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Otter Tail (OTTR)
NASDAQ:OTTR

Otter Tail (OTTR) AI Stock Analysis

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OTTR

Otter Tail

(NASDAQ:OTTR)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$96.00
▲(22.72% Upside)
Otter Tail's overall stock score is driven by strong earnings call outcomes and positive technical indicators. While financial performance shows profitability, challenges in revenue and cash flow growth are noted. The valuation is attractive, and recent board changes are seen as beneficial for strategic direction.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment Plans
The significant capital investment plan is expected to yield a 10% CAGR in the rate base, supporting long-term growth and enhancing infrastructure.
Board Enhancements
The addition of experienced utility leaders to the board strengthens governance and strategic oversight, crucial for long-term corporate strategy execution.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves enhances financial stability and flexibility, supporting future growth initiatives without immediate external financing.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
Negative revenue growth indicates potential challenges in expanding sales, which could impact long-term profitability and market position if not addressed.
Plastics Segment Decline
The decline in the Plastics segment earnings due to lower sales prices suggests ongoing market pressures, potentially affecting overall profitability.
Legal and Regulatory Uncertainties
Legal and regulatory uncertainties can lead to financial liabilities and operational disruptions, posing risks to long-term business stability and growth.

Otter Tail (OTTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Otter Tail Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOtter Tail Corporation (OTTR) is a diversified holding company based in the United States, primarily engaged in the electric utility and manufacturing sectors. The company operates through two main segments: the Electric segment, which provides electricity to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, and the Manufacturing segment, which includes a range of operations such as custom manufacturing and production of specialty products. Otter Tail is known for its commitment to sustainable energy practices and is involved in renewable energy initiatives, enhancing its service offerings to customers and contributing to environmental goals.
How the Company Makes MoneyOtter Tail generates revenue primarily through its Electric segment, which accounts for a significant portion of its income by charging customers for electricity usage. This revenue model includes residential, commercial, and industrial sales, with rates regulated by state utility commissions. Additionally, the company’s Manufacturing segment contributes to its earnings through the sale of custom manufactured products and services to various industries. Key revenue streams include long-term contracts with customers and participation in renewable energy projects, which can provide additional financial incentives. Partnerships with local governments and other organizations for infrastructure projects also play a role in enhancing revenue opportunities for Otter Tail.

Otter Tail Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Otter Tail Corporation's robust financial performance and strategic investment plans which outpaced expectations, despite challenges in the Plastics and Manufacturing segments and ongoing legal issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Q3 Financial Results Surpass Expectations
Otter Tail Corporation's Q3 financial results exceeded expectations, with a diluted earnings per share of $1.86. The company increased the midpoint of its 2025 earnings guidance to $6.47 per share from $6.26.
Significant Capital Investment Plans
Otter Tail Power's new capital investment plan totals $1.9 billion, with an expected rate base CAGR of 10%. This is part of a strategy to increase long-term earnings per share growth to 9% from 6-8%.
Vinyltech Expansion Progress
The second phase of Vinyltech's expansion project is progressing well, targeting a 15% increase in Plastics segment total production capacity.
Strong Balance Sheet
Otter Tail Corporation reports a strong balance sheet with $325 million of cash on hand and no need for external equity through at least 2030.
Electric Segment Growth
The Electric segment is expected to convert its rate base growth into earnings per share growth near a 1:1 ratio over the long term.
Negative Updates
Plastics Segment Earnings Decline
Plastics segment earnings decreased by $0.26 per share due to a 17% decline in average sales prices, despite higher sales volumes and lower input material costs.
Manufacturing Segment Challenges
BTD continues to face demand-related headwinds in the lawn and garden and agricultural markets, with low demand expected to continue through most of 2026.
Legal and Regulatory Uncertainties
There are ongoing legal challenges, including a class action complaint in the U.S. and British Columbia, Canada, and a FERC complaint related to benefit calculations of MISO's Tranche 2.1 projects.
Anticipated Earnings Decline in Plastics Segment
Plastics segment earnings are expected to continue declining through the end of 2027, with 2028 being the first full year of normalized earnings.
Company Guidance
During Otter Tail Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company updated its guidance to reflect a stronger financial outlook. They increased the midpoint of their 2025 earnings per share (EPS) guidance from $6.26 to $6.47, driven by better-than-expected results in their Plastics segment and revised expectations for lower raw material costs for the remainder of the year. The company introduced a new 5-year capital investment plan totaling $1.9 billion, which is expected to yield a 10% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the rate base. Otter Tail enhanced its long-term EPS growth target to 7% to 9% and projected a total shareholder return of 10% to 12%, with a focus on utility growth and maintaining low electric rates. Despite a decrease in Q3 EPS from $2.03 to $1.86 compared to the previous year, the company highlighted improvements in certain areas, such as manufacturing efficiencies and corporate cost reductions, and reaffirmed its strong balance sheet with $325 million in cash on hand.

Otter Tail Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Otter Tail shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin and solid cash flow to net income ratio. However, challenges include declining revenue and free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Otter Tail's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin around 22% and an EBIT margin close to 30% in TTM. However, revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating potential challenges in expanding sales.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 in TTM, which is an improvement from previous years. Return on equity is solid at 16.8%, but the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate of -23.2% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.91, indicating good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.30B1.33B1.35B1.46B1.20B890.11M
Gross Profit558.17M583.10M565.15M570.50M424.07M302.01M
EBITDA485.25M515.83M499.12M486.15M341.95M232.54M
Net Income278.97M301.66M294.19M284.18M176.77M95.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.84B3.65B3.24B2.90B2.75B2.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments379.66M294.65M230.37M119.00M1.54M1.16M
Total Debt1.04B1.01B905.48M832.02M855.16M845.52M
Total Liabilities2.01B1.98B1.80B1.68B1.76B1.71B
Stockholders Equity1.83B1.67B1.44B1.22B990.78M870.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow106.68M94.08M117.36M218.18M59.41M-159.63M
Operating Cash Flow418.90M452.73M404.50M389.31M231.24M211.92M
Investing Cash Flow-315.22M-411.37M-289.29M-175.07M-171.51M-375.65M
Financing Cash Flow-57.92M22.92M-3.83M-96.78M-59.36M143.69M

Otter Tail Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price78.23
Price Trends
50DMA
81.21
Positive
100DMA
81.26
Positive
200DMA
79.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.54
Positive
RSI
49.80
Neutral
STOCH
20.81
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OTTR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 78.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 82.91, below the 50-day MA of 81.21, and below the 200-day MA of 79.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.54 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 20.81 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for OTTR.

Otter Tail Risk Analysis

Otter Tail disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Otter Tail reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Otter Tail Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$3.47B12.4816.10%2.54%-3.18%-8.62%
77
Outperform
$3.12B16.327.31%5.10%2.14%-6.51%
74
Outperform
$3.93B18.257.62%4.09%4.90%-4.42%
74
Outperform
$5.20B17.447.90%3.91%7.03%6.64%
68
Neutral
5.83%4.26%-4.30%-8.49%
67
Neutral
$2.86B21.2410.80%2.36%8.26%12.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OTTR
Otter Tail
82.66
9.46
12.92%
ALE
Allete
67.90
5.65
9.08%
AVA
Avista
38.41
3.56
10.22%
BKH
Black Hills
69.08
12.07
21.17%
MGEE
MGE Energy
78.27
-14.98
-16.06%
NWE
Northwestern
64.48
13.69
26.95%

Otter Tail Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Otter Tail adds experienced utility leaders to its board
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 16–18, 2025, Otter Tail Corporation announced that longtime independent director Steven L. Fritze, who has served on the Board since 2013 and led the Audit Committee, will retire at the April 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders upon reaching the mandatory retirement age, and that Christopher B. Clark and Steve P. Rasche have been appointed to the Board effective January 1, 2026. Clark, the former president of Xcel Energy’s Northern States Power utility operations, and Rasche, the former chief financial officer of regional utility holding company Spire Inc., bring deep experience in regulated energy, utility finance and risk management; they will serve on key Board committees and receive compensation consistent with other non-employee directors, signaling Otter Tail’s intent to reinforce its governance, regulatory expertise and financial oversight as it advances its corporate strategy in the utility and manufacturing sectors.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 19, 2025