Southwest Gas Corp. (SWX)
NYSE:SWX
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Southwest Gas (SWX) AI Stock Analysis

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SWX

Southwest Gas

(NYSE:SWX)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$91.00
â–²(14.48% Upside)
Southwest Gas Holdings scores a 74, driven by strong earnings call highlights and attractive valuation metrics. The company's technical indicators suggest positive momentum, while financial performance shows resilience in profitability and cash generation despite high leverage. The positive sentiment from the earnings call and strategic achievements further bolster confidence in the stock's future performance.
Positive Factors
Cash Generation
Significant improvement in free cash flow indicates robust cash generation, enhancing financial flexibility and supporting future investments.
Credit Rating Upgrade
A credit rating upgrade to BBB+ reflects improved financial health and lowers borrowing costs, supporting long-term growth and stability.
Successful Disposition of Centuri
The sale of Centuri strengthens the balance sheet by reducing debt, allowing Southwest Gas to focus on core operations and strategic growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
A significant decline in revenue growth can impact long-term profitability and market position, necessitating strategic adjustments to reverse the trend.
High Leverage
High leverage can strain financial resources and limit flexibility, posing risks to operational stability and investment capacity.
Departure of CFO
The departure of the CFO may disrupt strategic continuity and financial oversight, potentially affecting long-term strategic execution.

Southwest Gas (SWX) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Southwest Gas Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSouthwest Gas Corporation (SWX) is a natural gas utility company that provides essential energy services to approximately 2 million customers across Arizona, Nevada, and California. The company operates in the utility sector, primarily focusing on the distribution of natural gas. Its core services include the transport and delivery of natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers, as well as providing related services such as pipeline maintenance and safety programs. Additionally, Southwest Gas is involved in the development of natural gas infrastructure and energy efficiency initiatives.
How the Company Makes MoneySouthwest Gas generates revenue primarily through the sale and distribution of natural gas to its customers. The revenue model is largely based on regulated rates set by state utility commissions, which determine how much the company can charge customers for gas and related services. Key revenue streams include residential, commercial, and industrial natural gas sales, along with transportation revenue from delivering gas to customers. The company also earns revenue through various infrastructure projects and investments, which may involve partnerships with local governments and other stakeholders to expand service capabilities. Furthermore, Southwest Gas benefits from energy efficiency programs and incentives that promote reduced consumption and operational efficiency, contributing to its overall earnings.

Southwest Gas Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted the strong financial position and strategic achievements of Southwest Gas Holdings, including the successful separation of Centuri and a credit rating upgrade. However, there were challenges, including delays in the Great Basin expansion and the upcoming departure of the CFO. Overall, the highlights significantly outweigh the lowlights, indicating positive momentum and confidence in future growth opportunities.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Disposition of Centuri
Completed the full deconsolidation and separation of Centuri, generating nearly $1.4 billion of net sale proceeds. This allowed for full repayment of debt at the holding company and left Southwest Gas with a strong balance sheet.
Improvement in Return on Equity
Southwest Gas' trailing 12-month return on equity improved to 8.3%, demonstrating consistent improvement over the last several years.
Credit Rating Upgrade
S&P upgraded Southwest Gas Holdings issuer and Southwest Gas Corporation's senior unsecured long-term debt credit ratings each to BBB+ with stable outlooks.
Utility Net Income Growth
Net income growth was primarily driven by positive regulatory outcomes and strong economic activity in the service area, enhanced by cost optimization efforts.
Cash and Liquidity Position
As of the third quarter, the cash balance increased to nearly $780 million with more than $1.5 billion of liquidity across the business.
Negative Updates
Delays in Great Basin Expansion
The process of finalizing Precedent Agreements for the 2028 Great Basin expansion project has taken longer than initially expected.
Departure of CFO
CFO Rob Stefani will be leaving Southwest Gas Holdings on December 1. A search for his successor has been initiated.
Company Guidance
During the Southwest Gas Holdings third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided several key financial metrics and strategic updates. The company reported a trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) of 8.3% and reaffirmed its full-year net income guidance, anticipating it at the top end of the $265 million to $275 million range. Southwest Gas highlighted its robust capital spending plans driven by safety, reliability, and economic activity, excluding the potential impacts of the 2028 Great Basin expansion. The company also noted a significant credit rating upgrade to BBB+ by S&P. In terms of liquidity, the company reported a cash balance of nearly $780 million and over $1.5 billion in total liquidity. Additionally, the company successfully completed the deconsolidation of Centuri, generating $1.4 billion in net sale proceeds, which were primarily used to repay all outstanding debt at the holding company level. Looking ahead, Southwest Gas is optimistic about future regulatory environments, with anticipated new rates in California by 2026 and alternative ratemaking approaches in Arizona and Nevada.

Southwest Gas Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Southwest Gas demonstrates a mixed financial performance. The income statement shows stable profitability margins despite declining revenue, while the balance sheet indicates high leverage but some improvement in debt management. The cash flow statement is particularly strong, with significant growth in free cash flow. Overall, the company exhibits resilience in profitability and cash generation, though high leverage remains a risk factor.
Income Statement
65
Positive
Southwest Gas shows a mixed performance in its income statement. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth by 15.99%, which is concerning. However, the company maintains a relatively stable gross profit margin of 22.75% and a net profit margin of 4.06%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 12.31% and 21.85%, respectively, indicating operational efficiency. Despite the revenue decline, profitability margins remain stable, reflecting effective cost management.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.27 in the TTM period, which is an improvement from previous years but still indicates significant leverage. Return on equity is modest at 5.45%, suggesting moderate profitability relative to shareholder investment. The equity ratio stands at 38.02%, showing a reasonable level of equity financing. While leverage is a concern, the company has shown some improvement in reducing its debt levels.
Cash Flow
72
Positive
Cash flow analysis highlights a strong free cash flow growth rate of 3395.61% in the TTM period, indicating significant improvement in cash generation. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.65, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.015, suggesting that cash flows are not fully aligned with net income. Despite this, the substantial growth in free cash flow is a positive indicator of financial health.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue4.00B5.11B5.43B4.96B3.68B3.30B
Gross Profit1.03B1.01B1.02B994.87M820.93M818.49M
EBITDA871.25M976.78M930.54M439.87M737.09M748.24M
Net Income463.92M198.81M150.89M-203.29M200.78M232.32M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.33B12.02B11.87B13.20B12.77B8.74B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments778.63M363.79M106.54M123.08M222.70M83.35M
Total Debt3.51B5.06B5.28B5.99B6.32B2.88B
Total Liabilities6.40B8.33B8.46B9.98B9.61B5.90B
Stockholders Equity3.93B3.50B3.31B3.06B2.95B2.67B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-130.51M409.86M-363.31M-451.96M-604.24M-199.03M
Operating Cash Flow675.95M1.36B509.21M407.46M111.38M626.08M
Investing Cash Flow-19.06M-921.57M150.97M-838.90M-3.04B-802.07M
Financing Cash Flow-334.30M-176.34M-700.79M356.48M3.06B209.57M

Southwest Gas Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price79.49
Price Trends
50DMA
79.33
Positive
100DMA
78.26
Positive
200DMA
75.22
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.31
Positive
RSI
47.80
Neutral
STOCH
54.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SWX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 79.49 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.44, above the 50-day MA of 79.33, and above the 200-day MA of 75.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.80 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 54.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SWX.

Southwest Gas Risk Analysis

Southwest Gas disclosed 39 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Southwest Gas reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Southwest Gas Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$4.68B11.3918.03%4.04%21.88%71.35%
74
Outperform
$5.75B12.415.42%3.12%-23.15%157.45%
73
Outperform
$3.10B23.489.13%1.99%17.15%15.00%
72
Outperform
$4.91B19.088.51%3.29%15.06%12.27%
68
Neutral
$5.01B19.408.20%3.61%-4.50%2.49%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
62
Neutral
$7.46B18.308.75%4.30%-0.52%-39.42%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SWX
Southwest Gas
79.49
5.11
6.87%
CPK
Chesapeake Utilities
135.98
9.69
7.67%
SR
Spire
86.16
20.62
31.46%
NJR
New Jersey Resources
46.38
-0.54
-1.15%
UGI
UGI
34.92
11.70
50.39%
OGS
ONE Gas
81.40
8.00
10.90%

Southwest Gas Corporate Events

Southwest Gas Holdings Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 6, 2025

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. is a prominent energy company that focuses on the distribution and transportation of natural gas across Arizona, Nevada, and California, serving over two million customers with a commitment to safety and innovation in sustainable energy solutions.

Southwest Gas Earnings Call Highlights Robust Growth and Strategic Wins
Nov 6, 2025

Southwest Gas Holdings’ recent earnings call conveyed a predominantly positive sentiment, underscoring the company’s robust financial standing and strategic successes. Notable achievements included the successful separation of Centuri and an upgrade in credit rating, which collectively signal a strong trajectory for future growth. Despite facing some challenges, such as delays in the Great Basin expansion and the impending departure of the CFO, the overall outlook remains optimistic, with the positives significantly outweighing the negatives.

Executive/Board Changes
Southwest Gas Announces CFO Departure Effective December
Neutral
Nov 5, 2025

On November 5, 2025, Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. announced the departure of Robert J. Stefani, the Senior Vice President/Chief Financial Officer, effective December 1, 2025. His departure is amicable and not due to any disagreements with the company’s management or auditors. The company has initiated a search for his successor. As part of his transition, Mr. Stefani will receive cash payments and prorated stock units, contingent upon his compliance with the separation agreement and continued service until his separation date.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWX) stock is a Buy with a $91.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southwest Gas stock, see the SWX Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Southwest Gas Updates Cooperation Agreement with Icahn
Neutral
Oct 14, 2025

On October 14, 2025, Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. and the Icahn Group entered into an Amended and Restated Cooperation Agreement, which updates their previous agreement from October 15, 2024. The new agreement includes the nomination of Icahn Designees for the 2026 annual meeting and outlines conditions for the termination of the agreement, impacting the company’s governance structure and potentially its strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWX) stock is a Buy with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southwest Gas stock, see the SWX Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Southwest Gas Completes Sale of Centuri Holdings Shares
Neutral
Sep 5, 2025

On September 5, 2025, Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. completed the sale of 27,362,210 shares of Centuri Holdings, Inc. common stock to J.P. Morgan Securities LLC, generating approximately $524.8 million in net proceeds. This transaction marks the company’s exit from its ownership in Centuri, relinquishing its governance rights and influence over Centuri’s corporate actions.

The most recent analyst rating on (SWX) stock is a Buy with a $84.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Southwest Gas stock, see the SWX Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 13, 2025