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Hess Midstream Partners Lp (HESM)
:HESM
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Hess Midstream Partners (HESM) AI Stock Analysis

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HESM

Hess Midstream Partners

(NYSE:HESM)

Rating:80Outperform
Price Target:
$48.00
â–²(17.79% Upside)
Hess Midstream Partners scores well due to strong financial performance, attractive valuation, and positive earnings call guidance. The company's strategic initiatives, such as the repurchase agreement, further bolster its position. However, the rising debt levels and anticipated higher costs slightly temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Dividend and Return
Analyst's recommendation for HESM is at Equal-weight, with a price target reflecting a 29.0% one-year, total-return upside including a 7.4% dividend yield.
Strategic Transactions
A potential buy-in transaction by Chevron could enable the company to gain more direct control of its midstream operations, allow for better upstream integration, and modestly reduce operating costs.
Negative Factors
Oil Prices
The main risk to the thesis is oil prices falling below $60 per barrel, which could lead to reduced drilling activity and slower growth.

Hess Midstream Partners (HESM) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Hess Midstream Partners Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionHess Midstream Partners LP (HESM) is a leading provider of integrated midstream services to the oil and gas industry, primarily focused on the Bakken shale formation in North Dakota. The company operates through three main sectors: gathering and processing, transportation, and terminaling and storage. Hess Midstream offers a range of services including the transportation of crude oil, natural gas, and produced water, as well as processing facilities that separate hydrocarbons and manage byproducts.
How the Company Makes MoneyHess Midstream generates revenue through a fee-based model, which is primarily structured around long-term contracts with customers. The company earns money by charging fees for its gathering and processing services, as well as transportation and terminaling services. Key revenue streams include fixed fees for throughput volumes, which provide predictable cash flow regardless of commodity price fluctuations, and variable fees that can depend on the volume of oil and gas processed or transported. Significant partnerships with Hess Corporation, which is a major oil producer in the Bakken region, contribute to stable earnings, as they ensure a consistent demand for Hess Midstream's services. Additionally, the company benefits from investments in infrastructure that enhance operational efficiency and capacity, further supporting its revenue generation capabilities.

Hess Midstream Partners Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong operational and financial performance with record operating metrics and an improved credit rating. However, these positives were balanced by anticipated higher maintenance costs and increased interest and tax expenses.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Operating Performance
In the second quarter, Hess Midstream delivered record operating performance. Throughput volumes increased across all segments, including a 6% increase in gas processing and a 10% increase in oil terminaling from the first quarter.
Financial Performance and Guidance
Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 increased to $316 million from $292 million in Q1. The company expects approximately 11% adjusted EBITDA growth in 2025 and adjusted free cash flow of $725 million to $775 million, more than covering the targeted 5% annual distribution growth.
Credit Rating Upgrade
Hess Midstream's senior unsecured debt was upgraded by S&P to an investment-grade rating of BBB- following the Chevron Hess merger.
Negative Updates
Higher Seasonal Maintenance Costs
The company expects higher seasonal maintenance costs in the second half of the year, which could offset some revenue gains from higher volumes.
Increased Interest and Tax Expenses
The updated net income guidance includes an incremental $15 million in expected interest expense and $15 million in expected income tax expense resulting from ownership changes.
Company Guidance
During the Hess Midstream second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance for the fiscal year, forecasting a 10% growth in volume across all oil and gas systems compared to 2024. They anticipate an 11% increase in adjusted EBITDA for 2025, with a 7% growth at the midpoint in the second half of the year. The company expects capital expenditures to reach approximately $300 million, leading to an adjusted free cash flow between $725 million and $775 million, which will support a targeted 5% annual distribution growth and generate excess free cash flow. Additionally, their strategy involves returning capital to shareholders, highlighted by their low leverage ratio and recent upgrade to an investment-grade rating of BBB-. Hess Midstream plans to leverage its strong balance sheet, with more than $1.25 billion of financial flexibility through 2027, to potentially engage in further unit and share repurchases.

Hess Midstream Partners Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Hess Midstream Partners demonstrates strong profitability and efficient cash flow management, with robust EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio poses a financial risk, which is partially offset by strong return on equity and stable asset base.
Income Statement
88
Very Positive
Hess Midstream Partners demonstrates strong profitability with consistently high gross and net profit margins over the years. The company has shown a positive revenue growth trend, with a notable increase from the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operational performance.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a high level of debt relative to equity, with a rising debt-to-equity ratio, which could pose a financial risk. However, the company maintains a reasonable equity ratio, showing a stable asset base. Return on equity remains strong, indicating effective use of shareholder funds.
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
Hess Midstream Partners has shown strong cash flow management with consistent free cash flow generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests healthy cash conversion. However, the free cash flow growth has seen some fluctuations, which could be an area of concern if it persists.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.52B1.49B1.35B1.27B1.20B1.09B
Gross Profit1.31B1.29B1.15B1.09B1.04B934.70M
EBITDA1.15B1.14B1.02B977.80M903.40M743.60M
Net Income250.10M223.10M118.60M83.90M46.40M24.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets4.26B4.15B3.79B3.59B3.49B3.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.10M4.30M5.40M3.10M2.20M2.60M
Total Debt3.57B3.47B3.21B2.89B2.56B1.91B
Total Liabilities3.75B3.69B3.43B3.06B2.73B2.05B
Stockholders Equity601.30M530.70M340.20M529.00M753.10M1.33B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow660.60M634.20M642.90M622.90M632.30M340.60M
Operating Cash Flow957.40M940.30M866.40M861.10M795.50M641.70M
Investing Cash Flow-296.80M-306.10M-223.50M-238.20M-163.20M-301.00M
Financing Cash Flow-658.70M-635.30M-640.60M-622.00M-632.70M-341.40M

Hess Midstream Partners Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price40.75
Price Trends
50DMA
39.96
Positive
100DMA
38.55
Positive
200DMA
38.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.24
Positive
RSI
48.01
Neutral
STOCH
34.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For HESM, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 40.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.34, above the 50-day MA of 39.96, and above the 200-day MA of 38.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.24 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 34.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for HESM.

Hess Midstream Partners Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$8.67B15.3252.91%6.95%9.02%17.28%
78
Outperform
$8.66B18.9921.65%4.93%7.09%17.53%
77
Outperform
$14.67B11.8438.42%9.38%7.11%-16.14%
69
Neutral
$10.70B28.118.48%2.95%15.28%-9.99%
68
Neutral
$12.27B19.268.34%8.36%-4.31%-17.80%
65
Neutral
$15.28B7.483.19%5.33%4.10%-60.58%
58
Neutral
$6.91B57.29-8.21%7.44%16.09%-71.69%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
HESM
Hess Midstream Partners
40.75
7.39
22.15%
PAA
Plains All American
17.22
1.18
7.36%
WES
Western Midstream Partners
38.04
3.61
10.49%
AM
Antero Midstream
18.25
4.74
35.09%
KNTK
Kinetik
41.95
0.58
1.40%
DTM
DT Midstream
105.27
32.61
44.88%

Hess Midstream Partners Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hess Midstream Partners Announces Leadership Change
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 4, 2025, John A. Gatling resigned as President and COO of Hess Midstream GP LLC, effective September 26, 2025. Michael S. Bast was appointed as his successor. Mr. Bast, who has been with Hess since 2007 and has held various roles, will also become an employee of Chevron U.S.A. Inc. on October 1, 2025. His appointment is expected to continue the company’s focus on efficient operations in the Bakken region, with no additional compensation from Hess Midstream for his role.

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Hess Midstream Announces $100 Million Repurchase Agreement
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Hess Midstream LP announced a $100 million repurchase agreement, including the repurchase of $30 million in Class B units from Chevron’s subsidiary and $70 million in Class A shares from the public. This strategic move, approved by the board and its conflicts committee, is part of Hess Midstream’s financial strategy to return capital to shareholders, potentially increasing distributable cash flow per share and providing capacity for distribution growth above the annual target through 2027.

Executive/Board ChangesM&A Transactions
Hess Midstream Announces Leadership Changes Post-Merger
Neutral
Jul 18, 2025

On July 18, 2025, following the merger between Hess Corporation and Chevron Corporation, Hess Midstream announced significant changes to its Board of Directors and executive leadership. John B. Hess and other key executives resigned from the Board, with Chevron’s Andy Walz appointed as Chairman alongside new members Kristen Ghattas and Kristi McCarthy. Jonathan C. Stein was named CEO, succeeding John B. Hess, and Michael J. Chadwick was appointed CFO. These changes reflect Chevron’s increased influence, owning approximately 37.8% of Hess Midstream, and aim to enhance shareholder value and operational performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 06, 2025