Cheniere Energy (LNG)
NYSE:LNG
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Cheniere Energy
(NYSE:LNG)
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Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$321.00
â–²(23.61% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/20/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance and an attractive low P/E valuation, supported by constructive guidance and high contracted volumes. These positives are tempered by cash-flow softness versus 2024 and elevated technical overbought signals that increase near-term volatility risk.
Positive Factors
Contracted Revenue Stability
Very high contractedness (tolling and long‑term SPAs) provides durable, predictable cash flows and downside protection versus pure spot sellers. This supports capital planning, credit metrics and long‑dated returns, reducing revenue volatility from short‑term LNG price swings.
Negative Factors
Spot Margin Sensitivity
Despite a large contracted base, spot and marketed cargoes remain an important earnings swing. Structural weakness in global spot margins directly reduces incremental returns from optimization and marketing, creating multi‑period downside to DCF when global gas spreads contract.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Contracted Revenue Stability
Very high contractedness (tolling and long‑term SPAs) provides durable, predictable cash flows and downside protection versus pure spot sellers. This supports capital planning, credit metrics and long‑dated returns, reducing revenue volatility from short‑term LNG price swings.
Read all positive factors
Cheniere Energy (LNG) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$54.99B
Dividend Yield1.07%
Average Volume (3M)3.86M
Price to Earnings (P/E)8.0
Beta (1Y)0.31
Revenue Growth17.12%
EPS Growth14.58%
CountryUS
Employees1,714
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Midstream
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)10.68
Shares Outstanding210,202,880
10 Day Avg. Volume3,109,891
30 Day Avg. Volume3,856,708
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.11
Price to Book (P/B)5.40
Price to Sales (P/S)2.18
P/FCF Ratio17.35
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.47
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.10
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit11.34
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.35
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$309.54Price Target Upside19.20% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering13
EPS Forecast (FY)14.97
Revenue Forecast (FY)$22.05B
Cheniere Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Cheniere Energy, Inc., an energy infrastructure company, primarily engages in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) related businesses in the United States. It owns and operates the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana; and the Corpus C...
How the Company Makes Money
Cheniere primarily makes money by producing and selling LNG under long-term contracts and through marketing/trading activities. Its core revenue stream is liquefaction and LNG sales from its terminals (notably Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi), wher...
Cheniere Energy Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 07, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a predominantly positive operational and financial performance: record 2025 production and cargo volumes, strong full-year adjusted EBITDA and DCF (DCF above guidance), substantial progress on Stage 3 with Train 5 first LNG, robust contracting (including a new long-term SPA with CPC) and very high contractedness (>95% for the next decade). Management completed its multi‑year capital allocation plan early, increased buyback authorization, and maintained strong liquidity and balance sheet improvements. Key challenges include moderated spot margins expected in 2026, higher O&M/turnaround costs, feed-gas variability requiring resiliency capital, and competitive/market economics that are below Cheniere’s premium brownfield thresholds—issues management is actively addressing. Overall, the positive operational execution, strong cash generation, substantial contracting and capital allocation progress outweigh the manageable operational and market headwinds.Positive Updates
Strong Full-Year Financials (2025)
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $6,940,000,000 for full-year 2025 (Q4 ~ $2,000,000,000); distributable cash flow (DCF) of ~ $5,300,000,000 for 2025 (Q4 ~ $1,500,000,000), which was approximately $100,000,000 above the high end of guidance; net income of ~ $2,300,000,000 in Q4.
Negative Updates
Lower Spot Margins Expected in 2026
2026 guidance reflects lower margins on spot cargoes versus 2025 due to moderated spot prices; management noted market economics for U.S. product are below the company's $2.50–$3.00 production-fee target (i.e., market margins currently below $2.50/ton standard).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Full-Year Financials (2025)
Consolidated adjusted EBITDA of approximately $6,940,000,000 for full-year 2025 (Q4 ~ $2,000,000,000); distributable cash flow (DCF) of ~ $5,300,000,000 for 2025 (Q4 ~ $1,500,000,000), which was approximately $100,000,000 above the high end of guidance; net income of ~ $2,300,000,000 in Q4.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Cheniere's 2026 guidance calls for consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $6.75–$7.25 billion and distributable cash flow of $4.35–$4.85 billion, with CQP per‑unit distributions of $3.10–$3.40; production is forecast at ~51–53 million tons (up ~5 million tons year‑over‑year), reflecting Stage 3 ramp and planned maintenance, and includes a one‑time alternative fuel tax credit benefit of over $300 million to EBITDA and DCF in Q1. Commercially, the company forecasts ~46–47 million tons under long‑term contracts in 2026, ~1 million tons commissioning/in‑transit, over 4 million tons forward‑sold by CMI to date, and expects less than 1 million tons (~<50 TBtu) of unsold open capacity (with >95% of capacity contracted through the next decade); the $500 million‑wide guidance ranges reflect higher production offset by lower spot margins and timing/optimization variability, and management said it will tighten ranges as visibility improves.Cheniere Energy Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
Cash Flow
71
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 19.63B | 15.78B | 20.28B | 33.76B | 17.64B |
| Gross Profit | 5.69B | 5.29B | 8.12B | 11.53B | 5.62B |
| EBITDA | 11.18B | 8.20B | 17.54B | 6.23B | 564.00M |
| Net Income | 5.33B | 3.25B | 9.88B | 1.43B | -2.34B |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 49.13B | 43.86B | 43.08B | 41.27B | 39.26B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.58B | 2.64B | 4.07B | 1.35B | 1.40B |
| Total Debt | 28.61B | 25.59B | 26.32B | 27.95B | 31.95B |
| Total Liabilities | 36.05B | 33.80B | 34.06B | 41.44B | 39.29B |
| Stockholders Equity | 7.92B | 5.70B | 5.06B | -2.97B | -2.57B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 2.46B | 3.16B | 6.30B | 8.69B | 1.50B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 5.54B | 5.39B | 8.42B | 10.52B | 2.47B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -2.89B | -2.28B | -2.20B | -1.84B | -912.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -4.25B | -4.45B | -4.18B | -8.01B | -1.82B |
Cheniere Energy Technical Analysis
Positive
259.68
Price Trends
249.86
Positive
224.74
Positive
226.72
Positive
Market Momentum
4.08
Positive
44.29
Neutral
10.84
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For LNG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 259.68 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 278.27, above the 50-day MA of 249.86, and above the 200-day MA of 226.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 4.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.29 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 10.84 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for LNG.
Cheniere Energy Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
78 Outperform | $54.99B | 8.01 | 79.10% | 1.07% | 17.12% | 14.58% | |
75 Outperform | $53.74B | 13.64 | 15.47% | 5.61% | 58.76% | 13.74% | |
73 Outperform | $80.89B | 12.07 | 19.84% | 6.72% | -6.46% | -0.87% | |
70 Outperform | $71.35B | 20.01 | 9.92% | 4.27% | 8.54% | 7.22% | |
67 Neutral | $64.85B | 12.28 | 14.09% | 8.04% | -4.67% | -8.06% | |
67 Neutral | $87.48B | 28.03 | 20.84% | 3.35% | 11.48% | -17.82% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% |
* Energy Sector Average
LNG
Cheniere Energy
259.68
34.39
15.27%
ET
Energy Transfer
18.73
3.06
19.50%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
37.25
8.83
31.07%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
31.65
5.81
22.50%
OKE
Oneok
84.84
4.52
5.62%
WMB
Williams Co
71.44
15.03
26.64%
Cheniere Energy Corporate Events
Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Cheniere Energy Completes $1.75 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Cheniere Energy, Inc. closed a private offering of $1 billion of 5.200% Senior Notes due 2036 and $750 million of 6.000% Senior Notes due 2056, issued just below par and structured as senior unsubordinated obligations that rank ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Cheniere Energy Announces New Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Mar 6, 2026
On March 5, 2026, Cheniere Energy Inc. entered into a purchase agreement with initial purchasers led by Goldman Sachs Co. LLC to issue $1 billion of 5.200% senior notes due 2036 and $750 million of 6.000% senior notes due 2056, both sold slightly...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Cheniere Energy Board Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Jan 27, 2026
On January 27, 2026, Cheniere Energy, Inc.’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.555 per common share, payable on February 27, 2026, to shareholders of record as of February 6, 2026. The dividend underscores the company’s on...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.