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Targa Resources (TRGP)
NYSE:TRGP

Targa Resources (TRGP) AI Stock Analysis

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Targa Resources

(NYSE:TRGP)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$194.00
â–²(11.64%Upside)
Targa Resources' strong earnings performance and effective financial strategies contribute significantly to its overall score. While the company faces a high leverage risk, its robust profitability, cash flow, and positive technical indicators support a favorable outlook. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, but the increased dividend and strategic debt management are key positives.
Positive Factors
Growth and Development
TRGP is seen as one of the fastest growing midstream names with the ability to return over 40% of cash flows via dividends and buybacks.
Project Expansion
Targa announced 3 new growth projects, including expansions in the Delaware Basin and LPG export capacity.
Strategic Transactions
The Blackstone transaction is considered a positive move, resulting in reduced cash payments compared to previous arrangements.
Negative Factors
Cash Flow Issues
Free cash flow after dividends was negative for both the quarter and the year due to higher capital expenditures.
Stock Buybacks
Stock buybacks in Q1 were below estimate.
Valuation and Growth Concerns
Valuation has been trimmed to reflect slower Permian Basin growth in response to lower commodity prices.

Targa Resources (TRGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Targa Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTarga Resources Corp., together with its subsidiary, Targa Resources Partners LP, owns, operates, acquires, and develops a portfolio of midstream energy assets in North America. The company operates in two segments, Gathering and Processing, and Logistics and Transportation. It engages in gathering, compressing, treating, processing, transporting, and selling natural gas; storing, fractionating, treating, transporting, and selling natural gas liquids (NGL) and NGL products, including services to liquefied petroleum gas exporters; and gathering, storing, terminaling, purchasing, and selling crude oil. The company is also involved in the purchase and resale of NGL products; and wholesale of propane, as well as provision of related logistics services to multi-state retailers, independent retailers, and other end-users. In addition, it offers NGL balancing services; and transportation services to refineries and petrochemical companies in the Gulf Coast area, as well as purchases, markets, and resells natural gas. The company operates approximately 28,400 miles of natural gas pipelines, including 42 owned and operated processing plants; and owns or operates a total of 34 storage wells with a gross storage capacity of approximately 76 million barrels. As of December 31, 2021, it leased and managed approximately 648 railcars; 119 transport tractors; and two company-owned pressurized NGL barges. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyTarga Resources generates revenue primarily through its extensive midstream energy operations, which are structured around its key business segments: Gathering and Processing, and Logistics and Transportation. In the Gathering and Processing segment, the company makes money by providing services that include gathering raw natural gas from production sites, processing it to remove impurities and extract NGLs, and then delivering these products to downstream markets or other pipeline systems. Fees are typically based on the volume of gas and NGLs handled, providing a stable income stream. In the Logistics and Transportation segment, Targa earns revenue by fractionating mixed NGL streams into individual products such as ethane, propane, and butanes, and by offering storage, terminaling, and transportation services. The company operates a network of pipelines, storage facilities, and export terminals, earning fees for transporting and storing hydrocarbons. Additionally, Targa's financial performance is bolstered by strategic partnerships and joint ventures that enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach, as well as by favorable long-term contracts that provide steady cash flows.

Targa Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.69%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a record quarter for Targa Resources with strong financial performance, significant share repurchases, and robust growth in the Permian Basin volumes. Despite some challenges from winter weather and potential cost impacts from global tariffs, the company maintains a positive outlook with a strong financial position and increased dividends.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Quarterly Adjusted EBITDA
Targa Resources Corp. reported record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $1.179 billion, a 22% increase from a year ago, driven by higher Permian volumes and 100% ownership of Badlands assets.
Significant Share Repurchases
Targa opportunistically repurchased nearly $215 million worth of common shares so far in 2025, with $125 million repurchased in Q1 at an average price of $191.86 per share.
Strong Financial Position
The company ended Q1 with $2.7 billion of available liquidity and a pro forma consolidated leverage ratio of 3.6x, well within the long-term target range of 3x to 4x.
Permian Basin Volume Growth
Natural gas inlet volumes averaged over 6 billion cubic feet per day, an 11% increase from a year ago, despite winter weather impacts.
Increased Common Dividend
Declared a 33% increase to the common dividend for Q1 2025 relative to 2024.
Negative Updates
Winter Weather Impacts
Volumes were impacted by several winter weather events, which led to a 1% decline in Permian volumes quarter-over-quarter.
Potential Low-Single-Digit Cost Increases
A low-single-digit percentage potential impact on budgeted project costs due to evolving global tariffs, though within contingency plans.
Crude Price Curve Shift
Observed a shift to a lower crude price curve, which may affect future drilling programs.
Company Guidance
During Targa Resources Corp.'s first-quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a robust outlook, highlighting several key metrics. Targa achieved record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $1.179 billion, representing a 22% increase from the previous year, driven by higher Permian volumes and full ownership of its Badlands assets. The company maintained its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $4.65 billion to $4.85 billion. Targa successfully repurchased $215 million worth of common shares and declared a 33% increase in its common dividend for the first quarter. Operationally, Targa's natural gas inlet volumes in the Permian averaged over 6 billion cubic feet per day, an 11% increase from a year ago, despite winter weather impacts. The company forecasts net growth capital spending for 2025 to be between $2.6 billion and $2.8 billion, with net maintenance capital spending estimated at $250 million. Targa's financial position remains strong, with a pro forma consolidated leverage ratio of approximately 3.6x and $2.7 billion of available liquidity. The company continues to focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet, investing in high-return projects, and returning capital to shareholders through dividends and opportunistic share repurchases.

Targa Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Targa Resources demonstrates strong profitability with robust cash flow metrics and stable revenue growth. However, the high debt-to-equity ratio poses a leverage risk, although offset by an impressive return on equity and effective cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company shows a solid gross profit margin at 44.27% TTM, indicating efficient control over cost of goods sold. The net profit margin is robust at 8.89% TTM, demonstrating good profitability. Revenue growth is modest at 0.34% over the last year, suggesting stable revenue generation. EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 16.16% and 22.35% TTM, respectively, highlighting strong operational performance.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio is high at 6.61 TTM, indicating significant leverage. However, the equity ratio is low at 10.75% TTM, showing a smaller equity base relative to total assets. Return on equity is impressive at 59.60% TTM, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The balance sheet stability could be improved by reducing leverage.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The free cash flow growth rate is strong at 109.37% TTM, indicating improved cash generation. Operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable at 2.55 TTM, suggesting strong cash-generating operations. Free cash flow to net income ratio is also healthy at 0.98 TTM, showing effective conversion of income into free cash flow. Overall, cash flow metrics are strong, though continued monitoring of capital expenditures is advised.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.44B16.38B16.06B20.93B16.95B8.26B
Gross Profit3.65B4.26B4.05B2.95B2.35B2.29B
EBITDA4.06B4.14B3.97B2.83B1.70B-313.10M
Net Income1.31B1.28B1.35B896.80M422.10M-1.32B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets22.80B22.73B20.67B19.56B15.21B15.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments151.40M157.30M141.70M219.00M158.50M242.80M
Total Debt16.21B14.27B13.01B11.56B6.63B7.80B
Total Liabilities20.23B18.32B16.06B14.58B9.28B9.67B
Stockholders Equity2.45B2.59B2.74B2.67B2.76B2.96B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow639.50M683.90M826.20M1.05B1.80B792.90M
Operating Cash Flow3.73B3.65B3.21B2.38B2.30B1.74B
Investing Cash Flow-3.15B-3.02B-2.40B-4.15B-473.20M-738.10M
Financing Cash Flow-536.70M-612.80M-888.10M1.83B-1.91B-1.09B

Targa Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price173.78
Price Trends
50DMA
166.67
Positive
100DMA
177.89
Negative
200DMA
178.57
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
2.07
Negative
RSI
56.65
Neutral
STOCH
77.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 173.78 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 169.38, above the 50-day MA of 166.67, and below the 200-day MA of 178.57, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 2.07 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRGP.

Targa Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (52)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
OKOKE
81
Outperform
$51.31B16.0416.04%5.01%40.55%19.24%
81
Outperform
$51.85B11.7332.54%7.49%5.53%11.29%
ETET
79
Outperform
$61.12B13.4113.73%7.32%1.04%22.31%
78
Outperform
$37.31B31.6046.37%2.33%6.05%11.64%
KMKMI
73
Outperform
$62.95B24.498.43%4.11%2.02%5.40%
69
Neutral
$14.52B26.0310.09%7.96%3.40%-15.90%
52
Neutral
C$2.91B-0.96-3.26%6.23%2.20%-43.43%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRGP
Targa Resources
173.78
43.84
33.74%
ET
Energy Transfer
17.90
2.87
19.10%
KMI
Kinder Morgan
28.50
9.51
50.08%
OKE
Oneok
82.14
3.54
4.50%
MPLX
MPLX
51.05
11.78
30.00%
PAGP
Plains GP Holdings
19.51
1.04
5.63%

Targa Resources Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Targa Resources Completes $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Jun 18, 2025

On June 18, 2025, Targa Resources Corp. completed a public offering of $1.5 billion in senior notes, with $750 million due in 2030 and another $750 million due in 2036. The proceeds from this offering are intended to redeem existing notes due in 2027 and support general corporate purposes, impacting the company’s financial strategy and potentially benefiting stakeholders by improving debt management.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRGP) stock is a Hold with a $208.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Targa Resources stock, see the TRGP Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Targa Resources Announces $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Jun 6, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Targa Resources Corp. announced the pricing of a $1.5 billion offering of senior notes, consisting of $750 million of 4.900% Senior Notes due 2030 and $750 million of 5.650% Senior Notes due 2036. The proceeds from this offering are intended to redeem the 6.500% Senior Notes due 2027 and for general corporate purposes, such as repaying borrowings and funding capital expenditures. This move is expected to impact Targa’s financial strategy by refinancing existing debt and supporting its operational investments.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRGP) stock is a Buy with a $147.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Targa Resources stock, see the TRGP Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Targa Resources Stockholders Re-Elect Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

At Targa Resources Corp.’s 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders held on May 20, 2025, stockholders voted on several key proposals. Four Class III Directors were re-elected to the Board for terms expiring in 2028, PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as the company’s independent auditors for 2025, and the compensation of the company’s named executive officers for the fiscal year 2024 was approved on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRGP) stock is a Hold with a $208.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Targa Resources stock, see the TRGP Stock Forecast page.

Stock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Targa Resources Reports Record Q1 2025 EBITDA
Positive
May 1, 2025

Targa Resources reported a record first quarter 2025 adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion, marking a 22% increase from the previous year, despite a slight decrease in net income. The company declared a 33% increase in its annual dividend and repurchased $214 million in common shares. Targa’s operations were impacted by winter weather, affecting volumes in its Gathering and Processing and Logistics and Transportation systems. However, the company anticipates significant growth in the second half of 2025, with ongoing construction projects expected to enhance capacity and performance.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 26, 2025