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Hess Midstream Partners (HESM)
NYSE:HESM
US Market

Hess Midstream Partners (HESM) AI Stock Analysis

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HESM

Hess Midstream Partners

(NYSE:HESM)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$39.00
▲(14.44% Upside)
Hess Midstream's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supported by high profitability and a robust dividend yield. The earnings call reflects solid operational execution, although high leverage and project suspensions pose risks. Technical indicators suggest mixed momentum, with short-term strength but longer-term caution.
Positive Factors
Revenue Model Stability
The reliance on long-term, take-or-pay contracts ensures stable cash flow, insulating the company from commodity price volatility and providing predictable revenue streams.
Operational Efficiency
High EBITDA margins reflect strong operational leverage and efficiency, allowing the company to maintain profitability even in fluctuating market conditions.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong free cash flow generation supports dividend growth and provides financial flexibility for future investments or debt reduction, enhancing long-term shareholder value.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially if market conditions worsen, potentially impacting future growth and stability.
Project Suspension
Halting the Capa gas plant project may constrain future capacity expansion and revenue growth, affecting long-term strategic positioning in the market.
Slowed Revenue Growth
Slowing revenue growth could indicate market saturation or increased competition, potentially impacting the company's ability to sustain long-term growth momentum.

Hess Midstream Partners (HESM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hess Midstream Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHess Midstream LP owns, develops, operates, and acquires midstream assets. The company operates through three segments: Gathering; Processing and Storage; and Terminaling and Export. The Gathering segment owns natural gas gathering and compression; crude oil gathering systems; and produced water gathering and disposal facilities. Its gathering systems consists of approximately 1,350 miles of high and low pressure natural gas and natural gas liquids gathering pipelines with capacity of approximately 450 million cubic feet per day; and crude oil gathering system comprises approximately 550 miles of crude oil gathering pipelines. The Processing and Storage segment comprises Tioga Gas Plant, a natural gas processing and fractionation plant located in Tioga, North Dakota; a 50% interest in the Little Missouri 4 gas processing plant located in south of the Missouri River in McKenzie County, North Dakota; and Mentor Storage Terminal, a propane storage cavern and rail, and truck loading and unloading facility located in Mentor, Minnesota. The Terminaling and Export segment owns Ramberg terminal facility; Tioga rail terminal; and crude oil rail cars, as well as Johnson's Corner Header System, a crude oil pipeline header system. Hess Midstream LP was founded in 2014 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyHess Midstream Partners generates revenue primarily through fee-based contracts for its midstream services, which include gathering, processing, and transporting crude oil and natural gas. The company's revenue model is largely dependent on long-term, take-or-pay contracts with its customers, which ensure a steady cash flow regardless of commodity price fluctuations. Key revenue streams include fees from the transportation of crude oil and natural gas, processing fees from natural gas and NGLs, and storage fees for hydrocarbons. Additionally, partnerships with major energy producers, such as Hess Corporation, provide a stable customer base and contribute significantly to HESM's earnings. The company's strategic asset base and operational efficiency further enhance its profitability.

Hess Midstream Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jan 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects strong operational performance and strategic capital management, with a focus on shareholder returns and financial flexibility. However, there are some challenges including a slight decline in net income and the suspension of the Capa gas plant, which could affect future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Operational Performance and Shareholder Returns
Strong operational performance with gas throughputs increasing and a $100 million share and unit repurchase in the third quarter. Distribution increased by 2.4% and approximately 10% on an annualized basis for Class A share.
Adjusted EBITDA and Free Cash Flow Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $321 million, an increase from $316 million in Q2. Adjusted free cash flow was approximately $187 million, with expectations for continued growth through 2027.
Capital Expenditure Reduction
Capital expenditures are expected to total approximately $270 million for 2025, with a significant reduction in future capital going forward due to the removal of the Capa gas plant project.
Financial Flexibility
Hess Midstream maintains an adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 80%, above the 75% target, highlighting strong operating leverage.
Negative Updates
Net Income Decrease
Net income for Q3 2025 was $176 million, a slight decrease from $180 million in Q2.
Winter Weather and Maintenance Impact
Expected flat throughput volumes for Q4 due to lower third-party volumes, winter weather contingency, and planned maintenance at the Little Missouri 4 gas plant.
Suspension of Capa Gas Plant
Activities on the Capa gas plant have been suspended and removed from forward plans, impacting future growth potential.
Company Guidance
During the Third Quarter 2025 Hess Midstream Conference Call, guidance was provided for the fourth quarter and the full year. The company expects fourth-quarter net income to be between $170 million and $180 million, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $315 million to $325 million. The full-year guidance for net income has been narrowed to $685 million to $695 million, and adjusted EBITDA is expected to range from $1.245 billion to $1.255 billion, representing approximately 10% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Capital expenditures for the year are anticipated to total around $270 million, following the suspension of activities on the Capa gas plant. Adjusted free cash flow is projected to be approximately $760 million to $770 million, with excess adjusted free cash flow of about $140 million after funding targeted dividend growth. The company remains committed to a 5% annual distribution growth per Class A share through 2027, supported by existing Minimum Volume Commitments (MVCs) and expects to release guidance for 2026 and 2028 MVCs after concluding its budget process in December.

Hess Midstream Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hess Midstream Partners shows strong profitability and cash flow generation, with high margins and efficient operations. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio indicates significant leverage, which poses a potential risk.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Hess Midstream Partners demonstrates strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 86.8% and a solid net profit margin of 18.6% for the TTM. Revenue growth is positive at 3.2%, indicating steady expansion. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 63.0% and 76.2% respectively, showcasing efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy financial performance with consistent growth and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 5.85, indicating significant leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. However, the return on equity is strong at 50.6%, suggesting effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 14.4%, reflecting a moderate level of equity financing. While profitability is strong, the high leverage warrants caution.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
Cash flow analysis shows a substantial free cash flow growth rate of 87.8% for the TTM, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high at 4.51, suggesting efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 69.2%, highlighting the company's ability to generate cash relative to its net income. Overall, cash flow metrics are strong, supporting the company's financial stability.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.61B1.49B1.35B1.27B1.20B1.09B
Gross Profit1.30B1.29B1.15B1.09B1.04B934.70M
EBITDA1.23B1.14B1.02B977.80M903.40M743.60M
Net Income330.00M223.10M118.60M83.90M46.40M24.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.44B4.15B3.79B3.59B3.49B3.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments5.50M4.30M5.40M3.10M2.20M2.60M
Total Debt3.79B3.47B3.21B2.89B2.56B1.91B
Total Liabilities4.01B3.69B3.43B3.06B2.73B2.05B
Stockholders Equity572.50M530.70M340.20M245.10M204.10M125.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow712.70M634.20M642.90M622.90M632.30M340.60M
Operating Cash Flow996.70M940.30M866.40M861.10M795.50M641.70M
Investing Cash Flow-284.00M-306.10M-223.50M-238.20M-163.20M-301.00M
Financing Cash Flow-717.50M-635.30M-640.60M-622.00M-632.70M-341.40M

Hess Midstream Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price34.08
Price Trends
50DMA
33.28
Positive
100DMA
35.59
Negative
200DMA
36.39
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
52.48
Neutral
STOCH
11.40
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HESM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 34.08 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.94, above the 50-day MA of 33.28, and below the 200-day MA of 36.39, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 11.40 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HESM.

Hess Midstream Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$15.94B11.5640.29%9.12%5.81%-13.58%
79
Outperform
$12.38B14.239.78%8.61%-7.53%9.74%
78
Outperform
$8.34B17.9522.52%5.10%8.70%21.42%
78
Outperform
$12.00B29.929.04%2.74%20.39%-3.85%
77
Outperform
$7.03B12.0359.81%8.52%10.78%19.10%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
52
Neutral
$5.43B82.879.03%15.00%-84.96%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
34.08
-0.48
-1.39%
PAA
Plains All American
17.66
1.90
12.06%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
39.54
3.27
9.02%
AM
Antero Midstream
17.63
3.13
21.59%
KNTK
Kinetik
34.56
-19.32
-35.86%
DTM
DT Midstream
119.52
20.15
20.28%

Hess Midstream Partners Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
Hess Midstream Partners Announces Board Changes
Neutral
Dec 9, 2025

On December 4, 2025, Hess Midstream Partners, a company managed by Hess Midstream GP LLC, announced changes in its Board of Directors. Andrew B. Walz resigned from the Board following his appointment as an executive officer at Chevron Corporation. His resignation was not due to any disagreements with the company. Kristi H. McCarthy was designated as the new Chairman of the Board, and Barbara F. Harrison, a vice president at Chevron U.S.A. Inc., was appointed as a new board member. Harrison’s appointment aligns with Chevron’s influence over the board, as Chevron indirectly owns the entities controlling Hess Midstream Partners.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 23, 2025