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Cheniere Energy
(NYSE:LNG)
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Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$278.00
â–²(3.07% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:08/07/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong cash generation offset by leverage risk) and a very constructive earnings update with raised 2026 guidance and strong operational execution. These positives are moderated by a rich valuation (high P/E with modest yield) and mixed technical conditions that point to neutral-to-soft near-term momentum.
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Cheniere’s consistently positive operating cash flow and substantial free cash flow provide durable internal funding for growth capex, buybacks and dividends while supporting debt service. Strong cash generation reduces reliance on equity issuances and underpins long‑term capital allocation flexibility.
Negative Factors
High leverage and capital structure risk
Elevated long‑dated debt raises refinancing and interest‑cost exposure across cycles. Even with positive recent equity, persistent high leverage reduces financial flexibility, magnifies earnings sensitivity to commodity and volume swings, and can constrain discretionary investment or distributions during stress.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Cheniere’s consistently positive operating cash flow and substantial free cash flow provide durable internal funding for growth capex, buybacks and dividends while supporting debt service. Strong cash generation reduces reliance on equity issuances and underpins long‑term capital allocation flexibility.
Read all positive factors
Cheniere Energy (LNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$55.23B
Dividend Yield0.82%
Average Volume (3M)2.12M
Price to Earnings (P/E)42.9
Beta (1Y)0.16
Revenue Growth24.15%
EPS Growth-55.07%
CountryUS
Employees1,717
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Midstream
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)13.50
Shares Outstanding209,551,860
10 Day Avg. Volume1,769,110
30 Day Avg. Volume2,115,197
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.12
Price to Book (P/B)5.40
Price to Sales (P/S)2.18
P/FCF Ratio17.35
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$315.00Price Target Upside16.79% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering13
EPS Forecast (FY)-5.17
Revenue Forecast (FY)$22.28B
Cheniere Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cheniere Energy, Inc. is a U.S.-based energy company focused on liquefied natural gas (LNG) infrastructure and export. It develops, owns, and operates large-scale LNG liquefaction and export facilities and related pipeline assets, primarily along ...
How the Company Makes Money
Cheniere primarily makes money by selling LNG and selling liquefaction capacity and related services from its LNG export terminals. A major component of its business model is long-term LNG Sale and Purchase Agreements (SPAs) and other contracts th...
Cheniere Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presents a decidedly positive operational and financial narrative: strong Q2 financials, a 20% YoY production increase, meaningful upward revisions to full-year EBITDA and DCF guidance, continued project execution (Stage 3 near completion, mid‑scale trains progressing) and a materially de-risked Sabine Phase 1 via a lump-sum EPC. The company also took steps to reduce accounting-driven earnings volatility and returned substantial capital to shareholders. Offsetting these positives are significant macro and regional headwinds — the Strait of Hormuz disruption, a sizeable Middle East supply loss (~18 Mt), a global exports decline (~3 Mt YoY), an ~11 bcm European storage deficit and lower Chinese imports (~10% YoY) — which amplify market volatility and competitive dynamics. On balance, the company’s strong execution, upgraded guidance and balance-sheet actions outweigh the macro/lifecycle risks described during the call.Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Financial Results
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.8 billion, distributable cash flow (DCF) of approximately $1.2 billion and net income of about $3.1 billion (up nearly $1.5 billion vs. 2Q 2025).
Negative Updates
Severe Middle East Disruption and Supply Loss
Effective closure/constraint of Strait of Hormuz materially disrupted LNG supply; reduction in Qatar and UAE exports represented ~18 million tonnes lower LNG supply during the quarter and contributed to a global exports decline of ~3 million tonnes year-over-year.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Quarterly Financial Results
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $1.8 billion, distributable cash flow (DCF) of approximately $1.2 billion and net income of about $3.1 billion (up nearly $1.5 billion vs. 2Q 2025).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cheniere raised its full‑year 2026 outlook, now guiding consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $7.9–$8.4 billion (midpoint +$650 million) and distributable cash flow (DCF) of $5.3–$5.8 billion (midpoint +$550 million), while maintaining CQP distribution guidance of $3.10–$3.40 per common unit; the company tightened its 2026 production range to 53–54 million tonnes (≈+0.5 Mt at the midpoint) and says under 1 million tonnes (~50 TBtu) of 2026 volumes remain unsold, with a $1 move in market margins estimated to change full‑year EBITDA by less than $50 million. Management cited Q2 results that underpin the raise—consolidated adjusted EBITDA ≈ $1.8 billion, DCF ≈ $1.2 billion, net income ≈ $3.1 billion, and production of 184 cargoes / 672 TBtu (up 20% YoY)—plus operational drivers (Stage 3 >98% complete, Train 6 substantial completion, imminent Train 7 commissioning), optimization and debottlenecking; they also noted capital deployment in Q2 (declared dividend $0.555/share, repurchased ~2.2 million shares for $550 million, and funded ≈$1.1 billion of growth CapEx — ~$200 million equity / ~$900 million debt) and cautioned that a $500 million guidance bandwidth remains due to ramp timing, year‑end cargo timing and market volatility.Cheniere Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
77
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 22.25B | 19.63B | 15.78B | 20.28B | 33.76B | 17.64B |
| Gross Profit | 11.78B | 5.69B | 5.29B | 8.12B | 11.53B | 5.62B |
| EBITDA | 8.19B | 11.18B | 8.20B | 17.54B | 6.23B | 564.00M |
| Net Income | 2.92B | 5.33B | 3.25B | 9.88B | 1.43B | -2.34B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 47.97B | 49.13B | 43.86B | 43.08B | 41.27B | 39.26B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.52B | 1.58B | 2.64B | 4.07B | 1.35B | 1.40B |
| Total Debt | 3.92B | 28.61B | 25.59B | 26.32B | 27.95B | 31.95B |
| Total Liabilities | 36.48B | 36.05B | 33.80B | 34.06B | 41.44B | 39.29B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.19B | 7.92B | 5.70B | 5.06B | -2.97B | -2.57B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 7.04B | 2.46B | 3.16B | 6.30B | 8.69B | 1.50B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 6.14B | 5.54B | 5.39B | 8.42B | 10.52B | 2.47B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.50B | -2.89B | -2.28B | -2.20B | -1.84B | -912.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.14B | -4.25B | -4.45B | -4.18B | -8.01B | -1.82B |
Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis
Positive
269.72
Price Trends
248.15
Positive
255.26
Positive
233.22
Positive
Market Momentum
2.25
Positive
49.44
Neutral
46.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 269.72 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 261.14, above the 50-day MA of 248.15, and above the 200-day MA of 233.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.25 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LNG.
Cheniere Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | $82.32B | 13.21 | 21.18% | 5.65% | 7.17% | ― | |
74 Outperform | $70.06B | 15.19 | 15.11% | 6.56% | 12.46% | -10.48% | |
73 Outperform | $71.66B | 20.63 | 11.11% | 3.58% | 12.44% | 27.19% | |
68 Neutral | $55.23B | 42.93 | 47.41% | 0.80% | 24.15% | -55.07% | |
67 Neutral | $57.22B | 16.16 | 16.28% | 4.51% | 41.04% | 9.18% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
65 Neutral | $87.49B | 31.24 | 23.86% | 2.77% | 9.99% | 22.02% |
* Energy Sector Average
LNG
Cheniere Energy
256.14
27.84
12.19%
ET
Energy Transfer
20.13
4.16
26.09%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
37.75
8.50
29.08%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
30.85
5.00
19.33%
OKE
Oneok
86.42
16.56
23.71%
WMB
Williams Co
70.40
14.13
25.10%
Cheniere Energy Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Cheniere Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend, Affirms LNG Strategy
Positive
Jul 28, 2026
On July 28, 2026, Cheniere Energy’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.555 per common share, reinforcing its shareholder return strategy as a major U.S. LNG exporter. The dividend will be paid on August 18, 2026 to shareholders o...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cheniere Energy Adds Veteran Director to Strengthen Governance
Positive
Jul 15, 2026
On July 14, 2026, Cheniere Energy expanded its Board of Directors to ten members and appointed former McKesson Corporation CFO Britt Vitalone as an independent director. Vitalone joined the Audit and Compensation Committees and will receive standa...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cheniere Energy Expands Revolving Credit Facilities and Liquidity
Positive
Jul 2, 2026
On June 26, 2026, Cheniere Energy, Inc. increased the aggregate commitments under its Third Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Facility by $500 million to $1.75 billion and extended the facility’s maturity by one year to August 1, 2031, l...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cheniere Energy Partners Prices $1.75 Billion Note Offering
Neutral
Jun 9, 2026
On June 9, 2026, Cheniere Energy Partners closed a private offering of $1.75 billion in senior unsecured notes, split between $1 billion of 5.350% notes due 2036 and $750 million of 6.050% notes due 2056, issued under its existing indenture struct...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cheniere Energy Partners Refinances Debt, Extends Note Maturities
Positive
May 27, 2026
On May 26, 2026, Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. entered into a purchase agreement with BofA Securities and other initial purchasers to issue $1 billion of 5.350% senior notes due 2036 and $750 million of 6.050% senior notes due 2056, both sold sli...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cheniere Energy Shareholders Back Directors and Executive Pay
Positive
May 15, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Cheniere Energy, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, with approximately 88.08% of outstanding common stock represented in person or by proxy. Shareholders elected all nominated directors to one-year terms ending at ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.