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Cheniere Energy Partners LP (CQP)
NYSE:CQP
US Market

Cheniere Energy Partners (CQP) AI Stock Analysis

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CQP

Cheniere Energy Partners

(NYSE:CQP)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
$59.00
â–²(2.32% Upside)
Cheniere Energy Partners' strong cash flow and reasonable valuation are offset by significant financial risks due to high leverage and declining profitability margins. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, which could impact future stock performance.
Positive Factors
Free Cash Flow Generation
Sustained free cash flow growth and operating cash conversion indicate the business can internally fund operations, maintenance capex and distributions. Durable cash generation supports debt servicing and reinvestment even if commodity cycles turn lower over the next several months.
Fee-based Long-term Contracts
A business model built on long-term, fee-based contracts reduces exposure to spot gas price volatility and creates predictable revenue streams. This structural stability enables planning for capex, debt repayments and customer commitments over multi-year horizons.
Strategic Asset & Integrated Capabilities
Owning a large, integrated LNG terminal with both liquefaction and regasification creates a durable competitive position and high barriers to entry. Scale and terminal flexibility support long-term demand capture from evolving global LNG markets and customer needs.
Negative Factors
Highly Levered Balance Sheet
Negative equity and elevated leverage point to constrained financial flexibility and higher refinancing risk. Over a multi-month horizon rising rates or weaker LNG cash flows could strain liquidity, limit strategic investment and increase funding costs.
Eroding Profitability Margins
Declining gross and net margins reduce the firm's buffer against cost inflation and lower utilization. Persisting margin compression would weaken cash available for debt service and distributions, making the partnership more sensitive to operational or market shocks.
Reliance on Debt Financing
Material dependence on debt financing increases exposure to interest rate and refinancing cycles and limits capacity to raise equity quickly. This structural funding risk could constrain growth projects or force higher payouts to creditors under adverse market conditions.

Cheniere Energy Partners (CQP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cheniere Energy Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCheniere Energy Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, owns and operates natural gas liquefaction and export facility at the Sabine Pass liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal located in Cameron Parish, Louisiana. The company's regasification facilities include five LNG storage tanks with an aggregate capacity of approximately 17 billion cubic feet equivalent; two marine berths that accommodate vessels with capacity of up to 266,000 cubic meters; and vaporizers with regasification capacity of approximately 4 billion cubic feet per day. It also owns a 94-mile pipeline that interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG terminal with various interstate pipelines. Cheniere Energy Partners GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyCheniere Energy Partners generates revenue primarily through long-term contracts and fees associated with the liquefaction of natural gas into LNG. The company has established a series of long-term, fee-based contracts with various customers, which provide stable and predictable cash flow. Key revenue streams include liquefaction services, where customers pay for the conversion of natural gas into LNG, and regasification services for imported LNG. Additionally, CQP benefits from its strategic partnerships with Cheniere Energy, Inc. and other stakeholders, which enhance its operational capabilities and market reach. The increasing global demand for LNG, driven by the shift towards cleaner energy, further supports the company’s revenue growth.

Cheniere Energy Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Cheniere Energy Partners shows strong cash flow generation and profitability with a modest revenue growth rate. However, high leverage and negative equity position present significant financial risks. The declining margins indicate challenges in maintaining profitability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Cheniere Energy Partners has shown a modest revenue growth rate of 3.5% in the TTM period, recovering from a decline in previous years. The gross profit margin of 32.2% and net profit margin of 22.5% indicate solid profitability, although both have decreased compared to prior periods. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting efficient operations. However, the declining trend in margins from previous years suggests potential challenges in maintaining profitability.
Balance Sheet
40
Negative
The balance sheet reveals significant leverage with a negative stockholders' equity and a high debt-to-equity ratio of -1.74 in the TTM period, indicating financial instability. The negative return on equity further highlights the challenges in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio is also negative, suggesting a reliance on debt financing. These factors pose risks to financial stability and future growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a positive trend with a 5.2% growth in free cash flow in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.62 and free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.98 indicate strong cash generation relative to earnings. This suggests good liquidity and the ability to fund operations and investments, despite the high leverage.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue10.31B8.70B9.66B17.21B9.43B6.17B
Gross Profit3.94B4.45B6.25B4.47B3.49B3.03B
EBITDA3.77B3.99B5.75B4.00B3.02B2.64B
Net Income2.32B2.51B4.25B2.50B1.63B1.18B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.83B17.45B18.10B19.63B19.36B19.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments164.00M379.00M575.00M904.00M974.00M1.21B
Total Debt14.76B15.27B15.99B16.31B17.27B17.68B
Total Liabilities17.18B17.96B18.89B21.76B18.64B18.61B
Stockholders Equity2.30B1.82B1.04B-1.12B1.02B714.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.71B2.81B2.89B3.70B1.64B779.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.76B2.97B3.11B4.15B2.29B1.75B
Investing Cash Flow-230.00M-162.00M-227.00M-451.00M-648.00M-972.00M
Financing Cash Flow-2.77B-3.06B-3.25B-3.68B-1.98B-1.43B

Cheniere Energy Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price57.66
Price Trends
50DMA
54.74
Positive
100DMA
53.39
Positive
200DMA
54.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.89
Negative
RSI
61.77
Neutral
STOCH
78.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CQP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.11, above the 50-day MA of 54.74, and above the 200-day MA of 54.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CQP.

Cheniere Energy Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
79
Outperform
$13.97B16.059.78%8.54%-7.53%9.74%
78
Outperform
$16.76B12.1540.29%9.13%5.81%-13.58%
74
Outperform
$43.88B27.4961.18%2.03%7.79%33.93%
71
Outperform
$46.03B11.9067.52%1.07%17.12%14.58%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
65
Neutral
$23.53B11.3046.19%0.95%113.54%272.02%
61
Neutral
$28.17B15.1195.64%6.07%15.43%0.43%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CQP
Cheniere Energy Partners
57.66
-1.39
-2.35%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
210.54
-6.08
-2.81%
PAA
Plains All American
19.97
1.62
8.83%
TRGP
Targa Resources
205.55
11.14
5.73%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
41.26
4.43
12.02%
VG
Venture Global, Inc. Class A
9.32
-8.04
-46.31%

Cheniere Energy Partners Corporate Events

Dividends
Cheniere Energy Partners Declares Quarterly Cash Distribution
Neutral
Jan 28, 2026

On January 28, 2026, Cheniere Energy Partners, L.P. declared a quarterly cash distribution of $0.830 per common unit, consisting of a $0.775 base amount and a $0.055 variable component, payable on February 13, 2026 to unitholders of record as of February 9, 2026, alongside the related payout to its general partner. The partnership also reiterated that, under U.S. tax rules for publicly traded partnerships, 100% of its distributions to foreign investors are treated as effectively connected income subject to U.S. federal withholding at the highest applicable rate, placing the onus on nominees as withholding agents and underscoring the tax-sensitive nature of its cash returns to non-U.S. holders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CQP) stock is a Hold with a $60.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cheniere Energy Partners stock, see the CQP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 03, 2025