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Targa Resources (TRGP)
NYSE:TRGP
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Targa Resources (TRGP) AI Stock Analysis

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TRGP

Targa Resources

(NYSE:TRGP)

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Outperform 71 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$187.00
▲(9.65% Upside)
Targa Resources' strong earnings call performance and positive technical indicators are significant strengths. However, high leverage and a relatively high P/E ratio pose risks. The company's strategic growth initiatives and dividend increase proposal support long-term growth potential, but short-term challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates robust demand for Targa's services and strengthens its market position, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Strategic Growth Initiatives
New projects enhance Targa's capacity and market reach, positioning the company for future growth and increased competitive advantage in the industry.
Dividend Increase Proposal
A significant dividend increase reflects management's confidence in cash flow stability and commitment to returning value to shareholders, enhancing investor appeal.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting Targa's ability to invest in growth or weather economic downturns.
Elevated Capital Spending
Increased capital spending may constrain free cash flow in the short term, affecting Targa's ability to fund other initiatives without increasing debt.
Temporary Production Shut-Ins
While temporary, production shut-ins highlight vulnerability to external factors, which can disrupt operations and affect revenue stability.

Targa Resources (TRGP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Targa Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTarga Resources Corp. is a leading provider of natural gas and natural gas liquids services in the United States. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, the company operates through two primary segments: the Natural Gas Gathering and Processing segment, which focuses on the collection and processing of natural gas, and the Natural Gas Liquids segment, which is involved in the transportation, fractionation, and marketing of NGLs. Targa's extensive pipeline infrastructure and processing facilities enable it to serve a diverse customer base, including producers, marketers, and industrial end-users.
How the Company Makes MoneyTarga Resources generates revenue primarily through its gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas and NGLs. Key revenue streams include fees collected for gathering natural gas from producers, processing fees for separating natural gas liquids from raw natural gas, and transportation fees for moving these products through its extensive pipeline network. The company also benefits from the sale of NGLs at market prices. Significant partnerships with upstream producers and other midstream companies enhance Targa's earnings by ensuring a steady flow of natural gas and NGLs through its systems. Additionally, Targa's strategic investments in infrastructure and expansion projects contribute to its revenue growth.

Targa Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, record-breaking volumes, and strategic growth initiatives, suggesting confidence in long-term growth. However, challenges such as temporary production shut-ins and elevated capital spending were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Adjusted EBITDA
Targa Resources reported a record adjusted EBITDA of $1.275 billion for the third quarter, a 19% increase from the previous year and a 10% increase sequentially.
Permian Volume Growth
Permian volumes grew more than 340 million cubic feet per day and nearly 700 million cubic feet per day compared to the previous year, with natural gas inlet volumes averaging a record 6.6 billion cubic feet per day.
New Growth Projects Announced
Targa announced several new growth projects, including Speedway NGL transportation expansion and new gas processing plants (Yeti and Copperhead) in the Permian Delaware.
Dividend Increase Proposal
Targa intends to recommend a 25% increase in its annual common dividend to $5 per share, effective for the first quarter of 2026.
Strong Financial Position
Targa ended the third quarter with $2.3 billion of available liquidity and a pro forma consolidated leverage ratio of approximately 3.6x.
Negative Updates
October Shut-Ins and Maintenance Impact
Permian volumes in October were impacted by producer shut-ins due to low commodity prices and storms, as well as ongoing maintenance on natural gas pipes.
Elevated Growth Capital Spending
Growth capital spending is expected to be elevated in 2025 and 2026 due to ongoing projects, which may impact short-term free cash flow.
Company Guidance
During the Targa Resources Corporation Third Quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided guidance emphasizing strong operational performance and future growth initiatives. Targa reported a record quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $1.275 billion, a 19% increase year-over-year, driven by record volumes in the Permian Basin. The company expects to reach the top end of its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $4.65 billion to $4.85 billion. Permian volumes grew significantly, with natural gas volumes increasing by over 340 million cubic feet per day and NGL volumes rising by 180,000 barrels per day compared to the previous year. Targa announced several new projects, including the Speedway NGL transportation expansion and the Copperhead gas processing plant, to accommodate continued volume growth. The company also plans to recommend a 25% increase in its annual common dividend to $5 per share, effective for the first quarter of 2026. With a solid financial position and strategic investments, Targa expects to generate higher adjusted EBITDA, lower downstream capital spending post-2027, and significant free cash flow, supporting long-term growth and shareholder value.

Targa Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Targa Resources demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient equity utilization. However, high leverage and reliance on debt financing present potential risks. Cash flow metrics show improvement, but the company should focus on enhancing free cash flow relative to net income to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Targa Resources shows a strong revenue growth trajectory with a TTM revenue growth rate of 1.84%. The company maintains healthy profitability with a gross profit margin of 20.82% and a net profit margin of 8.82% in the TTM. However, the EBIT and EBITDA margins, while solid, indicate room for improvement in operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects high leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 6.51 in the TTM, which poses a risk. However, the return on equity is robust at 59.74%, indicating efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is relatively low, suggesting a reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a significant improvement in free cash flow growth at 50.36% in the TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is stable at 1.16, indicating good cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 11.61%, suggesting potential constraints in free cash flow relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue17.49B16.63B15.62B21.68B17.44B8.27B
Gross Profit3.90B3.33B2.54B2.79B2.09B1.52B
EBITDA4.64B4.14B3.97B3.21B1.70B-313.10M
Net Income1.65B1.27B828.20M1.14B71.20M-1.55B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.17B22.73B20.67B19.56B15.21B15.88B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments223.90M157.30M141.70M219.00M158.50M242.80M
Total Debt17.43B14.27B13.01B11.56B6.63B7.80B
Total Liabilities21.34B18.32B16.06B14.58B10.03B9.97B
Stockholders Equity2.71B2.59B2.74B2.67B2.01B2.65B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow642.80M683.90M826.20M1.05B1.80B792.90M
Operating Cash Flow3.74B3.65B3.21B2.38B2.30B1.74B
Investing Cash Flow-3.21B-3.02B-2.40B-4.15B-473.20M-738.10M
Financing Cash Flow-535.40M-612.80M-888.10M1.83B-1.91B-1.09B

Targa Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price170.54
Price Trends
50DMA
161.70
Positive
100DMA
163.09
Positive
200DMA
169.37
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
3.62
Negative
RSI
59.98
Neutral
STOCH
47.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TRGP, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 170.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 163.98, above the 50-day MA of 161.70, and above the 200-day MA of 169.37, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 3.62 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.98 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TRGP.

Targa Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$54.23B11.3034.35%7.30%5.19%11.09%
74
Outperform
$70.18B12.2819.98%6.66%-6.46%-0.87%
74
Outperform
$43.70B12.7717.14%5.84%58.76%13.74%
73
Outperform
$2.40B14.529.99%-1.78%9.32%
71
Outperform
$36.53B22.8861.18%2.20%7.79%33.93%
67
Neutral
$44.23B11.4367.52%1.00%17.12%14.58%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TRGP
Targa Resources
170.54
-26.16
-13.30%
LNG
Cheniere Energy
205.50
-10.72
-4.96%
EPD
Enterprise Products Partners
32.44
2.23
7.38%
OKE
Oneok
70.53
-35.41
-33.42%
DKL
Delek Logistics
44.84
9.17
25.71%
MPLX
MPLX
54.06
8.65
19.05%

Targa Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Targa Resources Announces $1.75 Billion Senior Notes Offering
Neutral
Nov 7, 2025

On November 6, 2025, Targa Resources Corp. announced the pricing of a $1.75 billion public offering of senior notes, consisting of $750 million in 4.350% Senior Notes due 2029 and $1 billion in 5.400% Senior Notes due 2036. The offering aims to redeem existing 6.875% Senior Notes due 2029 and support general corporate purposes, including debt repayment and funding capital expenditures. The transaction, involving major underwriters like BofA Securities and Citigroup Global Markets, underscores Targa’s strategic financial maneuvers to optimize its capital structure and enhance operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRGP) stock is a Hold with a $192.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Targa Resources stock, see the TRGP Stock Forecast page.

Targa Resources Reports Record Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

Targa Resources Corp. is a leading provider of midstream services in North America, specializing in the gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company operates a diversified portfolio of infrastructure assets crucial for energy delivery across the United States and international markets.

Targa Resources Corp. Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Optimism
Nov 6, 2025

The recent earnings call of Targa Resources Corp. was marked by a positive sentiment, driven by strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives. The company expressed confidence in its long-term growth prospects, despite acknowledging challenges such as temporary production shut-ins and elevated capital spending.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Targa Resources Reports Record Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

Targa Resources Corp. reported record financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with a net income of $478.4 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $1.3 billion, marking a 19% increase year-over-year. The company announced several growth projects, including new gas plants and pipeline expansions in the Permian Basin, and plans to increase its annual dividend by 25% in 2026, reflecting strong operational performance and strategic expansion efforts.

The most recent analyst rating on (TRGP) stock is a Buy with a $200.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Targa Resources stock, see the TRGP Stock Forecast page.

Targa Resources Shines in Latest Earnings Call
Aug 12, 2025

Targa Resources Corp. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment despite some challenges. The company celebrated record volumes and robust capital returns to shareholders, alongside successful project execution. However, it also acknowledged challenges such as commodity price volatility, operational impacts from planned turnarounds, and increased competition in the Delaware Basin. Despite these hurdles, Targa remains optimistic due to its strong growth trajectories and financial health.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 11, 2025