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Black Hills Corp. (BKH)
NYSE:BKH
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Black Hills (BKH) AI Stock Analysis

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BKH

Black Hills

(NYSE:BKH)

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Outperform 76 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
$73.00
▲(7.75% Upside)
Black Hills Corp. shows strong technical momentum and a positive earnings outlook, supported by strategic growth initiatives. While financial performance is solid, addressing revenue consistency and cash flow volatility could further enhance stability. The stock is fairly valued, offering a balanced investment opportunity.
Positive Factors
Earnings Guidance Reaffirmation
Reaffirming earnings guidance indicates confidence in strategic initiatives and stability in revenue streams, supporting long-term growth.
Capital Projects Progress
Timely completion of capital projects enhances infrastructure and service reliability, supporting future revenue growth and operational efficiency.
Data Center Demand Growth
Increasing demand from data centers signifies robust growth potential and strengthens market position in the energy sector.
Negative Factors
Revenue Consistency Challenges
Inconsistent revenue growth can lead to unpredictability in financial performance, potentially impacting long-term strategic planning.
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Volatile free cash flow may hinder the company's ability to fund operations and investments, affecting financial flexibility and growth.
Increased O&M Costs
Rising O&M costs can pressure profit margins, reducing the company's ability to invest in growth and maintain competitive advantages.

Black Hills (BKH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Black Hills Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlack Hills Corporation (BKH) is a diversified energy company based in the United States, primarily engaged in providing electric and natural gas services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. With operations spanning multiple states, the company operates through two main segments: utility operations, which include electric and gas distribution, and non-regulated operations, which encompass power generation and other energy-related services. BKH is committed to delivering reliable energy solutions while also focusing on renewable energy initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlack Hills Corporation generates revenue primarily through its utility operations by charging customers for the electricity and natural gas they consume. The company earns a return on investment through regulated rates set by state utility commissions, which allows them to recover costs and earn a profit margin. Additionally, BKH's non-regulated operations contribute to its revenue through the sale of electricity generated from renewable sources and other energy services. Significant partnerships with local governments and energy organizations further enhance its ability to expand its service offerings and optimize operations, thus contributing to its overall earnings.

Black Hills Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook for Black Hills Corp., with reaffirmed earnings guidance, successful rate reviews, and progress on key capital projects. However, there were challenges such as weather impacts, increased O&M costs, and higher financing and depreciation expenses. The sentiment of the call leans towards positive, given the significant progress on strategic initiatives and growth opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Guidance Reaffirmed
Black Hills Corp. reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance with an adjusted EPS range of $4 to $4.20, representing a 5% growth rate at the midpoint over 2024 EPS.
Successful Completion of Rate Reviews
The company successfully completed 7 rate reviews since the beginning of last year, including a recent settlement for its rate review in Nebraska.
Progress on Key Capital Projects
On schedule to complete the 260-mile Ready Wyoming transmission expansion project by year-end and broke ground on the Lange II generation project in Rapid City.
Merger with NorthWestern Energy
Progress on the merger with NorthWestern Energy, with joint applications submitted to regulators in Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota.
Data Center Demand Growth
Growing demand from large load customers such as data centers with signed nondisclosure agreements for more than 3 gigawatts of demand.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Earnings
Weather was a $0.07 headwind compared to the same quarter last year, primarily driven by lower agricultural irrigation demand in Nebraska.
Increased O&M Costs
O&M costs were higher by $0.08 per share, which included $0.10 of merger-related transaction costs.
Higher Financing and Depreciation Expenses
Financing costs increased by $0.03 per share, including higher interest expense and share dilution, along with a $0.02 increase in depreciation expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Black Hills Corp. Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance with an adjusted EPS range of $4 to $4.20, reflecting a 5% growth rate at the midpoint over their 2024 EPS. They highlighted their $4.7 billion capital plan, which includes a $1 billion capital plan for 2025 and projects such as the 260-mile Ready Wyoming transmission expansion and the 99-megawatt Lange II generation project. The company anticipates achieving the upper half of their 4% to 6% long-term EPS growth target starting in 2026. Black Hills Corp. also noted significant data center demand, with agreements for more than 3 gigawatts of demand, which could further enhance their growth trajectory. Additionally, the merger with NorthWestern Energy is expected to close in the second half of 2026, pending regulatory approvals.

Black Hills Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Black Hills demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and stable cash flows. However, challenges with revenue consistency and free cash flow volatility need addressing to enhance financial stability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Black Hills shows a stable revenue growth with a slight increase in the TTM period. Gross profit and net profit margins are healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, the revenue growth rate has been inconsistent over the years, which could pose a risk if not addressed.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which is typical for the utilities industry. Return on equity is stable, reflecting consistent profitability. However, the equity ratio suggests a reliance on debt financing, which could impact financial stability if interest rates rise.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong, but free cash flow has been volatile, with significant negative growth in recent periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.27B2.13B2.33B2.55B1.95B1.70B
Gross Profit786.70M840.40M796.40M772.80M705.50M709.13M
EBITDA811.50M785.30M738.40M709.50M648.50M645.07M
Net Income284.80M273.10M262.20M258.40M236.70M227.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets0.0010.02B9.62B9.62B9.13B8.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.0016.10M86.60M21.43M8.92M6.36M
Total Debt126.00M4.38B4.40B4.67B4.55B3.77B
Total Liabilities6.48B6.44B6.31B6.53B6.24B5.43B
Stockholders Equity3.77B3.50B3.22B2.99B2.79B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-105.40M-24.90M388.80M-19.56M-742.06M-225.54M
Operating Cash Flow658.50M719.30M944.40M584.80M-64.56M541.86M
Investing Cash Flow-770.40M-746.00M-536.70M-603.88M-664.23M-761.66M
Financing Cash Flow121.40M-42.90M-341.70M32.25M731.87M216.88M

Black Hills Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price67.75
Price Trends
50DMA
61.43
Positive
100DMA
59.47
Positive
200DMA
58.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.19
Negative
RSI
72.77
Negative
STOCH
69.71
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 67.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 63.92, above the 50-day MA of 61.43, and above the 200-day MA of 58.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.77 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 69.71 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BKH.

Black Hills Risk Analysis

Black Hills disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Black Hills reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Black Hills Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$4.69B16.294.20%7.03%6.64%
75
Outperform
$3.74B17.237.62%4.38%4.90%-4.42%
72
Outperform
$3.44B12.3716.10%2.49%-3.18%-8.62%
68
Neutral
$3.91B23.595.83%4.30%-4.30%-8.49%
68
Neutral
$3.14B17.357.31%4.81%2.14%-6.51%
67
Neutral
$3.04B23.1410.80%2.16%8.26%12.47%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKH
Black Hills
67.75
9.61
16.53%
ALE
Allete
67.32
4.98
7.99%
AVA
Avista
40.42
4.95
13.96%
MGEE
MGE Energy
83.56
-15.97
-16.05%
NWE
Northwestern
63.22
11.58
22.42%
OTTR
Otter Tail
84.27
7.21
9.36%

Black Hills Corporate Events

Black Hills Corp. Reports Q3 Earnings and Strategic Updates
Nov 7, 2025

Black Hills Corp., a utility company serving over 1.35 million customers across eight states, focuses on providing reliable natural gas and electric services. The company recently released its third-quarter earnings report for 2025, highlighting a reaffirmation of its adjusted earnings guidance and several strategic developments. Black Hills Corp. reported a slight decrease in GAAP earnings per share compared to the previous year, but an increase in adjusted earnings per share, driven by new rates and rider recovery. The company completed its planned equity and debt financing activities for the year, maintaining strong credit quality and liquidity. Key projects include the completion of the Ready Wyoming transmission expansion and the commencement of the Lange II generation facility in South Dakota. Black Hills also announced a merger with NorthWestern Energy, which is expected to enhance its utility presence in the Midwest. Looking ahead, Black Hills Corp. remains focused on executing its five-year capital plan, which includes significant investments in infrastructure and data center demand, aiming for continued growth and improved service reliability.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Black Hills Completes $450M Debt Offering
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Black Hills Corporation completed a debt offering by issuing $450 million in 4.550% Notes due 2031. The proceeds from this issuance are intended to retire $300 million of existing notes due in January 2026, with any remaining funds allocated for general corporate purposes such as capital expenditures and debt refinancing. This strategic financial move is designed to optimize the company’s debt structure and potentially enhance its operational flexibility.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKH) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Black Hills stock, see the BKH Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and Financing
Black Hills Announces $450M Notes Issuance Agreement
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Black Hills Corporation entered into an Underwriting Agreement to issue and sell $450 million of 4.550% Notes due 2031, with the underwriters agreeing to purchase the Notes for approximately $447.0 million. The issuance and settlement of the Notes are scheduled for October 2, 2025, and the agreement includes customary terms and indemnification clauses, highlighting ongoing investment banking relationships between the company and the underwriters.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKH) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Black Hills stock, see the BKH Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Black Hills Announces Merger with NorthWestern Energy
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

Black Hills Corporation announced a pending merger with NorthWestern Energy Group, approved on August 18, 2025, involving an all-stock business combination. The merger is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, with potential impacts on the companies’ operations and market positioning, though it also faces uncertainties and risks related to regulatory conditions and potential disruptions.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKH) stock is a Buy with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Black Hills stock, see the BKH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Black Hills Announces Merger with NorthWestern Energy Group
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 18, 2025, Black Hills Corporation entered into a merger agreement with NorthWestern Energy Group, creating a premier regional regulated utility company with a pro forma market capitalization of approximately $7.8 billion. The merger, unanimously approved by both companies’ boards, is expected to enhance operational scale, financial strength, and investment opportunities, supporting a long-term EPS growth rate of 5% to 7%. The combined entity will maintain a strong investment-grade credit profile, continue existing dividend policies, and focus on delivering value to customers and communities through improved operational efficiencies and a commitment to clean energy initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKH) stock is a Buy with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Black Hills stock, see the BKH Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Black Hills and NorthWestern Energy Announce Merger
Positive
Aug 19, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Black Hills Corporation and NorthWestern Energy Group announced a merger agreement to create a premier regional regulated utility company. The merger, structured as an all-stock transaction, is expected to enhance the companies’ financial strength and operational scale, providing opportunities for increased investment in energy infrastructure and improved customer service. The combined entity will serve approximately 2.1 million customers across eight states, with a focus on sustainable growth and community support. The merger is anticipated to be accretive to earnings per share in the first year and aims to support a long-term EPS growth rate of 5% to 7%, benefiting shareholders and stakeholders alike.

The most recent analyst rating on (BKH) stock is a Buy with a $69.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Black Hills stock, see the BKH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 07, 2025