Otter Tail (OTTR)
:OTTR
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Otter Tail (OTTR) AI Stock Analysis

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OTTR

Otter Tail

(NASDAQ:OTTR)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(16.32% Upside)
Otter Tail's strong earnings call and attractive valuation are the most significant factors contributing to its score. Despite challenges in revenue and cash flow growth, the company's strategic investments and solid profitability support a positive outlook.
Positive Factors
Capital Investment Plans
The $1.9 billion capital investment plan is expected to drive a 10% CAGR in the rate base, enhancing long-term earnings growth and market position.
Strong Balance Sheet
A strong balance sheet with substantial cash reserves ensures financial stability and flexibility for future investments without needing external equity.
Electric Segment Growth
The electric segment's ability to translate rate base growth into EPS growth supports sustained profitability and competitive advantage in the utility sector.
Negative Factors
Plastics Segment Earnings Decline
Declining earnings in the Plastics segment due to lower sales prices could impact overall profitability and require strategic adjustments.
Manufacturing Segment Challenges
Ongoing demand challenges in the manufacturing segment could hinder revenue growth and require diversification or innovation to mitigate risks.
Legal and Regulatory Uncertainties
Legal and regulatory uncertainties pose risks to operations and financial performance, potentially leading to increased costs and strategic distractions.

Otter Tail (OTTR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Otter Tail Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionOtter Tail Corporation (OTTR) is a diversified company based in Minnesota, primarily operating in the utility sector. The company provides electric and natural gas services through its regulated utility segment, Otter Tail Power Company, which serves customers across North Dakota, South Dakota, and Minnesota. Additionally, Otter Tail engages in manufacturing and construction services, producing a variety of products including plastic and metal components, as well as providing construction services for infrastructure projects. The company's diverse operations position it as a key player in both energy and manufacturing sectors.
How the Company Makes MoneyOtter Tail generates revenue primarily through its regulated utility operations, which account for a significant portion of its income. The company earns money by charging customers for electricity and natural gas services, with rates regulated by state utility commissions. Additionally, Otter Tail's manufacturing and construction segments contribute to its revenue by providing specialized products and services to various industries. The company has established significant partnerships with local governments and private sector clients for infrastructure projects, enhancing its earnings potential. Overall, Otter Tail's revenue model is anchored in its ability to provide essential services while capitalizing on its diverse business operations.

Otter Tail Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 03, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted Otter Tail Corporation's robust financial performance and strategic investment plans which outpaced expectations, despite challenges in the Plastics and Manufacturing segments and ongoing legal issues.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Q3 Financial Results Surpass Expectations
Otter Tail Corporation's Q3 financial results exceeded expectations, with a diluted earnings per share of $1.86. The company increased the midpoint of its 2025 earnings guidance to $6.47 per share from $6.26.
Significant Capital Investment Plans
Otter Tail Power's new capital investment plan totals $1.9 billion, with an expected rate base CAGR of 10%. This is part of a strategy to increase long-term earnings per share growth to 9% from 6-8%.
Vinyltech Expansion Progress
The second phase of Vinyltech's expansion project is progressing well, targeting a 15% increase in Plastics segment total production capacity.
Strong Balance Sheet
Otter Tail Corporation reports a strong balance sheet with $325 million of cash on hand and no need for external equity through at least 2030.
Electric Segment Growth
The Electric segment is expected to convert its rate base growth into earnings per share growth near a 1:1 ratio over the long term.
Negative Updates
Plastics Segment Earnings Decline
Plastics segment earnings decreased by $0.26 per share due to a 17% decline in average sales prices, despite higher sales volumes and lower input material costs.
Manufacturing Segment Challenges
BTD continues to face demand-related headwinds in the lawn and garden and agricultural markets, with low demand expected to continue through most of 2026.
Legal and Regulatory Uncertainties
There are ongoing legal challenges, including a class action complaint in the U.S. and British Columbia, Canada, and a FERC complaint related to benefit calculations of MISO's Tranche 2.1 projects.
Anticipated Earnings Decline in Plastics Segment
Plastics segment earnings are expected to continue declining through the end of 2027, with 2028 being the first full year of normalized earnings.
Company Guidance
During Otter Tail Corporation's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company updated its guidance to reflect a stronger financial outlook. They increased the midpoint of their 2025 earnings per share (EPS) guidance from $6.26 to $6.47, driven by better-than-expected results in their Plastics segment and revised expectations for lower raw material costs for the remainder of the year. The company introduced a new 5-year capital investment plan totaling $1.9 billion, which is expected to yield a 10% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in the rate base. Otter Tail enhanced its long-term EPS growth target to 7% to 9% and projected a total shareholder return of 10% to 12%, with a focus on utility growth and maintaining low electric rates. Despite a decrease in Q3 EPS from $2.03 to $1.86 compared to the previous year, the company highlighted improvements in certain areas, such as manufacturing efficiencies and corporate cost reductions, and reaffirmed its strong balance sheet with $325 million in cash on hand.

Otter Tail Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Otter Tail shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin and solid cash flow to net income ratio. However, challenges include declining revenue and free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Otter Tail's income statement shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin around 22% and an EBIT margin close to 30% in TTM. However, revenue growth has been negative recently, indicating potential challenges in expanding sales.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.59 in TTM, which is an improvement from previous years. Return on equity is solid at 16.8%, but the equity ratio suggests a moderate reliance on debt financing.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth, with a negative growth rate of -23.2% in TTM. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.91, indicating good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.30B1.33B1.35B1.46B1.20B890.11M
Gross Profit558.17M583.10M565.15M570.50M424.07M302.01M
EBITDA485.25M515.83M499.12M486.15M341.95M232.54M
Net Income278.97M301.66M294.19M284.18M176.77M95.85M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.84B3.65B3.24B2.90B2.75B2.58B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments379.66M294.65M230.37M119.00M1.54M1.16M
Total Debt1.04B1.01B905.48M832.02M855.16M845.52M
Total Liabilities2.01B1.98B1.80B1.68B1.76B1.71B
Stockholders Equity1.83B1.67B1.44B1.22B990.78M870.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow106.68M94.08M117.36M218.18M59.41M-159.63M
Operating Cash Flow418.90M452.73M404.50M389.31M231.24M211.92M
Investing Cash Flow-315.22M-411.37M-289.29M-175.07M-171.51M-375.65M
Financing Cash Flow-57.92M22.92M-3.83M-96.78M-59.36M143.69M

Otter Tail Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price78.23
Price Trends
50DMA
80.76
Positive
100DMA
80.21
Positive
200DMA
79.13
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.54
Negative
RSI
74.38
Negative
STOCH
97.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For OTTR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 78.23 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.03, below the 50-day MA of 80.76, and below the 200-day MA of 79.13, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.38 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 97.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for OTTR.

Otter Tail Risk Analysis

Otter Tail disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Otter Tail reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Otter Tail Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$4.06B18.737.62%4.38%4.90%-4.42%
76
Outperform
$5.37B17.957.90%4.20%7.03%6.64%
72
Outperform
$3.60B12.9716.10%2.49%-3.18%-8.62%
68
Neutral
$3.91B23.605.83%4.29%-4.30%-8.49%
68
Neutral
$3.35B17.487.31%4.67%2.14%-6.51%
67
Neutral
$3.04B22.5910.80%2.17%8.26%12.47%
63
Neutral
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
OTTR
Otter Tail
85.93
7.65
9.77%
ALE
Allete
67.53
5.63
9.10%
AVA
Avista
41.66
6.05
16.99%
BKH
Black Hills
72.17
11.75
19.45%
MGEE
MGE Energy
84.02
-22.02
-20.77%
NWE
Northwestern
67.31
14.67
27.87%

Otter Tail Corporate Events

Otter Tail Corporation Reports Strong Q3 Earnings
Nov 5, 2025

Otter Tail Corporation, a diversified company with interests in electric utilities and manufacturing, has reported its third-quarter earnings for 2025, showcasing a robust financial performance and an optimistic outlook for the future. The company has raised its annual earnings guidance and long-term financial targets, reflecting strong performance particularly in its Plastics segment.

Otter Tail’s Earnings Call: Strong Performance and Strategic Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Otter Tail Corporation’s recent earnings call conveyed a positive sentiment, highlighting the company’s robust financial performance and strategic investment plans that have exceeded expectations. Despite facing challenges in its Plastics and Manufacturing segments and ongoing legal issues, the company remains optimistic about its future prospects.

Otter Tail Corporation Reports Strong Q2 Earnings
Aug 6, 2025

Otter Tail Corporation, a member of the S&P SmallCap 600 Index, operates in the electric utility and manufacturing sectors, with diversified interests that include a strong focus on electric and manufacturing platforms. The company is publicly traded on the Nasdaq under the symbol OTTR.

Otter Tail’s Earnings Call: Mixed Sentiments and Strategic Growth
Aug 6, 2025

The recent earnings call for Otter Tail Corporation presented a balanced sentiment, highlighting both significant achievements and notable challenges. The company exceeded financial expectations and increased its earnings guidance, while also securing regulatory approvals for growth initiatives. However, challenges such as severe weather impacts, declining earnings per share, and legislative uncertainties were also discussed, indicating a mixed outlook for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025