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Cheniere Energy Inc. (LNG)
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Cheniere Energy (LNG) AI Stock Analysis

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LNG

Cheniere Energy

(NYSE:LNG)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$229.00
â–˛(10.08% Upside)
Cheniere Energy's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call insights, highlighting robust profitability and strategic progress. However, bearish technical indicators and historical revenue volatility temper the outlook. The valuation is reasonable, supporting a balanced investment perspective.
Positive Factors
Strategic Growth Plans
Cheniere's strategic growth plan to expand its operating platform by 25% indicates a strong commitment to long-term growth and market leadership in the LNG sector.
Strong Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation enhances financial flexibility, allowing Cheniere to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt effectively, supporting long-term stability.
Operational Achievements
The final investment decision on new projects demonstrates Cheniere's ability to execute on expansion plans, ensuring capacity growth and future revenue streams.
Negative Factors
Market Uncertainty and Volatility
Ongoing market volatility and geopolitical tensions could impact LNG prices and supply, posing risks to Cheniere's revenue stability and profitability.
Asian LNG Import Decline
Declining LNG imports in Asia, a key market, may affect Cheniere's sales and growth prospects, necessitating strategic adjustments to counter reduced demand.
Seasonal Production Impact
Seasonal production fluctuations can lead to inconsistent revenue and operational challenges, requiring effective management to mitigate impacts on financial performance.

Cheniere Energy (LNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cheniere Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCheniere Energy, Inc. is a leading producer and exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the United States. The company operates in the energy sector, focusing on the development and operation of LNG terminals and natural gas liquefaction facilities. Cheniere's primary products include LNG, which is produced at its Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi facilities, and it also engages in the transportation and sale of natural gas. The company plays a key role in meeting the growing global demand for cleaner energy sources.
How the Company Makes MoneyCheniere Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of LNG under long-term contracts and spot market transactions. The company's revenue model is largely based on the pricing of natural gas and LNG, with earnings derived from liquefaction fees charged to customers who purchase LNG. Key revenue streams include contracts with utility companies, trading firms, and other industrial users globally. Additionally, Cheniere has formed strategic partnerships with various energy companies to secure long-term supply agreements, enhancing its revenue stability. The company also benefits from favorable market conditions, such as increased demand for LNG in international markets, particularly in Asia and Europe, which drives up prices and contributes to its earnings.

Cheniere Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Cheniere Energy reported a strong financial performance with significant progress on its Corpus Christi Stage 3 project and a robust share repurchase program. While the company faced operational challenges related to feed gas composition and geopolitical and economic headwinds, its strong financial results and market positioning with European LNG demand provided a buffer against these issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Cheniere Energy generated consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.6 billion, distributable cash flow of approximately $1.6 billion, and net income of approximately $1 billion in the third quarter of 2025. The company reconfirmed its full-year 2025 guidance range of $6.6 billion to $7 billion in consolidated adjusted EBITDA and raised its distributable cash flow guidance range from $4.4 billion to $4.8 billion to $4.8 billion to $5.2 billion.
Corpus Christi Stage 3 Progress
Substantial completion of the third Train of Corpus Christi Stage 3 was achieved ahead of schedule. Total project completion on Stage 3 reached over 90% last month, with Train 4 expected to produce first LNG soon and on track for substantial completion by the end of the year.
Share Repurchase Program
During the third quarter, Cheniere repurchased approximately 4.4 million shares for just over $1 billion, marking the second-highest quarterly amount deployed for share repurchases.
Dividend Increase
Cheniere declared a dividend of $0.555 per common share for the third quarter, an increase of over 10% from the prior quarter. The company has grown its quarterly dividend by almost 70% since initiation approximately four years ago.
LNG Market Demand
Global LNG demand was underpinned by European imports, with European LNG imports continuing to increase year-on-year in the third quarter. The company anticipates a more stable pricing environment as new liquefaction capacity comes online.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges with Feed Gas Composition
Cheniere faced operational challenges due to variability in natural gas quality, with increased nitrogen levels and minute quantities of substances affecting liquefaction processes. The company is working on long-term solutions to address these issues.
Geopolitical and Economic Challenges
The company faced a challenging environment in 2025 with geopolitical unrest, rising costs, insufficient supply chains, tariffs, and a government shutdown.
Soft Asian LNG Demand
LNG imports into Asia remained subdued, declining 4% year-on-year during the third quarter and 6% year-to-date for 2025, due to softer gas demand across key markets such as China and India.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Cheniere Energy provided significant guidance on their financial outlook and operational progress. The company generated approximately $1.6 billion in consolidated adjusted EBITDA and $1 billion in net income for the quarter. They reconfirmed their full-year 2025 guidance for consolidated adjusted EBITDA in the range of $6.6 billion to $7 billion and raised their distributable cash flow guidance from $4.4 billion to $4.8 billion to a new range of $4.8 billion to $5.2 billion. This increase is attributed to an IRS rule change related to the corporate alternative minimum tax. Cheniere highlighted the substantial completion of the third train of Corpus Christi Stage 3, achieved ahead of schedule, and forecasted substantial completion of trains 5 through 7 next year. They also emphasized their share repurchase program, having bought back approximately 4.4 million shares for over $1 billion during the quarter. Looking ahead, Cheniere expects 2026 to be a record year for LNG production, forecasting 51 to 53 million tonnes of production, driven by the startup of remaining trains at Corpus Christi Stage 3.

Cheniere Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cheniere Energy demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability and cash flow metrics. The income statement shows a solid gross profit margin of 36.6% and a net profit margin of 21.3%. The company has a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 93.1% in the TTM period. However, historical volatility in revenue growth and margins suggests potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Cheniere Energy's income statement shows a strong performance with a TTM gross profit margin of 36.6% and a net profit margin of 21.3%. The company has demonstrated a positive revenue growth rate of 3.6% in the TTM period, recovering from previous declines. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 28.5% and 43.8% respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, historical volatility in revenue growth and margins suggests potential risks.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong at 64.8%, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, which could pose risks in terms of financial stability. Historical high leverage ratios highlight past financial stress.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cheniere Energy's cash flow statement is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 93.1% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.37, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.89, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The company has shown consistent improvement in cash flow metrics, enhancing its financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.84B15.78B20.28B33.76B17.64B9.39B
Gross Profit6.89B5.29B8.12B11.53B5.62B2.92B
EBITDA8.96B8.20B17.54B6.23B564.00M3.29B
Net Income4.00B3.25B9.88B1.43B-2.34B-85.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.10B43.86B43.08B41.27B39.26B35.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.40B2.64B4.07B1.35B1.40B1.63B
Total Debt26.45B25.59B26.32B27.95B31.95B31.66B
Total Liabilities33.64B33.80B34.06B41.44B39.29B33.48B
Stockholders Equity6.75B5.70B5.06B-2.97B-2.57B-191.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.56B3.16B6.30B8.69B1.50B-574.00M
Operating Cash Flow5.13B5.39B8.42B10.52B2.47B1.26B
Investing Cash Flow-2.84B-2.28B-2.20B-1.84B-912.00M-1.95B
Financing Cash Flow-3.97B-4.45B-4.18B-8.01B-1.82B-235.00M

Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price208.03
Price Trends
50DMA
227.10
Negative
100DMA
230.63
Negative
200DMA
227.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.11
Positive
RSI
29.12
Positive
STOCH
9.59
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 208.03 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 216.20, below the 50-day MA of 227.10, and below the 200-day MA of 227.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.11 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 29.12 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.59 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LNG.

Cheniere Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$66.41B11.6119.98%6.97%-6.46%-0.87%
74
Outperform
$41.70B12.1917.14%6.08%58.76%13.74%
69
Neutral
$58.05B13.5413.09%7.99%-4.67%-8.06%
68
Neutral
$57.67B21.258.87%4.39%8.54%7.22%
68
Neutral
$70.27B29.7719.00%3.43%11.48%-17.82%
67
Neutral
$44.26B11.4467.52%0.99%17.12%14.58%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNG
Cheniere Energy
207.90
4.11
2.02%
ET
Energy Transfer
16.45
0.38
2.36%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.26
2.85
10.03%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.55
0.80
3.11%
OKE
Oneok
68.12
-33.68
-33.08%
WMB
Williams Co
59.58
5.18
9.52%

Cheniere Energy Corporate Events

Cheniere Energy Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Cheniere Energy, Inc. is a leading producer and exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in the United States, known for its extensive liquefaction facilities and global reach in the energy sector.

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Cheniere Energy Increases Quarterly Dividend by 10%
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Cheniere Energy announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.555 per share, marking an increase of over 10% from the previous quarter. This dividend, payable on November 18, 2025, reflects Cheniere’s strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders, reinforcing its position as a key player in the global LNG market.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $278.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy’s Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth
Aug 12, 2025

Cheniere Energy’s latest earnings call paints a picture of robust financial health and strategic growth, despite some challenges. The company showcased strong financial performance and strategic advancements, with positive sentiment prevailing over concerns related to maintenance and market volatility.

Cheniere Energy Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings
Aug 8, 2025

Cheniere Energy Inc. is a leading energy company based in Houston, Texas, specializing in the liquefaction and export of natural gas, primarily operating within the LNG (liquefied natural gas) sector. The company is known for its significant infrastructure, including the Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi LNG terminals.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025