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DT Midstream (DTM)
NYSE:DTM
US Market

DT Midstream (DTM) AI Stock Analysis

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DT Midstream

(NYSE:DTM)

Rating:79Outperform
Price Target:
$117.00
â–²(13.21%Upside)
DT Midstream scores well due to strong financial performance, positive earnings call, and favorable technical indicators. Valuation is slightly high, but the company's commitment to growth and dividends supports its attractiveness.
Positive Factors
Business Model
DTM's fee-based, contracted cash flows should act defensive in an uncertain environment.
Dividend Stability
DTM intends to maintain dividend coverage, providing a stable return to shareholders.
Growth Potential
DTM's management sees a growing investment opportunity set, which could drive an increase in the backlog including a potential Millennium pipeline expansion and additional potential investments on the acquired Midwest pipelines.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
Lowering FCF per share estimates primarily to reflect lower contributions from joint ventures and a higher share count as buybacks were removed from the model.
Interest Expense
Lowering the price target to $108/share to reflect higher interest expense and a lower dividend payout.
Valuation Concerns
DTM's recent outperformance and valuation re-rate leave less room for upside.

DT Midstream (DTM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

DT Midstream Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDT Midstream (DTM) is a leading energy infrastructure company that specializes in owning, operating, and developing natural gas pipelines and storage systems across the United States. The company focuses on the transportation and storage of natural gas, providing essential services to utilities, power plants, marketers, large industrial customers, and other energy companies. With a strong commitment to safety, reliability, and sustainability, DT Midstream plays a critical role in the energy supply chain by ensuring the efficient and secure delivery of natural gas.
How the Company Makes MoneyDT Midstream generates revenue primarily through the transportation and storage of natural gas. The company's revenue model is based on long-term, fee-based contracts with customers who require reliable access to natural gas infrastructure. These contracts often include fixed reservation fees that are paid regardless of volume transported, ensuring a stable revenue stream. Additionally, the company may earn variable fees based on the actual volume of gas transported through its pipeline systems. Key revenue streams include fees from natural gas transportation services, storage services, and related ancillary services. DT Midstream's strategic partnerships with major energy producers and consumers, along with its expansive network of pipelines and storage facilities, contribute significantly to its earnings by enhancing its ability to meet the diverse needs of its customers while optimizing operational efficiency.

DT Midstream Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 5.71%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong performance in Q1 2025, with solid growth in critical segments like Haynesville and positive long-term market fundamentals. While there are some short-term challenges, such as expected seasonal decline in Q2, the company maintains a strong financial position and commitment to dividend growth. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start in 2025
Reaffirmed 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance range and 2026 early outlook range. Executing on a $2.3 billion organic growth project backlog.
Pipeline Segment Performance
Pipeline segment results were $39 million higher than the fourth quarter of 2024, with a full quarter contribution from acquired interstate pipelines.
Growth in Haynesville Volumes
Total gathering volumes in Haynesville increased, averaging 1.67 Bcf per day, driven by new volumes and return of offline production.
Positive Long-Term Market Outlook
Total U.S. natural gas supply and demand expected to grow by approximately 19 Bcf per day through 2030, with strong demand from LNG exports and data center power generation.
Strong Financial Position
Adjusted EBITDA of $280 million, a $45 million increase from the prior quarter. Investment-grade with Fitch, positive outlook with Moody's and S&P.
Dividend Commitment
Board of Directors approved a first-quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, with a commitment to grow the dividend 5% to 7% per year.
Negative Updates
Seasonal Decline Expected in Q2
Adjusted EBITDA expected to be lower in Q2 due to seasonality across interstate pipelines and expected rate step-down on Guardian pipeline.
Decreased Volumes in Northeast
Northeast volumes decreased to 1.3 Bcf per day from the fourth quarter, driven by timing of producer activity.
Company Guidance
During DT Midstream's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its adjusted EBITDA guidance range for 2025 and its early outlook for 2026. They are executing on a $2.3 billion organic growth project backlog and integrating newly acquired interstate pipelines, with key integration activities on schedule to be completed by year-end. The company reported an adjusted EBITDA of $280 million for Q1 2025, marking a $45 million increase from the previous quarter. Total gathering volumes in the Haynesville averaged 1.67 Bcf per day, reflecting new volumes and the return of offline production, while Northeast volumes averaged 1.3 Bcf per day. DT Midstream expects adjusted EBITDA to be lower in Q2 due to seasonality and other factors but remains confident in its full-year guidance. The company also announced a first-quarter dividend of $0.82 per share, with a commitment to grow the dividend by 5% to 7% annually in line with long-term adjusted EBITDA growth.

DT Midstream Financial Statement Overview

Summary
DT Midstream has strong financials with consistent revenue growth and high profitability margins. Despite a stable balance sheet, further leverage reduction could improve financial stability. Cash flow is robust, with a significant increase in free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
DT Midstream demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent increase in gross and net profit margins over the years. The gross profit margin in the latest annual report is 75.13%, and the net profit margin is 37.39%. Revenue has grown steadily, with a 6.4% increase from the previous year, indicating solid top-line growth.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet shows a relatively stable position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, highlighting manageable leverage. However, the equity ratio stands at 52.67%, indicating moderate financial stability. Return on equity is at 7.93%, suggesting decent profitability for shareholders.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
DT Midstream's cash flow is robust, with a significant increase in free cash flow, which grew by 2826.92% in the last year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 2.08, highlighting efficient cash generation relative to earnings. However, reliance on operating cash flow is crucial as the company had significant capital expenditures in prior years.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.04B981.00M922.00M920.00M840.00M754.00M
Gross Profit770.00M772.00M495.00M653.00M609.00M427.00M
EBITDA908.00M884.00M850.00M808.00M718.00M722.00M
Net Income365.00M354.00M384.00M370.00M307.00M312.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.0010.20B8.98B8.83B8.17B8.34B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0068.00M56.00M61.00M132.00M42.00M
Total Debt3.43B3.52B3.27B3.42B3.08B3.22B
Total Liabilities5.15B5.17B4.70B4.68B4.14B4.11B
Stockholders Equity4.64B4.63B4.14B4.01B3.87B4.07B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow455.00M413.00M26.00M387.00M432.00M79.00M
Operating Cash Flow746.00M763.00M798.00M725.00M572.00M597.00M
Investing Cash Flow-1.07B-1.08B-351.00M-854.00M123.00M-714.00M
Financing Cash Flow338.00M330.00M-452.00M58.00M-605.00M113.00M

DT Midstream Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price103.35
Price Trends
50DMA
103.81
Negative
100DMA
99.09
Positive
200DMA
97.03
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Positive
RSI
45.44
Neutral
STOCH
22.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DTM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 103.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 105.65, below the 50-day MA of 103.81, and above the 200-day MA of 97.03, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 22.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DTM.

DT Midstream Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DTDTM
79
Outperform
$10.43B28.088.29%3.17%10.83%-10.47%
WEWES
79
Outperform
$14.96B11.7339.79%9.22%11.48%-5.67%
79
Outperform
$8.04B15.0549.74%7.39%8.77%15.22%
AMAM
78
Outperform
$8.36B20.2919.71%5.16%5.03%7.15%
PAPAA
71
Outperform
$13.28B20.329.43%8.05%3.40%-20.48%
68
Neutral
$15.42B10.076.34%5.16%4.06%-67.04%
58
Neutral
$6.55B44.14-8.21%7.53%23.42%-61.22%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DTM
DT Midstream
103.35
34.71
50.57%
PAA
Plains All American
18.88
1.19
6.73%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
39.47
0.41
1.05%
AM
Antero Midstream
17.45
3.67
26.63%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
38.44
2.85
8.01%
KNTK
Kinetik
41.44
1.53
3.83%

DT Midstream Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DT Midstream Achieves Investment Grade Credit Rating
Positive
May 20, 2025

On May 20, 2025, DT Midstream announced that it has achieved an investment grade credit rating from both Moody’s and Fitch Ratings. Moody’s upgraded the company’s credit rating to Baa3 with a stable outlook on May 16, 2025, while Fitch Ratings had upgraded it to BBB- with a stable outlook on October 3, 2024. This achievement is expected to enhance the company’s liquidity and reduce interest expenses, marking a significant milestone since becoming a standalone public company. The ratings upgrades reflect the strength of DT Midstream’s balance sheet and the quality and scale of its business operations.

The most recent analyst rating on (DTM) stock is a Buy with a $96.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on DT Midstream stock, see the DTM Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
DT Midstream Enhances Stockholder Rights at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 9, 2025

On May 6, 2025, DT Midstream, Inc. held its virtual 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders where several key decisions were made. Stockholders approved a proposal to amend the company’s Certificate of Incorporation, allowing stockholders with at least 25% voting power to request special meetings. This change, effective May 9, 2025, enhances stockholder rights and could impact the company’s governance dynamics. Additionally, the meeting saw the election of board members, ratification of the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor, and approval of executive compensation on an advisory basis.

DividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
DT Midstream Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Apr 30, 2025

On April 30, 2025, DT Midstream announced strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, reporting a net income of $108 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $280 million. The company declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.82 per share, payable on July 15, 2025. Significant business updates include the successful integration of new interstate pipelines and the commencement of construction for a new power plant lateral. These developments position DT Midstream favorably for continued growth and operational success in the natural gas industry.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 22, 2025