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Sysco Corp (SYY)
NYSE:SYY

Sysco (SYY) AI Stock Analysis

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SY

Sysco

(NYSE:SYY)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$85.00
▲(13.73%Upside)
Sysco's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are significant strengths, reflecting robust operational capacity and strategic positioning. While the technical analysis suggests potential overbought conditions, the valuation and corporate events provide additional support, resulting in a favorable overall stock score.
Positive Factors
Future Growth Potential
Encouragingly, trends improved exiting March and into April, with initiatives showing progress and good set-up for future growth.
International Operations
Sysco's international operations have shown consistent operating profit growth and meaningful market share gains, demonstrating the effectiveness of its growth strategy.
Market Share Opportunity
There is an attractive market share opportunity in a fragmented food service distribution industry, with Sysco's industry-leading return on invested capital highlighting its strong financial position.
Negative Factors
Earnings and Guidance Shortfall
The magnitude of SYY's 3Q EPS shortfall and guidance reduction was deeper than expected.
Operational Challenges
SYY's operational issues remain a key drag, contributing to a disappointing performance.
Sales and Compensation Issues
Local case growth has been lagging, with factors such as changes in the compensation model leading to higher than expected turnover and customer attrition.

Sysco (SYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sysco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSysco Corporation (SYY) is a leading global distributor of food and related products primarily serving the foodservice or food-away-from-home industry. The company operates across various sectors, including restaurants, healthcare and educational facilities, lodging establishments, and other foodservice customers. Sysco's core products and services include fresh and frozen foods, canned and dry foods, and various non-food items like tableware, kitchen equipment, and cleaning supplies.
How the Company Makes MoneySysco makes money through its comprehensive distribution network that supplies a wide range of food and non-food products to foodservice operators. The company's primary revenue streams involve the sale of fresh, frozen, and dry foods, as well as non-food items such as paper products, kitchen supplies, and cleaning essentials. Sysco earns its revenue by procuring products from manufacturers and suppliers, then leveraging its extensive warehousing and transportation infrastructure to deliver these products efficiently to its customers. A significant factor contributing to Sysco's earnings is its scale and reach, allowing it to negotiate favorable terms with suppliers and provide competitive pricing to its clients. Additionally, Sysco often engages in partnerships and strategic acquisitions to expand its product offerings and market reach, further enhancing its revenue-generating capabilities.

Sysco Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Details sales generated from different products, offering insight into consumer preferences and the company's product strategy effectiveness.
Chart InsightsSysco's revenue from beverage products and fresh and frozen meats shows a steady recovery, reflecting strategic pricing and new business acquisitions. However, the canned and dry products segment is facing headwinds, with a recent decline in revenue. The latest earnings call highlights challenges in the US food service segment and declining consumer confidence, but international operations and the Sigma segment are showing strong growth. Sysco's focus on profit improvement initiatives and new facility expansions indicates a strategic pivot to bolster future performance despite macroeconomic challenges.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Sysco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.13%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Sysco Corporation's third quarter faced significant challenges due to adverse weather conditions, declining consumer confidence, and a downturn in key segments like US food service. However, international success, improved colleague retention, and strategic expansions provide a balanced outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
International Segment Success
The international segment posted another compelling quarter with profit growth of double digits, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of such growth. Local volume increased by 4.5%, and adjusted operating income increased by 17.4%, particularly driven by Canada, Great Britain, and Ireland.
Sales and Volume Growth in Sigma
The Sigma segment delivered sales growth of 9.5% for the quarter, driven by strong customer wins compared to the prior year. Year-to-date, Sigma's top line grew by 9% and the bottom line by 17%.
Colleague Retention and Engagement Improvement
Sales consultant retention has significantly improved versus the first half of the year. The company completed an annual employment engagement survey, showing solid year-over-year improvements in sales colleague job satisfaction.
New Facility and Expansion Plans
Sysco Corporation opened a new facility in Allentown, PA, and plans to open another in Tampa, Florida, this summer, to support net new business growth. Internationally, new facilities in Sweden and Ireland are on track to open in the summer.
Negative Updates
Weather and Traffic Challenges
Q3 was affected by wildfires in California and historic winter storms, reducing sales trends by 150 basis points. Traffic to restaurants during the quarter declined by 3.1% overall.
Decline in Consumer Confidence
The Michigan Consumer Confidence Survey highlighted very low consumer confidence levels, which gives concern for future performance.
Underperformance in US Food Service Segment
The US food service segment saw a volume decrease of 2% and local volume decreasing by 3.5% for the quarter. The national sales business delivered flat volume growth for the quarter and sales growth of 2.3%, both below expectations.
Impact of Colleague Turnover
Elevated colleague turnover in the first half of fiscal 2025 negatively impacted business performance. The net impact was expected to shift from negative to positive as the company enters fiscal 2026.
Company Guidance
During Sysco Corporation's third quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings call, CEO Kevin Hourican and CFO Kenny Cheung provided guidance amidst a challenging macroeconomic environment. The company reported sales of $19.6 billion, up 1.1% on a reported basis and 1.8% when excluding the divestiture of Mexico. Despite negative 3.1% restaurant foot traffic, Sysco converted this into positive sales through new business acquisition and passing on approximately 2.1% inflation. Adjusted operating income was $773 million, down 3.3%, with adjusted EPS flat at $0.96. Sysco is focusing on $100 million profit improvement initiatives, with significant contributions expected in Q4. International operations posted double-digit profit growth for the sixth consecutive quarter, while the Sigma segment showed 9.5% sales growth. Despite industry challenges, Sysco is cautiously optimistic, noting improved April performance and planning for the remainder of 2025 with caution due to tariff uncertainties and shaken consumer confidence.

Sysco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sysco shows strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth, solid profitability margins, and effective cash flow management. Despite high debt levels posing potential risks, robust operating performance and efficient capital management mitigate these concerns.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Sysco's income statement shows a strong performance with a consistent increase in revenue over the years. The gross profit margin remains stable, and the net profit margin has improved significantly, reflecting increased efficiency. The company also demonstrates robust EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating strong operating performance and profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
Sysco's balance sheet indicates a high debt-to-equity ratio, suggesting a reliance on debt financing, which could pose a risk in economic downturns. However, the company's return on equity is commendable, signaling effective use of equity for generating profits. The equity ratio is low, which suggests potential vulnerability to liabilities, but the company maintains a solid asset base.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Sysco's cash flow statement reflects strong operational cash generation with a healthy operating cash flow to net income ratio. The free cash flow growth is positive, suggesting efficient capital expenditure management. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates that the company is generating substantial free cash relative to its net income, supporting its liquidity and investment capacity.
Breakdown
TTMJun 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Jun 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
80.79B78.84B76.33B68.64B51.30B52.89B
Gross Profit
14.82B14.61B13.95B12.32B9.36B9.90B
EBIT
3.28B3.20B3.04B2.35B1.45B749.50M
EBITDA
4.13B4.17B3.67B3.25B2.32B1.54B
Net Income Common Stockholders
1.91B1.96B1.77B1.36B524.21M215.47M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.53B696.00M745.20M867.09M3.01B6.06B
Total Assets
26.35B24.92B22.82B22.09B21.41B22.63B
Total Debt
14.61B12.95B11.17B11.39B11.82B15.08B
Net Debt
13.08B12.25B10.42B10.52B8.81B9.02B
Total Liabilities
24.40B23.03B20.78B20.67B19.83B21.44B
Stockholders Equity
1.92B1.86B2.01B1.38B1.55B1.16B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
2.10B2.16B2.08B1.16B1.43B898.26M
Operating Cash Flow
2.93B2.99B2.87B1.79B1.90B1.62B
Investing Cash Flow
-653.35M-1.96B-784.61M-1.88B-428.70M-756.31M
Financing Cash Flow
-1.40B-1.04B-2.06B-1.99B-4.63B4.72B

Sysco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price74.74
Price Trends
50DMA
72.02
Positive
100DMA
72.31
Positive
200DMA
73.83
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.84
Negative
RSI
59.71
Neutral
STOCH
82.26
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 74.74 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.03, above the 50-day MA of 72.02, and above the 200-day MA of 73.83, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.84 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.71 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.26 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SYY.

Sysco Risk Analysis

Sysco disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sysco reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sysco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SYSYY
78
Outperform
$36.60B19.5394.91%2.70%3.55%-5.79%
77
Outperform
$17.80B34.9211.16%6.32%5.69%
76
Outperform
$13.69B36.099.05%6.20%-10.58%
74
Outperform
$2.55B41.8112.90%7.85%79.89%
65
Neutral
$8.92B15.034.68%6.11%3.59%-2.49%
63
Neutral
$633.67M2,245.98-1.38%4.70%-2.66%8.18%
48
Neutral
$1.41B-4.11%6.62%53.12%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SYY
Sysco
74.74
5.63
8.15%
SPTN
SpartanNash Co
18.09
-0.02
-0.11%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
61.38
22.54
58.03%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
22.13
8.51
62.48%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
86.70
18.11
26.40%
USFD
US Foods Holding
75.99
23.44
44.61%

Sysco Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sysco Amends Credit Agreement for Financial Flexibility
Positive
Jun 6, 2025

On June 4, 2025, Sysco Corporation and its affiliates entered into an amendment to their existing Credit Agreement, allowing Sysco Global Holdings B.V. to become a Subsidiary Borrower. This amendment enables the new borrower to request and accept credit extensions, potentially enhancing Sysco’s financial flexibility and operational capacity.

The most recent analyst rating on (SYY) stock is a Buy with a $95.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sysco stock, see the SYY Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.