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TMFX - ETF AI Analysis

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TMFX

Motley Fool Next Index ETF (TMFX)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
TMFX, the Motley Fool Next Index ETF, has a solid overall rating driven mainly by strong performers like Comfort Systems USA (FIX), Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies (WAB), and HEICO (HEI), which all show robust financial results, positive earnings commentary, and generally supportive technical trends. Some holdings such as Ubiquiti (UI), SoFi (SOFI), and Live Nation (LYV) introduce more risk due to high valuations, bearish or mixed technical signals, and higher leverage or cash flow concerns, which slightly weigh on the fund’s rating. The main risk factor is exposure to several companies that appear expensive or face technical and balance sheet pressures, which could increase volatility if market conditions worsen.
Positive Factors
Broad Sector Diversification
The fund spreads its investments across many sectors, which can help reduce the impact if any one industry struggles.
Generally Positive Recent Performance
The ETF has shown steady gains over the past month, three months, and year-to-date, indicating recent upward momentum.
Several Strong Top Holdings
Some of the largest positions, such as HEICO, Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies, Comfort Systems, and Interactive Brokers, have delivered strong year-to-date performance that supports the fund’s returns.
Negative Factors
Moderately High Expense Ratio
The fund’s expense ratio is on the higher side for an ETF, which means more of the returns go toward fees instead of staying with investors.
Heavy U.S. Concentration
With almost all assets invested in U.S. companies, the ETF offers little geographic diversification and is highly tied to the U.S. market.
Mixed Performance Among Top Holdings
Several key holdings, including Live Nation Entertainment, EQT, SoFi, and MongoDB, have shown weak year-to-date performance, which can drag on overall results.

TMFX vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TMFX Summary

TMFX is the Motley Fool Next Index ETF, which follows the Motley Fool Next Index and focuses on mid-size and smaller U.S. companies rather than the biggest household names. It invests across many sectors, with a tilt toward technology, industrials, and consumer companies. Well-known holdings include Sysco and Live Nation Entertainment, along with newer names like SoFi and MongoDB. Someone might invest in TMFX to seek long-term growth and diversify beyond large-cap stocks by owning many potential “up-and-coming” businesses. A key risk is that smaller, growth-focused stocks can be more volatile and may go up and down more sharply than the overall market.
How much will it cost me?The Motley Fool Next Index ETF (TMFX) has an expense ratio of 0.50%, meaning you’ll pay $5 per year for every $1,000 invested. This is higher than average for ETFs because it is actively managed, focusing on identifying high-growth and innovative companies rather than tracking a broad index. Active management typically involves more research and strategy, which increases costs.
What would affect this ETF?The TMFX ETF, which focuses on mid-cap and small-cap companies in the U.S., could benefit from growth in innovative sectors like technology and health care, as these industries often drive market disruption and long-term expansion. However, its exposure to consumer cyclical and financial sectors may face challenges during economic downturns or periods of high interest rates, which can impact consumer spending and borrowing. Additionally, regulatory changes or shifts in market sentiment toward smaller companies could influence the ETF's performance positively or negatively.

TMFX Top 10 Holdings

TMFX leans into U.S. mid- and small-cap growth, with industrial and tech names setting the pace. Comfort Systems and Westinghouse Air Brake are doing the heavy lifting lately, with HEICO and Interactive Brokers also rising and helping the fund’s overall tone. On the other side, SoFi and Live Nation are dragging a bit, while MongoDB’s mixed pattern adds some bumpiness from the tech sleeve. With no single mega-cap in charge, performance is driven by a diversified cast of U.S. innovators rather than one or two giants.
Name
Company Name
Weight %
Market Value
Market Cap
Yearly Gain
Overall Rating
HEICO1.87%$623.56K$40.34B44.59%
77
Outperform
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies1.82%$607.75K$39.61B12.04%
79
Outperform
Comfort Systems1.77%$589.71K$39.77B178.82%
80
Outperform
Sysco1.66%$555.35K$36.22B16.68%
71
Outperform
EQT1.58%$526.93K$35.20B7.49%
76
Outperform
Live Nation Entertainment1.55%$519.22K$34.32B3.04%
69
Neutral
Interactive Brokers1.54%$514.72K$33.56B42.92%
75
Outperform
MongoDB1.54%$514.06K$33.47B47.99%
75
Outperform
Ubiquiti Networks1.53%$510.01K$33.21B41.79%
60
Neutral
SoFi1.49%$497.42K$32.52B57.45%
68
Neutral

TMFX Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price
Price Trends
50DMA
21.69
Positive
100DMA
21.66
Positive
200DMA
20.81
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Positive
RSI
50.27
Neutral
STOCH
33.55
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in ETF analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TMFX, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of undefined is equal to the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.16, equal to the 50-day MA of 21.69, and equal to the 200-day MA of 20.81, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 50.27 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.55 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for TMFX.

TMFX Peer Comparison

Comparison Results
Name
Price
Price Target
AUM
Expense Ratio
Overall Rating
$33.39M0.50%
$71.77M0.69%
$61.07M0.60%
$54.43M0.75%
$44.19M0.38%
$29.51M0.80%
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TMFX
Motley Fool Next Index ETF
22.08
1.12
5.34%
OASC
OneAscent Small Cap Core ETF
FSCS
First Trust Smid Capital Strength Etf
SMOX
Horizon Small/Mid Cap Core Equity ETF
ASCE
Allspring SMID Core ETF
HSMV
First Trust Horizon Managed Volatility Small/Mid ETF
Glossary
BuyAn ETF rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldAn ETF rated as a "Hold" s expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the ETF is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellAn ETF rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the ETF may deliver lower returns compared to other ETFs in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst ETF Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in ETFs carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: ―
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