Cheniere Energy Inc. (LNG)
NYSE:LNG
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Cheniere Energy
(NYSE:LNG)
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Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$265.00
â–²(5.55% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:05/16/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial performance (strong, sustained cash generation) and a notably positive earnings update (raised 2026 EBITDA/DCF guidance and strong operational execution). This is partially offset by weak technical momentum (below key moving averages with negative MACD) and valuation uncertainty due to a negative P/E and modest yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Cheniere’s multi-year ability to generate sizable operating cash flow and near‑par free cash flow versus net income underpins durable funding for capex, dividends and buybacks. Robust FCF supports capital allocation flexibility and resilience through commodity cycles over the next 2–6 months.
Negative Factors
Historically high leverage
Although leverage has meaningfully improved, the company’s history of high debt and past negative equity indicates structural sensitivity to profit swings. Elevated leverage can constrain flexibility for additional investment or weathering prolonged margin weakness over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Cheniere’s multi-year ability to generate sizable operating cash flow and near‑par free cash flow versus net income underpins durable funding for capex, dividends and buybacks. Robust FCF supports capital allocation flexibility and resilience through commodity cycles over the next 2–6 months.
Read all positive factors
Cheniere Energy (LNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$50.47B
Dividend Yield1.07%
Average Volume (3M)2.34M
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.24
Revenue Growth24.15%
EPS Growth-55.07%
CountryUS
Employees1,714
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Midstream
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)6.14
Shares Outstanding209,551,860
10 Day Avg. Volume2,182,825
30 Day Avg. Volume2,339,002
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.11
Price to Book (P/B)5.40
Price to Sales (P/S)2.18
P/FCF Ratio17.35
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.49
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.57
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit9.85
Enterprise Value/Ebitda6.24
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$310.17Price Target Upside23.54% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering13
EPS Forecast (FY)7.03
Revenue Forecast (FY)$22.23B
Cheniere Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cheniere Energy, Inc., an energy infrastructure company, primarily engages in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) related businesses in the United States. It owns and operates the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana; and the Corpus C...
How the Company Makes Money
Cheniere primarily makes money by producing and selling LNG under long-term contracts and through marketing/trading activities. Its core revenue stream is liquefaction and LNG sales from its terminals (notably Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi), wher...
Cheniere Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a materially positive operational and financial picture: record quarterly exports, strong adjusted EBITDA and DCF, upwardly revised full-year guidance, accelerated project execution (Stage 3 and midscale trains), disciplined capital allocation including sizable buybacks and dividend growth targets, and improved credit ratings. Key negatives centered on GAAP net loss driven by mark-to-market derivative volatility, significant near-term market disruption from the Middle East (reducing global LNG supply and increasing price/physical volatility), Europe’s tight storage, and some demand pullback in price-sensitive markets. On balance, the company’s operational progress, guidance upgrade, improved liquidity and capital allocation actions outweigh the challenges from market volatility and accounting-driven GAAP losses.Positive Updates
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Generated consolidated adjusted EBITDA of over $2.3 billion and distributable cash flow (DCF) of approximately $1.7 billion in Q1 2026; adjusted net income (after excluding unrealized non-cash derivative impacts) of ~ $1 billion for the quarter.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss Driven by Derivative Mark-to-Market
Reported GAAP net loss of approximately $3.5 billion in Q1 2026, primarily due to unrealized non-cash derivative losses (related to long-term IPM agreements) from surging international gas prices and increased volatility.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Q1 Financial Performance
Generated consolidated adjusted EBITDA of over $2.3 billion and distributable cash flow (DCF) of approximately $1.7 billion in Q1 2026; adjusted net income (after excluding unrealized non-cash derivative impacts) of ~ $1 billion for the quarter.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cheniere raised its full‑year 2026 guidance to consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $7.25–$7.75 billion (midpoint +$500M) and distributable cash flow (DCF) of $4.75–$5.25 billion (midpoint +$400M), while maintaining CQP distribution guidance of $3.10–$3.40 per common unit; management increased the production forecast by ~1 million tonnes to ~52–54 million tonnes (Q1 production recognized 6.46 TBtu), reported Q1 consolidated adjusted EBITDA of over $2.3 billion and DCF of ≈$1.7 billion, expects under 1 million tonnes (less than ~50 TBtu) of unsold 2026 volumes remaining, and notes that a $1 change in market margins would move full‑year EBITDA by less than ~$50 million—while keeping a $500 million guidance range to reflect risks from train ramp timing (Trains 6/7), production variability, optimization contributions, and Henry Hub volatility, with Q1 likely the lowest quarter and Q4 likely the highest as ramp and seasonality unfold.Cheniere Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 21.06B | 19.63B | 15.78B | 20.28B | 33.76B | 17.64B |
| Gross Profit | 7.63B | 5.69B | 5.29B | 8.12B | 11.53B | 5.62B |
| EBITDA | 12.03B | 11.18B | 8.20B | 17.54B | 6.23B | 564.00M |
| Net Income | 1.48B | 5.33B | 3.25B | 9.88B | 1.43B | -2.34B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 46.84B | 49.13B | 43.86B | 43.08B | 41.27B | 39.26B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.77B | 1.58B | 2.64B | 4.07B | 1.35B | 1.40B |
| Total Debt | 26.41B | 28.61B | 25.59B | 26.32B | 27.95B | 31.95B |
| Total Liabilities | 38.17B | 36.05B | 33.80B | 34.06B | 41.44B | 39.29B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.75B | 7.92B | 5.70B | 5.06B | -2.97B | -2.57B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 4.53B | 2.46B | 3.16B | 6.30B | 8.69B | 1.50B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 5.39B | 5.54B | 5.39B | 8.42B | 10.52B | 2.47B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.33B | -2.89B | -2.28B | -2.20B | -1.84B | -912.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -3.16B | -4.25B | -4.45B | -4.18B | -8.01B | -1.82B |
Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis
Negative
251.07
Price Trends
263.11
Negative
239.74
Positive
229.13
Positive
Market Momentum
-5.62
Positive
39.09
Neutral
31.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNG, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 251.07 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 252.65, below the 50-day MA of 263.11, and above the 200-day MA of 229.13, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -5.62 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 39.09 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for LNG.
Cheniere Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $75.18B | 19.11 | 10.69% | 4.27% | 12.38% | 28.17% | |
73 Outperform | $69.06B | 13.25 | 13.97% | 8.04% | 12.46% | -10.48% | |
73 Outperform | $85.74B | 13.95 | 20.04% | 6.72% | -9.49% | 1.01% | |
73 Outperform | $59.24B | 18.41 | 15.92% | 5.61% | 41.04% | 9.18% | |
70 Outperform | $50.47B | -4.26 | 23.48% | 1.07% | 24.15% | -55.07% | |
70 Outperform | $95.97B | 24.40 | 22.37% | 3.35% | 9.99% | 22.02% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
* Energy Sector Average
LNG
Cheniere Energy
240.85
11.44
4.99%
ET
Energy Transfer
20.07
3.41
20.46%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
39.63
10.13
34.32%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
33.79
6.72
24.83%
OKE
Oneok
94.03
16.56
21.37%
WMB
Williams Co
78.47
20.28
34.84%
Cheniere Energy Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cheniere Energy Shareholders Back Directors and Executive Pay
Positive
May 15, 2026
On May 14, 2026, Cheniere Energy, Inc. held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, with approximately 88.08% of outstanding common stock represented in person or by proxy. Shareholders elected all nominated directors to one-year terms ending at ...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Cheniere Energy Declares Quarterly Dividend, Signaling Ongoing Strength
Positive
Apr 28, 2026
On April 28, 2026, Cheniere Energy, Inc. announced that its board had declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.555 per common share, reinforcing its practice of returning capital to shareholders. The dividend will be paid on May 19, 2026 to invest...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Cheniere Energy Announces Chairman Retirement and Leadership Changes
Neutral
Apr 6, 2026
On April 6, 2026, Cheniere Energy announced that long-serving chairman G. Andrea Botta will retire from the board following the May 14, 2026 annual shareholders’ meeting, after 16 years as a director and 10 years as chairman. At that time, P...
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cheniere Energy Completes $1.75 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Cheniere Energy, Inc. closed a private offering of $1 billion of 5.200% Senior Notes due 2036 and $750 million of 6.000% Senior Notes due 2056, issued just below par and structured as senior unsubordinated obligations that rank ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cheniere Energy Announces New Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Mar 6, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Cheniere Energy Inc. entered into a purchase agreement with initial purchasers led by Goldman Sachs Co. LLC to issue $1 billion of 5.200% senior notes due 2036 and $750 million of 6.000% senior notes due 2056, both sold slightly...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.