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Plains All American Pipeline (PAA)
NASDAQ:PAA
US Market

Plains All American (PAA) AI Stock Analysis

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PAA

Plains All American

(NASDAQ:PAA)

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Outperform 79 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$20.00
â–²(13.25% Upside)
Plains All American's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive technical indicators. The company's strategic acquisitions and high dividend yield further support the stock's attractiveness. However, temporary leverage increases and contract challenges present short-term risks.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
Acquiring EPIC Crude enhances operational capabilities and market positioning, leveraging existing capacity and potential for expansion.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash generation supports financial stability, enabling reinvestment in growth opportunities and debt management.
Operational Efficiency
Improved cost management enhances profitability, supporting sustainable margins and competitive pricing in the market.
Negative Factors
Rising Leverage
Increased leverage may strain financial flexibility, impacting the ability to fund new projects or weather economic downturns.
Revenue Decline
Declining revenue growth could signal challenges in maintaining market share or pricing power, affecting long-term profitability.
Contract Challenges
Contract rate resets may reduce revenue predictability, impacting cash flow and necessitating adjustments in operational strategy.

Plains All American (PAA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Plains All American Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPlains All American Pipeline, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the pipeline transportation, terminalling, storage, and gathering of crude oil and natural gas liquids (NGL) in the United States and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Crude Oil and NGL. The Crude Oil segment offers gathering and transporting crude oil through pipelines, gathering systems, trucks, and at times on barges or railcars. This segment provides terminalling, storage, and other facilities-related services, as well as merchant activities. As of December 31, 2021, this segment owned and leased 18,300 miles of active crude oil transportation pipelines and gathering systems, as well as an additional 110 miles of pipelines that supports crude oil storage and terminalling facilities; 74 million barrels of commercial crude oil storage capacity; 38 million barrels of active, above-ground tank capacity; four marine facilities; a condensate processing facility; seven crude oil rail terminals and 2,100 crude oil railcars; and 640 trucks and 1,275 trailers. The Natural Gas Liquids segment engages in the natural gas processing, NGL fractionation, storage, transportation, and terminalling activities. As of December 31, 2021, this segment owned and operated four natural gas processing plants; nine fractionation plants; 28 million barrels of NGL storage capacity; approximately 1,620 miles of active NGL transportation pipelines, as well as an additional 55 miles of pipeline that supports NGL storage facilities; 16 NGL rail terminals and approximately 3,900 NGL rail cars; and approximately 220 trailers. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. operates as a subsidiary of Plains GP Holdings, L.P.
How the Company Makes MoneyPlains All American generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from the transportation and storage of crude oil and refined products via its extensive pipeline network. The company charges fees based on the volume of oil transported through its pipelines, and it also earns revenue from storage services provided at its terminals. Additionally, the Supply and Logistics segment contributes to earnings by purchasing crude oil and selling it to refiners and other customers, often leveraging price differentials in various markets. Significant partnerships with oil producers and refiners enhance PAA's ability to secure long-term contracts, thus providing stable revenue. The company also benefits from its scale and operational efficiency, allowing it to maintain competitive pricing and optimize its logistics operations.

Plains All American Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong strategic direction with significant acquisitions and divestitures aimed at enhancing cash flow stability and focus on crude oil. However, short-term financial challenges, such as increased leverage and contract rate resets, pose temporary hurdles.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Third Quarter Adjusted EBITDA
Reported third quarter adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains of $669 million, reflecting strong performance and strategic execution.
Strategic Acquisition of EPIC Crude Pipeline
Completed the acquisition of 100% of the EPIC Crude pipeline, expected to generate a mid-teens unlevered return with 2026 adjusted EBITDA multiple anticipated at approximately 10x.
NGL Assets Divestiture Progress
The sale of NGL assets is on schedule to close by the end of Q1 2026, expected to enhance crude focus and provide a more stable cash flow stream.
Announced Distribution Growth
Continued commitment to increasing distributions by $0.15 annually until reaching targeted coverage, demonstrating focus on returning cash to unitholders.
Negative Updates
Temporary Leverage Increase
Leverage ratio expected to temporarily exceed the upper end of the target range due to timing differences between the closing of acquisitions and divestitures.
Challenges in Permian Basin Contracts
Certain Permian long-haul contract rates resetting to market in September, impacting revenue expectations.
NGL Segment Decline
NGL segment adjusted EBITDA of $70 million, down sequentially due to lower sales volume tied to temporary downtime on a third-party transmission system.
Company Guidance
During the Plains All American (PAA) and Plains GP Holdings (PAGP) Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics. The company reported a solid adjusted EBITDA attributable to Plains of $669 million for the third quarter. They have narrowed their full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $2.84 billion to $2.89 billion. Plains announced the acquisition of the remaining 45% interest in EPIC Crude Holdings for approximately $1.3 billion, inclusive of $500 million in debt, and expects the EPIC acquisition to generate a mid-teens unlevered return with a 2026 EBITDA multiple of approximately 10x. The company is also on track to complete the sale of its NGL assets by the end of the first quarter of 2026, which will result in a more crude-focused portfolio. Plains anticipates its leverage ratio to temporarily exceed its target range until the NGL divestiture is finalized, after which it expects to trend toward the midpoint of their target leverage range of 3.5. Additionally, they plan to continue increasing distributions by $0.15 until reaching their targeted coverage ratio of 1.6x DCF.

Plains All American Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Plains All American exhibits a strong financial performance with stable profitability and efficient cash flow management. Despite a slight decline in revenue, the company maintains solid margins and a healthy balance sheet. The overall financial health is robust, with effective leverage management and strong cash flow generation.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Plains All American shows a stable income statement with a slight decline in revenue growth rate at -2.44% TTM. Gross profit margin improved significantly to 28.51% TTM, indicating better cost management. Net profit margin is modest at 1.92% TTM, reflecting stable profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are 3.77% and 5.89% TTM, respectively, showing consistent operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.91 TTM, indicating manageable leverage. Return on equity is 9.30% TTM, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is 46.22% TTM, highlighting a solid equity base.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 13.31% TTM, indicating robust cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 2.53 TTM, suggesting efficient cash conversion. Free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.87 TTM, demonstrating good cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue46.63B50.07B48.71B57.34B42.08B23.29B
Gross Profit1.80B1.72B2.76B1.89B1.74B1.13B
EBITDA2.88B2.74B3.06B2.79B1.92B-1.51B
Net Income1.13B772.00M1.23B1.04B593.00M-2.59B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets28.10B26.56B27.36B27.89B28.61B24.50B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.18B348.00M450.00M401.00M449.00M22.00M
Total Debt9.64B7.93B8.03B8.82B9.64B10.61B
Total Liabilities15.11B13.47B13.62B14.57B15.80B14.76B
Stockholders Equity9.76B9.81B10.42B10.06B9.97B9.59B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.22B1.87B2.17B1.95B1.66B776.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.88B2.49B2.73B2.41B2.00B1.51B
Investing Cash Flow-2.10B-1.50B-702.00M-526.00M386.00M-1.09B
Financing Cash Flow-247.00M-1.08B-1.98B-1.93B-1.98B-435.00M

Plains All American Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price17.66
Price Trends
50DMA
16.86
Positive
100DMA
16.93
Positive
200DMA
17.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.21
Positive
RSI
57.93
Neutral
STOCH
44.62
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PAA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 17.66 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 17.57, above the 50-day MA of 16.86, and above the 200-day MA of 17.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.93 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.62 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for PAA.

Plains All American Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$15.94B11.5640.29%9.12%5.81%-13.58%
79
Outperform
$12.38B14.239.78%8.61%-7.53%9.74%
78
Outperform
$12.00B29.929.04%2.74%20.39%-3.85%
77
Outperform
$7.03B12.0359.81%8.52%10.78%19.10%
72
Outperform
$14.25B21.3410.33%8.10%-7.53%11.27%
69
Neutral
$13.63B15.708.10%6.06%38.38%3.35%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PAA
Plains All American
17.66
2.10
13.50%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
39.54
3.93
11.04%
PAGP
Plains GP Holdings
18.77
1.92
11.39%
VNOM
Viper Energy
38.46
-6.70
-14.84%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
34.08
0.05
0.15%
DTM
DT Midstream
119.52
21.02
21.34%

Plains All American Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plains All American Secures $1.1 Billion Term Loan
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline acquired EPIC Crude Holdings, including its crude oil pipeline operations, and subsequently terminated EPIC’s credit agreement by repaying all outstanding amounts by December 1, 2025. Following this, Plains All American entered into a new $1.1 billion term loan agreement on November 26, 2025, with PNC Bank, featuring terms that allow prepayment and include customary covenants and financial conditions. This strategic financial restructuring is aligned with the company’s operational focus and may impact its financial flexibility and stakeholder relations.

Private Placements and Financing
Plains All American Completes $750M Debt Offering
Neutral
Nov 14, 2025

On November 14, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. and PAA Finance Corp. completed a public offering of $750 million in debt securities, comprising $300 million of 4.700% Senior Notes due 2031 and $450 million of 5.600% Senior Notes due 2036. These notes are additional issuances to those initially issued on September 8, 2025, and will mature in 2031 and 2036, respectively. The offering aims to strengthen PAA’s financial position by increasing the total outstanding principal amount of these notes to $1 billion each. The notes are senior unsecured obligations, ranking equally with existing senior debt and are subject to certain covenants and events of default as outlined in the indenture agreements.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Plains All American Completes Major EPIC Acquisition
Positive
Nov 6, 2025

On October 31, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. completed the acquisition of a 100% equity interest in EPIC Crude Holdings and its general partner, EPIC GP, through two transactions totaling approximately $2.9 billion. This strategic move allows Plains All American to fully control the EPIC Crude Oil Pipeline, which is a key infrastructure asset for transporting crude oil from the Permian and Eagle Ford basins to the Gulf Coast. The acquisition is expected to enhance Plains All American’s operational capabilities and market positioning by leveraging the EPIC Pipeline’s existing capacity and potential for expansion.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Plains All American Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Plains All American Pipeline reported its third-quarter 2025 results, highlighting a net income of $441 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $669 million. The company completed the acquisition of a 100% equity interest in EPIC Crude Holdings, which is expected to enhance synergy capture and cost savings, with plans to rename the system Cactus III. Plains also announced the pending divestiture of its Canadian NGL business, aiming to streamline operations and focus on becoming a leading crude oil midstream provider. These strategic moves are anticipated to provide financial stability and growth opportunities despite market volatility.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025