Universal Logistics (ULH) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $425.49M
• Dividend Yield: 2.74%
• Average Volume (3M): 45.62K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 7.0
• Beta (1Y): 1.69
• Revenue Growth: -5.55%
• EPS Growth: -52.21%
• Country: US
• Employees: 10,821
• Sector: Industrials
• Sector Strength: 72
• Industry: Trucking
• EPS (TTM): -2.84
• Shares Outstanding: 26,329,588
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 73,652
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 45,615
• PEG Ratio: 0.23
• Price to Book (P/B): 1.87
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.65
• P/FCF Ratio: -8.68
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 3.66
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.93
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 7.04
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 5.97
• 1Y Price Target: $24.00
• Price Target Upside: 56.66% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Hold
• Number of Analyst Covering: 1
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 57 Neutral
• Price Target: $17.50 ▲(14.23% Upside)

Universal Logistics Holdings faces significant financial and market challenges, reflected in its declining revenue, profitability margins, and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, adding to the risk profile. However, the stock's low P/E ratio and reasonable dividend yield offer some valuation appeal. The mixed sentiment from the earnings call highlights both opportunities and ongoing pressures, resulting in a cautious outlook.

Universal Logistics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. (ULH) is a leading provider of logistics and transportation services in North America. The company operates across multiple sectors, including truckload, logistics management, intermodal, and dedicated contract carriage. ULH offers a comprehensive suite of services, including freight brokerage, warehousing, and supply chain management, aimed at optimizing the movement of goods for its diverse customer base ranging from small businesses to large corporations.

How the Company Makes Money

Universal Logistics generates revenue through several key streams, primarily by providing logistics and transportation services. Its truckload segment contributes significantly to earnings by offering transportation of goods via a fleet of owned and leased trucks. The logistics management services also represent a vital revenue source, where ULH acts as an intermediary for customers needing freight brokerage and supply chain solutions. Additionally, the intermodal services, which combine rail and truck transportation, provide cost-effective and efficient shipping options for clients. Significant partnerships with major retailers and manufacturers enhance the company's service offerings and contribute to its earnings, along with the growing demand for third-party logistics solutions. Furthermore, ULH leverages technology to optimize its operations and improve efficiency, which helps in maintaining competitive pricing and profitability.

Universal Logistics Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Universal Logistics faces a challenging financial landscape with declining revenue and profitability margins, high leverage, and cash flow constraints. While operational efficiency remains a strength, the company must address its leverage and cash flow issues to improve financial stability and investor confidence.

Income Statement

Universal Logistics shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate by 3.94%, reflecting a challenging market environment. Gross profit margin stands at 13.23%, and net profit margin at 3.66%, both showing a decrease from the previous year, indicating pressure on profitability. However, the company maintains a reasonable EBIT margin of 7.32% and an EBITDA margin of 15.62%, suggesting operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.39, indicating significant leverage, which poses a risk in volatile markets. Return on equity is 9.47%, showing a decline from previous periods, which may concern investors. The equity ratio is 34.23%, suggesting a moderate level of equity financing relative to total assets.

Cash Flow

Cash flow analysis indicates challenges, with a negative free cash flow growth rate of 11.93% and a free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.38, highlighting cash flow constraints. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.83, suggesting that operating cash flow is not fully covering net income, which could impact liquidity.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.67B	1.85B	1.66B	2.02B	1.75B	1.39B
Gross Profit	220.77M	315.88M	255.82M	352.40M	215.33M	159.54M
EBITDA	260.49M	332.40M	225.54M	318.37M	177.76M	152.68M
Net Income	61.05M	129.91M	92.90M	168.63M	73.73M	48.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.86B	1.79B	1.25B	1.20B	1.14B	1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	34.20M	30.94M	23.28M	57.18M	21.96M	15.30M
Total Debt	911.70M	838.44M	475.54M	484.33M	537.90M	560.13M
Total Liabilities	1.21B	1.14B	721.33M	756.75M	835.28M	823.48M
Stockholders Equity	653.69M	647.02M	532.20M	446.93M	302.21M	239.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-66.77M	-139.23M	-30.31M	96.31M	44.44M	8.63M
Operating Cash Flow	175.96M	112.37M	210.25M	213.41M	83.28M	99.34M
Investing Cash Flow	-448.34M	-462.90M	-236.77M	-103.74M	-33.23M	-86.56M
Financing Cash Flow	299.56M	365.04M	-8.56M	-78.24M	-44.56M	-8.95M

Universal Logistics Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 15.32
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ULH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 15.32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.80, below the 50-day MA of 21.29, and below the 200-day MA of 25.44, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.70 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 23.76 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ULH.

Universal Logistics Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
Sector *	63 Neutral	$10.79B	15.43	7.44%	2.01%	2.89%	-14.66%
ARCB	62 Neutral	$1.61B	16.79	7.40%	0.65%	-5.34%	-48.16%
CVLG	59 Neutral	$505.65M	17.02	6.84%	1.37%	1.62%	-22.52%
WERN	59 Neutral	$1.57B	64.63	1.78%	2.19%	-3.42%	―
ULH	57 Neutral	$425.49M	6.98	9.67%	2.74%	-5.55%	-52.21%
MRTN	54 Neutral	$816.02M	42.09	2.53%	2.43%	-9.74%	-42.57%
HTLD	48 Neutral	$597.59M	―	-4.35%	1.05%	-19.56%	-54.39%

Universal Logistics Corporate Events

Universal Logistics Appoints Marcus Hudson to Audit Committee

On October 22, 2025, Universal Logistics appointed Marcus D. Hudson, an independent director, to its audit committee. This decision aligns with Nasdaq’s listing standards and enhances the company’s governance structure by adding financial expertise to the committee.

The most recent analyst rating on (ULH) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal Logistics stock, see the ULH Stock Forecast page.

Universal Logistics Announces Impairment Charge in Intermodal Segment

Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. announced on October 21, 2025, that it will record a material non-cash impairment charge related to intangible assets in its intermodal segment. This decision is part of the preparation of its financial statements for the third quarter ended September 27, 2025. The company has postponed the release of its financial results and the investor conference call originally scheduled for late October 2025 to allow more time for financial reporting procedures related to the impairment calculation. New dates will be announced once the process is complete.

The most recent analyst rating on (ULH) stock is a Hold with a $20.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Universal Logistics stock, see the ULH Stock Forecast page.

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. Faces Risks from Tariffs and Trade Policies Amid Global Supply Chain Challenges

Universal Logistics Holdings Inc. faces significant risks from economic and geopolitical developments, particularly protectionist trade policies like tariffs and export controls. As a participant in global supply chains, the company is vulnerable to disruptions and increased costs resulting from government-imposed tariffs, which could negatively impact its financial condition and operations. Sustained tariff increases on imports to the United States, especially from key trading partners like Canada, Mexico, and China, pose a threat to the company’s performance. Additionally, retaliatory measures by other countries could further exacerbate these challenges.