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Spire Inc (SR)
NYSE:SR
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Spire (SR) AI Stock Analysis

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SR

Spire

(NYSE:SR)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$83.00
â–²(7.86% Upside)
Spire's overall stock score reflects a balanced view of its strong earnings growth and strategic acquisitions, offset by high leverage and cash flow challenges. The company's valuation and technical indicators support a stable outlook, while recent corporate events and a positive earnings call provide additional upside potential.
Positive Factors
Legislation Impact
The passage of SB4 legislation opens up potential future test year implementation, offering new opportunities for Spire.
Market Positioning
Gas Marketing earnings were higher because of strong positioning and market conditions.
Regulatory Environment
A positive regulatory announcement comes from the unanimous settlement filed in the Missouri rate case, helping drive cost recovery for Spire.
Negative Factors
Acquisition Risks
The acquisition of Piedmont Natural Gas introduces execution and financing risks without providing near-term benefits.
Debt Levels
The company's elevated debt levels and high interest rates are expected to pressure earnings.
Earnings Volatility
The marketing / midstream businesses also add earnings volatility and unregulated exposure without commanding a premium multiple.

Spire (SR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Spire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSpire (SR) is a leading provider of satellite-based data and analytics solutions, primarily serving sectors such as maritime, aviation, and weather forecasting. The company harnesses a constellation of small satellites to collect and analyze vast amounts of data related to vessel movements, aircraft tracking, and environmental conditions. Spire's core offerings include real-time tracking and monitoring services, predictive analytics, and data integration solutions that help businesses and governments make informed decisions based on reliable information.
How the Company Makes MoneySpire generates revenue through multiple streams, including subscription-based services, data sales, and partnerships with governmental and commercial entities. Its primary revenue model revolves around providing access to its comprehensive data sets and analytics tools, which clients can subscribe to for ongoing usage. In addition, Spire sells specific data products to businesses in sectors like shipping and aviation, which rely on accurate and timely information for operations. The company has also established significant partnerships with organizations in the maritime and aviation industries to enhance its service offerings, thereby expanding its customer base and increasing revenue opportunities through collaborative projects and shared data initiatives.

Spire Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 19, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcased significant improvements in earnings and strategic expansions, particularly with the acquisition of the Piedmont Natural Gas business and a positive resolution in the Missouri rate case. However, challenges remain with higher operating expenses and weather impact on revenues. Overall, the company's growth strategy and regulatory successes contribute to a positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Earnings Improvement
Announced adjusted earnings of $0.01 per share compared to a loss of $0.14 per share a year ago, reflecting growth across all business segments.
Missouri Rate Case Success
Unanimous stipulation and agreement filed for an annual revenue increase of $210 million in Missouri, resolving all aspects of the case and pending approval.
Acquisition of Piedmont Natural Gas Business
Strategic acquisition of Piedmont Natural Gas Tennessee business to increase scale and expand regulated utility footprint, adding $900 million to the 5-year capital plan.
Strong Midstream Performance
Continued strong earnings growth in Midstream segment, driven by additional capacity and asset optimization at Spire Storage.
Capital Investment and Growth Strategy
Increased capital investment target for fiscal 2025 to $875 million, with a focus on system modernization, customer growth, and infrastructure resilience.
Negative Updates
Higher Operating and Depreciation Expenses
Utility earnings reflected higher O&M expense and higher depreciation expense.
Challenges with Missouri Weather Impact
Efforts to refine the weather normalization adjustment mechanism (WNAR) to reduce the impact of weather on volumetric revenues.
Company Guidance
During the Spire Q3 FY '25 earnings call, key metrics and guidance were discussed, highlighting the company's financial and operational outlook. The call revealed an adjusted earnings per share of $0.01, a significant improvement from a $0.14 loss per share a year ago, driven by infrastructure investments and disciplined cost management. Spire reaffirmed its long-term EPS growth target of 5% to 7% and its fiscal 2025 earnings guidance of $4.40 to $4.60 per share, supported by a 10-year capital investment plan amounting to $7.4 billion. Furthermore, a pending Missouri rate case agreement could lead to an annual revenue increase of $210 million, enhancing financial performance. The recent acquisition of the Piedmont Natural Gas business in Tennessee is expected to add $900 million to Spire’s five-year capital plan, with the transaction anticipated to close in early 2026. The company continues to focus on maintaining a strong balance sheet and achieving regulatory outcomes beneficial to its long-term growth.

Spire Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Spire demonstrates solid financial health with strong cash flow generation and stable profitability metrics. However, revenue growth has been inconsistent, and a substantial portion of assets are financed by liabilities, which could pose risks.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Spire shows a stable gross profit margin, indicating strong control over cost of goods sold relative to revenue. However, revenue growth has been slightly inconsistent, with a decline in the latest TTM period compared to the previous annual figure. Net profit margin is healthy, though there was a slight decrease in comparison to the prior annual period.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio appears moderate, showing a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is satisfactory, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder investments. However, the equity ratio suggests a substantial portion of assets are financed by liabilities, which could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Operating cash flow is strong relative to net income, indicating efficient cash generation from operations. Free cash flow growth has been positive in the TTM period, a significant improvement from previous years, highlighting better cash management and potential for reinvestment or debt reduction.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.44B2.59B2.67B2.20B2.24B1.86B
Gross Profit966.20M982.30M887.90M825.00M823.40M700.70M
EBITDA840.40M789.10M694.40M636.80M659.90M403.80M
Net Income285.60M250.90M217.50M220.80M271.70M88.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.40B10.86B10.31B10.08B9.36B8.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments13.10M4.50M5.60M6.50M4.30M4.10M
Total Debt4.90B4.69B4.67B4.28B3.67B3.13B
Total Liabilities7.91B7.62B7.40B7.25B6.70B5.72B
Stockholders Equity3.48B3.23B2.92B2.82B2.66B2.52B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-745.20M51.10M-222.30M-497.20M-375.00M-168.50M
Operating Cash Flow665.80M912.40M440.20M55.00M249.80M469.90M
Investing Cash Flow-921.90M-1.03B-695.50M-546.70M-622.00M-631.60M
Financing Cash Flow270.50M123.90M260.60M500.90M379.40M160.00M

Spire Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price76.95
Price Trends
50DMA
75.14
Positive
100DMA
74.67
Positive
200DMA
72.39
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.45
Negative
RSI
55.52
Neutral
STOCH
58.66
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 76.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.06, above the 50-day MA of 75.14, and above the 200-day MA of 72.39, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.45 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.52 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 58.66 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SR.

Spire Risk Analysis

Spire disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Spire reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Spire Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$4.69B11.5618.03%3.85%21.88%71.35%
71
Outperform
$4.52B16.558.37%4.04%-6.65%11.47%
71
Outperform
$1.68B16.337.36%4.72%8.40%17.90%
71
Outperform
$2.92B22.199.25%2.10%19.02%20.13%
68
Neutral
$4.52B17.998.24%3.49%13.43%6.49%
67
Neutral
$17.66B18.135.33%3.62%7.33%12.21%
65
Neutral
$5.58B28.865.41%3.17%-10.07%5.98%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SR
Spire
76.95
14.28
22.79%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities
123.82
8.71
7.57%
NJR
New Jersey Resources
47.42
3.49
7.94%
NWN
Northwest Gas
41.50
3.23
8.44%
SWX
Southwest Gas
78.21
8.89
12.82%
OGS
ONE Gas
76.52
10.73
16.31%

Spire Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsFinancial Disclosures
Spire Reports Q3 Profit, Plans Major Acquisition
Positive
Aug 5, 2025

Spire Inc. reported a net income of $20.9 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, a significant improvement from a loss of $12.6 million in the same period last year. The company also announced an agreement to acquire Piedmont Natural Gas Tennessee from Duke Energy for $2.48 billion, expected to close in early 2026, which is anticipated to enhance its regulated utility footprint and support long-term earnings growth.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Spire Acquires Piedmont Natural Gas for $2.48 Billion
Positive
Jul 29, 2025

On July 27, 2025, Spire Inc. announced an agreement to acquire Piedmont Natural Gas’s Tennessee local distribution business from Duke Energy for $2.48 billion. This acquisition will expand Spire’s utility footprint and is expected to close in the first quarter of 2026, pending regulatory approvals. The transaction is anticipated to enhance Spire’s earnings per share and support long-term growth, while also increasing its customer base to nearly two million. Spire plans to finance the acquisition through a mix of debt, equity, and potential asset sales, and aims to integrate Piedmont’s operations into its existing business structure.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025