark’s full report on ULH stock, click here.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.