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The Chefs' Warehouse Inc. (CHEF)
NASDAQ:CHEF
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The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) AI Stock Analysis

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CHEF

The Chefs' Warehouse

(NASDAQ:CHEF)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$71.00
▲(15.84% Upside)
The Chefs' Warehouse exhibits strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors driving the score. However, the high valuation and mixed technical indicators present potential risks. The recent corporate event positively impacts the company's financial strategy.
Positive Factors
Earnings
The Chefs’ Warehouse reported better than expected revenue and gross margin performance, leading to AEPS and AEBITDA surpassing consensus estimates.
Guidance
Management raised all elements of prior annual guidance due to strong results and continued momentum, reflecting confidence in future performance.
Operational Efficiency
Profitability measures continue to improve for CHEF, with increased gross profit per truck roll and higher EBITDA per employee, indicating greater operational efficiency.
Negative Factors
Revenue Impact
The rationalization of the acquired Hardies business, including exiting low margin lines, caused a net drag to revenue, although it was partially offset by pricing benefits.

The Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

The Chefs' Warehouse Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionThe Chefs' Warehouse (CHEF) is a leading distributor of specialty food products in the United States, serving chefs and foodservice operators across various sectors, including fine dining, hotels, and catering companies. The company offers a wide range of high-quality products, including fresh meats, seafood, dairy, produce, and gourmet items, focusing on premium and unique ingredients that cater to culinary professionals.
How the Company Makes MoneyThe Chefs' Warehouse generates revenue primarily through the distribution of specialty food products to restaurants, hotels, and other foodservice businesses. Its revenue model is based on the wholesale distribution of high-quality ingredients and culinary products, which are sold directly to customers. The company also benefits from strategic partnerships with local and national suppliers, allowing it to offer an extensive product range. Additionally, The Chefs' Warehouse may leverage logistics and delivery services to enhance customer satisfaction and retention, further contributing to its earnings.

The Chefs' Warehouse Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.44%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a strong performance by Chefs' Warehouse with notable increases in net sales, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA. The company faced challenges from inflation and strategic attrition in Texas but managed to raise its full-year guidance, indicating confidence in continued growth and profitability.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Net Sales Growth
Net sales for the second quarter of 2025 increased approximately 8.4% to $1.035 billion from $954.7 million in the second quarter of 2024.
Improved Profitability
Gross profit increased 11.1% to $254.3 million for the second quarter of 2025 versus $229 million for the second quarter of 2024. Gross profit margins increased approximately 59 basis points to 24.6%.
Great Place to Work Certification
Chefs' Warehouse achieved the Great Place to Work certification for the fourth consecutive year, recognizing the company's unique culture and focus on people.
Adjusted EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA for the second quarter of 2025 was $65.4 million compared to $56.2 million for the prior year second quarter.
Full-Year Guidance Raised
The company raised its full-year guidance, estimating net sales for full year 2025 to be in the range of $4 billion to $4.06 billion, with gross profit between $964 million and $979 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $240 million and $250 million.
Negative Updates
Impact of Attrition in Texas
The attrition of noncore commodity protein and specialty produce programs in Texas affected reported case growth and pounds, although these actions are part of a strategic move to improve profitability.
Inflationary Pressures
Net inflation was 7.2% in the second quarter, with 5% inflation in the specialty category and 10.8% in the center-of-the-plate category, impacting costs and pricing strategies.
Challenges from Tariffs
Tariffs on imports, particularly from the EU, have started to impact certain categories, causing some inflationary pressure.
Company Guidance
During the Chefs' Warehouse second quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported an 8.4% increase in net sales to $1.035 billion, with specialty sales rising by 8.7%, driven by a 3.6% growth in unique customer accounts and a 5.8% growth in specialty case volume, excluding the Texas produce program elimination. Gross profit margins improved by 59 basis points, reaching 24.6%, and adjusted EBITDA increased to $65.4 million, up from $56.2 million in the prior year. The company also reported a net income of $21.2 million, or $0.49 per diluted share. Chefs' Warehouse raised its full-year 2025 guidance, estimating net sales between $4 billion and $4.06 billion, gross profit between $964 million and $979 million, and adjusted EBITDA between $240 million and $250 million. Key metrics such as gross profit dollars per route improved by 2.8% compared to full year 2024, and trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA per employee increased by 7%.

The Chefs' Warehouse Financial Statement Overview

Summary
The Chefs' Warehouse demonstrates strong revenue growth and improved profitability, with significant improvements in gross and net profit margins. While the balance sheet shows effective leverage management, the company still carries a substantial amount of debt. Cash flows have strengthened significantly, indicating efficient cash management and solid operational cash generation.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The Chefs' Warehouse has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a significant increase in total revenue from $1.1 billion in 2020 to $3.9 billion in TTM. Gross profit margins have improved consistently, reaching 24% in TTM. The net profit margin also improved to 1.6% from negative values in prior years, indicating better operational efficiency. Overall, the company shows a strong upward revenue trajectory and improvement in profitability.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet indicates a moderate financial position. The debt-to-equity ratio has decreased over time, showing better management of leverage. The equity ratio stands at 29% for TTM, suggesting a balanced asset financing mix. However, the company still carries a significant amount of debt compared to equity, which could pose risks if not managed well.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The cash flow statement reflects robust operating cash flow, increasing from a negative position in 2021 to $171.7 million in TTM. Free cash flow has also turned positive, demonstrating strong cash generation capabilities. The company has improved its free cash flow to net income ratio, highlighting efficient cash management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.87B3.79B3.43B2.61B1.75B1.11B
Gross Profit930.71M914.15M814.47M618.64M390.49M248.15M
EBITDA185.45M193.14M156.55M85.74M10.81M-68.69M
Net Income63.84M55.48M34.59M27.75M-4.92M-82.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.84B1.86B1.71B1.51B1.07B974.33M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments116.53M114.66M49.88M158.80M115.16M193.28M
Total Debt911.89M915.83M926.27M832.77M542.48M530.48M
Total Liabilities1.30B1.32B1.25B1.10B723.58M629.74M
Stockholders Equity541.64M537.65M454.67M401.51M350.21M344.59M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow126.94M103.56M4.21M-22.71M-58.70M35.84M
Operating Cash Flow171.73M153.06M61.64M23.13M-19.90M42.88M
Investing Cash Flow-44.78M-49.82M-179.31M-232.02M-48.99M-67.97M
Financing Cash Flow-52.64M-38.48M9.01M253.22M-9.22M78.06M

The Chefs' Warehouse Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price61.29
Price Trends
50DMA
63.74
Negative
100DMA
60.54
Positive
200DMA
55.62
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
48.38
Neutral
STOCH
13.77
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CHEF, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 61.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 64.50, below the 50-day MA of 63.74, and above the 200-day MA of 55.62, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 48.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 13.77 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for CHEF.

The Chefs' Warehouse Risk Analysis

The Chefs' Warehouse disclosed 36 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. The Chefs' Warehouse reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

The Chefs' Warehouse Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$15.35B46.567.91%8.61%-22.16%
73
Outperform
$2.56B39.3013.64%7.90%68.05%
73
Outperform
$39.14B21.6599.08%2.52%3.21%-4.03%
71
Outperform
$898.26M2,245.98-2.08%3.29%0.26%-119.66%
68
Neutral
$17.79B33.6211.48%5.32%11.65%
66
Neutral
$1.62B-4.11%6.62%53.12%
63
Neutral
$20.98B14.59-7.26%3.13%2.83%-9.85%
* Consumer Defensive Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CHEF
The Chefs' Warehouse
61.29
22.86
59.48%
SPTN
SpartanNash Co
26.53
6.29
31.08%
SYY
Sysco
81.20
6.69
8.98%
UNFI
United Natural Foods
26.42
13.16
99.25%
PFGC
Performance Food Group
100.75
27.27
37.11%
USFD
US Foods Holding
77.14
19.42
33.65%

The Chefs' Warehouse Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and Strategy
The Chefs’ Warehouse Amends Term Loan Agreement
Positive
Jun 16, 2025

On June 16, 2025, The Chefs’ Warehouse, Inc. amended its senior secured term loan credit agreement, initially established in 2016. The amendment, known as the Thirteenth Amendment, resulted in a repricing of the company’s senior secured term loan B facility, reducing the interest rate margins by 50 basis points over both the term SOFR and the alternate base rate. The principal amount of term loans outstanding after this amendment is $253.5 million, with no changes to the floor of the Adjusted Term SOFR or the maturity date. This financial restructuring reflects the company’s ongoing efforts to optimize its capital structure and maintain strong banking relationships.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHEF) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on The Chefs’ Warehouse stock, see the CHEF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
The Chefs’ Warehouse Retains Director Despite Vote Outcome
Neutral
May 23, 2025

At the 2024 annual meeting of stockholders of The Chefs’ Warehouse, Inc., director Richard N. Peretz received more votes against his election than for it. Despite this, the company’s board decided not to accept his resignation, which was offered in accordance with their majority vote policy. The decision was influenced by Mr. Peretz’s qualifications, contributions, and the fact that his low attendance was due to pre-scheduled meetings before his board election. The board concluded that retaining Mr. Peretz was in the best interest of the company and its stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHEF) stock is a Buy with a $53.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on The Chefs’ Warehouse stock, see the CHEF Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
The Chefs’ Warehouse Elects New Directors at Annual Meeting
Neutral
May 14, 2025

At the 2025 Annual Meeting, The Chefs’ Warehouse stockholders elected several directors to serve until 2026, with Richard N. Peretz failing to secure the necessary votes, prompting a review by the Nominating and Governance Committee. Additionally, stockholders approved the ratification of BDO USA, P.C. as the independent auditor, endorsed executive compensation on an advisory basis, and amended the 2019 Omnibus Equity Incentive Plan, reflecting continued support for the company’s governance and strategic initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (CHEF) stock is a Buy with a $51.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on The Chefs’ Warehouse stock, see the CHEF Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 14, 2025