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XOP - ETF AI Analysis

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XOP

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
XOP, the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF, has a solid overall rating driven by strong positions in companies like Devon Energy, Exxon Mobil, and Texas Pacific Land, which benefit from robust financial performance, positive earnings calls, and attractive valuations. However, some holdings such as Magnolia Oil & Gas and California Resources Corp face bearish technical trends, revenue pressures, or regulatory and commodity-price risks, and the fund’s focus on the oil and gas exploration and production industry means it is heavily exposed to energy sector and oil price volatility.
Positive Factors
Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating positive recent momentum.
Top Holdings Showing Solid Gains
Several of the largest positions, including major energy companies, have delivered strong year-to-date performance, helping support the fund’s returns.
Focused U.S. Exposure
With most assets in U.S.-based companies, the fund offers targeted exposure to the domestic oil and gas exploration and production industry.
Negative Factors
Heavy Sector Concentration
Nearly all of the ETF is invested in the energy sector, so its performance is highly sensitive to swings in oil and gas markets.
Limited Geographic Diversification
The fund is overwhelmingly invested in U.S. companies, providing little diversification across different countries or regions.
Moderate Expense Ratio
The ETF’s expense ratio is not especially low, which means fees take a noticeable, ongoing bite out of investor returns compared with cheaper index funds.

XOP vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

XOP Summary

XOP is an exchange-traded fund (ETF) that follows the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index. It invests mainly in U.S. energy companies that search for, drill, and produce oil and gas. Well-known holdings include Chevron and Exxon Mobil, along with many smaller exploration and production firms. Investors might consider XOP if they want targeted exposure to the energy sector and believe oil and gas demand will stay strong or rise over time. A key risk is that the fund’s value can swing sharply with oil and gas prices and overall energy market conditions.
How much will it cost me?The SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (XOP) has an expense ratio of 0.35%, which means you’ll pay $3.50 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is a sector-focused ETF, which typically requires more active management compared to broad market index funds. However, it provides specialized exposure to the energy sector, particularly oil and gas companies.
What would affect this ETF?The XOP ETF could benefit from rising global energy demand and higher oil and gas prices, driven by economic growth or geopolitical tensions that disrupt supply chains. However, it may face challenges from regulatory changes targeting fossil fuels, advancements in renewable energy, or declining oil prices due to reduced demand or oversupply. Its focus on U.S.-based energy companies and balanced exposure across holdings provides diversification but makes it sensitive to domestic energy policies and market conditions.

XOP Top 10 Holdings

XOP is essentially a pure play on U.S. oil and gas drillers, with performance driven more by the energy tide than any single giant. High-flyers like Texas Pacific Land and Permian Resources have been rising on strong financial results and upbeat production stories, giving the fund a solid tailwind. Blue-chip names Exxon Mobil and Chevron are steadier anchors, helping smooth out some of the bumps. A few holdings show mixed or cautious technical signals, but with nearly all its weight in U.S. energy producers, this ETF lives and dies by the commodity cycle.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
Texas Pacific Land3.87%$93.44M$30.38B11.45%
76
Outperform
Venture Global, Inc. Class A3.85%$93.07M$23.38B-36.96%
58
Neutral
Exxon Mobil2.98%$72.14M$635.44B33.06%
74
Outperform
California Resources Corp2.95%$71.31M$5.17B25.07%
71
Outperform
Occidental Petroleum2.92%$70.50M$46.41B2.82%
67
Neutral
Chevron2.88%$69.71M$370.23B17.21%
71
Outperform
Ovintiv2.87%$69.47M$13.91B16.78%
60
Neutral
Permian Resources2.81%$68.04M$14.66B28.01%
81
Outperform
Magnolia Oil & Gas2.78%$67.28M$4.92B12.77%
65
Neutral
Coterra Energy2.77%$67.03M$23.87B11.16%
73
Outperform

XOP Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
134.24
Positive
100DMA
131.71
Positive
200DMA
128.54
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
4.71
Negative
RSI
67.38
Neutral
STOCH
90.57
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For XOP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 142.97, equal to the 50-day MA of 134.24, and equal to the 200-day MA of 128.54, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 67.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.57 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for XOP.

XOP Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$2.45B0.35%
69
Neutral
$9.03B0.09%
71
Outperform
$3.05B0.45%
71
Outperform
$2.10B0.45%
73
Outperform
$1.61B0.08%
72
Outperform
$1.43B0.38%
74
Outperform
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
XOP
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF
151.86
20.43
15.54%
VDE
Vanguard Energy ETF
MLPX
Global X MLP & Energy Infrastructure ETF
MLPA
Global X MLP ETF
FENY
Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF
IYE
iShares U.S. Energy ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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