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Performance Food Group (PFGC)
NYSE:PFGC
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Performance Food Group (PFGC) AI Stock Analysis

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PFGC

Performance Food Group

(NYSE:PFGC)

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Neutral 63 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:63Neutral
Price Target:
$102.00
▲(3.31% Upside)
Performance Food Group's overall score reflects strong earnings call results and steady financial performance, offset by technical indicators suggesting bearish momentum and high valuation concerns. The company's operational challenges and high leverage also pose risks that need to be addressed.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand and effective market strategies, enhancing long-term business sustainability.
Market Expansion
Expansion into new locations and partnerships strengthens market presence and diversifies revenue streams, supporting future growth.
Gross Margin Expansion
Improved gross margins reflect efficient cost management and strategic pricing, enhancing profitability and competitive positioning.
Negative Factors
High Leverage
High leverage can increase financial risk, limit flexibility, and impact the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Decreasing free cash flow may constrain investment capacity and affect the company's ability to manage debt effectively.
Operational Challenges
Operational inefficiencies can erode margins and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain competitiveness.

Performance Food Group (PFGC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Performance Food Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionPerformance Food Group Company, through its subsidiaries, markets and distributes food and food-related products in the United States. It operates through three segments: Foodservice, Vistar, and Convenience. The company offers a range of frozen foods, groceries, candy, snacks, beverages, cigarettes, and other tobacco products; beef, pork, poultry, and seafood; and health and beauty care products. It also sells disposables, cleaning and kitchen supplies, and related products. In addition, the company offers value-added services, such as product selection and procurement, menu development, and operational strategy. It serves independent and chain restaurants, schools, business and industry locations, hospitals, vending distributors, office coffee service distributors, retailers, convenience stores, theaters, hospitality providers, concessionaires, airport gift shops, college bookstores, corrections facilities, and impulse locations, as well as franchises and other institutional customers. Performance Food Group Company was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyPerformance Food Group generates revenue primarily through the distribution of food and food-related products to a vast network of customers in the foodservice sector. The company's revenue model is built on several key streams: first, it earns significant income from the sale of food products to restaurants, schools, and institutions, focusing on both bulk and specialty items. Second, PFGC also generates revenue through its private label offerings, which often provide higher margins compared to national brands. Additionally, the company benefits from value-added services, such as supply chain management and logistics, which enhance customer relationships and drive repeat business. Strategic partnerships with suppliers and manufacturers further bolster its product offerings and competitive positioning, allowing PFGC to maintain steady revenue growth in a highly competitive market.

Performance Food Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
PFG reported a strong start to fiscal year 2026 with notable growth across its operating segments and raised its sales guidance for the fiscal year. However, the company faces challenges in certain Specialty and Foodservice areas and some recent slowdown in independent restaurant growth.
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to Fiscal Year 2026
Performance Food Group (PFG) reported double-digit top line growth, acceleration in independent restaurant case volume, and gross margin expansion. The company's diversified approach continues to yield market share gains.
Foodservice Segment Growth
The Foodservice segment achieved a 15.6% increase in total cases and an 18.8% increase in sales for the quarter. Organic independent case growth was 6.3%, driven by a 5.8% increase in new customers year-over-year.
Convenience Segment Expansion
Core-Mark began shipping to hundreds of additional Love's Travel centers, contributing to a 3.5% sales growth in the Convenience segment. The segment also saw strong performance in non-combustible nicotine products.
Specialty Segment Profitability
Despite a challenging market, the Specialty segment achieved 13% adjusted EBITDA growth due to improved operating leverage and efficiencies.
Raised Sales Guidance for Fiscal Year
PFG increased its sales target for the full fiscal year to a range of $67.5 billion to $68.5 billion, reflecting confidence in continued performance.
Negative Updates
Challenges in the Specialty Segment
The Specialty segment experienced a 0.7% decline in net sales due to a challenging quarter for theater and value segments.
Operational Challenges in Foodservice
The Foodservice segment faced higher operating expenses due to investments in brick-and-mortar and inefficiencies in new distribution centers.
Slowdown in Independent Restaurant Growth
Independent restaurant case growth experienced some recent volatility, with a slight decrease in momentum attributed to the government shutdown and regional market slowdowns.
Company Guidance
During the PFG Fiscal Year Q1 2026 earnings call, several key metrics and guidance points were highlighted. PFG reported double-digit top-line growth, highlighting a 15.6% increase in total Foodservice cases and a 5.8% increase in new customers year-over-year. The company also noted a gross margin expansion driven by positive mix shifts, low single-digit inflation, and procurement efficiencies. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 16.6% to $480.1 million, with strong contributions from all three operating segments, particularly the Specialty segment, which experienced a 13% adjusted EBITDA growth despite a slight decline in net sales. The company updated its full-year guidance, raising its net sales projection to between $67.5 billion and $68.5 billion and maintaining an adjusted EBITDA target of $1.9 billion to $2 billion. They also reported a 6% increase in Foodservice salesforce headcount and highlighted significant new account wins in the Convenience segment, including partnerships with Love's Travel Stops and RaceTrac locations.

Performance Food Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Performance Food Group shows solid revenue growth and operational efficiency, with stable EBIT and EBITDA margins. However, high leverage poses a risk to financial stability, and there is room for improvement in profitability and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Performance Food Group has demonstrated consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase in gross profit margins. However, the net profit margin remains relatively low, indicating room for improvement in cost management. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown stability, reflecting operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is relatively high, suggesting a leveraged position, which could pose risks if not managed carefully. Return on equity has been moderate, indicating decent profitability for shareholders. The equity ratio shows a stable capital structure, but the high leverage remains a concern.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
Operating cash flow has been strong, with a positive trend in free cash flow growth. The free cash flow to net income ratio indicates effective cash generation relative to earnings. However, the operating cash flow coverage ratio suggests that there is room for improvement in cash flow efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue64.96B63.30B58.28B57.25B50.89B30.40B
Gross Profit7.67B7.42B6.58B6.25B5.26B3.53B
EBITDA1.59B1.54B1.39B1.26B812.80M546.00M
Net Income325.80M340.20M435.90M397.20M112.50M40.70M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.35B17.88B13.39B12.50B12.38B7.85B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments38.10M78.50M20.00M12.70M11.60M11.10M
Total Debt8.30B8.00B4.98B4.74B5.00B3.00B
Total Liabilities13.78B13.41B9.27B8.75B9.08B5.74B
Stockholders Equity4.57B4.47B4.13B3.75B3.30B2.11B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow523.00M704.10M767.40M562.40M61.00M-124.20M
Operating Cash Flow1.01B1.21B1.16B832.10M276.50M64.60M
Investing Cash Flow-2.50B-3.09B-682.70M-294.60M-1.86B-199.80M
Financing Cash Flow1.48B1.94B-472.60M-536.20M1.58B-274.40M

Performance Food Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price98.73
Price Trends
50DMA
102.16
Negative
100DMA
99.01
Negative
200DMA
90.87
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.51
Positive
RSI
47.08
Neutral
STOCH
55.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For PFGC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 98.73 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 99.60, below the 50-day MA of 102.16, and above the 200-day MA of 90.87, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.51 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for PFGC.

Performance Food Group Risk Analysis

Performance Food Group disclosed 34 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Performance Food Group reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Performance Food Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$36.00B20.1484.89%2.79%2.92%-4.06%
65
Neutral
$16.38B30.5812.29%4.80%3.49%
64
Neutral
$2.54B36.0614.12%8.88%54.12%
63
Neutral
$15.48B47.467.42%10.55%-23.38%
62
Neutral
$20.33B14.63-3.31%3.23%1.93%-12.26%
58
Neutral
1.54%-134.75%
52
Neutral
$2.26B-7.39%2.60%-3.23%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
PFGC
Performance Food Group
98.73
11.48
13.16%
SPTN
SpartanNash Co
26.90
9.21
52.06%
SYY
Sysco
75.18
-0.68
-0.90%
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
62.36
19.40
45.16%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
38.46
17.43
82.88%
USFD
US Foods Holding
73.48
5.99
8.88%

Performance Food Group Corporate Events

Performance Food Group Reports Strong Q1 2026 Growth
Nov 6, 2025

Performance Food Group Company (PFG) is a leading food and foodservice distribution company in North America, known for delivering quality food and related products to a wide range of clients including restaurants, schools, and healthcare facilities.

Performance Food Group Co. Reports Strong Start to FY 2026
Nov 6, 2025

Performance Food Group Co. (PFG) commenced fiscal year 2026 on a high note, showcasing robust growth across its various operating segments. The earnings call reflected an optimistic sentiment, bolstered by the company’s decision to raise its sales guidance for the fiscal year. However, challenges persist in certain Specialty and Foodservice areas, alongside a recent slowdown in independent restaurant growth.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Performance Food Group Announces Board Appointment Agreement
Positive
Sep 23, 2025

On September 23, 2025, Performance Food Group Company announced a Cooperation Agreement with Sachem Head Capital Management, resulting in the appointment of Scott D. Ferguson to its Board of Directors. This agreement, which includes standstill and voting commitments, aims to enhance shareholder value and reflects the company’s openness to fresh perspectives, potentially impacting its strategic direction and governance.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFGC) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Performance Food Group stock, see the PFGC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyM&A Transactions
Performance Food Group Enters Clean Team Agreement
Neutral
Sep 16, 2025

On September 15, 2025, Performance Food Group entered into a clean team agreement with US Foods Holding Corp. to share confidential information for evaluating a potential business combination. This collaboration aims to explore regulatory considerations and synergies, with the involvement of independent advisors. However, there is no assurance of a transaction proposal or its outcome, and further comments will be withheld unless a definitive agreement is reached.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFGC) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Performance Food Group stock, see the PFGC Stock Forecast page.

Performance Food Group Co. Shines in 2025 Earnings Call
Sep 1, 2025

Performance Food Group Co. (PFG) recently held its earnings call, showcasing a strong financial performance for fiscal 2025. The sentiment during the call was largely positive, with the company achieving significant revenue and profit milestones. However, challenges such as declining restaurant traffic and competitive pressures in certain segments were noted, slightly tempering the overall outlook. Despite these hurdles, PFG’s strategic initiatives, including sales force expansion and acquisitions, provide optimism for future growth.

Executive/Board Changes
Performance Food Group Announces Executive Retirement Plan
Neutral
Aug 20, 2025

On August 19, 2025, Performance Food Group announced that Craig H. Hoskins, its Executive Vice President and Chief Development Officer, will retire on January 5, 2026, but will continue to serve as a consultant until December 31, 2026. The company has outlined a Letter Agreement detailing Mr. Hoskins’ compensation and benefits during his consultancy, including a $350,000 payment, equity awards, and health benefits, while imposing confidentiality and non-competition covenants for 18 months post-consultancy.

The most recent analyst rating on (PFGC) stock is a Buy with a $118.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Performance Food Group stock, see the PFGC Stock Forecast page.

Performance Food Group Co. Faces Challenges from Activist Shareholders and Unsolicited Bids
Aug 15, 2025

Performance Food Group Co. faces potential risks from activist shareholders and unsolicited bids, which could lead to significant expenses and disrupt their business strategy. Activist shareholders might push for changes in operations, governance, or management, and could engage in proxy solicitations or shareholder proposals to influence the company’s board and management. Additionally, unsolicited bids, such as the interest expressed by US Foods Holding Corp. in exploring a business combination, could impact employee retention and partnerships, while causing stock price volatility due to speculative market perceptions. These factors may divert management’s attention and resources, potentially affecting the company’s long-term prospects.

Performance Food Group Reports Strong Sales Growth
Aug 14, 2025

Performance Food Group Company (PFG) is a leading food and foodservice distribution company in North America, providing quality food and related products to a wide range of customers including restaurants, schools, and retail outlets. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia, and operates over 150 locations across the continent.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025