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DT Midstream (DTM)
NYSE:DTM
US Market

DT Midstream (DTM) AI Stock Analysis

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DT Midstream

(NYSE:DTM)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$117.00
▲(10.06%Upside)
DT Midstream scores well due to strong financial performance, positive earnings call, and favorable technical indicators. Valuation is slightly high, but the company's commitment to growth and dividends supports its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Business Model
DTM's fee-based, contracted cash flows should act defensive in an uncertain environment.
Financial Performance
DTM reaffirmed 2025 EBITDA guidance and its 2026 early outlook, maintaining confidence in their financial targets.
Investment Opportunities
Management sees a growing investment opportunity set, which could drive an increase in the backlog including a potential Millennium pipeline expansion and additional potential investments on the acquired Midwest pipelines.
Negative Factors
Pipeline Forecast
2025 and 2026 EBITDA estimates are lowered due to a more conservative pipeline forecast.
Quarterly Performance
Q4 missed expectations with adjusted EBITDA of $235 million falling below the consensus of $248 million.
Valuation
Despite DTM's improved fundamental outlook, shares are considered fairly valued after strong year-over-year performance.

DT Midstream (DTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DT Midstream Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDT Midstream, Inc. provides integrated natural gas services in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Pipeline and Gathering. It develops, owns, and operates an integrated portfolio of interstate pipelines, intrastate pipelines, storage systems, lateral pipelines, gathering systems, related treatment plants, and compression and surface facilities. The company engages in the transportation and storage of natural gas for intermediate and end user customers; and collecting natural gas from points at or near customers' wells for delivery to plants for processing, to gathering pipelines for gathering, or to pipelines for transportation, as well as offers compression, dehydration, gas treatment, water impoundment, water storage, water transportation, and sand mining services. It serves natural gas producers, local distribution companies, electric power generators, industrials, and national marketers. The company was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in Detroit, Michigan.
How the Company Makes MoneyDT Midstream generates revenue primarily through the transportation and storage of natural gas. The company's revenue model is based on long-term, fee-based contracts with customers who require reliable access to natural gas infrastructure. These contracts often include fixed reservation fees that are paid regardless of volume transported, ensuring a stable revenue stream. Additionally, the company may earn variable fees based on the actual volume of gas transported through its pipeline systems. Key revenue streams include fees from natural gas transportation services, storage services, and related ancillary services. DT Midstream's strategic partnerships with major energy producers and consumers, along with its expansive network of pipelines and storage facilities, contribute significantly to its earnings by enhancing its ability to meet the diverse needs of its customers while optimizing operational efficiency.

DT Midstream Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 7.90%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong performance in Q1 2025, with solid growth in critical segments like Haynesville and positive long-term market fundamentals. While there are some short-term challenges, such as expected seasonal decline in Q2, the company maintains a strong financial position and commitment to dividend growth. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start in 2025
Reaffirmed 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range and 2026 early outlook range. Executing on a $2.3 billion organic growth project backlog.
Pipeline Segment Performance
Pipeline segment results were $39 million higher than the fourth quarter of 2024, with a full quarter contribution from acquired interstate pipelines.
Growth in Haynesville Volumes
Total gathering volumes in Haynesville increased, averaging 1.67 Bcf per day, driven by new volumes and return of offline production.
Positive Long-Term Market Outlook
Total U.S. natural gas supply and demand expected to grow by approximately 19 Bcf per day through 2030, with strong demand from LNG exports and data center power generation.
Strong Financial Position
Adjusted EBITDA of $280 million, a $45 million increase from the prior quarter. Investment-grade with Fitch, positive outlook with Moody's and S&P.
Dividend Commitment
Board of Directors approved a first-quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, with a commitment to grow the dividend 5% to 7% per year.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Decline Expected in Q2
Adjusted EBITDA expected to be lower in Q2 due to seasonality across interstate pipelines and expected rate step-down on Guardian pipeline.
Decreased Volumes in Northeast
Northeast volumes decreased to 1.3 Bcf per day from the fourth quarter, driven by timing of producer activity.
Company Guidance
During DT Midstream's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA guidance range for 2025 and its early outlook for 2026. They are executing on a $2.3 billion organic growth project backlog and integrating newly acquired interstate pipelines, with key integration activities on schedule to be completed by year-end. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $280 million for Q1 2025, marking a $45 million increase from the previous quarter. Total gathering volumes in the Haynesville averaged 1.67 Bcf per day, reflecting new volumes and the return of offline production, while Northeast volumes averaged 1.3 Bcf per day. DT Midstream expects adjusted EBITDA to be lower in Q2 due to seasonality and other factors but remains confident in its full-year guidance. The company also announced a first-quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, with a commitment to grow the dividend by 5% to 7% annually in line with long-term adjusted EBITDA growth.

DT Midstream Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DT Midstream has strong financials with consistent revenue growth and high profitability margins. Despite a stable balance sheet, further leverage reduction could improve financial stability. Cash flow is robust, with a significant increase in free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
DT Midstream demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross and net profit margins over the years. The gross profit margin in the latest annual report is 75.13%, and the net profit margin is 37.39%. Revenue has grown steadily, with a 6.4% increase from the previous year, indicating solid top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a relatively stable position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, highlighting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio stands at 52.67%, indicating moderate financial stability. Return on equity is at 7.93%, suggesting decent profitability for shareholders.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
DT Midstream's cash flow is robust, with a significant increase in free cash flow, which grew by 2826.92% in the last year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.08, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, reliance on operating cash flow is crucial as the company had significant capital expenditures in prior years.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.04B981.00M922.00M920.00M840.00M754.00M
Gross Profit
770.00M772.00M495.00M653.00M609.00M427.00M
EBIT
513.00M489.00M467.00M478.00M551.00M414.00M
EBITDA
908.00M884.00M850.00M808.00M718.00M722.00M
Net Income Common Stockholders
365.00M354.00M384.00M370.00M307.00M312.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.0068.00M56.00M61.00M132.00M42.00M
Total Assets
0.0010.20B8.98B8.83B8.17B8.34B
Total Debt
3.43B3.52B3.27B3.42B3.08B3.22B
Net Debt
3.35B3.45B3.21B3.36B2.95B3.18B
Total Liabilities
5.15B5.17B4.70B4.68B4.14B4.11B
Stockholders Equity
4.64B4.63B4.14B4.01B3.87B4.07B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
455.00M413.00M26.00M387.00M432.00M79.00M
Operating Cash Flow
746.00M763.00M798.00M725.00M572.00M597.00M
Investing Cash Flow
-1.07B-1.08B-351.00M-854.00M123.00M-714.00M
Financing Cash Flow
338.00M330.00M-452.00M58.00M-605.00M113.00M

DT Midstream Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price106.31
Price Trends
50DMA
100.24
Positive
100DMA
98.99
Positive
200DMA
94.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.52
Positive
RSI
57.70
Neutral
STOCH
49.26
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 106.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.24, above the 50-day MA of 100.24, and above the 200-day MA of 94.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.52 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 57.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 49.26 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DTM.

DT Midstream Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (58)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.31B15.5649.74%7.17%8.77%15.22%
DTDTM
79
Outperform
$10.80B29.078.29%3.08%10.83%-10.47%
WEWES
78
Outperform
$14.81B11.6139.79%9.37%11.48%-5.67%
AMAM
78
Outperform
$8.76B21.2619.71%4.92%5.03%7.15%
PAPAA
68
Neutral
$12.69B19.429.43%8.42%3.40%-20.48%
58
Neutral
$6.98B47.07-8.21%7.06%23.42%-61.22%
58
Neutral
$7.56B3.50-4.45%10.15%0.79%-49.51%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DTM
DT Midstream
106.31
40.81
62.31%
PAA
Plains All American
18.05
2.20
13.88%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
38.83
3.53
10.00%
AM
Antero Midstream
18.28
4.71
34.71%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
39.57
6.78
20.68%
KNTK
Kinetik
44.19
6.85
18.34%

DT Midstream Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DT Midstream Achieves Investment Grade Credit Rating
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, DT Midstream announced that it has achieved an investment grade credit rating from both Moody’s and Fitch Ratings. Moody’s upgraded the company’s credit rating to Baa3 with a stable outlook on May 16, 2025, while Fitch Ratings had upgraded it to BBB- with a stable outlook on October 3, 2024. This achievement is expected to enhance the company’s liquidity and reduce interest expenses, marking a significant milestone since becoming a standalone public company. The ratings upgrades reflect the strength of DT Midstream’s balance sheet and the quality and scale of its business operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (DTM) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DT Midstream stock, see the DTM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DT Midstream Enhances Stockholder Rights at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 6, 2025, DT Midstream, Inc. held its virtual 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key decisions were made. Stockholders approved a proposal to amend the company’s Certificate of Incorporation, allowing stockholders with at least 25% voting power to request special meetings. This change, effective May 9, 2025, enhances stockholder rights and could impact the company’s governance dynamics. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of board members, ratification of the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, and approval of executive compensation on an advisory basis.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DT Midstream Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, DT Midstream announced strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $108 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $280 million. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.82 per share, payable on July 15, 2025. Significant business updates include the successful integration of new interstate pipelines and the commencement of construction for a new power plant lateral. These developments position DT Midstream favorably for continued growth and operational success in the natural gas industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.