Cheniere Energy (LNG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $50.73B
• Dividend Yield: 0.87%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.95M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 13.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.58
• Revenue Growth: 11.20%
• EPS Growth: -8.80%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,714
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 48
• Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream
• EPS (TTM): 7.30
• Shares Outstanding: 219,768,100
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,983,456
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,949,486
• PEG Ratio: -0.23
• Price to Book (P/B): 8.61
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.13
• P/FCF Ratio: 15.55
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 1.64
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 4.93
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 9.04
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 11.41
• 1Y Price Target: $271.73
• Price Target Upside: 18.12% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 15

• Rating: 76 Outperform
• Price Target: $261.00 ▲(13.45% Upside)

Cheniere Energy's strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives are the most significant factors driving the stock score. While technical indicators suggest some short-term caution, the company's attractive valuation and positive corporate events support a favorable outlook.

Positive Factors

Contracts and Partnerships

Cheniere announced the signing of a 20-year 1MTPA SPA between JERA and Cheniere marketing, raising guided CMI run-rate fixed fee.

Financial Performance

Cheniere reported continued optimization benefits, booking an additional $92MM in the quarter.

Negative Factors

Market Conditions

The introduction of tariffs from the US and potential retaliatory tariffs has weighed on energy equities.

Spot Commodity Prices

LNG maintained guide despite spot margins falling from >$8/mcf to <$6/mcf.

Cheniere Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cheniere Energy, Inc., an energy infrastructure company, primarily engages in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) related businesses in the United States. It owns and operates the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana; and the Corpus Christi LNG terminal near Corpus Christi, Texas. The company also owns Creole Trail pipeline, a 94-mile natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal with several interstate and intrastate pipelines; and operates Corpus Christi pipeline, a 21.5-mile natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Corpus Christi LNG terminal with various interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines. It is also involved in the LNG and natural gas marketing business. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

How the Company Makes Money

Cheniere Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of LNG under long-term contracts and spot market transactions. The company's revenue model is largely based on the pricing of natural gas and LNG, with earnings derived from liquefaction fees charged to customers who purchase LNG. Key revenue streams include contracts with utility companies, trading firms, and other industrial users globally. Additionally, Cheniere has formed strategic partnerships with various energy companies to secure long-term supply agreements, enhancing its revenue stability. The company also benefits from favorable market conditions, such as increased demand for LNG in international markets, particularly in Asia and Europe, which drives up prices and contributes to its earnings.

Cheniere Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cheniere Energy exhibits strong financial performance with substantial profitability margins and effective cash flow management. The company has shown resilience in revenue growth and operational efficiency, although the balance sheet indicates a need for cautious management of leverage to mitigate risks associated with liabilities.

Income Statement

Cheniere Energy's income statement shows solid performance in TTM with a gross profit margin of 54.57%, net profit margin of 18.37%, and an EBIT margin of 35.13%. The revenue growth rate is 7.56% from the previous annual period, indicating positive business momentum. However, the EBITDA margin decreased compared to EBIT, suggesting higher depreciation or amortization costs.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Cheniere Energy reflects a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, showing moderate leverage compared to the industry. The equity ratio stands at 12.82%, indicating a weaker equity position relative to total assets. The return on equity for TTM is an impressive 55.61%, driven by strong net income, but the overall capital structure still poses potential risks due to relatively high liabilities.

Cash Flow

Cheniere Energy's cash flow statement demonstrates robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.73, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.94, highlighting strong free cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is a modest 90.95%, reflecting a decline compared to the previous period.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	16.89B	15.78B	20.28B	33.76B	17.64B	9.39B
Gross Profit	9.22B	5.29B	8.12B	11.53B	5.62B	2.92B
EBITDA	7.31B	8.20B	17.54B	6.23B	564.00M	3.29B
Net Income	3.10B	3.25B	9.88B	1.43B	-2.34B	-85.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	43.55B	43.86B	43.08B	41.27B	39.26B	35.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.51B	2.64B	4.07B	1.35B	1.40B	1.63B
Total Debt	25.34B	25.59B	26.32B	27.95B	31.95B	31.66B
Total Liabilities	33.45B	33.80B	34.06B	41.44B	39.29B	33.48B
Stockholders Equity	5.58B	5.70B	5.06B	-2.97B	-2.57B	-191.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	3.17B	3.16B	6.30B	8.69B	1.50B	-574.00M
Operating Cash Flow	5.38B	5.39B	8.42B	10.52B	2.47B	1.26B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.16B	-2.28B	-2.20B	-1.84B	-912.00M	-1.95B
Financing Cash Flow	-5.18B	-4.45B	-4.18B	-8.01B	-1.82B	-235.00M

Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 230.05
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 230.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 232.11, below the 50-day MA of 235.18, and above the 200-day MA of 223.30, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 45.81 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LNG.

Cheniere Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
EPD	79 Outperform	$68.19B	11.75	20.43%	6.87%	-0.55%	2.14%
LNG	76 Outperform	$50.73B	13.45	68.91%	0.87%	11.20%	-8.80%
ET	75 Outperform	$58.90B	13.24	13.73%	7.60%	-3.65%	9.69%
KMI	70 Outperform	$59.75B	22.06	8.86%	4.31%	3.95%	11.32%
WMB	68 Neutral	$70.69B	29.21	19.64%	3.36%	10.57%	-14.22%
CQP	62 Neutral	$25.47B	12.72	112.19%	6.21%	10.62%	5.04%
Sector *	45 Neutral	AU$1.34B	-9.84	-2.14%	8.44%	2.33%	-32.99%

Cheniere Energy Corporate Events

Cheniere Energy Completes $1 Billion Senior Notes Sale

On July 10, 2025, Cheniere Energy Partners, a subsidiary of Cheniere Energy, completed the sale of $1.0 billion in senior notes due 2035, with a 5.550% interest rate. This move, executed through a private placement, strengthens Cheniere’s financial position and provides flexibility for future operations, while also involving a Registration Rights Agreement to ensure compliance with SEC regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $252.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Issues $1 Billion in Senior Notes

On June 25, 2025, Cheniere Energy Partners, a subsidiary of Cheniere Energy, entered into a purchase agreement to issue and sell $1 billion in senior notes due 2035. The proceeds from this issuance are intended to fund the partial redemption of $1 billion in outstanding senior secured notes due 2026, enhancing the company’s financial strategy and potentially impacting its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Expands Corpus Christi Project

On June 24, 2025, Cheniere Energy announced a positive final investment decision for the expansion of its Corpus Christi Liquefaction Project, including the construction of two new midscale liquefaction trains, expected to increase its capacity by over 10% to more than 60 mtpa by 2028. The company also updated its outlook, projecting over $25 billion in available cash through 2030 for growth and shareholder returns, and plans to increase its dividend by over 10% in the third quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend

On June 17, 2025, Cheniere Energy, Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.500 per share, payable on August 18, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 8, 2025. This dividend declaration underscores Cheniere’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and highlights its robust financial position within the LNG industry, potentially enhancing investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Holds 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting

On May 15, 2025, Cheniere Energy, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where approximately 87.99% of the company’s common stock was represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected directors for a one-year term, approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers for 2024, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.