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Plains All American (PAA)
NASDAQ:PAA
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Plains All American (PAA) AI Stock Analysis

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PAA

Plains All American

(NASDAQ:PAA)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$18.00
▲(8.24% Upside)
Plains All American's overall stock score is driven by its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, which are offset by mixed technical indicators and temporary financial challenges highlighted in the earnings call. The company's strategic acquisitions and divestitures are expected to enhance long-term stability, but short-term leverage concerns and market challenges need to be monitored.
Positive Factors
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash generation indicates strong operational efficiency and financial health, providing flexibility for investments and debt management.
Strategic Acquisitions
The acquisition of EPIC Crude Pipeline is expected to generate a mid-teens unlevered return, enhancing long-term cash flow and market position.
Distribution Growth
Increasing distributions demonstrates a focus on returning value to unitholders, indicating confidence in sustained cash flow and profitability.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A decline in revenue growth can signal challenges in market demand or competitive pressures, potentially impacting long-term profitability.
Leverage Concerns
Increased leverage may strain financial flexibility and risk profile, especially if asset sales or cash flow improvements are delayed.
Permian Basin Contract Challenges
Contract rate resets in the Permian Basin could reduce revenue, affecting cash flow and profitability if market rates are unfavorable.

Plains All American (PAA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Plains All American Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPlains All American Pipeline, L.P. (PAA) is a publicly traded master limited partnership that primarily operates in the transportation, storage, and marketing of crude oil and natural gas liquids. The company is involved in the gathering, processing, and transportation of hydrocarbons across North America, with a significant focus on the United States and Canada. Its extensive pipeline network and storage facilities enable PAA to serve various sectors of the energy market, ensuring efficient supply chain solutions for producers and consumers alike.
How the Company Makes MoneyPlains All American generates revenue primarily through its transportation and storage services for crude oil and natural gas liquids. The company charges fees for the transportation of these hydrocarbons through its extensive pipeline network, which is a major revenue stream. Additionally, PAA earns income from its storage facilities, where it charges customers for storing their products. The company also engages in marketing activities, buying and selling crude oil and natural gas liquids, which contributes to its earnings. Significant partnerships with major oil producers and refiners enhance its operational efficiency and revenue potential, while market dynamics such as demand for energy products and regulatory factors can also impact its financial performance.

Plains All American Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong strategic direction with significant acquisitions and divestitures aimed at enhancing cash flow stability and focus on crude oil. However, short-term financial challenges, such as increased leverage and contract rate resets, pose temporary hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Third Quarter Adjusted EBITDA
Reported third quarter adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains of $669 million, reflecting strong performance and strategic execution.
Strategic Acquisition of EPIC Crude Pipeline
Completed the acquisition of 100% of the EPIC Crude pipeline, expected to generate a mid-teens unlevered return with 2026 adjusted EBITDA multiple anticipated at approximately 10x.
NGL Assets Divestiture Progress
The sale of NGL assets is on schedule to close by the end of Q1 2026, expected to enhance crude focus and provide a more stable cash flow stream.
Announced Distribution Growth
Continued commitment to increasing distributions by $0.15 annually until reaching targeted coverage, demonstrating focus on returning cash to unitholders.
Negative Updates
Temporary Leverage Increase
Leverage ratio expected to temporarily exceed the upper end of the target range due to timing differences between the closing of acquisitions and divestitures.
Challenges in Permian Basin Contracts
Certain Permian long-haul contract rates resetting to market in September, impacting revenue expectations.
NGL Segment Decline
NGL segment adjusted EBITDA of $70 million, down sequentially due to lower sales volume tied to temporary downtime on a third-party transmission system.
Company Guidance
During the Plains All American (PAA) and Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. The company reported a solid adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains of $669 million for the third quarter. They have narrowed their full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $2.84 billion to $2.89 billion. Plains announced the acquisition of the remaining 45% interest in EPIC Crude Holdings for approximately $1.3 billion, inclusive of $500 million in debt, and expects the EPIC acquisition to generate a mid-teens unlevered return with a 2026 EBITDA multiple of approximately 10x. The company is also on track to complete the sale of its NGL assets by the end of the first quarter of 2026, which will result in a more crude-focused portfolio. Plains anticipates its leverage ratio to temporarily exceed its target range until the NGL divestiture is finalized, after which it expects to trend toward the midpoint of their target leverage range of 3.5. Additionally, they plan to continue increasing distributions by $0.15 until reaching their targeted coverage ratio of 1.6x DCF.

Plains All American Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Plains All American exhibits a strong financial performance with stable profitability and efficient cash flow management. Despite a slight decline in revenue, the company maintains solid margins and a healthy balance sheet. The overall financial health is robust, with effective leverage management and strong cash flow generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Plains All American shows a stable income statement with a slight decline in revenue growth rate at -2.44% TTM. Gross profit margin improved significantly to 28.51% TTM, indicating better cost management. Net profit margin is modest at 1.92% TTM, reflecting stable profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 3.77% and 5.89% TTM, respectively, showing consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.91 TTM, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is 9.30% TTM, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 46.22% TTM, highlighting a solid equity base.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 13.31% TTM, indicating robust cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.53 TTM, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.87 TTM, demonstrating good cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.63B50.07B48.71B57.34B42.08B23.29B
Gross Profit1.80B1.72B2.76B1.89B1.74B1.13B
EBITDA2.88B2.74B3.06B2.79B1.92B-1.51B
Net Income1.13B772.00M1.23B1.04B593.00M-2.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.10B26.56B27.36B27.89B28.61B24.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.58B348.00M450.00M401.00M449.00M22.00M
Total Debt188.00M7.93B8.03B8.82B9.64B10.61B
Total Liabilities15.11B13.47B13.62B14.57B15.80B14.76B
Stockholders Equity12.99B9.81B10.42B10.06B9.97B9.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.41B1.87B2.17B1.95B1.66B776.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.88B2.49B2.73B2.41B2.00B1.51B
Investing Cash Flow-2.10B-1.50B-702.00M-526.00M386.00M-1.09B
Financing Cash Flow-243.00M-1.08B-1.98B-1.93B-1.98B-435.00M

Plains All American Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price16.63
Price Trends
50DMA
16.54
Positive
100DMA
17.06
Negative
200DMA
17.26
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Negative
RSI
56.91
Neutral
STOCH
40.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 16.63 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.18, above the 50-day MA of 16.54, and below the 200-day MA of 17.26, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PAA.

Plains All American Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$15.91B11.5440.29%9.25%5.81%-13.58%
75
Outperform
$11.35B28.309.04%2.91%20.39%-3.85%
72
Outperform
$11.55B13.359.78%9.14%-7.50%9.49%
72
Outperform
$7.04B11.918.56%10.78%19.10%
69
Neutral
$13.50B15.558.10%6.24%38.38%3.35%
68
Neutral
$13.10B19.696.41%8.68%-7.50%11.27%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAA
Plains All American
16.63
0.71
4.43%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
38.99
6.45
19.83%
PAGP
Plains GP Holdings
17.52
0.59
3.50%
VNOM
Viper Energy
37.55
-13.30
-26.16%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
33.91
1.32
4.04%
DTM
DT Midstream
114.00
17.26
17.84%

Plains All American Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Plains All American Completes Major EPIC Acquisition
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. completed the acquisition of a 100% equity interest in EPIC Crude Holdings and its general partner, EPIC GP, through two transactions totaling approximately $2.9 billion. This strategic move allows Plains All American to fully control the EPIC Crude Oil Pipeline, which is a key infrastructure asset for transporting crude oil from the Permian and Eagle Ford basins to the Gulf Coast. The acquisition is expected to enhance Plains All American’s operational capabilities and market positioning by leveraging the EPIC Pipeline’s existing capacity and potential for expansion.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAA) stock is a Buy with a $23.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plains All American stock, see the PAA Stock Forecast page.

Plains All American Pipeline Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. is a leading midstream energy company specializing in the transportation, storage, and marketing of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs) across North America. Known for its extensive pipeline network, Plains All American plays a crucial role in the energy infrastructure sector.

Plains All American Pipeline’s Strategic Moves and Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Plains All American Pipeline highlighted a robust strategic direction, underscored by significant acquisitions and divestitures aimed at enhancing cash flow stability and focusing on crude oil. Despite these positive long-term strategies, the company faces short-term financial challenges, including increased leverage and contract rate resets, which present temporary hurdles.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Plains All American Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline reported its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a net income of $441 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $669 million. The company completed the acquisition of a 100% equity interest in EPIC Crude Holdings, which is expected to enhance synergy capture and cost savings, with plans to rename the system Cactus III. Plains also announced the pending divestiture of its Canadian NGL business, aiming to streamline operations and focus on becoming a leading crude oil midstream provider. These strategic moves are anticipated to provide financial stability and growth opportunities despite market volatility.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAA) stock is a Buy with a $22.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plains All American stock, see the PAA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Plains All American Completes $1.25 Billion Debt Offering
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. and PAA Finance Corp. completed a public offering of $1.25 billion in debt securities, which includes $700 million in 4.700% Senior Notes due 2031 and $550 million in 5.600% Senior Notes due 2036. These senior unsecured notes are designed to rank equally with existing senior debt and are subject to certain covenants and default events, potentially impacting the company’s financial flexibility and stakeholder interests.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAA) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plains All American stock, see the PAA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Plains All American Acquires Stake in EPIC Crude Holdings
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On August 30, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. announced that a subsidiary has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire a 55% non-operated interest in EPIC Crude Holdings, LP from Diamondback Energy, Inc. and Kinetik Holdings Inc. for approximately $1.57 billion, including $600 million of debt. The acquisition, expected to close in early 2026, aims to enhance Plains’ wellhead to water strategy by providing additional upstream and downstream connectivity, and is anticipated to be immediately accretive to distributable cash flow. This strategic move strengthens Plains’ position as a leading crude oil midstream provider, offering enhanced market access and customer flexibility, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and creating further return of capital opportunities for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAA) stock is a Hold with a $19.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plains All American stock, see the PAA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Plains All American Extends CEO Grant Expiration
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Plains All American‘s Board approved an extension of the expiration date for CEO Willie Chiang’s 2018 Promotional Grant to October 2030, aiming to incentivize his continued leadership and strategic initiatives. Additionally, special retention grants were awarded to key executives Jeremy Goebel and Chris Chandler to ensure their commitment to the company’s long-term goals, with vesting schedules extending beyond 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAA) stock is a Buy with a $25.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plains All American stock, see the PAA Stock Forecast page.

Plains All American Pipeline’s Strategic Moves Shine in Earnings Call
Aug 12, 2025

Plains All American Pipeline’s recent earnings call exuded a positive sentiment, driven by robust EBITDA performance and strategic business maneuvers. The company highlighted its strong financial results, strategic divestments, and successful acquisitions, although it acknowledged challenges such as lower NGL earnings and increased capital expenditures.

Plains All American Pipeline Reports Solid Q2 2025 Results
Aug 9, 2025

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. is a leading midstream energy company engaged in the transportation, storage, and marketing of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGLs), primarily operating in the United States and Canada. The company is known for its extensive pipeline network and strategic focus on optimizing its crude oil asset base.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Plains All American Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline reported solid financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $210 million and adjusted EBITDA of $672 million. The company announced the divestiture of its Canadian NGL business, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, which will enhance financial flexibility and streamline operations. Additionally, Plains acquired an additional 20% interest in the BridgeTex Pipeline, strengthening its position in the Permian Basin. These strategic moves are aimed at optimizing the company’s asset base and returning cash to unitholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (PAA) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Plains All American stock, see the PAA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025