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Cheniere Energy (LNG)
NYSE:LNG

Cheniere Energy (LNG) AI Stock Analysis

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LNG

Cheniere Energy

(NYSE:LNG)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$222.00
â–²(16.63% Upside)
Cheniere Energy's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and positive earnings call, which highlight significant operational progress and shareholder value initiatives. However, the bearish technical indicators and historical volatility in financial metrics temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth and strong profit margins highlight Cheniere's ability to capitalize on rising global LNG demand, ensuring long-term financial stability.
Infrastructure Expansion
Early completion of infrastructure projects enhances capacity and positions Cheniere to meet increasing LNG demand, driving future revenue growth.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow growth enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and shareholder returns, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Operational Challenges
Operational challenges related to feed gas composition can impact efficiency and costs, posing risks to consistent production and profitability.
Geopolitical Risks
Geopolitical and economic challenges can disrupt supply chains and increase costs, affecting Cheniere's operational stability and financial performance.
Soft Asian Demand
Weak LNG demand in Asia could limit market expansion opportunities, affecting Cheniere's growth potential in key international markets.

Cheniere Energy (LNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cheniere Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCheniere Energy, Inc., an energy infrastructure company, primarily engages in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) related businesses in the United States. It owns and operates the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana; and the Corpus Christi LNG terminal near Corpus Christi, Texas. The company also owns Creole Trail pipeline, a 94-mile natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal with several interstate and intrastate pipelines; and operates Corpus Christi pipeline, a 21.5-mile natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Corpus Christi LNG terminal with various interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines. It is also involved in the LNG and natural gas marketing business. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCheniere Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of liquefied natural gas (LNG) to customers under long-term and short-term contracts. The company has established key long-term contracts with various international customers, which provide a stable revenue stream. Additionally, Cheniere benefits from its integrated business model, which includes the purchase of natural gas, its liquefaction, and the subsequent sale of LNG. The company earns revenue from fees charged for liquefaction services, as well as from the sale of natural gas. Significant partnerships with major energy companies and utility providers enhance Cheniere's market position and earnings potential. As global demand for LNG continues to rise, particularly in Asia and Europe, Cheniere's strategic investments in infrastructure and capacity expansions position it to capitalize on favorable market conditions.

Cheniere Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Cheniere Energy reported a strong financial performance with significant progress on its Corpus Christi Stage 3 project and a robust share repurchase program. While the company faced operational challenges related to feed gas composition and geopolitical and economic headwinds, its strong financial results and market positioning with European LNG demand provided a buffer against these issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Cheniere Energy generated consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.6 billion, distributable cash flow of approximately $1.6 billion, and net income of approximately $1 billion in the third quarter of 2025. The company reconfirmed its full-year 2025 guidance range of $6.6 billion to $7 billion in consolidated adjusted EBITDA and raised its distributable cash flow guidance range from $4.4 billion to $4.8 billion to $4.8 billion to $5.2 billion.
Corpus Christi Stage 3 Progress
Substantial completion of the third Train of Corpus Christi Stage 3 was achieved ahead of schedule. Total project completion on Stage 3 reached over 90% last month, with Train 4 expected to produce first LNG soon and on track for substantial completion by the end of the year.
Share Repurchase Program
During the third quarter, Cheniere repurchased approximately 4.4 million shares for just over $1 billion, marking the second-highest quarterly amount deployed for share repurchases.
Dividend Increase
Cheniere declared a dividend of $0.555 per common share for the third quarter, an increase of over 10% from the prior quarter. The company has grown its quarterly dividend by almost 70% since initiation approximately four years ago.
LNG Market Demand
Global LNG demand was underpinned by European imports, with European LNG imports continuing to increase year-on-year in the third quarter. The company anticipates a more stable pricing environment as new liquefaction capacity comes online.
Negative Updates
Operational Challenges with Feed Gas Composition
Cheniere faced operational challenges due to variability in natural gas quality, with increased nitrogen levels and minute quantities of substances affecting liquefaction processes. The company is working on long-term solutions to address these issues.
Geopolitical and Economic Challenges
The company faced a challenging environment in 2025 with geopolitical unrest, rising costs, insufficient supply chains, tariffs, and a government shutdown.
Soft Asian LNG Demand
LNG imports into Asia remained subdued, declining 4% year-on-year during the third quarter and 6% year-to-date for 2025, due to softer gas demand across key markets such as China and India.
Company Guidance
During the third quarter of 2025, Cheniere Energy provided significant guidance on their financial outlook and operational progress. The company generated approximately $1.6 billion in consolidated adjusted EBITDA and $1 billion in net income for the quarter. They reconfirmed their full-year 2025 guidance for consolidated adjusted EBITDA in the range of $6.6 billion to $7 billion and raised their distributable cash flow guidance from $4.4 billion to $4.8 billion to a new range of $4.8 billion to $5.2 billion. This increase is attributed to an IRS rule change related to the corporate alternative minimum tax. Cheniere highlighted the substantial completion of the third train of Corpus Christi Stage 3, achieved ahead of schedule, and forecasted substantial completion of trains 5 through 7 next year. They also emphasized their share repurchase program, having bought back approximately 4.4 million shares for over $1 billion during the quarter. Looking ahead, Cheniere expects 2026 to be a record year for LNG production, forecasting 51 to 53 million tonnes of production, driven by the startup of remaining trains at Corpus Christi Stage 3.

Cheniere Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cheniere Energy demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability and cash flow metrics. The income statement shows a solid gross profit margin of 36.6% and a net profit margin of 21.3%. The company has a healthy free cash flow growth rate of 93.1% in the TTM period. However, historical volatility in revenue growth and margins suggests potential risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Cheniere Energy's income statement shows a strong performance with a TTM gross profit margin of 36.6% and a net profit margin of 21.3%. The company has demonstrated a positive revenue growth rate of 3.6% in the TTM period, recovering from previous declines. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 28.5% and 43.8% respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, historical volatility in revenue growth and margins suggests potential risks.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a moderate financial position with a TTM debt-to-equity ratio of 0.48, indicating manageable leverage. The return on equity is strong at 64.8%, showcasing effective use of equity. However, the equity ratio is relatively low, which could pose risks in terms of financial stability. Historical high leverage ratios highlight past financial stress.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cheniere Energy's cash flow statement is strong, with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 93.1% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.37, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.89, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. The company has shown consistent improvement in cash flow metrics, enhancing its financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue18.84B15.78B20.28B33.76B17.64B9.39B
Gross Profit6.89B5.29B8.12B11.53B5.62B2.92B
EBITDA8.96B8.20B17.54B6.23B564.00M3.29B
Net Income4.00B3.25B9.88B1.43B-2.34B-85.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets45.10B43.86B43.08B41.27B39.26B35.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.40B2.64B4.07B1.35B1.40B1.63B
Total Debt26.45B25.59B26.32B27.95B31.95B31.66B
Total Liabilities33.64B33.80B34.06B41.44B39.29B33.48B
Stockholders Equity6.75B5.70B5.06B-2.97B-2.57B-191.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow4.56B3.16B6.30B8.69B1.50B-574.00M
Operating Cash Flow5.13B5.39B8.42B10.52B2.47B1.26B
Investing Cash Flow-2.84B-2.28B-2.20B-1.84B-912.00M-1.95B
Financing Cash Flow-3.97B-4.45B-4.18B-8.01B-1.82B-235.00M

Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price190.35
Price Trends
50DMA
211.70
Negative
100DMA
223.17
Negative
200DMA
226.03
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-6.27
Positive
RSI
20.72
Positive
STOCH
7.88
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 190.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 202.65, below the 50-day MA of 211.70, and below the 200-day MA of 226.03, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -6.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 20.72 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.88 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LNG.

Cheniere Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
82
Outperform
$44.76B13.0817.14%5.79%58.76%13.74%
76
Outperform
$68.75B12.0319.98%6.75%-6.46%-0.87%
76
Outperform
$71.33B30.2219.00%3.40%11.48%-17.82%
71
Outperform
$40.74B10.5367.52%1.08%17.12%14.58%
70
Outperform
$56.17B13.1013.09%8.02%-4.67%-8.06%
68
Neutral
$58.58B21.598.87%4.43%8.54%7.22%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
LNG
Cheniere Energy
190.35
-14.41
-7.04%
ET
Energy Transfer
16.39
-0.51
-3.02%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
31.78
3.34
11.74%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
26.65
1.91
7.72%
OKE
Oneok
73.05
-19.71
-21.25%
WMB
Williams Co
58.84
8.57
17.05%

Cheniere Energy Corporate Events

DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Cheniere Energy Increases Quarterly Dividend by 10%
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 28, 2025, Cheniere Energy announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.555 per share, marking an increase of over 10% from the previous quarter. This dividend, payable on November 18, 2025, reflects Cheniere’s strong financial performance and commitment to returning value to shareholders, reinforcing its position as a key player in the global LNG market.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025