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Sysco Corp (SYY)
NYSE:SYY
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Sysco (SYY) AI Stock Analysis

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SYY

Sysco

(NYSE:SYY)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$77.00
▲(0.96% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:04/30/26
The score is driven primarily by stable operating results and solid free cash flow, offset by high balance-sheet leverage and a weak technical setup. Valuation is somewhat rich for the business profile, while earnings-call guidance and the strategic acquisition narrative provide support but introduce execution and leverage risk.
Positive Factors
Scale & recurring broadline revenue
Sysco’s large, diversified broadline distribution model generates high-frequency, recurring orders across restaurants, healthcare and institutions. This scale supports stable revenue streams, supplier negotiating power, and density-driven logistics advantages that sustain cash flow and competitive positioning over multiple years.
Negative Factors
High balance-sheet leverage
A heavily levered balance sheet constrains financial flexibility and increases sensitivity to interest cost and cyclical dips in margins. High debt relative to equity limits capacity for opportunistic investments, makes deleveraging a multi‑quarter endeavor, and raises refinancing and covenant risks during stress periods.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Scale & recurring broadline revenue
Sysco’s large, diversified broadline distribution model generates high-frequency, recurring orders across restaurants, healthcare and institutions. This scale supports stable revenue streams, supplier negotiating power, and density-driven logistics advantages that sustain cash flow and competitive positioning over multiple years.
Read all positive factors

Sysco (SYY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sysco Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sysco Corporation, through its subsidiaries, engages in the marketing and distribution of various food and related products primarily to the foodservice or food-away-from-home industry in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, and ...
How the Company Makes Money
Sysco primarily makes money by purchasing food and related supplies from manufacturers and producers and reselling them to foodservice customers at a markup, generating revenue based on product sales volume and pricing. Its core revenue stream is ...

Sysco Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Product
Revenue by Product
Details sales generated from different products, offering insight into consumer preferences and the company's product strategy effectiveness.
Chart InsightsSysco's revenue from Beverage Products and Fresh and Frozen Meats shows a robust upward trend, with significant growth in recent quarters. This aligns with the company's strategic initiatives like AI360 and Perks 2.0, which are enhancing sales productivity and customer retention. Despite challenges in the national restaurant segment and the FreshPoint exit, Sysco's international sales and local business improvements are driving overall growth. The company's focus on operational efficiency and strategic innovation is expected to sustain its positive momentum in a challenging economic environment.
Data provided by:The Fly

Sysco Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 28, 2026
(Q3-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted solid underlying organic performance: revenue growth (4.7%), strong U.S. local volume momentum (3.3%), international outperformance (12.4% sales growth and double-digit operating income growth), gross margin expansion, and improved free cash flow (+19% YTD). Management reiterated FY'26 guidance and presented a strategic, cash-and-carry acquisition (Restaurant Depot) that offers substantial pro forma scale, $250M of targeted synergies and multi-year free cash flow upside. Offsetting these positives are investor caution about the acquisition price and near-term leverage, a nearly flat adjusted EBITDA (+0.1%), expense impacts from lapping incentive compensation, softness in national chain restaurants, and suspended buybacks reducing near-term shareholder returns. On balance, the operational momentum and articulated synergies and deleveraging plans are viewed as outweighing the near-term financial and execution risks.
Positive Updates
Top-line Growth
Total revenue of nearly $21 billion, up 4.7% year-over-year, driven by improving case volume trends across local, specialty, national and international businesses.
Negative Updates
Softness in National Chain Restaurants and Traffic
Overall restaurant foot traffic per Black Box down ~1.9% in the quarter; national chain restaurant volumes were down year-over-year, offsetting strength in local customers and contributing to mixed performance in the national contract business (national case growth 1.4%).
Read all updates
Q3-2026 Updates
Negative
Top-line Growth
Total revenue of nearly $21 billion, up 4.7% year-over-year, driven by improving case volume trends across local, specialty, national and international businesses.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Sysco reiterated FY26 adjusted EPS at the high end of $4.50–$4.60 (Q3 was $0.94) and expects Q4 adjusted EPS of about $1.51, noting an approximate $100M headwind from lapping lower incentive compensation (~$0.16/sh) and the suspension of roughly $800M of share repurchases (≈$0.10 EPS annualized); management also identified ~$60M of run‑rate cost savings beginning in Q4. They forecast net sales growth of ~3%–5% to about $84B–$85B (with ~2% inflation), at least 2.5% local case growth in Q4 (a ~120 bp two‑year‑stack acceleration vs Q3) and improving national contract volumes, and reiterated confidence in FY26 adjusted EPS growth of roughly 5%–7% excluding the incentive comp headwind. Balance‑sheet and cash‑flow targets include Q3 net debt leverage of 2.80x, YTD free cash flow of $1.1B (up 19%), Q4 adjusted interest of ~$175–180M (FY ~$690M), adj other expense Q4 ~$10M (FY ~$55M), tax ~24% (FY ~23–23.5%), and adj D&A Q4 ~$210M (FY ~$820M). On the planned $29.1B Restaurant Depot transaction (close ~Q3 FY27) management expects day‑1 pro forma revenue +~20%, adj EBITDA +~45%, FCF +~55%, combined EBITDA margin +~150 bp to ~6.7%, mid‑to‑high single‑digit EPS accretion in year 1 (low‑to‑mid‑teens in year 2), $250M of annual net cost synergies (full ramp by year 3) and a deleveraging path from ~4.5x pro forma to ~3.5x within 24 months (ultimately toward ~2.75x).

Sysco Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance is steady with resilient revenue and dependable free cash flow, but overall quality is capped by high leverage and a thin equity base, which reduces flexibility if margins or funding costs worsen.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
48
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue83.57B81.37B78.84B76.33B68.64B51.30B
Gross Profit15.49B14.97B14.61B13.96B12.32B9.36B
EBITDA3.96B4.14B4.17B3.70B3.25B2.32B
Net Income1.74B1.83B1.96B1.77B1.36B524.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets27.98B26.77B24.92B22.82B22.09B21.41B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.90B1.07B696.00M745.00M867.09M3.01B
Total Debt15.53B14.49B12.95B11.17B11.39B11.82B
Total Liabilities25.69B24.92B23.03B20.78B20.67B19.83B
Stockholders Equity2.30B1.83B1.86B2.01B1.38B1.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.00B1.78B2.16B2.08B1.16B1.43B
Operating Cash Flow2.83B2.69B2.99B2.87B1.79B1.90B
Investing Cash Flow-814.00M-717.00M-1.96B-785.00M-1.88B-428.70M
Financing Cash Flow-1.55B-1.59B-1.04B-2.06B-1.99B-4.63B

Sysco Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price76.27
Price Trends
50DMA
82.16
Negative
100DMA
78.72
Negative
200DMA
78.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.12
Negative
RSI
47.43
Neutral
STOCH
79.92
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SYY, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 76.27 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.62, below the 50-day MA of 82.16, and below the 200-day MA of 78.09, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 47.43 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 79.92 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for SYY.

Sysco Risk Analysis

Sysco disclosed 28 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sysco reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sysco Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$3.33B33.2413.54%10.01%22.30%
66
Neutral
$14.63B77.547.13%8.45%-12.95%
64
Neutral
$18.59B43.1615.01%3.67%36.66%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
61
Neutral
$3.18B28.34-4.97%-0.44%6.45%
58
Neutral
$34.64B28.8381.92%2.84%3.44%-6.81%
56
Neutral
$2.43B18.3910.17%1.44%-1.98%18.34%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SYY
Sysco
72.44
2.52
3.61%
ANDE
The Andersons
71.45
36.14
102.34%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
81.71
19.92
32.24%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
52.32
24.08
85.27%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
93.12
5.60
6.40%
USFD
US Foods Holding
84.40
10.86
14.77%

Sysco Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Sysco Expands Credit Facilities to Support Jetro Acquisition
Positive
Apr 20, 2026
On April 16, 2026, Sysco replaced its existing $3.0 billion senior revolving credit facility with a new revolving credit agreement of the same size that can expand to $4.0 billion upon closing its planned acquisition of Jetro Restaurant Depot, wit...
Executive/Board Changes
Sysco Announces Resignation of Chief Information and Digital Officer
Neutral
Apr 2, 2026
Sysco Corporation announced that Executive Vice President and Chief Information and Digital Officer Tom Peck informed the company on March 27, 2026, of his decision to resign, effective April 10, 2026. The company stated that Peck is leaving to pu...
Business Operations and StrategyM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Sysco to Acquire Jetro Restaurant Depot in Major Deal
Positive
Mar 30, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Sysco agreed to acquire Jetro Restaurant Depot’s operating company JRD Unico and its real estate arm Warehouse Realty in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $21.6 billion in cash plus 91.5 million HoldCo shares. The transactio...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Sysco to Acquire Jetro Restaurant Depot in Major Deal
Positive
Mar 30, 2026
On March 30, 2026, Sysco agreed to acquire JRD Unico, Inc. and Warehouse Realty, LLC, collectively known as Jetro Restaurant Depot, in a cash-and-stock deal valuing the cash-and-carry wholesaler at about $29.1 billion, or 14.6 times its 2025 opera...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesFinancial Disclosures
Sysco Names Interim CFO and Reaffirms 2026 Outlook
Positive
Mar 5, 2026
On February 27, 2026, Sysco’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Kenny Cheung, resigned to join a Fortune 10 company in another industry, with the company stressing that his departure did not stem from any disagreements ov...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Sysco Issues $1.25 Billion in New Senior Notes
Neutral
Feb 13, 2026
On February 13, 2026, Sysco Corporation issued and sold $600 million of 4.400% Senior Notes due 2031 and $650 million of 4.950% Senior Notes due 2036, raising net proceeds of about $1.24 billion. The notes, which are unsecured and guaranteed by ce...
Private Placements and Financing
Sysco Announces New Senior Notes Debt Offering
Neutral
Feb 11, 2026
On February 10, 2026, Sysco Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with a syndicate of major banks to issue $600 million of 4.400% senior notes due 2031 and $650 million of 4.950% senior notes due 2036. The offering, conducted under an...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 30, 2026