tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Black Hills Corp. (BKH)
NYSE:BKH

Black Hills (BKH) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
653 Followers

Top Page

BKH

Black Hills

(NYSE:BKH)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$78.00
â–²(10.50% Upside)
Black Hills Corp. shows a strong overall performance, driven by positive earnings guidance and strategic initiatives. While financial performance is solid, addressing revenue consistency and cash flow volatility could further enhance stability. The technical indicators and valuation suggest a balanced outlook, with the recent debt offering providing additional financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Renewable Energy Expansion
The expansion into renewable energy positions Black Hills to benefit from the growing demand for sustainable energy solutions, enhancing long-term growth prospects.
Merger with NorthWestern Energy
The merger could enhance market positioning and operational synergies, providing a stronger competitive edge in the utilities sector.
Capital Projects Progress
Successful completion of key capital projects like the transmission expansion can improve infrastructure reliability and support future growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Consistency Challenges
Inconsistent revenue growth poses a risk to financial stability, potentially affecting long-term planning and investment strategies.
Free Cash Flow Volatility
Volatile free cash flow can hinder the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt, impacting financial flexibility.
Increased O&M Costs
Rising operational and maintenance costs can pressure profit margins, reducing the company's ability to invest in strategic initiatives.

Black Hills (BKH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Black Hills Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBlack Hills Corporation (BKH) is a diversified energy company based in the United States that operates in two main sectors: utility and non-utility. The company primarily provides electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers through its regulated utility subsidiaries. Additionally, BKH engages in non-utility operations, including power generation, coal mining, and renewable energy projects, focusing on sustainable energy solutions and infrastructure development.
How the Company Makes MoneyBlack Hills Corporation generates revenue primarily through its utility operations, which include the sale of electricity and natural gas to consumers. The regulated utility subsidiaries earn income by providing reliable energy services, with rates set by state regulatory commissions. In addition to utility revenues, BKH has significant income from its non-utility operations, which include the generation of electricity from various sources, including coal, natural gas, and renewable energy. The company also engages in the sale of coal and the development of energy projects, which contribute to its revenue. Key partnerships with local governments and regulatory bodies facilitate infrastructure investments and energy projects, enhancing its revenue streams. Additionally, BKH's focus on expanding its renewable energy portfolio positions the company to benefit from growing demand for sustainable energy solutions.

Black Hills Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook for Black Hills Corp., with reaffirmed earnings guidance, successful rate reviews, and progress on key capital projects. However, there were challenges such as weather impacts, increased O&M costs, and higher financing and depreciation expenses. The sentiment of the call leans towards positive, given the significant progress on strategic initiatives and growth opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Earnings Guidance Reaffirmed
Black Hills Corp. reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance with an adjusted EPS range of $4 to $4.20, representing a 5% growth rate at the midpoint over 2024 EPS.
Successful Completion of Rate Reviews
The company successfully completed 7 rate reviews since the beginning of last year, including a recent settlement for its rate review in Nebraska.
Progress on Key Capital Projects
On schedule to complete the 260-mile Ready Wyoming transmission expansion project by year-end and broke ground on the Lange II generation project in Rapid City.
Merger with NorthWestern Energy
Progress on the merger with NorthWestern Energy, with joint applications submitted to regulators in Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota.
Data Center Demand Growth
Growing demand from large load customers such as data centers with signed nondisclosure agreements for more than 3 gigawatts of demand.
Negative Updates
Weather Impact on Earnings
Weather was a $0.07 headwind compared to the same quarter last year, primarily driven by lower agricultural irrigation demand in Nebraska.
Increased O&M Costs
O&M costs were higher by $0.08 per share, which included $0.10 of merger-related transaction costs.
Higher Financing and Depreciation Expenses
Financing costs increased by $0.03 per share, including higher interest expense and share dilution, along with a $0.02 increase in depreciation expenses.
Company Guidance
During the Black Hills Corp. Q3 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance with an adjusted EPS range of $4 to $4.20, reflecting a 5% growth rate at the midpoint over their 2024 EPS. They highlighted their $4.7 billion capital plan, which includes a $1 billion capital plan for 2025 and projects such as the 260-mile Ready Wyoming transmission expansion and the 99-megawatt Lange II generation project. The company anticipates achieving the upper half of their 4% to 6% long-term EPS growth target starting in 2026. Black Hills Corp. also noted significant data center demand, with agreements for more than 3 gigawatts of demand, which could further enhance their growth trajectory. Additionally, the merger with NorthWestern Energy is expected to close in the second half of 2026, pending regulatory approvals.

Black Hills Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Black Hills demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and stable cash flows. However, challenges with revenue consistency and free cash flow volatility need addressing to enhance financial stability and growth prospects.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Black Hills shows a stable revenue growth with a slight increase in the TTM period. Gross profit and net profit margins are healthy, indicating efficient cost management. However, the revenue growth rate has been inconsistent over the years, which could pose a risk if not addressed.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which is typical for the utilities industry. Return on equity is stable, reflecting consistent profitability. However, the equity ratio suggests a reliance on debt financing, which could impact financial stability if interest rates rise.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong, but free cash flow has been volatile, with significant negative growth in recent periods. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, but the free cash flow to net income ratio indicates potential cash flow management issues.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.27B2.13B2.33B2.55B1.95B1.70B
Gross Profit875.40M840.40M796.40M772.80M705.50M709.13M
EBITDA809.80M785.30M738.40M709.50M648.50M645.07M
Net Income284.80M273.10M262.20M258.40M236.70M227.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.33B10.02B9.62B9.62B9.13B8.09B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments29.10M16.10M86.60M21.40M8.92M6.36M
Total Debt4.38B4.38B4.40B4.67B4.55B3.77B
Total Liabilities6.48B6.44B6.31B6.53B6.24B5.43B
Stockholders Equity3.77B3.50B3.22B2.99B2.79B2.56B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow355.90M-24.90M388.80M-19.60M-742.06M-225.54M
Operating Cash Flow569.60M719.30M944.40M584.80M-64.56M541.86M
Investing Cash Flow-590.20M-746.00M-536.70M-603.90M-664.23M-761.66M
Financing Cash Flow16.80M-42.90M-341.70M32.30M731.87M216.88M

Black Hills Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price70.59
Price Trends
50DMA
67.82
Positive
100DMA
63.69
Positive
200DMA
60.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.87
Positive
RSI
52.14
Neutral
STOCH
46.41
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BKH, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 70.59 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 71.24, above the 50-day MA of 67.82, and above the 200-day MA of 60.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.87 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.41 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for BKH.

Black Hills Risk Analysis

Black Hills disclosed 20 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Black Hills reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Black Hills Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.13B16.357.31%5.05%2.14%-6.51%
74
Outperform
$4.02B18.537.62%4.02%4.90%-4.42%
74
Outperform
$5.33B17.847.90%3.83%7.03%6.64%
72
Outperform
$3.55B12.7816.10%2.44%-3.18%-8.62%
68
Neutral
$3.94B23.795.83%4.26%-4.30%-8.49%
67
Neutral
$2.93B21.7710.80%2.28%8.26%12.47%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BKH
Black Hills
70.59
14.48
25.81%
ALE
Allete
67.90
5.43
8.69%
AVA
Avista
38.79
4.70
13.79%
MGEE
MGE Energy
81.31
-10.66
-11.59%
NWE
Northwestern
65.74
15.60
31.11%
OTTR
Otter Tail
86.04
13.00
17.80%

Black Hills Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Black Hills Completes $450M Debt Offering
Positive
Oct 2, 2025

On October 2, 2025, Black Hills Corporation completed a debt offering by issuing $450 million in 4.550% Notes due 2031. The proceeds from this issuance are intended to retire $300 million of existing notes due in January 2026, with any remaining funds allocated for general corporate purposes such as capital expenditures and debt refinancing. This strategic financial move is designed to optimize the company’s debt structure and potentially enhance its operational flexibility.

Private Placements and Financing
Black Hills Announces $450M Notes Issuance Agreement
Neutral
Sep 29, 2025

On September 25, 2025, Black Hills Corporation entered into an Underwriting Agreement to issue and sell $450 million of 4.550% Notes due 2031, with the underwriters agreeing to purchase the Notes for approximately $447.0 million. The issuance and settlement of the Notes are scheduled for October 2, 2025, and the agreement includes customary terms and indemnification clauses, highlighting ongoing investment banking relationships between the company and the underwriters.

M&A Transactions
Black Hills Announces Merger with NorthWestern Energy
Neutral
Sep 15, 2025

Black Hills Corporation announced a pending merger with NorthWestern Energy Group, approved on August 18, 2025, involving an all-stock business combination. The merger is subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals, with potential impacts on the companies’ operations and market positioning, though it also faces uncertainties and risks related to regulatory conditions and potential disruptions.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025