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Western Midstream Partners (WES)
NYSE:WES
US Market

Western Midstream Partners (WES) AI Stock Analysis

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WES

Western Midstream Partners

(NYSE:WES)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$49.00
▲(19.57% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/19/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance (high margins and solid operating cash generation) and an attractive valuation/income profile (moderate P/E with a high dividend yield). Technicals support an uptrend, but overbought momentum indicators and guidance for lower 2026 free cash flow versus 2025 temper the overall rating.
Positive Factors
Fee‑based contracts provide stable cash flows
Western’s fee-based revenue model and long-term contractual arrangements create predictable cash inflows that reduce commodity-price sensitivity, supporting durable distributable cash flow, predictable capex funding and the ability to service debt and invest in growth projects over multiple years.
Very high and sustainable margins
Consistently high gross and net margins reflect structural operating leverage and pricing power in midstream services. These margins give the company resilience against commodity swings, support strong free cash flow conversion and underpin long-term return on capital and distribution coverage.
Material deleveraging and stronger balance sheet
A sharp reduction in leverage materially improves financial flexibility: lowers refinancing risk, increases capacity for targeted growth spending and distributions, and enhances resilience to basin downturns or commodity shocks while preserving investment grade access to capital markets.
Negative Factors
Free cash flow decline and volatility
A materially lower FCF midpoint for 2026 versus 2025 reduces the near-term cash cushion and constrains discretionary options. Persistent FCF volatility complicates multi-year planning for distributions, deleveraging and execution of expansion projects despite strong underlying EBITDA generation.
Basin-specific production declines
Significant expected declines in key basins directly reduce throughput-dependent revenue and utilization of existing assets. Prolonged basin softness can limit organic growth, pressure unit economics on projects tied to those areas, and require reallocation of capital to offset lost volumes.
Waha hub pricing-related curtailments
Regional price dislocations and third‑party curtailments at Waha create recurring operational interruptions and revenue uncertainty for assets serving the Delaware Basin. Until new egress alleviates constraints, throughput and margin volatility remain structural downside risks to cash generation.

Western Midstream Partners (WES) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Western Midstream Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionWestern Midstream Partners, LP, a midstream energy company, together with its subsidiaries, acquires, owns, develops, and operates primarily in the United States. It is involved in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, and transporting natural gas; gathering, stabilizing, and transporting condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil; and gathering and disposing produced water. It also buys and sells natural gas, NGLs, and condensate. The company operates assets located in Texas, New Mexico, the Rocky Mountains, and North-central Pennsylvania. Western Midstream Holdings, LLC operates as the general partner of the company. The company was formerly known as Western Gas Equity Partners, LP and changed its name to Western Midstream Partners, LP in February 2019. Western Midstream Partners, LP was incorporated in 2007 and is based in The Woodlands, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyWestern Midstream Partners generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts, which provide stable cash flows regardless of commodity price fluctuations. Key revenue streams include gathering and processing fees from natural gas and NGLs, transportation fees from crude oil pipelines, and storage fees. The company benefits from long-term contractual arrangements with various producers, ensuring a predictable revenue base. Additionally, WES may engage in joint ventures or partnerships with other energy companies, enhancing its operational capabilities and expanding its market reach, which further contributes to its earnings.

Western Midstream Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
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% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a largely constructive picture: Western Midstream delivered record adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow in 2025, successfully closed and integrated the Aris acquisition ahead of plan, realized meaningful cost synergies, and maintained a conservative balance sheet with flexibility to adjust capital spending. However, the company faces notable near-term headwinds — producer activity reductions (including reallocation by Oxy), Waha hub pricing-related curtailments, basin-specific declines (DJ and Powder River), and some one-time accounting and transaction impacts that pressure margins and 2026 free cash flow. Management emphasized discipline, flexibility in capex, and a long-term mid- to low-single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth target, while taking a conservative approach to distributions in 2026.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA and Sequential Improvement
Fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of $636 million (would have been $665 million excluding $29.5 million of noncash revenue adjustments), representing ~5% sequential quarter increase on an adjusted basis; full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $2.48 billion, up ~6% year-over-year and above the midpoint of guidance.
Record Free Cash Flow and Strong Operating Cash
Record free cash flow of $1.53 billion for 2025 (exceeding the high end of guidance) and fourth quarter free cash flow of $341 million; fourth quarter cash flow from operations of $558 million.
Throughput Growth Across Products
Full-year 2025 throughput increased across all three products: natural gas averaged 5.2 Bcf/d (+4% YoY), crude oil & NGLs averaged 514,000 bpd (+1% YoY), and produced water averaged 1.6 million bpd (+40% YoY, including 2.5 months of Aris contribution); Q4 produced water throughput increased 121% sequentially due to Aris.
Accretive Aris Acquisition and Successful Integration
Aris Water Solutions acquisition materially expanded produced water capabilities and New Mexico presence; integration mostly complete, ahead of schedule, with $40 million targeted cost synergies and ~85% of those savings expected by end of Q1 2026.
Cost Reduction and Operational Efficiency Gains
Excluding Aris and reimbursable utility costs, operations & maintenance (O&M) expense annualized decreased by more than $100 million from Q1 to Q4 2025; multi-quarter trend of declining legacy O&M and G&A (cash G&A excluding acquisition-related costs ~flat YoY at ~$235 million).
Disciplined Capital Allocation and Flexible CapEx
2025 capital expenditures of $722 million were within guidance; 2026 expansion capex midpoint reduced to $925 million (from prior communications of at least $1.1 billion), demonstrating ability to quickly align investment with producer activity.
Strong Balance Sheet and Capital Return
Maintained net leverage around ~3x in 2025 including financing for Aris; declared distribution of $0.91 per unit for Q1 and proposed a $0.02 per unit increase for 2026, guiding full-year distribution of at least $3.70 per unit (~3% increase YoY).
Key Project Progress and Organic Growth Projects
North Loving Train I completed ahead of schedule and under budget (added ~250 MMcf/d processing capacity to ~2.2 Bcf/d); Pathfinder pipeline sanctioned; North Loving Train II sanctioned and expected online early Q2 2027; these projects support medium-term growth runway.
Negative Updates
Near-Term Activity Reductions from Producers
Producers updated forecasts indicate reduced activity on acreage WES services (including reallocation by Oxy), moderating 2026 throughput: partnership-wide natural gas expected to be flat YoY and crude oil & NGLs expected to decline by low- to mid-single digits YoY.
Waha Hub Pricing Pressure and Curtailments
Low and volatile Waha hub pricing led to third-party curtailments in Q4 (and intermittent curtailments into Q1 2026), materially impacting Delaware Basin natural gas throughput; company expects continued pricing pressure at least through H1 2026 until new egress comes online.
Q4 Noncash Revenue Adjustments and Transaction Costs
Recorded approximately $29.5–30 million of unfavorable noncash revenue recognition cumulative adjustments in Q4 related to redetermined cost of service rates, and $120 million of Aris-related transaction costs negatively impacted net income but were added back to adjusted EBITDA for comparability.
Margins Pressured Sequentially
Q4 per Mcf adjusted gross margin for natural gas decreased $0.01 QoQ; crude oil & NGLs per barrel adjusted gross margin decreased $0.33 QoQ (partly due to unfavorable noncash revenue recognition); produced water per barrel adjusted gross margin decreased $0.11 QoQ; company expects lower average natural gas adjusted gross margin (~$1.22/Mcf in 2026).
O&M and G&A Reported Increases (Including Acquisition Impact)
Reported fourth quarter O&M increased 19% sequentially (primarily due to 2.5 months of Aris); including Aris, O&M expected to increase ~10–15% YoY in 2026 though legacy base is trending down; G&A rose quarter-over-quarter on transaction costs and higher personnel costs.
Basin-Specific Downside — DJ and Powder River
DJ Basin expected to see mid- to high-single-digit YoY declines for both natural gas and crude & NGLs in 2026; Powder River natural gas throughput expected to decline 10–15% YoY given commodity sensitivity (though rigs may return in 2027).
Lower 2026 Free Cash Flow Expectation
2026 free cash flow guidance of $900 million to $1.1 billion (midpoint $1.0 billion) is down materially from 2025 actual $1.53 billion — roughly a ~34% reduction from 2025 actual to 2026 midpoint, driven by elevated expansion spending and near-term activity headwinds.
Distribution Coverage and Conservative Pacing
Management elected a modest distribution increase (+$0.02 per unit) and signaled intention to grow distributions slightly below EBITDA growth to build coverage over time, reflecting a cautious stance given near-term activity and commodity uncertainties.
Company Guidance
Western’s 2026 guidance calls for adjusted EBITDA of $2.5–$2.7 billion (midpoint $2.6B, ≈5% YoY at midpoint), capital expenditures of $850M–$1.0B (midpoint $925M, ~50% directed to Pathfinder and North Loving II), distributable cash flow (DCF) of $1.85B–$2.05B (midpoint $1.95B; $4.59–$5.08 per unit), and free cash flow of $900M–$1.1B (midpoint $1.0B); the range includes estimated first‑quarter winter storm impacts of $10M–$20M. Operational guidance assumes partnership‑wide natural gas throughput roughly flat, crude oil/NGL throughput down low‑ to mid‑single digits, and produced water throughput up >80% YoY (driven by Aris); average 2026 adjusted gross margins are expected at ~$1.22/Mcf for natural gas, $3.10–$3.15/barrel for crude oil & NGLs (Q1: $3.05–$3.10/bbl), and ~$0.85/barrel for produced water. The company plans to recommend a $0.02/unit increase starting Q1 for a full‑year distribution of at least $3.70/unit (annualized ≈$3.72) while maintaining a strong balance sheet (net leverage ~3x).

Western Midstream Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability (very high gross margins and consistently robust net margins) and dependable operating cash generation with solid free-cash-flow conversion. Offsetting this, earnings and free cash flow show notable year-to-year volatility, and the sharp 2025 leverage shift reduces comparability versus prior years.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Revenue has generally trended up from 2020–2025 with only a modest dip in 2023, and 2025 shows strong year-over-year growth. Profitability is a key strength: gross margins remain very high (~69%–77%) and net margins are consistently robust (~19%–44%), supporting strong earnings power. The main weakness is volatility in operating profit measures year to year (notably 2024 vs. 2025), which suggests earnings can swing based on items beyond steady volume growth.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet looks meaningfully improved in 2025, with debt-to-equity dropping to ~0.11 versus ~2.3–2.9 in 2020–2024, indicating a large reduction in leverage or a structural change that strengthens financial flexibility. Equity and assets are sizable, and returns on equity have been strong (roughly ~19%–49% historically, ~28% in 2025). The key risk is that prior years carried heavy leverage, and the sharp 2025 shift makes year-to-year comparability less stable.
Cash Flow
73
Positive
Operating cash flow is consistently strong and has covered net income by more than 1x each year (about ~1.25x–1.88x), supporting earnings quality. Free cash flow conversion is solid (roughly ~55%–82% of net income historically; ~67% in 2025), enabling distributions and/or deleveraging. The main weakness is free cash flow volatility, including a decline in 2025 (negative growth), which reduces near-term cash cushion despite healthy operating inflows.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.84B3.61B3.11B3.25B2.88B
Gross Profit2.63B2.78B2.34B2.25B2.00B
EBITDA2.30B2.64B1.99B2.16B1.85B
Net Income1.17B1.57B1.02B1.22B916.29M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets15.00B13.14B12.47B11.27B11.27B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments819.49M1.09B272.79M286.66M202.00M
Total Debt8.93B8.14B7.96B6.83B6.95B
Total Liabilities10.84B9.77B9.44B8.16B8.18B
Stockholders Equity4.02B3.24B2.90B2.97B2.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.46B1.27B913.12M1.21B1.45B
Operating Cash Flow2.19B2.11B1.65B1.70B1.77B
Investing Cash Flow-1.09B-39.17M-1.61B-218.24M-257.54M
Financing Cash Flow-1.38B-1.25B-58.83M-1.40B-1.75B

Western Midstream Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.98
Price Trends
50DMA
40.18
Positive
100DMA
38.78
Positive
200DMA
37.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.40
Positive
RSI
48.30
Neutral
STOCH
29.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WES, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.98 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.51, above the 50-day MA of 40.18, and above the 200-day MA of 37.69, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.40 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 29.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for WES.

Western Midstream Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$14.48B12.3612.03%8.54%-7.53%9.74%
75
Outperform
$13.95B31.889.42%2.70%20.39%-3.85%
74
Outperform
$16.13B13.7731.82%9.13%5.81%-13.58%
74
Outperform
$10.46B25.8520.22%4.98%8.70%21.42%
73
Outperform
$7.91B13.318.45%10.78%19.10%
66
Neutral
$16.78B19.738.61%8.03%-7.53%11.27%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WES
Western Midstream Partners
41.17
4.78
13.15%
PAA
Plains All American
20.62
2.32
12.65%
PAGP
Plains GP Holdings
22.20
2.69
13.76%
AM
Antero Midstream
22.36
6.95
45.10%
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
38.61
0.67
1.76%
DTM
DT Midstream
138.64
48.53
53.86%

Western Midstream Partners Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Western Midstream Amends Key Gas Agreements, Redeems Units
Positive
Jan 22, 2026

On January 16, 2026, Western Midstream subsidiary Delaware Basin Midstream LLC amended its Delaware Basin gas gathering agreement with Occidental Petroleum’s Anadarko E&P Onshore LLC, shifting from a cost-of-service to a fixed-fee structure, adding new minimum volume commitments through 2027, and revising acreage transfer terms, while also entering related natural gas gathering and processing arrangements with a ConocoPhillips subsidiary. In connection with these changes, Western Midstream agreed to redeem 15.3 million of its common units from Occidental on February 3, 2026—reducing Occidental’s ownership stake—and structured the reset of Delaware Basin natural gas fees and new fixed-fee contracts so that lower operating cash flows over time are expected to be largely offset by distribution savings and recognition of contract liability revenue through 2032, further diversifying revenues, reducing related-party exposure, and advancing Western Midstream’s transition toward a more transparent, standalone fixed-fee midstream model with leverage targeted around 3.0x Adjusted EBITDA in 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (WES) stock is a Hold with a $39.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Western Midstream Partners stock, see the WES Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Western Midstream Partners Completes $1.2 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Dec 4, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Western Midstream Operating, LP completed a public offering of $1.2 billion in senior notes due in 2031 and 2035. The proceeds will be used to repay maturing notes, reduce commercial paper program debt, and fund general partnership purposes, including capital expenditures. This financial move is expected to strengthen the company’s financial position and support its strategic initiatives, such as the acquisition of Aris Water Solutions, Inc.

The most recent analyst rating on (WES) stock is a Hold with a $42.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Western Midstream Partners stock, see the WES Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 19, 2026