XOP - ETF AI Analysis

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SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)

Rating:68Neutral

Price Target:―

XOP, the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF, has a solid overall rating that reflects generally strong underlying oil and gas companies with some pockets of risk. Higher-quality holdings like ConocoPhillips, Exxon Mobil, Texas Pacific Land, and Phillips 66 support the fund’s rating through strong financial performance, healthy cash flow, and positive strategic updates, even if some face valuation or growth challenges. Weaker spots such as VG and California Resources Corp, which show financial or revenue pressures and bearish technical signals, along with the fund’s concentration in the oil and gas sector, are the main factors that can hold back the rating and increase risk if energy markets weaken.

Positive Factors

Strong Performing Holdings

Several top holdings, such as HF Sinclair Corporation and Marathon Petroleum, have shown strong year-to-date performance, supporting the fund’s returns.

Focused Sector Exposure

The ETF’s heavy allocation to the energy sector allows investors to benefit from potential growth in oil and gas exploration and production.

Reasonable Expense Ratio

The fund’s expense ratio is relatively low compared to actively managed alternatives, making it cost-effective for investors.

Negative Factors

Underperforming Holdings

Some top holdings, like Texas Pacific Land and CNX Resources, have experienced weak year-to-date performance, dragging down overall returns.

Geographic Concentration

The ETF is heavily concentrated in U.S. companies, offering limited diversification across global markets.

Sector Overweight Risk

With nearly all assets in the energy sector, the fund is highly sensitive to fluctuations in oil and gas prices.

XOP Historical Chart

AUM1.81B

RegionNorth America

Expense Ratio0.35%

Beta0.85

IssuerSPDR

Inception DateJun 19, 2006

Dividend Yield2.63%

Asset ClassEquity

Index TrackedS&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)N/A

Shares OutstandingN/A

10 Day Avg. Volume1,758,334

30 Day Avg. Volume2,734,917

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG RatioN/A

Price to Book (P/B)N/A

Price to Sales (P/S)N/A

P/FCF RatioN/A

Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A

Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A

Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A

Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A

Forecast

1Y Price Target

171.64

Price Target Upside― Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering52

EPS Forecast (FY)N/A

Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A

XOP Summary

The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (Ticker: XOP) is an investment fund that focuses on companies in the oil and gas industry, specifically those involved in exploring, extracting, and producing energy resources. It follows the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index and includes well-known companies like Exxon Mobil and Marathon Petroleum. This ETF is a good option for investors looking to diversify their portfolios and benefit from potential growth in the energy sector. However, it’s important to know that its performance is closely tied to the energy market, which can be volatile and impacted by global events and fluctuating oil prices.

How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is a sector-focused ETF, which typically requires more active management compared to broad market index funds. However, it provides specialized exposure to the energy sector, particularly oil and gas companies.

What would affect this ETF?The XOP ETF could benefit from rising global energy demand and higher oil and gas prices, driven by economic growth or geopolitical tensions that disrupt supply chains. However, it may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, advancements in renewable energy, or declining oil prices due to reduced demand or oversupply. Its focus on U.S.-based energy companies and balanced exposure across holdings provides diversification but makes it sensitive to domestic energy policies and market conditions.

XOP Top 10 Holdings

The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) is riding the waves of the energy sector, with a clear focus on U.S.-based oil and gas companies. Valero Energy stands out as a rising star, benefiting from robust cash flow and operational efficiency, while EQT’s strong financial performance and strategic initiatives add steady momentum. However, Expand Energy and Diamondback Energy are lagging slightly, with market volatility and declining free cash flow tempering their outlooks. With its equally weighted approach, XOP avoids over-reliance on any single name, offering a balanced yet concentrated play on the energy market.

Name	Company Name	Weight %	Market Value	Market Cap	Yearly Gain	Overall Rating
VG	Venture Global, Inc. Class A	3.09%	$55.10M	$16.72B	―	58 Neutral
CVX	Chevron	2.97%	$52.99M	$329.92B	4.65%	71 Outperform
XOM	Exxon Mobil	2.88%	$51.35M	$528.66B	11.31%	74 Outperform
VLO	Valero Energy	2.82%	$50.24M	$55.08B	43.78%	69 Neutral
COP	Conocophillips	2.81%	$50.18M	$122.58B	-4.48%	78 Outperform
TPL	Texas Pacific Land	2.75%	$48.98M	$20.51B	-29.95%	76 Outperform
OXY	Occidental Petroleum	2.71%	$48.36M	$40.62B	-19.03%	67 Neutral
DINO	HF Sinclair Corporation	2.69%	$48.00M	$9.06B	40.16%	68 Neutral
PSX	Phillips 66	2.67%	$47.67M	$56.40B	18.63%	73 Outperform
CRC	California Resources Corp	2.63%	$46.85M	$4.06B	-11.60%	71 Outperform

XOP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Negative

Last Price―

Price Trends

50DMA

128.97

Negative

100DMA

128.70

Negative

200DMA

124.86

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

-0.98

Negative

RSI

43.95

Neutral

STOCH

50.80

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 127.87, equal to the 50-day MA of 128.97, and equal to the 200-day MA of 124.86, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.98 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.80 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for XOP.

XOP Peer Comparison

Comparison Results

Name	Price	Price Target	AUM	Expense Ratio	Overall Rating
XOP	―	―	$1.81B	0.35%	―
VDE	―	―	$7.18B	0.09%	―
MLPX	―	―	$2.64B	0.45%	―
MLPA	―	―	$1.87B	0.45%	―
FENY	―	―	$1.31B	0.08%	―
IYE	―	―	$1.14B	0.38%	―

Performance Comparison

XOP

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF

125.54

-8.66

-6.45%

VDE

Vanguard Energy ETF

―

MLPX

Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF

―

MLPA

Global X MLP ETF

―

FENY

Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF

―

IYE

iShares U.S. Energy ETF

―

Glossary

BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―

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