Venture Global, Inc. Class A (VG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $19.39B
• Dividend Yield: 0.95%
• Average Volume (3M): 10.71M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 9.3
• Beta (1Y): 1.61
• Revenue Growth: 113.54%
• EPS Growth: 272.02%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,500
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream
• EPS (TTM): 0.16
• Shares Outstanding: 479,506,130
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 13,574,402
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 10,712,907
• PEG Ratio: -0.81
• Price to Book (P/B): 20.04
• Price to Sales (P/S): 11.68
• P/FCF Ratio: -5.02
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 3.68
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 6.58
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 12.37
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 14.14
• 1Y Price Target: $10.63
• Price Target Upside: 33.54% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 58 Neutral
• Price Target: $8.50 ▲(6.78% Upside)

The overall stock score reflects a mix of strong earnings growth and strategic achievements, offset by financial instability and bearish technical indicators. The company's attractive valuation and positive corporate events contribute positively, but high leverage and cash flow issues remain significant concerns.

Positive Factors

Long-term sales contracts (20-year SPAs)

Multi-decade SPAs lock in demand and provide predictable volume and revenue streams, de-risking project economics and supporting bankability for future projects. These contracts underpin durable cash flow visibility and strengthen market position in key regions over years.

Robust gross margins

Sustained high gross margins indicate structural cost efficiency in liquefaction and pricing power on fixed-fee contracts. Strong unit economics provide buffer against commodity volatility and support durable profitability as volumes scale and new facilities reach steady state.

Large-scale export capacity and utilization

Consistently high cargo volumes demonstrate operational scale, vessel management capability, and global market access. Scale drives unit cost advantages and strengthens bargaining power with buyers and shippers, supporting resilient long-term export revenue generation.

Negative Factors

Very high leverage

Extremely elevated leverage reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and interest-rate risk. With a thin equity buffer, adverse price or demand shocks could force dilutive capital raises or asset sales, threatening long-term balance sheet stability.

Large negative free cash flow

Massive negative FCF indicates capital-intensive growth and timing mismatches between capex and operating cash receipts. Persistent negative FCF limits ability to deleverage organically and increases dependency on external financing, a structural risk for long-term solvency.

Material arbitration and legal exposure

Ongoing arbitrations create contingent liabilities and counterparty uncertainty that can lead to cash outflows, reserve build-ups, or disrupted contracts. Legal disputes can impair customer relationships and project economics, posing a lasting operational and financial drag.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Venture Global, Inc. supplies natural gas products. The Company specializes in commissioning, constructing, and developing natural gas liquefaction and export projects.

How the Company Makes Money

Venture Global generates revenue primarily through the sale and export of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to international markets. The company enters into long-term contracts with customers, often including fixed pricing arrangements, which provide a stable revenue stream. Additionally, Venture Global benefits from its strategic partnerships with various stakeholders, including energy producers, infrastructure developers, and governmental entities, which enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. The company's revenue is further supported by the rising global demand for natural gas as a cleaner alternative to coal and oil, positioning it favorably within the energy transition landscape.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Venture Global, Inc. shows strong profitability margins with a solid return on equity. However, challenges include declining revenue, high leverage, and negative free cash flow, which raise concerns about financial stability.

Income Statement

Venture Global, Inc. has shown a volatile revenue trajectory with a recent decline in total revenue from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 66.4% for 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin decreased significantly from 33.9% in 2023 to 31.0% in 2024, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, but the declining revenue trend poses a concern.

Balance Sheet

The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 10.29 in 2024, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is strong at 53.3%, driven by high net income relative to equity. However, the equity ratio is low at 6.7%, suggesting limited equity buffer against liabilities. Overall, the balance sheet reflects high leverage and potential financial instability.

Cash Flow

Venture Global, Inc. faces challenges in cash flow management, with a negative free cash flow of -$11.57 billion in 2024, a significant decline from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.39, indicating sufficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting issues in capital expenditure management and cash flow sustainability.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	10.85B	4.97B	7.90B	6.45B	1.41B	1.25B
Gross Profit	5.77B	3.30B	6.21B	4.20B	714.51M	694.41M
EBITDA	5.05B	3.09B	5.35B	4.29B	-371.00M	32.95M
Net Income	2.33B	1.54B	2.68B	1.86B	-356.00M	-27.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	50.08B	43.49B	28.46B	15.10B	1.39B	1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.21B	3.61B	4.82B	618.00M	18.34M	43.08M
Total Debt	33.64B	29.81B	21.17B	10.95B	479.17M	215.50M
Total Liabilities	39.26B	37.12B	26.38B	14.59B	770.42M	793.06M
Stockholders Equity	7.34B	2.90B	1.51B	-186.00M	617.72M	602.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-8.27B	-11.57B	-3.54B	-916.00M	-2.58B	72.88M
Operating Cash Flow	5.13B	2.15B	4.55B	3.70B	158.71M	83.88M
Investing Cash Flow	-13.30B	-14.16B	-8.72B	-2.90B	-2.08B	-52.72M
Financing Cash Flow	6.08B	10.75B	7.63B	235.00M	-117.26M	-10.85M

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 7.96
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Positive
• STOCH: Positive

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.86, below the 50-day MA of 11.68, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.06 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VG.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
OKE	82 Outperform	$47.73B	13.95	17.14%	5.61%	58.76%	13.74%
MPLX	81 Outperform	$56.41B	11.75	34.35%	7.31%	5.19%	11.09%
TRGP	74 Outperform	$39.24B	24.57	61.18%	2.03%	7.79%	33.93%
LNG	71 Outperform	$42.99B	11.11	67.52%	1.07%	17.12%	14.58%
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
CQP	61 Neutral	$26.96B	14.46	95.64%	6.07%	15.43%	0.43%
VG	58 Neutral	$19.39B	9.31	46.19%	0.95%	113.54%	272.02%

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Venture Global, Inc. Issues $3 Billion in Notes

On December 9, 2025, Venture Global Plaquemines LNG, LLC, a subsidiary of Venture Global, Inc., issued $3 billion in senior secured notes in two series, with maturities in 2030 and 2034. The proceeds will be used to prepay existing credit facilities and cover offering expenses, enhancing the company’s financial positioning and supporting its ongoing LNG projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (VG) stock is a Hold with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Venture Global, Inc. Class A stock, see the VG Stock Forecast page.