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Idacorp (IDA)
NYSE:IDA

IdaCorp (IDA) AI Stock Analysis

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IdaCorp

(NYSE:IDA)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$122.00
â–²(7.06%Upside)
IdaCorp's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. However, technical indicators and valuation metrics suggest cautious optimism. The potential rate increase and shareholder support are positive but countered by leverage and regulatory concerns.
Positive Factors
Growth and Earnings Outlook
The sustainability of growth is compelling with opportunities for lengthening and extending load growth projections into the next decade.
Management and Strategy Execution
Analysts are confident in management's ability to execute the growth strategy, which includes implementing regulatory initiatives and improving returns.
Regulatory and Economic Environment
The regulatory environment in Idaho is supportive, with potential mechanisms to narrow regulatory lag.
Negative Factors
Credit and Financial Metrics
The credit metrics have been weak in recent periods, leading to a Moody's negative outlook.
Wildfire and Environmental Risk
There is some degree of wildfire exposure, even if minimal.

IdaCorp (IDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IdaCorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIdaCorp, Inc. (IDA) is a holding company primarily engaged in the utility sector through its principal subsidiary, Idaho Power Company. Idaho Power Company is an electric utility that provides electricity to customers in a service area spanning southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. The company generates, transmits, and distributes electricity, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers. Its energy portfolio includes a mix of hydroelectric, coal, natural gas, and renewable energy sources.
How the Company Makes MoneyIdaCorp generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to its customers in the regulated utility market. The company earns income by charging for the electricity consumed by residential, commercial, and industrial users. Key revenue streams include customer payments for energy consumption, regulated rates approved by public utility commissions, and potential additional earnings from energy efficiency programs or renewable energy credits. Partnerships with government and regulatory bodies ensure compliance and support for infrastructure investments and development of renewable energy projects. The company's financial performance is influenced by factors such as regulatory decisions, energy demand, operational efficiency, and investment in infrastructure and sustainable energy sources.

IdaCorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.79%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance with increased earnings per share and customer growth. Significant investments by major customers and improved hydropower conditions were positives. However, increased expenses and ongoing concerns about regulatory lag were noted as challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Per Share Increase
IDACORP's diluted earnings per share increased to $1.10 from $0.95 in the previous year's first quarter.
Customer Growth
The customer base grew by 2.6% overall, with a 2.9% increase in residential customers.
Significant Customer Investments
Chobani announced a $500 million expansion in Southern Idaho, and Tractor Supply Company broke ground on a $225 million facility in Nampa.
Hydropower and Snowpack Conditions
Improved hydropower generation forecast with snowpack at 108% of normal.
New Legislation
Governor Little signed the Wildfire Standard of Care Act to establish standards for wildfire mitigation.
Negative Updates
Increased O&M Expenses
Other O&M expenses increased by $7.2 million, partially due to a $3 million increase in wildfire mitigation and related insurance expenses.
Higher Depreciation and Interest Expense
Higher depreciation and interest expenses due to infrastructure projects.
Regulatory Lag Concerns
Discussions about mechanisms to reduce regulatory lag are ongoing, with no specific solutions yet finalized.
Company Guidance
During IDACORP's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its full-year diluted earnings per share guidance of $5.65 to $5.85, with expectations that Idaho Power will utilize additional tax credit amortization between $60 million and $77 million. The call highlighted a 2.6% customer base growth, including a 2.9% increase in residential customers, driven by significant investments such as Chobani's $500 million expansion and Tractor Supply Company's $225 million distribution center. IDACORP achieved a diluted earnings per share of $1.10 for the first quarter, up from $0.95 the previous year. The company anticipates retail sales growth of 8.3% annually over the next five years. Key projects in progress include an 80-megawatt battery project, a 150-megawatt storage agreement, and the Jackalope wind project pending regulatory approval. Additionally, IDACORP is monitoring potential tariff impacts on its projects and submitted a notice of intent for a general rate case, aiming for rates effective by January 2026. Hydropower generation forecasts have improved with snowpack at 108% of normal, supporting strong reservoir storage.

IdaCorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IdaCorp shows robust revenue growth and operational efficiency, evidenced by strong gross profit margins. However, increased leverage and volatile free cash flow due to high capital expenditures pose financial risks.
Income Statement
78
Positive
IdaCorp has shown consistent revenue growth over the past years, with a notable increase from $1.35 billion in 2020 to $1.83 billion in 2024. The gross profit margin is strong, consistently above 75%, reflecting efficient cost management. However, the net profit margin shows a moderate improvement, indicating some cost pressures. EBIT and EBITDA margins are stable, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has increased due to rising debt levels, currently at 0.92. This suggests higher leverage, which may increase financial risk. Return on equity remains robust, driven by steady net income growth. The equity ratio has slightly declined, indicating increased liabilities compared to assets.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has improved significantly, indicating strong cash generation. However, free cash flow has been volatile, impacted by substantial capital expenditures. The ratio of operating cash flow to net income has improved, suggesting better conversion of earnings into cash.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.81B1.83B1.77B1.64B1.46B1.35B
Gross Profit
694.59M331.85M316.84M330.11M332.24M312.17M
EBIT
327.00M327.84M313.48M327.18M329.65M309.52M
EBITDA
625.72M668.96M605.55M491.54M493.85M473.60M
Net Income Common Stockholders
300.65M289.17M261.19M258.98M245.55M237.42M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
0.00368.87M327.43M177.58M215.24M300.12M
Total Assets
0.009.59B8.48B7.54B7.21B7.10B
Total Debt
3.45B3.07B2.83B2.19B2.00B2.00B
Net Debt
2.81B2.70B2.50B2.02B1.79B1.73B
Total Liabilities
6.24B5.90B5.56B4.73B4.54B4.53B
Stockholders Equity
3.35B3.33B2.91B2.81B2.67B2.56B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-341.61M-414.86M-344.11M-81.30M63.27M77.19M
Operating Cash Flow
609.02M594.42M267.03M351.29M363.26M388.13M
Investing Cash Flow
-866.04M-917.66M-589.95M-424.27M-273.65M-347.26M
Financing Cash Flow
733.94M364.68M472.77M35.32M-149.48M16.99M

IdaCorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price113.95
Price Trends
50DMA
115.73
Negative
100DMA
113.95
Negative
200DMA
110.01
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.15
Positive
RSI
43.83
Neutral
STOCH
25.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IDA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 113.95 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 116.11, below the 50-day MA of 115.73, and above the 200-day MA of 110.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.15 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 43.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for IDA.

IdaCorp Risk Analysis

IdaCorp disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IdaCorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IdaCorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
POPOR
73
Outperform
$4.49B14.338.33%4.88%11.83%9.53%
KEKEP
71
Outperform
$12.92B3.5113.42%0.46%0.21%628.34%
70
Outperform
$5.24B25.148.37%2.88%10.10%149.78%
OGOGE
65
Neutral
$8.92B18.3810.72%3.80%15.56%21.90%
IDIDA
65
Neutral
$6.16B20.209.60%3.02%1.63%13.11%
PNPNW
65
Neutral
$10.74B17.879.08%3.98%10.69%12.37%
64
Neutral
$8.58B10.364.24%4.64%4.07%-13.04%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IDA
IdaCorp
112.78
24.42
27.64%
KEP
Korea Electric Power
10.22
3.05
42.54%
OGE
OGE Energy
43.87
10.19
30.26%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
88.92
16.10
22.11%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
56.54
20.91
58.69%
POR
Portland GE
40.96
-0.13
-0.32%

IdaCorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
IdaCorp Requests 13.09% Rate Increase in Idaho
Negative
May 30, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Idaho Power filed a general rate case with the Idaho Public Utilities Commission, requesting a 13.09% rate increase, amounting to $199.1 million in additional annual revenues. This request, if approved, would impact Idaho customers starting January 2026, with an average residential bill increase of about $21.66 per month. The proposed increase aims to cover costs related to energy production, grid investments, wildfire resilience, labor, and other operational expenses. The rate case will undergo public review and approval by the IPUC, with opportunities for public input.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDA) stock is a Hold with a $121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IdaCorp stock, see the IDA Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
IdaCorp Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 16, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 15, 2025, IDACORP, Inc. presented four proposals to its shareholders. These proposals included the election of directors, approval of executive compensation, authorization of additional shares for the Long-Term Incentive and Compensation Plan, and the ratification of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm. All proposals were approved, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s current governance and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDA) stock is a Hold with a $121.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IdaCorp stock, see the IDA Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingFinancial Disclosures
IdaCorp Enters Forward Sale Agreements with Major Banks
Neutral
May 12, 2025

On May 8, 2025, IDACORP, Inc. entered into forward sale agreements with Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo, involving over 5 million shares of its common stock. These agreements, part of an underwritten public offering, allow IDACORP to issue shares by November 2026 at an initial forward sale price of $107.67 per share, subject to adjustments. The transactions are expected to have implications for IDACORP’s earnings per share, depending on the settlement method chosen, with potential dilution if shares are physically or net share settled.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
IDACORP Reports Strong Q1 2025 Financial Results
Positive
May 1, 2025

On May 1, 2025, IDACORP, Inc. announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $59.6 million, or $1.10 per diluted share, an increase from $48.2 million, or $0.95 per diluted share, in the same period in 2024. The company attributed this growth to strong customer growth, rate changes, and tax credits, despite higher depreciation and financing costs. IDACORP reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance, emphasizing its focus on capital investment and regulatory plans to support ongoing growth and energy reliability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.