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TPSC - ETF AI Analysis

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TPSC

Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF (TPSC)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
TPSC, the Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF, has a solid overall rating supported by strong holdings like Enact Holdings, Avista, and Balchem, which benefit from robust financial performance, positive earnings calls, and generally favorable valuations and technical trends. The rating is held back somewhat by names such as IdaCorp and Ormat Technologies, where weaker technical momentum, revenue and cash flow challenges, and valuation concerns introduce risk. A key risk factor for this ETF is that several top holdings face cash flow and revenue growth issues, which could add volatility even though overall fundamentals are generally positive.
Positive Factors
Broad Sector Diversification
The fund spreads its investments across many sectors, which can help reduce the impact if any one industry struggles.
Generally Strong Recent Performance
The ETF has shown solid gains over the past year-to-date and recent months, indicating positive momentum in its small-cap holdings.
Multiple Top Holdings Performing Well
Most of the largest positions have delivered strong or steady returns so far this year, supporting the fund’s overall results.
Negative Factors
Higher-Than-Average Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which means more of the returns go toward fees instead of to investors.
Concentrated in U.S. Stocks
With almost all assets in U.S. companies, the ETF offers little geographic diversification and is heavily tied to the U.S. economy.
Some Lagging Top Holdings
A few of the largest positions have shown weak performance this year, which can drag on the fund’s overall returns if the trend continues.

TPSC vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TPSC Summary

Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF (TPSC) is an exchange-traded fund that follows the Victory U.S. Small Cap Volatility Weighted BRI index, focusing on smaller U.S. companies. It holds a wide mix of sectors like financials, industrials, and technology, with stocks such as Black Hills and New Jersey Resources among its top positions. Someone might invest in this ETF to tap into the growth potential of small U.S. companies while spreading risk across many names. A key risk is that small-cap stocks can be more volatile, so the share price can move up and down more than the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF (TPSC) has an expense ratio of 0.52%, meaning you’ll pay $5.20 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is slightly higher than average because it is actively managed, focusing on small-cap stocks with a specialized strategy. Active management often involves more research and oversight, which can increase costs.
What would affect this ETF?The Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF could benefit from economic growth and innovation in the U.S., as small-cap companies often thrive during periods of expansion and entrepreneurial activity. However, it may face challenges from rising interest rates, which can increase borrowing costs for smaller firms, and economic slowdowns that disproportionately impact small-cap stocks. Additionally, its exposure to sectors like Financials and Industrials could be influenced by regulatory changes or shifts in consumer demand.

TPSC Top 10 Holdings

TPSC’s story right now is all about steady, utility-style small caps quietly pulling the fund forward. Names like Black Hills, Avista, Portland General, and Ormat Technologies have been rising, giving the ETF a solid backbone of regulated power and clean-energy infrastructure. Balchem adds a more growth-oriented spark with its strong, if slightly pricey, performance. On the flip side, UGI and Enact are more mixed, occasionally losing steam and trimming some of those gains. With all holdings in U.S. small caps, the fund is domestically focused and tilted toward defensive, income-friendly sectors.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
New Jersey Resources0.50%$1.41M$5.23B12.40%
64
Neutral
Black Hills0.48%$1.37M$5.57B24.27%
74
Outperform
Avista0.45%$1.29M$3.43B15.44%
77
Outperform
Enact Holdings0.43%$1.23M$6.36B30.32%
82
Outperform
Portland GE0.43%$1.22M$5.70B22.68%
70
Outperform
UGI0.43%$1.21M$8.68B18.18%
70
Outperform
IdaCorp0.42%$1.19M$7.24B21.03%
64
Neutral
WD-40 Company0.41%$1.16M$3.29B5.08%
73
Outperform
Balchem0.41%$1.15M$5.64B5.70%
75
Outperform
Spire0.40%$1.14M$4.97B19.46%
69
Neutral

TPSC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
42.77
Positive
100DMA
41.79
Positive
200DMA
40.31
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.56
Negative
RSI
70.29
Negative
STOCH
86.14
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TPSC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 43.97, equal to the 50-day MA of 42.77, and equal to the 200-day MA of 40.31, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.29 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 86.14 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TPSC.

TPSC Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$284.80M0.52%
$916.53M0.48%
$892.13M0.20%
$687.13M0.42%
$678.54M0.38%
$666.64M0.09%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TPSC
Timothy Plan US Small Cap Core ETF
45.43
5.68
14.29%
OUSM
OShares U.S. Small-Cap Quality Dividend ETF
GSSC
Goldman Sachs Activebeta U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF
JHSC
John Hancock Multifactor Small Cap ETF
EES
WisdomTree U.S. SmallCap Fund
BBSC
JPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Small Cap Equity ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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