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IdaCorp (IDA)
:IDA

IdaCorp (IDA) AI Stock Analysis

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ID

IdaCorp

(NYSE:IDA)

Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$127.00
▲( 9.89% Upside)
IdaCorp exhibits strong financial performance with consistent growth in earnings and customer base. While technical indicators and valuation suggest stability, the company faces challenges from increased leverage and regulatory uncertainties. Recent corporate events reinforce a positive outlook, but careful monitoring of financial risks is advised.
Positive Factors
Earnings
IDA reported a beat on earnings, driven by strong customer growth and new rates in Idaho.
Growth Strategy
The infrastructure growth story is unique with load acceleration and investments that support it.
Regulatory Environment
The regulatory environment in Idaho is supportive, with potential mechanisms to narrow regulatory lag.
Negative Factors
Credit Metrics
The credit metrics have been weak in recent periods, leading to a Moody's negative outlook.
Wildfire Exposure
There is some degree of wildfire exposure, even if minimal.

IdaCorp (IDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IdaCorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIDACORP, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, purchase, and sale of electric energy in the United States. The company operates 17 hydropower generating plants located in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon; three natural gas-fired plants in southern Idaho; and interests in two coal-fired steam electric generating plants located in Wyoming and Nevada. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 4,843 pole-miles of high-voltage transmission lines; 23 step-up transmission substations located at power plants; 21 transmission substations; 10 switching stations; 30 mixed-use transmission and distribution substations; 187 energized distribution substations; and 28,570 pole-miles of distribution lines, as well as provides electric utility services to approximately 604,000 retail customers in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. The company serves commercial and industrial customers, which involved in food processing, electronics and general manufacturing, agriculture, health care, government, and education. It also invests in housing and other real estate tax credit investments. IDACORP, Inc. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
How the Company Makes MoneyIdaCorp makes money primarily through its regulated utility operations under Idaho Power Company. Revenue is generated from the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers within its service areas. The company's income is largely determined by rates approved by state regulatory commissions, which are designed to provide a reasonable return on investment while covering operating and capital costs. Additionally, IdaCorp benefits from various renewable energy initiatives and federal incentives aimed at promoting cleaner energy production. The company may also engage in wholesale energy markets to buy and sell electricity, further contributing to its revenue streams.

IdaCorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IdaCorp showcases strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with stable EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, increased leverage and volatile free cash flow due to high capital expenditures suggest financial risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
IdaCorp has shown consistent revenue growth over the past years, with a notable increase from $1.35 billion in 2020 to $1.83 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin is strong, consistently above 75%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin shows a moderate improvement, indicating some cost pressures. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has increased due to rising debt levels, currently at 0.92. This suggests higher leverage, which may increase financial risk. Return on equity remains robust, driven by steady net income growth. The equity ratio has slightly declined, indicating increased liabilities compared to assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has improved significantly, indicating strong cash generation. However, free cash flow has been volatile, impacted by substantial capital expenditures. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income has improved, suggesting better conversion of earnings into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.81B1.83B1.77B1.64B1.46B1.35B
Gross Profit
694.59M331.85M316.84M330.11M332.24M312.17M
EBIT
327.00M327.84M313.48M327.18M329.65M309.52M
EBITDA
625.72M668.96M605.55M491.54M493.85M473.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
300.65M289.17M261.19M258.98M245.55M237.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
157.58M368.87M327.43M177.58M215.24M300.12M
Total Assets
8.35B9.59B8.48B7.54B7.21B7.10B
Total Debt
2.83B3.07B2.83B2.19B2.00B2.00B
Net Debt
2.67B2.70B2.50B2.02B1.79B1.73B
Total Liabilities
5.42B5.90B5.56B4.73B4.54B4.53B
Stockholders Equity
2.92B3.33B2.91B2.81B2.67B2.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-341.61M-414.86M-344.11M-81.30M63.27M77.19M
Operating Cash Flow
609.02M594.42M267.03M351.29M363.26M388.13M
Investing Cash Flow
-866.04M-917.66M-589.95M-424.27M-273.65M-347.26M
Financing Cash Flow
733.94M364.68M472.77M35.32M-149.48M16.99M

IdaCorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price115.57
Price Trends
50DMA
115.32
Positive
100DMA
112.69
Positive
200DMA
108.86
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Negative
RSI
50.95
Neutral
STOCH
78.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 115.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 115.32, above the 50-day MA of 115.32, and above the 200-day MA of 108.86, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 50.95 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IDA.

IdaCorp Risk Analysis

IdaCorp disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IdaCorp reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 2 New Risks
1.
operations and financial condition Q4, 2024
2.
adversely impact IDACORP's and Idaho Power's business, financial condition, and results of operations. Q4, 2024

IdaCorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
POPOR
77
Outperform
$4.60B14.708.33%4.76%11.83%9.53%
KEKEP
70
Outperform
$14.43B3.9213.42%0.42%0.21%628.34%
IDIDA
70
Outperform
$6.24B20.489.60%2.92%1.63%13.11%
70
Outperform
$5.26B25.228.37%2.80%10.10%149.78%
OGOGE
70
Neutral
$8.91B18.3510.72%3.80%15.56%21.90%
PNPNW
65
Neutral
$10.84B18.039.08%3.91%10.69%12.37%
63
Neutral
$8.54B10.364.69%4.37%4.05%-12.96%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IDA
IdaCorp
115.57
24.78
27.29%
KEP
Korea Electric Power
11.42
4.07
55.37%
OGE
OGE Energy
44.24
10.25
30.16%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
90.75
17.32
23.59%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
56.72
20.86
58.17%
POR
Portland GE
42.00
0.52
1.25%

IdaCorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -1.41%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with increased earnings per share and customer growth. Significant investments by major customers and improved hydropower conditions were positives. However, increased expenses and ongoing concerns about regulatory lag were noted as challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share Increase
IDACORP's diluted earnings per share increased to $1.10 from $0.95 in the previous year's first quarter.
Customer Growth
The customer base grew by 2.6% overall, with a 2.9% increase in residential customers.
Significant Customer Investments
Chobani announced a $500 million expansion in Southern Idaho, and Tractor Supply Company broke ground on a $225 million facility in Nampa.
Hydropower and Snowpack Conditions
Improved hydropower generation forecast with snowpack at 108% of normal.
New Legislation
Governor Little signed the Wildfire Standard of Care Act to establish standards for wildfire mitigation.
Negative Updates
Increased O&M Expenses
Other O&M expenses increased by $7.2 million, partially due to a $3 million increase in wildfire mitigation and related insurance expenses.
Higher Depreciation and Interest Expense
Higher depreciation and interest expenses due to infrastructure projects.
Regulatory Lag Concerns
Discussions about mechanisms to reduce regulatory lag are ongoing, with no specific solutions yet finalized.
Company Guidance
During IDACORP's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its full-year diluted earnings per share guidance of $5.65 to $5.85, with expectations that Idaho Power will utilize additional tax credit amortization between $60 million and $77 million. The call highlighted a 2.6% customer base growth, including a 2.9% increase in residential customers, driven by significant investments such as Chobani's $500 million expansion and Tractor Supply Company's $225 million distribution center. IDACORP achieved a diluted earnings per share of $1.10 for the first quarter, up from $0.95 the previous year. The company anticipates retail sales growth of 8.3% annually over the next five years. Key projects in progress include an 80-megawatt battery project, a 150-megawatt storage agreement, and the Jackalope wind project pending regulatory approval. Additionally, IDACORP is monitoring potential tariff impacts on its projects and submitted a notice of intent for a general rate case, aiming for rates effective by January 2026. Hydropower generation forecasts have improved with snowpack at 108% of normal, supporting strong reservoir storage.

IdaCorp Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
IdaCorp Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 16, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 15, 2025, IDACORP, Inc. presented four proposals to its shareholders. These proposals included the election of directors, approval of executive compensation, authorization of additional shares for the Long-Term Incentive and Compensation Plan, and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm. All proposals were approved, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s current governance and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDA) stock is a Hold with a $121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IdaCorp stock, see the IDA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
IdaCorp Enters Forward Sale Agreements with Major Banks
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 8, 2025, IDACORP, Inc. entered into forward sale agreements with Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo, involving over 5 million shares of its common stock. These agreements, part of an underwritten public offering, allow IDACORP to issue shares by November 2026 at an initial forward sale price of $107.67 per share, subject to adjustments. The transactions are expected to have implications for IDACORP’s earnings per share, depending on the settlement method chosen, with potential dilution if shares are physically or net share settled.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
IDACORP Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, IDACORP, Inc. announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $59.6 million, or $1.10 per diluted share, an increase from $48.2 million, or $0.95 per diluted share, in the same period in 2024. The company attributed this growth to strong customer growth, rate changes, and tax credits, despite higher depreciation and financing costs. IDACORP reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance, emphasizing its focus on capital investment and regulatory plans to support ongoing growth and energy reliability.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.