Cheniere Energy (LNG) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $54.18B
• Dividend Yield: 0.97%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.83M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 17.8
• Beta (1Y): 0.64
• Revenue Growth: -2.16%
• EPS Growth: -33.56%
• Country: US
• Employees: 1,714
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 44
• Industry: Oil & Gas Midstream
• EPS (TTM): 1.57
• Shares Outstanding: 221,785,480
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,875,182
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,827,619
• PEG Ratio: -4.27
• Price to Book (P/B): 9.47
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.00
• P/FCF Ratio: 8.70
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.96
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.80
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 5.66
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 1.63
• 1Y Price Target: $267.60
• Price Target Upside: 9.55% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 16

• Rating: 74 Outperform
• Price Target: $271.00 ▲(10.94%Upside)

Cheniere Energy's strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights are balanced by moderate technical indicators and valuation metrics. The company's strategic project progress and financial management offer growth potential, but market volatility remains a concern.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

LNG upgraded its Stage 3 startup schedule, with train 3 firmly guided to completion in 2025 and train 4 commissioning this year.

Share Buybacks

The company disclosed it repurchased $200MM given the decline in equity and has $1.5B excess cash on the balance sheet.

Negative Factors

Market Impact

LNG downplayed potential market impacts from RUS/UKR war ending, citing a peer that suggested increased RUS piped gas to EUR.

Tariffs

The introduction of tariffs from the US and potential retaliatory tariffs has weighed on energy equities.

Cheniere Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Cheniere Energy, Inc. is a leading energy company primarily engaged in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) sector. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Cheniere operates two major LNG terminals located in Sabine Pass, Louisiana, and Corpus Christi, Texas. The company is a prominent player in the LNG industry, focusing on the production, marketing, and export of LNG to global markets. Cheniere Energy is instrumental in facilitating the transition to cleaner energy sources by providing a reliable supply of LNG to meet growing international demand.

How the Company Makes Money

Cheniere Energy makes money through the production and export of liquefied natural gas (LNG). The company's revenue model primarily revolves around long-term contracts with customers worldwide, ensuring a steady and predictable cash flow. These contracts often include take-or-pay agreements, where customers are obligated to pay for LNG regardless of whether they take delivery, providing Cheniere with financial stability. Additionally, Cheniere generates revenue through spot market sales, where LNG is sold at market rates based on supply and demand dynamics. Significant partnerships with global energy companies and investments in infrastructure expansions further enhance Cheniere's earnings potential, as they enable the company to increase production capacity and efficiency. The company's strategic positioning in the LNG value chain and its ability to access diverse markets contribute significantly to its financial performance.

Cheniere Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Cheniere Energy demonstrates strong financial performance with robust profitability margins and efficient cash flow management. However, the balance sheet suggests a need for cautious leverage management due to high liabilities.

Income Statement

Cheniere Energy's income statement shows solid performance in TTM with a gross profit margin of 54.57%, net profit margin of 18.37%, and an EBIT margin of 35.13%. The revenue growth rate is 7.56% from the previous annual period, indicating positive business momentum. However, the EBITDA margin decreased compared to EBIT, suggesting higher depreciation or amortization costs.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet of Cheniere Energy reflects a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51, showing moderate leverage compared to the industry. The equity ratio stands at 12.82%, indicating a weaker equity position relative to total assets. The return on equity for TTM is an impressive 55.61%, driven by strong net income, but the overall capital structure still poses potential risks due to relatively high liabilities.

Cash Flow

Cheniere Energy's cash flow statement demonstrates robust operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.73, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.94, highlighting strong free cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow growth rate is a modest 90.95%, reflecting a decline compared to the previous period.

Breakdown	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	15.70B	20.39B	33.43B	15.86B	9.36B
Gross Profit	6.61B	16.01B	5.00B	-364.00M	2.94B
EBITDA	4.27B	16.91B	5.62B	171.00M	3.57B
Net Income	3.25B	9.88B	1.43B	-2.34B	-85.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	43.86B	43.08B	41.27B	39.26B	35.70B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	2.64B	4.07B	1.35B	1.40B	1.63B
Total Debt	25.59B	26.79B	27.95B	31.95B	31.66B
Total Liabilities	33.80B	34.06B	41.44B	39.29B	33.48B
Stockholders Equity	5.70B	5.06B	-2.97B	-2.57B	-191.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	3.16B	6.30B	8.69B	1.50B	-574.00M
Operating Cash Flow	5.39B	8.42B	10.52B	2.47B	1.26B
Investing Cash Flow	-2.28B	-2.20B	-1.84B	-912.00M	-1.95B
Financing Cash Flow	-4.45B	-4.18B	-8.01B	-1.82B	-235.00M

Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 244.28
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 244.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 237.52, above the 50-day MA of 236.02, and above the 200-day MA of 219.99, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.76 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.46 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LNG.

Cheniere Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
ET	76 Outperform	$59.95B	13.16	13.73%	9.23%	1.04%	22.31%
LNG	74 Outperform	$54.18B	17.85	63.13%	0.97%	-2.16%	-33.56%
EPD	74 Outperform	$68.00B	11.78	20.49%	6.76%	9.10%	4.37%
WMB	70 Outperform	$72.47B	31.84	18.32%	3.29%	8.63%	-20.98%
KMI	70 Outperform	$61.95B	22.87	8.86%	4.14%	3.95%	11.32%
Sector *	67 Neutral	$15.20B	9.67	6.33%	6.14%	4.05%	-66.98%
CQP	58 Neutral	$26.44B	13.06	124.29%	5.97%	3.94%	9.35%

Cheniere Energy Corporate Events

Cheniere Energy Completes $1 Billion Senior Notes Sale

On July 10, 2025, Cheniere Energy Partners, a subsidiary of Cheniere Energy, completed the sale of $1.0 billion in senior notes due 2035, with a 5.550% interest rate. This move, executed through a private placement, strengthens Cheniere’s financial position and provides flexibility for future operations, while also involving a Registration Rights Agreement to ensure compliance with SEC regulations.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $252.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Issues $1 Billion in Senior Notes

On June 25, 2025, Cheniere Energy Partners, a subsidiary of Cheniere Energy, entered into a purchase agreement to issue and sell $1 billion in senior notes due 2035. The proceeds from this issuance are intended to fund the partial redemption of $1 billion in outstanding senior secured notes due 2026, enhancing the company’s financial strategy and potentially impacting its market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Expands Corpus Christi Project

On June 24, 2025, Cheniere Energy announced a positive final investment decision for the expansion of its Corpus Christi Liquefaction Project, including the construction of two new midscale liquefaction trains, expected to increase its capacity by over 10% to more than 60 mtpa by 2028. The company also updated its outlook, projecting over $25 billion in available cash through 2030 for growth and shareholder returns, and plans to increase its dividend by over 10% in the third quarter of 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend

On June 17, 2025, Cheniere Energy, Inc. announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.500 per share, payable on August 18, 2025, to shareholders of record as of August 8, 2025. This dividend declaration underscores Cheniere’s commitment to returning value to its shareholders and highlights its robust financial position within the LNG industry, potentially enhancing investor confidence and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Holds 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting

On May 15, 2025, Cheniere Energy, Inc. held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where approximately 87.99% of the company’s common stock was represented. During the meeting, shareholders elected directors for a one-year term, approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers for 2024, and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025. These decisions reflect the company’s ongoing governance and operational strategies, potentially impacting its market positioning and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (LNG) stock is a Buy with a $217.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy stock, see the LNG Stock Forecast page.

Cheniere Energy Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend

On April 29, 2025, Cheniere Energy, Inc. declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.500 per share, payable on May 19, 2025, to shareholders of record as of May 9, 2025. This announcement reflects Cheniere’s ongoing commitment to returning value to its shareholders and may enhance its attractiveness to investors, potentially impacting its market positioning positively.