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Venture Global, Inc. Class A (VG)
NYSE:VG
US Market
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Venture Global, Inc. Class A (VG) AI Stock Analysis

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VG

Venture Global, Inc. Class A

(NYSE:VG)

Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$16.00
▲(17.04% Upside)
Venture Global's stock score reflects strong earnings performance and strategic financing moves. However, financial stability concerns and weak technical momentum temper the overall outlook. Positive earnings and corporate events are significant factors in the score.
Positive Factors
Growth Ambitions
Venture Global's growth ambitions are expected to make it one of the largest LNG export companies globally, enhancing its negotiating flexibility.
Market Positioning
Venture Global is well-positioned to benefit from robust growth in long-term global power and gas demand, particularly given trends in electrification and AI.
Operational Performance
Analyst maintains a Buy rating as operational performance and speed to market give Venture Global an advantage over competitors.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
The target price has been lowered to $11 from $18 to reflect decreased cash flow estimates.
Guidance and Forecasts
VG's inaugural 2025 EBITDA guidance came in light of expectations due to a combination of commodity assumptions, development costs, and project timing.
Market Risks
Commodity prices are the primary near-term risk to estimates with VG guiding to a significant EBITDA sensitivity for every $1/mmbtu change in liquefaction fees.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A (VG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionVenture Global, Inc. supplies natural gas products. The Company specializes in commissioning, constructing, and developing natural gas liquefaction and export projects.
How the Company Makes MoneyVenture Global generates revenue primarily through the sale of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to global markets. The company's revenue model is based on long-term sales agreements with corporate customers, which provide a stable income stream. Key revenue streams include contracts with utilities and energy companies in regions with high demand for LNG. Additionally, Venture Global benefits from strategic partnerships with other energy companies and financial institutions that facilitate project financing and enhance its operational capabilities. The company's focus on cost-effective production and efficient logistics also contributes to its profitability, allowing it to remain competitive in the global LNG market.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 38.08%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted Venture Global's strong financial performance and significant progress on LNG projects, with revenue and export records set. However, challenges such as declining net income, increased operational costs, and tariff concerns were noted.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Venture Global generated $2.9 billion in revenue, reflecting a 105% increase compared to the first quarter of 2024.
Record LNG Exports
The company exported 234 TBtu of LNG, a new record high, marking a 93% increase from the fourth quarter of 2024.
Plaquemines Facility Performance
Plaquemines exported 29 commissioning cargoes with all 18 liquefaction trains activated, demonstrating production levels of approximately 140% of nameplate capacity.
CP2 Project Progress
CP2 received a non-FTA export authorization and a $3 billion bank loan facility to fund capital expenditures, along with upsizing its 20-year SPA with New Fortress Energy.
Strong Safety Record
Achieved a TRIR of 0.10 at Calcasieu Pass and 0.21 at Plaquemines, far outperforming the national industry average of 1.9.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decline
Net income attributable to common stockholders decreased by $252 million to $396 million compared to Q1 2024, largely due to non-cash factors such as unfavorable changes in the fair value of interest rate swaps.
Cost Challenges
Higher operating costs and remediation expenses, including $146 million higher depreciation and $143 million higher operating costs, impacted the financial results.
Tariff Concerns
Exposure to U.S. and foreign tariffs could potentially impact raw materials and LNG import demand, although current exposure is estimated at around 1% of CP2's total budget.
Company Guidance
During the first quarter of 2025, Venture Global Inc. demonstrated strong performance, with revenue reaching $2.9 billion, a 105% increase compared to the first quarter of 2024. The company reported $1.1 billion in income from operations, a 75% rise year-over-year, and a consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 billion, up 94%. The company's LNG projects set a new record by exporting 234 TBtu of LNG, a 93% increase from the previous quarter. Looking forward, Venture Global revised its 2025 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $6.4 billion to $6.8 billion, reflecting a fixed liquefaction fee range of $6 to $7 per MMBtu for available cargoes. The company aims to export 145-150 cargoes from Calcasieu Pass and 222-239 cargoes from Plaquemines by year-end, and has contracted about 60% of its potential production for the remainder of 2025. Despite potential influences from natural gas price changes, Venture Global remains confident in its ability to meet its updated guidance through disciplined execution and operational excellence.

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Venture Global, Inc. Class A shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces high leverage and cash flow constraints. Balance sheet improvements are overshadowed by significant debt, and negative free cash flow raises liquidity concerns.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Venture Global, Inc. Class A has shown strong growth in the fossil fuels industry, with a consistent increase in total revenue from $1.19 billion in 2019 to $4.97 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin remains robust, indicative of efficient cost management. However, there was a decline in total revenue from 2023 to 2024, and net profit margins have shown volatility, reflecting some instability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are strong, showcasing solid operational performance.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a high level of debt, with a debt-to-equity ratio reflecting significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. Stockholders' equity has grown substantially, indicating improved financial stability. The equity ratio has improved, suggesting better asset financing through equity. However, the high total liabilities relative to equity may constrain future financial flexibility.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Cash flows have been volatile, with substantial free cash flow deficits in recent years. The operating cash flow is positive, indicating good cash generation from operations, but high capital expenditures have led to negative free cash flow, suggesting aggressive investment strategies. The free cash flow to net income ratio is concerning, indicating potential cash flow issues that could impact liquidity.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.42B4.97B7.90B6.45B1.41B1.25B
Gross Profit2.67B3.30B6.21B4.20B714.51M694.41M
EBITDA2.61B3.09B5.35B4.29B-371.00M32.95M
Net Income1.40B1.54B2.68B1.86B-356.00M-27.78M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.05B43.49B28.46B15.10B1.39B1.08B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.60B3.61B4.82B618.00M18.34M43.08M
Total Debt29.84B29.81B21.17B10.95B479.17M215.50M
Total Liabilities35.13B37.12B26.38B14.59B770.42M793.06M
Stockholders Equity4.88B2.90B1.51B-186.00M617.72M602.77M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-5.34B-11.57B-3.60B-1.01B-2.58B72.88M
Operating Cash Flow1.79B2.15B4.55B3.70B158.71M83.88M
Investing Cash Flow-7.19B-14.16B-8.72B-2.90B-2.08B-52.72M
Financing Cash Flow3.81B10.75B7.63B235.00M-117.26M-10.85M

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$53.15B17.5168.91%0.85%-2.16%-33.56%
78
Outperform
$52.29B12.1831.38%7.43%5.53%11.29%
70
Outperform
$35.50B30.0760.30%2.10%6.05%11.64%
69
Neutral
$47.38B14.6716.05%5.41%47.00%11.86%
66
Neutral
$15.10B10.407.41%5.57%4.52%-70.52%
62
Neutral
$27.29B13.48112.19%5.90%3.94%9.35%
61
Neutral
$34.68B
0.24%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
VG
Venture Global, Inc. Class A
13.67
-6.20
-31.20%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
235.27
53.36
29.33%
CQP
Cheniere Energy Partners
55.43
9.97
21.93%
OKE
Oneok
75.48
-5.69
-7.01%
TRGP
Targa Resources
166.89
33.86
25.45%
MPLX
MPLX
51.52
13.08
34.03%

Venture Global, Inc. Class A Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Venture Global Secures $15.1 Billion for CP2 LNG Project
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 28, 2025, Venture Global announced the final investment decision and financial close for Phase 1 of its CP2 LNG project, securing $15.1 billion in project financing. This milestone marks the company’s third project and positions Venture Global as the largest exporter of U.S. LNG, with a peak production capacity of 28 MTPA for CP2. The project has garnered significant interest from leading global banks, reflecting strong demand for U.S. LNG investments. The CP2 project is strategically important for global energy supply, with long-term contracts in place with customers in Europe, Asia, and other regions.

The most recent analyst rating on (VG) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Venture Global, Inc. Class A stock, see the VG Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Venture Global Closes $4 Billion Note Offering
Positive
Jul 3, 2025

On July 3, 2025, Venture Global Plaquemines LNG, LLC, a subsidiary of Venture Global, Inc., closed a private offering of $4 billion in senior secured notes, split into two series maturing in 2034 and 2036. The proceeds will be used to prepay existing credit facilities and cover offering expenses, with the notes secured by a first-priority interest in the assets backing the existing credit facilities and notes. This issuance increases the total senior secured notes issued by VGPL to $6.5 billion since the project began producing LNG in December 2024, enhancing the company’s financial structure and market position.

The most recent analyst rating on (VG) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Venture Global, Inc. Class A stock, see the VG Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Venture Global, Inc. Holds 2025 Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

Venture Global, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 21, 2025, where several proposals were voted on. Shareholders elected all seven director nominees to the Board of Directors, ratified the appointment of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025, approved executive compensation on a non-binding advisory basis, and decided to hold future advisory votes on executive compensation every three years.

The most recent analyst rating on (VG) stock is a Hold with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Venture Global, Inc. Class A stock, see the VG Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 29, 2025