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Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL)
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Texas Pacific Land (TPL) AI Stock Analysis

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TPL

Texas Pacific Land

(NYSE:TPL)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$1,166.00
▲(24.78% Upside)
Texas Pacific Land's strong financial performance and positive earnings call are the most significant factors driving its high score. The company's robust growth, strategic acquisitions, and strong liquidity position are key strengths. However, the high P/E ratio and low dividend yield suggest potential overvaluation, and technical indicators show mixed signals, which slightly temper the overall score.

Texas Pacific Land (TPL) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Texas Pacific Land Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTexas Pacific Land (TPL) is a diversified land and resource company headquartered in Texas. It operates primarily in the acquisition, management, and leasing of land and mineral interests, particularly in the prolific Permian Basin. TPL's core products include both surface and subsurface land rights, as well as water and other resource management services, catering to the oil and gas industry, renewable energy developers, and agricultural operations.
How the Company Makes MoneyTexas Pacific Land generates revenue through several key streams: leasing land for oil and gas exploration and production, which includes charging companies for drilling and extracting resources; collecting royalties from mineral rights when oil and gas are produced; and providing water services to energy companies, including sourcing, transporting, and selling water for hydraulic fracturing. The company also engages in land sales and purchases, capitalizing on the value of its extensive land holdings. Significant partnerships with energy companies and a strong position in a high-demand area like the Permian Basin further enhance its revenue potential, alongside fluctuations in commodity prices that can impact royalty income.

Texas Pacific Land Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted TPL's record-setting financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and robust growth in both oil and gas and water segments despite facing challenges from weak commodity prices. The company's strong liquidity position and strategic asset acquisitions reflect a focus on long-term growth and shareholder returns.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue and Volume Performance
TPL achieved over $200 million in revenue for the first time in its history, with significant growth in oil and gas royalty production (28% year-over-year increase) and water sales (23% growth year-over-year).
Significant Royalty Acquisition
TPL acquired approximately 17,300 net royalty acres for $474 million, expected to yield a double-digit pretax cash flow at $60 per barrel of oil and $2 per 1,000 cubic feet of natural gas.
Strong Free Cash Flow and EBITDA
TPL reported $123 million in free cash flow, a 15% increase year-over-year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 85%.
Water Segment Growth
Water sales revenue hit a record $45 million, with produced water royalty revenues increasing by 16% year-over-year.
Credit Facility Enhancing Liquidity
TPL closed on a $500 million credit facility to fund growth opportunities, with attractive interest rates, enhancing liquidity.
Negative Updates
Commodity Price Challenges
TPL faced some of the weakest benchmark oil and gas prices since the COVID pandemic, impacting oil and gas royalty revenues.
Volatility in Water Sales
There was noted volatility in water sales over the last two quarters, attributed to consolidation and diverse acreage positions.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Texas Pacific Land Corporation reported a record performance across several key metrics. Oil and gas royalty production reached approximately 36,300 barrels of oil equivalent per day, marking a 9% sequential increase and a 28% increase year-over-year. Water sales achieved a record $45 million, reflecting a 74% sequential growth and a 23% increase year-over-year. Produced water royalty revenues also hit a record $32 million, with a 5% sequential growth and a 16% increase year-over-year. Overall, the company reported over $200 million in revenue for the first time in its history, despite facing some of the weakest oil and gas prices since the COVID pandemic. The company's growth was fueled by increased production volumes in its Northern Culberson, Northern Reeves, and Central Midland subregions, as well as an expansion of its lateral lengths. Texas Pacific Land Corporation also highlighted a significant acquisition of approximately 17,300 net royalty acres in the Midland Basin, funded by $474 million in cash, which is expected to generate a double-digit pretax cash flow yield. The company's water services segment rebounded significantly, with investments in brackish and treated water infrastructure contributing to its competitive advantage. The organization's strategic focus on long-term value creation and opportunistic consolidation of high-quality Permian assets positions it well for future growth and shareholder returns.

Texas Pacific Land Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Texas Pacific Land demonstrates strong financial health with excellent profitability, robust growth, and a solid balance sheet. The company maintains minimal debt levels, high equity, and strong cash flows, positioning it well within the fossil fuels industry. Potential risks include volatility in revenue due to industry fluctuations, but current financial metrics show resilience.
Income Statement
87
Very Positive
Texas Pacific Land has shown strong revenue growth from $631.6 million in 2023 to $705.8 million in 2024, a growth rate of 11.8%. The gross profit margin is excellent at 100%, indicating effective cost management. The net profit margin is robust at 64.3%, showing strong profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also high at 76.4% and 85.6% respectively, showcasing strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
92
Very Positive
The company's balance sheet is notably strong with a debt-to-equity ratio of practically zero due to minimal debt. Return on equity is impressive at 40.1%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds. The equity ratio is high at 90.7%, suggesting a stable financial foundation with a low level of liabilities.
Cash Flow
85
Very Positive
The free cash flow growth rate is substantial at 21.8%, indicating improved cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 1.08, showing healthy cash flow relative to earnings. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 1.02, demonstrating efficient conversion of profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue772.39M705.82M631.60M667.42M450.96M302.55M
Gross Profit675.39M634.54M583.27M634.53M421.47M269.95M
EBITDA643.62M564.30M500.81M577.68M378.65M231.66M
Net Income476.39M453.96M405.64M446.36M269.98M176.05M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.52B1.25B1.16B877.43M764.06M571.63M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments531.81M369.83M725.17M510.83M428.24M281.05M
Total Debt16.51M453.00K1.17M1.96M1.45M2.03M
Total Liabilities156.95M115.56M113.20M104.54M112.35M86.45M
Stockholders Equity1.37B1.13B1.04B772.89M651.71M485.18M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow514.69M460.98M403.26M427.94M249.62M201.95M
Operating Cash Flow558.81M490.67M418.29M447.15M265.16M207.04M
Investing Cash Flow-383.59M-471.75M-60.31M-21.40M-15.00M-26.00M
Financing Cash Flow-177.33M-378.09M-144.61M-336.81M-104.95M-201.66M

Texas Pacific Land Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price934.46
Price Trends
50DMA
936.23
Negative
100DMA
940.22
Negative
200DMA
1101.97
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.36
Positive
RSI
41.82
Neutral
STOCH
7.03
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPL, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 934.46 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 947.80, below the 50-day MA of 936.23, and below the 200-day MA of 1101.97, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -4.36 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.03 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TPL.

Texas Pacific Land Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$20.60B43.3039.37%0.70%12.48%6.24%
77
Outperform
$11.56B12.738.58%4.95%7.55%-34.40%
73
Outperform
$19.61B11.8811.86%3.42%26.13%31.42%
72
Outperform
$22.36B8.3818.35%2.91%11.14%-21.32%
67
Neutral
$10.35B19.217.65%17.05%1028.81%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
$9.87B42.702.26%3.22%-8.07%-87.88%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPL
Texas Pacific Land
896.43
-709.08
-44.17%
CTRA
Coterra Energy
25.75
-0.32
-1.23%
DVN
Devon Energy
35.65
-1.58
-4.24%
OVV
Ovintiv
38.97
-5.44
-12.25%
AR
Antero Resources
33.55
0.32
0.96%
PR
Permian Resources
13.93
-1.25
-8.23%

Texas Pacific Land Corporate Events

Texas Pacific Land Corporation Reports Record Q3 2025 Results
Nov 7, 2025

Texas Pacific Land Corporation, one of the largest landowners in Texas, primarily generates revenue through its surface and royalty ownership, supporting energy production and various land uses. In its third quarter of 2025, the company reported record revenues and net income, particularly from its Water Services and Operations segment, highlighting its strategic acquisitions and investments. Key financial metrics include a consolidated net income of $121.2 million, oil and gas royalty production of 36.3 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day, and water sales revenue reaching $44.6 million. The company also executed significant acquisitions in the Midland Basin, completed a $500 million revolving credit facility, and announced a three-for-one stock split. Looking forward, Texas Pacific Land Corporation aims to leverage its resilient business model and high cash flow margins to capitalize on future opportunities, maintaining a strong position despite broader commodity price challenges.

Texas Pacific Land Corp’s Record Earnings and Strategic Growth
Nov 7, 2025

The latest earnings call from Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL) painted a picture of robust growth and strategic foresight. Despite challenges posed by weak commodity prices, the company showcased record-setting financial performance, strategic acquisitions, and a strong focus on long-term growth and shareholder returns. The sentiment expressed during the call was overwhelmingly positive, highlighting TPL’s resilience and strategic planning.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Texas Pacific Land Reports Record Quarterly Revenues
Positive
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Texas Pacific Land Corporation announced record quarterly revenues and net income for its Water Services and Operations segment, highlighting strategic acquisitions and operational achievements. The company completed a $500 million revolving credit facility and a significant royalty interest acquisition in the Midland Basin, enhancing its portfolio and positioning for future growth despite broader commodity price challenges.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPL) stock is a Buy with a $1047.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Pacific Land stock, see the TPL Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Texas Pacific Land Secures $500M Credit Facility
Positive
Oct 27, 2025

On October 23, 2025, Texas Pacific Land Corporation entered into a $500 million revolving credit facility agreement with Wells Fargo Bank and other lenders, maturing on October 23, 2029. The credit facility, which remains undrawn, enhances the company’s liquidity and positions it for growth opportunities, supported by strong backing from twelve financial institutions.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPL) stock is a Buy with a $1046.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Pacific Land stock, see the TPL Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Texas Pacific Land Director Eric L. Oliver Steps Down
Neutral
Aug 27, 2025

On August 26, 2025, Texas Pacific Land Corporation announced that Eric L. Oliver, a member of its Board of Directors, decided not to stand for reelection at the 2025 annual meeting of stockholders. His decision was not due to any disagreements with the company. The Board expressed gratitude for his contributions and decided to reduce the number of directors from ten to nine, effective at the annual meeting.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPL) stock is a Buy with a $988.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Pacific Land stock, see the TPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Texas Pacific Land Announces Dual Listing on NYSE Texas
Positive
Aug 14, 2025

On August 14, 2025, Texas Pacific Land Corporation announced the dual listing of its common stock on NYSE Texas, while maintaining its primary listing on the New York Stock Exchange. This move strengthens TPL’s ties to Texas, where its operations and assets are primarily based, and highlights its longstanding presence in the region as a founding member of the newly launched exchange.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPL) stock is a Hold with a $1090.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Pacific Land stock, see the TPL Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Texas Pacific Land Introduces Proxy Access for Shareholders
Neutral
Aug 8, 2025

On August 5, 2025, Texas Pacific Land Corporation’s Board of Directors approved the Fourth Amended and Restated Bylaws, which introduced a proxy access right for stockholders. This change allows stockholders who meet certain ownership and procedural requirements to nominate directors, potentially impacting the company’s governance and shareholder engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (TPL) stock is a Buy with a $1280.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Texas Pacific Land stock, see the TPL Stock Forecast page.

Texas Pacific Land Corporation Reports Record Q2 Results
Aug 8, 2025

Texas Pacific Land Corporation, one of the largest landowners in Texas, primarily generates revenue from its surface and royalty ownership, supporting energy production and various land uses in the Permian Basin.

Texas Pacific Land Trust Reports Record Earnings Amid Oil Price Challenges
Aug 8, 2025

In the recent earnings call, Texas Pacific Land Trust (TPL) expressed a mixed sentiment, showcasing significant achievements alongside challenges. The company reported record-breaking revenues across multiple streams, highlighting optimism about the Permian Basin’s long-term potential. However, weak oil prices posed challenges, impacting revenues and reducing activity. Despite these hurdles, TPL demonstrated strong financial performance and strategic progress, particularly in desalination efforts.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025