US Foods Holding (USFD) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: $16.69B
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 1.82M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 30.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.70
• Revenue Growth: 4.80%
• EPS Growth: 3.49%
• Country: US
• Employees: 30,000
• Sector: Consumer Defensive
• Sector Strength: 42
• Industry: Food Distribution
• EPS (TTM): 1.07
• Shares Outstanding: 225,171,620
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 1,934,339
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,817,326
• PEG Ratio: -17.38
• Price to Book (P/B): 3.63
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.43
• P/FCF Ratio: 19.72
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: 0.00
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: 0.00
• 1Y Price Target: $92.13
• Price Target Upside: 25.38% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Strong Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 8
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 65 Neutral
• Price Target: $77.00 ▲(4.79% Upside)

US Foods Holding's strong financial performance and positive earnings call guidance are major strengths, contributing to a higher score. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the stock's valuation appears stretched, which weigh down the overall score.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue and EBITDA growth indicate strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial health.

Strategic Vendor Management

Cost savings from strategic vendor management enhance profitability, providing a competitive edge and supporting sustainable margin improvements.

Pronto Program Expansion

Expansion of the Pronto program boosts sales and market reach, indicating successful innovation and adaptation to customer needs.

Negative Factors

Chain Restaurant Volume Decline

Declining chain restaurant volumes suggest challenges in a key customer segment, potentially affecting overall sales growth and market position.

Challenging Macro Environment

A challenging macro environment could hinder growth prospects, impacting case volume and necessitating strategic adjustments to maintain performance.

Free Cash Flow Decline

Negative free cash flow growth may indicate rising capital expenditures or inefficiencies, potentially limiting financial flexibility and investment capacity.

US Foods Holding Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

US Foods Holding Corp. is one of the largest foodservice distributors in the United States, serving a diverse customer base that includes restaurants, healthcare facilities, and educational institutions. The company operates through various segments, providing a wide range of products such as fresh meat, produce, canned and frozen foods, and disposable supplies. US Foods is committed to delivering quality products and innovative solutions to its customers, enhancing their operational efficiency and culinary offerings.

How the Company Makes Money

US Foods generates revenue primarily through the sale of food and related products to foodservice operators. Its revenue model is based on a wholesale distribution model, where the company purchases products from manufacturers and suppliers, then sells them to customers at a markup. Key revenue streams include the sale of fresh and frozen foods, dry goods, and non-food items. Additionally, US Foods has established strategic partnerships with various food manufacturers and suppliers, allowing it to offer exclusive products and competitive pricing. The company also benefits from ancillary services, such as menu development and operational consulting, which enhance customer loyalty and drive additional revenue.

US Foods Holding Financial Statement Overview

Summary

US Foods Holding shows strong revenue growth and improving profitability with effective leverage management. However, operational efficiency and cash flow management challenges persist, necessitating focus on cost control and cash flow optimization.

Income Statement

US Foods Holding has shown strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 9.74% and consistent gross profit margins around 17%. The net profit margin has improved to 1.43% in the TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased, suggesting some operational cost pressures.

Balance Sheet

The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved to 1.08 in the TTM, reflecting better leverage management. Return on equity has increased to 12.04%, showcasing effective use of equity to generate profits. However, the equity ratio remains stable, indicating moderate financial stability.

Cash Flow

Operating cash flow has increased, but free cash flow growth is negative at -13.92% in the TTM, which could indicate higher capital expenditures or other cash outflows. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains strong at 0.75, suggesting efficient cash generation relative to net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2019	Dec 2018
Income Statement
Total Revenue	29.62B	37.88B	35.60B	34.06B	25.94B	24.18B
Gross Profit	5.14B	6.53B	6.15B	5.49B	4.59B	4.31B
EBITDA	1.24B	1.40B	1.40B	988.00M	1.06B	1.04B
Net Income	492.00M	494.00M	506.00M	265.00M	385.00M	407.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	14.04B	13.44B	13.19B	12.77B	11.29B	9.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	56.00M	59.00M	269.00M	211.00M	90.00M	104.00M
Total Debt	4.95B	5.43B	5.20B	5.31B	5.13B	3.61B
Total Liabilities	9.57B	8.91B	8.44B	8.28B	7.58B	5.96B
Stockholders Equity	4.47B	4.53B	4.75B	4.50B	3.71B	3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	800.00M	833.00M	831.00M	500.00M	502.00M	374.00M
Operating Cash Flow	1.08B	1.17B	1.14B	765.00M	760.00M	609.00M
Investing Cash Flow	-320.00M	-552.00M	-495.00M	-255.00M	-1.99B	-232.00M
Financing Cash Flow	-759.00M	-831.00M	-587.00M	-447.00M	1.22B	-391.00M

US Foods Holding Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Negative
• Last Price: 73.48
• 50DMA: Negative
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Negative
• MACD: Positive
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For USFD, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 73.48 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.64, below the 50-day MA of 76.20, and below the 200-day MA of 73.80, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.99 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for USFD.

US Foods Holding Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SYY	71 Outperform	$34.91B	19.53	84.89%	2.79%	2.92%	-4.06%
USFD	65 Neutral	$16.69B	30.52	12.29%	―	4.80%	3.49%
CHEF	64 Neutral	$2.59B	36.06	14.12%	―	8.88%	54.12%
PFGC	63 Neutral	$14.98B	45.58	7.42%	―	10.55%	-23.38%
Sector *	62 Neutral	$20.33B	14.63	-3.31%	3.23%	1.93%	-12.26%
SPTN	58 Neutral	―	―	―	―	1.54%	-134.75%
UNFI	52 Neutral	$2.24B	―	-7.39%	―	2.60%	-3.23%

US Foods Holding Corporate Events

US Foods Reports Strong Q3 2025 Earnings Growth

US Foods Holding Corp., a leading foodservice distributor in the United States, partners with approximately 250,000 customer locations to provide a broad range of food products and business solutions.

Us Foods (USFD) Earnings Call Highlights Strong Growth

In the recent earnings call, Us Foods Holding Corp. showcased a robust performance, marked by impressive financial metrics and strategic market share advancements. The sentiment was overwhelmingly positive, highlighting the company’s operational efficiencies and strategic initiatives like Pronto. Despite facing challenges with chain restaurant volumes and macroeconomic pressures, the outlook remains optimistic with significant growth expectations.

US Foods Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Growth

US Foods Holding Corp., a leading foodservice distributor in the United States, partners with approximately 250,000 customer locations, offering a broad range of food products and business solutions. In its second quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report, US Foods reported a 3.8% increase in net sales to $10.1 billion and a 13.1% rise in net income to $224 million. The company also achieved a 20% increase in diluted EPS to $0.96 and a 28% rise in adjusted diluted EPS to $1.19. Key financial metrics included a 12.1% growth in adjusted EBITDA to $548 million and a reduction in net leverage to 2.6x, alongside a $250 million share repurchase. The company also reported a 0.9% increase in total case volume, with notable growth in independent restaurant, healthcare, and hospitality sectors. Looking forward, US Foods has raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA and adjusted diluted EPS guidance, reflecting confidence in continued growth and profitability.

US Foods CEO Discusses Potential Merger with PFG

On August 7, 2025, US Foods Holding Corp. CEO Dave Flitman addressed speculation about a potential merger with Performance Food Group during the company’s Q2 2025 earnings call. Flitman highlighted the strategic benefits of such a merger, including economies of scale, expanded growth opportunities, and enhanced competition in the foodservice industry. Despite US Foods’ approach to PFG to explore the merger’s potential, PFG has declined the invitation. The proposed combination is seen as a way to offer a broader product range, improve market competitiveness, and generate significant synergies and shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (USFD) stock is a Buy with a $79.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on US Foods Holding stock, see the USFD Stock Forecast page.