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New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR)
NYSE:NJR

New Jersey Resources (NJR) AI Stock Analysis

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NJR

New Jersey Resources

(NYSE:NJR)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$48.00
â–²(0.52% Upside)
The overall stock score reflects strong earnings performance and attractive valuation, offset by bearish technical indicators and challenges in revenue growth and cash flow management. Positive earnings call sentiment and corporate events provide additional support.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Exceeding revenue estimates indicates strong demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term growth potential.
Capital Investment
Significant capital investment in core segments suggests commitment to growth and infrastructure development, enhancing future earnings.
Dividend Growth
Consistent dividend growth reflects financial stability and management's confidence in long-term profitability, appealing to investors.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage may limit financial flexibility and increase risk, especially if interest rates rise or cash flows decrease.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Negative free cash flow indicates potential issues with capital expenditure management, impacting long-term financial health.
Regulatory Challenges
Regulatory challenges could affect operations and growth, posing risks to future profitability and strategic initiatives.

New Jersey Resources (NJR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

New Jersey Resources Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNew Jersey Resources Corporation, an energy services holding company, provides regulated gas distribution, and retail and wholesale energy services. The company operates through four segments: Natural Gas Distribution, Clean Energy Ventures, Energy Services, and Storage and Transportation. The Natural Gas Distribution segment offers regulated natural gas utility services to approximately 564,000 residential and commercial customers throughout Burlington, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris, Ocean, and Sussex counties in New Jersey; provides capacity and storage management services; and participates in the off-system sales and capacity release markets. The Clean Energy Ventures segment invests in, owns, and operates commercial and residential solar projects situated in New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and New York. The Energy Services segment offers unregulated wholesale energy management services to other energy companies and natural gas producers, as well as maintains and transacts a portfolio of physical assets consisting of natural gas storage and transportation contracts in the United States and Canada. The Storage and Transportation segment invests in natural gas transportation and storage facilities. It provides heating, ventilation, and cooling services; holds commercial real estate properties; and offers solar equipment installation, and plumbing repair and installation services, as well as engages in the water appliance sale, installation, and servicing activities. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Wall, New Jersey.
How the Company Makes MoneyNew Jersey Resources generates revenue through multiple streams. The primary source is the regulated natural gas distribution segment, where New Jersey Natural Gas earns income by delivering natural gas to customers and charging for the distribution services. This is regulated by the state, allowing the company to earn a return on its investments in infrastructure. Additionally, NJR makes money through its wholesale energy sales, where it buys and sells natural gas and energy commodities in the market. Another significant revenue stream comes from NJR Clean Energy Ventures, which invests in solar projects and earns revenue through power purchase agreements and incentives related to renewable energy production. Partnerships with other energy companies and government incentives for renewable energy also contribute to NJR's earnings, enhancing its overall financial stability and growth potential.

New Jersey Resources Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 19, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance in fiscal 2025 with consistent earnings growth, robust capital investments, and significant advancements in business segments such as S&T and Clean Energy Ventures. While there are some regulatory and market challenges, the overall outlook remains positive.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Exceeding Earnings Guidance
New Jersey Resources exceeded initial earnings guidance and long-term growth targets for the fifth consecutive year in fiscal 2025.
Strong Financial Metrics
Guidance for NFEPS of $3.03 to $3.18 per share in fiscal 2026, aligning with a 7% to 9% growth rate.
Significant Capital Investment
Projected investment of roughly $5 billion over the next 5 years, a 40% increase compared to the past 5 years, with 60% allocated to New Jersey Natural Gas.
Growth in Business Segments
S&T expected to double net financial earnings by 2027, and Clean Energy Ventures to expand capacity by over 50% in the next 2 years.
Record Capacity in Clean Energy Ventures
93 megawatts of new commercial solar capacity added in fiscal 2025, expanding the portfolio to 479 megawatts.
Dividend Growth
Marked the 30th consecutive year of dividend increases, showcasing confidence in long-term plans.
Positive Contract Developments
S&T has seen strong recontracting with higher contract rates, significantly improving earnings potential.
Negative Updates
Potential Regulatory and Policy Challenges
Uncertainty around the regulatory environment and potential policy changes could impact future operations and growth.
Market Pressures on Clean Energy Ventures
Challenges in accelerating projects due to potential policy adjustments and market conditions.
Company Guidance
During the New Jersey Resources (NJR) Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter and Year-End Financial Results Conference Call, the company provided guidance for Fiscal 2026, projecting net financial earnings per share (NFEPS) between $3.03 and $3.18. This aligns with their long-term growth rate of 7% to 9%, leaving room for potential upside. NJR plans to invest approximately $5 billion over the next five years, with 60% allocated to their utility, New Jersey Natural Gas, representing a 40% increase compared to the previous five years. The company anticipates high single-digit rate base growth through 2030 for New Jersey Natural Gas and expects the Storage & Transportation (S&T) segment to more than double net financial earnings by 2027. NJR also aims to expand Clean Energy Ventures' capacity by over 50% in the next two years. Despite significant planned capital expenditures, NJR expects to maintain a strong balance sheet with no need for block equity issuance, supported by robust cash flows and a balanced debt maturity profile.

New Jersey Resources Financial Statement Overview

Summary
New Jersey Resources demonstrates strong profitability and efficient equity usage, but faces challenges with revenue growth and high leverage. Cash flow management, particularly in terms of free cash flow, requires attention to ensure long-term financial stability.
Income Statement
75
Positive
New Jersey Resources shows strong profitability with a consistent net profit margin around 16% and an impressive EBIT margin of 27.3%. However, revenue growth has been negative in recent years, indicating potential challenges in expanding market share or pricing power.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company maintains a high debt-to-equity ratio, which could pose risks if interest rates rise or cash flows decrease. However, the return on equity is solid, reflecting efficient use of shareholder funds to generate profits.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow is positive, but free cash flow has been negative in several years, indicating potential issues with capital expenditure management. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also concerning, suggesting that not all earnings are translating into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.03B2.03B1.78B1.93B2.91B2.13B
Gross Profit436.83M435.78M436.70M299.83M397.07M301.05M
EBITDA743.88M743.88M666.35M594.06M565.01M433.52M
Net Income335.63M335.63M289.77M264.72M274.92M117.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets7.58B7.58B6.98B6.54B6.26B5.72B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.51M9.51M14.26M21.75M95.37M77.59M
Total Debt3.77B3.77B3.52B3.29B3.13B2.76B
Total Liabilities5.19B5.19B4.78B4.55B4.44B4.09B
Stockholders Equity2.39B2.39B2.20B1.99B1.82B1.63B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-239.73M-239.73M-143.91M-61.93M-274.95M-233.66M
Operating Cash Flow466.35M466.35M427.41M478.99M323.48M390.95M
Investing Cash Flow-568.27M-568.27M-569.07M-538.63M-590.61M-622.12M
Financing Cash Flow101.96M101.96M141.76M59.70M262.54M117.78M

New Jersey Resources Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price47.75
Price Trends
50DMA
45.69
Positive
100DMA
45.90
Positive
200DMA
45.79
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Negative
RSI
64.30
Neutral
STOCH
90.05
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For NJR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 47.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 46.30, above the 50-day MA of 45.69, and above the 200-day MA of 45.79, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 64.30 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 90.05 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for NJR.

New Jersey Resources Risk Analysis

New Jersey Resources disclosed 1 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. New Jersey Resources reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

New Jersey Resources Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$5.89B12.715.42%3.03%-23.15%157.45%
70
Outperform
$8.22B12.3814.87%3.90%1.10%140.04%
70
Outperform
$4.72B18.338.51%3.40%15.06%12.27%
69
Neutral
$4.95B19.208.20%3.78%-4.50%2.49%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
64
Neutral
$3.04B22.729.13%2.10%17.15%15.00%
64
Neutral
$4.80B14.3014.62%3.87%13.94%13.93%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
NJR
New Jersey Resources
47.75
3.18
7.13%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities
125.11
7.76
6.61%
SR
Spire
82.56
18.61
29.10%
SWX
Southwest Gas
81.95
14.12
20.82%
UGI
UGI
38.10
11.69
44.26%
OGS
ONE Gas
77.53
10.65
15.92%

New Jersey Resources Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
New Jersey Resources Reports Strong Fiscal 2025 Results
Positive
Nov 19, 2025

New Jersey Resources reported strong financial results for fiscal 2025, with a net income of $335.6 million, marking a significant increase from the previous year. The company achieved the high end of its net financial earnings per share guidance and continued its trend of outperforming initial annual guidance for the fifth consecutive year. Key operational highlights include record investments in energy efficiency and clean energy capacity, as well as strategic regulatory milestones. Looking forward, NJR has introduced a fiscal 2026 guidance range and remains focused on long-term growth and shareholder value.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
New Jersey Resources Approves 2026 Incentive Plan
Neutral
Nov 6, 2025

On November 4, 2025, New Jersey Resources‘ Leadership Development and Compensation Committee approved the fiscal year 2026 Officer Annual Incentive Plan for its named executive officers. The plan aims to align executive objectives with corporate results, focusing on net financial earnings, individual leadership, and stakeholder commitments. The plan offers incentive awards based on performance, with potential awards exceeding targets payable in restricted stock units or deferred retention stock units. Additionally, long-term incentive awards were granted, including performance share units and restricted stock units, with vesting conditions tied to company performance over a 36-month period.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
New Jersey Resources Announces Board Expansion
Positive
Sep 11, 2025

On September 10, 2025, New Jersey Resources announced the election of Amy B. Mansue to its Board of Directors, effective November 1, 2025, expanding the board from eleven to twelve members. Mansue, currently the President and CEO of Inspira Health Network, brings extensive experience from both the public and private sectors, which is expected to strengthen NJR’s strategic positioning and contribute to delivering long-term value for shareholders and customers.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025