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Targa Resources
(NYSE:TRGP)
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Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$313.00
â–²(32.91% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:07/18/26
The score is driven primarily by strong operating performance and cash generation but constrained by high leverage on the balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with a clear uptrend, while valuation is a modest headwind due to a higher P/E and a moderate dividend yield. The latest earnings call was a net positive due to the guidance raise and strong operating momentum, despite acknowledged short-term volume and outage-related volatility.
Positive Factors
Cash generation & improved free cash flow
Targa's operating cash flow consistently covers earnings (~1.1x TTM) and reported a sharp improvement in free cash flow versus 2025. Durable cash generation supports debt service, funds multi‑year growth capex and permits continued shareholder returns, improving resilience through commodity cycles.
Negative Factors
High leverage
Leverage is a primary structural constraint: debt-to-equity of roughly 6.1x TTM amplifies returns but raises refinancing and solvency risk. Elevated leverage limits financial flexibility for opportunistic investments, increases interest burden sensitivity, and can strain cash returns if volumes or margins weaken.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash generation & improved free cash flow
Targa's operating cash flow consistently covers earnings (~1.1x TTM) and reported a sharp improvement in free cash flow versus 2025. Durable cash generation supports debt service, funds multi‑year growth capex and permits continued shareholder returns, improving resilience through commodity cycles.
Read all positive factors
Targa Resources Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Targa Resources (TRGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$60.60B
Dividend Yield1.52%
Average Volume (3M)1.21M
Price to Earnings (P/E)28.6
Beta (1Y)0.52
Revenue Growth-1.23%
EPS Growth80.28%
CountryUS
Employees3,570
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Midstream
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)9.86
Shares Outstanding214,643,900
10 Day Avg. Volume1,067,815
30 Day Avg. Volume1,211,859
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio0.45
Price to Book (P/B)12.93
Price to Sales (P/S)2.31
P/FCF Ratio67.91
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$297.40Price Target Upside26.28% Upside
Rating ConsensusStrong Buy
Number of Analyst Covering17
EPS Forecast (FY)10.83
Revenue Forecast (FY)$19.74B
Targa Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Targa Resources Corp., alongside its subsidiary Targa Resources Partners LP, is a significant entity in the North American midstream energy sector, focusing on the ownership, operation, acquisition, and development of crucial energy infrastructure...
How the Company Makes Money
Targa makes money by charging fees and earning margins for moving, treating, and marketing natural gas and NGLs from upstream producers to downstream buyers. Key revenue streams typically include: (1) Gathering and Processing: collecting raw natur...
Targa Resources Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple operational and financial strengths—record Q1 adjusted EBITDA, raised full-year guidance, record fractionation and Permian volumes, strong liquidity, continued large-scale project execution and increased shareholder returns—while acknowledging near-term headwinds from severe winter weather, Waha-basis driven shut-ins (200–400 MMcf/d), and a partial LPG export outage. Management expects egress capacity additions (GCX expansion, Blackcomb, Traverse) and ongoing downstream expansions to alleviate constraints and support growth in the back half of 2026 and into 2027. Overall, positives (record results, guidance raise, strong balance sheet, and project progress) materially outweigh the cited short-term operational challenges.Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA and Raised Full-Year Guidance
Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion, a 5% increase sequentially. 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $5.7–$5.9 billion with a midpoint $300 million higher than the February guide.
Negative Updates
Weather-Related and Price-Induced Production Disruptions
Severe winter weather (Winter Storm Fern) and periodic producer shut-ins driven by weak Waha natural gas prices negatively impacted G&P and L&T volumes in Q1.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Adjusted EBITDA and Raised Full-Year Guidance
Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion, a 5% increase sequentially. 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $5.7–$5.9 billion with a midpoint $300 million higher than the February guide.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Targa raised 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $5.7–$5.9 billion (new midpoint $300 million above the February guide) after reporting Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion (up 5% sequentially); management still expects roughly $4.5 billion of net growth capex and about $250 million of net maintenance capex for 2026. At quarter end Targa had $3.1 billion of available liquidity, a pro forma consolidated leverage of ~3.6x (target 3–4x) and completed a $1.5 billion debt offering (4.35% notes due 2031 and 6.05% notes due 2056). Capital returned to shareholders included a Q1 common dividend of $1.25 per share (up 25% y/y) and $55 million of buybacks at an average $241.43/share. Operational drivers supporting the guide include record Permian inlet volumes (current volumes ~250 MMcf/d above Q1 average despite 200–400 MMcf/d of temporary shut‑ins), NGL pipeline volumes of 1.02 million bpd, record fractionation of 1.145 million bpd, Q1 LPG loadings of 13.1 million barrels/month, an export expansion to >19 million barrels/month targeted by Q3 2027, Speedway (500,000 bpd) on track for Q3 2027, Train 11 online with Trains 12 and 13 on track for Q1‑27 and Q1‑28, and >1.5 Bcf/d of new processing capacity coming by early 2028.Targa Resources Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 16.38B | 17.14B | 16.63B | 15.62B | 21.68B | 17.44B |
| Gross Profit | 4.89B | 4.54B | 3.33B | 2.54B | 2.79B | 2.09B |
| EBITDA | 4.98B | 4.85B | 4.14B | 3.97B | 3.21B | 1.70B |
| Net Income | 2.13B | 1.84B | 1.27B | 828.20M | 1.14B | 71.20M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 27.11B | 25.22B | 22.73B | 20.67B | 19.56B | 15.21B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 100.10M | 166.10M | 157.30M | 141.70M | 219.00M | 158.50M |
| Total Debt | 19.13B | 17.55B | 14.27B | 13.01B | 11.56B | 6.63B |
| Total Liabilities | 23.84B | 22.02B | 18.32B | 16.06B | 14.58B | 10.03B |
| Stockholders Equity | 3.14B | 3.07B | 2.59B | 2.74B | 2.67B | 2.01B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 261.90M | 584.10M | 683.90M | 826.20M | 1.05B | 1.80B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 3.70B | 3.92B | 3.65B | 3.21B | 2.38B | 2.30B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -4.99B | -5.44B | -3.02B | -2.40B | -4.15B | -473.20M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 1.24B | 1.53B | -612.80M | -888.10M | 1.83B | -1.91B |
Targa Resources Technical Analysis
Positive
235.50
Price Trends
268.15
Positive
254.96
Positive
216.90
Positive
Market Momentum
4.59
Negative
58.53
Neutral
76.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 235.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 273.19, below the 50-day MA of 268.15, and above the 200-day MA of 216.90, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 4.59 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 76.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRGP.
Targa Resources Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
73 Outperform | $58.95B | 16.65 | 15.92% | 5.61% | 41.04% | 9.18% | |
73 Outperform | $57.97B | 12.34 | 33.27% | 7.31% | 3.18% | 6.43% | |
72 Outperform | $55.52B | 43.15 | 23.48% | 1.07% | 24.15% | -55.07% | |
71 Outperform | $60.60B | 28.64 | 73.92% | 2.03% | -1.23% | 80.28% | |
71 Outperform | $83.90B | 14.36 | 20.04% | 6.72% | -9.49% | 1.01% | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
63 Neutral | $2.94B | 17.48 | 1917.10% | 9.78% | 13.04% | 6.21% |
* Energy Sector Average
TRGP
Targa Resources
280.22
121.32
76.35%
LNG
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262.59
42.07
19.08%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
38.56
9.22
31.40%
OKE
Oneok
91.83
15.31
20.00%
DKL
Delek Logistics
55.24
14.97
37.18%
MPLX
MPLX
56.49
9.85
21.13%
Targa Resources Corporate Events
Executive/Board ChangesRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Targa Resources Adds Experienced Director to Board
Positive
Jul 17, 2026
On July 16, 2026, Targa Resources Corp. appointed former ConocoPhillips executive Thomas Mathiasmeier as a Class II director, with his term running until the 2027 annual meeting, and named him to the Board’s Audit Committee. His extensive le...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Targa Resources Expands Receivables Securitization Facility Agreement
Positive
Jul 6, 2026
On July 1, 2026, Targa Resources Partners LP and its bankruptcy‑remote subsidiary Targa Receivables LLC amended their long‑standing receivables purchase agreement governing an accounts receivable securitization facility. The amendment ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Targa Resources Shareholders Reelect Directors, Approve Pay, Auditor
Positive
May 22, 2026
Targa Resources Corp. reported the results of its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 21, 2026, where shareholders voted on board composition, auditor ratification, and executive pay. Four Class I directors, Paul W. Chung, Charles R. C...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Targa Resources Posts Record Q1 Results, Lifts Outlook
Positive
May 7, 2026
Targa Resources reported record first quarter 2026 results on May 7, 2026, with net income rising to $480 million from $271 million a year earlier and adjusted EBITDA climbing 19 percent to $1.4 billion, driven by record Permian inlet and fraction...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.