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Idacorp (IDA)
NYSE:IDA

IdaCorp (IDA) AI Stock Analysis

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IDA

IdaCorp

(NYSE:IDA)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$137.00
â–²(1.78% Upside)
The score is led by improving outlook from the earnings call (raised EPS guidance, customer growth, and supportive regulatory backdrop), while financial performance is tempered by weak cash flow and negative revenue growth. Technical signals are neutral-to-soft, and valuation is only moderately supported by the dividend given the ~21.9 P/E.
Positive Factors
Regulatory Approval
The approval of a rate increase by the Idaho Public Utilities Commission provides a stable revenue stream, enhancing financial predictability and supporting future infrastructure investments.
Customer Growth
Steady customer growth, particularly in expanding sectors, indicates a strong market position and potential for increased revenue, supporting long-term business stability.
Infrastructure Development
Ongoing infrastructure projects are critical for meeting future demand and enhancing reliability, positioning IdaCorp for sustained growth and operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Negative Revenue Growth
Declining revenue growth poses a risk to future profitability, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in new projects and maintain competitive positioning.
High Leverage
Increased leverage can strain financial flexibility and elevate risk, especially if cash flow generation remains weak, potentially impacting long-term financial health.
Termination of Wind Project
The cancellation of a major renewable project could hinder IdaCorp's sustainability goals and growth in renewable energy, affecting its strategic direction and regulatory alignment.

IdaCorp (IDA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

IdaCorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionIDACORP, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, purchase, and sale of electric energy in the United States. The company operates 17 hydropower generating plants located in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon; three natural gas-fired plants in southern Idaho; and interests in two coal-fired steam electric generating plants located in Wyoming and Nevada. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 4,843 pole-miles of high-voltage transmission lines; 23 step-up transmission substations located at power plants; 21 transmission substations; 10 switching stations; 30 mixed-use transmission and distribution substations; 187 energized distribution substations; and 28,570 pole-miles of distribution lines, as well as provides electric utility services to approximately 604,000 retail customers in southern Idaho and eastern Oregon. The company serves commercial and industrial customers, which involved in food processing, electronics and general manufacturing, agriculture, health care, government, and education. It also invests in housing and other real estate tax credit investments. IDACORP, Inc. was founded in 1915 and is headquartered in Boise, Idaho.
How the Company Makes MoneyIdaCorp generates revenue primarily through the sale of electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company charges its customers based on energy consumption, which is measured in kilowatt-hours (kWh). Key revenue streams include retail electricity sales, which contribute the majority of the company's income. Additionally, IdaCorp benefits from regulated rate structures approved by state utility commissions, allowing it to earn a return on its investments in infrastructure and capital projects. The company may also engage in energy trading and ancillary services, further contributing to its earnings. Significant partnerships with renewable energy developers and investments in solar and wind projects are crucial as they align with regulatory trends towards sustainable energy, potentially enhancing long-term revenue growth.

IdaCorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong financial performance with increased earnings and customer growth. Infrastructure developments and a constructive rate case settlement further supported a positive outlook, despite challenges such as the termination of the Jackalope Wind project and inflationary pressures.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Earnings Per Share
IDACORP's diluted earnings per share were $2.26 compared with $2.12 for last year's third quarter, and $5.13 for the first three quarters of 2025 versus $4.82 for the first three quarters of 2024.
Revised Earnings Guidance
Full year IDACORP's diluted earnings per share guidance was raised for the second time to a range of $5.80 to $5.90 per diluted share.
Customer Growth and Economic Expansion
Customer base grew 2.3% since last year's third quarter, with 2.5% growth for residential customers, driven by growth in manufacturing and technology sectors.
Infrastructure and Project Developments
Progress on Boardman-to-Hemingway transmission line and Bennett Mountain gas-fired power plant expansion, with plans for construction to begin in 2026.
Constructive Rate Case Settlement
Settlement designed to increase annual revenues by $110 million (7.48%) effective January 1, with a 9.6% ROE and no capital disallowances.
Negative Updates
Termination of Jackalope Wind Project
Policy changes impacted the permitting of the 600-megawatt Jackalope Wind project, leading to the termination of agreements.
Inflationary Pressures
Higher O&M expenses driven by inflationary pressures on labor and professional services, as well as wildfire mitigation efforts.
Interest Expense Increases
Nonoperating expense increased $9.8 million due to higher interest expense to finance growth and interest on transmission customer deposits.
Company Guidance
During IDACORP's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting strong operational performance. The full-year diluted earnings per share (EPS) guidance range was raised for the second time, now expected to be between $5.80 and $5.90, up from previous estimates. This revision coincides with a decrease in the expected use of additional tax credit amortization for the year, now projected at $50 million to $60 million, down from earlier estimates. The company also highlighted robust customer growth, particularly a 2.3% increase in its customer base since the prior year, and ongoing economic expansion in sectors such as manufacturing and technology. Additionally, IDACORP is progressing on several infrastructure projects, including the Bennett Mountain gas-fired power plant expansion and major transmission lines, which are critical to meeting future demand and enhancing reliability. The company's focus remains on maintaining affordability while supporting growth, with residential customer rates continuing to be significantly lower than the national average.

IdaCorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
IdaCorp shows strong operational efficiency with healthy margins, but faces challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management. The increased leverage on the balance sheet requires careful monitoring to avoid financial strain. Improving cash flow generation is crucial for future growth and stability.
Income Statement
65
Positive
IdaCorp's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM Gross Profit Margin is strong at 33.4%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin has declined to 17.6% from 15.8% in the previous year, showing a slight improvement. Revenue growth has been negative in the TTM period, which is a concern for future profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet of IdaCorp is relatively stable. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio has increased to 1.05, indicating higher leverage, which could pose a risk if not managed properly. Return on Equity is consistent at around 9.4%, showing steady returns to shareholders. The Equity Ratio is moderate, suggesting a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals some challenges. The Free Cash Flow is negative, although there is a positive growth rate in the TTM period. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is below 1, indicating less cash generation relative to net income. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is negative, highlighting potential liquidity concerns.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.81B1.83B1.77B1.64B1.46B1.35B
Gross Profit334.21M331.85M316.84M330.11M332.24M312.17M
EBITDA713.65M668.96M605.55M560.33M548.93M530.03M
Net Income317.74M289.17M261.19M258.98M245.55M237.42M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.08B9.24B8.48B7.54B7.21B7.10B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments333.21M368.87M327.43M177.58M215.24M300.12M
Total Debt3.67B3.07B2.83B2.19B2.00B2.00B
Total Liabilities6.59B5.90B5.56B4.73B4.54B4.53B
Stockholders Equity3.48B3.33B2.91B2.81B2.67B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-410.16M-414.86M-344.11M-81.30M63.27M77.19M
Operating Cash Flow600.50M594.42M267.03M351.29M363.26M388.13M
Investing Cash Flow-892.01M-917.66M-589.95M-424.27M-273.65M-347.26M
Financing Cash Flow196.77M364.68M472.77M35.32M-149.48M16.99M

IdaCorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price134.61
Price Trends
50DMA
128.01
Positive
100DMA
128.61
Positive
200DMA
122.64
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.22
Negative
RSI
69.61
Neutral
STOCH
94.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For IDA, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 134.61 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 128.28, above the 50-day MA of 128.01, and above the 200-day MA of 122.64, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 94.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for IDA.

IdaCorp Risk Analysis

IdaCorp disclosed 32 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. IdaCorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

IdaCorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$5.55B17.887.99%4.38%7.53%-17.59%
67
Neutral
$8.98B17.5310.69%3.82%18.03%29.46%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$7.17B22.789.41%2.72%-1.58%8.49%
65
Neutral
$11.09B19.038.62%4.15%5.70%-8.25%
60
Neutral
$6.43B34.506.02%2.80%10.65%-10.67%
56
Neutral
$6.04B87.021.30%5.63%-25.78%-91.93%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
IDA
IdaCorp
134.61
26.04
23.98%
OGE
OGE Energy
43.64
2.68
6.54%
PNW
Pinnacle West Capital
93.71
9.17
10.85%
TXNM
TXNM Energy
59.16
12.23
26.06%
POR
Portland GE
49.69
9.18
22.66%
ENIC
Enel Chile SA
4.30
1.54
55.97%

IdaCorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
IdaCorp Wins Approval for Idaho Power Rate Increase
Positive
Dec 31, 2025

On December 30, 2025, the Idaho Public Utilities Commission approved a settlement stipulation in Idaho Power Company’s Idaho general rate case, originally filed on May 30, 2025, allowing the utility to implement revised tariff schedules that will raise Idaho-jurisdictional retail revenue by about $110 million annually, or 7.48%, effective January 1, 2026, inclusive of a $13.1 million power cost adjustment increase. The order sets a 9.6% return on equity and a 7.410% authorized rate of return on an Idaho rate base of roughly $4.9 billion, resets base net power supply expense to about $468.8 million (a $16.1 million reduction), updates fixed cost adjustment rates and maintains wildfire-mitigation cost deferrals, while modifying the company’s accumulated deferred investment tax credit and revenue-sharing framework and confirming recovery of Idaho Power’s share of capital expenditures at jointly owned coal-fired plants through year-end 2024, with prudence review of post-July 2025 investments deferred to the next rate case and no restriction on filing a future general rate case.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDA) stock is a Buy with a $139.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IdaCorp stock, see the IDA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
IdaCorp Increases Capital Expenditure Forecast by 20%
Neutral
Dec 1, 2025

In a recent announcement, IDACORP, Inc. provided an updated forecast for its capital expenditures from 2025 to 2029, indicating a significant increase of approximately 20% over previous estimates. This adjustment comes after the termination of a 300 MW wind project due to permitting delays and federal land use policy uncertainties, with plans to incorporate a 167 MW gas plant and other investments to address capacity and energy needs.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDA) stock is a Hold with a $137.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IdaCorp stock, see the IDA Stock Forecast page.

Financial Disclosures
IDACORP Reports Q3 2025 Financial Results
Positive
Oct 30, 2025

On October 30, 2025, IDACORP, Inc. announced its third-quarter 2025 financial results, reporting a net income of $124.4 million, up from $113.6 million in the same quarter of 2024. The increase was driven by customer growth and rate changes, although offset by infrastructure investment costs. The company also raised its full-year 2025 earnings guidance, anticipating the use of additional tax credits and assuming normal weather conditions for the remainder of the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDA) stock is a Hold with a $129.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IdaCorp stock, see the IDA Stock Forecast page.

Legal ProceedingsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
IdaCorp Reaches Settlement with IPUC on Rate Increase
Neutral
Oct 24, 2025

On May 30, 2025, Idaho Power Company filed a general rate case with the Idaho Public Utilities Commission, seeking an increase in annual revenues by approximately $199.1 million. On October 24, 2025, Idaho Power reached a settlement stipulation with the IPUC, proposing revised tariff schedules to increase retail revenue by about $110 million, effective January 1, 2026, if approved. The settlement includes adjustments to return on equity, power supply expenses, and tax credit mechanisms, with potential implications for stakeholders depending on the IPUC’s pending decision.

The most recent analyst rating on (IDA) stock is a Buy with a $155.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on IdaCorp stock, see the IDA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 31, 2025