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DT Midstream (DTM)
NYSE:DTM
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DT Midstream (DTM) AI Stock Analysis

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DTM

DT Midstream

(NYSE:DTM)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$121.00
â–²(17.00% Upside)
DT Midstream's strong financial performance and positive corporate developments are the primary drivers of its overall score. While the stock's valuation is relatively high, the company's robust earnings growth, strategic projects, and investment-grade credit rating position it well for future success. Technical indicators suggest stable momentum, supporting a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Dividend Stability
DTM intends to maintain dividend coverage, providing a stable return to shareholders.
Financial Targets
DTM reaffirmed 2025 EBITDA guidance and its 2026 early outlook, maintaining confidence in their financial targets.
Growth Potential
DTM added $600mm of FID capex, driven by Guardian pipeline, adding to the growth potential.
Negative Factors
Interest Expense
Lowering the price target to $108/share to reflect higher interest expense and a lower dividend payout.
Project Challenges
Building the new Millennium project extension in New York State could present challenges.
Valuation Concerns
Despite DTM's improved fundamental outlook, shares are considered fairly valued after strong year-over-year performance.

DT Midstream (DTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DT Midstream Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDT Midstream (DTM) is a leading energy infrastructure company that specializes in owning, operating, and developing natural gas pipelines and storage systems across the United States. The company focuses on the transportation and storage of natural gas, providing essential services to utilities, power plants, marketers, large industrial customers, and other energy companies. With a strong commitment to safety, reliability, and sustainability, DT Midstream plays a critical role in the energy supply chain by ensuring the efficient and secure delivery of natural gas.
How the Company Makes MoneyDT Midstream generates revenue primarily through the transportation and storage of natural gas. The company's revenue model is based on long-term, fee-based contracts with customers who require reliable access to natural gas infrastructure. These contracts often include fixed reservation fees that are paid regardless of volume transported, ensuring a stable revenue stream. Additionally, the company may earn variable fees based on the actual volume of gas transported through its pipeline systems. Key revenue streams include fees from natural gas transportation services, storage services, and related ancillary services. DT Midstream's strategic partnerships with major energy producers and consumers, along with its expansive network of pipelines and storage facilities, contribute significantly to its earnings by enhancing its ability to meet the diverse needs of its customers while optimizing operational efficiency.

DT Midstream Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, reaffirmation of EBITDA guidance, significant investment in growth projects, and achievement of investment grade ratings. However, it also noted some challenges, including decreased EBITDA in the pipeline segment and lower volumes in the Northeast. Overall, the sentiment is positive with an outlook for continued growth and stability.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Guidance Reaffirmed
DT Midstream reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range and its 2026 adjusted EBITDA early outlook range, indicating strong financial performance and confidence in future growth.
Significant New Investment Projects
FID on approximately $600 million of new organic growth projects, with 90% focused on the growing pipeline segment. Key projects include a 15% capacity expansion of the Guardian Pipeline and the first phase of the interstate pipelines modernization program.
Record Throughput in Haynesville
Total gathering volumes for Haynesville averaged 1.74 Bcf per day, an all-time record for the system, marking a 16% increase over the second quarter of 2024.
Investment Grade Rating Achieved
The company was upgraded to investment grade by both Moody's and S&P, joining Fitch Rating, marking a significant achievement and strategic goal for DT Midstream.
Dividend Commitment
The Board approved a second quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, with a commitment to grow the dividend 5% to 7% per year, aligning with long-term adjusted EBITDA growth.
Negative Updates
Decreased EBITDA from Pipeline Segment
Pipeline segment results decreased by $3 million from the previous quarter, attributed to a planned rate step-down on Guardian Pipeline and seasonally lower EBITDA from interstate and joint venture pipelines.
Lower Volumes in the Northeast
Northeast volumes averaged 1.17 Bcf per day, a decrease from the first quarter, driven by maintenance and timing of producer activity, primarily on Appalachia and Susquehanna gathering systems.
Seasonal EBITDA Impact
The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA for Q3 to be relatively in line with Q2, with a ramp expected in Q4 due to timing of producer activity and typical seasonality of pipeline segment earnings.
Company Guidance
During DT Midstream's second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range and provided an early outlook for 2026. Key metrics highlighted included the achievement of Final Investment Decision (FID) on approximately $600 million of new organic growth projects, with 90% allocated to the pipeline segment. The company announced the expansion of Guardian Pipeline, increasing its capacity by 15% under a 20-year contract. Additionally, DT Midstream placed three gathering projects into service and noted a record 1.74 Bcf per day in Haynesville gathering volumes, a 16% increase year-over-year. The call also emphasized the expected 16 Bcf per day increase in LNG feed gas demand through 2035 and a 22% increase in PJM capacity auction prices, indicating strong power demand growth. The company plans to invest $1.1 billion of its $2.3 billion backlog, bolstered by recent investment-grade ratings from Moody's and S&P.

DT Midstream Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DT Midstream exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability metrics. The company has a high gross and net profit margin, indicating efficient cost management. The stable balance sheet and strong cash flow generation provide a solid financial foundation, though increasing liabilities should be monitored.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
DT Midstream has demonstrated strong financial performance in its income statement. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) data shows a gross profit margin of 73.75% and a net profit margin of 34.95%, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. Revenue growth is evident with an increase from $981M in the last annual report to $1,044M TTM, marking an approximate 6.43% growth. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 49.14% and 86.97%, respectively, underscoring robust operational efficiency. However, a slight decline in gross profit from the previous year suggests room for improvement in cost control.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.74, which is manageable but slightly higher than optimal. The equity ratio stands at 46.74%, indicating a solid equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is healthy at 7.86% TTM, showcasing effective use of shareholder capital to generate profits. However, the company's total liabilities have been increasing, which could pose potential risks if not managed appropriately.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 2.13, demonstrating efficient cash generation from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.25, indicating positive free cash flow generation. The free cash flow growth rate is notable, with an increase from $413M in the previous year to $455M TTM, representing a 10.17% growth. This solid cash flow performance allows for flexibility in financing and investment opportunities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.11B981.00M922.00M920.00M840.00M754.00M
Gross Profit797.00M772.00M495.00M653.00M609.00M427.00M
EBITDA931.00M884.00M850.00M808.00M718.00M722.00M
Net Income376.00M354.00M384.00M370.00M307.00M312.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.96B9.94B8.98B8.83B8.17B8.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments74.00M68.00M56.00M61.00M132.00M42.00M
Total Debt3.40B3.52B3.27B3.42B3.08B3.22B
Total Liabilities5.14B5.17B4.70B4.68B4.14B4.11B
Stockholders Equity4.67B4.63B4.14B4.01B3.87B4.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow618.00M413.00M26.00M387.00M432.00M79.00M
Operating Cash Flow789.00M763.00M798.00M725.00M572.00M597.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.06B-1.08B-351.00M-854.00M123.00M-714.00M
Financing Cash Flow275.00M330.00M-452.00M58.00M-605.00M113.00M

DT Midstream Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price103.42
Price Trends
50DMA
104.29
Negative
100DMA
100.64
Positive
200DMA
98.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
51.24
Neutral
STOCH
71.34
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DTM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 103.42 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 102.24, below the 50-day MA of 104.29, and above the 200-day MA of 98.92, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.24 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 71.34 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DTM.

DT Midstream Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$10.73B28.398.48%2.94%15.28%-9.99%
79
Outperform
$0.0011.9739.79%8.97%11.48%-5.67%
78
Outperform
$8.87B19.7021.65%4.86%5.03%7.15%
77
Outperform
$8.93B15.7849.74%6.58%8.97%17.28%
71
Outperform
$12.66B19.379.43%8.10%3.40%-20.48%
61
Neutral
$6.76B45.59-8.21%7.29%23.42%-61.22%
56
Neutral
C$4.11B-0.34-1.30%6.51%5.43%-67.68%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DTM
DT Midstream
103.42
33.66
48.25%
PAA
Plains All American
17.76
1.82
11.42%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
39.78
4.15
11.65%
AM
Antero Midstream
18.50
5.44
41.65%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
41.97
8.86
26.76%
KNTK
Kinetik
42.14
4.40
11.66%

DT Midstream Corporate Events

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DT Midstream Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

On July 31, 2025, DT Midstream reported strong financial results for the second quarter of 2025, with a net income of $107 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $277 million. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.82 per share, payable on October 15, 2025. Significant business achievements included reaching a final investment decision on the Guardian Pipeline ‘G3’ expansion, finalizing an investment plan for pipeline modernization, achieving an investment-grade credit rating, and setting a record high quarterly gathering volume for the Haynesville system. These developments position DT Midstream well to meet its financial goals for 2025 and reaffirm its adjusted EBITDA guidance for 2025 and 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (DTM) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DT Midstream stock, see the DTM Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DT Midstream Achieves Investment Grade Credit Rating
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, DT Midstream announced that it has achieved an investment grade credit rating from both Moody’s and Fitch Ratings. Moody’s upgraded the company’s credit rating to Baa3 with a stable outlook on May 16, 2025, while Fitch Ratings had upgraded it to BBB- with a stable outlook on October 3, 2024. This achievement is expected to enhance the company’s liquidity and reduce interest expenses, marking a significant milestone since becoming a standalone public company. The ratings upgrades reflect the strength of DT Midstream’s balance sheet and the quality and scale of its business operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (DTM) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DT Midstream stock, see the DTM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DT Midstream Enhances Stockholder Rights at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 6, 2025, DT Midstream, Inc. held its virtual 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key decisions were made. Stockholders approved a proposal to amend the company’s Certificate of Incorporation, allowing stockholders with at least 25% voting power to request special meetings. This change, effective May 9, 2025, enhances stockholder rights and could impact the company’s governance dynamics. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of board members, ratification of the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, and approval of executive compensation on an advisory basis.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 02, 2025