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Marten Transport (MRTN)
NASDAQ:MRTN
US Market

Marten Transport (MRTN) AI Stock Analysis

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MRTN

Marten Transport

(NASDAQ:MRTN)

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Neutral 54 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:54Neutral
Price Target:
$14.00
â–²(12.27% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:01/28/26
The score is held back primarily by weakening operating performance and poor recent free-cash-flow generation, plus an expensive P/E. These risks are partially offset by a very strong, low-debt balance sheet and moderately constructive technical momentum.
Positive Factors
Very low debt / strong balance sheet
A near-zero debt load provides durable financial flexibility: it lowers solvency risk, preserves liquidity through freight cycles, and enables capital deployment (fleet refresh, tech, opportunistic M&A) without increasing leverage. This structural strength helps the company endure prolonged market weakness.
Negative Factors
Persisting revenue decline
A multiyear revenue contraction signals structural demand pressure and price compression in core truckload lanes. Sustained top-line shrinkage erodes scale economies and increases per-unit fixed costs, making margin restoration and fixed-cost coverage harder even if cyclicality improves.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Very low debt / strong balance sheet
A near-zero debt load provides durable financial flexibility: it lowers solvency risk, preserves liquidity through freight cycles, and enables capital deployment (fleet refresh, tech, opportunistic M&A) without increasing leverage. This structural strength helps the company endure prolonged market weakness.
Read all positive factors

Marten Transport (MRTN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Marten Transport Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Marten Transport, Ltd. operates as a temperature-sensitive truckload carrier for shippers in the United States, Canada, and Mexico. It operates through four segments: Truckload, Dedicated, Intermodal, and Brokerage. The Truckload segment transport...
How the Company Makes Money
Marten Transport makes money primarily by being paid to move freight and to arrange freight movement for customers. Its key revenue streams include: (1) Asset-based truckload transportation: Marten operates company-owned tractors and trailers (inc...

Marten Transport Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are mixed. Revenue and profitability have weakened meaningfully since 2022 with net margin compressing sharply, and cash flow quality is a concern due to persistently negative free cash flow (including TTM). Offsetting this, the balance sheet is a major strength with extremely low debt and strong financial flexibility.
Income Statement
42
Neutral
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Cash Flow
37
Negative
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue883.65M963.71M1.13B1.26B973.64M
Gross Profit50.49M130.70M188.73M238.50M183.15M
EBITDA129.77M139.90M193.22M240.98M197.96M
Net Income17.44M26.92M70.37M110.35M85.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets949.77M968.76M990.34M980.52M884.26M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments43.28M17.27M53.21M80.60M56.99M
Total Debt388.00K282.00K249.00K710.00K540.00K
Total Liabilities182.14M200.84M232.95M276.60M232.59M
Stockholders Equity767.63M767.92M757.39M703.92M651.68M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-51.06M-98.42M-76.18M42.87M-28.09M
Operating Cash Flow93.49M134.81M164.38M219.49M171.20M
Investing Cash Flow-42.88M-152.14M-172.54M-134.96M-123.73M
Financing Cash Flow-19.60M-18.62M-19.23M-60.93M-56.60M

Marten Transport Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.47
Price Trends
50DMA
13.01
Positive
100DMA
12.17
Positive
200DMA
11.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.32
Negative
RSI
64.96
Neutral
STOCH
82.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MRTN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.47 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 12.77, below the 50-day MA of 13.01, and above the 200-day MA of 11.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.32 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for MRTN.

Marten Transport Risk Analysis

Marten Transport disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Marten Transport reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Marten Transport Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
60
Neutral
$725.15M76.151.72%1.23%1.62%-22.52%
59
Neutral
$560.73M-4.00-6.38%2.76%-7.55%-130.67%
56
Neutral
$2.44B-51.414.61%0.62%-5.34%-48.16%
54
Neutral
$1.14B53.182.27%2.07%-9.74%-42.57%
49
Neutral
$1.94B-126.32-1.03%1.84%-3.42%-43.86%
46
Neutral
$852.78M-13.41-6.71%0.87%-19.56%-54.39%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MRTN
Marten Transport
14.01
0.88
6.74%
CVLG
Covenant Logistics Group
28.44
9.22
47.94%
HTLD
Heartland Express
11.01
2.64
31.62%
WERN
Werner Enterprises
32.36
4.17
14.80%
ARCB
ArcBest
108.48
46.43
74.82%
ULH
Universal Logistics
21.28
-4.58
-17.72%

Marten Transport Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Marten Transport Reports Weaker Q4 Results Amid Freight Recession
Negative
Jan 27, 2026
On January 27, 2026, Marten Transport reported that net income for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2025, fell to $3.7 million, or $0.05 per diluted share, from $5.6 million, or $0.07 per diluted share, a year earlier, even as earnings improv...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026