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Venture Global, Inc. Class A (VG)
NYSE:VG
US Market

Venture Global, Inc. Class A (VG) AI Stock Analysis

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VG

Venture Global, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:VG)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$6.50
▼(-10.10% Downside)
The overall stock score reflects a mix of strong earnings growth and strategic achievements, offset by financial instability and bearish technical indicators. The company's attractive valuation and positive corporate events contribute positively, but high leverage and cash flow issues remain significant concerns.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The significant revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing the company's competitive position in the LNG market.
Strategic Long-term Contracts
Long-term contracts provide stable revenue streams and strengthen market presence, supporting sustainable growth and financial stability.
Strong Capital Raising
Robust capital raising activities enhance financial flexibility and support expansion projects, positioning the company for future growth.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk and limit strategic options, potentially impacting long-term financial health and stability.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates challenges in cash generation, which can constrain investment in growth opportunities and debt servicing.
Arbitration Challenges
Ongoing arbitration proceedings pose financial and operational risks, potentially affecting the company's reputation and future contracts.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A (VG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVenture Global, Inc. supplies natural gas products. The Company specializes in commissioning, constructing, and developing natural gas liquefaction and export projects.
How the Company Makes MoneyVenture Global generates revenue primarily through the sale and export of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to international markets. The company enters into long-term contracts with customers, often including fixed pricing arrangements, which provide a stable revenue stream. Additionally, Venture Global benefits from its strategic partnerships with various stakeholders, including energy producers, infrastructure developers, and governmental entities, which enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. The company's revenue is further supported by the rising global demand for natural gas as a cleaner alternative to coal and oil, positioning it favorably within the energy transition landscape.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 05, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted significant revenue growth, strategic long-term contracts, and strong capital raising activities. However, challenges related to arbitration proceedings and a slight reduction in EBITDA guidance were noted. Despite these challenges, the company's overall outlook remains positive due to its strong financial performance and strategic achievements.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceptional Revenue Growth
Venture Global reported $3.3 billion in revenue for Q3 2025, marking a 260% increase from the same quarter in 2024.
Significant Financial Performance
The company achieved $1.3 billion in income from operations, $429 million in net income attributable to shareholders, and $1.5 billion in consolidated adjusted EBITDA, representing increases of 598% and 439% respectively, compared to Q3 2024.
Key LNG Export Milestones
Venture Global exported 100 cargos in Q3 2025, including a 25% increase in exported cargos from Plaquemines compared to the previous quarter.
Strategic Long-term Contracts
The company secured 2 new 20-year SPAs, including a 1 MTPA agreement with Naturgy of Spain and a 0.5 MTPA agreement with Atlantic-SEE LNG, enhancing energy security in Central and Eastern Europe.
Strong Capital Raising Activities
Venture Global raised $1.575 billion through the Blackfin joint venture and secured a $2 billion revolving credit facility, contributing to approximately $30 billion raised year-to-date.
Negative Updates
Arbitration Challenges
The company is facing several arbitration proceedings, with a potential liability cap of $765 million for 4 remaining cases, excluding BP.
Reduced EBITDA Guidance
EBITDA guidance for 2025 was marginally reduced to a range of $6.35 billion to $6.5 billion due to noncash accounting charges and anticipated lower fixed liquefaction fees.
Calcasieu Pass Maintenance Impact
The Calcasieu Pass export volumes were slightly down due to extended routine power island maintenance.
Company Guidance
During the Venture Global Inc. Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company updated its financial guidance for fiscal year 2025, highlighting projected consolidated adjusted EBITDA in the range of $6.35 billion to $6.5 billion. This adjustment reflects reduced sensitivity to market prices, with a $1 per MMBtu change in price now translating to a $50 million to $60 million change in anticipated consolidated adjusted EBITDA, down from the previously estimated $230 million to $240 million. The company reported significant financial growth, with third-quarter revenue of $3.3 billion, a 260% increase compared to the same period in 2024. Income from operations surged by 598% to $1.3 billion, while net income attributable to common shareholders reached $429 million. Additionally, Venture Global achieved $1.5 billion in consolidated adjusted EBITDA, a 439% increase from the previous year. The company also noted its significant operational achievements, including the export of 100 cargos in a single quarter, and highlighted its strategic focus on enhancing energy security in regions like Eastern Europe.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Venture Global, Inc. shows strong profitability margins with a solid return on equity. However, challenges include declining revenue, high leverage, and negative free cash flow, which raise concerns about financial stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Venture Global, Inc. has shown a volatile revenue trajectory with a recent decline in total revenue from 2023 to 2024. The gross profit margin remains strong at approximately 66.4% for 2024, indicating efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin decreased significantly from 33.9% in 2023 to 31.0% in 2024, reflecting pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, but the declining revenue trend poses a concern.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The company exhibits a high debt-to-equity ratio of 10.29 in 2024, indicating significant leverage, which could pose financial risks. The return on equity is strong at 53.3%, driven by high net income relative to equity. However, the equity ratio is low at 6.7%, suggesting limited equity buffer against liabilities. Overall, the balance sheet reflects high leverage and potential financial instability.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Venture Global, Inc. faces challenges in cash flow management, with a negative free cash flow of -$11.57 billion in 2024, a significant decline from the previous year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.39, indicating sufficient cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting issues in capital expenditure management and cash flow sustainability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.85B4.97B7.90B6.45B1.41B1.25B
Gross Profit5.77B3.30B6.21B4.20B714.51M694.41M
EBITDA5.05B3.09B5.35B4.29B-371.00M32.95M
Net Income2.33B1.54B2.68B1.86B-356.00M-27.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets50.08B43.49B28.46B15.10B1.39B1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments2.21B3.61B4.82B618.00M18.34M43.08M
Total Debt33.64B29.81B21.17B10.95B479.17M215.50M
Total Liabilities39.26B37.12B26.38B14.59B770.42M793.06M
Stockholders Equity7.34B2.90B1.51B-186.00M617.72M602.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.27B-11.57B-3.54B-916.00M-2.58B72.88M
Operating Cash Flow5.13B2.15B4.55B3.70B158.71M83.88M
Investing Cash Flow-13.30B-14.16B-8.72B-2.90B-2.08B-52.72M
Financing Cash Flow6.08B10.75B7.63B235.00M-117.26M-10.85M

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.23
Price Trends
50DMA
11.68
Negative
100DMA
13.27
Negative
200DMA
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.11
Negative
RSI
26.06
Positive
STOCH
13.57
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For VG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.86, below the 50-day MA of 11.68, and equal to the 200-day MA of ―, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 26.06 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.57 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for VG.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$46.08B13.4717.14%5.61%58.76%13.74%
81
Outperform
$54.95B11.4534.35%7.31%5.19%11.09%
74
Outperform
$39.44B24.7061.18%2.03%7.79%33.93%
71
Outperform
$40.97B10.5967.52%1.07%17.12%14.58%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$26.14B14.0295.64%6.07%15.43%0.43%
58
Neutral
$17.70B8.5046.19%0.95%113.54%272.02%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VG
Venture Global, Inc. Class A
7.23
-12.56
-63.47%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
190.33
-18.22
-8.74%
CQP
Cheniere Energy Partners
54.01
3.59
7.12%
OKE
Oneok
73.24
-22.55
-23.54%
TRGP
Targa Resources
183.73
10.21
5.88%
MPLX
MPLX
54.03
10.11
23.02%

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Venture Global, Inc. Issues $3 Billion in Notes
Positive
Dec 9, 2025

On December 9, 2025, Venture Global Plaquemines LNG, LLC, a subsidiary of Venture Global, Inc., issued $3 billion in senior secured notes in two series, with maturities in 2030 and 2034. The proceeds will be used to prepay existing credit facilities and cover offering expenses, enhancing the company’s financial positioning and supporting its ongoing LNG projects.

Legal Proceedings
Venture Global Faces Arbitration Outcome with BP
Negative
Oct 9, 2025

Venture Global Calcasieu Pass, LLC, a subsidiary of Venture Global, Inc., has resolved an arbitration with a post-COD SPA customer related to the Calcasieu Pass facility, with no material impact on the company. However, the International Chamber of Commerce issued a partial final award in an arbitration with BP Gas Marketing Limited, finding that Venture Global breached obligations under their LNG sales agreement, with remedies to be determined in a future hearing. The company is evaluating its options in response to the tribunal’s decision, which does not affect the current terms of the agreement with BP.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Venture Global Secures $1.55B for Texas Pipeline
Positive
Sep 29, 2025

On September 29, 2025, Blackfin Pipeline, LLC, a joint venture between Venture Global, Inc. and WhiteWater Development LLC, secured $1.550 billion in senior secured credit facilities. These funds will support the development of a 3.3 Bcf/d natural gas pipeline in Texas, with implications for the company’s operational expansion and stakeholder engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 11, 2025