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Sysco Corp (SYY)
NYSE:SYY
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Sysco (SYY) AI Stock Analysis

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SYY

Sysco

(NYSE:SYY)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$91.00
▲(12.07% Upside)
Sysco's strong earnings call performance and strategic initiatives are the most significant factors driving the score. Financial performance is stable but challenged by high leverage. Valuation is moderate, and technical analysis is limited due to missing data. The recent corporate event adds a positive aspect by enhancing financial flexibility.
Positive Factors
Competitive Advantages
Sysco is viewed as having competitive advantages due to its size and scale, allowing it to make significant investments in technology, supply chain, workforce, and procurement.
Market Share and Growth
SYY's local case growth and market share momentum is improving, which along with multi-year Salesforce investments and other initiatives, could put SYY back on a path to reach its targeted EPS algorithm.
Operational Performance
International operations have shown six consecutive quarters of double-digit growth in operating profit, demonstrating the effectiveness of the Sysco Playbook.
Negative Factors
Earnings and Guidance
Despite better-than-expected earnings, the fundamental performance was still soft and guidance was disappointing.
Local Case Growth
Local case growth has been lagging, and investor concerns remain about recent underperformance, linked to changes in the compensation model and sales force turnover.
Revenue Impact
The Mexico divestiture is expected to create a revenue headwind over four quarters, impacting the international segment.

Sysco (SYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sysco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSysco Corporation is a leading global distributor of food products and related services, primarily serving restaurants, healthcare facilities, educational institutions, and other foodservice operations. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, Sysco operates across multiple segments, including food and non-food products, offering a wide range of items such as fresh produce, meat, dairy, and kitchen supplies. The company focuses on providing high-quality products, supply chain solutions, and innovative services to enhance the efficiency and profitability of its customers in the foodservice industry.
How the Company Makes MoneySysco generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and non-food products to its customers in the foodservice sector. The company operates on a wholesale model, purchasing products from manufacturers and distributing them to various clients, including restaurants, schools, and hospitals. Key revenue streams include the sale of perishable goods (such as meat, seafood, and produce), dry goods (such as canned and packaged items), and non-food supplies (such as kitchen equipment and cleaning products). Additionally, Sysco benefits from its extensive distribution network and logistics capabilities, which enable it to serve a diverse customer base efficiently. Strategic partnerships with manufacturers and suppliers also enhance its product offerings, allowing for competitive pricing and a broad selection of goods. Seasonal demand fluctuations, restaurant openings, and changes in consumer dining habits further influence the company's revenue potential.

Sysco Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Details sales generated from different products, offering insight into consumer preferences and the company's product strategy effectiveness.
Chart InsightsSysco's revenue from beverage products and fresh and frozen meats shows a steady recovery, reflecting strategic pricing and new business acquisitions. However, the canned and dry products segment is facing headwinds, with a recent decline in revenue. The latest earnings call highlights challenges in the US food service segment and declining consumer confidence, but international operations and the Sigma segment are showing strong growth. Sysco's focus on profit improvement initiatives and new facility expansions indicates a strategic pivot to bolster future performance despite macroeconomic challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Sysco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 29, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Sysco demonstrated strong performance with record sales and profit growth, particularly in the international and SYGMA segments. While the U.S. Foodservice segment faced challenges, overall improvements in strategic sourcing and profitability indicate a positive outlook. The company's initiatives for fiscal 2026, including AI-driven sales tools and a revamped customer loyalty program, further support a promising future.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Sales and Profit Growth
Sysco delivered fourth quarter sales results of $21.1 billion, up 2.8% on a reported basis and adjusted EPS growth of $1.48, up 6.5% relative to last year.
Strong International Segment Performance
International segment posted 3.6% top-line growth on a reported basis and 8.3% excluding divestitures. Adjusted operating income increased 20.1%, marking the seventh consecutive quarter of double-digit profit growth.
SYGMA Segment Growth
SYGMA segment delivered sales growth of 5.9% for the quarter and 8.3% for the year, with bottom line growth of 12.5%, marking a record year.
Successful Strategic Sourcing Initiatives
Sysco made solid progress on its $100 million profit improvement target, with significant contributions from strategic sourcing.
Improved Gross Margins and Profitability
Gross margins expanded by 19 basis points due to strategic sourcing, with a 3.9% growth in gross profit.
Negative Updates
U.S. Foodservice Segment Challenges
U.S. Foodservice segment reported a 1.5% decline in local case volume, although this was an improvement over previous quarters.
Restaurant Traffic Decline
Industry restaurant traffic was down 1.1% for the quarter, although this was an improvement over Q3's 3% decline.
Impact of Divestiture
Sales growth was affected by the divestiture of Sysco's Mexican business, impacting year-over-year comparisons.
Company Guidance
During Sysco's fourth quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, the company reported favorable outcomes, exceeding expectations with sales reaching $21.1 billion, reflecting a 2.8% increase on a reported basis and 3.7% when excluding the divestiture of their Mexican business. Adjusted operating income was up by 1.1% to $1.1 billion, while adjusted EPS grew by 6.5% to $1.48. Restaurant traffic trends showed improvement, with the industry down 1.1% overall, indicating a 190 basis point progress compared to the previous quarter. Sysco's International segment posted significant growth with a 3.6% rise in top line and an 8.3% increase from the previous year when excluding divestitures, alongside a 20.1% hike in adjusted operating income. Additionally, SYGMA reported a 5.9% quarterly sales growth, driven by strong customer wins. Sysco expressed confidence in sustaining this positive momentum into fiscal year 2026, supported by strategic initiatives such as enhanced sales colleague training, AI-empowered CRM tools, and the Perks 2.0 loyalty program, aiming for a 3% to 5% sales growth and targeted adjusted EPS growth of $4.50 to $4.60.

Sysco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sysco shows strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, but faces challenges with high leverage and declining free cash flow growth. The company maintains a solid return on equity, yet the high debt levels could pose risks if not managed carefully.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Sysco has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in the latest period. The gross profit margin has remained stable, indicating effective cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy, reflecting strong operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
The company has a high debt-to-equity ratio, which poses a risk in terms of financial leverage. However, the return on equity is impressive, indicating that the company is generating good returns on its equity base. The equity ratio is relatively low, which could be a concern for long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Sysco's operating cash flow has shown resilience, although there is a decline in free cash flow growth in the latest period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is moderate, suggesting that the company is converting its earnings into cash effectively. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue81.37B81.37B78.84B76.33B68.64B51.30B
Gross Profit14.97B14.97B14.61B13.95B12.32B9.36B
EBITDA4.06B4.14B4.17B3.70B3.25B2.32B
Net Income1.83B1.83B1.96B1.77B1.36B524.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets26.77B26.77B24.92B22.82B22.09B21.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.07B1.07B696.00M745.00M867.09M3.01B
Total Debt14.49B14.49B12.95B11.17B11.39B11.82B
Total Liabilities24.92B24.92B23.03B20.78B20.67B19.83B
Stockholders Equity1.83B1.83B1.86B2.01B1.38B1.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.78B1.78B2.16B2.08B1.16B1.43B
Operating Cash Flow2.69B2.69B2.99B2.87B1.79B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow-717.00M-717.00M-1.96B-785.00M-1.88B-428.70M
Financing Cash Flow-1.59B-1.59B-1.04B-2.06B-1.99B-4.63B

Sysco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price81.20
Price Trends
50DMA
77.26
Positive
100DMA
74.27
Positive
200DMA
74.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.13
Positive
RSI
58.73
Neutral
STOCH
68.60
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 81.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 80.09, above the 50-day MA of 77.26, and above the 200-day MA of 74.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.13 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 58.73 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 68.60 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SYY.

Sysco Risk Analysis

Sysco disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sysco reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sysco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$15.35B46.567.91%8.61%-22.16%
73
Outperform
$39.14B21.6599.08%2.52%3.21%-4.03%
73
Outperform
$2.56B39.3013.64%7.90%68.05%
71
Outperform
$898.26M2,245.98-2.08%3.29%0.26%-119.66%
68
Neutral
¥221.70B22.278.23%2.16%4.86%-0.10%
68
Neutral
$17.79B33.6211.48%5.32%11.65%
66
Neutral
$1.62B-4.11%6.62%53.12%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SYY
Sysco
81.20
7.48
10.15%
SPTN
SpartanNash Co
26.53
7.09
36.47%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
61.29
23.10
60.49%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
26.42
13.00
96.87%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
100.75
27.63
37.79%
USFD
US Foods Holding
77.14
20.13
35.31%

Sysco Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sysco Amends Credit Agreement for Financial Flexibility
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Sysco Corporation and its affiliates entered into an amendment to their existing Credit Agreement, allowing Sysco Global Holdings B.V. to become a Subsidiary Borrower. This amendment enables the new borrower to request and accept credit extensions, potentially enhancing Sysco’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYY) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sysco stock, see the SYY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 07, 2025