XOP - ETF AI Analysis

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SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)

Rating:69Neutral

Price Target:―

XOP, the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong, diversified energy leaders like ConocoPhillips, EQT, Texas Pacific Land, Exxon Mobil, and Chevron, which all show robust financial performance, healthy cash generation, and supportive earnings call commentary. These strengths are partly offset by holdings such as VG and HF Sinclair, where financial instability, profitability concerns, and valuation or technical pressures introduce added risk. The main risk factor for XOP is its concentrated exposure to the oil and gas exploration and production space, which can make the fund sensitive to energy price swings and sector-specific downturns.

Positive Factors

Strong Recent Performance

The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.

Top Holdings Showing Solid Gains

Several of the largest positions, including major energy companies, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, helping support the fund’s returns.

Focused U.S. Exposure

With most assets in U.S.-based companies, the fund offers targeted exposure to the domestic oil and gas exploration and production industry.

Negative Factors

Heavy Sector Concentration

Nearly all of the ETF is invested in the energy sector, so its performance is highly sensitive to swings in oil and gas markets.

Limited Geographic Diversification

The fund is overwhelmingly invested in U.S. companies, providing little diversification across different countries or regions.

Moderate Expense Ratio

The ETF’s expense ratio is not especially low, which means fees take a noticeable, ongoing bite out of investor returns compared with cheaper index funds.

XOP vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

AUM2.07B

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.35%

Beta0.85

IssuerSPDR

Inception DateJun 19, 2006

Dividend Yield2.41%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedS&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume3,612,219

30 Day Avg. Volume2,917,347

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

157.15

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering52

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

XOP Summary

XOP is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that follows the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index. It invests mainly in U.S. energy companies that search for, drill, and produce oil and gas. Well-known holdings include Chevron and Exxon Mobil, along with many smaller exploration and production firms. Investors might consider XOP if they want targeted exposure to the energy sector and believe oil and gas demand will stay strong or rise over time. A key risk is that the fund’s value can swing sharply with oil and gas prices and overall energy market conditions.

How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is a sector-focused ETF, which typically requires more active management compared to broad market index funds. However, it provides specialized exposure to the energy sector, particularly oil and gas companies.

What would affect this ETF?The XOP ETF could benefit from rising global energy demand and higher oil and gas prices, driven by economic growth or geopolitical tensions that disrupt supply chains. However, it may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, advancements in renewable energy, or declining oil prices due to reduced demand or oversupply. Its focus on U.S.-based energy companies and balanced exposure across holdings provides diversification but makes it sensitive to domestic energy policies and market conditions.

XOP Top 10 Holdings

XOP is essentially a pure play on U.S. oil and gas, with the fund’s story driven by a broad cast of explorers and producers rather than a single star. Exxon Mobil, Chevron, and Valero have been rising lately, helping power the ETF as energy prices firm up, while Texas Pacific Land and Coterra add steady support despite some valuation worries. Venture Global is more of a wild card, with mixed recent performance that can tug at returns. Overall, this is a concentrated energy bet, not a diversified, all-weather holding.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
VG	Venture Global, Inc. Class A	3.80%	$79.22M	$21.81B	-55.45%	58 Neutral
TPL	Texas Pacific Land	3.01%	$62.62M	$23.80B	-16.32%	76 Outperform
XOM	Exxon Mobil	2.96%	$61.78M	$577.03B	26.60%	74 Outperform
CVX	Chevron	2.89%	$60.26M	$340.39B	9.15%	71 Outperform
MGY	Magnolia Oil & Gas	2.78%	$57.99M	$4.66B	-0.40%	65 Neutral
OXY	Occidental Petroleum	2.76%	$57.59M	$43.89B	-8.19%	67 Neutral
CRC	California Resources Corp	2.76%	$57.49M	$4.52B	-0.24%	71 Outperform
VLO	Valero Energy	2.69%	$56.10M	$55.79B	31.93%	69 Neutral
COP	Conocophillips	2.67%	$55.68M	$123.41B	-1.66%	78 Outperform
DVN	Devon Energy	2.66%	$55.43M	$24.75B	13.57%	79 Outperform

XOP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

130.15

Positive

100DMA

129.41

Positive

200DMA

125.68

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

1.99

Negative

RSI

66.21

Neutral

STOCH

74.32

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.34, equal to the 50-day MA of 130.15, and equal to the 200-day MA of 125.68, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.99 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 66.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 74.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XOP.

XOP Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
XOP	―	―	$2.07B	0.35%	―
VDE	―	―	$7.83B	0.09%	―
MLPX	―	―	$2.77B	0.45%	―
MLPA	―	―	$1.98B	0.45%	―
FENY	―	―	$1.45B	0.08%	―
IYE	―	―	$1.25B	0.38%	―

Performance Comparison

XOP

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

137.10

3.13

2.34%

VDE

Vanguard Energy ETF

―

MLPX

Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF

―

MLPA

Global X MLP ETF

―

FENY

Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF

―

IYE

iShares U.S. Energy ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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