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Plains All American (PAA)
NASDAQ:PAA
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Plains All American (PAA) AI Stock Analysis

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PAA

Plains All American

(NASDAQ:PAA)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$19.50
â–²(11.30% Upside)
Plains All American's overall stock score is driven by strong financial stability and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic divestment and acquisitions enhance its financial flexibility. However, technical indicators suggest potential short-term weakness, and revenue growth challenges remain a concern. The attractive dividend yield provides a solid income component for investors.
Positive Factors
Investment Strategy
PAA raised its 2025 investment capital guidance, driven by Permian and South Texas lease connects and terminal expansions.
Operational Performance
Adjusted EBITDA is slightly above consensus estimates, suggesting strong operational performance.
Negative Factors
Cash Management
Free Cash Flow after dividend shows a large negative variance compared to estimates, raising concerns about cash management.
Financial Performance
Adjusted Free Cash Flow was revised downward, reflecting a reduction from bolt-on acquisitions.
Liquidity Concerns
Free Cash Flow before dividend is significantly below expectations, indicating potential liquidity concerns.

Plains All American (PAA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Plains All American Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPlains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Crude Oil and NGL. The Crude Oil segment offers gathering and transporting crude oil through pipelines, gathering systems, trucks, and at times on barges or railcars. This segment provides terminalling, storage, and other facilities-related services, as well as merchant activities. As of December 31, 2021, this segment owned and leased 18,300 miles of active crude oil transportation pipelines and gathering systems, as well as an additional 110 miles of pipelines that supports crude oil storage and terminalling facilities; 74 million barrels of commercial crude oil storage capacity; 38 million barrels of active, above-ground tank capacity; four marine facilities; a condensate processing facility; seven crude oil rail terminals and 2,100 crude oil railcars; and 640 trucks and 1,275 trailers. The Natural Gas Liquids segment engages in the natural gas processing, NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminalling activities. As of December 31, 2021, this segment owned and operated four natural gas processing plants; nine fractionation plants; 28 million barrels of NGL storage capacity; approximately 1,620 miles of active NGL transportation pipelines, as well as an additional 55 miles of pipeline that supports NGL storage facilities; 16 NGL rail terminals and approximately 3,900 NGL rail cars; and approximately 220 trailers. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Plains GP Holdings, L.P.
How the Company Makes MoneyPlains All American generates revenue primarily through its transportation and storage services for crude oil and natural gas liquids. The company charges fees for the transportation of these hydrocarbons through its extensive pipeline network, which is a major revenue stream. Additionally, PAA earns income from its storage facilities, where it charges customers for storing their products. The company also engages in marketing activities, buying and selling crude oil and natural gas liquids, which contributes to its earnings. Significant partnerships with major oil producers and refiners enhance its operational efficiency and revenue potential, while market dynamics such as demand for energy products and regulatory factors can also impact its financial performance.

Plains All American Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 08, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.96%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive sentiment driven by strong EBITDA performance, strategic divestment of the NGL business, and successful execution of bolt-on acquisitions. However, challenges include lower NGL earnings, contract roll-offs, and increased capital expenditures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Adjusted EBITDA
Reported second quarter adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains of $672 million, with crude oil segment adjusted EBITDA at $580 million.
NGL Business Sale
Announced agreements to sell the NGL business to Keyera for approximately $3.75 billion, expected to close in Q1 2026. The transaction is seen as a positive strategic move.
Bolt-On Acquisition Strategy
Completed five bolt-on transactions year-to-date, totaling approximately $800 million, including a 20% increase in interest in BridgeTex Pipeline Company LLC for $100 million.
Financial Flexibility
Expected to generate approximately $870 million of adjusted free cash flow for 2025, providing room for further investments and capital structure optimization.
Crude Oil Market Position
Focusing on crude oil operations, which is expected to enhance the company's portfolio and financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Lower NGL Segment Earnings
Reported NGL segment adjusted EBITDA of $87 million, decreased sequentially due to seasonality and lower frac spreads.
Contract Roll-Offs Impact
Expectation of lower earnings in the second half of 2025 due to the roll-off of contracts for Cactus I & II and Sunrise pipelines.
Increased Growth Capital Expenditure
Raised 2025 growth capital guidance by $75 million to $475 million due to new projects and weather-related delays.
Company Guidance
During the Plains All American and Plains GP Holdings' second-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided detailed guidance metrics and strategic updates. The fiscal year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance remains at $2.8 billion to $2.95 billion, though expectations lean towards the lower half of the range due to market conditions. The company is executing a $3.75 billion sale of its NGL business to Keyera, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, which will streamline operations and enhance financial flexibility. This transaction is projected to yield approximately $3 billion in net proceeds, earmarked for disciplined bolt-on mergers and acquisitions, and potential repurchases of Series A and B preferred units and common units. Plains also announced a $100 million acquisition of an additional 20% interest in BridgeTex Pipeline Company LLC, increasing their stake to 40%. Year-to-date, Plains completed five bolt-on transactions totaling about $800 million, with a continued focus on disciplined capital allocation. The company anticipates generating around $870 million in adjusted free cash flow for 2025, excluding changes in assets and liabilities, with growth capital guidance revised to $475 million, reflecting new projects and adjustments.

Plains All American Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Plains All American shows strong revenue growth and improved operating margins. The balance sheet indicates moderate leverage and a stable equity position, though the return on equity could be enhanced. Cash flow metrics are particularly strong, showcasing efficient cash generation and conversion.
Income Statement
70
Positive
Plains All American's income statement shows a positive trajectory with steady revenue growth from $48.71 billion in 2023 to $50.14 billion in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin improved significantly to 27.42% in TTM, up from 3.43% in 2024, indicating enhanced operational efficiency. However, net profit margin stands at 1.89% for TTM, which is relatively low, suggesting limited bottom-line profitability despite high gross margins. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown consistent improvement, reflecting sound operational management.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The balance sheet of Plains All American demonstrates a stable financial structure, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.93 in TTM, improved from 0.44 in 2024, indicating manageable leverage. The equity ratio is 35.60%, showing a healthy level of equity financing. Despite this, the return on equity decreased to 9.85% in TTM from 4.28% in 2024, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns from shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Plains All American's cash flow analysis highlights a strong free cash flow generation of $2.057 billion in TTM, with a growth rate of 9.92% from 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.86, indicating robust cash generation relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 2.17 further supports the company's ability to convert earnings into cash, providing flexibility for future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue47.80B50.07B48.71B57.34B42.04B23.29B
Gross Profit13.63B1.72B2.76B1.89B1.74B1.43B
EBITDA2.82B2.74B3.06B2.53B2.23B-1.51B
Net Income916.00M772.00M1.23B1.04B593.00M-2.58B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.16B26.56B27.36B27.89B28.61B24.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments459.00M348.00M450.00M401.00M449.00M22.00M
Total Debt8.80B7.93B8.16B8.82B9.64B10.61B
Total Liabilities14.21B13.47B13.62B14.57B15.80B14.76B
Stockholders Equity17.63B9.81B10.42B13.32B12.81B9.74B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.13B1.87B2.17B1.95B1.66B776.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.45B2.49B2.73B2.41B2.00B1.51B
Investing Cash Flow-2.48B-1.50B-702.00M-526.00M386.00M-1.09B
Financing Cash Flow-375.00M-1.08B-1.98B-1.93B-1.98B-435.00M

Plains All American Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price17.52
Price Trends
50DMA
17.92
Negative
100DMA
17.46
Positive
200DMA
17.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Positive
RSI
38.15
Neutral
STOCH
30.65
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 17.52 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 18.01, below the 50-day MA of 17.92, and below the 200-day MA of 17.57, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 38.15 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.65 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for PAA.

Plains All American Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.65B15.2852.91%6.88%9.02%17.28%
78
Outperform
$8.57B19.0521.65%5.03%7.09%17.53%
77
Outperform
$14.66B11.8338.42%9.36%7.11%-16.14%
75
Outperform
$10.51B27.808.48%3.01%15.28%-9.99%
69
Neutral
$12.32B19.378.34%8.32%-4.31%-17.80%
65
Neutral
$14.86B7.072.76%5.52%4.66%-61.61%
60
Neutral
$14.30B27.398.16%7.74%-4.31%-16.62%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAA
Plains All American
17.52
1.12
6.83%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
38.45
2.97
8.37%
PAGP
Plains GP Holdings
18.84
1.29
7.35%
AM
Antero Midstream
17.91
3.95
28.30%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
40.87
6.49
18.88%
DTM
DT Midstream
101.95
28.53
38.86%

Plains All American Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plains All American Extends CEO Grant Expiration
Neutral
Aug 18, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Plains All American‘s Board approved an extension of the expiration date for CEO Willie Chiang’s 2018 Promotional Grant to October 2030, aiming to incentivize his continued leadership and strategic initiatives. Additionally, special retention grants were awarded to key executives Jeremy Goebel and Chris Chandler to ensure their commitment to the company’s long-term goals, with vesting schedules extending beyond 2026.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plains All American Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Positive
Aug 8, 2025

On August 8, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline reported solid financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $210 million and adjusted EBITDA of $672 million. The company announced the divestiture of its Canadian NGL business, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, which will enhance financial flexibility and streamline operations. Additionally, Plains acquired an additional 20% interest in the BridgeTex Pipeline, strengthening its position in the Permian Basin. These strategic moves are aimed at optimizing the company’s asset base and returning cash to unitholders.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plains All American Sells Canadian NGL Business
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

On June 17, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. announced a definitive agreement to sell its Canadian NGL business to Keyera Corp. for approximately C$5.15 billion. The transaction, expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, will allow Plains to focus on its crude oil operations in North America, enhancing its financial flexibility and free cash flow profile. The sale is anticipated to result in significant tax implications for PAA unitholders, with a special distribution planned to offset potential tax liabilities. The deal positions Plains as a premier pure play crude oil midstream entity, reducing its commodity exposure and working capital requirements.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Plains All American Unitholders Approve Key Governance Decisions
Positive
May 23, 2025

On May 21, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. held its annual meeting of unitholders, where key decisions were made regarding the voting of Class C shares of Plains GP Holdings, L.P. Unitholders voted on the election of four Class II directors, the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025, and the approval of executive compensation for 2024. The voting outcomes showed strong support for the proposed actions, with over 82% of eligible units represented and high percentages of votes in favor of each item. These decisions are expected to influence the company’s governance and financial oversight in the coming years.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025