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Spire Inc (SR)
NYSE:SR
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Spire (SR) AI Stock Analysis

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SR

Spire

(NYSE:SR)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$95.00
â–²(2.91% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/23/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: strong and improving profitability is offset by consistently negative free cash flow and leverage overhang. Valuation is supportive at a moderate P/E, while technical indicators point to weak near-term momentum. The earnings call and recent corporate actions are constructive (reaffirmed guidance and utility-focused reshaping), but execution and financing-related risks remain.
Positive Factors
Regulated footprint expansion
Acquiring Piedmont's Tennessee business materially expands Spire's regulated rate base into a high-growth Nashville market. A larger, contiguous regulated footprint increases predictable rate-revenue, diversifies state regulatory exposure and supports the company's 5–7% long-term adjusted EPS growth target.
Negative Factors
Negative free cash flow trend
Persistent negative free cash flow reflects heavy capital spending and cash conversion issues. Over time this limits internal funding for capex, dividends or acquisitions, raising reliance on debt and asset monetizations and increasing vulnerability to higher financing costs or tighter liquidity conditions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Regulated footprint expansion
Acquiring Piedmont's Tennessee business materially expands Spire's regulated rate base into a high-growth Nashville market. A larger, contiguous regulated footprint increases predictable rate-revenue, diversifies state regulatory exposure and supports the company's 5–7% long-term adjusted EPS growth target.
Read all positive factors

Spire (SR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Spire Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Spire Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the purchase, retail distribution, and sale of natural gas to residential, commercial, industrial, and other end-users of natural gas in the United States. The company operates in two segments...
How the Company Makes Money
Spire primarily makes money by selling access to satellite-derived data, analytics, and software to commercial and government customers under subscription and contract-based arrangements. Key revenue streams include: (1) Data-as-a-service subscrip...

Spire Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 03, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 06, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call presented a decidedly positive operational and financial picture: materially higher adjusted earnings and EPS, strong utility performance driven by new rates, reaffirmed multi-year guidance, disciplined capital spending and a large ten-year capital plan, successful operational response to extreme weather, and concrete financing activity supporting the Tennessee acquisition. Offsetting issues include a delayed timeline for storage asset sales, higher O&M/depreciation/interest expense partially offsetting gains, incremental debt issuance related to preferred redemption, and pending regulatory approval and integration risks for the Tennessee acquisition. Overall, the positive drivers and reaffirmed guidance outweigh the headwinds.
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Earnings and EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings of $108 million ($1.77 per share) in Q1 FY2026 versus $81 million ($1.34) a year ago — an increase of $27 million (33.3% in aggregate earnings) and EPS growth of ~32.1% year-over-year.
Negative Updates
Storage Asset Sale Timeline Extended
Evaluation and sale process for natural gas storage assets has taken longer than initially expected; announcement now targeted later this quarter. The extension reflects management's focus on achieving the right value but introduces timing uncertainty.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Quarterly Earnings and EPS Growth
Adjusted earnings of $108 million ($1.77 per share) in Q1 FY2026 versus $81 million ($1.34) a year ago — an increase of $27 million (33.3% in aggregate earnings) and EPS growth of ~32.1% year-over-year.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Spire reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $5.25–$5.45 and 2027 guidance of $5.65–$5.85, reiterated a long‑term adjusted EPS growth target of 5–7% and a ten‑year CapEx plan of $11.2 billion (FY‑2026 CapEx $800–$900 million; Q1 CapEx $230 million); rate‑base/regulatory growth targets include ~7% Missouri, ~7.5% Tennessee and ~6% regulated equity growth in Alabama/Gulf; corporate & other adjusted loss is now guided at negative $40–$46 million (midpoint lowered $9 million) with preferred‑dividend EPS impact expected to be $9 million lower; financing metrics/targets include FFO/debt of 15–16%, recent financings of $900 million JSNs, an $825 million Spire Tennessee note facility, $200 million Spire Missouri first‑mortgage bonds and $200 million 6.38% JSNs, projected long‑term debt issuances up $250 million, expected equity needs excluding Tennessee of $0–$50 million/year and roughly $750 million to raise or recycle for the Tennessee acquisition; the company expects the Piedmont/Tennessee close in calendar Q1 2026 (pending approval), 2026 guidance excludes Piedmont and includes a full year of storage earnings while 2027 guidance includes Piedmont and excludes Spire Storage, and a storage‑asset sale announcement is expected later this quarter.

Spire Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitability is a clear positive with improving margins (TTM net margin ~11.1% and operating margin ~22.0%), but financial quality is held back by consistently negative free cash flow (TTM FCF -$267M; FY2025 -$344M) and leverage concerns in annual reporting (debt-to-equity ~1.47–1.60), implying ongoing external funding needs.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
42
Neutral
BreakdownTTMSep 2025Sep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.57B2.48B2.59B2.67B2.20B2.24B
Gross Profit1.06B1.93B982.30M887.90M825.00M823.40M
EBITDA872.20M833.70M789.10M696.80M636.80M659.90M
Net Income285.40M271.70M250.90M217.50M220.80M271.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.88B11.58B10.86B10.31B10.08B9.36B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.10M5.70M4.50M5.60M6.50M4.30M
Total Debt5.35B5.24B4.76B4.74B4.36B3.73B
Total Liabilities8.45B8.18B7.62B7.38B7.25B6.69B
Stockholders Equity3.43B3.39B3.23B2.92B2.82B2.66B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-267.20M-344.40M51.10M-222.30M-497.20M-375.00M
Operating Cash Flow577.90M578.00M912.40M440.20M55.00M249.80M
Investing Cash Flow-857.60M-916.40M-1.03B-695.50M-546.70M-622.00M
Financing Cash Flow277.70M344.70M123.90M260.60M500.90M379.40M

Spire Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price92.31
Price Trends
50DMA
90.62
Positive
100DMA
86.70
Positive
200DMA
82.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.79
Positive
RSI
52.07
Neutral
STOCH
38.90
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 92.31 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 91.96, above the 50-day MA of 90.62, and above the 200-day MA of 82.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.79 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.07 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.90 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SR.

Spire Risk Analysis

Spire disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Spire reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Spire Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$5.50B17.598.13%3.45%16.50%12.02%
70
Outperform
$6.65B21.1711.62%3.07%-37.12%120.14%
68
Neutral
$2.21B16.857.78%4.18%11.83%37.42%
66
Neutral
$5.59B9.4813.39%4.01%17.87%-2.70%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$8.06B6.7712.21%3.92%3.08%6.93%
62
Neutral
$5.30B12.848.27%3.82%2.55%11.75%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SR
Spire
89.73
16.20
22.03%
NJR
New Jersey Resources
55.40
8.35
17.75%
NWN
Northwest Gas
53.12
11.43
27.43%
SWX
Southwest Gas
91.90
21.94
31.37%
UGI
UGI
37.57
6.11
19.41%
OGS
ONE Gas
87.61
11.73
15.45%

Spire Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Spire Divests Mississippi Gas Utility to Refocus Footprint
Positive
Apr 22, 2026
On April 21, 2026, Spire’s subsidiary Spire EnergySouth agreed to sell all shares of Spire Mississippi Inc., its Mississippi natural gas utility serving about 18,000 customers via roughly 745 miles of pipelines, to Delta Mississippi Gas Comp...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Spire Divests Storage Assets to Refocus on Utilities
Positive
Apr 15, 2026
On April 14, 2026, Spire Midstream LLC agreed to sell all membership interests in Belle Butte LLC, which owns Spire Storage West in Wyoming and Spire Storage Salt Plains in Oklahoma, to Subterra Energy Holdings, an affiliate of I Squared Capital, ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Spire Completes Major Tennessee Natural Gas Utility Acquisition
Positive
Apr 1, 2026
On March 31, 2026, Spire Inc. completed its $2.48 billion cash acquisition of Duke Energy’s Piedmont Natural Gas Tennessee business, rebranding the operations as Spire Tennessee. The deal significantly expands Spire’s regulated footpri...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Spire Refines Strategy with Marketing Exit, EPS Update
Neutral
Mar 30, 2026
On March 28, 2026, Spire Resources LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Spire Inc., agreed to sell all membership interests in gas marketing unit Spire Marketing Inc. to Boardwalk Pipelines, LP for $215 million in cash, with closing targeted for the ...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Spire Wins Final Approval for Tennessee Utility Acquisition
Positive
Mar 16, 2026
On March 16, 2026, the Tennessee Public Utility Commission approved the transfer of authority for utility services from Piedmont Natural Gas Company Inc. to Spire Tennessee Inc., clearing a key regulatory hurdle for Spire Inc.’s acquisition ...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Spire Simplifies Capital Structure After Preferred Share Redemption
Positive
Feb 18, 2026
On February 13, 2026, Spire Inc., a regulated natural gas utility, terminated the Certificate of Designations related to its 5.90% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Perpetual Preferred Stock by filing an amendment to its Articles of Incorporation wit...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Spire posts stronger Q1 2026 results, affirms outlook
Positive
Feb 3, 2026
On February 3, 2026, Spire reported fiscal 2026 first-quarter results for the period ended December 31, 2025, posting net income of $95.0 million, or $1.54 per diluted share, up from $81.3 million, or $1.34 per share, a year earlier, and adjusted ...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Spire shareholders back board, executive pay and auditor
Positive
Jan 30, 2026
At its virtual annual meeting of shareholders on January 29, 2026, Spire reported that 91.08% of outstanding common shares entitled to vote were present or represented by proxy. Shareholders elected Sheri S. Cook, Vinny J. Ferrari and Rob L. Jones...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 23, 2026