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Universal Logistics (ULH)
NASDAQ:ULH
US Market

Universal Logistics (ULH) AI Stock Analysis

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Universal Logistics

(NASDAQ:ULH)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$31.00
▲(7.71%Upside)
Universal Logistics Holdings' stock score of 70 reflects a mix of strengths and challenges. The company's operational efficiency and attractive valuation are significant positives. However, declining revenue growth and negative cash flow pose risks. Technical indicators suggest short-term bullish momentum, while earnings call insights highlight both challenges and strategic opportunities.

Universal Logistics (ULH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Universal Logistics Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc. provides transportation and logistics solutions in the United States, Mexico, Canada, and Colombia. It offers truckload services, which include dry van, flatbed, heavy-haul, and refrigerated operations; domestic and international freight forwarding, and customs brokerage services; and final mile and ground expedite services. The company transports various commodities comprising automotive parts, machinery, building materials, paper, food, consumer goods, furniture, steel, and other metals. It also provides value-added services for individual customer requirements, including material handling, consolidation, sequencing, sub-assembly, cross-dock, kitting, repacking, warehousing, and returnable container management; and intermodal support services comprising short-to-medium distance delivery of steamship and rail truck containers between the port or railhead, and the customer and drayage services. The company serves automotive, steel, oil and gas, alternative energy, and manufacturing industries, as well as other transportation companies who aggregate loads from various shippers. The company was formerly known as Universal Truckload Services, Inc. and changed its name to Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. in April 2016. Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Warren, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyUniversal Logistics Holdings generates revenue through a multi-faceted business model that includes several key streams. The company earns money primarily through its transportation services, which include truckload, intermodal logistics, and freight brokerage services. Truckload services involve the transportation of full trailer loads of freight, while intermodal logistics combines different modes of transport, such as rail and truck, to move goods. Additionally, ULH's freight brokerage services connect shippers with carriers, helping to optimize freight movement across the supply chain. Besides transportation, ULH also provides value-added services such as warehousing, material handling, and logistics management, which contribute significantly to its earnings. Strategic partnerships with carriers and shippers, along with a focus on operational efficiency and customer service, further enhance ULH's revenue generation capabilities.

Universal Logistics Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.83%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 24, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant challenges, including declines in overall revenue, income, and performance in several segments. However, there were positive aspects such as the performance of the contract logistics segment, successful integration of the Parsec acquisition, and improvement in auto production volumes. The company's strategic focus on specialized freight and the declaration of a dividend also provided some positive outlook.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Contract Logistics Segment Performance
The contract logistics segment contributed $255.9 million in revenue and delivered a solid 9.3% operating margin. The company is on track to book over $1.1 billion in contract logistics revenue in 2025.
Parsec Acquisition Integration
The Parsec acquisition contributed $56.4 million in revenue this quarter. The company now operates 87 value-added programs, including 20 rail terminal operations, a significant increase from 71 programs last year.
Positive Trends in Auto Production
Auto production volumes showed improvement, particularly in February and March. The company expects long-term opportunities in this segment with key launches beginning in the second quarter.
Revenue Per Load Increase in Trucking
Revenue per load, excluding fuel surcharges in the trucking segment, increased by more than 24%, indicating the success of the strategy to focus on specialized high-yield freight.
Dividend Declaration
The Board of Directors declared a regular quarterly dividend of 10.5 cents per share, payable to shareholders of record on June 2, 2025.
Negative Updates
Overall Revenue and Income Decline
Total operating revenue for the first quarter was $382.4 million, a decrease from $491.9 million in the same period last year. Net income dropped to $6 million from $52.5 million.
Trucking Segment Volume Decline
Trucking segment revenues decreased by 20.2% due to a 31.3% drop in volumes, resulting in lower overall operating income for the segment.
Intermodal Segment Performance
The intermodal segment faced challenges with revenues decreasing to $70.7 million and an operating loss of $10.7 million. There was also a 3.4% drop in volumes and an 8.7% decline in rate per load.
EBITDA and Operating Margin Decrease
EBITDA decreased by $45.2 million to $51.7 million. The operating margin for the first quarter of 2025 was 4.1%, down from 15.3% in the first quarter of 2024.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025 earnings call, Universal Logistics Holdings reported a total operating revenue of $382.4 million, with a net income of $6 million or $0.23 per share, and an operating margin of 4.1%. Despite a sluggish freight environment and a year-over-year decline, the company remains optimistic about its long-term growth. The contract logistics segment contributed $255.9 million in revenue with a 9.3% operating margin, and the Parsec acquisition added $56.4 million in revenue. The trucking segment saw a 20.2% revenue decrease to $55.6 million, yet revenue per load increased by over 24%. The intermodal segment recorded a $10.7 million operating loss, but stable freight volumes are anticipated. For Q2 2025, Universal expects revenues between $390 million and $410 million, with operating margins between 5% and 7%, and EBITDA margins of 14% to 16%. Capital expenditures for the full year are projected at $100 million to $125 million for equipment, and $55 million to $65 million for real estate. The company declared a regular quarterly dividend of 10.5 cents per share, payable on July 1, 2025.

Universal Logistics Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Universal Logistics exhibits solid operational efficiency but faces challenges with declining revenue growth and negative free cash flow. The healthy EBIT and EBITDA margins suggest operational strength, but the negative Free Cash Flow indicates potential liquidity issues. The company needs to focus on improving these areas to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Universal Logistics shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM Gross Profit Margin stands at 14.6%, indicating efficiency in controlling production costs. However, the Net Profit Margin has decreased to 4.8% in the TTM, reflecting a decline in overall profitability from the previous year. The Revenue Growth Rate is negative at -5.9% from the prior annual report, which could be concerning if the trend continues. The EBIT Margin and EBITDA Margin for the TTM are healthy at 8.3% and 16.5%, respectively, suggesting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a solid equity base with a Debt-to-Equity ratio of 1.3 in the TTM, indicating moderate leverage. The Return on Equity (ROE) is 12.9% in the TTM, showing effective use of equity capital. The Equity Ratio stands at 35.9%, suggesting a balanced approach to financing with a reasonable level of equity coverage for assets. The company should monitor its debt levels to avoid increased financial risk.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Universal Logistics exhibits a concerning trend in cash flow. The Free Cash Flow is negative in the TTM at -$75.8 million. However, the Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 1.9, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net earnings. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is negative, highlighting challenges in covering net income with free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.74B1.85B1.66B2.02B1.75B1.39B
Gross Profit253.62M315.88M255.82M352.40M215.33M159.54M
EBITDA287.03M332.40M225.54M318.37M170.50M152.68M
Net Income83.46M129.91M92.90M168.63M73.73M48.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.06B1.80B1.25B1.20B1.14B1.06B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments15.38M30.94M23.28M57.18M21.96M15.30M
Total Debt466.60M838.44M475.54M484.33M537.90M560.13M
Total Liabilities829.24M1.14B721.33M756.75M835.28M823.48M
Stockholders Equity227.63M647.02M532.20M446.93M302.21M239.57M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-75.81M-139.23M-30.31M96.31M44.44M8.63M
Operating Cash Flow159.80M112.37M210.25M213.41M83.28M99.34M
Investing Cash Flow-446.02M-462.90M-236.77M-103.74M-33.23M-86.56M
Financing Cash Flow310.50M365.04M-8.56M-78.24M-44.56M-8.95M

Universal Logistics Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price28.78
Price Trends
50DMA
24.63
Positive
100DMA
25.71
Positive
200DMA
35.38
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.79
Negative
RSI
71.35
Negative
STOCH
90.60
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ULH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 28.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.37, above the 50-day MA of 24.63, and below the 200-day MA of 35.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 71.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.60 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for ULH.

Universal Logistics Risk Analysis

Universal Logistics disclosed 35 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Universal Logistics reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Universal Logistics Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
ULULH
70
Outperform
$757.87M9.0913.57%1.48%1.16%-30.78%
69
Neutral
$1.90B10.9714.25%0.58%-5.69%51.78%
68
Neutral
$683.28M18.578.95%1.09%0.59%-11.10%
66
Neutral
$1.11B51.452.83%1.76%-13.47%-62.49%
61
Neutral
$1.80B102.071.21%1.93%-7.66%-78.26%
58
Neutral
$1.34B4.24-2.93%7.38%3.67%-51.13%
54
Neutral
$717.19M-3.44%0.88%-13.10%-121.50%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ULH
Universal Logistics
28.78
-9.74
-25.29%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
25.73
1.79
7.48%
HTLD
Heartland Express
9.13
-2.97
-24.55%
MRTN
Marten Transport
13.65
-3.77
-21.64%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
29.07
-5.35
-15.54%
ARCB
ArcBest
83.03
-24.79
-22.99%

Universal Logistics Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Universal Logistics Reports Q1 2025 Financial Decline
Negative
Apr 24, 2025

Universal Logistics Holdings held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on April 23, 2025, where shareholders elected 11 directors, approved the company’s conversion to a Nevada corporation, and ratified Grant Thornton LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. The company reported a significant decline in its first quarter 2025 financial results, with operating revenues down 22.3% to $382.4 million and net income dropping to $6.0 million from $52.5 million the previous year. Despite the sluggish start to 2025, Universal remains focused on improving underperforming operations and strategic customer acquisition to drive growth. The Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $0.105 per share, payable on July 1, 2025.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 03, 2025