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Targa Resources Corp. (TRGP)
NYSE:TRGP
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Targa Resources (TRGP) AI Stock Analysis

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TRGP

Targa Resources

(NYSE:TRGP)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$304.00
â–²(29.09% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/09/26
The score is driven primarily by solid financial results and cash generation but tempered by high leverage risk, plus a constructive technical uptrend. The latest earnings call adds support via raised guidance and strong operational momentum, while valuation support is limited because the provided P/E is not usable and the dividend yield is only modest.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Targa's operating cash flow consistently covers reported earnings and free cash flow improved materially versus prior year, providing durable internal funding for heavy growth capex and dividends. This sustained cash conversion supports debt service, capital programs and shareholder distributions over multi-year horizons.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
Elevated leverage materially reduces financial flexibility and amplifies downside risk if volumes or commodity-related margins deteriorate. High debt levels increase interest expense and refinancing needs across cycles, constraining capacity to fund opportunistic investments or absorb prolonged demand shocks.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Cash Generation
Targa's operating cash flow consistently covers reported earnings and free cash flow improved materially versus prior year, providing durable internal funding for heavy growth capex and dividends. This sustained cash conversion supports debt service, capital programs and shareholder distributions over multi-year horizons.
Read all positive factors

Targa Resources (TRGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Targa Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Targa Resources Corp., together with its subsidiary, Targa Resources Partners LP, owns, operates, acquires, and develops a portfolio of midstream energy assets in North America. The company operates in two segments, Gathering and Processing, and L...
How the Company Makes Money
Targa makes money by charging fees and earning margins for midstream services across the natural gas and NGL value chain. Key revenue and earnings drivers typically include: (1) Gathering and processing: Targa connects producer wells to its system...

Targa Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized multiple operational and financial strengths—record Q1 adjusted EBITDA, raised full-year guidance, record fractionation and Permian volumes, strong liquidity, continued large-scale project execution and increased shareholder returns—while acknowledging near-term headwinds from severe winter weather, Waha-basis driven shut-ins (200–400 MMcf/d), and a partial LPG export outage. Management expects egress capacity additions (GCX expansion, Blackcomb, Traverse) and ongoing downstream expansions to alleviate constraints and support growth in the back half of 2026 and into 2027. Overall, positives (record results, guidance raise, strong balance sheet, and project progress) materially outweigh the cited short-term operational challenges.
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA and Raised Full-Year Guidance
Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion, a 5% increase sequentially. 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $5.7–$5.9 billion with a midpoint $300 million higher than the February guide.
Negative Updates
Weather-Related and Price-Induced Production Disruptions
Severe winter weather (Winter Storm Fern) and periodic producer shut-ins driven by weak Waha natural gas prices negatively impacted G&P and L&T volumes in Q1.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Record Adjusted EBITDA and Raised Full-Year Guidance
Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion, a 5% increase sequentially. 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $5.7–$5.9 billion with a midpoint $300 million higher than the February guide.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Targa raised 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to $5.7–$5.9 billion (new midpoint $300 million above the February guide) after reporting Q1 adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion (up 5% sequentially); management still expects roughly $4.5 billion of net growth capex and about $250 million of net maintenance capex for 2026. At quarter end Targa had $3.1 billion of available liquidity, a pro forma consolidated leverage of ~3.6x (target 3–4x) and completed a $1.5 billion debt offering (4.35% notes due 2031 and 6.05% notes due 2056). Capital returned to shareholders included a Q1 common dividend of $1.25 per share (up 25% y/y) and $55 million of buybacks at an average $241.43/share. Operational drivers supporting the guide include record Permian inlet volumes (current volumes ~250 MMcf/d above Q1 average despite 200–400 MMcf/d of temporary shut‑ins), NGL pipeline volumes of 1.02 million bpd, record fractionation of 1.145 million bpd, Q1 LPG loadings of 13.1 million barrels/month, an export expansion to >19 million barrels/month targeted by Q3 2027, Speedway (500,000 bpd) on track for Q3 2027, Train 11 online with Trains 12 and 13 on track for Q1‑27 and Q1‑28, and >1.5 Bcf/d of new processing capacity coming by early 2028.

Targa Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability and operating cash flow are solid (income statement 78; cash flow 71), including improved free cash flow versus 2025. However, the balance sheet is a key constraint (52) with high and rising leverage, which increases downside risk and reduces flexibility.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
52
Neutral
Cash Flow
71
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue16.38B17.14B16.63B15.62B21.68B17.44B
Gross Profit4.89B4.54B3.33B2.54B2.79B2.09B
EBITDA5.21B4.85B4.14B3.97B3.21B1.70B
Net Income2.13B1.84B1.27B828.20M1.14B71.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.11B25.22B22.73B20.67B19.56B15.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments100.10M166.10M157.30M141.70M219.00M158.50M
Total Debt19.13B17.55B14.27B13.01B11.56B6.63B
Total Liabilities23.84B22.02B18.32B16.06B14.58B10.03B
Stockholders Equity3.14B3.07B2.59B2.74B2.67B2.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow261.90M584.10M683.90M826.20M1.05B1.80B
Operating Cash Flow3.70B3.92B3.65B3.21B2.38B2.30B
Investing Cash Flow-4.99B-5.44B-3.02B-2.40B-4.15B-473.20M
Financing Cash Flow1.24B1.53B-612.80M-888.10M1.83B-1.91B

Targa Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price235.50
Price Trends
50DMA
246.86
Positive
100DMA
225.99
Positive
200DMA
195.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
8.15
Negative
RSI
64.82
Neutral
STOCH
88.61
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 235.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 256.51, below the 50-day MA of 246.86, and above the 200-day MA of 195.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 8.15 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 88.61 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRGP.

Targa Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$85.37B13.9520.04%6.72%-9.49%1.01%
73
Outperform
$56.26B15.9133.27%7.31%3.18%6.43%
72
Outperform
$59.07B18.4115.92%5.61%41.04%9.18%
71
Outperform
$58.96B28.1073.92%2.03%-1.23%80.28%
70
Outperform
$51.91B-4.2623.48%1.07%24.15%-55.07%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
63
Neutral
$2.77B20.581917.10%9.78%13.04%6.21%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRGP
Targa Resources
270.69
113.90
72.65%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
243.66
16.58
7.30%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
39.39
9.61
32.29%
OKE
Oneok
92.15
14.59
18.82%
DKL
Delek Logistics
51.26
14.24
38.46%
MPLX
MPLX
55.44
8.62
18.41%

Targa Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Targa Resources Posts Record Q1 Results, Lifts Outlook
Positive
May 7, 2026
Targa Resources reported record first quarter 2026 results on May 7, 2026, with net income rising to $480 million from $271 million a year earlier and adjusted EBITDA climbing 19 percent to $1.4 billion, driven by record Permian inlet and fraction...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Targa Resources Completes $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Mar 2, 2026
On March 2, 2026, Targa Resources Corp. and certain subsidiaries completed an underwritten public offering of $1.5 billion in senior unsecured notes, split evenly between 4.350% notes due 2031 and 6.050% notes due 2056, fully and unconditionally g...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Targa Resources Prices $1.5 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Feb 26, 2026
On February 25, 2026, Targa Resources Corp. priced an underwritten public offering of $1.5 billion in senior notes, split evenly between 4.350% notes due 2031 and 6.050% notes due 2056, with the securities sold slightly below face value. The notes...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 09, 2026